Free Sports Predictions JUN 18: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Andrew McInnis
Major League Baseball
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Getting plus money on the hottest offense in baseball against one of the worst pitchers on the slate. That is the whole story and the numbers make it impossible to ignore.
Ryan Weathers has been a disaster over his last three starts. A 7.61 FIP, 3.71 home runs allowed per nine innings, and a 17% Barrel% tell you hitters are not just making contact against him, they are doing maximum damage. He is giving up a home run nearly every other inning, and with a 56.3% strand rate he is failing to escape jams when runners get on. Against a lineup this dangerous that combination is a recipe for a big number on the scoreboard.
New York comes in as the hottest offense on today's entire slate at 152 wRC+ over their last six games. An 11.2% walk rate means they are patient enough to make Weathers work deep into counts, and a 28.5% line drive rate tells you they are squaring the ball up consistently. This is not a lineup that needs everything to go right to score six runs. They just need to be themselves against a pitcher who has been getting lit up every time he takes the mound.
The price makes this one of the best plays on today's board. The market is essentially calling this a coin flip. It is not. Back the Yankees bats tonight and take the plus money.
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5% CFL *BIG BET OF THE WEEK* (#1 YTD At WagerTalk): $35.00
11-2 CFL Run | #1 CFL Handicapper in 2025 | #1 CFL Handicapper in 2026Andrew McInnis continues to deliver.After finishing as WagerTalk's #1 CFL handicapper in 2025, he's back on top again this season and currently riding an 11-2 CFL run. Even more impressive, McInnis has cashed 67% of his CFL Best Bets long-term, proving this success is b ...
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11-2 CFL Run | #1 CFL Handicapper in 2025 | #1 CFL Handicapper in 2026Andrew McInnis isn't slowing down.After finishing as WagerTalk's #1 CFL handicapper in 2025, he's back on top again this season and currently riding an 11-2 CFL run. Even more impressive, McInnis has cashed 67% of his CFL Best Bets long-term, proving this success i ...
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Joe Raineri
Major League Baseball
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Joe won again Last Night with his MLB Top Play and is now 5-0 to start the week in MLB. He is also 45-29-2 (61%) on his all-sports run over the last 35+ days, up nearly +45 units. Today's MLB TOP PLAY is on a game where the PRICE makes it a MUST BET SITUATION. Grab it NOW before the market starts moving on this number. DON'T MISS OUT..... ...
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Seattle starter Bryan Woo projects to give up 2.0 runs with a 2.96 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. Baltimore’s lineup has hit just .214 (12-56) with a weak .269 OBP against Woo in his career. The Orioles will start Shane Baz. The righty projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.54 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. With the starting pitching clearly in Seattle’s favor, look for the Mariners to get a solid home win in this game on Thursday afternoon.
Play MARINERS (-).
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Oskeim Sports
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Atlanta is favored Thursday night despite Indiana's recent four-game winning streak, buoyed by Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston. Indiana’s offense is scoring at a historic pace, and the Fever are coming off a franchise-record 113-point performance and two consecutive 100-point games at home. However, the Dream possess the second-best defense in the WNBA and features long, athletic guards capable of trapping Clark and forcing the ball out of her hands, a style that has historically created problems for high-usage guards. Offensively, Atlanta is led by a red-hot Allisha Gray, who averages 2.0 made three-pointers per game and should benefit from facing an Indiana defense that has allowed opponents to shoot 39.0% from beyond the arc over its last five games. From a technical standpoint, Eastern Conference teams averaging 87 or more points per game are 87-120-4 ATS (42%) since 2011. With Angel Reese dominating the glass and Atlanta's defensive pressure likely to disrupt Indiana's rhythm, the Dream are well-positioned to prevail on the road. Take the Atlanta Dream as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Thursday, June 18.
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Oskeim Sports
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The under is appealing Friday night as Toronto arrives in Connecticut dealing with key injuries and declining offensive depth. Toronto scored 106 points in last week's meeting, but that game required overtime and came before the Tempo suffered additional setbacks, with Nyara Sabally (hamstring) and Julie Allemand (headache) both questionable and rookie guard Kiki Rice (leg) sidelined indefinitely. Toronto’s offense could also be missing leading scorer Brittney Sykes (20.1 ppg; 3.5 apg), who is unlikely to play after leaving Tuesday’s game against the Fever with a non-contact foot injury. The Sun are ranked 14th in the league in points per game (78.1), 12th in FG% (42.2), and 15th in 3P% (26.4). From a technical standpoint, WNBA teams with an average over/under margin of +5.5 or higher are 353-260-7 to the Under (57.6%) from Game 3 forward, including 126-88-3 UNDER (58.9%) since 2019. With Toronto dealing with extensive injury concerns and potentially missing several key playmakers, this matchup profiles as a slower-paced, half-court battle where points should be much harder to come by than in last week's overtime affair. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Friday, June 19.
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Bryan Power
Major League Baseball
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Going to draw the proverbial "line in the sand" here and say the Braves will avoid being swept in this three-game series with the Giants.
It's been eight long years since San Francisco last swept a series here in Atlanta. This year's Giants have not swept a single three-game series against anybody. Furthermore, when coming off exactly three consecutive wins, the Giants are 0-4 in 2026 with just four total runs scored in those four losses. Twice in this situation, they were shutout.
Martin Perez is starting tonight for Atlanta. He's given up two runs or fewer in 11 of 14 starts and, with the exception of Chris Sale, has the lowest ERA in the Braves' starting rotation. I'll buy Perez here against a Giants' lineup that has been held to three runs or fewer in 43 games this season. Landon Roupp, who starts here for San Fran, has not won since April 26th. The team is 0-8 his L8 starts. Roupp's ERA in his L3 starts is 8.16.
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Ross Benjamin
Major League Baseball
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Baltimore's scheduled starter Shane Baz has exhibited very good form over his last 5 starts with a 2.05 ERA/1.17 WHIP. Baltimore has played 6-2 under the first 5-inning total on the road this season with Baz as their starting pitcher. The Orioles have also played 4-1 under the first 5-inning total this season when Shane Baz was their starting pitcher.
Seattle's Bryan Woo has been dominant in his last 3 starts at home didn't allow an earned run and had a 6.5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. Since 2024, Woo has made 30 home starts with a superb 2.43 ERA/0.77 WHIP and posted a 7.1:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The current Baltimore roster is just 12-for-56 (.214 BA) lifetime against Woo.
Bet on this game to go under the first 5-inning total of 4.0 or higher.
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#1 in CFB Profit the L3 Years. 182-120-4 (60.3%), +155.76 Units!
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Is Anyone Better at Handicapping College Football?) The record speaks for itself. Over the last three years combined, Ross "The Boss" Benjamin has gone 182-120-4 in college football (60.3%) for +155.76 units, the number one CFB profit total over that stretch.Year by year, he keeps producing:2025: 53-31-2 (63.1%), +75.99 units, ranked number two2024 ...
All Sports +126.68 Units Net Profit #1 Ranking Last 365 Days: $19.00
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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913 LA Angels at Athletics
Good matchup for the ground ball master Jose Soriano. This is a very good hitters park, and keeping the ball in the park is a must. While we don’t love the Angels bullpen, they are all available in this likely high scoring affair.
Gage Jump has been very impressive for the A’s, but we have major concerns about his mound followers. Nice price on the veteran Soriano.
PLAY LA ANGELS
Now on a 7-2 78% run this week. We are stepping out with a Strong 4% Best Bet in Afternoon Action.
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The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Shea Langeliers and Nick Kurtz draw most of the attention at the top of the A's lineup, but Zack Gelof is quietly having a very strong season in Sacramento. Gelof is hitting .321 with a .351 on-base percentage at home this season, and eight of his 11 home runs have come at Sutter Health Park. Gelof has hit a home run in each of the last two games, and he should have a favorable matchup on Thursday. Hitting conditions will be fantastic once again in central California with warm temperatures and a moderate breeze blowing straight out to center field. The Angels have not officially named a starter for tonight's contest, but José Soriano is expected to get the ball. Soriano got off to a great start this season, but walks have been a major issue over the last month. Over his last six starts, Soriano has issued a total of 22 walks over his last 32.2 innings pitched. Home runs have also been an issue as Soriano has allowed a total of four home runs across his last four starts. Gelof is hitting .351 with a .403 on-base percentage so far in the month of June. Gelof is riding a 21-game hitting streak and he has scored a run in ten-straight games. Gelof has cleared this 1.5 hits + runs + RBI prop 18 times in his last 21 games.
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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The Yankees own a +1.2 runs per game average scoring margin in home night games against a right-handed starter.
The White Sox are 0-6 in road night games against a southpaw, with an average scoring margin of -2.6 runs per game.
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32-9 78% ANGLES | EARLY MLB TOP SIDE: $25.00
Dwayne has isolated his single strongest play on Thursday's entire MLB board. This big play is backed by several team-specific situational angles that have produced a combined 32-9 record, good for a dominant 78% winners. Details inside. Don't miss it!
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Jeff Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(917) St. Louis Cardinals at (918) Kansas City Royals: Team Total
Kansas City Royals Total Over 4.5 (105) Matthew Liberatore (LHP) Must Start
Kansas City Royals Performance Analysis:
Productive Offensive Slump: While the Royals have a poor 2-6 (25.0%) record over their last 8 games, the losses have been driven by pitching struggles rather than a lack of offense. The lineup has remained highly effective, averaging 4.8 runs per game and a massive 13.5 hits and walks per game.
Elite Contact Metrics: Over the past week, Kansas City is batting a strong .290 average. This ability to put the ball in play consistently makes them a dangerous matchup for struggling starters.
Home Favorite Consistency: Since May 23, the Royals have been particularly potent when playing as a home pick or favorite. In that specific situational spot, they have averaged 5.4 runs per game and maintained a high floor of 13.0 hits and walks.
St. Louis Cardinals Performance Analysis:
Starter Vulnerability: Liberatore enters this matchup with a 4.71 ERA and a bloated 1.50 WHIP through 14 starts. He has been less effective away from home, posting a 4.88 road ERA and a 1.532 road WHIP.
Recent Form Decline: Over his last 6 starts, Liberatore has struggled significantly with command and run suppression. He has allowed 20 runs and 35 hits to go along with 11 walks in just 28 2/3 innings, suggesting he is consistently allowing multiple baserunners every frame.
Bullpen Collapse: The St. Louis relief unit is currently reeling. While they carry a 4.23 season ERA, their performance over the past week has plummeted to a 7.36 ERA and a 1.69 WHIP.
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Tokyo Brandon
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Cameron is a great pitcher with great stats against these Cardinal batters. The Royals bats are flaccid and both teams are in a flat spot here.
SP | TEAM | SP BB/K% | BATTING (30) | BULLPEN (30) | SP (30) |
Matthew Liberatore | STL | 35.3% | 4.5 | 11.8 | 22.2 |
Noah Cameron | KCR | 18.6% | 10.9 | 18.5 | 11.2 |
STL Cardinals at Kansas City Royals — June 18, 2026
Model Verdict
Projected first five innings: Kansas City 2.2, St. Louis 1.7
Kansas City receives a small home-field advantage, but the mandatory return-home flat-spot deduction keeps the Royals’ projection from reaching the market-implied level. Noah Cameron’s favorable matchup history against the projected St. Louis lineup drives the first-five under. Matthew Liberatore’s recent road performance, home-run susceptibility and short June outings prevent a stronger Kansas City team-total under position.
Kauffman Stadium’s remodeled outfield dimensions have reduced some of the park’s previous home-run suppression, although the overall run environment remains close to neutral. The modest crosswind and warm temperature create only a small positive scoring adjustment.
Kansas City returns home following a three-game road series in Washington. A 0.15-run return-home flat-spot deduction is included. St. Louis travels after a home day game, producing only a minimal travel adjustment. No recent doubleheader penalty is applied.
St. Louis has produced approximately 4.53 runs per game with an overall OPS near .719. Kansas City has produced approximately 4.01 runs per game with an overall OPS around .691–.701. St. Louis owns the more favorable season and recent profile against left-handed pitching, while Kansas City has remained below average against lefties.
St. Louis has recently generated roughly 5.4 runs per game with a .781 OPS over a 15-game sample. Kansas City has averaged approximately 4.6 runs with a .732 OPS over its latest ten-game sample. Recent Kansas City production receives weight, but the absence of Vinnie Pasquantino and Jonathan India lowers the projected lineup’s ceiling.
Starting Pitcher Analysis
Matthew Liberatore enters with a 4.71 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 65 strikeouts over 70 2/3 innings. June production has been weaker: 8 2/3 innings, seven earned runs, four walks and eight strikeouts. Recent road performance has also been vulnerable, with a 5.18 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over the relevant road-start sample.
Liberatore’s current underlying profile includes approximately 8.28 strikeouts, 3.44 walks and 1.78 home runs per nine innings, accompanied by a 4.98 FIP and elevated hard-contact indicators. Kansas City’s struggles against left-handed pitching offset part of that weakness.
Noah Cameron enters with a 4.11 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 64 strikeouts over 70 innings. June performance has been much stronger, with five earned runs over 17 1/3 innings. Cameron’s latest seven-start stretch produced a 3.05 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 36 strikeouts over 38 1/3 innings.
Cameron’s three recent starts against St. Louis combined for 18 1/3 innings, nine hits, four earned runs, two walks and ten strikeouts. The expected St. Louis hitters own approximately 38 prior at-bats against Cameron with a collective OPS near .384. The sample remains limited, but the quality-of-contact and command results support a meaningful first-five adjustment.
Projected Starting Pitcher Box Scores
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB | Pitches |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Matthew Liberatore, STL | 4 2/3 | 2.3 | 5.1 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 88 |
Noah Cameron, KCR | 5 2/3 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 5.1 | 1.2 | 91 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | OPS | MLB rank |
|---|---|---|
STL | .719 | 15th |
KCR | .691 | 23rd |
Thirty-Team Curved Rankings
Category | STL rank | KCR rank |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP | 26th | 14th |
Bullpen, last 10 days | 15th | 27th |
Lineup production, last 10 days | 7th | 15th |
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Moving on the Mets over the Phillies for Thursday. New York starter Sean Manea has been really good against the Phillies bats racking up 19 strikeouts and just 1 walk his last three times seeing them. The southpaw is pitching well recently with a 3 flat ERA and a 27 to 7 strikeout to walk ratio since early May.
Phillies likely starter Aaron Nola has been rocked to the tune of near a 6 ERA on the year. The Mets are straight off winning (9-1) yesterday and should carry their hot bat into another win here. Plus, they rank as one of the best bullpens in baseball over the last month. This just missed the two play Thursday client card. For today's free play- Bet Mets.
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Jesse Schule
World Cup
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This is a free play on Canada 1H.
Don't be fooled by the fact that Qatar played to a 1-1 draw versus Group A favorite Switzerland. The Swiss scored an early goal in that game and came close to adding to the lead several times. They had seven shots on target, created five big chances, and had expected goal total of 3.2. Qatar scored a lucky equalizer with one minute remaining in added time. Canada should win this match, and they should start well in front of the home crowd in Vancouver.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Ben Burns
World Cup
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Off a rather frustrating draw in their opening match and needing to boost their goal difference, the Brazilians are substantial favorites. Playing Brazil just to win is far too expensive. However, asking them to "cover the goal spread," is reasonable. Morocco was a tough round opening match. The Moroccans are the top rated team in Africa are a legitimately strong team. Haiti, which lost to Scotland, is a big step down in class. Looking to silence the critics and build their goal difference, look for Brazil to keep its foot on the gas the entire way.They'll expose Haiti's suspect defense early and often, en route to a win by three or more goals.
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Ben Burns
World Cup
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Both these teams earned their first ever World Cup points in their opening match. Canada fell behind Bosnia but battled back for a 1-1 draw. Qatar also fell behind 1-0 to Switzerland. Like Canada, they managed to come back for a 1-1 draw. For Qatar, it was a very happy result. They were heavy underdogs against the Swiss and were outplayed for large portions of the match. Canada had hoped for more. With Switzerland to follow, the Canadians need to win Thursday's game in Vancouver. It would (will?) be their first ever win at a World Cup. Though I absolutely like the Canadians' chances of a victory, the price is steep. I feel that there's more value in the first half finishing with more than a goal. Both teams conceded a first half goal in their first match and both are hungry for their first win. Play over 1 (first half) *good up to -150
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