Free Sports Predictions APR 23: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Taking the Tigers over the Reds on Friday in the Queen City. Detroit starter Framer Valdez has been solid this season, outside of one start. Reds starter Andrew Abbott has fallen off recently posting a 11 to 10 strikeout to walk ratio giving up 17 earned runs over his last 17 innings. Detroit has been playing good ball winning 10 of their last 13 games over the last two weeks. This one just missed the client card. For Friday's free pick- Bet Detroit.
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Thursday- Padres/ Rockies over 11 WINNER
Tuesday- Pirates (+100) Loss
Monday- Cubs (-102) WINNER
Saturday- White Sox/ A's over 9.5 (-115) WINNER
Friday- Brewers/ Marlins over 8.5 (-105) WINNER
Thursday- Rockies (+146) WINNER
Thursday- Nats/ Brewers under 9 (-110) Loss
Wednesday- Cubs (+122) WINNER
Tuesday- Diamondbacks (+135) WINNER
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take San Antonio (#539)
The Spurs went 12-6 without Victor Wembanyama on the floor this season, not a team that can’t win a playoff game – even a tough one on the highway – without their superstar. Let’s not forget that San Antonio beat Portland twice in the regular season with Wemby on the sidelines in street clothes. And there’s at least some chance that Mitch Johnson’s best player will suit up – he travelled with the team to the Moda Center (Rose Garden) and went through workouts on Thursday. San Antonio finished with the second best pointspread record in the league off a loss; 14-7 ATS in 21 previous tries; winning those games by an average of more than nine points per game. San Antonio had a better road record than Portland’s home record – the Blazers lost 17 times on this floor this year and it’s surely worth noting their weak slate of home foes down the stretch: facing Indiana, Utah, Brooklyn, Milwaukee, Dallas, Washington ,New Orleans and Sacramento at home since March 1st, a litany of lottery bound bottom feeders. Take the Spurs.
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Mets will really make a statement that they’re turning things around with Colorado coming to town Friday night. There will be that extra electricity in Citi Field and Michael Lorenzen’s profile indicates he’s “fade material.” Lorenzen ranks in just the 1st percentile in pitching run value, isn’t strikeout out many batters, is getting hit extremely hard, and has a horrific wOBA of .446 on the season. Meanwhile, Freddy Peralta has been dealing like he normally does, entering with a wOBA of .284 while allowing 3 runs or fewer in 4 straight starts. Look for New York to handle business in a big way. Take the Mets RL.
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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The Reds have the better record but the Tigers are scoring more runs and allowing less. Friday's pitching matchup should favor Detroit, Valdez has made five starts. One of them was bad and that hurt his overall numbers. Yet, he was excellent in the other four, including each of the past two. Last time out, he allowed one run in six innings. In his previous start, he allowed two runs through seven innings. On the season, even factoring in the rough outing on 4/8, he's 2-1 with a solid 3.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. We saw what Abbott did (10-7, 2.87 ERA, 1.15 WHIP) last season. However, we haven't seen that pitcher this month. In four April starts, he's 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and a 1.88 WHIP. He's been particularly bad at home. Off b2b wins, the Tigers make it three in a row. *Good at -140 or better
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Tokyo Brandon
KBO League
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Projected score: KIA 4.7, LOTTE 3.5
Projected 1st 5: KIA 2.6, LOTTE 1.8
Main projection lean: KIA ML
LOTTE’s bullpen is not completely dead, but it has a few soft spots. Choi Jun-yong has been excellent at 1.00 ERA / 0.89 WHIP, but Kim Won-jung is at 6.43 ERA / 2.29 WHIP, Choi E-jun is at 7.94 ERA / 1.76 WHIP, and Park Joon-woo is at 7.20 ERA / 1.80 WHIP.
Recent use: LOTTE got 6 strong innings from Rodriguez on April 23, so only Hyeon Do-hoon 1 IP, Park Jeong-min 1 IP, Choi Jun-yong 1 IP were needed. That helps their bullpen entering this game.
KIA’s bullpen has been shaky. The active roster shows multiple high-ERA relief arms: Jung Hai-young 12.27 ERA, Hong Min-gyu 10.80, Hwang Dong-ha 10.03, Kim Beom-su 7.45, while Sung Yeong-tak has been excellent at 0.77 ERA / 0.94 WHIP.
Recent fatigue is a concern: on April 22, KIA used Jung Hai-young, Kim Beom-su, Cho Sang-woo, and Han Jae-seung after Naile; on April 23, KIA used Hong Min-gyu, Choi Ji-min, and Kim Keon-kuk after Lee Eui-lee.
Using only the projected score KIA 4.7, LOTTE 3.5, with team-run distributions and ties split 50/50:
KIA value at -194 or better
Final call: KIA 4.7, LOTTE 3.5
1st 5 call: KIA 2.6, LOTTE 1.8
Best angle by projected score: KIA ML, playable mainly if the price is -170 or better, stronger if around -150.
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Total Over 2.5 (-118)...(3%) - thru Over 2.5 (-130) |
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Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Adding breakdown soon.
Free Play: Raoni Barcelos +150
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