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Oskeim Sports NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(567) Golden State Warriors at (568) Los Angeles Clippers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 220.5 (-110)

Golden State ended the regular season with three consecutive losses to the Lakers (119-103), Kings (124-118), and Clippers (115-110). The final scores in those defeats are significant because the NBA playoff teams coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 110 or more points are 104-71-7 to the Under (59.4%), provided they aren’t underdogs of a certain amount. This situation has been 78-51-2 to the Under (60.5%) since 2018. Since 2018, NBA playoff games between teams that have four or fewer matchup losses on the season are 282-230-11 to the Under (55.1%). Since 2000, NBA playoff home favorites of two or more points are 41-32-1 to the Under (56.2%) in Game 1 of a series with totals over 220 points, including 41-29-1 UNDER (58.6%) since 2015, going under by an average of 3.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA favorites in Game 1 of the opening round of the playoffs are 89-67-3 to the Under (57.1%), including 24-15 UNDER (61.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.4 points per game. The under fits a 1299-980-74 (57%) NBA trend since 2001, backing unders and invests on unders in games with totals lower than both teams' last three games. Take the Under as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 15.

DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD

• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 113-79 | +71 Units
• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 41-23 (64.1%)
• #1 Basketball Handicapper (Units): 90-59 (60.4%)
• #1 NBA Handicapper (ROI): 29-16 (64.4%)

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(913) Kansas City Royals at (914) Detroit Tigers: Riley Greene Hits + Runs + RBIs
Date/Time:
Play:
Riley Greene Hits + Runs + RBIs Over 1.5 (-116) Action

Hitting 4th with a great history vs Lugo and a 280 average the last week I like Greene to get the over here.

Riley Greene (DET) — vs Seth Lugo — 1.056 OPS, 16 AB.

  • Riley Greene.280.

The Royals bullpen currently ranks 20th so I expect some runs from Detroit and Greene to be the catalyst.

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Tokyo Brandon KBO Tab KBO League

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Event:
(304659) Kiwoom Heroes at (304660) Kia Tigers: F5 Total
Date/Time:
Play:
F5 Total Under 4.5 (-105)

Two good starters, the worry is KIA wrecks this but Alcantara held them to 1ER in 8IP last season and probably can hold them to 3 or less. Kiwoom has been terrible so 1 would be my ceiling expectation for them.

Team

Starting Pitcher

RPG (10)

RPG L10 (10)

SP Career Rank (10)

Career WHIP

SP Season ERA

SP Season WHIP

KIWOOM

ALCANTARA Raul

9

9

0.7

1.12

3.57

1.47

KIA

NAILE James

5

2

0.2

1.16

2.50

0.83

Projection

  • 1st 5 innings: KIA 2.8 – Kiwoom 1.0

  • Full game: KIA 5.6 – Kiwoom 3.0

Reasoning and calculations

Baseline game environment

  • The matchup page shows Kiwoom 4-11, KIA 8-7, with team snapshot stats of Kiwoom .238 BA / 5.26 ERA / 8 HR and KIA .270 BA / 4.93 ERA / 14 HR entering the game. That gives KIA the stronger current baseline on both offense and overall team quality.

Starter IP expectation

  • Alcántara 2026: 17⅔ IP in 3 starts = about 5.9 IP/start.

  • Naile 2026: 18 IP in 3 starts = exactly 6.0 IP/start.

Projected leash:

  • Alcántara: 5 1/3 IP

  • Naile: 6 0/3 IP

Naile gets the longer leash because:

  • his current run prevention is better,

  • KIA is at home,

  • Kiwoom’s offense is weaker entering the day.

Kiwoom projected hitters

Hitter

AB

BB

H

2B

3B

HR

SO

Lee Joo-hyung

4

0

1

0

0

0

1

An Chi-hong

4

0

1

0

0

0

1

Park Chan-hyeok

4

0

1

1

0

0

1

Aaron Brooks

3

1

1

0

0

0

1

Park Joo-hong

4

0

1

0

0

1

1

Kim Ji-seok

4

0

1

1

0

0

1

Kim Gun-hee

3

1

1

0

0

0

1

Yum Seung-won

4

0

0

0

0

0

2

Oh Sun-jin / Park Han-gyeol

3

0

1

0

0

0

1

KIA projected hitters

Hitter

AB

BB

H

2B

3B

HR

SO

Jarryd Dale

5

0

1

0

0

0

1

Kim Ho-ryung

4

0

1

0

0

1

1

Kim Sun-bin

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Kim Do-young

4

1

2

1

0

1

1

Na Sung-bum

4

0

2

1

0

0

1

Han Jun-su

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Park Min

3

1

0

0

0

0

1

Kim Kyu-sung

4

0

1

1

0

0

0

Park Jae-hyun

4

0

1

0

0

0

1


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Ben Burns NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(581) Atlanta Hawks at (582) New York Knicks: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
New York Knicks -5.0 (-110)

