Free Sports Predictions JUN 29: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

The Rays are running hot. Winners of 5 straight, Tampa has taken over the lead in the AL East and will look to extend their streak behind Griffin Jax when they head to Kansas City on Tuesday. Jax has been good in the starter roll as of late, not allowing an earned run in 3 of his past 4 trips to the bump. His latest start came against this Royals’ lineup, where Jax didn’t allow an earned run over 5 innings of work. Tampa’s run production has been solid, including putting up 13 runs in the series finale against KC just last week. The Royals, who have lost 4 of 5, followed that blowout loss with an even worse one, giving up 22 runs to the White Sox the very next day. Noah Cameron gave up 5 earned against Tampa last time out and the Royals have the 2^nd to worse bullpen in terms of ERA. Take the Rays.

 83.3% (10-2) MLB RUN!  

78.3% (18-5) MLB RUN!

78.6% (11-3) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!

74% (17-6) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!

+70 UNITS SINCE MAY 5^TH IN MLB!

 SPECIAL! BUY 3 DAYS AND GET 3 DAYS FREE!

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

(923) Los Angeles Angels at (924) Seattle Mariners: Hits + Runs + RBIs

Julio Rodriguez Hits + Runs + RBIs Over (-130) Jose Soriano (RHP) Must Start

Julio Rodriguez Performance Analysis:

• Dominant Career Success vs. Soriano: Julio Rodriguez has historically owned the matchup against Tuesday's starting pitcher, Jose Soriano. He carries a career .533 average (8-for-15) against the Angels' right-hander. His success is not limited to contact, as he has produced significant power with 2 home runs and 5 RBIs in their head-to-head meetings.

• Elite Recent Form: Rodriguez enters this contest in excellent rhythm, having surpassed his hits+runs+RBIs number in 4 of his last 5 (80.0%) games overall. This sustained success indicates he is seeing the ball well and maximizing his opportunities at the plate.

• Home Field Consistency: The Mariners' star has been particularly reliable in his own park lately. He has cleared his hits+runs+RBIs number in 5 of his last 7 (71.4%) home games, demonstrating a high level of comfort at T-Mobile Park heading into this divisional matchup.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

On the Mets over the Jays catching a plus price on Tuesday night. New York starter Nolan McLean had a rough outing last time out vs the Cubs, but I would not be surprised if he bounces back nicely against the Toronto bats who have really struggled recently. McLean has been really solid, giving up 3 runs or less in 13 of his 16 starts on the season.

Toronto starter Kevin Gausman has been rocked a bunch recently. He is (0-3) since the calendar hit June, giving up 22 earned runs in 26 innings completed, including 17 hits and 6 walks in his last 8 innings alone. The Mets hold the pen edge by my bullpen ratings. This play just missed the three play Tuesday client card available below. For today's free pick bet the Mets (Catching as high as (+112) in the off shore market).

15-2 (88%) run on 3%+ picks (+55% PROFIT).

30-10 (75%) All 3%+ picks since April for over (+76% PROFIT).

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

If you were living under a sports betting rock and didn't know what the pre-match odds were, you never would have known that Colombia was a fairly-sizable underdog against Portugal on Friday. Colombia out-played Portugal by a healthy margin in Miami, and if it hadn't been for the out-stretched toe nail of Davinson Sanchez on a highly-questionable offside call, the Colombians would have earned nine points in the group stage. Colombia enjoyed a 1.70-0.92 advantage in expected goals and out-shot Portugal 24-13 with 15 of those shots coming from inside the box. We tip our cap to Ghana for advancing from Group L, but Colombia should handle this first test with relative ease. Ghana deserves plenty of credit for earning that 0-0 draw against England, but England was not overly impressive in any of its three group stage matches. A 2-1 loss to Croatia and a 1-0 win over Panama aren't moving the needle for us, and Colombia should handle business in the Round of 32. They would play the winner of Switzerland-Algeria after that, and we have some major concerns about Switzerland's fitness in this tournament. In the group stage opener against Qatar, the Swiss completely ran out of gas in the second half as they allowed Qatar to score the game-tying goal in the 94th minute. The same thing nearly happened again in the finale against Canada where the Swiss only generated a total of six shots. All three goals that Switzerland has allowed in this tournament have come after the 75th minute. The longer the Swiss stay in this event, the louder we'll be asking questions about their fitness. The opposite is true for Colombia, who have made deep runs in the last two editions of Copa America. Colombia has plenty of tournament experience and they appear to be hitting their stride heading into the knockout round.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

Mexico cruised through the opening round but should have its hands full with a talented Ecuador team. Needing a victory against powerful Germany, Ecuador conceded an early goal. However, that didn't stop them. They battled back for the 2-1 win. On an emotional high from that victory, Ecuador is full of confidence. These teams last met in a friendly in October. That one finished in a 1-1 draw. A similar score seems likely. Let's grab the extra +0.5 goal. *Good up to -160

Ben Burns is on a remarkable 25-4 soccer run and that includes a 14-2-3 record (+33.72 units, 87.7% Winning Percentage, 70.3% ROI ) in the World Cup. Ben's 5% soccer plays are 10-0-2 All-time - most recently a 5-1 winner with Belgium. His next is ready to go, right now ...

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

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Dallas is in an excellent bounce-back spot Thursday after dropping its last two contests against Las Vegas (99-84) and Minnesota (85-77). The Wings continue to build chemistry around one of the league's most talented young backcourts. No. 1 overall pick Azzi Fudd (13.6 ppg), reigning Rookie of the Year Paige Bueckers (19.9 ppg), and four-time All-Star Arike Ogunbowale (13.5 ppg) give Dallas three dynamic scorers capable of taking over a game, while Jessica Shepard (14.3 ppg, 11.5 rpg) has provided a steady interior presence on the glass. Connecticut continues to battle depth issues and has struggled to consistently generate offense against athletic opponents. Injuries have not helped the Sun, who will likely be without Saniya Rivers (ankle), Aneesah Morrow (leg), and Hailey Van Lith (ankle), all of whom are listed as out indefinitely. From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams coming off three or more consecutive against-the-spread (ATS) losses, like Dallas, are 201-159-5 ATS (55.8%). Moreover, WNBA teams entering off two or more consecutive straight-up wins, like Connecticut, are 116-150-1 ATS (43.6%), including 90-122-1 ATS (42.5%) since 2021, failing to cover the spread by an average margin of 2.3 points per game. If Dallas controls the tempo and gets consistent production from its star trio, the Wings are well-positioned to earn a convincing home victory. Take the Dallas Wings as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, July 2.

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

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New York is the side to back on Tuesday as the Liberty possess the deepest and most balanced roster in the WNBA despite losing four of their last five games. Following their 76-65 loss to Golden State on Sunday, forward Breanna Stewart challenged her team to play with greater intensity. "You can't play with heart and play with effort just when things are going good," Stewart said. "It's really the moments when you're at the lowest. And this team - we're obviously not a finished product, but this wasn't a great showing, especially coming off of a loss." Breanna Stewart (19.2 ppg), Sabrina Ionescu (9.5 ppg), Jonquel Jones (15.2 ppg), and Pauline Astier (10.1 ppg) give New York multiple All-WNBA-caliber scoring options, making it extremely difficult for opponents to key on any one player. The Liberty have also defended at a high level throughout the season, allowing them to win even when their outside shots aren't falling. Indeed, New York’s defense ranks 3rd in the league in points allowed per game (83.5) and has allowed the fewest free-throw attempts per game (18.6). Las Vegas arrives in New York off back-to-back wins over Dallas (99-84) and Chicago (107-99), which is significant because WNBA teams coming off two or more consecutive wins are 116-150-1 ATS (43.6%) before the All-Star break, including 84-115-1 ATS (42.2%) since 2022, losing by an average margin of 2.2 points per game. Moreover, WNBA teams are 416-321-12 ATS (56.4%) versus opponents not entering off a loss, provided they aren’t favored by more than five points, including 291-210-6 ATS (58.1%) since 2021. With New York's depth, defensive versatility, and ability to create mismatches across the floor, the Liberty are well-positioned to earn another statement victory over one of the league's top contenders. Take New York as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, June 30.

Injury Report: New York forward Satou Sabally (concussion) is out indefinitely, while Breanna Stewart (injury management) is available to play on Tuesday.

Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago

England vs DR Congo
World Cup, Wednesday, 12pm ET

Play: 1H Under 1 Goal
Odds at Time of Release: +103
Line Parameter: Line good to -115

England are -900 to qualify, DR Congo are +700, and I know England are a better team and a fan favourite, but if you're looking for VALUE, that +700 on DR Congo is the VALUE. It's gonna be hard, and it can only come if DR Congo revert to their ultra defensive mind-set.

As for Regulation, England are -350 favourites, the Draw at +460 and DR Congo are +1140 underdogs, with the Spread at 1.5 and the Total at 2.5

Excluding England's first half vs Croatia that had FOUR goals, they kept it tight in their next two matches, with ZERO goals vs Ghana and ZERO vs Panama. And that actually makes sense, as coach Tuchel is a very defensive-minded coach and I expect a tight first half here as well. Going back to their friendlies and looking at 1H Totals: 1 vs Costa Rica, 1 (late) vs New Zealand, 1 vs Japan, 0 vs Uruguay. Going further back to their World Cup Qualifiers in a group with Albania (0 and 1), Serbia (1 and 2), Latvia (1 and 3) and Andorra (1 and 0), but also further back to the Nations League vs Ireland (0 and 2), Greece (1 and 0) and Finland (1 and 0), we will see that in their only 4 of their last 17 competitive matches had 2 or more first half goals, 7 of 17 had zero goals and 6 of them had exactly 1 goal. So, tight. Basically just 23.5% of their competitive matches under coach Tuchel had 2 or more first half goals.

DR Congo are a tight team with not a ton of quality up front, their main attribute is the defense. 1H totals in the World Cup: 1 vs Uzbekistan, 0 vs Colombia, 2 vs Portugal. Friendlies: 0 vs Chile, 0 vs Denmark, 1 (late) vs Bermuda. Going back further to the AFCON: 1 vs Benin, 0 vs Senegal, 2 vs Botswana, 0 vs Algeria in the knockouts. Going back to the previous AFCON (under the same coach): 2 vs Zambia, 1 vs Morocco, 0 vs Tanzania, 2 vs Egypt (late PK), 2 vs Guinea, 0 vs Ivory Coast, 0 vs South Africa.

You get the picture. DR Congo cannot outgun England, they will try to keep it tight here for as long as possible and hope to maybe hit on the counter or even send the match to extra time/penalties and hope for the best.

The Play is 1H Under 1 (+103), line good to -105

Several ways to bet this game:

1H Under 1 (+103), I find it hard to see 2+ goals in 1H, Under 1 feels SAFE
1H Draw (+164), if DR Congo are to have a shot at this game, they need to keep it tight
England Win & Under 3.5 Goals (-125) England won 7 of 17 matches by the exact score of 2-0, which is +450

VALUE BETS (longshots, bigger odds, small stakes)

England win by 2-0 (+450)
HT/FT Draw/England (+300)
Draw (+460)

Released/revised 19 hour(s) ago