Free Sports Predictions MAR 31: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Good to -130 or OV20.5 -105

Released/revised 22 minute(s) ago

Oklahoma (19-5) and Colorado (17-15) face off in the College Basketball Crown quarterfinals on Wednesday in Las Vegas, Nevada. Colorado arrives off back-to-back losses to Arizona (89-79) and Oklahoma State (92-83), with both games going over the posted totals of 156.5 and 164.5 points, respectively. Oklahoma enters off seven consecutive ATS wins, including covering against the Razorbacks (82-79) as 6.5-point underdogs in the SEC tournament. Since 2016, well-rested college basketball teams coming off three or more consecutive overs like Colorado are just 132-176-3 ATS (42.9%) versus opponents arriving off a neutral-site contest. This situation has been 72-103 ATS (41.1%) since the beginning of the 2021-22 season. Similarly, college basketball teams coming off an over are 162-208-2 ATS (43.8%) when playing with ten or more days of rest, provided one additional parameter is satisfied, including 56-109 ATS (33.9%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season, falling short of market expectations by an average margin of 2.7 points per game. Finally, Oklahoma falls into a profitable 69-42 ATS (62.2%) system of mine that dates to 2017-18 and invests on certain college basketball teams coming off a game in which they attempted 65 or more field goals from Game 34 forward. This situation has been 55-27 ATS (67.1%) since the beginning of the 2022-23 season. Lay the points with the Oklahoma Sooners as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 1.

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DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. #1 UNITS & ROI L/48 DAYS: +86 UNITS
2. #1 WIN RATE L/48 DAYS: 94-61 (61%)
3. #1 BASKETBALL (UNITS/ROI/WP): 78-52 (60%)
4. #1 BASKETBALL TOP PLAYS: 34-20 (63%)
5. TORRID MLB RUN: 101-60 (63%) | 4 TITLES

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Investment Advice: The Senators are a Best Bet at -190 or less.

Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3155-2130 (59.7%; +2.7% ROI). Ottawa arrives in Florida looking to avenge a 3-2 home loss to the Panthers on January 10, and road favorites of less than -200 are 1064-638 (62.5%; +9.5% ROI) with same-season revenge. Even better, small-to-medium road favorites with same-season revenge for an upset home loss are 694-395 (63.7%; +11.2% ROI), winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game. Florida returned home off back-to-back road losses to the Islanders (5-2) and Rangers (3-1), which is significant because, since 2007, .499 or worse underdogs coming off back-to-back road games are 1450-2326 (38.4%; -5.2% ROI) and -3.3% ROI PL, including 461-846 (353%; -9.3% ROI) and -5.7% PL since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Meanwhile, NHL road favorites with more rest are 520-297 (63.6%; +5.8% ROI) versus opponents entering off a loss, including 223-110 (67%; +7.2% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season. Finally, since 2002, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 828-473 (63.6%; +7.1% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest. Take the Ottawa Senators as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, March 31.

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DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. #1 UNITS & ROI L/48 DAYS: +86 UNITS
2. #1 WIN RATE L/48 DAYS: 94-61 (61%)
3. #1 TOP PLAYS L/48 DAYS: 36-20 (64.3%)
4. #1 BASKETBALL (UNITS/ROI/WP): 78-52 (60%)
5. #1 NBA TOP PLAYS: 8-1 (89%) | +27.4% PROFIT

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on Over.

The Rockies bats came alive last night in Toronto, in a 14-5 upset win over the Blue Jays. Looking at the matchup here in Game 2, and I think it's likely we see another slugfest. Max Scherzer will toe the slab for Toronto, and it remains to be seen if he has anything left in the tank at the age of 41. He was 5-5 with a 5.19 ERA in 17 starts for Toronto last season. He was 0-3 with a 9.95 ERA in his final five starts of last season. The Rockies hand the ball to Ryan Feltner, who is currently the 5th starter in one of the worst rotations in the major leagues. He spent half of last season in the minors. He was absolutely clobbered this spring, going 0-2 with a 9.56 ERA in six appearances. He allowed 17 runs on 18 hits and 11 walks in 16 innings pitched. These two teams have gone over the total in 8 of the last 10 meetings, and seven of those games saw 14 or more runs scored.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Tampa Bay Rays 116 Shane McClanahan (LHP), Brandon Woodruff (RHP) Must Start

The long awaited return of Shane McClanahan is over with the southpaw slated to start tonight. The former 1st rounder out of USF has spectacular advanced metrics in MLB when he is healthy. By all accounts we get that here and are backing the Rays at the plus price.

