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Tokyo Brandon NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(57) Tampa Bay Lightning at (58) Buffalo Sabres: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Tampa Bay Lightning -122

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-- -- -- -- --

Rank 1 is best; 32 is worst.

Team |

GF |

GA |

PTS% |

GD |

5v5 |

PP |

PK |

xGF |

xGA |

Composite

TB |

6 |

15 |

6 |

8 |

4 |

23 |

24 |

4 |

9 |

11.00

BUF |

23 |

19 |

17 |

24 |

15 |

30 |

26 |

14 |

19 |

20.78

  • Tampa Bay has an 11-4-2 record, compared with Buffalo's 8-6-3.

  • Buffalo's 4-5-0 home record is not particularly convincing.

  • Tampa's last-ten record is 6-2-2; Buffalo's is 5-3-2.

  • Tampa is a much stronger five-on-five team: 55.4% expected-goal share versus Buffalo's 51.9%.

  • Tampa averages 3.71 goals per game against Buffalo's 2.94.

  • Buffalo's power play has converted only 14.3% of opportunities, limiting one potential path to an upset.

  • Tampa's penalty kill is also vulnerable at 72.9%, so special teams are not entirely one-sided.

  • Projected goalies are Andrei Vasilevskiy and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, neither confirmed at the time checked. Their season save percentages are .883 and .878, respectively.

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Art DiCesare CBB Tab College Basketball

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Event:
(306707) South Carolina State at (306708) Notre Dame: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
South Carolina State +26.5 (-110)

(306707) South Carolina State at (306708) Notre Dame: Spread

South Carolina State +26.5 (-110)

This is an interesting matchup because South Carolina State has started the season much better than many might expect. Grab the points.

Defensive pressure: 

Bulldogs are forcing 20 turnovers per game.

Rebounding: 

They average six more rebounds per game than Notre Dame.

Offensive production: 

They're averaging 84.7 points

Play: South Carolina State +26.5

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(127) Auburn at (128) Mississippi State: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Mississippi State +2.5 (101)

This will be the first meeting between the Tigers and Bulldogs since Auburn's 27-13 home win in October 2023. Mississippi State is 0-5 straight-up and against the spread following last week's home loss to Vanderbilt. During this five-game losing skid, Mississippi State has scored an average of 12.8 points per game as the Bulldogs struggle to replace the production of injured QB Kamario Taylor. Five of the Bulldogs' last six games have stayed under the total. Auburn snapped a two-game losing skid with a 26-23 home win over Arkansas. Despite the victory, the Tigers are just 1-6 against the spread over their last seven games. Backing the Bulldogs hasn't been much fun in recent weeks, but we're inclined to give Mississippi State a shot. Hail State plays FCS-level Tennessee Tech next week (we're going to pencil in a win), so Mississippi State needs to win this game to become bowl eligible. After such a strong start to the season, you have to imagine that Jeff Lebby can keep his team motivated with that carrot. AJ Swann isn't going to be able to replicate what Taylor did for this offense, but he provides a veteran presence that can make enough necessary plays to get the Bulldogs across this finish line. Running back Fluff Bothwell caught five passes last week against Vanderbilt, so Lebby is looking for creative ways to get the ball in his hands. Auburn can hang its hat on the upset win at Georgia, but the Tigers are 0-3 against the spread in their other three games away from home this season.
Play Mississippi State

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The Gold Sheet NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(273) Carolina Panthers at (274) New Orleans Saints: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
New Orleans Saints -2.5 (-107)

The Saints have won five of the last six meetings, including a pair of outright upsets last year. Carolina is 0-3 straight-up and against the spread over its last three games following last week's 26-21 home loss to Denver. The Panthers have allowed an average of 27.2 points per game over the last five contests. New Orleans is 1-5 against the spread over the last six games, but the Saints did pick up an outright win over Cleveland last week. New Orleans continues to produce terrible offensive numbers in the first half. After a 3-3 first half tie with Cleveland last week, the Saints are now 1-7 against the first half spread this season. New Orleans has only scored in the first quarter two times in eight games, producing a total of nine first quarter points this season. Perhaps the potential return of running back Travis Etienne Jr. is just what the voodoo doctor ordered in the French Quarter. Etienne Jr. has not played since Week 3 against the Raiders, but he is expected to return to practice this week after dealing with a hamstring injury. New Orleans has the second-lowest rushing success rate in the NFL this season (Raiders last), so his potential return would be a big boost for the Saints' offense. Carolina is running out of healthy bodies on defense. A unit that already has five players on IR was missing edge rusher Jaelan Phillips and linebacker Bobby Okereke last week against the Broncos. If New Orleans can't muster some early scoring against this defense, then Kellen Moore needs to tear it all down and start over. Don't forget, owner Gayle Benson has been keeping a closer-than-normal eye on her team in recent weeks and wrote a letter to the Saints' fan base after the loss to Pittsburgh in Paris. Last week's win over Cleveland was a small step in the right direction, but a home win over a division opponent would go a long way toward rebuilding excitement after Who Dat Nation watched their team lose its first three home games this season.
Play New Orleans Saints

