Free Sports Predictions JUL 27: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Zack Wheeler provides the foundation for this first-five Under. He owns a 2.16 ERA, 2.61 xERA and 2.92 FIP, with 43 strikeouts against only three walks across his last four starts. Wheeler has already faced Miami twice this season, limiting the Marlins to one run over 12 innings.

Miami’s offense enters with a .641 OPS against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks. Wheeler has the swing-and-miss ability, command and workload to control that lineup throughout the first five innings.

Tyler Phillips is not being treated as a dominant pitcher. His value here comes from a 47% ground-ball rate and his ability to keep the baseball in the park at home, where he has surrendered only two home runs all season. That profile is useful against Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper in the power-suppressing environment at LoanDepot Park. Philadelphia has also posted a .636 OPS against right-handers recently and arrives after playing Sunday night before traveling to Miami.

Wheeler should keep Miami in check, leaving Phillips enough margin to avoid one major inning. Three total runs cash this bet while exactly four returns the push.

Play: F5 Under 4 (-105)

Released/revised 14 minute(s) ago

Both starters were sharp in their last start. Imai got a win against Miami. He got some extra rest before that start and he seemed refreshed. He held the Marlins to one earned run through six innings and recorded eight strikeouts. Imai commented: "I wasn’t satisfied with the first half of the season, and then I want to just keep trying better. For the last half of the season, I want to get more W's and keep performing better." Urena also allowed just one run through six innings. He's got a dominant 1.15 ERA in three July starts, opposing hitters batting just .151. Four of Urena's last six starts have stayed under the total. Imai has also seen three of his last four finish below the number. As a team, the Angels are 8-2 to the under their past 10. Go with the under. *Good at 8 or better

Released/revised 37 minute(s) ago

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I see no reason to expect the Guardians and Reds to score many runs in tonight's series opener. These two teams are tied for the lowest batting average (.230) in all of baseball. On the road, the Guardians' team batting average slips to .214 (last). The Reds have the lowest team batting average at home (.217). Overall, the Reds are also dead last in wRC+ (89). Both teams are in the bottom five when it comes to runs scored.

The Guardians, who have scored just four runs in the last four games after being shut out both Saturday & Sunday, must now face Chase Burns. Burns has been one of the best starters in all of baseball this season. He's 12-1 (lone loss came on April 10th!) and is holding opponents to a .204 average with 124 strikeouts in 107 2/3 IP. In 16 of his 19 starts, Burns has allowed 2 ER or fewer.

It would be a surprise to see the Reds get to 5 or 6 runs here, which is probably what would be required of them for the Over to cash. This month, they've scored more than five runs in just four games, two of which came at Coors Field. Spencer Steer is probably out of the lineup tonight. Slade Cecconi, starting here for the Guardians, has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his previous 13 outings.

Released/revised 49 minute(s) ago

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The Cubs hold the edge in this matchup with David Peterson taking the mound against Matthew Liberatore. Peterson has developed into a reliable left-hander who consistently keeps hitters off balance with a deep pitch mix, quality command, and the ability to generate weak contact. The 30-year-old southpaw is due for positive regression based on his underlying metrics (4.14 FIP & 4.36 xFIP), which are significantly better than his 5.97 ERA. It should be noted that Peterson is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 3 career appearances against the Cardinals. Liberatore has shown flashes of potential, but he has also been susceptible to stretches where opposing offenses string together hits and elevate his pitch count. The 26-year-old allowed 5 runs on 9 hits over 5.1 innings against the Angels last Tuesday and toes the rubber with a 5.18 ERA, 5.29 xERA, and 4.83 FIP. However, the southpaw is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 12 appearances against the Cubs. St. Louis enters off a 5-3 loss to the Reds in ten innings yesterday, which is significant because MLB home underdogs coming off an extra-innings loss are 248-381 (39.4%; -12.3% ROI), including 103-181 (36.3%; -17.4% ROI) since 2017, losing by an average margin of 1.5 runs per game. Let’s also note that MLB home underdogs coming off a loss in games that start after 4 p.m. Eastern Time are 2380-3346 (41.6%; -5.7% ROI), including 901-1343 (40.2%; -6.8% ROI) since 2018. With the stronger starting pitcher and a more complete roster, the Cubs are well-positioned to earn the victory. Take the Chicago Cubs as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, July 27.

