Free Sports Predictions JUN 29: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Jesse Schule
Major League Baseball
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This is a free play on ATH TT Over.
So this game is roughly a pickem, and the total is sitting at 10.5. Yet the Dodgers team total is 5.5 and the Athletics are priced at 4.5 over -137. I think this is a bargain. We know this is a hitter's park, and the weather is expected to be favorable to hitters here tonight. Eric Lauer is only in the Dodgers rotation because of injuries to Snell and Glasnow. Lauer is 3-5 with a 4.87 ERA overall this season, and his numbers with the Dodgers may be a little better but I still don't trust him in this spot.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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5% (TUES) WCUP BEST BET - PERFECT 9-0 KO ROUND / 10-1-1 (91%) L12 WCUP!: $35.00
DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN???Jesse Schule closed out the last World Cup with 7-STRAIGHT WINS! He was 15-6 (71%) OVERALL in the last World Cup in Qatar. He cashed in a 4% WINNER with Mexico in the opening match of this tournament, and he's now 10-1-1 (91%) with his last 12 WCUP plays. He's 100% PERFECT 9-0 in the Knockout Round since Qatar 202 ...
(1/7) WCUP GRIM REAPER B-L-O-W-O-U-T!! - PERFECT 9-0 KO ROUND! : $25.00
DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN???Jesse Schule closed out the last World Cup with 7-STRAIGHT WINS! He was 15-6 (71%) OVERALL in the last World Cup in Qatar. He cashed in a 4% WINNER with Mexico in the opening match of this tournament, and he's now 10-1-1 (91%) with his last 12 WCUP plays. He's 100% PERFECT 9-0 in the Knockout Round since Qatar 202 ...
4% WCUP ECU/MEX BEST BET - PERFECT 9-0 KO ROUND / 10-1-1 (91%) L12 WCUP! : $25.00
DEJA VU ALL OVER AGAIN???Jesse Schule closed out the last World Cup with 7-STRAIGHT WINS! He was 15-6 (71%) OVERALL in the last World Cup in Qatar. He cashed in a 4% WINNER with Mexico in the opening match of this tournament, and he's now 10-1-1 (91%) with his last 12 WCUP plays. He's 100% PERFECT 9-0 in the Knockout Round since Qatar 202 ...
The Prez
Major League Baseball
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MILWAUKEE ML VS REDS
We like Milwaukee in this one to get it done, at home against a division rival. could very well be without both Eugenio Suarez and Elly De La Cruz. That's an issue for the Reds. Lodollo faced this Brewers team last week and went 4 innings and gave up 0 ER. But this season has been a disaster for him, and now that the Brewers just saw him and they're home for this one,I like their chances of coming out ahead. Back the Brewers to get it done in Game 1 of this series.
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**STOP** GET PREZ’ 1ST 5% MLB BET OF THE WHOLE MLB SEASON / BACKED BY 20-5 & 48-20 COMBINED RUNS: $35.00
THE WAIT IS OVER: Prez has saved his FIRST 5% MLB Play of the Season for Monday.5% Plays: 2-0, 10-2 and 14-4 Runs.Overall Run: 6-1, 8-2 34-16 run and up +60+ Units Since April.MLB Run: Won his last 4 and is on a 10-3 and 29-9 run.Overall MLB: Prez is up DOUBLE DIGIT profits on the entire MLB Season.This isn't just another baseball selection— ...
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Joe Raineri
Major League Baseball
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The Yankees are not a team worth trusting early right now. They just got swept in Boston, lost in extra innings on Sunday Night Baseball, had to travel afterward, and now come home with an offense that has completely stalled. New York scored only 9 runs in four games at Fenway, went 4-for-24 with runners in scoring position, hit .133 for the series, and is batting just .190 over its last 11 games. That is not the profile of a lineup we want to lay a price with in the first five innings.
