Bryan Leonard
Event: (263) Cincinnati Bengals at (264) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110)
264 Cincinnati at Detroit
Extremely tough scheduling situation for the Bengals. Coming off a very emotional overtime loss to the Packers, with a trip to division rival Baltimore on deck. It also doesn’t help that your star quarterback was injured in that contest.
Detroit has been on the cusp of a victory more than once this season, but continue to find ways to enter the loss column. But we like the energy this team has played with this season, despite the lack of elite talent. Detroit has been better than many people projected, it’s time to get over the hump here.
PLAY DETROIT
Bobby Ligs
Event: (263) Cincinnati Bengals at (264) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions +3.5 (-115)
3% play Det +3 or more
The Prez
Event: (259) Minnesota Vikings at (260) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (-115)
259 Minnesota Vikings at 260 Carolina Panthers +2.5, 46
The National Football League savvy fan understood what it meant when the Carolina Panthers went from one-point home chalk to nearly three-point home dogs on Friday. The announcement that hybrid tailback Christian McCaffrey will miss as much as another three weeks to injury has flipped the script in this NFC affair.
The Carolina Panthers (3-2) host the Minnesota Vikings (2-3). The Panthers lost in ugly fashion a week ago to the Philadelphia Eagles. The Vikings enter the Carolinas off a much-needed victory over their division rival Detroit Lions.
The Panthers are not as good as their 3-2 record. Not without McCaffrey or the current form of Sam Darnold. Minnesota has gotten healthier and shown marked improvement on the defensive side of the ball across the first five games of the season. Free Pick is a play on the visiting Vikings minus the field goal.
Steve Merril
Event: (265) Los Angeles Rams at (266) New York Giants
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Los Angeles Rams -8.0 (-110)
-Los Angeles last played on a Thursday, so they have extra rest; average 6.8 yards per play
-New York has one lucky win in overtime; injuries to their main offensive players; disarray
-Rams defense allows just 20.5 points per game on the road; will stifle an anemic NY offense
Play RAMS (-).
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Tony Finn
Event: (259) Minnesota Vikings at (260) Carolina Panthers
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Minnesota Vikings -2.5 (-115)
The Minnesota Vikings have won two of three since starting the season 0-2. Conversely, the Panthers have lost two straight after a perfect 3-0 beginning to 2021. The Vikes rallied to earn a victory over the winless Detroit Lions and failed to cover as 10-point home chalk. Carolina failed to cover as 2.5 point faves over Philadelphia losing straight up 21-18.
The opening number in this Week 6 NFC event found the Panthers as short home chalk. The combination of sharp money and the Friday announcement that all-everything tailback Christian McCaffrey will miss as much as another three weeks to injury.
The movement in this contest is correct in my opinion. The less-than-dynamic duo of McCaffrey being an inactive and poor form of Carolina QB Sam Darnold make Kirk Cousins and a healthy Dalvin Cook the side to back.
Marco D'Angelo
Event: (263) Cincinnati Bengals at (264) Detroit Lions
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Detroit Lions +3.5 (-110)
This is a major sandwich spot for Cincinnati as last week they played Green Bay and did everything but win the game. Missing a FG in OT and 2 key TO’s did them in. Bottom line they played good enough to win so after a gut wrenching loss in OT will they be flat this week? Considering they play division rival Baltimore next week makes this the perfect look a head spot I mean after all Detroit is winless. For Detroit this would also be a sandwich spot if they weren’t winless as they are coming off a gut wrenching loss to division rival Minnesota and next week they go to LA in what should be a very interesting reunion as Jared Goff and Matthew Stafford face off against their former teams. But you can’t really look past anyone when you haven’t won a game all season. Should Cincinnati really be a road favorite over anyone? Note 4 of Cincy’s 5 games have been decided by 3 points or less
DETROIT 27-26
Adam Trigger
Event: (261) Los Angeles Chargers at (262) Baltimore Ravens
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 1PM EDT
Play: Baltimore Ravens -3.0 (-105)
Ravens (1PM ET CBS) – I’ll fill out my Week 6 NFL card with a move for the 1PM ET wave of games and it brings us to another one of the marquee battles on this NFL Week 6 board when the Baltimore Ravens take on the Los Angeles Chargers at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland.
There’s absolutely no question the Chargers have improved but this team is still a tad overrated in my opinion and I’m going to take a shot at them going west to east for an early kickoff here. Baltimore, also 4-1 entering play today, is one of the true elite teams in the league and the Ravens have now rattled off four straight wins since losing in overtime in Las Vegas to open the season. The Chargers got their big, signature win last weekend over Cleveland but I’m certain that win doesn’t happen without the Browns having a plethora of injuries with some occurring in that game. The Chargers lost key players on their defense this past offseason, Justin Herbert and the offense have made up for it but Baltimore’s offense is elite and the Ravens will manage enough stops to maintain the upper hand here.
A big reason I’m on Baltimore here is I just don’t think the Chargers have an answer for Lamar Jackson. The Chargers have a weak linebacking corps and it’s not going to matter if they bring pressure because Jackson is either going to scramble or get rid of the ball quickly. Jackson threw for 442 yards against the Colts on Monday and he should be able to get what he wants against a Chargers defense that is soft over the middle. Baker Mayfield shredded the Chargers defense to the tune of 301 yards passing and 531 yards of total offense and he was missing half of his offensive line in that game. The Chargers have not been good against the run this season, there’s so many different ways the Ravens can attack this Chargers defense and I simply can’t see Los Angeles having answers for all of them here.
Baltimore is better defensively than what they showed against the Colts on Monday and I expect a better effort from the Ravens defense here. Herbert and the Chargers offense have been as good as any in the league, so I expect the Ravens to be on high-alert defensively from the outset. The Chargers offensive line has done an excellent job protecting Herbert but the Ravens have a formidable pass rush so I think we see the Ravens generate some pressure here. Historically, Pacific Time Zone teams like the Chargers struggle with the 1PM ET kickoff and I think the situation creates a flat spot for the Chargers here. The Chargers got their big win over the Browns last week and now have to fly across the country for an early kick before their bye week. These players haven’t had any time off in months so it’s just natural that guys might have their minds on some time off and if the Chargers aren’t ultra-focused there’s no way they go on the road and beat the Ravens this afternoon.
The Chargers have attracted a boatload of money from the betting public this week which doesn’t surprise me as the Chargers and Justin Herbert have been the public “darlings” all season long. The Ravens haven’t been great against the number this season, and because of that I think Baltimore has become undervalued by bettors and in the betting market. Baltimore didn’t play well until late on Monday, that was a 25-9 Colts lead with 12 minutes to go and it wasn’t until Jackson went completely nuts late that the Ravens were able to tie the game and eventually win in overtime. This spot is reminiscent of earlier this season when the Ravens lost focus on a Monday night game and lost to the Raiders, only to come back the next weekend and pull an upset win over the Chiefs. This is another big game, Baltimore has a history of showing up for the “big” games and I expect a focused effort from start to finish for the Ravens here.
I hate laying a field goal in the NFL ever but this is a scenario where I feel if not for the ridiculous amount of public love for the Chargers the line would be in the -4 or -5 range. Baltimore has been one of the toughest outs at home in the NFL for the past decade and the Chargers have had no history of winning on the road until literally this season as they have managed to knock off Football Team and Chiefs in their two road games so far in 2021. The Chargers aren’t going to win road game after road game, especially not on the east coast, so I’ll play for a bit of a market correction here. I still have Baltimore as the better of these two teams and I’ll lay the small number and ask the Ravens to get it done at home this afternoon. Play on Ravens -3 (-105) for 4% (or 4 units)
Kevin Dolan
Event: (201233) AS Roma at (201234) Juventus
Sport/League: ISAL (See all free italy-serie-a picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: Juventus -114
We like Juventus to get the home win here on Sunday against Roma.
Both teams heading on opposite trajectories right now with Juventus overcoming a terrible start to the season to now going on a three game winning run, holding a 7.08 to 2.54 xG advantage over those three games as well.
Roma meanwhile were red-hot to start the season, sitting on top after three games, but since then have won just two of their last four and have beaten Juventus just once on the road over their last twelve attempts in this venue.
Take Juventus on the moneyline for Sunday to beat Roma in Turin.
PLAY: JUVENTUS ML -114
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Tony Mejia
Event: (607) Phoenix Mercury at (608) Chicago Sky
Sport/League: WNBA (See all free WNBA picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 3PM EDT
Play: Phoenix Mercury +4.5 (-110)
After being embarrassed by the Sky 86-50, Phoenix will now look to avoid elimination by forcing a Game 5 in Chicago. This isn't going to be a daunting challenge mentally for the veteran Mercury, but they do have to solve some issues on both sides of the ball that allowed the home team to get comfortable early and essentially coast to an easy home win. Phoenix's only win in these WNBA Finals was registered in OT but it has faced elimination multiple times this postseason and come away victorious. The Mercury may not prevent the Sky from celebrating a first-ever championship at Wintrust Arena in front of Chance the Rapper and the rest of their fans, but I think they'll be in the game for the duration, covering the spread if not pulling the outright upset. Take the 4.5 points with Phoenix.
Las Vegas Cris
Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115)
(Free Plays 65-36 64%* *45-23 L/68 66%) New Orleans free play winner last week. Let's keep them coming. I'm going to go with an unpopular side for this one. Cleveland at home is getting all the love so far, and Arizona has to be due for a loss, don't they? Well. I'm not stepping in front of that bus, and I like the fact the Cardinals were flat last week and still came away with the win. My numbers show value here with the Cardinals getting a FG. Arizona Cardinals +3.0 (-115) https://bit.ly/3v9yi87 Feel free to subscribe to my constantly updating YouTube Channel
Dave Cokin
Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Cleveland Browns -3.0 (-120)
Cleveland still finds ways to lose games they should win, but the fact is this team could be unbeaten right now. The Cardinals are unbeaten but while they're obviously playing good football, they're also getting a little lucky. Arizona could easily have lost last Sunday against a shorthanded 49ers entry. SF had a stopped on downs at the one yard line and basically ended up leaving too many points off the board in the seven point loss. I tend to like games where both teams are off misleading results and that's the case here. Cleveland minus the field goal is my play.
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Teddy Covers
Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Arizona Cardinals +3.5 (-110)
Take Arizona (#267)
The Browns gained 7.8 yards per play at LA last Sunday. The league average is in the 5.5 range. The NFL’s second worst defense this season – the awful Lions – has allowed 6.5 yards per play. KC, who has faced one high scoring, big play offense after the next, ranks dead last at 7.1 yards per play. Cleveland was in an AVERAGE of 2nd and 2 on every second down last week. They didn’t commit a single turnover. And they lost, becoming the first team in NFL HISTORY to lose a game with 40+ points, 500+ yards and zero turnovers. Which tells us, very clearly, that there are problems in Cleveland. When you can’t win playing a near perfect offensive game it’s an issue!
The Browns injury report is downright ugly. They’ve got cluster injuries on the offensive line, with both starting tackles questionable at best for Sunday – no surprise here if both Jack Conklin and Jedrick Wills sit this week. That comes on the heels of injuries to Chris Hubbard and Nick Harris earlier; both guys out on Sunday. And the Browns have got cluster injuries in their secondary. MJ Stewart is out, Denzel Ward, Greedy Williams and Greg Newsome are questionable at best. Pass rushing stud Jadeveon Clowney is banged up as is his counterpart on the other side, Myles Garrett. Both guys missed Wednesday practice, as did top two RB’s Kareem Hunt and Nick Chubb, center JC Tretter, TE David Njoku and Clowney’s backup at DE Takk McKinley. This, folks, is NOT a healthy team.
Arizona did something last week they hadn’t done in the Kyler Murray era – they won a game when scoring only 17 points, the first time they’ve been able to accomplish that in the Kliff Kingsbury/Kyler Murray era. This team drafted defense, they emphasized defense throughout camp, and now they’ve proven that the defense is good enough to win games even when the offense isn’t clicking. That’s a real confidence boost for an undefeated team; a team that shouldn’t be underdogs in this pointspread range against a flawed favorite like Cleveland on Sunday, even without Rodney Hudson or Chandler Jones in the lineup this week. Take the Cardinals.
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Gianni the Greek
Event: (267) Arizona Cardinals at (268) Cleveland Browns
Sport/League: NFL (See all free NFL picks)
Date/Time: October 17, 2021 4PM EDT
Play: Cleveland Browns -3.0 (-115)
Kevin Dolan
Event: (201237) Fiorentina at (201238) Venezia
Sport/League: ISAL (See all free italy-serie-a picks)
Date/Time: October 18, 2021 2PM EDT
Play: 1H Fiorentina +163
Decent value on Fiorentina on Monday as they take on Venezia on the road.
Rumors of discontent between star striker Dusan Vlahovic and the board continue to persist over recent days but Fiorentina nevertheless should have the quality to start quick in this game and build a lead against Venezia.
No team has scored less goals than Venezia this season and out of their last five goals scored at home, all five came in the 2nd half of games.
‘La Viola’ meanwhile have been notoriously fast starters this season, opening the scoring in all three of their last three victories and scoring in the 1st half in seven of their last eleven games on the road.
Take Fiorentina to be leading at the half at some healthy plus money odds in Monday's standalone matchup against Venezia in the Italian Serie A.
PLAY: 1H FIORENTINA +163
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