The Brewers started the season off nicely with the sweep over the White Sox. Although, this is a step up in class and Woodruff has a lot of question marks coming into the 2026 season. This is his first start of the year off a shortened spring with injuries. Multiple quotes out of Brewers camp suggesting his leash will be short. This one just missed the client card. For Tuesday's free pick- Bet Tampa.

18-9 (67%) for over (+32% PROFIT) MLB run

$5 TUESDAY BEST BET MLB MONEY (18-9) HEAT $$ ⬇️

$5 YANKEES vs MARINERS TUESDAY TICKET CASHIER (18-9) ⬇️

Today’s MLB Betting Show:

Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago

Talked about two games on Under The Radar (Rockies/Blue Jays and Pirates/Reds) on Under the Radar.

I like Bubba Chandler and the Pirates here. Pittsburgh had a tight leash on Chandler last season so I think he might be primed for success in 2026 with the breakout coming sooner than later.

Brandon Williamson has basically been out for two years and the Reds have used a ton of relief pitching the past two days so I think this is a reasonable spot to oppose Reds pitching.

Check back here to see if this gets upgraded to a client play.

Released/revised 58 minute(s) ago

[FREE PICK] on Philadelphia Phillies - Run Line | Good until -1.5. -115.

Pitching Matchup: PJ Poulin/Andrew Painter (Action) .

Yesterday, Philadelphia couldn't do much offensively and the pitching was atrocious. On Tuesday, I expect a much better all around game from the Phillies. PJ Poulin is anticipated to be an opener in today's game for the Nationals. Somewhat unique being so early in the season. But, I'm not questioning it. Andrew Painter is making his big league debut for Philadelphia and he's going to be great if he lives up to expectations. 1-3 on the season now, Philly needs to wake up. I look for a big win on Tuesday by more than a run.

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  Colombia Liga Aguila :

Total Under 2.0 (-109)...(4%) - thru Under 2 (-125)

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Not only is this the second night of a back to back for Phoenix, but it will also be their third game in the last four days. Now they have won each of the last two, putting up 130+ points against two tanking teams (Utah and Memphis). But tonight promises to be a step up in class against a desperate Orlando team fighting for playoff position.

Obviously, the Magic's recent form leaves a lot to be desired. This is a team that has lost seven of its last eight games including a humiliating, turnover-filled defeat at Toronto on Sunday where they were on the wrong end of a 31-0 run (not a misprint) and trailed by as many as 56. It was both the most turnovers (28) and worst loss in terms of margin (52 points) in franchise history. As uninspiring as that sounds, it should mean - back home - we get a motivated effort Tuesday night.

Unlike Phoenix, who is pretty much locked into the 7-seed in the Western Conference, Orlando's playoff path is still to be determined. While it looks unlikely that they will avoid the Play-in Tournament, the Magic definitely want to finish 7th or 8th in the East (so they'd only have to win once to make the playoffs). They are currently tied with Miami for 8th. I think the spot points to a win for the home team in this one.

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This is a buy-low spot after the number dropped from 16.5 to 14.5 following two slight unders (13 and 15). The key is nothing has changed with his role—he’s still getting 13–15 shot attempts per game and making around 6 field goals, which keeps him right on the edge of clearing this number even before free throws.

The recent dip is mostly due to variance at the line—he hasn’t made a free throw in the last two games, which is unlikely to continue. Any normal regression there pushes him comfortably over this total.

The matchup adds even more upside. Toronto is allowing 25.5 points per game to point guards, one of the worst marks in the league. With steady volume, expected bounce-back at the line, and a favorable defensive opponent, this number is simply too low.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

(11) New York Islanders at (12) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline

2% Regulation Buffalo Sabres -115

Unrested AD of +125 & higher vs a rested foe are 368-782 (32%)

The Islanders lost 8-3 at Pittsburgh last night and are 3-4 their L7 games with all 3 wins at Home

NY started the season 9-3 as an AD but since are just 5-11 since including 0-4 with no rest losing 16-8.