Casey Mize already saw this Yankees lineup last week, and while he gave up some traffic, this current New York offense has not shown it can consistently punish anyone. Detroit only needs to be tied or ahead after five innings, which is the right way to play this matchup. It avoids the Tigers’ late-inning bullpen concerns and puts the wager directly against a Yankees team that looks flat, tired, frustrated, and out of rhythm offensively.
PLAY: Detroit F5 +0.5 (-129)
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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First place vs last place in the National League Central Division squaring off and we are backing the first place Brewers. Robert Gasser is on the bump for the Brew Crew and the southpaw has been great his last two times out, giving up just 2 runs on 6 hits combined over 11.2 innings of work.
Cincinnati starter Nick Lodolo had a late start to the season off an injury. The lefty has near a (6 ERA) and is facing the Brewers bats for the second straight start. Milwaukee swept Cincinnati last week and should keep the momentum rolling into game #1 in this series. The (-152) odds on the Brew Crew was a little pricey to release to the clients, so this one just missed the paid client card. For today's free pick- Bet Brewers.
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Will Rogers
World Cup
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FREE PICK | Morocco [ATS] | Good until +0.5, -175.
Morocco/Netherlands should be one of the most interesting matchups of the whole Round of 32. Both of these teams rank in FIFA's top 10 of the world rankings and only one can advance. With the Netherlands having trouble keeping the ball out of its net at times, this could be a scary game for it. Morocco's attack turned the gears up a notch in its last game against Haiti. Go with Morocco to keep this one close or win outright.
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Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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2% PIT FIrst 5 ML (-124)
FD
Good to -137
Aaron Nola's name still carries plenty of weight, but Braxton Ashcraft has been the better pitcher this season. While many bettors will naturally gravitate toward the Phillies' veteran, Ashcraft enters this matchup in far better form, and the Pirates' offense has been swinging hot bats while Philadelphia has been relatively quiet.
The full-game price is worth consideration, but we're keeping the bullpens out of it and focusing on the first five innings. With the edge on the mound and the hotter lineup, this is the value side.
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MOST PROFITABLE BET OF THE YEAR! MLB CANT MISS: $25.00
This has been our single most profitable betting angle all season, and it checks every box again tonight.The numbers, the situation, and the market all line up to create another premium opportunity. This is the exact type of spot that has been cashing consistently from Opening Day through now.Don't wait until the line moves—lock it in early ...
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Oskeim Sports
WNBA Basketball
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NFL + College Football Combo — Save $250!
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New York is the side to back on Tuesday as the Liberty possess the deepest and most balanced roster in the WNBA despite losing four of their last five games. Following their 76-65 loss to Golden State on Sunday, forward Breanna Stewart challenged her team to play with greater intensity. "You can't play with heart and play with effort just when things are going good," Stewart said. "It's really the moments when you're at the lowest. And this team - we're obviously not a finished product, but this wasn't a great showing, especially coming off of a loss." Breanna Stewart (19.2 ppg), Sabrina Ionescu (9.5 ppg), Jonquel Jones (15.2 ppg), and Pauline Astier (10.1 ppg) give New York multiple All-WNBA-caliber scoring options, making it extremely difficult for opponents to key on any one player. The Liberty have also defended at a high level throughout the season, allowing them to win even when their outside shots aren't falling. Indeed, New York’s defense ranks 3rd in the league in points allowed per game (83.5) and has allowed the fewest free-throw attempts per game (18.6). Las Vegas arrives in New York off back-to-back wins over Dallas (99-84) and Chicago (107-99), which is significant because WNBA teams coming off two or more consecutive wins are 116-150-1 ATS (43.6%) before the All-Star break, including 84-115-1 ATS (42.2%) since 2022, losing by an average margin of 2.2 points per game. Moreover, WNBA teams are 416-321-12 ATS (56.4%) versus opponents not entering off a loss, provided they aren’t favored by more than five points, including 291-210-6 ATS (58.1%) since 2021. With New York's depth, defensive versatility, and ability to create mismatches across the floor, the Liberty are well-positioned to earn another statement victory over one of the league's top contenders. Take New York as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, June 30.
Injury Report: New York forward Satou Sabally (concussion) is out indefinitely, while Breanna Stewart (injury management) is available to play on Tuesday.
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MLB HIGH ROLLER | #1 CAPPER (WP) IN '26: 177-125 | +82 UNITS | EPIC 121-76 (62%) MLB RUN | SHARP SIDE!: $25.00
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Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
Major League Baseball
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Good to -115
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MLB MONDAY $$$ TOTAL | +12.1 UNIT RUN: $25.00
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2026/27 NFL FUTURES/WIN TOTALS | 29% ROI | +57.4 UNITS
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Seattle starter George Kirby projects to give up 2.0 runs with a 2.72 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Los Angeles’ lineup has hit just .194 (13-67) with a weak .534 OPS against Kirby in his career. The Angels will start Ryan Johnson. The righty projects to give up 2.9 earned runs with a 4.85 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. With the starting pitching clearly in Seattle’s favor, look for the Mariners to get a solid home win in this game on Monday night.
Play MARINERS (-1.5 runline).
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**2-For-1** MLB BEST BET SPECIAL
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Adam Trigger
Major League Baseball
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Discussed this one on Total Bases. The Red Sox have a used up bullpen and the Nationals have used their bullpen extensively over the past week and don't have a great one to begin with.
There's potential for runs early with these two offenses but if we don't get them out of the gate I fully expect this to get there over the course of nine innings.
I ALSO HAVE A 5% PLAY THAT I LOVE TONIGHT UP ON MY PAGE AND YOU CAN GET IT AT THE LINK BELOW.
TOTAL BASES REPLAY ATTACHED!
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5% MLB MAX BET | 4-0 (100%) MAX RUN!: $35.00
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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973 Washington at Boston
Simply cannot pass up the value on the Nationals in this contest. Washington is the highest scoring team in baseball. In games with the total of nine runs or lower this season, the Nationals are 11-1 vs left-handed starters.
The Red Sox pulled out an extra inning win on Sunday Night Baseball over the hated NY Yankees. Boston swept the Bronx Bombers and now must get up for a National League squad. Keep in mind the NL has dominated the weaker AL this season in Interleague games.
PLAY WASHINGTON
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The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Isaac Paredes has earned a hit in 12 of his last 13 games, including a 3-for-5 day against the Tigers on Sunday. He should have another favorable matchup at home against Minnesota's Zebby Matthews on Monday. For starters, these teams just played at Target Field last month and Paredes hit a home run off Matthews. The Twins' righty has struggled with hard contact in recent weeks, allowing a total of five home runs across his last three starts. It's a small sample size, but Matthews has some notable home vs road splits this season. He's got a 2.08 ERA with a 1.04 WHIP in four starts at home compared to a 7.33 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP in four starts on the road. That problem is not limited to this season, however, as Matthews had a 5.48 ERA with a 1.48 WHIP in nine road starts last year. One thing that Matthews does very well is avoid walks, so we're going to look at Paredes in the total bases market since he's unlikely to draw a free pass against someone who has a 5.4-percent walk rate this season. Paredes will need to swing the bat to get on base tonight, but that shouldn’t be a concern considering he is hitting .299 in the month of June and he's cleared this total bases prop in nine of his last 13 games. All 11 of Paredes' home runs this season have come against right-hand pitching, which he will see against Matthews this evening.
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MONDAY WORLD CUP KNOCKOUT WINNER! • 7-1 WITH WC SIDES!: $25.00
Including Thursday's winner with Ecuador over Germany and Saturday's winner on Columbia over Portugal, The GoldSheet's World Cup sides are a BRILLIANT 7-1 (+22.2). Their next one goes Monday and it's another play offering outstanding value. Don't wait. Get the winner plus the TGS' acclaimed detailed analysis right now!
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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The Reds averaged 6.8 runs in their four road night games against a lefty starter this season.
The Reds own a 217 wRC+ (117% above the league average) against lefties on the road over the last two weeks.
