Free Sports Predictions DEC 17: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Pavlos Laguretos
UEFA
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Dynamo Kyiv vs Noah
Conference League, Thursday, 3pm ET
Play: Noah +0.25
Odds at Time of Release: -110
Line Parameter: Line good to -125, otherwise take Noah PK
Dynamo Kyiv have already been eliminated, with just 3 points after 5 matches (W1 D0 L4), and they are also having a bad season in their domestic league as well, as they are sitting 4th and outside of the top-3 spots that grant European tickets for next season. And this is a team that has been one of the two best teams out of Ukraine in recent years, along with Shakhtar Donetsk, with the two teams having won every title since 1998, and Dynamo Kyiv winning 11 of those titles.
Bad season, and they are going into the winter break after this match, so they might look for a consolation win (and some money that come with it) in this last match day at home, which is not actually home, but in Lublin, Poland.
Noah are very much interested here, they are sitting 17th with 8 points and even a draw could be enough to see them through. Although a win would take them to 11 points and they might even climb inside the top-8 and avoid an extra playoff round, so Noah are heavily interested in some points here. They have been really hard to beat on the road lately (W2 D6 L1 in L/9 away matches in all competitions), and their domestic league also goes into the winter break, so they will play their best eleven here.
Books still see the indifferent Dynamo Kyiv as the favourites here, they are +110 favourites to win, the Draw at +225 and Noah (who are actively looking for at least a draw, preferably a win) are at +210. Very tempted by that +210, but the spread is even better, as we also get paid in the event of a draw. The only caveat is that Dynamo Kyiv have a ton of experience in European competitions as a club, while Noah have been complete nobodies until last season. But things change, old teams are not that good anymore and newer teams are more flexible. Knowing fully well of the risk here, we ride with the motive.
Take 2% on Noah +0.25 (-110), line good to -125, otherwise take Noah PK
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Ben Burns
College Basketball
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Xavier comes in as the hotter team. However, this is the start of Big East play for both teams. The slate is wiped clean, to a certain extent. Given a “fresh start,” I like the Bluejays' chances of scoring the upset. Keep in mind that Creighton entered the season with the much higher ranking, projected to finish ahead of Xavier in the Big East standings. Dating back to last December, the Bluejays are 3-0 SU when off back-to-back defeats. They won those games by an average of more than nine points. Off consecutive losses, look for McDermott to have his team ready to go.
All-Time College Basketball Champion Ben Burns is 19-3 his last 22 CBB selections
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CURE BOWL (4%) BEST BET **100% IN DEC: $25.00
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Drew Martin
College Basketball
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Getting down on this Wednesday night game in the early Tuesday overnight betting markets. Jumping on Vanderbilt at the modest price against Memphis. Game is set to tipoff at 4pm PT nationally televised on ESPN2.
Very quietly Vandy is sporting a clean (10-0) record on the season. Head coach Mark Byington is following up his tournament showing last year in his 1st year as head coach nicely. One of the most effiecnt offenses in the country, averaging over 890 points a game to this point in the season. This is an easy trip to the Fed Ex Forum in Memphis, TN to face a really down Memphis squad. The Tigers are just (4-5) and have really struggled in the rebounding category. Sizeable free throw edge points to Vanderbilt if it does become a free throw fest.
This play just missed the Wednesday client card. For Wednesday's free pick- Bet Vanderbilt.
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Jimmy Adams
College Football
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Bryan Power
College Football
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3% Old Dominion (5:00 ET): Talked about this game Tuesday on WagerTalk Today as USF is a team I am most definitely looking to FADE this bowl season. This is a program in transition as it is going through a coaching change. Alex Golesh is off to Auburn. He’s being replaced by Brian Hartline, the offensive coordinator for Ohio State. New players and a whole new staff will be heading to Tampa. So the existing group is probably wondering about its future right now. On top of that, even the USF seniors can’t be too excited about this final game. This is a team that had College Football Playoff aspirations less than a month ago. Now, they find themselves playing in one of the very first bowls. It’s not even a destination for the players as the Cure Bowl takes place in Orlando. So I just don’t think we get a very solid effort out of the Bulls.
Keep in mind I felt this way before the key opt-out was announced Tuesday night. QB Byrum Brown won’t play and I’m pretty sure he won’t be the only USF player making that decision. Now I’m also aware that Old Dominion starting QB Colton Joseph has also opted out. But his likely replacement, Quinn Henicle, accounted for 349 total yards (including 200 rushing!) in his lone career start. The USF QB situation is a little murkier with either Locklan Hewlett or Gaston Moore likely to get the nod. Also keep in mind it remains to be seen who will be calling plays for the USF offense. The market initially moved towards ODU, even with the Joseph news. Then we saw a second move after Brown opted out. No surprise there.
Even without their starting QB, ODU should be quite motivated to win. It’s just the fourth ever bowl game for the program and they weren’t in one last season. While a 41-38 loss to Navy sank USF’s season (I had Navy +10.5), ODU closed the regular season strong with five straight wins. It wasn’t against the best of competition in the Sun Belt. However, worth noting that the Monarchs’ defense allowed a total of just 47 points in that five-game stretch, including only 26 in the last four. I’ll be adding to this analysis closer to kickoff, but wanted to make the play available now before the line moves any further. 3% Old Dominion (Play the ML if ODU ends up favored)
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Will Rogers
NFL Football
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The Steelers pulled through for me on Monday Night Football. It was a chilly home matchup against the Dolphins, but a road tilt in Detroit is going to be a much tougher test. Coming off a short week only makes it harder. Fresh off a defeat to the Rams, we're likely to get peak Lions performance.
Look at their bounce-back history: After dropping Week 1 to the Packers, Detroit demolished Chicago by 31 in Week 2. Following a Week 6 loss in Kansas City, they handled Tampa by 15 the next week. Coming off a Week 9 setback to Minnesota, they crushed Washington by 22 in Week 10. After falling to the Eagles in Week 11, they topped the Giants by a touchdown in Week 12. And most recently, after losing to Green Bay in Week 13, they took down Dallas by 14.
That's a perfect 5-0 when playing the game after a loss, with an average margin of victory well over two touchdowns. Outlook for Pittsburgh? Pain. Lay the points with the Lions.
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Will Rogers enters Thursday's Rams-Seahawks clash with an outstanding 30-18 record this football season, delivering a sharp 62.5% win rate that has generated +35.56 units and an impressive 19.5% return on investment—the top ROI among all handicappers on the site for this NFL campaign. Rogers is releasing a major play on this pivotal matchup. Don' ...
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Drew Martin
NFL Football
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Heading a mile high and backing the Broncos at home over the Jaguars. Both teams come in hot with Denver winning 11 straight and Jacksonville rattling off 5 straight games themselves. However the Jags have played better football in the Sunshine State, not as good on the road. This will be their first December road game after going (1-3) on the highway in November. Tough trip catches up with Jacksonville, for Sunday's free pick- Bet Broncos.
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Jeff Michaels
College Football
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(201) Old Dominion at (202) South Florida
Old Dominion +3.5 (-115)
Context and Trends
- Excitement Edge: Old Dominion has a potential excitement advantage playing their bowl game in Orlando, which contrasts with South Florida's relative proximity, just under two hours away, possibly leading to a less unique experience for them.
South Florida Bulls Overview
- Current Form: Coming off back-to-back wins as an underdog, which are traditionally challenging to sustain in ATS performance. Historical data shows teams in this scenario are 77-95-2 (44.5%) ATS.
- Offensive Performance Trend: Bowl teams scoring 35+ points in back-to-back games face difficulties maintaining ATS success thereafter, shown by a record of 45-78-2 (36.6%) ATS.
Quarterback Situation
- Opt-Outs: Both teams are without their starting quarterbacks, impacting game dynamics and reliability on offensive trends.
- Talent Assessment: Despite the opt-outs, the South Florida Bulls are assumed to have more talent available, suggesting depth may play a crucial role.
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