Free Sports Predictions MAY 15: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Joe Raineri
NBA Basketball
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I think this line has gotten a bit too high now, and it's time to pull the trigger. This is a game 6, elimination situation in which the home dog has yet to figure out how to score efficiently enough to push this to the OVER. YES, four of the five games have gone over, but the last game was a blowout in the 2H, which led to a ton of garbage-time scoring, from San Antonio at least. The Timberwolves will leave it all out on the court at home tonight, and by doing so, they have to sell out defensively. They will not win a shootout, and they know it. History tells us Elimination Games 6 and 7 are often played much tighter and closer to the vest. Remember, Minnesota has been here and done this, while the Spurs are about to find that the hardest game to win in a playoff series is the closeout game. On the road, I expect some tightness here and fewer points, not a crazy shootout. UNDER 219 is too much value to pass up.
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4% NBA TOP PLAY FRIDAY | 5-0 RUN | UP +21 UNITS : $25.00
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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=============
BOS at ATL
Game setup
Item | BOS | ATL |
|---|---|---|
Record | 18-24 | 30-13 |
Split | 10-11 away | 14-6 home |
Starter | Connelly Early | Spencer Strider |
Starter hand | LHP | RHP |
Starter season line | 3-2, 3.16 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 42.2 IP, 39 K, 18 BB, 5 HR | 1-0, 2.89 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, 9.1 IP, 14 K, 7 BB, 1 HR |
Team runs/game | 3.81 | 5.51 |
Team AVG / OBP / SLG | .236 / .313 / .354 | .272 / .334 / .453 |
Team OPS rank | 27 | 1 |
Team HR rank | 28 | 2 |
Team ERA / WHIP | 3.88 / 1.27 | 3.06 / 1.14 |
Projected score
Boston 3.4
Atlanta 5.1
First 5 innings: Boston 1.6, Atlanta 2.7
Full game total: 8.5
Projected winner: Atlanta
Best projected value: Atlanta moneyline if sportsbook price is -175 or better; Atlanta F5 moneyline; Boston team total under if posted 3.5 or higher.
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
ATL | 4 | .914 |
BOS | 25 | .641 |
Final 1-30 model rank chart
Team | Starting pitcher ERA+WHIP rank | SP composite | Bullpen last 10 days ERA+WHIP rank | Bullpen composite | Lineup run production last 10 days rank | Last 10 active-lineup run form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ATL | 10 | 4.18 | 5 | 3.91 | 2 | 52 R, .354 wOBA |
BOS | 13 | 4.38 | 12 | 4.72 | 25 | 34 R, .286 wOBA |
Best values
Bet | Value grade | Fair price | Playable price |
|---|---|---|---|
ATL moneyline | Best value | -196 | -175 or better |
Final betting read
Atlanta projects as the clear side, 5.1 to 3.4. Boston’s offensive profile is the main blocker: low run rate, low OPS, weak HR output, and multiple lineup injuries. Early is capable of keeping Boston alive for five innings, but Atlanta’s right-handed pressure, home environment, and lineup depth create the stronger run path. Strider’s walk rate keeps Atlanta -1.5 from becoming a top play, but his strikeout ceiling plus Boston’s weak power profile make Atlanta first-five moneyline the cleanest derivative angle.
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Tokyo Brandon just released a feature bet in the Tigers vs Mets game, and it’s one of the strongest value spots on the board. As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss. If you’re looking for a high-value MLB bet wit ...
Rob Veno
NBA Basketball
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(523) Detroit Pistons at (524) Cleveland Cavaliers: Sam Merrill Points (Game Analysis Below)
Play Rating: FREE
Play Type: Full Game Player Prop
Play: Sam Merrill Points Over 5.5 (-137)
Date/Time: Fri May 15 7:00 pm EST
Line Provider: Consensus Line
2% Detroit @ Cleveland
Third consecutive trip to the window with this play which cashed on Monday & Wednesday. Same outcome each time as Cleveland SF Sam Merrill had his points scored priced at 5.5 and he slid "over" by scoring 6. Market asking for identical number but again adding juice as this one is increased by 20 cents (-117 Game #4 / -119 Game #5 & -137 tonight). Merrill has had ample opportunities to score in his three games since returning from injury. Game #3 he had a potential points scored of 13 and scored 7, Game #4 chance to score 23 & scored 6 and Game #5 chance for 15 & scored 6. Trio of games all with necessary opportunities and all three times "over" this number. Indicators suggest "if it ain't broke don't fix it" approach here so investing for third straight time in this home contest where Merrill figures to post 6+.
PLAY: Sam Merrill Points Over 5.5 (-137)
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UFL Saturday Week #8 Extreme Edge Best Bet
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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The Sunshine State Showdown has us on the Rays over the Fish in Tropicana Field. Tampa has been a cash cow going (16-4) over their last 20 games overall. Sitting atop the AL East Division and seriously tough to beat at home, sporting a (14-4) record in The Trop.
Tougher trip for the Marlins traveling in from a (9-1) loss in Minnesota yesterday. As compared to the Rays who were off yesterday. Starting pitching may be a slight advantage for the Junk the Miami starter, however the spot and the better team point to the Tampa side. This just missed the client card for Friday. For today's free bet- Lay the short number with the Rays.
Today's MLB Betting Show:
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Marco D'Angelo
Major League Baseball
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Spencer Arrighetti has made five starts and allowed just six total runs, but he’s been very fortunate given how poor his control has been, with 20 walks in 34 innings. Since 2024, his teams are only 3–14 when he starts a game with a total of 8 or 8.5, and opponents have averaged 4.8 runs per game in those 17 contests. These are two clubs heading in opposite directions, as Houston has dropped five of its last six while Texas has won four of its last five. The Rangers are opening a road trip, and I like backing teams that are playing well in the first game away from home because they’re generally locked in to start the trip strong and keep the momentum rolling. Meanwhile, Houston is in a major scoring slump, having been held to three runs or fewer in nine of its last 11 games.
TAKE TEXAS
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FRIDAY ALL ACCESS including BLACK EYED SUSAN STAKES: $29.00
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Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Malcolm Wellmaker enters Saturday’s fight looking to rebound from a highly disappointing loss in his most recent outing against Ethyn Ewing. Heading into that bout Wellmaker was a significant -410 favorite, while Ewing came in on short notice for his UFC debut. Against expectations Ewing delivered a strong performance, earning a hard fought decision victory over Wellmaker in a competitive striking battle. Ewing edged the total strikes 85-77 but it was his three takedowns that proved decisive in securing the win. In hindsight, Wellmaker appeared to underestimate the challenge, perhaps taking the short notice opponent a bit lightly. Since then Ewing has continued to impress, picking up another victory inside the distance with a knockout in his next fight. That back-to-back success has solidified the view that Ewing is a legitimate prospect with a strong pace, constant pressure and well-rounded skills that make him a handful for anyone in the division. For Wellmaker, this matchup Saturday night represents an ideal opportunity to get back on track. He possesses legitimate one-punch knockout power, with four of his last five wins coming by way of knockout. He is an explosive athlete who has quick developing combinations, transitions smoothly between stances and showcases noticeably sharper and more polished striking than most fighters at this level. His dynamic movement and explosive power make him dangerous when the fight stays on the feet. Diaz, by contrast, brings a similar stylistic approach to Ewing. Relentless pressure boxing with the ability to mix in takedowns and solid durability but he sits several notches below Ewing. He is still relatively green, riding momentum from a standout Contender Series performance where he finished Won Kwon with a highlight-reel spinning back elbow. While that moment stole the show, the fight was far more competitive than the finish suggested, Kwon was landing clean shots and staying in the fight until the dramatic conclusion. Kwon’s own striking, power, and footwork were well below Wellmaker’s level, which underscores how much more difficult Diaz’s task will be here. I expect this fight to play out primarily on the feet, which plays directly into Wellmaker’s strengths. Diaz’s striking is relatively slow, basic while limited in variety and he tends to be quite hittable when exchanging in the pocket. His willingness to stand and trade should create openings for Wellmaker to unleash his heavier hands and sharper combinations. While Diaz may attempt wrestling, I do not foresee him generating sustained success against Wellmaker’s athleticism and defensive instincts. All things considered, this looks like a favorable spot for Malcolm Wellmaker to rediscover his winning ways. Expect him to capitalize on the matchup with a violent finish, likely a brutal knockout that puts his UFC career back on the upward trajectory.
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4% UFC: Octagon Edge (3-0!): $25.00
The UFC capping King is 3-0 on 4% Top Selections and 18-8 (70 % win rate) on all plays while profiting 4 of the last 6 UFC events!! This Saturday KA is absolutely locked & loaded with a BIG SLATE for clients!! Grab this pack now and enjoy the profits...~ Currently 4 PLAYS in pack ~
Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
NBA Basketball
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Good to -110 or OV5.5 -140
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MLB BEST BET | +72.7% RUN!!!!: $25.00
RED-HOT MLB RUN!!!Krackman is absolutely DOMINATING MLB right now. He's 27-15 over his last 42 plays for a massive +11.12 units, and he's won 8 of his last 11 for another +5.1 units of profit.Professional Sports Bettor Bill Krackomberger (VSIN, Showtime, Fox Sports) has joined WagerTalk to share his +EV plays. Krack has been beating the s ...
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Cincinnati starter Andrew Abbott projects to give up just 2.2 runs with a 3.34 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Cleveland’s lineup has hit just .208 (10-48) with a weak .518 OPS against Abbott in his career. The Guardians will start Tanner Bibee. The righty projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.27 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. With both starting pitchers projecting well, expect the offenses to struggle resulting in a low-scoring game on Friday night.
Play UNDER the total.
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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Jesse Schule
NBA Basketball
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This is a free play on Naz Reid over 20.5 pts & reb.
It sure looks like Naz Reid has taken the starting minutes from Rudy Gobert. He's logged 30+ minutes in each of the last three games, and he went over this number in both games in Minnesota. He had 15 points and nine rebounds in Game 4 and 18 points and nine rebounds in Game 3. If he continues to play 30+ minutes it's more likely than not he goes over this number.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
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The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your expert releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.What You Get:Every World Cup play your expert releases, June 11 ...
Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take San Antonio (#525)
This 'Daily Double' video for Friday Night NBA doubleheader was clipped from my appearance on Wagertalk Today -- your sports central for gamblers, every weekday at Noon Eastern/9 AM Pacific on Wagertalk TV! Subscribe to our Youtube channel for instant alerts when the videos go live!!
The Timberwolves are not the better of these two teams, something that's become increasingly clear as this series has progressed. Minnesota stole Game 1 after San Antonio did not deal well with their extended layoff between series, and stole Game 4 after Victor Wembanyama was ejected. But the Spurs depth and talent has been too much for Minnesota to overcome three times already -- two blowout losses and a seven point defeat in Game 3, a comparable spot. If I'm playin' I'm layin -- expect the Spurs to close out this series tonight! Take the Spurs.
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Will Rogers
Mixed Martial Arts
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Christian Edwards/Modestas Bukauskas [UNDER] | Good until 2.5, -130.
In a fight like this, I'm expecting action from the opening bell. Originally supposed to fight Rodolfo Bellato, Modestas Bukauskas is a pretty sizeable favorite here against Christian Edwards (who will be fighting on short notice.) With 20 of his 26 fights over his MMA career finishing before the final bell, and with 14 finishes himself, I do believe that this sets up well for him to get his 15th. Edwards' nickname is "Pain" too. I'm expecting fireworks.
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Will Rogers
NBA Basketball
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Detroit Pistons [ATS] | Good until +3.5, -110.
I like Detroit to respond in Game 6. In Game 5, there was a lot of controversy about the final seconds of regulation, being a no-call that would've sent Detroit to the free throw line for game winning free throws. Well, the refs didn't end up calling that game and I think that it's going to light a fire within this Pistons team for Game 6. We saw what Detroit was capable of doing when facing elimination in the last series. I like this one to go seven games as well.
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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|
Total Over 2.5 (-119)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-130)
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If you want a real look inside Ace’s process, this is it. Today’s Steam Sheet gives you the same sharp information he tracks all day long—his final cuts that didn’t officially make the client card but still carry strong betting value.Today’s $19 Steam Sheet includes: • Ace’s “just missed” plays for the day • One free official ...
SAT MMA PASS : UFC FIGHT NIGHT + MVP MMA 1: $29.00
Numbers Never Lie...Gianni's finished the YEAR as the #1 PROFIT WINNER in Combat Sports :"3 TIMES" since 2020, and finished #2 "ONCE" !!!And now he comes into this week's UFC event off a "losing card"...looking to project towards his mean = PROFIT -Get SAT MMA PASS : UFC FIGHT NIGHT + MVP MMA 1 - Only $29
Adam Trigger
Major League Baseball
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We used Over 9 (-120) in the Total Bases parlay and if you can still find an Over 9 (-120) I think that's a great bet.
My TOP PLAY for Friday is a 5% MLB MAX and it's up now on my page!
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5% MLB MAX BET | 9-3 (75%) MLB RUN!: $35.00
***ADAM CASHES BOTH PLAYS FOR A 2-0 THURSDAY SWEEP***Another BEST BET MLB WINNER on Thursday as the Brew Crew cash a 4% WINNER in a BLOWOUT!Adam is 5-1 on the bases the past two days and on a 9-3 run in MLB!Adam is STEPPING OUT on Friday Night with a 5% MLB MAX BET!
Baseball Double Play: Adam Trigger + Tokyo Brandon — ONLY $59
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The hosts of Total Bases, Adam Trigger and Tokyo Brandon, are joining forces on the diamond! Lock in a Two-for-One MLB 3-Day Pass and get every baseball pick from BOTH pros for three full days of action — includes any 5% Best Bets — ONLY $59 vs buying individually for $98. If any college, minor league or Asian baseball is released, that's inclu ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Ross Benjamin
Major League Baseball
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Clay Holmes has exhibited excellent form over his last three starts, posting a 1.47 ERA/0.98 WHIP, while averaging 6.1 innings pitched per start. The current Yankees roster has gone 5-for-29 (.172 BA) lifetime against Holmes. The New York Mets bullpen has a dominating 0.38 ERA/0.97 WHIP as a staff throughout their previous 6 games. The Mets have struggled offensively over that 6-game stretch while compiling a team (.209 BA/.284 OBP. The Mets have played 9-3 (75%) to the under in their last 12 games.
Cam Schlittler has displayed magnificent form over his last 5 starts while recording a 0.57 ERA/0.85 WHIP and 4 of those 5 games went under the total. Schlittler averaged 6.3 innings pitched per start during those 5 appearances. The Yankees bullpen has been a bit shaky over their last few games but otherwise shown to be among the best staffs in MLB this season. The Bronx Bombers have been anemic offensive of late while averaging a mere 2.3 runs scored per game, hitting .168 as a team, and they struck out 62 times throughout their previous 6 outings. The Yankees have played 6-0 to the under in their last 6, scored 3 runs or fewer on 5 of those occasions, and was shutout twice.
Bet this game to go under the total of 7.0 or higher.
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MLB +56.93 Units Net Profit Run
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Friday MLB 3-Game Clean SweepRoss "The Boss" Benjamin has gone on red-hot current winning runs of 4-1, 6-2, and 8-3 on his MLB premium picks. Ross has also made a massive net profit of +185.70 units on his premium picks in all sports since 5/13/2025. "The Boss" has 3 more MLB winners on Friday's card and all are included in ...
#1 Expert Since 5/13/2025: +185.55 Units Net Profit
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Friday NBA Perfect 3-0 NightPistons vs. Cavaliers (Side) 7:00 ETSpurs @ Timberwolves 9:30 ET (Side & Total) 9:30 ETRoss "The Boss" is 168-123 (58%) with a net profit of +129.40 units on his NBA Playoffs premium picks since 2021. All NBA premium sides are +82.41 units of net profit since 4/11/2023.It's a 3-0 sweep for just $39!
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Andy Lang
Major League Baseball
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This is a really good spot to fade Cincinnati after the big offensive explosion.
The Reds just put up 15 runs, which is exactly the kind of performance that tends to inflate perception and the market. Realistically, they’re still not a particularly good team overall, and expecting that level of offense to carry over is asking a lot. Cincinnati Reds are a prime regression candidate here.
Cleveland, meanwhile, hold pretty much every important edge in the matchup. Cleveland Guardians have the better starting pitching setup, the better bullpen, and the more reliable offense overall. They’re also the deeper and more complete team across nine innings. That bullpen gap is especially important. If this game is close late, Cleveland are far more trustworthy to close it out. The Guardians just have more ways to win this game.
At this number, Cleveland feels generously priced.
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NBA 4% Best Bets Are Paying Bills: $25.00
3 Straight Winners | +27 Units in the Playoffs- The NBA playoff run has been an absolute bankroll builder with 3 straight winners and now +27 units overall. The reads are sharp, the spots are clean, and the 4% plays continue to deliver night after night. When it’s running this hot, you stay aggressive. Let’s keep stacking.
LAX PLAY OF THE WEEK… Insanse Season Rolls On
Was $25.00 Now $12.50
Absolute SMASH SPOT. We’re taking the profits from the first 2 Let It Ride plays and rolling them straight into this week’s best bet. The lacrosse season has been an absolute dream run at 30-17 for +37 units, consistently delivering one of the strongest edges on the board. Momentum is rolling, confidence is high — let it ride.
WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
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The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your expert releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.What You Get:Every World Cup play your expert releases, June 11 ...
Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
View profile
917 Boston at Atlanta
Nice spot here to back Connelly Early as he heads to Atlanta to face Spencer Strider. The Atlanta righty looked good in his last start, so we get to fade him off what we consider to be a high point. Coming back from a major injury he struggled badly against the Rockies in his first start, and we expect more of the same here.
Yes the Atlanta bats have been much better on the season, but the regression has started to hit in the last week. We get the better starter at a nice price here.
PLAY BOSTON
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WOW! 5% MLB BEST BET /JUST OUR 3RD MLB 5% ON THE SEASON /#1 ALL-TIME IN MLB NET PROFIT: $35.00
This is our very first MLB 5% of the month, and only our third MLB 5% of the season. It's a STRONG OVER/UNDER WINNER on the Friday card. We've dominated baseball for over a decade at Wagertalk, ranking #1 in MLB Net Profit. If you are looking for one play on Friday to unload on, you've come to the right place. One of the three baseba ...
Baseball Double Play: Adam Trigger + Bryan Leonard — ONLY $59
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The hosts of Total Bases, Adam Trigger and Bryan Leonard, are joining forces on the diamond! Lock in a Two-for-One MLB 3-Day Pass and get every baseball pick from BOTH pros for three full days of action — includes any 5% Best Bets — ONLY $59 vs buying individually for $98. If any college, minor league or Asian baseball is released, that's inclu ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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We're getting a juicy plus-money price on a prop that Kurtz has cleared in seven of his last eight games. The Athletics' first baseman is hitting .340 with a 1.010 OPS so far in the month of May. Six of his seven home runs this season have come against right-hand pitching, and that is what he will see on Friday against San Francisco's Tyler Mahle. After a productive year with the Rangers in 2025, things have not gone well for Mahle in his first season with the Giants. His walk rate has climbed from 4.9-percent in 2023 to 7.1-percent in 2024 to 8.4-percent in 2025 to 11.0-percent so far this season. Walks are fine for this prop on Kurtz. While they don't directly contribute to his hits + runs + RBI prop, they do give him run-scoring opportunities and he's scored seven runs in the last five games. Mahle allowed four runs on five hits with two walks in 5.2 innings in his last start against the Pirates. In three road starts, Mahle has posted an 8.16 ERA with a 1.88 WHIP with nine walks in just 14.1 innings pitched.
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FRI. **5% MAX** LEGEND! (5-0 L5 MLB, 15-3 5% RECORD, 48-17 (+111.35) L65!): $35.00
MUST PLAY ALERT! Yesterday's 15-1 BLOWOUT WINNER brought The GoldSheet to a PERFECT 5-0 their past five MLB selections. That's just the tip of the iceberg! The TGS team is 73-32 their last 105 MLB and 48-17 (+111.35) their last 65 MLB plays rated 4% and up. Their MLB 5% MAX plays are 15-3 their last 18. All these eye-popping records are ...
2026/2027 Early-Bird Football/Basketball GoldSheet Combo
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Lock in the lowest available price for next year's newsletter during this special early-bird release.Join the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter for another informative season on the gridiron and hardwood.
GoldSheet's MLB Stat Sheet w/ Free Plays for Fri May 15
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Two FREE Plays Plus Valuable Betting NotesGoldSheet's daily MLB stat sheet provides marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, one traditional free play, one prop play, batting stats in a variety of categories and Ralph Michaels' first inning trends sheet each morning around 10am ET / 7am PT. The stat sheet will be FREE this week for all users, so co ...
Dwayne Bryant
NBA Basketball
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Key Situational Angle:
Under head coach Kenny Atkinson, Cleveland is 0-8 ATS when the total is no higher than 237 and they're coming off a road win over a division rival. Cleveland failed to cover the spread by an average margin of 12.6 points!
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5% FRIDAY NBA KNOCKOUT | #1 AGAIN: $35.00
Dwayne Bryant continues to dominate the NBA: #1 in NBA profit this season at +96.69 units#1 in NBA profit last season at +84 units#1 in NBA profit since last season at +180.69 unitsFriday’s massive 5% NBA KNOCKOUT isn't backed by a trend or situational angle. This monster play is based on Dwayne's breakdown of this matchup and series. H ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
Don Buster
Major League Baseball
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GOOD TO 170 NO PLAY 175
LISTED STARTERS
EARLY/ STRIDER.
Solid situational spot for the Braves here. Really like playing teams that have been shutout at home to come right back and have a big game at the dish. The price has got away from us here so we make it a small play. Another angle we like is the Braves pitcher Spenser Strider had an excellent game in his last turn holding the Big Bad Dodgers to 1 hit over 6 innings. The Braves get their whacks against a Lefty here in Early and that's a solid plus as the Braves sit number 1 in batting average against said LH pitching so fr this season. They also sit Number 4 in MLB with their BP, all of this puts us on Atlanta in this one.
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5% MLB MAX BET PLAY 86% (6-1) LAST SEVEN 5% PLAYS: $35.00
Join Don Buster for his 5% MLB MAX BET RELEASE. Buster is on a SOLID 86% (6-1) with his L/7 5% ALL SPORTS RELEASES. Tonight Buster has found one play on the 15 game MLB slate that is worthy of a 5% MLB MAX BET RELEASE. In this package you will receive ONE 5% MLB SIDE RELEASE. This release comes with a detailed analysis and statistical information o ...
Don Buster — Buy the CFL Season, Get NHL Playoffs FREE for $299
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Don Buster is on a historic run, and there has never been a better time to get on board. For a limited time, purchase the full CFL season package and receive the NHL Playoffs absolutely free — all for just $299.Don Buster is the number one-ranked handicapper on the site for NHL this season (2025/26), and holds the number one spot lifetime in NHL ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(907) Texas Rangers at (908) Houston Astros: Total
First Inning Under +.5 (-115) Jack Leiter (RHP), Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) Must Start
Texas has scored a first-inning run only once in its last 7 games
Houston has also failed to score a first-inning run in 7 straight
Leiter is 5-3 NRFI, but he has tossed 3 straight NRFI
Arrighetti has a 1.88 ERA, and he is 4-1 NRFI with 3 straight NRFI
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#2 OVERALL IN 2026 & #2 MLB THIS SEASON • 75% RUN LAST 16 DAYS!: $25.00
4% BEST BET >> MLB PLAYS ARE 4-0 (100%) & 39-15-3 (72%)! • RALPH HAS CASHED 12 OF THE LAST 16 DAYS (75%)!Why wait 3 hours to cash an MLB bet when you can do so in the first 15 minutes?•• Ralph is off a 2-0 Thursday including cashing another Best Bet winner! His overall All-Sports run is now 113-75-2 (60%) since January!•• Ralp ...
THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Friday, May 15The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included ...
THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Monday, May 4The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included * ...
Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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$100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass + 10 Days Free — Save $238!
-> Get 40 full days of EVERY play from Oskeim Sports — including all 5% Best Bets — for under $5/day. Save $238 instantly with $100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass plus 10 FREE bonus days of picks. Lock in nonstop action across every sport right now!
San Antonio arrives in Minnesota looking to clinch the series over the Timberwolves in Game 6 of the Western Conference second round. The Spurs defeated the Timberwolves 126-97 on Wednesday behind 27 points from Victor Wembanyama. San Antonio’s defense has played exceptionally well this postseason, ranking third in team defense (101.8 points per game), first in FG% allowed (40.9), and second in three-point FG% allowed (31.6). The fact that San Antonio is favored in Game 6 is significant because NBA playoff road favorites are 210-166-11 to the Under (55.9%), while .501 or greater home underdogs of three points or greater are 210-169-8 to the Under (55.4%) following a road loss. Even better, NBA playoff Game 6s are 107-83-6 to the Under (56.3%), while Game 6 road favorites are 33-18-1 to the Under (64.7%), going under by an average margin of 4.7 points per game since 2006. Finally, the under falls into a very good 203-155-11 (56.7%) NBA totals system of mine that invests on the under in certain postseason games involving .501 or greater road favorites versus opponents with a winning record, including 108-80-7 to the Under (57.4%) since the beginning of the 2016-17 season, going under by an average margin of 3.0 points per game. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, May 15.
DOCUMENTED RESULTS
-> White-Hot 11-2 Overall Run
-> 141-94 (60%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> #1 Basketball (WP/ROI): 105-72
-> #1 NBA (WP/ROI), 2025-26 Season
-> NBA Top Plays: 65.4% in 2026
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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5% NBA GAME OF WEEK | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72 | 141-94 RUN (60%): $35.00
On Friday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE 5% NBA GAME OF THE WEEK—one of his STRONGEST releases of the season. Jeff is on a WHITE-HOT 11-2 overall run and has PRODUCED +95 Net Units since February! When Jeff steps out with a 5% NBA release, it signals maximum confidence, maximum edge, and maximum opportunity. DON'T MISS IT!DOCUMENT ...
NBA TOTAL SHARP PLAY | WHITE-HOT 11-2 RUN | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72!: $25.00
Jeff Keim has been ON FIRE, riding an AMAZING 11-2 RUN and is the #1 NBA Handicapper (WP/ROI) in 2025-26! On Friday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE NBA Total Sharp Play backed by powerful situational analysis and respected sharp-money support. This is an ABSOLUTE MUST PLAY. DON'T GET LEFT BEHIND!DOCUMENTED RESULTS-> Dominant 11-2 Overall Run-& ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Oskeim Sports
Major League Baseball
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1-YEAR ALL-INCLUSIVE PASS
Get a full year of EVERY play from Oskeim Sports for just $99/month - including all sports and every 5% Best Bet. Save up to $3,300 PLUS receive a 25% BONUS COUPON valid on future purchases all year long. Lock in 365 days of nonstop action and unbeatable value today.
Atlanta’s pitching staff has been nothing short of spectacular this season, ranking 1st in ERA (3.02), 1st in BABIP (.248), 5th in xERA (3.60), 7th in K/9 (8.93), and 10th in FIP (3.87). Atlanta’s offense has been equally impressive, ranking 1st in batting average (.270), 5th in OBP (.332), and 2nd in wOBA (.344), wRC+ (119), and WAR (9.7). From a technical standpoint, Atlanta enters off a 2-0 loss to the Cubs on Thursday, but MLB home favorites coming off a shutout loss are 372-224 (62.4%; +4.7% ROI) in the opening game of a series. Atlanta right-hander Spencer Strider toes the rubber off an outstanding start against the Dodgers (6.0 IP, 1 H, 0 ER), which is significant for two reasons. First, MLB favorites of greater than -125 coming off a shutout loss are 314-203 (60.7%; +1% ROI) with starting pitchers who were underdogs in their previous outing. This situation has been 96-53 (64.4%; +3.3% ROI) since August 1, 2019, winning by an average margin of 1.2 runs per game. Second, MLB home favorites with starting pitchers whose WHIP is 1.30 or better are 1264-668 (65.4%; +3.4% ROI) versus opposing pitchers with ERAs in a certain range. Finally, the Braves are 109-50 (68.6%; +5.5% ROI) as home favorites of greater than -130 versus opponents with a worse win percentage, winning by an average margin of 1.7 runs per game. Take the Atlanta Braves as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Friday, May 15.
DOCUMENTED RESULTS
-> Red-Hot 11-2 Overall Run
-> 141-94 (60%) Overall Run | +95 Units
-> #1 Basketball (WP/ROI): 105-72
-> #1 NBA (WP/ROI), 2025-26 Season
-> 109-67 (62%) MLB Run | 4 #1 MLB Titles
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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5% NBA GAME OF WEEK | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72 | 141-94 RUN (60%): $35.00
On Friday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE 5% NBA GAME OF THE WEEK—one of his STRONGEST releases of the season. Jeff is on a WHITE-HOT 11-2 overall run and has PRODUCED +95 Net Units since February! When Jeff steps out with a 5% NBA release, it signals maximum confidence, maximum edge, and maximum opportunity. DON'T MISS IT!DOCUMENT ...
NBA TOTAL SHARP PLAY | WHITE-HOT 11-2 RUN | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72!: $25.00
Jeff Keim has been ON FIRE, riding an AMAZING 11-2 RUN and is the #1 NBA Handicapper (WP/ROI) in 2025-26! On Friday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE NBA Total Sharp Play backed by powerful situational analysis and respected sharp-money support. This is an ABSOLUTE MUST PLAY. DON'T GET LEFT BEHIND!DOCUMENTED RESULTS-> Dominant 11-2 Overall Run-& ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
Jesse Schule
NBA Basketball
View profile
This is a free play on Dosummu Over 3.5 assists.
it looks like he has taken over as the starting PG. Dosunmu has logged 30+ minutes in three straight games, and during that span he has racked up a dozen assists. He should get at least four assists here tonight as the primary PG expected to log 30+ minutes.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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5% NBA BEST BET - 9-1 (90%) LAST 10 NBA SIDES! : $35.00
Jesse Schule is ABSOLUTELY ON FIRE with his HIGHEST RATED picks, showing +247 UNITS of PROFIT since 2021! He is the ONLY handicapper on this site that RANKS #1 in the following categories:#1 ALL SPORTS CAPPER (+216) units won with 4% & 5% plays since 2022.#1 All SPORTS CAPPER (+175) units won with 4% & 5% plays since 2023.#1 ALL SPORTS CAPP ...
4 Gm All Access (Incl. 5%) - 9-1 NBA Sides Run / #1 MLB Props L365: $39.00
Jesse Schule is ABSOLUTELY ON FIRE with his HIGHEST RATED picks, showing +247 UNITS of PROFIT since 2021! He is the ONLY handicapper on this site that RANKS #1 in the following categories:#1 ALL SPORTS CAPPER (+216) units won with 4% & 5% plays since 2022.#1 All SPORTS CAPPER (+175) units won with 4% & 5% plays since 2023.#1 ALL SPORTS CAPP ...
WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
Was $199.00 Now $149.00
The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your expert releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.What You Get:Every World Cup play your expert releases, June 11 ...
Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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While I lost with the Royals yesterday, I like their chances of bouncing back with a victory today. Wacha has been tough. He delivered seven shutout innings in his last start, allowing just two hits. That victory brought him to 4-2 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.99 WHIP on the season. May, on the other hand, is 3-4 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Let's go KC.
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**#1 THIS MONTH, #1 ALL-TIME** NBA PERSONAL FAVORITE: $25.00
#1 ALL-TIME! Ben Burns is 10-3 with his basketball this month, the #1 record. More importantly, he's got our #1 NBA/CBB record of all-time. On a +351.59 unit hoops heater, Burns bounces back BIG from a tough loss with his last play. Make sure to join him!
WNBA SWEET SPOT (2-0 TO START SEASON) +350 UNITS = #1 RECORD: $25.00
#1 THIS MONTH | #1 SINCE 2022 Ben Burns is off to 2-0 start to the WNBA season. All his basketball is 10-3 this month, the #1 record. Since 2022, the year he arrived here, Ben's basketball is up +349.89 units, also the #1 record. Here's his third straight WNBA winner. You know what to do.
5% MAX W.C. PERFECT STORM (MID-JUNE) **#1 BIG GAME SOCCER RECORD OF ALL-TIME!**: $35.00
Big Game Expert Ben Burns is a PERFECT 9-0 with his 5% MAX soccer selections; he's NEVER LOST one. His 10th straight winner comes from the opening round of the World Cup. There's no need to wait. Get down on this BEHEMOTH right now!
Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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It’s the battle for New York as the Yankees head to Citi Field, and they’ll come out ready to go with Cam Schlittler taking the hill for game 1. Schlittler is off another outstanding outing, throwing 6 innings of shutout baseball while allowing just 2 hits against Milwaukee. That’s now his 2nd shutout in his past 3 starts and he’s allowed 1 earned run or none in 5 straight. He also has the backing of a lineup that has hit the most home runs of any team in baseball this season and ranks 3rd in both runs scored and OPS. Take the Yankees -1.
100% (7-0) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!
81.3% (13-3) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!
75% (9-3) MLB RUN OVERALL!
SPECIAL! $100 OFF a 30-Day All Access Pass + 10 DAYS FREE! – SAVE $238!
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MLB FRI PAYDAY! : $25.00
Jimmy is in bounce back mode on Friday but remains on a 9-4 BANKROLL BUILDING RUN with his MLB picks! He has a BEST BET locked loaded, and is ready to MAKE YOU MONEY as he and his clients prepare for another MONSTER WEEKEND! This pick has the edge you need to BEAT YOUR BOOK, so grab this WINNER and continue STACKING DOUGH!87.5% (7-1) 5% MLB TOP PLA ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
Bryan Power
Major League Baseball
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We faded the Padres with yesterday's free play. Let's come back and do the same thing tonight. In the analysis yesterday, I wrote about how San Diego should feel quite fortunate to be where they are in the standings right now. This is a team that has been trailing after seven innings in more than half their games this season. Sure enough, the Padres got crushed 7-0 in Thursday's series finale at Milwaukee.
Now it's onto Seattle where the Mariners will have some revenge on the mind after being swept down in San Diego last month. The M's have largely been a disappointment so far in '26 (22-23 record), but did just take three of four in their last series and probably should have swept. Friday starter Emerson Hancock had 14 K's over seven innings the last time he pitched at home. He should pitch well here against a Padres' lineup that has the lowest team batting average (.222) in all of baseball.
I just think there's a lot to like right now with Seattle, who appears poised to make a charge up the standings in the AL West. Meanwhile, there are plenty of signs for regression down in San Diego. Speaking of regression, most advance metrics suggest the Padres' starting pitcher for Friday (Randy Vasquez) is a prime candidate. Vasquez has generally overperformed much of his career, but expect a "slip up" here against a Mariners' lineup that has the fourth highest wRC+ (120) at home.
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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We suspect the spate of high-scoring games in the just-completed Reds-Nats series had more to do with the matchup, fueled by all-hit and no-pitch Washington, as each of the three-game set at GABP featured 14 or more runs.
The Guardians, however, usually don’t get involved in those sort of shootouts, and the opener of this Battle of the Buckeye State shapes up a a potential pitching duel between Cincy’s Andrew Abbott (0 ER across 11 2/3 IP in his last two starts) and Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee (just 1 run and 1 hit across 6 IP last Sunday vs. the Twins). Play Reds-Guardians “Under”
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Jeff Michaels
NBA Basketball
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(525) San Antonio Spurs at (526) Minnesota Timberwolves: Spread
San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (-111)
Minnesota Timberwolves Performance Analysis:
Shooting Struggles: After winning game #1 by shooting 46.0% compared to the Spurs’ 44.8%, the Timberwolves have struggled offensively, being held to shooting percentages of 39.8%, 38.4%, 44.7%, and 39.6% in their last 4 games. These declines highlight their difficulties in generating offensive production as the series progresses.
Defensive Issues: The Timberwolves have allowed opposing teams to shoot efficiently against them, with opponents shooting 50%, 45.9%, 47.7%, and 52.8% in these same games.
Recent Win Context: Minnesota did manage to win game #4, particularly due to their free throw shooting where they converted 20-22 (91%) from the line, significantly better than their regular-season average of 74.6%. This win, however, came in part due to poor three-point shooting by the Spurs, who managed only 5-26 (23%), well below their regular season rate of 37.3%.
San Antonio Spurs Performance Analysis:
Pace of Play: The Spurs have been effective in pushing the pace, ranking #2 this postseason with a 99.50 pace rating. Their ability to maintain a high tempo can lead to additional scoring opportunities and may catch the Timberwolves off guard.
Success After High Field Goal Attempts: San Antonio holds an impressive 7-0 record both straight up and ATS after attempting at least 85 field goals. During these games, they have won by an average margin of 19.9 points per game, covering by an average of 11.9 points per game. Historical Trends:
ATS Record for Away Teams with Series Lead: Since 2005, away playoff teams with a 3-2 series lead have an ATS record of 67-37-1 (64.4%). When these teams are either favored or small underdogs (to +3.5), their record improves to 51-22 (70%). This historical context suggests a favorable outlook for the Spurs as they move into a pivotal game.
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