Free Sports Predictions JUL 14: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

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The under is the preferred play on Tuesday as both teams are built around disciplined half-court execution rather than an up-tempo style. Washington has become one of the league's better defensive teams, using its length and athleticism to contest perimeter shots while forcing opponents into difficult late-clock possessions. The Mystics rank 4th in the league in both FG% (42.5) and 3P% (32.2), and 5th in points per game allowed (84.2). Toronto continues to lean heavily on Marina Mabrey for offensive production, and with Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice still sidelined, the Tempo lacks the secondary playmakers needed to consistently generate easy baskets. The Mystics have also done an excellent job controlling the glass, limiting second-chance opportunities, and keeping opponents from finding offensive rhythm. Indeed, Washington’s defense ranks 3rd in REB (31.5) and 2nd in DREB (22.9) per game. From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams with an average over/under margin of +5.5 or greater are 362-275-7 to the Under (56.8%) from Game 3 forward, including 197-141-4 UNDER (58.3%) since 2017. Since 2011, WNBA teams with an average halftime margin of fewer than three points are 244-185-10 to the Under (56.9%) versus opponents with fewer than three days of rest, provided one additional parameter is satisfied. Let’s also note that the Mystics are 115-78-1 to the Under (59.6%) following games in which they had eight or more offensive rebounds and are not underdogs by more than four points, including 19-9-1 UNDER (67.9%) since 2023. With both teams emphasizing defense and neither side possessing overwhelming offensive depth, long possessions should be the norm. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, July 13.

Results Matter
-> #1 Capper in '26 (WP): 188-135 | +82 Units
-> Torrid 60-40 (60%) Overall Run | +31 Units
-> #1 Basketball (WP/ROI) '25-26: 114-80 (59%)
-> 34 Football (NFL & NCAA) Awards Since 2007
-> NFL '21-'26: 102-72-3 (59%) | 5 Football Titles
-> Epic 125-77 (62%) MLB Run | 4 #1 MLB Titles

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on the draw.

If I was betting a side, I would take France, either to advance or on the draw no bet line. That said, Spain could cause some problems for France, and I will point out that 27 percent of all matches at the World Cup since 2006 have been a draw after 90 minutes of play. A match between the #1 ranked team versus the #3 ranked team might be even more likely to end in a draw. We saw both Quarterfinals go to extra time on Saturday.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

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Corners in H2H L/5 years: 10/10/12

Corner Kicks in France's matches so far: 10/14/10/9/6/10

Corner Kicks in France's Nations League knockouts: 15/16/10/12

Corner Kicks in Spain's matches so far: 6/10/9/7/7/12

Corners is a strange market and it all comes down to how these two will approach the game. If all their shots go in, we'll see very few corner kicks but if these two struggle to get a high-scoring game here, and I do expect a "tight" game, corner kicks could be in the double-digits.

The Over 9.5 Corners Line has been passed in each of L/3 H2H and in most of the matches these two played in the tournament, unless it was a against a bad opponent.

The Play is Over 9.5 Corner Kicks (-115), line good to -125

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Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago