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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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5% MLB MAX bet is up for Saturday! 30% OFF 3 days all-access UP!
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SDP at LAD — July 4, 2026
Final Projection
Period | SDP | LAD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
First 5 innings | 1.7 | 2.9 | 4.6 |
Full game | 3.6 | 5.2 | 8.8 |
Projected winner: Los Angeles Dodgers
Starting Pitcher Comparison
Pitcher | Team | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | H | K | BB | HR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Canning | SDP | 1-5 | 7.09 | 1.66 | 47.0 | 50 | 46 | 28 | 8 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 8-5 | 2.67 | 0.89 | 97.2 | 68 | 90 | 19 | 11 |
Yamamoto owns the clear starter edge: better ERA, elite WHIP, stronger command and more stable innings expectation. Canning has a 7.09 ERA overall and has been worse away from home, including a road ERA above 9.00 with a .434 wOBA allowed.
Canning previously worked five innings against LAD with three runs allowed and five strikeouts, but the broader profile is still dangerous against this lineup.
The Padres blew a 6-0 lead and lost 12-7 in the previous game, with the bullpen allowing the Dodgers to score in five straight innings. That strongly upgrades LAD’s late-game run expectation and downgrades San Diego bullpen reliability.
Projected Starting-Pitcher Box Scores
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Griffin Canning | SDP | 4 2/3 | 3.3 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 2.5 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.8 | 4.7 | 6.3 | 1.2 |
Projected Team Box Score
Team | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SDP | 3.6 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 8.8 |
LAD | 5.2 | 8.9 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 4.1 | 7.6 |
Tokyo's Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | OPS | MLB Rank |
|---|---|---|
LAD | .815 | 5 |
SDP | .707 | 19 |
Final 30-Team Ranking Comparison — 1 Best, 30 Worst
Category | SDP Rank | LAD Rank |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP | 30 | 3 |
Bullpen, last 10 days | 28 | 9 |
Lineup production, last 10 games | 17 | 3 |
Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago
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5% MLB MAX Bet | +63% Profit +23% ROI Last 365 days | 10-Year MLB Scout | 3-Time TOP Capper: $35.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet for Saturday and it’s THE strongest value spot on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +63% profit and +23% ROI with 5% bets.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years. Tokyo Brandon was also #1 in MLB profit in 2024 an ...
5% MLB MAX Bet + TWO 4% BEST BETS | +63% Profit +23% ROI Last 365 days | 4th Of July BETTING BONANZA!: $39.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet and TWO 4% best best for a 4th of July BETTING BONANZA! These are the absolute strongest value spots on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +63% profit and +23% ROI with 5% bets.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years ...
50% OFF KBO 4% BEST BET 2 PACK | #1 ALL-TIME KBO +96.58 units, 58.2% Winning Percentage
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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After being embarrassed Friday, expect the Cubs to respond with a big effort Saturday. Imanga held the Padres to two runs through 6 1/3 innings in his last start. I like that he didn't walk a batter. He's got a 1.08 WHIP this season and a stingy 0.85 WHIP in five career starts vs St Louis. Leahy has been solid at home but he's got a 5.35 ERA and 1.61 WHIP on the road. Even after yesterday's loss, Chicago is still a healthy 22-11 at home vs. NL opponents. Cubs bounce back. *Good up to -165
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*VERY EARLY* WNBA 4% GAME OF THE WEEK1 (15-5/75% YTD, +373 UNIT HOOPS!): $25.00
All-Time Basketball Champion Ben Burns is a DOMINANT 15-5 (+26.69) on the WNBA season. More impressive, all basketball is on an industry-leading +372.62 UNIT HEATER. Only one of Ben's 20 WNBA plays (a winner) was rated higher than 3%. His second goes BRIGHT AND EARLY Saturday. Don't sleep in!
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Getting some action on the Phillies over the Royals for some added entertainment to the 4th of July festivities. Philadelphia is playing good ball winning 7 of their last 10 games overall. Their starter Jesus Luzardo has been excellent recently, letting up 2 runs or less in eight of his last 9 starts. The hard throwing southpaw is (3-0) his last three decisions with a (2.3 ERA) since mid May.
Offensively, the Phillies are a top 10 lineup by most key offensive metrics the last two weeks. Compared to the Royals bats who have struggled ranking bottom 10 across baseball. Kansas City has lost 3 straight games and is (1-7) their last eight games overall. They now own the worst record in the American League. This one just missed the client card. For Saturday's free pick- Bet Phillies.
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Pavlos Laguretos
World Cup
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World Cup Thank You Bonus: As a way to say thanks for buying my World Cup Package, you get 100% back, the full $149, toward my 1 Year Soccer Pass. That drops the price to $550 with code BB149. It covers the next 12 months and any soccer play, regardless of league or tournament, plus my 5% Soccer Best Bets. Added bonus: your 365 days do not start counting down until after the World Cup ends, so you get the rest of the tournament before the clock even starts.
Canada vs Morocco
World Cup, Saturday, 1pm ET
Play: Canada Over 1.5 Cards
Odds at Time of Release: -125 B365
Line Parameter: Line good to -150
Canada Cards in WC: 2/2/1/2
Friendlies: 2/2/4/2/4/7/3/3/3/3/2/5 also 4 vs Morocco in 2022 World Cup
Morocco Cards Against: 0/3/1/2
Morocco Cards Against in U20 World Cup: 2/1/3/2/1/0/5
Morocco Cards Against in U20 AFCON: 1/2/2/4/4/3
Take 2% on Canada Over 1.5 Cards (-125 B365), line good to -150
New to soccer betting? Confused by 3-way lines? Our free Soccer Cheat Sheet has you covered: https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/downloads
Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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...(4%) thru +110 (3-Way) |
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
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Oskeim Sports
WNBA Basketball
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Golden State is the side to back on Saturday as the Valkyries continue to prove they are far more than a feel-good expansion story. Five of their losses have come against the WNBA's elite, while they have consistently handled the rest of the league, including back-to-back victories over Atlanta last week, 77-66 and 78-75. Those wins highlighted Golden State's greatest strength: an elite defense capable of winning games even when the offense isn't firing on all cylinders. Gabby Williams was outstanding against the Dream, scoring a combined 39 points in the two meetings, while the Valkyries' bench showcased its depth by contributing 39 points in Sunday's impressive 76-67win over New York. Golden State’s defense ranks 1st in points allowed per game (77.8), 1st in FGM (26.9), and 2nd in FG% (42.3), and should continue to frustrate an Atlanta offense ranked 12th in FG% (43.3) and 11th in 3P% (32.1). Atlanta returns home from four consecutive road losses, which is significant because WNBA home teams coming off a conference road loss are 138-184-6 ATS (42.9%), including 53-80-4 ATS (39.8%) since 2019. With a proven blueprint for slowing the Dream, the Valkyries are well-positioned to complete another victory over Atlanta on Saturday. Take the Golden State Valkyries as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, July 4.
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PITCH TO KICK-OFF, OPENING WEEKEND OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL FREE!
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Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Joey Chestnut UNDER 70.5 Hot Dogs Eaten (-140)
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest
The conditions this year set up well for the under.
The forecast calls for extreme heat and humidity, with temperatures expected to approach 98 degrees. Those conditions make eating significantly more difficult. The buns absorb more moisture and expand, while the heat places additional stress on the body, making it tougher to maintain the blistering pace needed to reach 71 hot dogs.
The recent trend also favors the under. Chestnut hasn't cleared this number since 2021, making this a much more realistic target than his peak performances from several years ago.
There are also questions about his preparation and focus. Chestnut was recently arrested following an altercation after an individual approached him and asked to shake his hand. While it's impossible to know how much that incident affects him, it's another distraction leading into the biggest event of the year.
Chestnut is still the greatest competitive eater of all time, but expecting him to return to the numbers he posted in his prime may be asking too much. Between the oppressive weather, the recent history below this total, and the physical demands of the event, 70.5 is simply too high.
We'll back Joey Chestnut UNDER 70.5 Hot Dogs Eaten.
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Will Rogers
World Cup
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New to soccer betting? Confused by 3-way lines? Our free Soccer Cheat Sheet has you covered: https://www.wagertalk.com/free-sports-picks/downloads
FREE PICK | Morocco [ATS] | Good until -0.5, -150.
It took a goal past 90 minutes (added time) for both of these two teams to advance. But, there's a difference between these two teams. Before this WC, Canada had never picked up a point in six games played at any WC. Morocco made the Semis four years ago and looks to be a threat again. It's still the round of 16. But, I think that Morocco has a great chance at running away with this game if it gets the first goal early. Go with Morocco.
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
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Was $99.00 Now $69.00
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