Results That Matter
-> #1 Capper in '26 (WP): 195-144 | +68 Units
-> Profitable 74-54 (58%) Long-Term Run
-> 34 Football (NFL & NCAA) Awards Since 2007
-> NFL '21-'26: 102-72-3 (59%) | 5 Football Titles
-> Epic 128-83 (61%) MLB Run | 4 #1 MLB Titles

Released/revised 43 minute(s) ago

The UNDER is 7-0 this season when the Phillies play on the road following a game in which at least 15 total runs were scored, staying UNDER by an average of 3.5 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 5.1)!

The UNDER is 26-3 (89.7%) since last season when the Phillies play on the road after a win by at least 4 runs, staying UNDER by an average of 2.7 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 6.0)!

The UNDER is 12-0 this season when the Phillies play on the road with the total between 6.5 and 7.5, staying UNDER by an average of 2 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 5.2)!

The UNDER is 18-2-1 (90%) since last season when the Phillies play on the road after scoring at least 9 runs, staying UNDER by an average of 1.9 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 6.7)!

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

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CLE at CIN — July 27, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Projected score: Cincinnati 4.3, Cleveland 3.1
Projected first five: Cincinnati 2.5, Cleveland 1.4
Cleveland enters on a five-game losing streak and was held to four hits and one run across the final two Tampa Bay games. The offense owns a .703 OPS over its latest 11 games and ranks near the bottom of MLB in season runs and OPS.

Cincinnati scored 39 runs in its last ten games, but the trip-ending extra-inning game and immediate return from a nine-game, three-city road trip warrant a 0.28-run flat-spot deduction. Cincinnati’s last-ten relief ERA is 5.28, creating most of Cleveland’s projected late scoring.

Starting-Pitcher Analysis

Slade Cecconi carries a 4.60 ERA, 1.447 WHIP, 82 strikeouts and 34 walks in 103⅔ innings. His road ERA is approximately 4.84, while his July results have been worse than his full-season baseline. The latest start produced 4⅔ innings, seven hits, three earned runs, three walks and five strikeouts.

Cecconi faced Cincinnati twice in 2025:

Elly De La Cruz is 2-for-11 in 12 career plate appearances against Cecconi. Spencer Steer delivered the decisive RBI single in the June 2025 meeting. Eligible matchup record June 2025 matchup

Chase Burns is 12-1 with a 2.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 124 strikeouts in 107⅔ innings. His last seven starts produced a 3.13 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over 37⅓ innings. The home ERA is approximately 2.32. Workload management and rising recent walk volume reduce the projected outing from six-plus innings to 5⅔. Current Burns splits

No qualifying regular-season plate appearances exist between Burns and the projected Cleveland hitters. Spring-training appearances were excluded. Burns’ pitch-quality, handedness splits and current Cleveland production replace the unavailable head-to-head sample.

Projected Box Score

Projected Starting Pitchers

Final Position

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

GOOD TO 150

LISTED STARTERS

SCHERZER/ ALVAREZ

We actually Thought that Scherzer was done for his career with all the injuries but it is his 42 ND birthday today so I guess the Blue Jays owe him something. Regardless, we have a feeling ii is not going to be a Happy Birthday. Max will face the team in MLB that scores the most runs in the league. That is not good for a guy that is sporting a 10.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.73. The Nationals send Andrew Alvarez to the hill and even though Andrew has struggled it is a very good possibility that the Nats just out score a Jays club in disarray.