Rittich is in goal tonight for only the 4^th time since March 4^th and they are 3-8 Away with him in goal

Buffalo lost the last game of the road trip and then lost B2B games at home before snapping their losing streak vs Seattle.

They are now tied with Tampa & Carolina with 98 pts in the East.

The Sabres are 14-3 as a Fav of -13 & higher

Buffalo has rotated goalies each of their last 29 games but will go with Luukkonen for a second straight game.

He is 9-2 his L11 starts while allowing 9 goals the L5 games (1.8 per/gm)

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Fried brings the better run-prevention baseline after a 19-5, 2.86 ERA, 1.10 WHIP 2025 and a scoreless 6 1/3 in his 2026 opener; Gilbert’s baseline is still strong after a 3.44 ERA, 1.03 WHIP 2025, though his opener was a 5 1/3-IP, 3-ER outing. T-Mobile Park is still one of MLB’s most run-suppressing parks, with MLB listing it 30th in runs and hits and 20th in homers over 2023-25, while Statcast’s 2025 park factor page showed a 91 run factor there.

Seattle entered this game 5th in MLB in runs and 8th in OPS, while the Yankees were 15th in runs and 17th in OPS; on the mound, New York entered 1st in MLB team ERA and Seattle 8th. Sample too small to trust.

The roster/travel context is mildly favorable to Seattle. New York is continuing a West Coast trip from San Francisco to Seattle, while Seattle stays home after the Cleveland series, so there is no “returning home from road trip” flat-spot deduction for either club. Injury-wise, Anthony Volpe is out for the Yankees and J.P. Crawford out for Seattle, which affects the likely bottom-third lineup construction for both teams. Weather is mostly a non-factor here because the game is at T-Mobile Park, and ESPN listed Seattle gametime conditions in the mid-to-upper 50s.

The cleanest HTH Yankees note is Cody Bellinger: 5 AB, .600 AVG, 1.100 OPS vs. Gilbert. For Seattle vs. Fried, the preview snippet shows Randy Arozarena 0-for-4, Mitch Garver .929 OPS in 6 AB, and Josh Naylor with no prior matchup listed, which supports a conclusion of “some scattered familiarity, but not enough to override the core talent/park model.”

Model build

I used this run framework:

• Baseline SP run allowance over expected outing length: Fried 2.1 runs allowed over 6.0 IP; Gilbert 2.4 runs allowed over 5.2 IP.

• Bullpen add-on: Yankees 1.4 runs over final 3.0 IP; Mariners 1.4 runs over final 3.1 IP.

• Park adjustment: -0.35 total runs for T-Mobile suppression.

• Night-game adjustment: -0.05 total runs.

• No-bottom-9 adjustment: -0.05 runs from Seattle because New York is a slight road favorite in my model.

• Travel/fatigue: -0.05 runs from New York for continued road travel; 0.00 for Seattle.

That lands here:

• Projected full-game score: NYY 3.8, SEA 3.5

• Projected full-game total: 7.3

1) Projected score boxes

1st 5 innings

Full game

2) Starting pitcher boxscore projection

3) Projected hitter stat lines

Yankees

Mariners

Wager & Probability Analysis

Moneyline

Full-game total

Using model total 7.3:

Team rank snapshot, 1-30

These are very small-sample ranks, so I’d treat them as descriptive, not predictive.

Why Yankees -112:

1. Fried has the stronger run-prevention profile entering the game.
   In his 2026 opener, Max Fried went 6 1/3 scoreless innings with a 0.47 WHIP, while Logan Gilbert’s opener was 5 1/3 innings, 3 earned runs with a 5.06 ERA so far. That gives New York the cleaner starting-pitching floor.

2. Fried’s form is exactly what you want for a road favorite in a low-total park.
   Reuters’ game recap shows Fried allowed just 2 hits and 1 walk in that opener, and ESPN’s game page confirms this is at T-Mobile Park with Fried vs. Gilbert listed as the probable starters. In a lower-scoring environment, a steadier ace matters more.

3. T-Mobile Park helps the better prevention side.
   Statcast’s park factors list T-Mobile Park with a 91 run factor over the relevant rolling window, which is below league average and supports a suppressed-scoring game. That tends to help the side with the slightly better run-prevention projection, which in this matchup is New York because of Fried.

4. The Yankees’ pitching staff has started hotter than Seattle’s.
   The series preview notes New York opened the season by allowing just one run over three games in San Francisco. That supports the idea that if Fried gets them through six, the bullpen can protect a narrow edge.

5. The market is close enough that even a modest SP edge can matter.
   ESPN’s matchup page had this game around essentially a coin flip, with its predictor at SEA 52% / NYY 48%, and the betting line around Yankees -112 / Mariners -108. When the market is this tight, a model that prefers Fried and makes NYY closer to -119 can justify a small Yankees play.

6. There is at least one notable Yankees batter with good history vs. Gilbert.
   MLB’s preview snippet showed Cody Bellinger is 3-for-5 (.600) with a 1.100 OPS vs. Gilbert. Batter-vs-pitcher data is usually secondary, but in a tight game it is one more plus for New York rather than Seattle.

Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago

Key Situational Angle:

Play AGAINST underdogs off a double-digit road win if they're facing an opponent off a double-digit road loss.

Applies to Houston.

44-14 ATS (76%) since the 2020 season.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

(503) Charlotte Hornets at (504) Brooklyn Nets: Spread

Charlotte Hornets -17.0 (-110)

Brooklyn Nets Performance Analysis:

• Recent Win: The Nets are coming off a solid 116-99 victory against the Boston Celtics. However, despite this win, they are facing a statistical challenge as home underdogs. Specifically, home underdogs with a win percentage under 60%, after leading by at least 20 points at halftime, have a record of 59-111-1 (34.7%) ATS.

Charlotte Hornets Performance Analysis:

• Recent Challenges: The Hornets lost their last meeting with the Nets 116-103 as an away favorite. This memory of defeat coupled with their current circumstances leads us to a notable trend: double-digit away favorites who are seeking revenge have a strong historical record of 72-34-5 (68%) ATS.

• Response to Back-to-Back Losses: Additionally, Charlotte comes into this game after losses to the Philadelphia 76ers and Boston Celtics. The trend for away favorites coming off back-to-back losses is promising, with a record of 114-69-5 (62.3%) ATS.

• Favorites: The Hornets are 13-4 (76.5%) ATS as a favorite of -5 and higher including 4-0 (100%) coming off a loss.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

As we head towards the last handful of games this regular season, Cooper Flagg looks to put a bow on a Rookie of the Year campaign as well look at him going over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists. Sure, the Mavericks have only won three games this month but tonight are small favorites on the road at Milwaukee against the Bucks. In their first head-to-head meeting way back in November Flagg had 39 points + rebounds + assists on 9-15 shooting and that was with the Bucks pretty much at full strength including Giannis Antetokounmpo who will be out once again tonight. Last night was a forgettable night for Flagg who had just 17 points + rebounds + assists on 5-19 shooting, but in the five games before that Flagg averaged 35.8 points + rebounds + assists per game. Those games were all against playoff contenders whereas Milwaukee’s season is pretty much over ranking 29th in defensive rating over the last 10 games. The Mavericks are running at the third fastest pace among all teams over their last 10 games so let’s take Flagg to remain competitive for Dallas going over 32.5 points + rebounds + assists against the Bucks who have allowed 128.2 points per game over their last four.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

NHL - Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers

Game Thoughts: The Senators continue to hang around for a playoff spot and are only two back of Columbus who are in 8th and the Blue Jackets have back to back games with Carolina so this is a great opportunity to make up that distance as they get a Florida team is ravaged with injuries with as many as 10 starters out of the line up and are returning home off two losses in New York by 5-2, and 3-1 score lines. There are a few ways you can play this depending on your number tolerance as the money line is -170, the regulation line is -110, but we'll take the plus money and the puck line here.

The play is Ottawa Senators -1.5 +144

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Yesterday's complimentary selection was a winner with the Islanders/Penguins over the total. (Writeup posted below, if interested.) The game finished with 11 goals, an 8-3 Pittsburgh victory. The Islanders are back in action but tonight's game sets up much differently.

Unlike last night's opponent, the Sabres have been involved in some low-scoring games recently. A 3-2 result in their last game brought the "under" to 6-3 in Buffalo's last nine games. All six of those unders finished with five or fewer goals. Note that the "under" is 8-2 the past 10 meetings between these teams. Also, the last time that New York played the second of b2b games, the final score was 1-0. The previous time, the score was 3-2. After last night, the Isles should be determined to keep the puck out of the net. Go with the under. *good at 6 or higher

Monday's play on the Islanders over

What a difference a month makes. At the beginning of March, the Penguins were on a 5-0 "under" streak. Since then, however, the "over" is 11-1 in their last 12 games, 3-0 the last three. Note that the one game which did stay below the total still finished with six goals. So, that's 12 straight Pittsburgh games with at least six goals.

Tonight, the Pens will face an Islander team which is off a 5-2 Saturday win over the Panthers. A look at the series history shows that both of this season's games have already finished above the total, with scores of 5-4 and 4-3. Going back further finds the "over" at 8-2 the past 10 meetings, 5-0 the past five when the Isles were the host. With Pittsburgh having conceded 30 goals in its last six games, this should be another relatively high-scoring affair. 

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

What can it do to a pitcher's psyche to get out of Denver and Coors Field as your home park? We're about to find out with German Marquez, who makes his first Padres start tonight at Petco Park vs. the Giants after pitching ten seasons with Rockies...and living to tell about it!

More than a few onlookers believe Marquez could prove a steal for San Diego after being so shellshcoked in the Mile High City, bottoming out with a 3-16 mark and 6.70 ERA last season. Now, though, instead of pitching at 5280 feet, his home games are at sea level, and for what it's worth, he looked completely rejuvenated in the Cactus League at Peoria, especially in his final two starts, striking out 17 across just 9 2/3 IP.

The Giants did finally notch their first win for rah-rah new manager Tony Vitello last night, but it was a 3-2 grinder at Petco, which means SF has scored all of four runs across its first four games. Tuesday starter Logan Webb was hit hard in the opener last Wednesday vs. the Yankees and took the loss, allowing seven runs and nine hits in just 5 IP, and note he was winless in three starts (0-2 record) vs. the Padres last season, with a subpar 4.19 ERA. We use SD at +122 and invoke our ".10 rule" to stick with this Padre recommendation as long as the SD price doesn't drop beneath +112. Play Padres on Money Line

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

We will play the Sabres in regulation in this spot as they are getting a great number in my opinion. We would never lay 195/ 200 on the ML. The NYI come to Buffalo on a back to back and 3 RD game in 4 nights scenario. They were beat up at home last night and not sure how they will be mentally prepared for this really tough game in less than 24 hrs after the beatdown. We break this entire game down on pucktime which you can watch live at 11 EST or later in the day on WagerTalk TV.

GODD TO 135

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

The Mets took Game 1 of this series last night and will look to run it back behind Kodai Senga, who became famous years ago for his legendary “ghost fork.” Senga ranks in the 96^th percentile in offspeed run value and does a good job keeping hitters on the ground. New York went all in this offseason, and at 3-1 are off to a good start in the early going. As for St. Louis, there just isn’t much production throughout this lineup to generate runs consistently. Andre Pallante had an ERA of 5.31 last season and we’ll watch the boys from Queens pick up another win tonight. Take the Mets -1.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

Kosovo vs Turkey
World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Kosovo to Qualify
Odds at Time of Release: +210
Line Parameter: Line good to +190

Kosovo are +210 to qualify, Turkey are -265 and I find no value there. In fact, I might take a piece of Kosovo to qualify at +206. AS for regulation, Kosovo are +315 underdogs at home, the Draw is at +260 and Turkey are -115 favourites on the road, with the Spread at 0.5 and the Total at 2.5.