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The Gold Sheet CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(137) UAB at (138) Temple: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
UAB +2.5 (-105)

UAB won the lone meeting between these American Conference foes with a 34-24 home victory in 2023. Temple was involved in one of the wildest under-the-radar results last week against Navy. The Owls fell behind 28-0 in the second quarter but fought all the way back to tie the game before eventually losing in the final minute. Temple scored 35 points in a game where they had 19 minutes of possession and nine first downs. UAB needs one more win to reach bowl eligibility, and this would be the spot to get it. The Blazers end the year with games against UTSA and North Texas, so this clash with Temple represents the best chance to reach that sixth win. With a regular season win total of 3.5 entering the year, Alex Mortensen's team has already exceeded expectations. It certainly wasn't pretty, but UAB earned a 23-13 home win over Charlotte last week. The Blazers' defense held the 49ers to 234 total yards and ten first downs. Charlotte didn't score its first touchdown until there was one minute remaining in garbage time. While this game isn't expected to see quite the same wind effects as some others this weekend, there is still the potential for gusts of 25+ miles per hour after the Nor'Easter passes through the Mid-Atlantic. Temple has been competitive all season for KC Keeler, but at some point, the Owls need to turn those strong showings into actual wins. Temple has one win over an FBS-level opponent this season. Until the cherry-and-white get over that hump, they're not giving us much reason to back them at the betting window. That potential sixth win can be a big motivational chip for Mortensen’s Blazers. Play UAB

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The GoldSheet's NCAAF Total Of The Week goes Friday. Entering the week, the TGS team has a number of impressive streaks (see below) and accomplishments, all of which are on the line with this play. Get down before midnight and the winner is yours for JUST $5!43-21 (+62.03) FOOTBALL RUN110-68 (+130.61) BIG BET FOOTBALL RECORD (4% and up)16-6 (+ ...

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Will Rogers NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(539) San Antonio Spurs at (540) Chicago Bulls: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Chicago Bulls +14.5 (-111)

With a home matchup against the Warriors coming up Friday and this game closing out an unbeaten road swing, the Spurs might not be fully locked in against the Bulls. Chicago has just one win so far this season, but it has beaten the spread in three of its last five outings, and those covers came against solid teams in the 76ers, Knicks and Celtics. The Spurs’ most recent trip here was almost exactly a year ago, on November 10, 2025, and they escaped with just a four-point win. I expect this game could also be tighter than the big spread implies. Grab the points.

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Ben Burns NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(61) Philadelphia Flyers at (62) Edmonton Oilers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 6.0 (-110)

A total of six is pretty low for an Oilers game; almost all their previous games had O/U lines of 6.5. Edmonton has been involved in a few low-scoring games recently but is still averaging 4.05 goals per game. Two of the Oilers past four games have finished with seven goals and another finished with six. Five of the Flyers' last eight games have finished with seven or more and another one of those finished with six. Also, four of the past five meetings between the Oilers and Flyers have produced seven or more goals. Expect another relatively high-scoring affair.

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Kyle Anthony MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24313) Kevin Holland at (24314) Uros Medic
Date/Time:
Play:
Uros Medic win by knockout (+115)

will add breakdown Thursday...

Free Play:

Uros Medic win by knockout (+115)

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

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Jesse Schule CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(177) Utah at (178) Arizona: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Arizona +2.5 (-105)

This is a free play on ARI.

Utah is still undefeated, but their strength of schedule is questionable. They are coming off a win over BYU in a rivalry game, setting them up for a let down. They are on the road at Arizona, laying points despite the fact that they are facing a Top 5 QB in the conference for the first time. Arizona is undefeated at home this season, and 11-1 in their last 12 conference home games. Take the points.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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Drew Martin CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(107) Massachusetts at (108) Toledo: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Massachusetts +14.5 (-114)

UMass plus the points against Toledo on Wednesday night. Heck sprinkle some on the moneyline (+450). The Minutemen QB Pop Watson is a great athlete and back near full health. Tough to pull the trigger on a two touchdown road underdog in lower tear college football. The chance of it blowing up and looking dumb is always a possibility, hence this not being a higher rated client pick. Although, I expect UMass to be competitive against an overrated Toledo team.

