Free Sports Predictions NOV 13: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

5-0 (100%) as part of a 24-4 (88%) run on all 3%+ college football picks (+88% PROFIT).

17-3 (85%) All CFB 5% picks since last season (+68% PROFIT).

Wagertalk's #1 Ranked College Football Handicapper in 2026 (Profit & ROI).

5% CFB "MAX LIMIT" #1 PERFECT (5-0) & INSANE= (24-4) $$

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

FACT: NOBODY AT WAGERTALK IS WINNING AS MUCH AS TOKYO BRANDON

• #1 PROFIT AT WAGERTALK IN 2026 +205 UNITS!

• Doublied the bankroll TWICE in 2026!

• + $4813 the last 30 days on $100 bets!
  
  3 days NHL all-access is just 49 dollars on Brandon's page
  💵➡click here
  
  -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --

Projected score: Vegas 3, Nashville 2.
61% Under probability

The most important finding for this total is that Nashville and Vegas rank 5th and 6th in goals allowed per game. That's much more persuasive for the Under than either team's overall record.

1. Two top-six scoring defenses: Nashville allows 2.63 goals per game, Vegas 2.65. Their combined defensive average is approximately 5.28 goals.

2. Nashville's last-five defense is even stronger: The Predators have allowed just 2.2 goals per game over their last five, compared with their 2.63 season average.

3. Vegas has cooled offensively: The Golden Knights average 3.40 goals for the season but only 2.70 over their last ten games. That's a 0.70-goal decline.

4. Nashville has the NHL's best penalty kill: The Predators have killed 89.5% of opponents' power plays, which is especially relevant against Vegas's fifth-ranked power play.

5. Vegas limits shot volume: The Golden Knights are allowing approximately 25.5 shots per game, sixth-fewest in the NHL. Fewer attempts generally reduce opportunities for an opponent to generate multiple goals.

6. Neither team is playing a back-to-back: Both should avoid the immediate fatigue penalty associated with playing on consecutive nights.

7. Recent scoring patterns support the Under: Vegas and Nashville are each 6–4 to the Under over their last ten games at the closing totals reported by LeagueMind.

8. Recent matchup scoring averages are below 6.5: The AllSportData model estimates approximately 5.7 goals from the teams' last-ten offensive and defensive splits, and 4.8 using last-five trends.

9. Vegas has the stronger 5-on-5 defense: Vegas ranks fifth in expected-goal share at 54.2%, compared with Nashville's 22nd-place 48.1%. That suggests Vegas can control quality chances while limiting Nashville's even-strength opportunities.

10. An independent model also favors Under 6.5: AllSportData projects 6.2 total goals, with eight of its eleven measured factors supporting the Under. Its most likely exact score is Vegas 3–2.

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

The Bucks are in the midst of a terrible losing streak that they would surely like to end as they head to Orlando on Friday. The Bucks covered the number against the Lakers last time out, and what exactly have the Magic done to be laying this much chalk? Orlando had lost 4 straight games before beating two of the NBA’s worst teams in the Kings and Jazz. They remain injury plagued, with Paolo Banchero out and both Jalen Suggs and Tristan da Silva listed as questionable as this is written. Look for Tyler Herro to keep his team competitive as we play the number and look for Milwaukee to keep this game close. Take the Bucks.

80% (4-1) ALL SPORTS RUN!

80% (4-1) CBB RUN!

75% (3-1) CFB BEST BET RUN! (4% or higher)

77.8% (7-2) CFB BEST BET RUN! (4% or higher)  

75% (3-1) TOP PLAY RUN! (5%)  

SPECIAL! GET EVERY FOOTBALL PICK ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY FOR JUST $49!

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

(823) Appalachian State at (824) Charlotte U: Spread

Appalachian State +7.5 (-105)

App State averages approximately 66 possessions per game. A slower pace reduces the number of opportunities Charlotte has to create separation. 

My numbers made the game -6. So there is value in the dog.

