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Last updated Apr 28, 8:23 AM EDT
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THE PLAY: Washington Nationals Total Over 3.5 (-125) Action
These teams play again tomorrow in Miami, so even though this is a 1:40pm ET start time, this is not your typical "getaway day" situation. Washington's offense has been very capable thus far. The only team that truly shut down the Nationals' offense was the Dodgers. If you remove Washington's six games against the Dodgers, the Nationals are averaging 4.2 runs per game (which would put them above contenders like the Astros, Rays, Blue Jays, Giants and Mariners). It's a small sample size, but Washington has enjoyed success against Ryan Weathers in the past. They tagged him for five runs on seven hits and two walks in 6.0 innings last year. Entering Sunday, Weathers is in the bottom-third among pitchers in chase rate, walk rate and strikeout rate. In his last start against the Braves, Weathers gave up three runs on six hits with three walks and just one strikeout in 5.2 innings. His expected ERA (4.37) is over a full run higher than his actual ERA (3.16). Dating back to the beginning of last season, Washington has the fourth-best strikeout rate in baseball against left-hand pitching. We've got the road team guaranteed to get nine at-bats that has already scored 14 runs in the first two games of this series.
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Consultant Bio
Founded in 1957, GoldSheet is the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter. In May 2019, WagerTalk Media announced its intent to acquire GoldSheet in a deal to bring the iconic publication into the digital age. Bettors and oddsmakers have respected GoldSheet's LTS Plays (Late Telephone Service) for decades, and the GoldSheet team has brought that winning strategy to WagerTalk over the last four years:
2021 College Football Season: +85.5% Profit behind a 45-21-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
2021-22 NFL Season: +10.3% Profit behind a 33-28-1 Record
2021-22 College Basketball Season: +33.1% Profit behind a 53.6% Win Rate
2021-22 NBA Season: +52% Profit behind a 54.7% Win Rate
2022-23 NFL Season: +55.9% Profit behind a 49-28-3 Record (No. 1 at WagerTalk)
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