I know I am likely in the minority with this take, however after watching Toledo a few times this season- They are not the team we have come to know the last few years. The Rockets looked awful last week vs a dreadful Sacramento State team. They also got demolished by Buffalo earlier this season. That (7-2) record for Toledo is about as easy a schedule as it gets. Do not be surprised if UMass wins outright. For Wednesday's free pick- Bet UMass.

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Will Rogers CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(225) Florida at (226) Kentucky: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Florida +3.5 (-110)

Florida has lost some momentum lately, but this is still a team that’s won on the road at Texas and Auburn and beaten Ole Miss at home. Kentucky, meanwhile, got a reality check last week in a 34-6 blowout at Tennessee. Even when the Wildcats do win, it’s often by a razor-thin margin, like their one-point escapes against South Carolina and LSU. The chilly weather won’t do the Gators any favors, but I still think they’re in a strong position to pull off the upset. Grab the points at +3 or better.

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

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Will Rogers NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(275) Minnesota Vikings at (276) Green Bay Packers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 40.0 (-110)

When these two teams played earlier his season, the over/under was set at 45.5, and they blew past it with 61 combined points. This weekend’s rematch carries a noticeably lower total, which provides value on the over. Yes, Minnesota’s games have tended to be low-scoring, but Green Bay’s haven’t. The Packers put up 45 points on their own last week in a 72-point shootout with New England, and the week before that, their game against Carolina totalled 46. I cashed the under in the Vikings’ game against Buffalo, but this Sunday I’m going the other way. Play the Over

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Kelly In Vegas NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(281) San Francisco 49ers at (282) Dallas Cowboys: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Dallas Cowboys +4.5 (-118)

PLAY: Dallas +4.5

We were on the Niners on Sunday. Easiest cash of the day! We were also on the Colts +5 versus the Cowboys. Dallas put up 508 yards in Indianapolis without George Pickens. Dak Prescott went 21-of-34 for 335 yards and two touchdowns, and the ground game added 179 more, with Javonte Williams going for 101 and Tyler Goodson adding 77 on 12 carries.

Prescott has 16 touchdown passes, five interceptions on the season, and the Cowboys have run for 179 yards or more in two of their last three games. Rookie Caleb Downs sealed the win in Indy with his first career interception.

San Francisco is a Super Bowl contender sitting 7-1, but it has been a road favorite only once this year and lost that game 29-20 in Atlanta with four turnovers. The receiver room is thin, too. Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel and Christian Kirk all sat out last week, and Ricky Pearsall is done for the season. Maybe they can do it all with Kittle and McCaffrey, but that's a big ask.

Grab the points with the Cowboys at home.


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Kelly In Vegas CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(115) Memphis at (116) South Florida: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
South Florida +4.0 (-112)

PLAY: USF +4

You snooze, you lose. I wanted to give this one out for my $5 Tuesday play, but it appears I'm late to the party. I still like the South Florida Bulls here. The Bulls defense is allowing 15.1 points a game, and they've held four opponents to 10 or fewer: FIU (9), Bowling Green (6), Kent State (2), and UAB (10). Even Saturday's 20-17 loss at East Carolina took a 55-yard field goal from Andrew Conrad as time expired.

The quarterback is the question. Michael Van Buren Jr. (6 TDs, 0 INTs) missed the ECU game with an undisclosed injury, and there's been no update on his status for Thursday. But Luke Kromenhoek was sharp in his first start, going 17-of-21 for 179 yards and a touchdown with no picks. D.J. Crowther got banged up on the opening drive and still ran for 111.

I faded Memphis early in the season and got burnt. That was until they went on the road. They lost 38-20 at Boise State and 31-17 at Tulane.

A Thursday night home dog with the best defense on the field? This one opened +6.5 and is down to +4.5 and +4 in some places. Give me the Bulls to win this one.

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Ben Burns NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(267) Miami Dolphins at (268) Indianapolis Colts: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 42.5 (-110)

In a matchup of two teams already essentially playing out the string, there is little reason to be conservative. The Colts are allowing 27.7 ppg. The Dolphins are allowing 28.6 ppg. Indianapolis has allowed 26 or more points in four of its last five games and has seen five of its past six games produce a minimum of 26 points. Go with the over.

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Ben Burns CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(203) Stanford at (204) Virginia Tech: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Stanford +16.5 (-102)

I played against Virginia Tech last week. The Hokies got hammered 51-28 at SMU. The Mustangs had a 569 to 417 edge in yards. Off that big loss and with Miami (followed by instate rival Virginia) on deck, I feel that the Hokies may have some trouble getting up for Stanford. The Cardinal have been known to pull off some big upsets. Don't be surprised when they give their hosts all they can handle.

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