Play: App State +7.5

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Baylor hits the road off back-to-back big offensive games.  The Bears scored 83 points in their last two wins against a couple of weak defensive teams.  They are now taking a big step-up in class on the road against a team that will be very focused for this game.  BYU returns home off a road loss to their rival Utah.  The Cougars have also lost 2 of their last 3 games after opening the season with a 6-0 record. BYU plays terrific defense at home where they only give up 15.6 points per game on just 4.2 yards per play.  Baylor’s offense will be hard-pressed to match their recent scoring output, and with BYU desperate for a win, expect a focused and conservative game plan resulting in a low-scoring game on Saturday afternoon.

Play UNDER the total.

-------------------

Special Offers:
3 Days All Access just $49 with promo code - STEVE49
365 Day All Access Pass (-$811 discount) + Market Call Live FREE
FREE Week (7 days) Premium Live Odds, Injuries, Scores: OddsLogic.com/SM

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

In Uros Medic’s most recent fight we placed a 5% wager on him to finish Daniel Rodriguez by knockout (-140). Medic delivered the knockout shot just 30 seconds into the opening round. Easy cash! That result has us returning to the same approach for his matchup against Kevin Holland. Several clear factors continue to favor Medic in this spot. One of the most significant issues with Holland is a noticeable lack of motivation. He has spoken openly about having little interest in climbing the UFC rankings and has expressed no real desire to compete for a title. In a recent interview he indicated that he plans to retire in the near future and has no intention of re-signing once his current deal expires. These comments point to a fighter who is not fully invested in the outcome of individual bouts. Medic on the other hand, remains sharply focused and committed to steadily improving his overall game. The stylistic matchup also works in Medic’s favor. Holland is a long, rangy striker who can throw solid combinations, yet he often lacks the technical precision required against a sharp counter-puncher. Although he will hold a 10 inch reach advantage, he frequently fails to use that length effectively. Has a tendency to wing wild shots and overextend, which leaves him open to clean counters. In tighter exchanges he looks less comfortable and can struggle once the fight moves into the pocket. Medic is an explosive striker who carries legitimate one-punch power. He presses forward aggressively from the opening bell and that pressure should create problems for Holland on the feet. Medic’s biggest edge comes from the combination of quick hands and real stopping power. Those tools should allow him to find success in exchanges and land heavy shots. Defensively Holland remains vulnerable and is there to be hit. It should not take many clean connections from Medic to end the night early. The possibility of Holland looking for takedowns appears limited. Across his last 18 UFC fights dating back to 2021, he has recorded only 7 successful takedowns. This suggests the contest will largely be decided standing. Another concern showed up in Holland’s recent bout against Daniel Rodriguez. Rodriguez managed to drop Holland twice despite not carrying significant power in his hands. That result serves as a clear warning sign. If a fighter with modest power can hurt Holland, Medic should be more than capable of finishing the fight by knockout. Over Medic's 14 career victories, 12 of those were by KO and fully expecting him to add to that total Saturday night.

Free Play:

Uros Medic win by knockout (+115)

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

This is a free play on SMU.

The Mustangs have had a somewhat disappointing season, two years removed from an appearance in the College Football Playoffs. Wake is the Playoff contender heading into this game, and they are getting a ton of respect from bookmakers. While I think Wake is a good team, and they deserve respect... they shouldn't be a favorite on the road at SMU. These teams played last year with Wake winning 13-12. That makes this a revenge spot for an SMU team that plays very well at home. Kevin Jennings has been plagued by turnovers (on the road), but his home/away splits suggest that might not be an issue here.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 17 hour(s) ago

Take Illlinois (#121)

Today’s Daily Double Free Play video offers my take on UCLA VS Illinois and Colorado vs Houston in Friday Night College Football action.  Here’s a brief write-up for the Bruins - Illini game.

No team in the country has a bigger betting bandwagon than the UCLA Bruins, still 100% perfect SU and ATS here in Mid-November after pulling away late at Minnesota last week.  But the betting markets aren’t offering UCLA bargains any more; they’re playing with a backup QB after their starter went down to injury, and the Illini team they’re facing has been a pointspread machine as an underdog, 100% perfect in that role this year.  Expect a battle, not a blowout!  Too many points!  Take Illinois.

Released/revised 19 hour(s) ago

The market is forcing bettors to pay a premium for these teams' contrasting trajectories. Oregon is coming off an impressive 41-28 road victory over Ohio State, while Michigan just lost 15-6 to Michigan State and responded by changing offensive coordinators. That combination has pushed the Wolverines into the role of a 10.5-point road underdog, creating value on a Michigan team whose defense has been considerably better than its 5-4 record suggests. Michigan’s offense is unquestionably the concern. The Wolverines are averaging only 19.6 points and 302.6 yards per game, including just 173.9 through the air. They managed only six points against Michigan State, while Tommy Carr completed 53.9% of his passes for 138 yards with two interceptions and was sacked five times, reopening the quarterback competition between Carr and Bryce Underwood. The more compelling betting argument is Michigan’s defense. The Wolverines allow only 16.2 points, 255.4 total yards and 100.6 rushing yards per game. Oregon, by comparison, is allowing 22.1 points and 349.7 yards. Michigan’s ability to defend without needing significant offensive support has kept it competitive throughout the season, as each of the Wolverines’ four losses has come by fewer than 10 points, including 20-14 at Minnesota, 13-6 against Indiana, and 15-6 against Michigan State. That is particularly relevant when the market is now giving Michigan 10.5. John Henry Daley provides an important disruptive presence on the edge with six sacks, while veteran safety Rod Moore anchors a secondary that allows only 154.8 passing yards per game. That unit now faces an Oregon offense that produced 15 points against UCLA, 17 against Nebraska, and 10 against Illinois. Oregon has not consistently demonstrated the offensive floor of a team I want to lay double digits with against this caliber of defense.

The game environment strengthens the case for taking the points. A total below 42 combined with Michigan +10.5 means the spread accounts for roughly a quarter of all expected scoring. At the current total, the market is essentially asking Oregon to create substantial separation in a game expected to feature limited scoring. There is also potential situational value following Oregon’s emotional victory at Ohio State. The Ducks entered that game as 7.5-point underdogs and won 41-28, producing their best result of the season and immediately restoring optimism around the program. Oregon returns home as a double-digit favorite against a struggling opponent, which is a dramatically different psychological and betting position. Michigan’s offensive coordinator change adds uncertainty, but Kyle Whittingham has made clear that a complete schematic overhaul is unrealistic this late in the season. However, I expect Whittingham to simplify the offense, emphasize the running game, reduce obvious passing situations, and find enough additional efficiency to complement an already capable defense.

Another element of variance is worth noting. Oregon has lost eight fumbles at home, one of the highest figures nationally. Michigan cannot build the handicap around forcing turnovers, but one short field could dramatically change the spread calculus in such a low-total matchup. My technical database provides substantial support for Michigan, with several historically profitable ATS systems involving road underdogs, low-scoring conference matchups, and unranked teams facing ranked opponents.

• Play On: Unranked teams priced between -4 and +13 vs. ranked opponents, with totals between 30 and 46.5 points, are 201-128 ATS (61.1%) since 1998, generating +60.2 units and a +16.6% ROI;

• Play On: Conference road underdogs of +3 or greater with totals below 46 points are 497-364 ATS (57.7%) since 2000, generating +96.6 units and a +10.2% ROI;

• Play On: Unranked road underdogs averaging at least 125 rushing yards per game, with totals of 47 points or fewer, are 496-391 ATS (55.9%) since 1991, generating +65.9 units and a +6.8% ROI;

• Play On: Conference road underdogs of +7 or greater with totals of 48 points or fewer are 531-408 ATS (56.5%) since 1989, generating +82.2 units and a +8.0% ROI;

• Play On: Road teams in games with posted totals below 40 points are 203-139 ATS (59.4%) since 1989, generating +50.1 units and a +13.3% ROI;

• Play On: Conference road underdogs of +3 to +11.5 coming off an upset loss as double-digit favorites are 92-54 ATS (63.0%) since 1989, generating +32.6 units and a +20.3% ROI;

• Play On: Conference road underdogs of fewer than 25 points, with totals below 46, against opponents coming off an ATS victory from Week 7 onward are 213-156 ATS (57.7%) since 1989, generating +41.4 units and a +10.2% ROI;

• Play Against: Teams coming off an upset victory over a top-15 opponent are 104-132 ATS (44.1%) since 2017, with opponents generating +17.6 units and a +6.8% ROI;

• Play On: Kyle Whittingham-coached underdogs coming off an ATS loss are 24-7 ATS (77.4%) since 2005, generating +16.3 units and a +47.8% ROI.

