Free Sports Predictions AUG 18: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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Tokyo Brandon is
+104.43 units in 2026
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RANKINGS | SP | TEAM | SP BB/K% | BATTING (30) | BULLPEN (30) | SP (30) |
Bryce Miller | SEA | 28.4% | 27.2 | 16.5 | 13.8 | |
Kyle Harrison | MIL | 25.9% | 25.5 | 4.3 | 12.7 |
F5 Under 4.5:
Kyle Harrison at home has been outstanding. He’s 6-1 with a 1.38 ERA in 52 home innings, with 70 strikeouts. That’s the biggest reason I like the under.
Seattle has been vulnerable to left-handed pitching. The Mariners have only a 91 wRC+ vs. LHP in 2026, sixth-worst in MLB. Harrison gets exactly the handedness matchup we want.
Harrison has legitimate swing-and-miss stuff: 114 K in 93⅓ innings, with a 3.35 FIP supporting his season performance rather than it being purely ERA luck.
Seattle's lineup is also missing some depth. J.P. Crawford is on the IL, while Taylor Ward and Victor Robles are listed day-to-day.
The market already expects a fairly low-scoring game. The full-game total is only 7.5, so getting 4.5 runs of protection through five innings is attractive.
Bryce Miller's full-season numbers are good: 3.39 ERA, 0.99 WHIP, and only 16 walks listed entering this start. Low traffic is especially valuable for an F5 under because one bad inning is the primary threat.
Milwaukee isn't completely healthy either. Sal Frelick is on the IL and Brice Turang is listed day-to-day, which potentially removes/limits two important offensive pieces.
Miller has previously handled Milwaukee: his only prior start against the Brewers was 7 scoreless innings with 7 K in 2024. I wouldn't weight an old one-game sample heavily, but it's at least supportive rather than concerning.
4.5 is an excellent F5 number. Scores such as 2-2, 3-1, 2-1, 1-1 all cash. You're effectively asking these starters to avoid a five-run explosion rather than needing a truly dominant 0-0/1-0 type game.
The concern
It's Miller's recent form. Over his previous six starts he has a 6.12 ERA and 5.65 FIP in 32⅓ innings, and Seattle lost all six. That's significant enough that I wouldn't treat this as an automatic max play.
Harrison also got crushed for 8 runs in 4⅔ innings at San Diego last time out, although that came on the road and contrasts sharply with his dominant home numbers.
My projection
F5 score: Brewers 2 – Mariners 1
Projected F5 total: ~3.3–3.5 runs
I'd put Under 4.5 around 61–63% before seeing your exact price.
That translates roughly to fair odds of -156 to -170.
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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San Diego owns a 72 wRC+ (28% below the league average) against lefties on the road over the last two weeks.
New York owns a 37 wRC+ (63% below the league average) against lefties at home over the last two weeks.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:
Play UNDER on all teams where the total is 8 to 9.5 if they're averaging 4 to 4.5 runs/game and coming off two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs, and facing an NL starter with an ERA no higher than 3.70.
Applies to both San Diego and New York.
57-34 (63%) since 2022.
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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969 Detroit at Pittsburgh
Both bullpens are in questionable shape in this one, which could be a tough go in the late innings keeping this total below a very attainable number. The Pirates offense sees the return of Oneil Cruz, who has missed a large chunk of the season. He was having a breakout year before his injury, and he bolsters a pretty solid Pirates lineup.
We like both these starting pitchers, but when Ashcraft takes the mound he gets a great deal of run support. We expected this line to be 8 1/2, and we are actually seeing some 7 1/2's out there with fair juice.
PLAY OVER
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Oskeim Sports
Major League Baseball
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The Rays have the edge on Tuesday behind Nick Martinez, who enters 12-3 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.09 WHIP and has won each of his last five starts against losing AL East opponents. Tampa Bay also has the superior offensive profile, ranking first in baseball with a .261 batting average and producing 566 runs, compared with only 492 for Toronto. The Blue Jays have been one of the league's weaker offensive clubs overall, carrying a .242 average and a .304 on-base percentage while ranking last in RBIs. Junior Caminero gives Tampa Bay legitimate game-changing power with 35 home runs and 79 RBIs, and the Rays continue to generate consistent traffic throughout a deep lineup. Jose Soriano has pitched well recently, but his 1.25 WHIP is considerably higher than Martinez's 1.09 mark, which could become important against a Rays lineup built around contact and putting runners on base. Tampa Bay also has a substantial home-field advantage, going 42-21 at home compared with Toronto's 28-32 road record. The head-to-head situational numbers reinforce that edge, as the Rays have won 10 consecutive home games against Toronto after a win, while the Blue Jays have lost eight straight road games against Tampa Bay following a loss.
The Rays are 405-267 (60.3%; +6.2% ROI) in home affairs with totals of fewer than nine runs, 445-311 (58.9%; +5.9% ROI) following a win, and 148-102 (59.2%; +1.7% ROI) at home in series openers following a straight-up win, including 62-39 (61.4%; +2.8% ROI) since 2018, winning by an average margin of 1.1 runs per game. Finally, the Rays are looking to avenge a 3-1 loss to Toronto last month, which is significant because .551 or greater division home favorites with revenge are 373-216 (63.3%; +2.9% ROI) in the opening game of a series, including 123-62 (66.5%; +6.4% ROI) since 2019, winning by an average of 1.3 runs per game. With Martinez on the mound, the better offense, and a strong historical home-field edge in this matchup, take the Tampa Bay Rays as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, August 18.
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Oskeim Sports
Major League Baseball
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The Brewers are in an excellent position to continue their strong season Tuesday, especially at American Family Field, where they own an impressive 41-22 record. Kyle Harrison gives Milwaukee a significant advantage on the mound, entering with a 9-3 record and posting a dominant 1.38 ERA with a 6-1 record at home.
Kyle Harrison’s 2026 Metrics
• 3.47 ERA, 3.23 xERA, 3.35 FIP, 3.10 xFIP, and 3.10 SIERA
• 10.99 K/9 and 29.7% K%
Harrison has also earned a victory in five of his last six home appearances while recording seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six starts as a home favorite. That creates an especially difficult matchup for a Seattle offense that ranks last in MLB in runs scored and has averaged just 1.5 runs per game against left-handed pitching over its last 10. Bryce Miller's overall 3.39 ERA looks solid, but his recent form is concerning, as he has surrendered at least four runs in three of his last four starts and owns a 4.47 ERA on the road. Milwaukee's patient approach should also create problems for Miller, as the Brewers rank second in walks and post a strong .335 on-base percentage. Jackson Chourio provides additional offensive upside, having homered in three of his last four home games while recording at least one hit in nine consecutive appearances against AL West opponents.
The situational numbers also support Milwaukee, with Seattle losing eight of its last nine games after a road victory and trailing after five innings in 11 consecutive road games against National League opponents. Since 2003, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1288-689 (65.1%; +2.9% ROI) versus opposing starters whose ERA is 3.50 or better in May-August affairs. Finally, Seattle arrives off back-to-back wins over the Astros, but MLB road underdogs coming off two or more consecutive wins are just 1989-2897 (40.7%; -3.9% ROI) since 2008. With Harrison's dominance at home, Seattle's struggles against left-handed pitching, and the Brewers' superior lineup and home-field performance, take the Milwaukee Brewers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, August 18.
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Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(965) Los Angeles Angels at (966) Houston Astros: Total
First Inning Over 0.5 (-130) George Klassen (RHP), Cristian Javier (RHP) Must Start
Klassen has a 5.52 ERA, and he has one YRFI in 4 starts.
Javier has a 6.68 ERA
The Angels are 8-8 YRFI in their L16 road games
Houston is 4-0 YRFI with 6 YRFI in their L8 games
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Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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GOOD TO 165
LISTED STARTERS
KENT/ QUANTRILL
We are near the top of our juice limit here laying this number and thus we make it a small play. The Rangers are one of 7 teams looking for a wildcard spot and every game is important. They face lefty Jackson Kent tonight and this is only his second start of his MLB career. The first one was not that good and we do not see things getting better for Jackson now that he hits the road. Rangers sit 6TH in MLB against LH pitching and they should be able to put up runs tonight. Texas will send Cal Quantrill to the hill and Cal can be any type. However, he has pitched well when the Rangers have needed him the most. In August, he is sporting 1.50 ERA with a WHIP of 1 in 3 August starts. We will look for another quality August start from Cal tonight.
..........................
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Jesse Schule
College Football
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This is a free play on CAL.
