Free Sports Predictions JUN 22: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Bruce Marshall
World Cup
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A bit different here for Algeria after facing Leo Messi and Argentina in its opener. Jordan might not be a pushover, however, level 1-1 with potent Austria past 75 minutes last Tuesday before being done in by an own goal, then the scoreline growing to a deceiving 3-1 on the final kick when Marko Arnautovic converted from the spot at the very end of the longest added time (12 minutes!) we’ve seen yet in this tourney.
Algeria’s usual uptempo style might be slowed if minus livewire Wolfsburg winger Mohammed Amoura, likely out for Monday, which would help Jordan’s ability to turn this match cagey and hold down the scoreline. Play Jordan-Algeria “Under” (at Santa Clara)
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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MILWAUKEE BREWERS AT CINCINNATI REDS — JUNE 22, 2026
Projected first-five score: MIL 3.0, CIN 2.1
Projected final score: MIL 5.4, CIN 4.0
Milwaukee enters at 45–29 after scoring eight runs in the second inning of Sunday’s 9–4 win at Atlanta. Cincinnati enters at 37–39 after winning two consecutive games at Yankee Stadium, including Sunday’s 4–1 result. Milwaukee has averaged 5.2 runs with a .255 average, while Cincinnati has averaged 4.3 runs with a .229 average.
Elly De La Cruz remains unavailable while progressing through a rehabilitation assignment. Cincinnati is 7–11 without him. The active order used Sunday included Dunn, Bleday, Stewart, Lowe, Steer, Suárez, Marte, Stephenson and Arroyo.
Milwaukee’s offense has averaged 5.2 runs per game and enters with the better team batting average and on-base foundation. Cincinnati has substantially more home runs, 95 to Milwaukee’s 67, but much of that power production has been offset by a .229 team average and greater lineup volatility.
Milwaukee’s nine-run performance Sunday followed three consecutive losses in which the Brewers scored seven combined runs. Cincinnati scored 14 runs over its final two games at Yankee Stadium after being shut out in the series opener.
Woodruff’s expected short return creates substantially more Milwaukee bullpen exposure than a normal start. That is the principal reason Cincinnati remains near four projected runs despite Milwaukee’s superior overall pitching.
The probability that Milwaukee leads after the top of the ninth and Cincinnati receives a full bottom of the ninth is naturally 100%. The probability that Cincinnati leads after the top of the ninth and does not bat in the bottom half is estimated at 23%, reducing Cincinnati’s expected scoring by approximately 0.08 runs.
Projected starting-pitcher box scores
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brandon Woodruff | 4 2/3 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 1.4 |
Brady Singer | 5 0/3 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 4.4 | 2.0 |
Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven
Moneyline
Team | Model win probability | Fair odds | Consensus-equivalent odds | Difference | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MIL | 65.2% | −187 | −156 | +31 cents | Value |
CIN | 34.8% | +187 | +150 | −37 cents | No value |
Milwaukee’s advantage is reduced by Woodruff’s uncertain workload. The offense-versus-Singer matchup and Cincinnati bullpen exposure still produce a playable edge.
Recommended Milwaukee range: −156 to −170
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Cubs dealt with a postponement yesterday but their offense has been on fire, plating 30 runs in the past 3 games alone. Chicago will have continued success today as we fade Kodai Senga, who just came back from the IL and promptly gave up 4 earned over as many innings while walking 4 batters as well. Senga has now given up 21 runs in his past 4 starts while rarely making it past the 3rd or 4th inning. Meanwhile, Shota Imanaga has allowed a total of just 1 run over his past 2 starts and has a chase percentage in the 97th percentile. The North Side hands the Mets a 3rd consecutive loss today. Take the Cubs.
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Will Rogers
World Cup
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Senegal [ATS] | Good until +0.5, -165.
I won with my 5% bet on Norway in the opening game against Iraq. But, I'm going to go against it on Monday evening against Senegal. I was extremely impressed with Senegal in the first half against France. AFCON's runner-up (controversial) didn't get the result it wanted. But, this is a great chance to show everyone what it's capable of. Sadio Mane is still an elite presence. I think that Senegal is the more complete team and will win today.
Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Heading to the south side of Chicago for the American League Central Division clash and taking the home underdog. The White Sox have been a surprising squad this year sitting a few games over (.500) on the season. They have been particularly rewarding to back at home where they have won 9 of their last 10 games in "Rate Field", including facing the Braves and Dodgers in this home heater.
Chicago starter Anthony Kay has faced a tough schedule in terms of opposing lineups in the Dodgers and Yankees his last two times out. He is taking a big step down in class against a banged up Cleveland lineup today. Kay had a nice run of six straight starts with 2 runs or less before last week. He should bounce back nicely in this spot.
Cleveland is currently enduring a tough stretch of the MLB schedule on the last leg of a three city, nine game road trip. Their starter Gavin Williams has been rocked for 7+ runs in two of his last three outings. Plus, tagged for 5+ runs to the White Sox bats in two of the last three times he has faced them.
Chicago holds a sizable pen edge by my bullpen rantings. This one just missed the Monday client card. For today's free pick- Bet the White Sox.
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Oskeim Sports
WNBA Basketball
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The under is attractive in Monday's matchup between Toronto and Atlanta, as both teams enter the contest with reasons to emphasize defense and half-court execution. The Dream own one of the WNBA's best defenses, ranking near the top of the league in points allowed and field-goal attempts surrendered, while their long, athletic perimeter players consistently disrupt opposing offenses. Toronto is also dealing with key injuries, with Nyara Sabally and Julie Allemand battling ailments and rookie guard Kiki Rice and Brittney Sykes sidelined, limiting the Tempo's offensive depth and playmaking. Atlanta's physical style and dominance on the glass, led by Angel Reese, tend to shorten games and reduce transition opportunities. From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams with an average over/under margin of +5.5 or higher are 353-262-7 to the Under (57.4%) from Game 3 forward, including 126-88-3 UNDER (58.3%) since 2019. Moreover, WNBA teams with three or fewer days of rest coming off a game with a total of 174 or more points are 64-35-4 to the Under (64.6%) versus opponents entering off games with a total of at least 168 points. This situation has gone under by an average margin of 4.9 points per game since June 22, 2011. With both teams comfortable grinding through possessions and neither side likely eager to get into an up-and-down affair, this matchup profiles as a defensive battle that keeps the final score below the posted number. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, June 22.
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Ben Burns
World Cup
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There's a major gap between these teams. France ranks #2 in the world while Iraq is #60. Having gotten off to a sluggish start in the first half of their opening match, France should be all business right from the opening kickoff of this one. Iraq was outmatched against Norway, falling 4-1. They conceded twice in the first half. While a 1-0 (or 2-1) halftime score is possible, which would result in a push, I feel its more likely to be 2-0 (or even 3-0) France by the break. Play France for the first half at -1, up to -150
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Pavlos Laguretos
World Cup
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France vs Iraq
World Cup, Monday, 5pm ET
Play: Kylian Mbappe 2+ Goals & Assists
Odds at Time of Release: +155 DraftKings
Line Parameter: Line good to +130
France -1250 favourites here, the Draw at +1000 and Iraw +2700 underdogs, with the Spread at 2.5 and the Total at 3.5. Don’t like the spread, although France can cover, slightly like the total Over 3.5 but I’ll pivot to an Mbappe player prop, basically looking for two goal contributions at +155 (2 goals, 2 assists, goal and assist). Interesting stats in his L/9 starts with France:
2 goals vs Senegal
2 goals & assist vs Ukraine
goal & assist vs Azerbaijan
goal & assist vs Iceland
goal vs Ukraine
Goal & assist vs germany
goal & assist vs Spain
2+ goal contributions in each of L/4 and in 6 of L/7 competitive matches with France. He is chasing the Golden Boot and this is probably the easiest match he’ll have in the entire tournament. Definitely worth the investment.
Take 3% on Mbappe 2+ Goals & Assists (+155 DK), line good to +130
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4% SPREAD | 3% CARD TOTAL | 3% PLAYER PROPPavlos is 7-1 with World Cup plays rated 3% or Higher (+18.95u) and has won BOTH 4% World Cup Best Best so far (2-0). Up now are three plays for Monday, a 4% Spread Bet, a 3% Card Total and a 3% Player Prop. Two more plays are under review and at least one of those will be added to this package by Monday, 1 ...
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