Oregon deserves to be favored, but the market is asking a different question: is Oregon sufficiently superior to beat a defensively capable Michigan team by at least 11 points? The season-long evidence makes that considerably harder to justify. Michigan has yet to lose by double digits, allows only 16.2 points per game, and enters a matchup carrying a total below 42. Even if the Wolverines remain limited offensively, their defense gives them a viable path to forcing the type of game where +10.5 becomes extremely valuable. Take Michigan as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Saturday, November 14.

Released/revised 19 hour(s) ago

Take Mississippi State (#128)

The ‘Daily Double’ video below offers my ‘Free Play’ opinions for Ohio State – Northwestern and Auburn – Mississippi State in early start action on Saturday.  Here’s a brief write-up for Tigers – Bulldogs.

My clients and I cashed a winning bet against Auburn last week when they had to rally from behind at home to beat lowly Arkansas by a field goal.  I have no hesitation fading the Tigers again this week in Cowbell Country.  Auburn had one magical day this season when they pulled an outright upset at Georgia (on a day the Bulldogs were flat after a war with Alabama the previous week), but they’ve been consistently overvalued ever since that single victory.  Mississippi State played much better last week, and now they’re facing a team they can beat even without Kamario Taylor in the lineup.  Live home dog here! Take Mississippi State.

Released/revised 19 hour(s) ago

The market is pricing Saturday’s Big 12 matchup for another shootout after Texas Tech and Oklahoma State combined for 119 points in their most recent games, but that is exactly what creates value on Under 73. A total this high requires both offenses to sustain extreme scoring efficiency, and the number leaves meaningful room for regression without requiring either offense to play poorly. Texas Tech’s 53-48 victory over West Virginia was an extreme offensive environment, as the Red Raiders generated 638 yards, including 276 on the ground, while Thomas Castellanos threw for 362 yards and five touchdowns and added 102 rushing yards. At the same time, Texas Tech surrendered 582 yards and 48 points without forcing a turnover. Oklahoma State enters from an even more extreme result, scoring 66 points against Kansas State. The Cowboys generated 565 yards and built a 49-14 halftime advantage after scoring 28 points in the opening quarter. That kind of early-game scoring efficiency is inherently difficult to project, and the Under does not require either offense to suddenly become inefficient. It requires the teams to fall short of the extraordinary pace established by their most recent performances.

Oklahoma State’s defensive performance against Kansas State also provides more encouragement than the 66-28 final might suggest. The Cowboys limited the Wildcats to 327 total yards and generated three interceptions. That turnover creation becomes particularly important against Thomas Castellanos, whose dual-threat ability creates enormous upside but also places substantial responsibility on the quarterback. If Oklahoma State can force even a handful of negative possessions, Texas Tech’s scoring pace should fall well below last week’s extraordinary level. The same regression argument applies to Oklahoma State. Drew Mestemaker has produced 29 touchdown passes, but Texas Tech enters 8-1 and owns the stronger overall power profile. The Red Raiders’ defensive performance against West Virginia was poor, but extrapolating that one result into another 40-plus-point allowance assumes Texas Tech makes virtually no adjustment after its most vulnerable defensive performance.

