Free Sports Predictions JUN 17: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

FIFA WC - Panama at Ghana

Venue: Toronto Stadium (Toronto, Canada)

Game Thoughts: I actually was supposed to attend this game but decided to come to Vegas (Solid decision). This is one that I record a video on as a Free Play on the Under 2.5 and it's seemed down as well since then. I don't see both scoring here and the likely result according to my xG numbers are 1-0, 2-0. Panama are much better than they were in WC tournaments and especially in 2018 where they lost all 3 and 2 by multiple goals. This is a group where 3rd place could be decided with this result with England and Croatia likely to fill the first two spots and goal differential coming into it. Panama are much better defensively and play a compact style. Absent of any penalties this should be the lowest scoring game of the day.

The play is Under 2.0 +118

Released/revised 18 minute(s) ago

Arizona Diamondbacks [ML] | Good until -180.

Pitching Matchup: Sam Aldegheri/Eduardo Rodríguez [Action].

Sam Aldegheri gets the start for the Angels on Wednesday evening. Even though he has great stats, he has only started in 40% of his appearances so far. He's pitched once on the road this season, allowing a run in 1.2 innings pitched. Eduardo Rodríguez has been one of the top pitchers in the MLB. This is what Arizona anticipated from him last year after getting him from Detroit. The wait paid off. Go with the Diamondbacks.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

Taking a big swing with the biggest underdog on the Wednesday MLB betting card. The Rays are catching a huge plus price in the overnight betting markets and are worth a sprinkle for "Hump Day" afternoon action in Southern California.

Let's get it out of the way, yes it is tough to go against the Dodgers, particularly with Ohtani on the bump. Although, the Japanese born "Pitcher" is off his worst start of the season letting up 4 runs to the Pirates in 6 innings of work. His opposition is Shane McClanahan who has been sharp this season and possesses the swing and miss stuff that it takes to have a productive start against this LA lineup. Plus, he is a southpaw and the Dodgers have not been nearly as potent against lefties, particularly the elite level lefty hurlers. This one just missed the Wednesday client card. For today's free pick- We get a 41 win team catching a big payday for Wednesday's free pick- Bet the Rays.

Free Pick Recap: 7-2 (+5.10 units) 
Tuesday- Rangers (-130) Loss
Monday- Nationals (-130) WINNER
Sunday- Marlins (+140) WINNER 
Saturday- Yankees (-115) WINNER 
Friday- Cardinals (+130) Loss
Thursday- Mets (-140) WINNER 
Tuesday- Rays (-104) WINNER
Monday- Brewers (-154) WINNER 
Sunday- White Sox/ Phillies over 9.5 WINNER 

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Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

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Kiwoom Heroes vs Samsung Lions

Projection: Samsung 5.2, Kiwoom 3.4

Why: Samsung has the massive lineup edge: .273 BA, 4.16 ERA, 62 HR, while Kiwoom is last with a .233 BA and only 38 HR. Park Jun-hyun is not a bad underdog starter at 1-2, 3.51 and 0.00 vs Samsung, but Samsung’s offensive/defensive/team context is much stronger. Choi Won-tae’s season ERA is 4.83, but his Kiwoom split is strong at 1-0, 1.42.

Form/bullpen read: Samsung winning 5 straight home games and Kiwoom losing 4 of its last 5 away. Samsung is the right side, but the moneyline price is already close to fair.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

England vs Croatia UNDER 2.5 Goals

This feels like a classic World Cup opener where caution outweighs aggression. England is the more talented side and should control much of the match, but that doesn't necessarily translate into a high-scoring affair.

England's speed and athleticism in midfield should make it difficult for Croatia to build sustained attacks and create quality chances. Croatia still has plenty of experience, but several key players are on the older side, which could limit their ability to maintain a high tempo for 90 minutes.

We like England to win the match, but there are reasons to believe they could start the tournament slowly. Despite being one of the favorites to win the World Cup, England enters with some outside distractions and expectations, and we've already seen several top teams look a bit clunky in their opening matches.

History also supports a tighter game. Of the last 18 opening matches at major international tournaments involving top sides, only two were decided by more than one goal. Teams tend to prioritize avoiding mistakes over chasing style points.

These countries know each other well, and this matchup sets up more like a chess match than a track meet. Possession, field position, and game management should be emphasized over taking unnecessary risks.

England's focus is on advancing deep into the tournament, not making a statement in Matchday 1. Croatia has similar concerns, especially with an aging roster that must carefully manage energy and fitness.

Expect a tactical, disciplined match where both teams value structure and possession. The under is the way to play it.

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

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Despite an eight-game losing streak, Seattle has shown signs of life recently, losing by just five points to Los Angeles and four points to Golden State last week. Veteran guard Natisha Hiedeman has emerged as a stabilizing force, averaging 21.0 points and 5.0 assists over those two contests, while rookie Flau'jae Johnson has continued to impress with 11.6 points and 5.0 rebounds per game. Just as importantly, center Dominique Malonga has returned from a concussion and is averaging 16.0 points and 7.3 rebounds, giving the Storm a legitimate interior presence. While Seattle remains a rebuilding team without injured star Ezi Magbegor, the roster is healthier and more competitive than its record suggests. From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams coming off six or more consecutive losses are 117-83-8 ATS (58.5%), including 66-40-3 ATS (62.3%) since 2021, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.2 points per game. Against a fellow expansion franchise, the Storm have enough veteran leadership and emerging young talent to snap their losing streak and deliver a strong performance on Wednesday night. Take Seattle as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, June 17.

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Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

US Open

Top 30 including ties

Chris Gotterup (+100)

It looked like Chris Gotterup was going to have a special season after he won 2 of his first 3 tournaments on the year and while he has not kept up that type of form, he has been in form all season with only 1 missed cut and 10 Top 30 finishes within his 15 starts this year. Chris has been able to lean on his form off the tee while consistently gaining roughly 4 strokes to the field and he has gained strokes in 9 straight starts and gained strokes in all but 1 start this season on approach. Gotterup has limited experience on US Open course setups with just 2 career starts but he was able to make the cut in both tournaments with a T23 finish last year at Oakmont while bleeding strokes on the greens but gaining strokes in all other categories. Chris is putting better than he has within his career and he won the Scottish Open at The Renaissance Club last year, a golf course that has a similar statistical profile to Shinnecock.

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago