Free Sports Predictions JUL 16: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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7-0 (100%) | 15-1 (94%) All 4%+ picks (+65% PROFIT).
5-0 (100%) | 11-1 (92%) All 5% picks (+50% PROFIT).
21-4 (84%) All 3%+ picks (+71% PROFIT).
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Tokyo Brandon
Japan NPB
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Tokyo Brandon is #1 in KBO profit this season!
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66.9% (81-40-6)
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TEAM Hitting | SP Career | SP Season | ||||||||||
Team | Starting Pitcher | RPG (12) | RPG L10 (12) | OPS (12) | wOBA (12) | Rank (12) | WHIP | BB/K% | FIP | ERA | WHIP | BB/K% |
Tigers | SAIKI | 3 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 2.4 | 1.09 | 20.9% | 2.48 | 2.82 | 0.93 | 16.8% |
Carp | ADUWA | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 9.6 | 1.68 | 45.5% | 4.15 | #DIV/0! | ||
Hiroshima 1st 5 team total under 1.5 at -175
Bet | Odds | Break-even rate | My projection | Estimated edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Hiroshima F5 under 1.5 | -175 | 63.6% | 73–76% | +9 to +12 points |
Why the Hiroshima under is better
1. The wager is based entirely on Hiroto Saiki, the most reliable part of the matchup.
Saiki has a 2.82 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 113 strikeouts in 89⅓ innings this season. He has also completed at least six innings in 12 of 15 starts, so he should handle all five innings unless something unusual happens.
His strikeout rate is especially important against a Hiroshima lineup that lacks power and contains several low-OBP hitters. He can escape innings without depending heavily on balls in play.
2. Saiki has already handled Hiroshima well.
Saiki’s 2026 ERA against Hiroshima is approximately 1.29. In his May 17 start against the Carp, he allowed:
Seven innings
Four hits
One run
One walk
Nine strikeouts
That performance would have comfortably cashed Hiroshima under 1.5 through five.
3. Hiroshima’s lineup has limited run-producing depth.
Among Hiroshima’s regular hitters:
Shogo Sakakura: .257 average, nine home runs
Kaito Kozono: .245 average, .300 on-base percentage
Ryosuke Kikuchi: .243 average, .322 slugging percentage
Tai Sasaki: .230 average, .275 on-base percentage
Elehuris Montero: .233 average, .296 on-base percentage
Hiroshima has few hitters who combine strong on-base ability with home-run power, which reduces the chance of scoring twice against an elite strikeout starter in only five innings.
4. The team-total under has more winning score paths.
The Hiroshima under wins with all of these first-five scores:
Hanshin 0–0 Hiroshima
Hanshin 1–0 Hiroshima
Hanshin 1–1 Hiroshima
Hanshin 0–1 Hiroshima
Hanshin 2–1 Hiroshima
Hanshin 3–0 Hiroshima
Despite Aduwa’s poor 2025 numbers and lack of 2026 top-level appearances. The team-total under does not require Hanshin to score.
Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
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Tokyo Brandon just released a feature MLB bet for Friday. As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss.Current streaks:+91 units in 2026#1 in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers last 7 days +$3148 on $100 bets#2 among al ...
Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Lewis McGrillen -330 over Rafael do Nascimento + Hooper/Ramirez WON'T GO THE DISTANCE -275 — Final Price -130
Lewis McGrillen -330 over Rafael do Nascimento
McGrillen is one of the most relentless fighters on the roster. He fights at a nonstop pace, constantly moving forward, throwing volume, and forcing opponents to work every second of the fight. He's also durable and has a well-rounded game, capable of winning on the feet or grinding out decisions with his wrestling.
Nascimento has skills everywhere, but he has clear weaknesses that play directly into McGrillen's strengths. He can be controlled on the mat for extended periods, and he hasn't handled sustained pressure particularly well throughout his career.
This is simply a difficult stylistic matchup. McGrillen's pace, cardio, and constant aggression should overwhelm Nascimento over three rounds and lead him to another convincing victory.
Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez — WON'T GO THE DISTANCE (-275)
This fight has all the ingredients for an early finish.
Hooper enters with major durability concerns after suffering first-round knockout losses in each of his last two fights. Ramirez carries legitimate power early and has the ability to end the fight with one clean shot if he connects before Hooper settles in.
The flip side is just as compelling. Ramirez's cardio falls off quickly, and if he can't find the knockout in the opening round, the fight swings heavily toward Hooper. Hooper has excellent conditioning, an aggressive submission game, and will almost certainly look to drag the fight to the mat once Ramirez begins to fade.
Both fighters have a very clear path to a finish, making this a classic striker-versus-grappler matchup where someone is likely getting stopped. Whether Ramirez lands the early knockout or Hooper secures a submission after weathering the storm, this fight is unlikely to hear the final horn.
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Jesse Schule
World Cup
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This is a free play on Mbappe to win Golden Boot. (up to -150)
The odds don't reflect the reality here in my opinion. Mbappe and Messi are tied with eight goals each, and the first tie breaker is assists. Messi has one more assist heading in the Final. The second tie breaker is minutes played, and Messi has played roughly 17 more minutes than Mbappe. What this means is, if Messi fails to get on the board in the Final versus Spain, Mbappe would need just a goal or an assist to win the Golden Boot. Keep in mind Spain has only conceded one goal in the tournament. Mbappe draws a far more favorable matchup, facing an England team that is still reeling from their devastating loss to Argentina. The fact that the total for that match is set at 3.5, tells us everything we need to know.
GL,
Jesse Schule
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
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Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Free Play:
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani +170
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