Free Sports Predictions MAY 13: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Catching the Cubs with Shota Imanaga on the bump for Wednesday's free pick. The 32 year old Japanese born southpaw has been great, going (4-1) over his last 5 outings and racked up 10 strikeouts his last time out. The Braves rookie starter has issued 10 walks over his last two starts and now faces the toughest lineup he has seen. Cubs are the free bet for Wednesday.

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SFG @ LAD — 5/13/2026

Current matchup: SFG 17-24, 7-12 away; LAD 24-17, 13-9 home. Probable starters: Robbie Ray, 3-4, 2.76 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 47 K; Shohei Ohtani, 2-2, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 37.0 IP, 42 K. Current market range used: SFG +199 to +235, LAD -240 to -312, full-game total 8.0 to 8.5. Consensus value table uses SFG +215, LAD -270, full-game total 8.0.

Team baseline is heavily LAD: SFG has scored 139 runs with a .244 AVG, .292 OBP, .364 SLG, and 3.4 runs/game; LAD has scored 206 runs with a .265 AVG, .344 OBP, .434 SLG, and 5.02 runs/game. SFG staff profile is 4.03 ERA / 1.34 WHIP; LAD staff profile is 3.42 ERA / 1.139 WHIP.

Lineup basis: SFG — Willy Adames, Luis Arraez, Matt Chapman, Rafael Devers, Casey Schmitt, Heliot Ramos, Jung Hoo Lee, Harrison Bader, Jesus Rodriguez. LAD — Dalton Rushing, Miguel Rojas, Freddie Freeman, Will Smith, Andy Pages, Kyle Tucker, Teoscar Hernández, Max Muncy, Santiago Espinal. Mookie Betts is not expected to start, and Ohtani may not hit while pitching; that creates a material LAD lineup deduction even with Ohtani’s pitching edge.

Ray’s recent form is steady but walk-prone. His May starts total 12 1/3 IP, 8 H, 4 ER, 3 HR, 4 BB, 12 K; his full 2026 game log shows 5+ IP in every start and no outing above 3 ER. His road profile is weaker than the season line: 4.15 ERA in 17 1/3 road innings, with the team losing all three of his road starts.

Ohtani is the main suppressor. He has 6 starts, 37.0 IP, 0.97 ERA, 0.81 WHIP, 42 K, and only 4 ER allowed. His home split: 18 IP, 8 H, 2 ER, 8 BB, 1.00 ERA. His prior start was 7 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K.

Batter-vs-pitcher edge is mixed. Dodgers with strong historical samples vs Ray include Miguel Rojas, Enrique Hernández if active, and Freddie Freeman; Will Smith and Max Muncy have weaker samples. Ohtani’s pitching history vs SFG is excellent at 0.43 ERA and 25 K in 4 appearances, but most of that is older than the core modeling window, so it was used lightly.

Weather/park: Dodger Stadium is outdoor, with game weather around 63-64°F, 0% precipitation, and light wind. The park/weather adjustment is slight-over for wind but still modest overall because temperature is not especially hot.

Starting Pitcher Projection

Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Fowler is playing his best golf in a long time, and this number feels too low for his current form.

He’s finished Top 10 in each of his last three tournaments, showing that every part of his game is trending in the right direction.

The advanced stats back it up too—over the last 30 days, he ranks 5th in this field in total strokes gained. That’s elite territory for a Top 40 ticket.

The putter has especially been on fire, and when Fowler gains strokes on the greens, he becomes very dangerous. While he’s not one of the longest hitters in the field, this course doesn’t demand overwhelming distance. Accuracy and smart course management matter more.

If he keeps hitting fairways, giving himself birdie looks, and rolling the putter the way he has recently, he should comfortably stay inside the Top 40.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Take Tampa Bay (#915) (action)

No team in baseball has been hotter than the Rays, now 22-7 in their last 29 contests while dominating the injury riddled, underachieving, sub .500 Blue Jays.  Seeing Tampa at this plus price is all about Dylan Cease on the hill for Toronto; coming off back-2-back gems in his last two trips to the hill.  That said, the Jays are a modest 4-3 with Cease on the hill since April 1^st and current Rays have hit .310 against him in their careers, with an .868 OPS.  Only one of these two lineups is hitting consistently; only one of these two bullpens is trustworthy.  ‘Action’ wager here – we’ll be getting the best of the number if Cease gets scratched for any reason.  Take the Rays.

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Two alt KBO lines for a + money parlay.

Hanwha Eagles at Kiwoom Heroes

Hanwha is 6-4 over the last 10 and scoring 8.6 runs/game with a .343 BA. Kiwoom is 2-7-1 in the same span, scoring only 3.1 runs/game, while allowing 7.7 runs/game with a 6.59 SP ERA and 7.16 bullpen ERA. That screams over more than it screams “pay -264.”

The batter edge is massive: Hanwha has Moon Hyun-bin, Yonathan Perlaza, Kang Baek-ho all sitting top-8 in KBO OPS, while Kiwoom’s best qualified bat listed is An Chi-hong at .817 OPS and then a steep drop.

Starter-wise, Wilkel Hernandez has a 4.86 ERA/1.47 WHIP and gave Kiwoom 4 ER in 4⅔ on March 28, so Kiwoom can contribute to the total. Park Jeong-hun has a 4.15 ERA/1.67 WHIP and just gave Samsung 4 ER in 4 IP in his first 2026 start; he did throw 1⅓ scoreless relief innings vs Hanwha on March 28, but this is a different role and a much hotter Hanwha lineup.

SSG Landers at KT Wiz

SSG is 3-6-1 over the last 10 with a 6.00 SP ERA and 4.34 RP ERA. KT has cooled off at 4-5-1, but the matchup is mostly about the starters: Takeda Shota has an 8.14 ERA, 1.89 WHIP, while Caleb Boushley is at 3.55 ERA over 38 IP.

Takeda did throw 5 shutout innings vs KT on April 25, so there is a head-to-head caution flag. But his full game log is messy: 7 ER vs NC, 5 ER vs Doosan, 5 ER vs Kiwoom, 4 ER vs Hanwha. That profile at Suwon against the league’s top team is not something I want backing at near pick’em.

SSG did beat KT 5-1 on May 12, but that makes this feel more like a KT bounce-back spot with the starting pitcher advantage.

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

The Toronto Tempo likely won't win many games this season. However, this should be a good spot to earn their first. The Storm did beat Connecticut last game but the Sun are rebuilding this season. The Storm had a major roster overhaul themselves and are also rebuilding. They're transitioning away from the previous core, trading away veterans and going with a youth movement. They've got a new coach and are more focused on long-term development than "winning now." While the same could be said of the Tempo, Canada's first ever team definitely want to earn "Win #1." With the home crowd behind them, I like their chances of getting it. *good at -4 or better

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

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Cleveland evened its second-round series against the Pistons with a 112-103 victory Monday night. Donovan Mitchell tied an NBA playoff record with 39 points in the second half, while James Harden had his 40th playoff double-double with 24 points and 11 assists. Detroit has now lost two straight, but .551 or greater NBA teams with rest coming off back-to-back losses are 691-551-20 ATS (55.6%), including 168-120-3 ATS (58.3%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.5 points per game. These teams have been 286-216-7 ATS (57%) in the postseason, including 133-87-1 ATS (60.5%) since 2016, covering by an average of 4.1 points per game. In contrast, NBA playoff underdogs entering off consecutive wins are 229-300-8 ATS (43.3%) since 1996. Let’s also note that NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss, like Detroit, are 351-275-8 ATS (56.1%), including 397-315-11 ATS (55.8%) in Game 2 or beyond of a series. Finally, postseason favorites of fewer than two points are 132-171-1 ATS (43.6%) in a tied series, while Round 2 home teams are 37-21 ATS (63.8%) following a Round 2 loss, covering by an average of 6.3 points per game. Lay the points with the Detroit Pistons as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, May 13.

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