Lots to like about New York. The Knicks are arguably stronger than the team which went to the Eastern Conference Finals last season. They're balanced and experienced. Their 53 regular season wins is the most since 2013. They have an excellent 30-10 home record. They've covered five straight. One might of thought trading Trae Young would hurt the Hawks. It didn't. They went 28-15 after getting rid of Young. However, if you look more closely, many of those 28 wins came against bad and/or short-handed teams. The Hawks still deserve credit for winning those games and getting here. However, I expect the Knicks to be too much for them on Saturday. *good at -6 or better

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(901) Chicago Cubs at (902) Philadelphia Phillies: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Chicago Cubs 122 Shota Imanaga (LHP), Jesus Luzardo (LHP) Must Start

Backing the Cubs as the underdog in this one

Today’s MLB Betting Show:

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Steve Merril MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(913) Kansas City Royals at (914) Detroit Tigers: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Detroit Tigers -125 Seth Lugo (RHP), Jack Flaherty (RHP) Must Start

Kansas City starter Seth Lugo projects to give up 2.8 runs with a 4.42 ERA and 1.44 WHIP.  Detroit’s lineup has hit a solid .291 (46-158) with a strong .851 OPS against Lugo in his career.  The Tigers will start Jack Flaherty.  The righty projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.34 ERA and 1.15 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in Detroit’s favor, look for the Tigers to get a solid home win on Wednesday night.

Play TIGERS (-).

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Teddy Covers NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Orlando Magic at (562) Philadelphia 76ers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 224.0 (-108)

Take Philadelphia - Orlando OVER (#561-562)

I don't trust either side in Wednesday Night's Magic - 76ers Play-In Game, but the Over sure makes sense to this bettor. Philly is without their stud low post defender Joel Embiid. Orlando played at the 4th fastest pace in the NBA over their last ten games, while going 14-6 to the Over in their last 20. Philly, too, was a 'Top 10 in pace' team after the All Star Break. The betting markets tend to love Unders in the NBA Playoffs, but every sharp dollar for this game has showed for the OVER -- the wiseguys are expecting tempo and offensive efficiency here. I concur with that expectation. Expect points and pace; a game primed to fly OVER the total with room to spare. Take the OVER.

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Joe Raineri NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(567) Golden State Warriors at (568) Los Angeles Clippers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 221.5 (-114)

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Bryan Leonard NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(7) Toronto Maple Leafs at (8) Ottawa Senators: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-145)

7 Toronto at Ottawa

Money has poured in on the Senators here, because the Maple Leafs have no motivation to win and take themselves out of the bottom five draft pick race. But in reality, what is the Ottawa motivation? This team is already locked into the playoff picture, and already knows who to prepare for. Do you really think they have been preparing for Toronto?

The Maple Leafs will be playing young guys who have dreamt about playing in the NHL. They will come to play. But while Toronto will likely find a way to lose, what’s wrong with taking the puck line in a game with low motivation for the favorite?

PLAY TORONTO +1 1/2

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Bryan Power NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(567) Golden State Warriors at (568) Los Angeles Clippers: Team Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Clippers Total Over 113.5 (-105)

Looking at tonight's Play-In matchup in the Western Conference, I certainly believe the Clippers are the more likely team to stay alive. But rather than lay the points, I think betting them to go Over their team total is the best course of action. The market seems to agree with me on this!

Golden State was not good defensively during the regular season. They allowed an average of 115.2 points per game. Now, surprisingly, the Clippers did not score more than 115 in any of the four head to head regular season meetings against the Dubs (despite winning three of them). But they did score 114 and 115 respectively in the last two. That would (obviously) be enough for us here.

Since December 20th, the Clippers are 36-19 SU while averaging 115.2 PPG. If you like them to cover the spread, it makes sense to bet them Over the team total night. Me personally, I don't want to lay points to Steph Curry in a playoff setting. But I don't have a lot of confidence in the Warriors' defense either.

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Ross Benjamin NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Orlando Magic at (562) Philadelphia 76ers: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Orlando Magic +2.5 (-115)

The 76ers will once again be without Joel Embiid (26.9 PPG/7.7 RPG/3.9 APG) who's sidelined after going through an appendectomy last week. I say once again because Embiid has only played 38 games all season. However, it must be noted, Philadelphia has gone 24-14 SU when Embiid plays and 21-23 SU without him. The 76ers have averaged 7.2 points scored per game less without Embiid in the lineup as opposed to with him. Furthermore, Philadelphia has gone a dismal 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when facing teams like Orlando (45-37) who had a winning record.