There is also a potentially helpful weather component. The current forecast calls for winds around 11 mph with gusts reaching 24 mph at Boone Pickens Stadium, which would complicate vertical passing and kicking efficiency. In a game that demands extraordinary offensive production, even a modest reduction in explosive passing or field-goal reliability benefits the Under. My technical database provides further support for the Under:

• Play UNDER: Conference road teams coming off a home game in which they scored at least 50 points, from Week 5 forward, are 297-229 (56.5%) since 1989, generating +45.1 units and a +7.8% ROI;

• Play UNDER: Road teams coming off a home game in which they scored at least 50 points, with fewer than 10 days of rest, are 548-444 (55.2%) since 1989, generating +59.6 units and a +5.5% ROI;

• Play UNDER: Teams coming off games in which they scored at least 30 points and allowed at least 45 points, with posted totals of 50 or higher, are 482-373 (56.4%) since 2013, generating +71.7 units and a +7.6% ROI;

• Play UNDER: Teams coming off games in which they scored at least 30 points and gave up at least 45 points, with totals of 60 or higher, are 276-217 (56.0%) since 2013, generating +37.3 units and a +6.9% ROI;

• Play UNDER: .501 or greater teams entering off games that exceeded the closing total by at least 30 points, vs. .501 or greater opponents are 229-168 (57.7%) since 1989, generating +44.2 units and a +10.1% ROI;

• Play UNDER: Home teams coming off victories by 35 or more points vs. opponents that are not coming off road victories are 135-104 (56.5%) since 2022, generating +20.6 units and a +7.8% ROI;

• Play UNDER: Home teams with posted totals above 60 points are 451-390 (53.6%) since 2021, generating +22.0 units and a +2.4% ROI.

Both teams are coming off extraordinary scoring performances, including Oklahoma State’s unsustainable 49-point first half and Texas Tech’s 101-point shootout, causing the market to react aggressively. With Oklahoma State showing improved defensive disruption, Texas Tech having obvious incentive to correct last week’s defensive breakdowns, and the total requiring another exceptionally efficient performance from both offenses, 73.0 provides enough cushion to back a more normalized scoring environment. Take the Under as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Saturday, November 14.

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

East Carolina travels to Charlotte on Saturday, looking to extend its two-game winning streak against a 49ers squad that has struggled on both sides of the ball throughout the season. The Pirates improved to 5-4 following an impressive 20-17 victory over South Florida, generating 361 total yards, 25 first downs, and a decisive defensive performance that limited the Bulls to just one conversion in ten third-down opportunities. Quarterback Emory Williams completed 19 of 27 passes for 175 yards and two touchdowns, while Ashton Gray provided balance with 101 rushing yards on 18 carries. East Carolina's offense has struggled with consistency, scoring 20 points or fewer in three of its last four games, but Charlotte's defense presents an excellent opportunity for the Pirates to regain their offensive rhythm. The 49ers rank last nationally in scoring defense (137th), surrendering 38.3 points per game, and have been particularly vulnerable late in games, allowing an FBS-worst 11.0 fourth-quarter points per contest. Charlotte's offense has been equally ineffective, scoring fewer than 13 points in five of its nine games and averaging just 234 total yards in last week's 23-12 loss to UAB. The 49ers managed only ten first downs against the Blazers and converted just four of seventeen third-down opportunities, illustrating their inability to sustain possessions. Quarterback Conner Harrell completed 15 of 31 passes for 175 yards against UAB, while Charlotte's rushing attack produced little, led by Khamani Alexander's 40 yards. East Carolina's defense should be particularly effective against this one-dimensional attack after limiting South Florida to 329 total yards and just a 10% third-down conversion rate.

The Pirates are better than their record suggests, as two of their four losses came in overtime against UAB and Memphis. In contrast, Charlotte has dropped eight of nine games, including six consecutive losses to open the season, and its lone victory came against Temple. East Carolina's ability to control possession with its running game, combined with Charlotte's offensive inefficiency and disastrous fourth-quarter defense, creates a favorable matchup for the Pirates to gradually extend their advantage. The disparity in overall team quality, recent performance, and situational circumstances strongly favors East Carolina against the spread.