The Bruins made a splashy hire bringing in Bob Chesney as their new head coach. The last coach that left James Madison for the BIG10 ended up winning the National Championship in Year 2 at Indiana. Nobody should be expecting the same from Chesney. I like the hire, and I think the Bruins future looks bright, but Week 1 on the road against a team with a better quarterback and a defense that was far superior a year ago, I think the Bruins are the clear underdog.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Brewers own the best record in baseball and after taking a series from the Dodgers in LA over the weekend, return home to welcome in Seattle for a 3 game set. Milwaukee is top 5 in runs scored this season and has an elite pitching staff, with one of those members being Kyle Harrison, who finds himself in a bounce back spot here. Nonetheless, Harrison has been charged with 3 earned or less 18 of his 19 starts and the Brewers have a top 4 bullpen waiting behind him. Bryce Miller has given up 5 and 4 earned over his past 2 starts and we’ll look for the Brew Crew to continue winning. Take the Brewers -1
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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While these teams split yesterday's double-header, the Cardinals are 4-1 their past five while the Reds are 1-4. Kyle Leahy has been pitching really well for some time now. He's 5-1 with a 1.76 ERA dating back to late June. The same cannot be said of Andrew Abbott. He's 1-3 with a 4.74 ERA his past seven starts. On the season, he's got a 4.97 ERA at home. The Cards have had success against southpaws while the Reds have struggled in division games all season. Let's go with St. Louis
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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FREE PICK on Washington Nationals/Texas Rangers (OVER) | Good until 8.5, -115.
Pitching Matchup: Jackson Kent/Cal Quantrill (Action).
Jackson Kent starts for Washington for just the second time on Tuesday night. He went four innings in his debut, but allowed three runs in that span. Kent really had trouble, allowing five walks in those four innings. Texas will counter with Cal Quantrill. He's been great so far in August, but has shown some weakness at home at times. Both teams can put up runs in a hurry against mistakes. Go with the OVER.
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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In the grab-bag AL wild card race, even getting swept on the weekend by the Chisox didn’t knock the Tigers out of playoff contention. Hardly; after winning 8-5 last night in Pittsburgh, Detroit is back into a flat-footed tie with the Orioles and Rangers for the last AL wild card slot.
The curious tale of tonight’s game at PNC Park is if Pirates starter Braxton Ashcraft is due for another dose of uncommon run support; at 7.73 runs per 9-inning game while he was the pitcher of record, Ashcraft is the best-supported pitcher in the NL. Detroit starter Keider Montero, however, has been rather sharp lately, with a 2.45 ERA in three August starts; is he really liable to get pounded by the Bucs’ bats? Play Tigers on Money Line
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Backing Braxton Ashcraft and the Pirates in PNC Park on Tuesday. Ashcroft has been money, cashing 11 of his last 14 decisions and has an impressive 155 to 33 strikeout to walk ratio. I think he has another really good shot to cash another ticket against the Tigers today. Plus, the Pirates have crushed righties and are facing one with Tigers starter Montero in today's matchup. This bet just missed the three play Tuesday client card. For today's free pick- Bet Pirates.
14-4 (78%) Tuesday run (+23% PROFIT).
9-4 (69%) as part of going 42-23 (65%) overall (+43% PROFIT).
81-52 (61%) Overall L 3 months (+85% PROFIT).
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CASHING TICKETS on a 14-4 (78%) Tuesday run (+23% PROFIT). ^ ONLY $5 TODAY ^ MONEY! 9-4 (69%) as part of going 42-23 overall (+43% PROFIT) $$$ 81-52 (61%) Overall L 3 months (+85% PROFIT). This is a premium client BIG BET package DISCOUNTED to only $5, normally $25= TAKE ADVANTAGE! Jam packed with detailed written analysis inside. Cash in!
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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San Diego starter Robbie Ray projects to give up 2.3 runs with a 3.37 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. New York’s lineup has hit just .190 (16-84) with a weak .625 WHIP against Ray in his career. The Mets will start Zac Thornton. The lefty projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.75 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. With the starting pitching clearly in San Diego’s favor, look for the Padres to get a solid road win in this game on Tuesday night.
Play PADRES (-).
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
The Gold Sheet
NFL Football
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Over the last ten seasons, the Jets have averaged 4.9 wins per year and they have only gone over this 5.5 win total three times. You can point to injuries and in-season trades as a big reason why last season was a failure, but we now have a ten-year sample size of this being one of the worst organizations in the NFL. Geno Smith was brought back to the franchise after a disastrous run in Las Vegas with the Raiders, but we're struggling to see the upside. The Athletic just released a comprehensive QB ranking that was voted on by coaches and front office personnel. Smith was voted as the 30th-best quarterback heading into the 2026 season. One defensive coordinator was quoted as saying, "He looked terrible on the film we saw." Another defensive coach put more blame on the Raiders' system around him, saying "Once you get hit and keep getting hit and hit and hit, how good are you going to be? They had no identity on offense. Geno got a bad rap. He was getting murdered out there." That's fair, but why is there any reason to believe things are going to be any better with this team? Head coach Aaron Glenn was retained, but nearly every assistant coaching position was flipped after last year’s 3-14 campaign. Frank Reich has been brought in to lead the offense, but Reich hasn't coached in the NFL since 2023 when he went 1-10 with the Carolina Panthers. Bill Musgrave was hired as the quarterbacks coach. Musgrave was the Browns' QB coach last season and Cleveland had arguably the worst offense in the NFL. We're really struggling to see how the Jets are going to double their win total from three to six this season. It's not like this team was knocking on the doorstep and suffered a couple heartbreaking losses along the way. They finished with a -203 point differential, allowed the second-most points in the league and suffered eight double-digit losses. When the NFL schedule was released, DraftKings released opening point spreads on every game for every team for the upcoming season. The Jets are not projected to be favored by more than a field goal in any game this season, and only five games have a point spread between -2.5 and +2.5. So in order to eclipse this win total, the Jets would have to go 5-0 in those toss-up games (vs Cleveland, Las Vegas, Arizona and Miami x2) and still would need to pull another upset along the way. We don't see that happening.
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Jesse Schule
College Football
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This is a free play on the Memphis Tigers.
The Rebels are the team with all the hype, and I hear fans glowing about head coach Dan Mullen. The coach on the other side has the more impressive resume, at least in recent seasons. Charles Huff won a conference championship with Marshall, then took over a Southern Miss team coming off a 1-11 season, and won seven of nine games to start last season. With 13 defensive players coming with him from Southern Miss, Huff's defense should be in good shape. I am not sold on the Rebels quarterback situation with Jackson Arnold and Alex Orgi. We will put this on our wait list, hope the line gets bet up to -7 and take the points when it does.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Released/revised 4 day(s) ago
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$5 BEAST of the EAST - #1 With ML Sides Since 2022!
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When it comes to baseball, Jesse Schule has delivered the goods consistently over the past 4 seasons! He finished #3 in profit last season (+58 Units) on 61% winners. He's the #1 PROFIT capper with +142 UNITS of profit with moneyline plays since 2022!Top 3 MLB Profit in 2025Top 3 MLB Profit since 2024Top 3 MLB Profit since 2023Top 3 MLB Profit ...
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IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN PERFECT!!!Jesse Schule swept the board in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season, and that followed a PERFECT 6-0 pre-season! Last season ended just like it started, cashing in 70% of his plays in the NFL PLAYOFFS! He ranks #1 on this site with +45 UNITS of PROFIT in the NFL Playoffs the last 2 seasons!
Jesse Schule
College Football
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This is a free play on NC State.
The Cavs won 11 games last year, and I was on the right sight of several of those wins. I do expect regression, coming off a season where everything went their way. They won three games in overtime. I am not a big fan of transfer quarterback Beau Pribula, and while he is playing his first game with new receivers in a new system on a new team, CJ Bailey is in his third season under Dave Doeren. I'll take the points.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Released/revised 5 day(s) ago
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$5 BEAST of the EAST - #1 With ML Sides Since 2022!
Was $25.00 Now $5.00
When it comes to baseball, Jesse Schule has delivered the goods consistently over the past 4 seasons! He finished #3 in profit last season (+58 Units) on 61% winners. He's the #1 PROFIT capper with +142 UNITS of profit with moneyline plays since 2022!Top 3 MLB Profit in 2025Top 3 MLB Profit since 2024Top 3 MLB Profit since 2023Top 3 MLB Profit ...
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IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN PERFECT!!!Jesse Schule swept the board in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season, and that followed a PERFECT 6-0 pre-season! Last season ended just like it started, cashing in 70% of his plays in the NFL PLAYOFFS! He ranks #1 on this site with +45 UNITS of PROFIT in the NFL Playoffs the last 2 seasons!ACT NOW - Get the e ...
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IT DOESN'T GET ANY BETTER THAN PERFECT!!!Jesse Schule swept the board in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL season, and that followed a PERFECT 6-0 pre-season! Last season ended just like it started, cashing in 70% of his plays in the NFL PLAYOFFS! He ranks #1 on this site with +45 UNITS of PROFIT in the NFL Playoffs the last 2 seasons!