Don Buster

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

(961) Seattle Mariners at (962) Texas Rangers: Total

First Inning Over 0.5 (100) George Kirby (RHP), Kumar Rocker (RHP) Must Start

Kirby has 6 YRFI in 19 starts with a 3.57 ERA

Rocker is 10-7 YRFI with a 4.13 ERA

Seattle is 3-0 YRFI

Texas is 3-0 & 7-1 YRFI and 3-0 & 10-2 YRFI at home

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

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The Yankees hold a significant edge in this matchup with Max Fried taking the mound against Noah Schultz. Fried has been one of baseball's most dependable starters, combining excellent command, a heavy ground-ball profile, and the ability to work deep into games while limiting hard contact. The 32-year-old allowed one hit and one walk over five scoreless innings against the Pirates last Wednesday and toes the rubber with a 2.97 ERA, 2.50 xERA, 2.59 FIP, and a 3.72 xFIP. Fried is 80-28 (74.1%; +24.5% ROI) and 66-42 RL (61.1%; +26.1% ROI) in games with totals of eight or more runs, provided he is not favored by more than -214, winning by an average margin of 2.3 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 32-8 (80%; +24.5% ROI) and 27-12 RL (69.2%; +42.3% ROI) as favorites of -145 or greater following a game as underdogs in which they finished with ten or more strikeouts, winning by an average margin of 2.9 runs per game. Schultz possesses tremendous upside, but facing one of the league's most dangerous lineups is a difficult challenge for a young pitcher still gaining major-league experience. The Yankees also feature a clear advantage in the bullpen, giving them reliable late-inning options to protect any lead Fried provides.

New York’s Bullpen Metrics

• 3.09 ERA (2nd in MLB)

• 3.44 xERA (2nd)

• 3.69 FIP (5th)

• 3.7 WAR (8th)

Chicago’s bullpen enters tonight’s game ranked 18th in xERA (4.10), 16th in FIP (4.18), and 20th in xFIP (4.38). Chicago's offense has struggled to consistently produce against quality left-handed pitching, and Fried's ability to change speeds should keep hitters off balance throughout the game. The White Sox are 19th in AVG (.240) and have the seventh-highest strikeout percentage (23.6% K%) in MLB. Moreover, Chicago ranks 23rd in AVG (.235), 20th in OBP (.311), and 7th in K% (24.7%) versus left-handed pitchers. With the superior starting pitcher, a much deeper lineup, and an overall roster advantage, the Yankees are well-positioned to come away with the victory. Take the New York Yankees as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, July 27.

Results That Matter
-> #1 Capper in '26 (WP): 195-144 | +68 Units
-> Profitable 74-54 (58%) Long-Term Run
-> 34 Football (NFL & NCAA) Awards Since 2007
-> NFL '21-'26: 102-72-3 (59%) | 5 Football Titles
-> Epic 128-83 (61%) MLB Run | 4 #1 MLB Titles

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

As the Bosox have lost only twice in nearly four weeks, we’re not sticking out necks out too far by recommending them, but can’t help thinking that the value remains decent at Sacramento tonight. Especially as starter Peyton Tolle has posted a 2.83 road ERA this season.

We have to lay the extra run for that more-appealing price, but the host A’s are providing a rather large target, losing 23 of 29 to drop far off of AL wild-card contention. The recent move of Monday starter Jack Perkins (6.75 ERA) into the rotation is looking more like a faulty roll of the dice by an increasingly-desperate Mark Kotsay. Play Red Sox on Run Line

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

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Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

The Brewers just continue to win. After putting an 11 spot on the Rockies in a blowout yesterday, the Brew Crew has now won 7 of 9 coming out of the All Star break. They’ve plated 19 runs over their past 2 games and have the 2^nd best record in baseball as they head to San Francisco for a 3 game set. Brandon Sproat gets things started and he’s been very effective as of late, holding the opponent to 2 earned or fewer in 5 straight trips to the bump. Milwaukee also has the 4^th best bullpen in baseball to back him up once he exits. The Giants have dropped 6 of 8 and these two teams are simply in different weight classes. Take the Brewers.

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(973) Toronto Blue Jays at (974) Washington Nationals: Total

Total Over 10.0 (-105) Max Scherzer (RHP), Andrew Alvarez (LHP) Must Start

Washington Nationals Performance Analysis:

• Elite Home "Over" Trends: The Nationals have been one of the most consistent high-scoring teams in the league at home, posting a 32-20 (61.5%) OU record. This trend reaches elite levels in specific situational spots; at home, in night games, when facing a right-handed starter, they are a staggering 17-4-1 (81.0%) OU.

• Offensive Rhythm: Washington’s bats are currently in a high-production cycle, averaging 6.5 runs per game and 14.5 hits and walks over their last 6 games.

• Pitching Vulnerability: Alvarez has struggled recently, posting a 4.22 ERA and 1.481 WHIP overall. His form has regressed significantly over the past month, where he carries a bloated 5.57 ERA and a 1.667 WHIP across 3 starts, suggesting he will allow plenty of early traffic.

Toronto Blue Jays Performance Analysis:

• Consistent High-Total Overs: Since May 29, Toronto has leaned heavily toward the over in games where oddsmakers project scoring. They are 20-10 (66.7%) OU in games with a total of 8 or higher.

• Offensive Contact Quality: While the run production was variable in their recent series at Boston, the contact quality was high, as they totaled 33 hits over the 3-game span.

• Scherzer’s Struggles: The legendary starter has been a major "Over" catalyst this season, struggling with a 10.23 ERA and a 1.727 WHIP through 5 starts. His inability to limit damage

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

With all due respect to Trent Dilfer, a change was desperately needed in Birmingham after a disastrous 9–21 tenure. Alex Mortensen was given the full-time nod after leading the final six games as the interim head coach, and we're looking for improvement from the Blazers in 2026. After spending nine years under Nick Saban at Alabama, Mortensen was held in high regard among a lot of coaching circles. In his first game with the headset after Dilfer's dismissal last year, Mortensen led the Blazers to a nationally-televised upset over then-No. 22 Memphis. Oddsmakers are only asking UAB to match last year's win total of four, and we believe that is a goal the Blazers can reach. Redshirt junior Ryder Burton is expected to get the nod at quarterback, and just like Mortensen, he made his debut against Memphis in the middle of last season. Burton went 20-of-27 for 251 yards and three touchdowns in his first start, showing that he was ready to lead the offense. Burton is already married, which is just one example of a very experienced roster that Mortensen is working with this year. According to RotoWire, UAB has the sixth-oldest roster in the country with an average age of 20.8 years old. UAB opens the season at Illinois, but then has extra time to prepare for win-able non-conference games against Louisiana and UL-Monroe. UAB plays FCS-level Samford after Navy, so that gives the Blazers a comfortable landing spot after a physical game against the Midshipmen. UAB will enjoy a bye at the end of October before finishing with a not-so-daunting closing stretch that includes Charlotte, Temple and a re-loading North Texas squad. UAB's program was in complete disarray last year, but the Blazers still won four games. We believe they can, at the least, match that total in 2026.

Released/revised 6 day(s) ago

They can't set this line high enough. The Sooners are a legitimate top 20 team. Loaded with talent and experience, they're looking to improve on last season's 10 wins. That starts with a blowout of UTEP. Now in the Mountain West, the Miners are in a transitional/rebuilding year. The Sooners won the last two meetings by a combined score of 101-20, an average of 50.5 to 10. The Sooners had an 1168 to 483 edge in yards in those games. With Oklahoma scoring early and often, this has all the makings of another 40+ point blowout. *good up to -42

Released/revised 6 day(s) ago

The Browns have beaten Jacksonville three straight times. However, their last meeting was in 2024. Jacksonville was the much better team last season and is expected to be again this year. The Jaguars were 13-4 last regular season and 12-4-1 against the spread. (Remember, they were just 4-13 in 2024.) The Browns were 5-12 on the season, 8-9 ATS. The Jags were 10-2 against AFC teams. The Browns were 2-10. This year, the Jags are projected to win 8.5 to 9.5 games while the Browns are expected to win 5.5 to 6.5. The Jags have the majority of their offensive starters back. The Jags also had the best run defense in the NFL last season, allowing an average of only 85.2 rushing yards per game. They were the only team in the league to hold opponents under 90 yards on the ground. The Browns have a new coach and numerous question marks. They may improve this year but it's unlikely to happen immediately. I've got the Jags winning by double-digits.

Released/revised 6 day(s) ago