My technical database provides further support for East Carolina:

• Play Against: Charlotte at home is 22-67 ATS (24.7%) since November 2021, generating +15.4 units and a +50.0% ROI for bettors opposing the 49ers;

• Play Against: Teams coming off a game in which they scored no more than one touchdown against opponents riding winning streaks of at least two games are 531-435 ATS against (55.0%) since 2011, generating +52.5 units and a +4.9% ROI;

• Play On: Road favorites of -6.5 to -19 points that won at least three games the previous season, coming off a game as favorites against opponents that missed the previous season's playoffs, are 702-586 ATS (54.5%) since 2013, generating +57.4 units and a +4.0% ROI;

• Play On: Double-digit road favorites playing with 6-9 days of rest vs. opponents playing with 6-9 days of rest are 691-557 ATS (55.4%) since 2009, generating +78.3 units and a +5.7% ROI;

East Carolina possesses significant advantages in offensive balance, defensive execution, and recent form, while Charlotte continues to struggle with sustained offensive production and fourth-quarter defensive breakdowns. The Pirates have won consecutive games against Temple and South Florida, and their ability to limit opponents on third down should prove particularly valuable against a Charlotte offense that converted just 23.5% of its third-down opportunities last week. With the 49ers allowing more than 38 points per game and possessing one of the nation's least productive offenses, East Carolina is well positioned to control this matchup and cover the number. Lay the points with the Pirates as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, November 14.

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

This will be the first meeting between the Tigers and Bulldogs since Auburn's 27-13 home win in October 2023. Mississippi State is 0-5 straight-up and against the spread following last week's home loss to Vanderbilt. During this five-game losing skid, Mississippi State has scored an average of 12.8 points per game as the Bulldogs struggle to replace the production of injured QB Kamario Taylor. Five of the Bulldogs' last six games have stayed under the total. Auburn snapped a two-game losing skid with a 26-23 home win over Arkansas. Despite the victory, the Tigers are just 1-6 against the spread over their last seven games. Backing the Bulldogs hasn't been much fun in recent weeks, but we're inclined to give Mississippi State a shot. Hail State plays FCS-level Tennessee Tech next week (we're going to pencil in a win), so Mississippi State needs to win this game to become bowl eligible. After such a strong start to the season, you have to imagine that Jeff Lebby can keep his team motivated with that carrot. AJ Swann isn't going to be able to replicate what Taylor did for this offense, but he provides a veteran presence that can make enough necessary plays to get the Bulldogs across this finish line. Running back Fluff Bothwell caught five passes last week against Vanderbilt, so Lebby is looking for creative ways to get the ball in his hands. Auburn can hang its hat on the upset win at Georgia, but the Tigers are 0-3 against the spread in their other three games away from home this season.
Play Mississippi State

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

The Saints have won five of the last six meetings, including a pair of outright upsets last year. Carolina is 0-3 straight-up and against the spread over its last three games following last week's 26-21 home loss to Denver. The Panthers have allowed an average of 27.2 points per game over the last five contests. New Orleans is 1-5 against the spread over the last six games, but the Saints did pick up an outright win over Cleveland last week. New Orleans continues to produce terrible offensive numbers in the first half. After a 3-3 first half tie with Cleveland last week, the Saints are now 1-7 against the first half spread this season. New Orleans has only scored in the first quarter two times in eight games, producing a total of nine first quarter points this season. Perhaps the potential return of running back Travis Etienne Jr. is just what the voodoo doctor ordered in the French Quarter. Etienne Jr. has not played since Week 3 against the Raiders, but he is expected to return to practice this week after dealing with a hamstring injury. New Orleans has the second-lowest rushing success rate in the NFL this season (Raiders last), so his potential return would be a big boost for the Saints' offense. Carolina is running out of healthy bodies on defense. A unit that already has five players on IR was missing edge rusher Jaelan Phillips and linebacker Bobby Okereke last week against the Broncos. If New Orleans can't muster some early scoring against this defense, then Kellen Moore needs to tear it all down and start over. Don't forget, owner Gayle Benson has been keeping a closer-than-normal eye on her team in recent weeks and wrote a letter to the Saints' fan base after the loss to Pittsburgh in Paris. Last week's win over Cleveland was a small step in the right direction, but a home win over a division opponent would go a long way toward rebuilding excitement after Who Dat Nation watched their team lose its first three home games this season.
Play New Orleans Saints

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

UAB won the lone meeting between these American Conference foes with a 34-24 home victory in 2023. Temple was involved in one of the wildest under-the-radar results last week against Navy. The Owls fell behind 28-0 in the second quarter but fought all the way back to tie the game before eventually losing in the final minute. Temple scored 35 points in a game where they had 19 minutes of possession and nine first downs. UAB needs one more win to reach bowl eligibility, and this would be the spot to get it. The Blazers end the year with games against UTSA and North Texas, so this clash with Temple represents the best chance to reach that sixth win. With a regular season win total of 3.5 entering the year, Alex Mortensen's team has already exceeded expectations. It certainly wasn't pretty, but UAB earned a 23-13 home win over Charlotte last week. The Blazers' defense held the 49ers to 234 total yards and ten first downs. Charlotte didn't score its first touchdown until there was one minute remaining in garbage time. While this game isn't expected to see quite the same wind effects as some others this weekend, there is still the potential for gusts of 25+ miles per hour after the Nor'Easter passes through the Mid-Atlantic. Temple has been competitive all season for KC Keeler, but at some point, the Owls need to turn those strong showings into actual wins. Temple has one win over an FBS-level opponent this season. Until the cherry-and-white get over that hump, they're not giving us much reason to back them at the betting window. That potential sixth win can be a big motivational chip for Mortensen’s Blazers. Play UAB

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

This is a free play on ARI.

Utah is still undefeated, but their strength of schedule is questionable. They are coming off a win over BYU in a rivalry game, setting them up for a let down. They are on the road at Arizona, laying points despite the fact that they are facing a Top 5 QB in the conference for the first time. Arizona is undefeated at home this season, and 11-1 in their last 12 conference home games. Take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Florida has lost some momentum lately, but this is still a team that’s won on the road at Texas and Auburn and beaten Ole Miss at home. Kentucky, meanwhile, got a reality check last week in a 34-6 blowout at Tennessee. Even when the Wildcats do win, it’s often by a razor-thin margin, like their one-point escapes against South Carolina and LSU. The chilly weather won’t do the Gators any favors, but I still think they’re in a strong position to pull off the upset. Grab the points at +3 or better.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

When these two teams played earlier his season, the over/under was set at 45.5, and they blew past it with 61 combined points. This weekend’s rematch carries a noticeably lower total, which provides value on the over. Yes, Minnesota’s games have tended to be low-scoring, but Green Bay’s haven’t. The Packers put up 45 points on their own last week in a 72-point shootout with New England, and the week before that, their game against Carolina totalled 46. I cashed the under in the Vikings’ game against Buffalo, but this Sunday I’m going the other way. Play the Over

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

PLAY: Dallas +4.5

We were on the Niners on Sunday. Easiest cash of the day! We were also on the Colts +5 versus the Cowboys. Dallas put up 508 yards in Indianapolis without George Pickens. Dak Prescott went 21-of-34 for 335 yards and two touchdowns, and the ground game added 179 more, with Javonte Williams going for 101 and Tyler Goodson adding 77 on 12 carries.

Prescott has 16 touchdown passes, five interceptions on the season, and the Cowboys have run for 179 yards or more in two of their last three games. Rookie Caleb Downs sealed the win in Indy with his first career interception.

San Francisco is a Super Bowl contender sitting 7-1, but it has been a road favorite only once this year and lost that game 29-20 in Atlanta with four turnovers. The receiver room is thin, too. Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel and Christian Kirk all sat out last week, and Ricky Pearsall is done for the season. Maybe they can do it all with Kittle and McCaffrey, but that's a big ask.

Grab the points with the Cowboys at home.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

In a matchup of two teams already essentially playing out the string, there is little reason to be conservative. The Colts are allowing 27.7 ppg. The Dolphins are allowing 28.6 ppg. Indianapolis has allowed 26 or more points in four of its last five games and has seen five of its past six games produce a minimum of 26 points. Go with the over.

Released/revised 4 day(s) ago

I played against Virginia Tech last week. The Hokies got hammered 51-28 at SMU. The Mustangs had a 569 to 417 edge in yards. Off that big loss and with Miami (followed by instate rival Virginia) on deck, I feel that the Hokies may have some trouble getting up for Stanford. The Cardinal have been known to pull off some big upsets. Don't be surprised when they give their hosts all they can handle.

Released/revised 4 day(s) ago