Free Sports Predictions MAY 21: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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ATH at LAA — May 21, 2026
Game standardized as Athletics at Los Angeles Angels, Luis Severino vs. José Soriano, at Angel Stadium. Confirmed market range used: ATH around -105 to -110, LAA around -110 to -115, full-game total 8 to 8.5. Starting pitcher season lines used: Severino 2-5, 4.45 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 54.2 IP, 54 K, 31 BB; Soriano 6-3, 2.41 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 59.2 IP, 67 K, 26 BB.
Projected Score
Team | 1st 5 Runs | Full Game Runs |
|---|---|---|
ATH | 2.2 | 4.4 |
LAA | 1.9 | 3.7 |
Total | 4.1 | 8.1 |
Projected final: ATH 4.4, LAA 3.7
ATH grade slightly better despite facing the stronger starter because the current Athletics order has strong head-to-head production against Soriano, including Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler, Nick Kurtz, and Zack Gelof producing above-normal damage in the matchup sample. LAA’s offense remains the main drag: season team line is .225 AVG / .313 OBP / .373 SLG, and the last-10-game line is down to .201 AVG / .276 OBP / .324 SLG / .600 OPS.
Starting Pitcher Boxscore Projection
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luis Severino | ATH | 5 1/3 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
José Soriano | LAA | 5 2/3 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 |
Soriano is the better season-long arm, but the matchup has volatility because his last start included a six-walk, six-earned-run outing, and this ATH lineup has several hitters with documented success against him. Severino’s run-prevention projection is weaker because of his WHIP and walk profile, but LAA’s current offense keeps his damage projection below his raw season ERA pace.
Tokyo’s Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
ATH | 12 | .812 |
LAA | 24 | .684 |
Ranking Snapshot — 1 Best, 30 Worst
Category | ATH | LAA |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP rank, 14+ IP | 23 — Severino | 6 — Soriano |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA + WHIP rank | 12 | 27 |
Lineup run production last 10 days, runs + wOBA rank | 9 | 29 |
Final Betting Card
Bet | Fair Odds | Market Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
ATH moneyline | -147 | -125 or better | Play |
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5% MLB MAX Bet | +83% Profit +30% ROI Last 365 days | 10-Year MLB Scout | 3-Time #1 Capper: $35.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet and it’s THE strongest value spot on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +83% profit and +30% ROI with 5% bets (68%W), EASILY #1 at WagerTalk among all 33 cappers.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years. Tokyo Brand ...
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Backing Baltimore over Detroit to get the weekend going with free picks. The Orioles are off a tough series against the he'd hot Rays and take a big step down in class against the ice cold Tigers. Detroit is in the midst of losing 6 straight games and are just (2-14) their last 16 games overall. This lineup has scored more than 4 runs in a game just 3 times in the entire month of May.
Bassit is on the bump for Baltimore and the veteran hurler has been money in Camden Yards. He threw an absolute gem last time here vs a really good A's lineup. His last 3 home starts he has only letup 2 runs over 16+ innings. His counterpart Flaherty for the Tigers has given up 21 runs his last 20 innings pitched. This one just missed the client card today. For Friday's free pick- Bet Baltimore.
10-1 (91%) Overall L 8 Days (+29% PROFIT)
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Joe Raineri
Major League Baseball
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Both these pitchers have had some rough outings over the last month. With Severino, it's always about his home/road splits. He hates pitching in Sacramento and loves pitching on the road. He's a different pitcher on the road. Foriano has had a few terrible starts. In fact, two of his 3 worst starts of the season came against the White Sox, and the last was against the Dodgers, where he allowed only 1 hit but walked 6. The stuff is electric and he's not facing the Dodgers or the White Sox in this game. I think both these pitchers bring it tonight and I'm looking for fewer runs early in this one. I'll take the F5 UNDER 4.5 as both these pitchers are more than capable of limiting damage the first couple of times through the order.