The Brewers own a 120 wRC+ (20% above the league average) against lefties at home over the last two weeks.
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4% MLB TOP PLAY OF THE DAY: $25.00
Fresh off yesterday's MLB winner on the ATL/SF Under and on a 3-game MLB win streak, Dwayne has isolated his absolute strongest MLB play on Monday. This is Dwayne's only Monday play. This huge 4% play includes a paragraph of analysis, which reveals exactly why DB made this wager without hesitation. Details INSIDE.
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Bryan Power
Major League Baseball
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This series opener in Colorado should be a nice bounce back spot for Miami after a rare loss on Sunday. Even with the 2-1 loss yesterday in St. Louis, the Marlins' record in the month of June is 18-6. That's the best in all of MLB and it has catapulted the club into the thick of the NL Wild Card race. Meanwhile, the Rockies are right where we all thought they'd be ... their 33-51 YTD record is the worst in baseball.
I agree with the market that the ML opened too low here. Consider that when Miami swept Colorado early in the season, they closed -190 or higher in all three games. Now that was at home. But still, the Marlins have improved demonstrably since that time and will be sending Sandy Alcantara to the hill tonight. Alcantara has been the team's second best starting pitcher this season (behind Max Meyer). The team is 5-0 his L5 starts with Alcantara posting a 2.60 ERA during that time.
Colorado has not yet officially announced a starter for Monday, but it is expected to be Sean Sullivan, who now has three big league appearances under his belt. They've not gone all that well with the lefty posting an 8.25 ERA and 1.92 WHIP. This comes on the heels of a less than stellar run for Triple-A Albuquerque where Sullivan's ERA was 5.60. Miami also has a clear bullpen edge in this matchup. Expect the Fish to improve to 4-0 this season against the Rockies.
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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MODEL PROJECTION
Team | First 5 innings | Full game | Win probability | Fair moneyline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
DET | 1.7 | 3.2 | 37.8% | +165 |
NYY | 2.4 | 4.6 | 62.2% | -165 |
Total | 4.1 | 7.8 | — | — |
Most likely score: NYY 5, DET 3
STARTING-PITCHER ANALYSIS
Casey Mize enters with a 2-5 record, 2.95 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 58 strikeouts and 14 walks across 58 innings. The ERA and WHIP combination grades well above average, although the limited workload and recent return from an absence require some regression in the innings projection.
Mize faced New York six days earlier and allowed four runs and eight hits across 5 2/3 innings, striking out six. He worked efficiently through five innings before the Yankees scored three times in the sixth. That recent matchup receives significant weight because New York’s lineup construction and personnel are largely unchanged.
The recent appearance produced more hard contact than Mize’s season line normally permits. New York’s right-handed hitters matched his fastball early, while the left-handed portion of the order created damage as his command declined during the third trip through the lineup. The model therefore reduces his expected exposure after 22–23 batters.
Ryan Weathers enters at 3-5 with a 3.95 ERA, 95 strikeouts and 24 walks. His strikeout rate is materially higher than Mize’s, but his contact quality is less convincing: .303 actual wOBA, .329 expected wOBA, 42.5% hard-hit rate and 11.7% barrel rate.
Weathers has experienced considerable recent volatility. Before rebounding with 6 1/3 innings, one run and eight strikeouts against Chicago, he had surrendered at least five earned runs in four of five starts and eight home runs over four outings.
Detroit’s projected lineup is heavily left-handed, creating a difficult same-side matchup against Weathers. Kevin McGonigle, Kerry Carpenter, Riley Greene, Colt Keith, Zach McKinstry and James Outman all bat left-handed. That reduces Detroit’s projected on-base percentage and power relative to its production against right-handed pitching. Detroit entered the previous matchup with Weathers ranked in the lower half of MLB in OPS against left-handed pitching.
BATTER-VERSUS-PITCHER EFFECT
Mize’s current New York matchup sample is more useful than the older career data because he faced essentially the same offense on June 23. New York generated eight hits, four runs and several extra-base threats in 5 2/3 innings. The head-to-head adjustment adds 0.20 runs to New York’s first-five projection.
Detroit’s current lineup has limited meaningful exposure to Weathers. The most relevant adjustment comes from handedness rather than raw head-to-head totals. The six projected left-handed Detroit hitters receive an approximate 7% reduction in expected weighted offensive production against Weathers.
PROJECTED STARTING-PITCHER BOX SCORE
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB | HR | Batters faced |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Casey Mize | DET | 5 2/3 | 2.7 | 6.0 | 5.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 23.7 |
Ryan Weathers | NYY | 6 0/3 | 1.9 | 5.0 | 6.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 23.5 |
BULLPEN AND WORKLOAD
Detroit’s bullpen enters in a poor usage and performance spot. The relief staff surrendered late leads on consecutive days against Houston, including three runs after the sixth inning Saturday and four runs in the tenth inning Sunday. Kyle Finnegan, Tyler Holton and Kenley Jansen were all involved in recent high-leverage innings.
The Tigers also played ten innings Sunday before traveling to New York. Although the flight is short, the combination of an extra-inning game, a late bullpen collapse and four consecutive games against Houston produces a meaningful relief-depth penalty.
New York’s bullpen receives a smaller fatigue penalty. The Yankees completed a four-game road series at Boston before returning home, so the return-home flat-spot rule applies to the offense. The bullpen, however, was not subjected to the same extra-inning workload as Detroit’s. New York had lost the first three games of that Boston series and had scored only three runs over the first two games highlighted in the weekend reporting, indicating weak immediate offensive form.
The probability that New York leads after the top of the ninth creates approximately a 41% chance that the bottom of the ninth is not played. This removes approximately 0.17 runs from New York’s unrestricted offensive projection.
WAGER & PROBABILITY ANALYSIS — MODEL-DRIVEN
Moneyline | Model win probability | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Price difference | Value assessment | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DET | 37.8% | +165 | +118 | -47 | No value | 3/5 |
NYY | 62.2% | -165 | -142 | +23 | Value | 3/5 |
TOKYO’S CLUTCH INDEX — RUNNER ON THIRD WITH LESS THAN 2 OUTS
Team | OPS | MLB rank |
|---|---|---|
NYY | .874 | 8 |
DET | .792 | 20 |
Ranks are curved to a 1–30 scale, with 1 best and 30 worst.
Category | DET | NYY |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP composite | 7th | 17th |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA + WHIP composite | 28th | 12th |
Lineup last 10 days runs + wOBA composite | 18th | 25th |
Mize grades substantially better than Weathers on ERA and WHIP, but Weathers’ matchup against Detroit’s left-heavy lineup closes much of the starting-pitcher gap. Detroit’s bullpen ranking is the decisive late-game model difference after consecutive blown leads and heavy high-leverage usage.
Projected final: NYY 4.6, DET 3.2
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Pavlos Laguretos
World Cup
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England vs DR Congo
World Cup, Wednesday, 12pm ET
Play: 1H Under 1 Goal
Odds at Time of Release: +103
Line Parameter: Line good to -115
England are -900 to qualify, DR Congo are +700, and I know England are a better team and a fan favourite, but if you're looking for VALUE, that +700 on DR Congo is the VALUE. It's gonna be hard, and it can only come if DR Congo revert to their ultra defensive mind-set.
As for Regulation, England are -350 favourites, the Draw at +460 and DR Congo are +1140 underdogs, with the Spread at 1.5 and the Total at 2.5
Excluding England's first half vs Croatia that had FOUR goals, they kept it tight in their next two matches, with ZERO goals vs Ghana and ZERO vs Panama. And that actually makes sense, as coach Tuchel is a very defensive-minded coach and I expect a tight first half here as well. Going back to their friendlies and looking at 1H Totals: 1 vs Costa Rica, 1 (late) vs New Zealand, 1 vs Japan, 0 vs Uruguay. Going further back to their World Cup Qualifiers in a group with Albania (0 and 1), Serbia (1 and 2), Latvia (1 and 3) and Andorra (1 and 0), but also further back to the Nations League vs Ireland (0 and 2), Greece (1 and 0) and Finland (1 and 0), we will see that in their only 4 of their last 17 competitive matches had 2 or more first half goals, 7 of 17 had zero goals and 6 of them had exactly 1 goal. So, tight. Basically just 23.5% of their competitive matches under coach Tuchel had 2 or more first half goals.