The Magic are coming off a loss at Boston in their regular season finale which halted a 5-game win streak. Orlando has gone 8-0 SU this season on the road when coming off a road loss, and they're facing an opponent like Philadelphia (45-37/.549) who has a win percentage of worse than .600.

Bet the Orlando Magic as a point-spread underdog of +1.0 or higher.

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Don Buster MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(917) Tampa Bay Rays at (918) Chicago White Sox: F5 Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
F5 Chicago White Sox -115 Jesse Scholtens (RHP), Sean Burke (RHP) Must Start

LISTED STARTERS

SCHOLTENS/ BURKE

GOOD TO MINUS 125

You will not see this too often this year but yes the White Sox are favored for the First 5 tonight. We believe it is for good reason. TB sends Jesse Scholtens to the hill and Jesse has thrown only 13 innings of MLB since 2023. In 2023 he was not that good and he has not been very impressive. He did allow no runs over 4 2 /3 RD innings against the Cubs at home this season. However he now hits the road making his first start since 2023. He will have trouble on the road even though he did pitch for Chicago in 2023. The White Sox send Sean Burke to the hill. Burke is much better pitching at home than on the road. We like Burke to have a decent season for the White Sox. Chicago are coming off of a loss yesterday and we will look for the pesky White Sox to jump to a early lead.

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Andy Lang MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(909) New York Mets at (910) Los Angeles Dodgers: Shohei Ohtani Earned Runs
Date/Time:
Play:
Shohei Ohtani Earned Runs Under 1.5 (-118) Home Listed Pitcher Must Start

Ohtani has been dominant to start the season, not allowing a single earned run through his first two starts. The stuff looks sharp, and when he’s commanding his pitches like this, it’s extremely difficult for any lineup to string together runs.

The matchup couldn’t be better. The Mets’ offense is ice cold right now, scoring just 1 total run over their last three games. That kind of form makes it very tough to generate sustained pressure against an elite arm.

Even if Ohtani isn’t stretched out deep into the game, that actually helps this prop—fewer innings means fewer chances to give up runs. With strong current form and a struggling opponent, this is a great spot for him to keep the earned run column clean or minimal.

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Dwayne Bryant MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(905) Washington Nationals at (906) Pittsburgh Pirates: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 9.0 (100) Jake Irvin (RHP), Mason Montgomery (LHP) Must Start

Key Situational Angle:

Play UNDER on home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 if they're stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed no errors.

Applies to Pittsburgh.

49-28-4 (64%) since the 2022 season.

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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44-21 68% ANGLE | NBA TOP PLAY: $25.00

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Oskeim Sports NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Orlando Magic at (562) Philadelphia 76ers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 223.5 (-110)

Orlando finished the regular season with a 113-108 loss to the Celtics as 13-point favorites, which is significant because NBA playoff road underdogs coming off an upset loss as favorites in which they blew a double-digit lead are 22-11-3 to the Under (66.7%), going under by an average margin of 5.8 points per game. Orlando’s season-ending defeat is also relevant because the Magic are 28-10 to the Under (73.7%) coming off an upset loss as favorites, going under by an average of 6.1 points per game. Since 2000, NBA playoff home favorites of two or more points are 41-32-1 to the Under (56.2%) in Game 1 of a series with totals over 220 points, including 41-29-1 UNDER (58.6%) since 2015, going under by an average of 3.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA favorites in Game 1 of the opening round of the playoffs are 89-67-3 to the Under (57.1%), including 24-15 UNDER (61.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.4 points per game. Since 2018, NBA playoff games between teams that have four or fewer matchup losses on the season are 282-230-11 to the Under (55.1%). Finally, Philadelphia ended the regular season with a 126-106 home win over the Bucks, which triggers a very good 71-58-4 (55%) postseason system of mine that dates to 2017 and invests on the under in games involving home favorites entering off a home win. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 15.

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Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Orlando Magic at (562) Philadelphia 76ers: Paolo Banchero Points + Rebounds
Date/Time:
Play:
Paolo Banchero Points + Rebounds Over 31.5 (-125)

Although the Magic as a team haven’t experienced much success in the NBA post season, Paolo Banchero locks in at this time of the year as he averaged 37.8 in Orlando’s 4-1 series loss to Boston in the first round last season. We’re going to take him over 31.5 points + rebounds against a Philadelphia team that will be playing without Joel Embiid. Banchero averaged 31.9 points + rebounds in road games this season compared to 29.2 points + rebounds in home games with tonight’s game being played in Philly. In two head-to-head games against the 76ers Banchero averaged 32 points + rebounds per game and although his production slightly dropped in April, he’ll still be the focal point of this Magic offense tonight. Banchero averaged nearly 35 minutes per game this season and as long as he stays out of foul trouble and the game stays close he could hover near 40 minutes while averaging 35.3 points + rebounds per 40 minutes played this season. The 76ers ranked bottom 10 in rebounding percentage this regular season and with both teams running at a top 10 pace in the last 10 games of the regular season, we should see additional possessions for Banchero to fill up the stat sheet tonight. Look for Banchero to take advantage of scoring and rebounding opportunities inside going over 31.5 points + rebounds with the winner of this game taking on the Celtics in the first round of the playoffs.

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Jesse Schule NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(561) Orlando Magic at (562) Philadelphia 76ers: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Philadelphia 76ers -120

This is a free play on Philly.

No Joel Embiid, here is why I like Philly anyway. They get a home game against a Magic team has been a major disappointment. I expect the Magic to fire their head coach this off-season. The fact that this team ranked 1st in opponent scoring last year, and allowed a whopping 10 points more per game this year is unacceptable. Nick Nurse? Yeah you can see he can coach. He has a championship ring and a coach of the year award to prove it. He also has multiple championships in the D-League, as well as a coach of the year. The Sixers have home court, experience and superior coaching. I'll take that all day in the post-season.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(927) Colorado Rockies at (928) Houston Astros: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Houston Astros -184 Action

After losing the final eight games of their road trip, including all three at Colorado, the Astros were happy to finally play a home game yesterday. It didn't start well though as they quickly fell behind 3-0. They didn't let it phase them and quickly erased the deficit. They eventually won 7-6. Spencer Arrighetti is expected to get the call and he's got dominant numbers at Triple-A this season. In three starts, he's got a 1.26 ERA and 0.77 WHIP, striking out 20 in less than 15 innings. Opposing hitters are batting only .111 against him. Order restored, expect the Astros to carry the positive momentum into today's game, as they make it two in a row.

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Will Rogers NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(5) Detroit Red Wings at (6) Florida Panthers: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Florida Panthers 120

Free Pick | Florida Panthers - ML (Good until -110).

With both teams out of the playoff race and this game being a non-factor in anything, this looks like a good time to start trying things that might work for next season. Detroit saw another solid season slip away in the final couple of weeks while the Panthers were riddled with injuries all season long. I think that Florida is the stronger of the two teams at the moment and playing at home, in the final game here of the season, I like the defending back-to-back champs to finish the season with another win.

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

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Bruce Marshall NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(7) Toronto Maple Leafs at (8) Ottawa Senators: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 6.5 (-105)

The season should have ended weeks ago for the Maple Leafs, who are long since eliminated from playoff contention and bringing a six-game losing streak into tonight’s reg-season finale at Ottawa.

Injuries, not the least of which to Auston Matthews a bit over a month ago, effectively sabotaged this campaign for Toronto, putting HC Craig Berube's position in jeopardy after GM Brad Treviling already walked the plank. Now, with GK Anthony Stolarz out, Joseph Woll and Artur Akhtyamov been handling the goalie chores...and not too well, either. Though Woll has been slightly better than Akhtyamov, he’s also having a miserable time of it lately, with a 4.74 GAA and .825 saves in thee April appearances. Shorthanded Toronto has also stopped playing defense, allowing 32 goals in the six-game skid, and four of the last five losses have featured eight or more goals.

Meanwhile the Sens are hitting the postseason hot, having scored 23 goals across their last five games, and readying for an opening-round matchup vs. the Hurricanes. We look "over" 6.5 goals at -105, and would not mind laying as much as -110 in Ottawa tonight. Play Leafs-Senators “Over”

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(907) Miami Marlins at (908) Atlanta Braves
Date/Time:
Play:
Atlanta Braves -1 (-124) Action

Off to a hot start this season, the Braves are 3rd in total runs scored, batting average, and OPS as of Tuesday evening and send a pitcher with a 1.02 ERA to the mound as this series concludes. Bryce Elder has allowed just 2 earned runs over his 3 starts this year to go along with 16 strikeouts. The ATL also has the 4th best bullpen in terms of ERA. Chris Paddack was lit up for 8 earned by the White Sox in his season debut, and although he’s recovered in his last 2 outings, his stuff is soft, he doesn’t strike out many batters, and he gets hit hard. Take the Braves -1.

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Kyle Anthony MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24521) John Castaneda at (24522) Mark Vologdin
Date/Time:
Play:
John Castaneda -115

~ Adding breakdown soon ~

FREE PLAY: John Castaneda -115

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