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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While the Orioles had Thursday off, the Tigers lost for the sixth straight time. Bassitt has been a different pitcher at home than on the road. In five road starts, he's 1-2 with an ugly 8.02 ERA. In four home games, he's 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA. Flaherty, on the other hand, has struggled in both his home and away starts. Overall, he's 0-5 with a 5.77 ERA. Go with the O's. *good to -140
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Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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3% TB ML (+128)
Fanduel
Good to +110
New York sends to the mound for his first MLB appearance ths year, and there are reasons to question whether this is the ideal spot for a successful return. Cole was originally expected to make another rehab start before being called up early following the injury to Fried. Across six rehab outings, he posted a 5.28 ERA in the minors.
Now he has to face the hottest team in baseball. Tampa Bay enters the series with the best record in MLB at 33-15 and counters with, who has been absolutely elite this season with a 1.51 ERA. Rays are 6-2 in his starts and he has allowed a total of 6 runs in 5 road starts this season.
This is a brutal draw for a pitcher making his first start in over a year. Yankee Stadium, a red-hot Rays lineup, and a Yankee team struggling vs righties over the last couple weeks.
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Croatia HNL :
Varazdin 137...(4%) - thru 3-Way @ +120
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles Angels Team Total [OVER] | Good until 3.5, -150.
Pitching Matchup: Luis Severino/Jose Soriano [Action].
The o/u line in this matchup has increased from 8.0 to 8.5 & with the Angels as the favorite on Thursday evening, this is a chance to get a smaller number even with the higher total. LAA has lost the first two games of this series. But, it's scored 5+ in both of those games. The hitting has been there and no that Soriano's on the mound, this is a great chance to get back to winning. I'll go with the OVER on LAA's TT.
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Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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$100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass + 10 Days Free — Save $238!
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After dropping Game 1, the Oklahoma City Thunder bounced back with a 122-113 win over the Spurs in Game 2 on Wednesday night. Oklahoma City’s success was driven in part by a 57-25 edge in bench points, matching the franchise’s highest bench-point total in a playoff game since moving to Oklahoma City in 2008. From a technical standpoint, Game 3 looks to be a low-scoring affair. Since 1996, NBA playoff home favorites of -4 or less are 41-14-2 to the Under (74.5%) in tied series, excluding Game 7s and the NBA Finals. These games have gone under the total by an average margin of 4.8 points per game since 1996. San Antonio is coming off three consecutive road affairs, which is significant because NBA home favorites entering off three straight road games are 319-260-20 to the Under (55.1%) versus opponents coming off a SU and ATS win, including 142-102-7 UNDER (58.2%) since 2020. Both teams have allowed over 110 points in each of the first two games of this series, and NBA playoff teams coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 110 or more points are 111-77-7 to the Under (59%), provided they are not underdogs by more than 1 point. These games have been 90-59-2 to the Under (60.4%) since 2017. Finally, since 2008, NBSA playoff home favorites coming off a straight-up postseason loss are 243-202-7 to the Under (55%), while teams entering off a single-digit loss are 28-20 to the Under (58.3%) since 2014, going under by an average margin of 3.3 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, May 22.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Red-Hot 23-8 (74.2%) Run | +42 Units
-> 150-99 (60.3%) Overall Run | +106 Units
-> #1 Basketball (2025-26): 110-73 | +99 Units
-> #1 NBA (2025-26): 50-31 (61.3%) | +58 Units
-> Epic 112-70 (62%) MLB Run | 4 #1 Titles
-> Top Plays: 50-30 (63%) | +62 Units
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MLB SHARP MONEY MOVE | TORRID 23-8 (74.2%) RUN | 150-99 (60.2%) OVERALL RUN | 112-70 MLB RUN!: $15.00
Jeff Keim is on a WHITE-HOT 23-8 (74.2%) overall run and is the #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI) in 2026, PRODUCING +106 Units of Net Profit! On Thursday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE MLB Sharp Money Move (a large favorite) backed by his POWERFUL SHARP MONEY sources! DON'T MISS IT!PROVEN PERFORMANCE-> Red-Hot 23-8 (74.2%) Run | +42 Units-> 1 ...
