Free Sports Predictions MAY 14: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Andrew McInnis
NHL Hockey
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The Montreal Canadiens haven’t lost back-to-back games in over a month, and I don’t expect that trend to change tonight.
Despite the Game 5 loss, Montreal still played a solid overall game but simply didn’t capitalize on their chances. This team has consistently shown an ability to make adjustments, and throughout the postseason they’ve responded well after setbacks. Their depth and speed remain key strengths, and in a game like this those elements can make a significant difference.
The biggest edge for Montreal comes in goal. The underlying metrics clearly favor Jakub Dobes over Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen, and the numbers fully support that. Dobes has been especially reliable following a loss, bouncing back with strong performances, and there’s little reason to expect anything different tonight even with the change in venue.
Play Montreal +102.
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Joe Raineri
Major League Baseball
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This is one of those spots where you have to separate who the better team is from who has the better number. Are the Dodgers the better team over 162 games? Of course. Nobody is arguing that. But that is not the best here. I think the market is giving too much respect to the Dodgers' logo and not enough respect to Landen Roupp’s pitching profile. Roupp has been legit. This is not some smoke-and-mirrors ERA play. The strikeouts are real, the ground balls are real, and the underlying numbers say the guy has earned the respect. He misses bats, he keeps the ball on the ground, and that matters against a Dodgers lineup that can punish mistakes in a hurry.
Now, I am not pretending Emmet Sheehan is a tomato can. He has strikeout stuff, too, which is why I am not running to a Giants team total or asking San Francisco to win the first five outright. That is exactly why the +0.5 matters. I do not need the Giants to be better than the Dodgers for nine innings. I do not even need them to be leading after five. I just need Roupp to keep this thing tied or have San Francisco in front through five innings. And at this price, that is the better way to attack this game. Give me: Giants First 5 (+0.5) at -110
I also appeared on Wagertalk Today and broke this game down with another way I'm looking to bet this game, and it's correlated to the F5 Play. Check it out here.
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Pavlos Laguretos
Soccer
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Vitoria vs Flamengo
Copa do Brasil, Thursday, 8:30pm ET
Play: Both Teams to Score
Odds at Time of Release: -128 FanDuel
Line Parameter: Line good to -140
Second leg of the Copa do Brasil Round of 32, with Flamengo having won the first leg at home by 2-1 and now can progress with another win or a draw. Vitoria only need a win to go through.
Vitoria on a 5-1 run to the Both Teams to Score, and 10-4 in L/14. They've been quite good at home, scoring in 13 of L/14 at home in all competitions.
Flamengo are on a 6-4 run to the Both Teams to Score but with just 2 clean sheets in L/7 on the road.
This will be the third time these two meet in 2026, with both previous matches producing Both Teams to Score, now on a 5-1 run to the Both Teams to Score in L/6 H2H, and a whopping 10-0 run to the Both Teams to Score in L/10 in this venue.
Take 3% on Both Teams to Score (-128), line good to -140
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The Prez
Major League Baseball
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F5 UNDER 4.5 GIANTS VS DODGERS
I really like both of these starting pitchers. Roupp has been unlucky in some starts this season as the Giants have certainly had issues scoring runs in more than a few of his starts, but he doesn't give up a ton of HR's and strikes out a lot of hitters. Sheehan does give up a lot of HR's, but does everything else really well. The Giants aren't going to be hitting HR's in this game, and I think we'll have an old-fashioned pitchers' duel on our hands early in this game. The bullpens have seen a lot of action in this series, and I don't want to count on them to win a bet. I think the value is in the starting pitchers, and we're looking at playing the F5 Total UNDER 4.5 in this one.
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles starter Emmet Sheehan projects to give up just 2.0 runs with a 3.24 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. San Francisco’s lineup has hit just .088 (3-34) with a weak .268 OPS against Sheehan in his career. The Giants will start Landen Roupp. The righty projects to give up 2.3 earned runs with a 3.69 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. With both starting pitchers projecting well, expect the offenses to struggle resulting in a low-scoring game on Thursday night.
Play UNDER the total.
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Teddy Covers
Major League Baseball
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Take Atlanta (#958) (list Sale for the Braves)
The 'Daily Double' video below features my take on the White Sox vs Royals game AND this Braves - Cubs matchup. Here's a brief write-up for Atlanta - Chicago.
We're paying a premium for Chris Sale; we may as well list the Braves ace lefty against a Cubs team that is slumping for the first time in months. The Cubs have lost four straight and their bats are ice cold: 0, 0 1 and 2 runs scored in those four consecutive defeats. Atlanta has been the best team in the majors all season. Their bullpen is elite, their lineup among the most potent in baseball, and Sale has been absolutely dominant, allowing a grand total of five earned runs in his last five trips to the hill. The Braves are 6-2 in Sale's eight previous starts, worth backing again tonight even as bigger favorites against Chicago. Take the Braves.
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Total Over 2.5 (-122)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-130) |
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles Dodgers [ML] | Good until -190.
Pitching Matchup: Landen Roupp/Emmett Sheehan [Action].
Los Angeles broke its very poor five game losing streak on Wednesday, dominating that baseball game with Shohei Ohtani on the mound. The Dodgers turn back to Emmett Sheehan for this game on Thursday, who's been poor at times, but has smartened up recently and has pitched great his past four starts. The Dodgers could use a strong outing tonight, to make it consecutive wins. With how SFG has played all season, I think that it will occur just like that. Look for the Dodgers hot hitting from yesterday to continue today.
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Teddy Covers
Major League Baseball
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Take the White Sox (#964) (action)
Chicago has made the move from ‘bottom feeders’ to .’500 level squad’ this past offseason. There’s money to be made RIGHT NOW with any team making that transition, before the betting markets catch up to that level of improvement. Yes, KC has the starting pitching edge with Bubic on the hill. That said, this is an ‘action’ wager based on current form more than any starting pitching matchup and right now, Chicago is playing winning baseball. The White Sox are 4-0 in their last four games, 10-4 in their last 14. The Royals have headed in the opposite direction this past week -- just 2-5 in their last seven -- and their bullpen just cost them back-2-back one run losses.  This KC squad is not a team flashing ‘positive expectation road chalk’ to this bettor! Live dog here! Take the White Sox.
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Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
WNBA Basketball
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Good to -130
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Bryan Leonard
Major League Baseball
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957 Chicago at Atlanta
The Cubs are the best hitting team in baseball vs southpaws with a 130 wRC+ on the season. Yes the bats have been slumping as of late, but this line is just too high not to give the Cubbies a shot. Ben Brown is being stretched out as a starter, and he has looked really good so far.
Chris Sale is an elite pitcher, no doubt. But this line is too high with Iglesias and Lee likely not available at the back of the bullpen. Money keeps pouring in on the favorite, which gives us added value on Chicago.
PLAY CHICAGO
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Jeff Michaels
NBA Basketball
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(525) San Antonio Spurs at (526) Minnesota Timberwolves: Spread
San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (-111)
Minnesota Timberwolves Performance Analysis:
Shooting Struggles: After winning game #1 by shooting 46.0% compared to the Spurs’ 44.8%, the Timberwolves have struggled offensively, being held to shooting percentages of 39.8%, 38.4%, 44.7%, and 39.6% in their last 4 games. These declines highlight their difficulties in generating offensive production as the series progresses.
Defensive Issues: The Timberwolves have allowed opposing teams to shoot efficiently against them, with opponents shooting 50%, 45.9%, 47.7%, and 52.8% in these same games.
Recent Win Context: Minnesota did manage to win game #4, particularly due to their free throw shooting where they converted 20-22 (91%) from the line, significantly better than their regular-season average of 74.6%. This win, however, came in part due to poor three-point shooting by the Spurs, who managed only 5-26 (23%), well below their regular season rate of 37.3%.
San Antonio Spurs Performance Analysis:
Pace of Play: The Spurs have been effective in pushing the pace, ranking #2 this postseason with a 99.50 pace rating. Their ability to maintain a high tempo can lead to additional scoring opportunities and may catch the Timberwolves off guard.
Success After High Field Goal Attempts: San Antonio holds an impressive 7-0 record both straight up and ATS after attempting at least 85 field goals. During these games, they have won by an average margin of 19.9 points per game, covering by an average of 11.9 points per game. Historical Trends:
ATS Record for Away Teams with Series Lead: Since 2005, away playoff teams with a 3-2 series lead have an ATS record of 67-37-1 (64.4%). When these teams are either favored or small underdogs (to +3.5), their record improves to 51-22 (70%). This historical context suggests a favorable outlook for the Spurs as they move into a pivotal game.
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Carmine Bianco
NHL Hockey
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NHL - Vegas Golden Knights at Anaheim Ducks
Game Thoughts: Game 6 of the Pacific Divisional Finals and we'll look at the total and Over here. The Knights dug deep to recover from a late goal to win in OT in Game 5 and now have the Ducks facing elimination for the first time in the playoffs. Despite that game ended 3-2 there was 7.19 xG created with 69 scoring chances and 35 high danger chances. A similar output should see this go over the total. While all three games in Vegas have stayed under the total, it's been a different outcome in Anaheim with both going over with 6-2 and 4-3 scorelines.