DR Congo are a tight team with not a ton of quality up front, their main attribute is the defense. 1H totals in the World Cup: 1 vs Uzbekistan, 0 vs Colombia, 2 vs Portugal. Friendlies: 0 vs Chile, 0 vs Denmark, 1 (late) vs Bermuda. Going back further to the AFCON: 1 vs Benin, 0 vs Senegal, 2 vs Botswana, 0 vs Algeria in the knockouts. Going back to the previous AFCON (under the same coach): 2 vs Zambia, 1 vs Morocco, 0 vs Tanzania, 2 vs Egypt (late PK), 2 vs Guinea, 0 vs Ivory Coast, 0 vs South Africa.
You get the picture. DR Congo cannot outgun England, they will try to keep it tight here for as long as possible and hope to maybe hit on the counter or even send the match to extra time/penalties and hope for the best.
The Play is 1H Under 1 (+103), line good to -105
Several ways to bet this game:
1H Under 1 (+103), I find it hard to see 2+ goals in 1H, Under 1 feels SAFE
1H Draw (+164), if DR Congo are to have a shot at this game, they need to keep it tight
England Win & Under 3.5 Goals (-125) England won 7 of 17 matches by the exact score of 2-0, which is +450
VALUE BETS (longshots, bigger odds, small stakes)
England win by 2-0 (+450)
HT/FT Draw/England (+300)
Draw (+460)
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Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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GOOD TO 150
ALCANTARA MUST START
The marlins lost yesterday and we will look for a bounce back game here with Sandy on the hill. Miami have now won 8 of thier last 10 and playing some solid baseball. Alcantara is starting to come around as well. He had a nice June so far sporting a 2.60 ERA with a WHIP of 1.04. Colorado are back from a 3 game road trip in Minnesota losing 2 of 3. This club has been playing better than anticipated and they will eventually after the All- Star break be a total fade team. Getting a nice price at the time of this writing for Sandy as the Rockies may have a a somewhat BP game going tonight.
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Diamondbacks were swept by Tampa over the weekend so we can expect some urgency as they return home to take on a division rival. Eduardo Rodriguez is having a career year, entering Monday with a top 5 ERA at 2.27. E-Rod threw 6.2 innings of shutout baseball while allowing just 3 hits last time out and has given up a total of 2 earned over his past 3 starts. He’s held the opponent to 3 earned or less in 13 of his 16 starts this season and had a quality start against the Giants at the end of last month. Arizona has seen Tyler Mahle twice over his past 3 outings, and they’ve tagged him for 9 runs over that period. Take the Diamondbacks.
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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The surprising Chisox can’t win ‘em all but still took another series on the weekend (vs. the Royals) and remain in first place in the AL Central, even if just by percentage points, ahead of Cleveland into Monday night.
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Ben Burns
World Cup
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Having received a "wake-up call" in a loss against Ecuador, Germany should take care of business against Paraguay. Prior to the Ecuador loss, Germany had won its first two games by a combined score of 9-2. Keep in mind that they'd already locked up first place in group after those two matches. Plus, Ecuador is considerably stronger than Paraguay. In three matches, Paraguay scored only two goals. In its only win, Paraguay was dominated statistically by Turkey, as Turkey had a 2.17 to 0.33 edge in expected goals on the strength of a 32-7 advantage in shots on goal and a 79%-21% time of possession. The Americans beat Paraguay by three and Germany should be able to defeat them by AT LEAST two. *Good at -1.5 up to -130
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