Free Sports Predictions DEC 16: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Bryan Leonard
NHL Hockey
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29 Anaheim at Columbus
Third game in four days for each of these clubs. The Ducks are a very good 9-8-1 on the road, and rate out as the better team in our power ratings. To get plus money here with Anaheim is the way to go. Especially considering this is just the second game all season in which they have had to play back to back.
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Dwayne Bryant
College Basketball
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KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:
Play AGAINST home favorites of -10 to -19.5 that are allowing no more than 39% shooting on the season, if they shot at least 50% from the field in each of their last two games. Applies to Connecticut.
39-11-1 (78% ATS) since the 2022 season.
Note: Connecticut was in this exact same spot four days ago and failed to cover against Texas.
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Dwayne Bryant
NBA Basketball
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KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:
Play UNDER when the total is at least 225, both teams have a win percentage between 60% and 75%, and at least one team is playing no more than their fourth game in the last ten days. Applies to both the Spurs and Knicks.
91-35-1 (72.2%) since the 2009 season, staying UNDER by an average of 7.9 points per game!
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The Gold Sheet
College Basketball
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We've been eyeing "under" results in North Carolina's games all season and we're not getting off that train any time soon. Eight of the Tar Heels' ten games have stayed under the total, and the two games that went over only did so by two points in each game. With senior guard Seth Trimble suffering an early-season injury, UNC head coach Hubert Davis has put extra emphasis on the defensive end this season. The Tar Heels are top-25 in defensive efficiency, effective field goal shooting allowed and two-point shooting allowed. North Carolina has done a great job of keeping the opposition off the free throw line and not giving away easy points through fouls. Opponents are shooting 40.3-percent from two-point range this season, which is 11.4-percent below the national average. East Tennessee State knows how to play some defense of its own. The Buccaneers led the SoCon in defensive efficiency last season and they are very good at protecting the paint as well. ETSU will allow a high-volume of three-point attempts, but that is not something the Tar Heels specialize in this season. North Carolina is only shooting 32.8-percent from the three-point line, which is below the national average. Only 30.3-percent of North Carolina's points come from beyond the arc, which is outside the top-200. If the Buccaneers can force UNC into a jump shooting contest, they can hang around for a while. Neither team plays at a brisk pace. This looks like another low-scoring affair in Chapel Hill.
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THE GOLDSHEET NBA STAT SHEET FOR TUESDAY, DECEMBER 16!Overall records and records for the last two weeks. Both overall as well as Home/Away splits!Including: SU, ATS. O/U, Points For & Against, plus the Average Line and Total!
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Will Rogers
NFL Football
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The Steelers pulled through for me on Monday Night Football. It was a chilly home matchup against the Dolphins, but a road tilt in Detroit is going to be a much tougher test. Coming off a short week only makes it harder. Fresh off a defeat to the Rams, we're likely to get peak Lions performance.
Look at their bounce-back history: After dropping Week 1 to the Packers, Detroit demolished Chicago by 31 in Week 2. Following a Week 6 loss in Kansas City, they handled Tampa by 15 the next week. Coming off a Week 9 setback to Minnesota, they crushed Washington by 22 in Week 10. After falling to the Eagles in Week 11, they topped the Giants by a touchdown in Week 12. And most recently, after losing to Green Bay in Week 13, they took down Dallas by 14.
That's a perfect 5-0 when playing the game after a loss, with an average margin of victory well over two touchdowns. Outlook for Pittsburgh? Pain. Lay the points with the Lions.
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$5 ESPN (4%) SHOWSTOPPER (LOU/TEN)
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Last November, Tennessee absolutely demolished Louisville in a lopsided beatdown. Now, the rematch is here—and the Cardinals are hungry for revenge, riding a hot streak with fire in their eyes. But the Volunteers? They’re nearly unbeatable on their home court, turning Knoxville into a fortress. Who comes out on top in this electric nationally t ...
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Don Buster
NHL Hockey
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We play the Calgary Flames in this one as they catch San Jose in a really tough spot after a long East Coast road trip. Both these teams are on a roll of late, however the Sharks have been very lucky in their last couple of games. We break it all down on pucktime. Make sure you watch and subscribe to WagerTalk TV to get all the free plays for Tuesday in the NHL.
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Jimmy Adams
NBA Basketball
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For a limited time, get every basketball play from Jimmy Adams for three full days — including NBA and College Basketball selections and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49.That’s only $16.33 per day for every premium hoops play your handicapper releases. You’ll also receive instant access the moment plays are posted, giving you the be ...
Carmine Bianco
NHL Hockey
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NHL - Anaheim Ducks at Columbus Blue Jackets
Game Thoughts: This will be the 3rd in 4 nights for the Ducks after a Monday game in NYC and with Dostal having started that one we should see Ville Husso in goal for the Ducks along with his 3.17 GAA and .888 SV%. He's allowed 3+ goals in 5 of 7 starts. Anaheim will face a Jackets team that is struggling and have gone 2-9 their last 11 but still averaging 2.82 GPG and 2.93 at home. Ducks own the leagues 3rd best O/U record going 20-12 while the Blue Jackets are an even 16-16 but could be catching a break here with the scheduling disadvantage for the Ducks and goaltending.
The play is Over 6.5 -115
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Drew Martin
College Basketball
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We are heading to Queens, New York for the 7pm ET tip between Depaul and St. John's. The first Big East Conference game for both of these teams and this has blowout written all over it. Rick Pitino's squad ranks in the top 25 nationally in both offensive and defensive efficiency. They are fresh off a 27 point beatdown over Iona.
The only top 50 nationally ranked team Depaul has played was against LSU and they lost by over 30 points. Depaul is dealing with some key injuries and are on their second of back to back road games with a short turnaround playing at Wichita St in Kansas on Saturday. The Johnnies likely win by 20+ points. This play just missed the client card. For Tuesday's free pick bet St. John's.
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Drew Martin
NFL Football
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Heading a mile high and backing the Broncos at home over the Jaguars. Both teams come in hot with Denver winning 11 straight and Jacksonville rattling off 5 straight games themselves. However the Jags have played better football in the Sunshine State, not as good on the road. This will be their first December road game after going (1-3) on the highway in November. Tough trip catches up with Jacksonville, for Sunday's free pick- Bet Broncos.
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Jeff Michaels
College Football
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(201) Old Dominion at (202) South Florida
Old Dominion +3.5 (-115)
Context and Trends
- Excitement Edge: Old Dominion has a potential excitement advantage playing their bowl game in Orlando, which contrasts with South Florida's relative proximity, just under two hours away, possibly leading to a less unique experience for them.
South Florida Bulls Overview
- Current Form: Coming off back-to-back wins as an underdog, which are traditionally challenging to sustain in ATS performance. Historical data shows teams in this scenario are 77-95-2 (44.5%) ATS.
- Offensive Performance Trend: Bowl teams scoring 35+ points in back-to-back games face difficulties maintaining ATS success thereafter, shown by a record of 45-78-2 (36.6%) ATS.
Quarterback Situation
- Opt-Outs: Both teams are without their starting quarterbacks, impacting game dynamics and reliability on offensive trends.
- Talent Assessment: Despite the opt-outs, the South Florida Bulls are assumed to have more talent available, suggesting depth may play a crucial role.
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Bryan Power
College Football
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2% Old Dominion (5:00 ET): Talked about this game Tuesday on WagerTalk Today as USF is a team I am most definitely looking to FADE this bowl season. This is a program in transition as it is going through a coaching change. Alex Golesh is off to Auburn. He’s being replaced by Brian Hartline, the offensive coordinator for Ohio State. New players and a whole new staff will be heading to Tampa. So the existing group is probably wondering about its future right now. On top of that, even the USF seniors can’t be too excited about this final game. This is a team that had College Football Playoff aspirations less than a month ago. Now, they find themselves playing in one of the very first bowls. It’s not even a destination for the players as the Cure Bowl takes place in Orlando. So I just don’t think we get a very solid effort out of the Bulls.
Keep in mind I felt this way before the key opt-out was announced Tuesday night. QB Byrum Brown won’t play and I’m pretty sure he won’t be the only USF player making that decision. Now I’m also aware that Old Dominion starting QB Colton Joseph has also opted out. But his likely replacement, Quinn Henicle, accounted for 349 total yards (including 200 rushing!) in his lone career start. The USF QB situation is a little murkier with either Locklan Hewlett or Gaston Moore likely to get the nod. Also keep in mind it remains to be seen who will be calling plays for the USF offense. The market initially moved towards ODU, even with the Joseph news. Then we saw a second move after Brown opted out. No surprise there.
Even without their starting QB, ODU should be quite motivated to win. It’s just the fourth ever bowl game for the program and they weren’t in one last season. While a 41-38 loss to Navy sank USF’s season (I had Navy +10.5), ODU closed the regular season strong with five straight wins. It wasn’t against the best of competition in the Sun Belt. However, worth noting that the Monarchs’ defense allowed a total of just 47 points in that five-game stretch, including only 26 in the last four. I’ll be adding to this analysis closer to kickoff, but wanted to make the play available now before the line moves any further. 2% Old Dominion (Play the ML if ODU ends up favored)
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