The play is Over 6.0 -123
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From World Cup to Stanley Cup: Carmine's Two-Cup Combo
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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Key Situational Angle:
In non-division games, play OVER on teams coming off a loss as a favorite in which they drew at least 5 walks, they won their starter's last start, the total is lower than the total in their starter's last start, and the opposing starter allowed at least one homerun in his last start.
Applies to the Cubs.
29-16-1 (64.4% win rate) since 8/17/2022.
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27-3 90% ANGLES | MLB TOP TOTAL: $25.00
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Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
3-Day All-Access Pass — ONLY $49
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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The Dodgers haven't gotten off to a great start thus far, but starting pitcher Emmet Sheehan hasn't been the problem. The 26-year-old has allowed a total of eight runs over his last four starts. During that time, he's struck out 29 hitters with just four walks. In his last outing against the Braves, Sheehan allowed one run on six hits with seven strikeouts and one walk. Sheehan enters Thursday in the top-20th percentile among pitchers in chase rate, whiff rate, strikeout rate and walk rate. It's a small sample size, but the Giants' lineup has not generated any success against Sheehan in the past. San Francisco's current roster is hitting .088 in 38 plate appearances against him with a 31.6-percent strikeout rate and a .143 weighted on-base average. Sheehan did not give up an extra-base hit in those 38 plate appearances. Jung Hoo Lee, Willy Adames and Matt Chapman have gone a combined 0-for-14 with five strikeouts. The Giants are hitting .241 against right-hand pitching this season (No. 15 in MLB) with a .290 on-base percentage (last) and an 87 wRC+ (No. 27). The Dodgers' bullpen behind Sheehan should be in great shape after Shohei Ohtani went 7.0 innings on Wednesday. San Francisco failed to score in last night's contest, and we're not expecting to see too many crooked numbers on the scoreboard on Thursday.
Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago
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FRI. **5% MAX** LEGEND! (5-0 L5 MLB, 15-3 5% RECORD, 48-17 (+111.35) L65!): $35.00
MUST PLAY ALERT! Yesterday's 15-1 BLOWOUT WINNER brought The GoldSheet to a PERFECT 5-0 their past five MLB selections. That's just the tip of the iceberg! The TGS team is 73-32 their last 105 MLB and 48-17 (+111.35) their last 65 MLB plays rated 4% and up. Their MLB 5% MAX plays are 15-3 their last 18. All these eye-popping records are ...
2026/2027 Early-Bird Football/Basketball GoldSheet Combo
Was $499.00 Now $349.00
Lock in the lowest available price for next year's newsletter during this special early-bird release.Join the country's longest-running sports betting newsletter for another informative season on the gridiron and hardwood.
GoldSheet's MLB Stat Sheet w/ Free Plays for Thurs May 14
Was $5.00 Now $0.00
Two FREE Plays Plus Valuable Betting NotesGoldSheet's daily MLB stat sheet provides marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, one traditional free play, one prop play, batting stats in a variety of categories and Ralph Michaels' first inning trends sheet each morning around 10am ET / 7am PT. The stat sheet will be FREE this week for all users, so co ...
Oskeim Sports
NHL Hockey
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1-YEAR ALL-INCLUSIVE PASS
Get a full year of EVERY play from Oskeim Sports for just $99/month - including all sports and every 5% Best Bet. Save up to $3,300 PLUS receive a 25% BONUS COUPON valid on future purchases. Lock in 365 days of nonstop action and unbeatable value today.
Zach Benson broke a tie with a third-period power-play goal as the Sabres beat Montreal 3-2 on Tuesday night in Game 4, evening the Eastern Conference semifinal series. The Canadiens are primed to bounce back in Game 5 as NHL playoff teams coming off an upset loss as home favorites are 276-217 (56%; +5.1% ROI), including 109-71 (60.6%; +9% ROI) since the beginning of the 2019-20 season. Montreal finds support in a similar 207-157 (56.9%; +2.3% ROI) system dating to 2007 that invests against certain postseason teams coming off a game as road underdogs with fewer than two days of rest. Let’s also note that NHL playoff division road underdogs coming off a loss are 57-43 (57%; +37.1% ROI) versus opponents entering off a win, including 28-16 SU (63.6%; +55.9% ROI) and 34-10 PL (77.3%; +17.4% ROI) since 2019. Since 2015, .500 or greater NHL road teams are 71-54 (56.8%; +30.8% ROI) in Game 5 of a playoff series, including 47-33 (58.8%; +30.6% ROI) since 2019. Finally, the Canadiens fall into a very good 244-142 (63.2%; +15.3% ROI) statistical profile indicator of mine that dates to 2003 and involves shots on goal in the team's previous two playoff games. This situation has been 117-63 (65%; +15.7% ROI) since 2016. Take the Montreal Canadiens as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, May 14.