Kosovo are underestimated by the books and let me tell ya, this is a very dangerous team, they have pretty decent units and cohesion as a team. This will not be an easy match for Turkey, unless there's an early red card for Kosovo or some game-changing event like that.

Kosovo are riding on a 6-match unbeaten streak (W4 D2 L0) and have only lost to Switzerland and Romania in L/15 competitive matches (W10 D2 L3), with 2 of those 3 losses coming on the road.

Turkey had a seemingly easy night vs Romania, won by a slim 1-0, didn't open up and didn't risk too much, they recorded just 2 shots on target, and allowed just 6 shots with zero on target. I've been saying this for quite a while, Turkey's defense is a double-edged sword, they can either have the perfect game and easily keep a clean sheet, or fall apart entirely, with no in-between.

Kosovo is a team that I personally can't get right. And I sure as hell can't get them right lately, because this coach that took over 20 matches ago, has used EIGHT different formations, so it's really anybody's guess as to which one he will pick for this game. I'm not going to speculate, but it's really hard to cap a team that doesn't have some baseline.

For what it's worth, Kosovo are on the brink of their first ever World Cup since being recognized as a nation and since their national team played their first competitive match in 2017. There's a certain pride and motivation for teams in such a position, they are playing at home and I wouldn't be surprised if Kosovo were 5th first-timers in the 2026 World Cup after Cape Verde, Curacao, Uzbekistan and Jordan.

+210 on Kosovo to qualify, but by the same token it's hard to go against this Turkey. Proceed with caution, I'm just getting a big number for another reason, because 3 of 4 Qualifiers have the AWAY side as HUGE favourites, and I think that at least one of those teams will stumble. Maybe it's Turkey.

The Play is Kosovo to Qualify (+210), line good to +190

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Iraq vs Bolivia
World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 11pm ET

Play: Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra Time
Odds at Time of Release: +440 FanDuel
Line Parameter: Line good to +250, if line not available, take Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer up to +250

Pretty balanced odds here, Iraq are -117 to Qualify, Bolivia are -107, as for regulation, Iraq are +150 favourites, the Draw at +220 and Bolivia +190 underdogs here, with the Spread at PK, or 0.25, depending where you look, and the total at 2.25 goals.

Iraq will be looking to make their second World Cup in their history, and for the first time since 1986, while Bolivia will be looking to return to the World Cup after 1994, and for the 4th time. So both teams are more than hungry for a ticket here.

This match is played in Mexico, so no home advantage for either side, maybe a bit for Bolivia, who are more likely to have fans there instead of Iraqis, with all that's going on in the Middle East. In fact, the team had to take a private jet out of Iraq, and the situation was up in the air until a few days ago.

Skipping sides and totals, this is a very tough game for me to pick a side or a total. Going with a player prop here, this is a game that I can't read too well, but I saw a pretty big price (and a bookie mistake) and the stats are solid.

Bolivia's Miguelito (or Miguel Terceros) scored in their last match vs Suriname, and he was by far their best scorer in the South American Qualifiers, with 7 goals in 13 matches, and actually finished 2nd in the scoring table behind only Lionel Messi.

Now here's the weird part on FanDuel. He is +410 to score anytime, which means that this bet stands for 90 minutes only. But he is +440 to score anytime INCLUDING EXTRA TIME, a price better by 30 cents and we also get 30 more minutes of extra time. Not sure what's going on with the odds there, but we ride.

Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra time is +440 at FanDuel. Can't find it? Pivot to Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer (+410 FD), I'd bet this to +250

The Play is Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer Including Extra Time (+440 FanDuel), line good to +250. If line not available, take Miguel Terceros Anytime Goalscorer up to +250

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Sweden vs Poland
World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Both Teams to Score
Odds at Time of Release: -105
Line Parameter: Line good to -115

Sweden are -195 to Qualify, Poland are +156 to qualify. In regulation, Sweden are -105 favourites at home, the Draw is at +240 and Poland are +285 underdogs, with the Spread at 0.5 and the Total at 2.25

Sweden managed to bounce back to winning ways after a pretty bad qualifying round, they beat Ukraine by 3-1 on the road and are now playing this huge match at home. Their defense is struggling, keeping zero clean sheets in L/7, and their offense didn't score in 3 of 7, but since they changed their coach, they have scored in all 3 and are 3-0 to the Both Teams to Score. You might remember Mr Graham Potter from his short (and unsuccessful) stint at Chelsea, or further back when he coached a very potent Brighton side for many years. His teams usually create a ton of xG but are leaky at the back, so I do expect them to score against Poland here, but they might need to score twice in order to win this.