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Total Over 2.75 (-124)...(4%) - thru Over 2.75 (-130)
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Finland Veikkausliiga :
Total Over 2.5 (-115)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-125)
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Argentina Primera Nacional :
Total Under 1.5 (120)...(4%) - thru Under 1.5 (+105)
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Japan J League :
Total Over 2.5 (-116)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-125)
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SAT PFL MMA PASS : w/ 4% BEST BETS !!: $29.00
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Marco D'Angelo
Major League Baseball
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The Angels pitchers have been getting torched as the Angels have allowed 6 runs or more in 5 of their L6 games. We also find that the Angels are just 8-17 in games where the line is -125 to +125. The A's send Luis Servino to the mound who has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his L5 starts.
TAKE THE A'S
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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Was $437.00 Now $199.00
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Jose Soriano finds himself in a rare bounce back situation today and despite giving up some runs to the Dodgers last time out still has the 12th best ERA and 8th most strikeouts in baseball. Soriano ranks in the 99th percentile in pitching run value overall and when he’s not punching hitters out he keeping them on the ground. Meanwhile Luis Severino has been on the fade list for much of the season and unsurprisingly gave up 5 earned on 10 hits to the team that’s scored the fewest runs in the majors last time out. We’re getting a decent price with the huge starting pitching mismatch and will play the Angels in the F5.
87.5% (7-1) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!
76.5% (13-4) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!
100% (3-0) MLB RUN!
85.7% (6-1) MLB RUN!
DON’T MISS JIMMY’S 5% MLB TOP PLAY TODAY!
Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
$100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass + 10 Days Free — Save $238!
Was $437.00 Now $199.00
How would you like to bet right alongside your favorite handicapper for the next 40 days for under FIVE BUCKS per day? We've got you covered.A 30-Day All-Access Pass normally runs $299. For a limited time, we're cutting the price by $100 AND tacking on 10 extra days of picks for FREE. Here's how the savings break down:$100 OFF the 30-Day All-Access ...
Pavlos Laguretos
Soccer
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Cruz Azul vs Pumas
Liga MX, Thursday, 10pm ET
Play: Agustin Palavecino 1+ Shot on Target
Odds at Time of Release: -105 DraftKings
Line Parameter: Line good to -125
First leg of the Liga MX Finals, with Cruz Azul playing host to Pumas, and we are going with a player prop here, a player that cashed a TON of tickets for us last summer, none other than Cruz Azul's Agustin Palavecino.
Palavecino 1+ Shots on Target in 4 of L/5 and in 7 of L/9
Palavecino 1+ Shots on Target in 4 of L/5 at home, and in 7 of 11
He took 6 shots, with 2 on Target in the regular season against Pumas, last season (as a Necaxa player) he took 8 shots with 2 on target vs Pumas, and the season before that he took 3 shots with 3 on target vs Pumas.
Take 2% on Agustin Palavecino 1+ Shot on Target (-105 DraftKings), line good to -125
Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago
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WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
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The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your Pavlos releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.Why Pavlos:Profit in 8 of last 9 major tournaments (World Cup, E ...
3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
$100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass + 10 Days Free — Save $238!
Was $437.00 Now $199.00
How would you like to bet right alongside your favorite handicapper for the next 40 days for under FIVE BUCKS per day? We've got you covered.A 30-Day All-Access Pass normally runs $299. For a limited time, we're cutting the price by $100 AND tacking on 10 extra days of picks for FREE. Here's how the savings break down:$100 OFF the 30-Day All-Access ...
Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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The Angels’ latest Keystone Kops episode came last night when wasting three homers but undone by shoddy defense and a couple of key errors leading directly to scores as the A’s rallied for a 10-inning win. It’s gone so bad (we'll say...6-23 the last 29!) for the Halos that they haven’t even been able to rely lately upon April sensation Jose Soriano, who has found May (with a 6.35 ERA) much tougher.
The A’s do many little things the Angels don’t, which is why they are setting the pace in the AL West, and Luis Severino had a 1.88 ERA across a four-start span prior to stumbling vs. the Giants last weekend. Play A’s on Money Line
Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago
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WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
Was $199.00 Now $149.00
The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your expert releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.What You Get:Every World Cup play your expert releases, June 11 ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