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Dominant 10-2 Overall Run
-> 140-94 (60%) Overall Run | +92 Units
-> Basketball: 105-72 (59.3%) | +83 Units
-> #1 NBA, 2025-26 Season (WP/ROI)
-> #1 NHL, 2025-26 Season (WP)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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FRI 5% NBA GAME OF WEEK | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72 | 140-94 RUN (60%): $35.00
On Friday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE 5% NBA GAME OF THE WEEK—one of his STRONGEST releases of the season. Jeff is on a WHITE-HOT 10-2 overall run and has PRODUCED +92 Net Units since February! When Jeff steps out with a 5% NBA release, it signals maximum confidence, maximum edge, and maximum opportunity. DON'T MISS IT!DOCUMENT ...
NHL HIGH ROLLER | WHITE-HOT 10-2 RUN | #1 NHL (WP/ROI): 27-15 (64.3%)| 140-94 (60%) OVERALL RUN | +92 UNITS: $25.00
Jeff Keim is on a WHITE-HOT 10-2 overall run and is the #1 NHL Handicapper (WP) in 2025-26! On Thursday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE NHL High Roller backed by his POWERFUL SHARP MONEY sources! This is an ABSOLUTE MUST PLAY. Don’t get left behind!PROVEN PERFORMANCE-> Red-Hot 10-2 Overall Run-> 140-94 (60%) Overall Run | +92 Units-> #1 NH ...
NBA TOTAL SHARP PLAY | WHITE-HOT 10-2 RUN | #1 NBA (WP/ROI): 44-29 | #1 BASKETBALL (WP/ROI): 105-72!: $25.00
Jeff Keim has been ON FIRE, riding an AMAZING 10-2 RUN and is the #1 NBA Handicapper (WP/ROI) in 2025-26! On Friday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE NBA Total Sharp Play backed by powerful situational analysis and respected sharp-money support. This is an ABSOLUTE MUST PLAY. DON'T GET LEFT BEHIND!DOCUMENTED RESULTS-> Dominant 10-2 Overall Run-& ...
Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Adding breakdown soon...
FREE PLAY: Malcolm Wellmaker Wins By TKO/KO (+140)
Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
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4% UFC: Octagon Edge (3-0!): $25.00
The UFC capping King is 3-0 on 4% Top Selections and 18-8 (70 % win rate) on all plays while profiting 4 of the last 6 UFC events!! This Saturday KA is absolutely locked & loaded with a BIG SLATE for clients!! Grab this pack now and enjoy the profits...~ Currently 4 PLAYS in pack ~
Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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Thursday's White Sox/Royals game should see plenty of scoring. Kay has a poor 4.89 ERA and 1.57 WHIP the season. When pitching during the evening, he has a 5.89 ERA and 1.64 WHIP. Those numbers are in line with his career (5.39 ERA, 1.60 WHIP) numbers. Bubic's numbers are quite a lot better than Kay's but they're still not amazing. Notably, Bubic walked four in five innings last game and he's now issued 10 free passes over his past three starts. He's also 0-2 for his career when facing the Sox on the road. Bubic is backed by a bad KC bullpen. Entering Wednesday, Royal relievers had a 4.74 ERA (fifth worst in the majors) and 1.45 WHIP. Chicago's bullpen stats aren't much better. Entering Wednesday, White Sox relievers had a 4.55 ERA and 1.46 WHIP. Expect a relatively high-scoring affair. *good at 9 or better
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(4%) MLB TOP GUN (+77.18 UNITS): $25.00
Ben Burns was 3-3 Wednesday, as he had three tough OT losses. However, he won't let that stop him from firing on a BIG PLAY on Thursday. He turns the page and starts a new winning streak today. His top rated releases (4% and up) are on a +77.18 UNIT profit run. Don't miss this one!
5% MAX W.C. PERFECT STORM (MID-JUNE) **#1 BIG GAME SOCCER RECORD OF ALL-TIME!**: $35.00
Big Game Expert Ben Burns is a PERFECT 9-0 with his 5% MAX soccer selections; he's NEVER LOST one. His 10th straight winner comes from the opening round of the World Cup. There's no need to wait. Get down on this BEHEMOTH right now!
WAGERTALK 2026 WORLD CUP ALL-ACCESS PASS — $149!
Was $199.00 Now $149.00
The biggest sporting event on the planet hits North American soil June 11 through July 19 — 48 teams, 104 matches, 39 days of action. From the opener at Estadio Azteca to the final at MetLife Stadium, lock in every play your expert releases from the group stage to lifting the trophy.What You Get:Every World Cup play your expert releases, June 11 ...
