Free Sports Predictions APR 26: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

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Oskeim Sports NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(25) Vegas Golden Knights at (26) Utah Mammoth: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Vegas Golden Knights -115

Utah won the first NHL playoff game in Utah, defeating the Golden Knights 4-2 on Friday for a 2-1 series lead. The Knight’s loss is significant because NHL road favorites of less than -200 are 1078-651 (62.3%; +9.2% ROI) with same-season revenge. Let’s also note that NHL playoff road favorites of -180 or less coming off a loss are 104-57 (64.6%; +13.8% ROI) versus opponents entering off a win. Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3181-2155 (59.6%; +2.6% ROI), while NHL playoff road favorites are 246-159 (60.7%; +5.9% ROI) since the beginning of the 2003-4 season. I also like the fact that Vegas is 253-157 (61.7%; +6.2% ROI) as conference favorites of less than -320 in games with totals of 5.5 to 6 goals. The line in this game is significant because NHL road teams priced between -110 and -120 are 598-328 (64.6%; +22% ROI) versus opponents priced between -101 and -110. Finally, since 2002, NHL road favorites with two days of rest are 834-477 (63.6%; +7.1% ROI) versus opponents with two or fewer days of rest. Take the Vegas Golden Knights as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, April 27.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Oskeim Sports NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Oklahoma City Thunder at (562) Phoenix Suns: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 213.5 (-110)

Since 1996, NBA road favorites of 5 points or more in games with totals over 210 are 339-211-18 to the Over (61.6%) following a game that went over the total, provided one additional parameter is satisfied: going over the total by an average margin of +4.0 points per game. The point spread is significant in this game because non-division conference NBA games with double-digit spreads are 616-510-31 to the Over (55%), including 412-327-11 OVER (55.8%) since 2019. Moreover, double-digit NBA favorites are 230-181-8 to the Over (56%) from Game 76 forward, including 151-107-1 OVER (58.5%) since 2021, going over by an average of 3.4 points per game. Similarly, double-digit conference underdogs in games with totals under 220 points are 108-82-4 to the Over (56.8%), including 61-38-3 OVER (61.6%) since 2023. Finally, since 2015, Round 1 NBA home underdogs by more than 3 points are 22-13-3 to the Over (62.9%), including 17-8-1 OVER (68%) since April 27, 2018, covering the total by an average of 5.5 points per game. Take the Over in the Oklahoma City Thunder/Phoenix Suns game as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, April 27.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(23) Philadelphia Flyers at (24) Pittsburgh Penguins: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 5.5 (-120)

Here's an excerpt of what I said prior to Game 4: "The Penguins are down 3-0. The last time that a team rallied from a 3-0 deficit was in 2014, when the Kings rallied to come back against the Sharks. That was just the fourth time in NHL history that it happened. While the Pens' chances of winning the series are now very slim, they won't go down without a fight. It's possible that they'll be facing the Flyers' back-up goalie as starter Dan Vladar is a game-time decision. Either way, I expect them to find a way to score some goals. They'll need to as the Flyers are averaging 3.7 goals per game in the series. If trailing, given its situation, we'll see Pittsburgh pull its goalie earlier than normal. Play the Over 5.5 "

The Penguins never had to pull their goalie but they did indeed fight and score some goals. Their final goal in a 4-2 win came on the Flyers empty net. That makes seven of the past 10 meetings which have produced at least six combined goals. I feel that Monday's Game 5 has a strong shot at doing the same. Play the Over 5.5 

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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SUNDAY (4%) NHL BEST BET! (+91.28): $25.00

Off Saturday's winner, Ben Burns is 5-2 (+7.76) to start the NHL playoffs. Going back further finds his selections rated (4%) and higher on a +91.28 unit run. Ben will add to those stats here. Make sure you're on board.

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Oskeim Sports NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(19) Edmonton Oilers at (20) Anaheim Ducks: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Edmonton Oilers -135

Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites of less than -250 are 3181-2155 (59.6%; +2.6% ROI), while NHL playoff road favorites are 246-159 (60.7%; +6.0% ROI) since 2003. Since 2010, NHL favorites priced between -120 and -200 are 625-403 (60.8%; +2.2% ROI) from Game 50 forward, provided they didn’t play an overtime affair in their previous two games. Edmonton is coming off back-to-back losses, which is significant because NHL road favorites of -160 or less with revenge are 1260-858 (59.5%; +6.1% ROI), while road favorites of less than -200 with same-season revenge are 1078-651 (62.3%; +9.2% ROI) since 2003. Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs entering off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1196-1671 (41.7%; -5.0% ROI), including 406-631 (39.2%; -7.0% ROI) since the beginning of the 2020-21 season, losing by an average of -0.6 goals per game. Take the Edmonton Oilers as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, April 26.

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

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Teddy Covers NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(557) Los Angeles Lakers at (558) Houston Rockets: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 207.5 (-110)

Take Houston - LA Lakers OVER (#557-558)

Each of the first three games of this series has stayed UNDER the total in regulation. The pace has been as slow as molasses for extended stretches, with the Rockets playing right into the Lakers hands, tempo wise. I'm expecting a 'looser' approach from Houston facing elimination in Game 4; an offense that needs to crash the glass to create second chance opportunities and get out in transition at every opportunity. Meanwhile, the Lakers have certainly solved Ime Udoka's defense -- despite the Unders cashing in regulation, the Lakers team totals have been cashed the Over in all three previous contests. The lowest posted total in the four NBA Playoff Games on Sunday is too low for this bettor! Take the OVER.

Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago

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Andy Lang NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(557) Los Angeles Lakers at (558) Houston Rockets: Jabari Smith Jr. Points
Date/Time:
Play:
Jabari Smith Jr. Points Over 15.5 (-105)

Smith has been rock solid in this series, putting up 16, 18, and 24 points in the first three games. That’s consistent production above this number, not just one spike game.

The volume is exactly where you want it—around 15 shot attempts per game, converting roughly 7 of them. Add in free throws, and he has multiple ways to get into the high teens.

His role is also stable regardless of lineup changes. Whether Durant is in or out, Smith is still getting his looks and staying involved offensively.

With steady usage, reliable scoring output, and a proven track record in this series, this number is still a bit too low.

Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago

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Gianni the Greek SOC Tab Soccer

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Event:
(213357) Boyaca Chico at (213358) Inter Bogota: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 2.25 (-113)

 Colombia Liga Aguila :

Total Over 2.25 (-113)...(3%) - thru Over 2.5 (+120)

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

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