Poland are playing pretty decent soccer since they changed their coach, as he resolved some internal issues that have come up between star striker Lewandowski and the previous coach. Since then, Poland are 5-1 to the Both Teams to Score, with the only exception of a match against lowly Lithuania. Very much potential up front, but a defense that concedes goals against pretty much everyone, they even conceded two goals vs lowly Malta on the road.

These two last met in the exact same stage of the qualifiers of the previous World Cup, where Poland won by 2-0 at home and booked their ticket to Qatar. So the revenge game narrative is in effect here as well. This is a strange match, but I do think that Both Teams to Score is the play here.

The Play is Both Teams to Score (-105), line good to -115

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

We were on the Michigan Wolverines over the Tennessee Volunteers in the Elite Eight matchup this past Sunday and cashed the easy (95-62) winner for the free pick. Staying with them in this matchup against Arizona at a much shorter number. Granted, a step up in class against the similarly seeded #1 Wildcats makes for an epic matchup.

Michigan has been dominating their opponents, cruising to Indianapolis off four straight double digit wins, scoring 90 plus points in each. Arizona has also had fairly easy work with a bit more of a fight vs Purdue on Saturday to get here, down by seven points in the second half before coming back to secure their spot in the Final Four.

I think Michigan is able to win the rebounding battle and get enough second chance points. Plus, the Wolverines are hitting 77% of their free throws this calendar year. We get Dusty May with a few extra days to prepare making a coaching preparation edge on our side as well. For the Final Four Free bet- Bet Michigan.

Free Pick Recap: 1-0 (+1 unit)
Sunday- Michigan (-7) WINNER

🏀 5% NCAA FINAL FOUR "MAX LIMIT" 1st GM Illinois vs UConn $$ below....

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy
World Cup Qualifiers, Tuesday, 2:45pm ET

Play: Goal Scored - Between 76th minute and Full Time
Odds at Time of Release: +125 DraftKings
Line Parameter: Line good to +110

This is the last step before the World Cup, and Italy are looking to avoid another humiliation, as they were absent from the last two editions and are really eager to return. However, this is not an easy match, as they are playing away at Bosnia & Herzegovina here, and it's going to be a long night in Zenica.

Italy are HUGE -495 favourites to qualify, Bosnia & Herzegovina are +360 to qualify. As for regulation, Italy are -190 favourites on the road, the Draw is at +280 and Bosnia & Herzegovina are +610 underdogs at home, with the Spread at 1 and the Total at 2.25 goals.

Late Goals (past the 76th minute) in 5 of Bosnia & Herzegovina's L/6 competitive matches

Late Goals in each of Italy's L/7 competitive matches, all under coach Gattuso

If either team is leading towards the end of the match, the other team will surely open up in search of an equalizer, and this is a great recipe for late goals. And this is good value, since it also includes the stoppage time, which could be 5-10-15 minutes of extra playing time.

Find this Prop at DraftKings, under the Match Props tab, scroll down to find "Goal Scored in Interval" and pick "Goal Scored - Between 76th minute and Full Time" at +125

The Play is "Goal Scored - Between 76th minute and Full Time" (+125 DraftKings), line good to +110

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Dante Moore (Oregon) to win Heisman (10-1)

Moore threw for 3.565 and his 163.7 rating ranked #8.
He has a 30-10 TD-Int ratio with a 19-5 ratio Home and an 11-5 ratio Away.
This season they play only 4 road games, playing at Rutgers the week after hosting ULL, playing at Penn St after hosting Washington, and have a bye week before their last 2 road games at Wisconsin and at Indiana.

Hosting San Jose St, Fresno St, and ULL in non-conf action to start the season gives him an early season edge.

Moore was #in 4 in passing% (71.85%) and will be a contender if he cuts downs in Int's!

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago