Free Sports Predictions MAY 13: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Short-turnaround situations often benefit the hitter, and the Yankees and O's have become quite familiar with one another over the last week. This will be the sixth game between Baltimore and New York since May 1, and Yankees' first baseman Ben Rice has enjoyed this run of games against the O's. Rice has gone 8-for-18 with two home runs, six RBI and five runs scored in the first five games of this AL East series. Rice enters Wednesday in the top-5th percentile among hitters in expected batting average, expected slugging percentage, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate. Kyle Bradish will be getting the nod for Baltimore after allowing five runs on six hits with four walks in 4.0 innings against the Yankees last week in the Bronx. Rice is 4-for-8 against Bradish with a home run in prior meetings. Rice also has a pretty good track record against the Orioles' bullpen in the past with home runs against Keegan Akin and Rico Garcia.
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Off a Tuesday loss with the Timberwolves, The GoldSheet will respond with a victory on Wednesday. The TGS team is 8-1 their last nine NBA sides, 2-0 in the Det/Clev series. Home court has been key through the first four games. Does that trend continue in Game 5? The TGS crew KNOWS. You can too, if you join them. Let's do this! Club-70 selectio ...
Andy Lang
Major League Baseball
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This is a strong early pitching edge for Arizona.
Ryne Nelson had a rough patch late in April, but he’s looked like a completely different pitcher to start May. Over his last two starts, he’s allowed just 6 hits and 2 earned runs across 12.1 innings, showing much better command and confidence.
On the other side, Kumar Rocker has been getting hit hard lately. In his last two outings, he’s given up 11 hits and 8 earned runs in only 5.2 innings. That’s exactly the kind of form you want to fade in a First 5 spot.
Arizona’s offense is also still producing. Even though they didn’t cash the First 5 yesterday, they still scored 4 runs in the game and had won the First 5 outright in the previous three contests.
With the hotter starter and an offense creating early chances, Arizona has the edge through five innings.
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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924 Detroit at NY Mets
The Tigers offense has produced pretty well on the season. But this matchup may be a tough one for Detroit. This is a very pitcher friendly stadium, and Christian Scott has a very bright future. Only Riley Greene is listed as one of the Top 100 hitters in baseball over the past week.
As poor as the Mets have hit this season, we are seeing signs of a breakout. In the last week Benge and Semien seem to be breaking out of season long slumps, with both ranking in the Top 100 the last seven days. AJ Ewing was promoted yesterday, and he was a key reason for the team's success yesterday. We are very excited to see how he improves this Met's scoring unit with his great speed and hitting ability. Cheap number on a team we expect to get hot in a hurry.
PLAY NY METS
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Tokyo Brandon
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SFG @ LAD — 5/13/2026
Current matchup: SFG 17-24, 7-12 away; LAD 24-17, 13-9 home. Probable starters: Robbie Ray, 3-4, 2.76 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 47 K; Shohei Ohtani, 2-2, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 37.0 IP, 42 K. Current market range used: SFG +199 to +235, LAD -240 to -312, full-game total 8.0 to 8.5. Consensus value table uses SFG +215, LAD -270, full-game total 8.0.
Team baseline is heavily LAD: SFG has scored 139 runs with a .244 AVG, .292 OBP, .364 SLG, and 3.4 runs/game; LAD has scored 206 runs with a .265 AVG, .344 OBP, .434 SLG, and 5.02 runs/game. SFG staff profile is 4.03 ERA / 1.34 WHIP; LAD staff profile is 3.42 ERA / 1.139 WHIP.
Lineup basis: SFG — Willy Adames, Luis Arraez, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Casey Schmitt, Heliot Ramos, Jung Hoo Lee, Harrison Bader, Jesus Rodriguez. LAD — Dalton Rushing, Miguel Rojas, Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, Andy Pages, Kyle Tucker, Teoscar Hernández, Max Muncy, Santiago Espinal. Mookie Betts is not expected to start, and Ohtani may not hit while pitching; that creates a material LAD lineup deduction even with Ohtani’s pitching edge.
Ray’s recent form is steady but walk-prone. His May starts total 12 1/3 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 3 HR, 4 BB, 12 K; his full 2026 game log shows 5+ IP in every start and no outing above 3 ER. His road profile is weaker than the season line: 4.15 ERA in 17 1/3 road innings, with the team losing all three of his road starts.
Ohtani is the main suppressor. He has 6 starts, 37.0 IP, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 42 K, and only 4 ER allowed. His home split: 18 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 8 BB, 1.00 ERA. His prior start was 7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K.
Batter-vs-pitcher edge is mixed. Dodgers with strong historical samples vs Ray include Miguel Rojas, Enrique Hernández if active, and Freddie Freeman; Will Smith and Max Muncy have weaker samples. Ohtani’s pitching history vs SFG is excellent at 0.43 ERA and 25 K in 4 appearances, but most of that is older than the core modeling window, so it was used lightly.
Weather/park: Dodger Stadium is outdoor, with game weather around 63-64°F, 0% precipitation, and light wind. The park/weather adjustment is slight-over for wind but still modest overall because temperature is not especially hot.
Starting Pitcher Projection
Starting pitcher | Team | Projected IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Robbie Ray | SFG | 5 2/3 | 2.4 | 5.2 | 5.8 | 2.7 |
Shohei Ohtani | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.4 | 4.0 | 7.2 | 1.9 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
LAD | 6 | .895 |
SFG | 26 | .641 |
Boxscore projection | SFG | LAD |
|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 1.2 | 2.2 |
Full game | 3.0 | 4.5 |
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Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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GOOD TO 150 2% UP TO 160
LISTED STARTERS
RAY/ OHTANI
We played Ohtani last game for the first 5 RL and the Dodgers didnt score and he gave up a couple of solo HR's. Today we come right back with Ohtani to win the F5 on the RL. The Dodgers are in freefall and Ohtani is here to save the day and right the ship. The Dodgers are one of the best teams against LH pitchers in MLB. They have had Robbie's number throughout the years. In fact, in Ray's last 3 starts against the Dodgers he has allowed 12 runs over 14 2 /3 RD innings. Ohtani has already beat the Giants this year with 6 scoreless innings. We just need 5 today and we will have a first 5 winner with the Dodgers showing some pride and scoring early.
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Carmine Bianco
NHL Hockey
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NHL - Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche
Game Thoughts: Game 5 of the Central Division Finals and the Avs could close it out tonight. We'll look at the first period total here. This prop has hit in 3 of 4 games and is 2-0 in games played in Colorado. Both teams are creating plenty of xG, scoring chances and high danger opportunities thus far.
The play is Over 1.5 -138 First Period Total
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Carmine Bianco
France Ligue 1
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Ligue 1 - Paris Saint Germain at Lens
Game Thoughts: With two games left in the Ligue 1 season and a 6 point lead over Lens it's another league title for PSG here unless the unlikely happens and the home side is able to win by 7 clear goals to flip the goal differential. Even that as unlikely as it is, wouldn't be enough with any points on the weekend by PSG securing the title. This one should be an open fixture with Lens locked into 2nd place and looking to give their fans one last entertaining game. They have the leagues best home record at 14-0-2. We'll look for goals early in this one.
The play is Over 1.5 +100 First Half Total
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WEDNESDAY NHL DIVISIONAL FINALS BEST BET +25.22 Units in Playoffs: $25.00
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Carmine Bianco
Major League Soccer
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MLS - Columbus Crew at New York Red Bulls
Game Thoughts: A few dynamics in place for making this a solid play. Both sides are struggling defensively over the past couple of weeks but possess attacking and scoring units. Only 2 of NYRB's 7 home games have failed to see both teams score while it's the same 2 in 7 number for the Crew away from home. This should be a good midweek game with scoring from both sides to get us over the number as well.
The play is Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 -145
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WEDNESDAY NHL DIVISIONAL FINALS BEST BET +25.22 Units in Playoffs: $25.00
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WEDNESDAY EUROPEAN DOMESTIC LEAGUE GOALAZZO: $25.00
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Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(907) San Diego Padres at (908) Milwaukee Brewers: Total
3% First Inning Under 0.5 (-130) Michael King (RHP), Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) Must Start
Today is the first day I have ever had three first-inning client plays in a day.
San Diego is 4-0 NRFI
The Padres have played 18 road games, scoring a first-inning run only twice
Milwaukee failed to score a first-inning run in 4 straight and only twice in their L14 road games
King has a 2.76 ERA, and he is 8-0 NRFI
Misiorowski has a 2.45 ERA and is 3-0 & 6-2 NRFI
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THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Wednesday, May 13The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators incl ...
Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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Cleveland evened its second-round series against the Pistons with a 112-103 victory Monday night. Donovan Mitchell tied an NBA playoff record with 39 points in the second half, while James Harden had his 40th playoff double-double with 24 points and 11 assists. Detroit has now lost two straight, but .551 or greater NBA teams with rest coming off back-to-back losses are 691-551-20 ATS (55.6%), including 168-120-3 ATS (58.3%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.5 points per game. These teams have been 286-216-7 ATS (57%) in the postseason, including 133-87-1 ATS (60.5%) since 2016, covering by an average of 4.1 points per game. In contrast, NBA playoff underdogs entering off consecutive wins are 229-300-8 ATS (43.3%) since 1996. Let’s also note that NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss, like Detroit, are 351-275-8 ATS (56.1%), including 397-315-11 ATS (55.8%) in Game 2 or beyond of a series. Finally, postseason favorites of fewer than two points are 132-171-1 ATS (43.6%) in a tied series, while Round 2 home teams are 37-21 ATS (63.8%) following a Round 2 loss, covering by an average of 6.3 points per game. Lay the points with the Detroit Pistons as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, May 13.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Dominant 10-1 Overall Run
-> 140-93 (60.1%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> Basketball: 105-71 (60%) | +86.2 Units
-> #1 NBA, 2025-26 Season (WP/ROI)
-> #1 NHL, 2025-26 Season (WP)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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Oskeim Sports
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Zach Benson broke a tie with a third-period power-play goal as the Sabres beat Montreal 3-2 on Tuesday night in Game 4, evening the Eastern Conference semifinal series. The Canadiens are primed to bounce back in Game 5 as NHL playoff teams coming off an upset loss as home favorites are 276-217 (56%; +5.1% ROI), including 109-71 (60.6%; +9% ROI) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Montreal finds support in a similar 207-157 (56.9%; +2.3% ROI) system dating to 2007 that invests against certain postseason teams coming off a game as road underdogs with fewer than two days of rest. Let’s also note that NHL playoff division road underdogs coming off a loss are 57-43 (57%; +37.1% ROI) versus opponents entering off a win, including 28-16 SU (63.6%; +55.9% ROI) and 34-10 PL (77.3%; +17.4% ROI) since 2019. Since 2015, .500 or greater NHL road teams are 71-54 (56.8%; +30.8% ROI) in Game 5 of a playoff series, including 47-33 (58.8%; +30.6% ROI) since 2019. Finally, the Canadiens fall into a very good 244-142 (63.2%; +15.3% ROI) statistical profile indicator of mine that dates to 2003 and involves shots on goal in the team's previous two playoff games. This situation has been 117-63 (65%; +15.7% ROI) since 2016. Take the Montreal Canadiens as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, May 14.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Dominant 10-1 Overall Run
-> 140-93 (60.1%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> Basketball: 105-71 (60%) | +86.2 Units
-> #1 NBA, 2025-26 Season (WP/ROI)
-> #1 NHL, 2025-26 Season (WP)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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NBA TOTAL OF WEEK | EPIC 10-1 RUN | 140-93 OVERALL RUN; +95 UNITS | HOOPS: 105-71; +86 UNITS | #1 NBA (25-26): WP/ROI: $25.00
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Braves have been fantastic at the plate this season, but their winning streak comes to an end today for a variety of reasons. The first is the pitcher they’re sending to the mound. JR Ritchie simple cannot throw strikes. He walked 6 batters last time out against Seattle and the Mariners had multiple opportunities to do more damage than they did. Chicago will capitalize off of those. It’s not just the free passes either, as constantly working as of 2-0 and 3-1 counts will come back to hurt you at this level, as the young rookie will soon find out. The North Side also has Shota Imanaga throwing, and he’s allowed a total of just 1 run over his past 2 starts with 15 K’s spanning 13 innings. Imanaga has now allowed 1 run or none in 6 of his past 7 starts and he has a solid bullpen working behind him. Take the Cubs.
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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The Dodgers have stopped cold in the past week and look an especially risky investment at the moment, even when Shohei Ohtani is on the mound. Dave Roberts didn’t even use Ohtani as a batter the last time he pitched, but likely changes suit tonight at the Ravine as the Blue offense has scored all of two runs across Shohei’s last three starts, losing each.
Meanwhile, the Giants are suddenly revived and on the verge of a potential season-altering sweep, and Wednesday starter Robbie Ray (2.76 ERA) is giving SF a chance every time he steps on the mound. Play Giants on Money Line
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BRUCE BIG WEDNESDAY HOT COMBO NBA-NHL BIG 3-PACK!!: $29.00
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Catching the Cubs with Shota Imanaga on the bump for Wednesday's free pick. The 32 year old Japanese born southpaw has been great, going (4-1) over his last 5 outings and racked up 10 strikeouts his last time out. The Braves rookie starter has issued 10 walks over his last two starts and now faces the toughest lineup he has seen. Cubs are the free bet for Wednesday.
4% WEDNESDAY MLB BEST BET ⚾️💵
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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==========
LAA @ CLE — 5/13/2026
Scope: LAA at CLE, Reid Detmers vs. Parker Messick
Current matchup inputs favor Cleveland: LAA enters 16-26 and 8-16 away; CLE enters 22-21 and 11-9 home. The probable starters are Detmers: 1-3, 4.33 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 43.2 IP, 47 K; Messick: 4-1, 2.30 ERA, 0.98 WHIP, 47.0 IP, 51 K. Team context is close offensively but not pitching-wise: LAA .233/.321/.387 with 179 runs and 4.63 team ERA; CLE .229/.323/.367 with 180 runs and 3.89 team ERA.
Messick has not faced LAA previously, so direct batter-vs-pitcher data carries no usable sample there. Detmers’ recent form is weaker than season baseline: last five starts average 5.2 IP, 5.02 ERA, 1.0 BB, 6.2 K, and 0.6 HR allowed per start. Messick’s last five average 6.0 IP, 2.97 ERA, 1.4 BB, 6.6 K, and 0.6 HR allowed per start.
Lineup basis: LAA projected/most recent order is Neto, Trout, Grissom, Soler, Adell, Schanuel, Peraza, Rivero, Teodosio. CLE projected/most recent order is Kwan, DeLauter, Ramírez, Hoskins, Manzardo, Fry, Schneemann, Bazzana, Rocchio.
Weather/park adjustment: Progressive Field is outdoor, current Cleveland conditions show cloudy/showery weather in the upper-50s to low-60s. That slightly trims carry but can add bullpen volatility if grip/command gets loose.
Projected score: CLE 4.4, LAA 3.2
Projected total: 7.6
Starting pitcher | Team | Projected IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Reid Detmers | LAA | 5 1/3 | 2.7 | 5.8 | 5.4 | 2.1 |
Parker Messick | CLE | 5 2/3 | 1.8 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.8 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
LAA | 14 | .748 |
CLE | 17 | .721 |
Rank snapshot
Category | LAA rank | CLE rank |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP, 14+ IP, scaled 1-30 | 20 | 6 |
Bullpen last 10 days — ERA + WHIP combined | 22 | 14 |
Lineup run production last 10 days — runs scored + wOBA | 23 | 11 |
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Andy Lang
Golf
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Fowler is playing his best golf in a long time, and this number feels too low for his current form.
He’s finished Top 10 in each of his last three tournaments, showing that every part of his game is trending in the right direction.
The advanced stats back it up too—over the last 30 days, he ranks 5th in this field in total strokes gained. That’s elite territory for a Top 40 ticket.
The putter has especially been on fire, and when Fowler gains strokes on the greens, he becomes very dangerous. While he’s not one of the longest hitters in the field, this course doesn’t demand overwhelming distance. Accuracy and smart course management matter more.
If he keeps hitting fairways, giving himself birdie looks, and rolling the putter the way he has recently, he should comfortably stay inside the Top 40.
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Teddy Covers
Major League Baseball
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Take Tampa Bay (#915) (action)
No team in baseball has been hotter than the Rays, now 22-7 in their last 29 contests while dominating the injury riddled, underachieving, sub .500 Blue Jays. Seeing Tampa at this plus price is all about Dylan Cease on the hill for Toronto; coming off back-2-back gems in his last two trips to the hill. That said, the Jays are a modest 4-3 with Cease on the hill since April 1st and current Rays have hit .310 against him in their careers, with an .868 OPS. Only one of these two lineups is hitting consistently; only one of these two bullpens is trustworthy. ‘Action’ wager here – we’ll be getting the best of the number if Cease gets scratched for any reason. Take the Rays.
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Ben Burns
WNBA Basketball
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The Toronto Tempo likely won't win many games this season. However, this should be a good spot to earn their first. The Storm did beat Connecticut last game but the Sun are rebuilding this season. The Storm had a major roster overhaul themselves and are also rebuilding. They're transitioning away from the previous core, trading away veterans and going with a youth movement. They've got a new coach and are more focused on long-term development than "winning now." While the same could be said of the Tempo, Canada's first ever team definitely want to earn "Win #1." With the home crowd behind them, I like their chances of getting it. *good at -4 or better
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