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Tokyo Brandon KBO Tab KBO League

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Event:
KBO 2 Leg Parlay
Date/Time:
Play:
Hanwha Eagles Over 4.5 (-168) / KT Wiz +2.0 (-279)

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===========

Two alt KBO lines for a + money parlay.

Hanwha Eagles at Kiwoom Heroes

Hanwha is 6-4 over the last 10 and scoring 8.6 runs/game with a .343 BA. Kiwoom is 2-7-1 in the same span, scoring only 3.1 runs/game, while allowing 7.7 runs/game with a 6.59 SP ERA and 7.16 bullpen ERA. That screams over more than it screams “pay -264.”

The batter edge is massive: Hanwha has Moon Hyun-bin, Yonathan Perlaza, Kang Baek-ho all sitting top-8 in KBO OPS, while Kiwoom’s best qualified bat listed is An Chi-hong at .817 OPS and then a steep drop.

Starter-wise, Wilkel Hernandez has a 4.86 ERA/1.47 WHIP and gave Kiwoom 4 ER in 4⅔ on March 28, so Kiwoom can contribute to the total. Park Jeong-hun has a 4.15 ERA/1.67 WHIP and just gave Samsung 4 ER in 4 IP in his first 2026 start; he did throw 1⅓ scoreless relief innings vs Hanwha on March 28, but this is a different role and a much hotter Hanwha lineup.

SSG Landers at KT Wiz

SSG is 3-6-1 over the last 10 with a 6.00 SP ERA and 4.34 RP ERA. KT has cooled off at 4-5-1, but the matchup is mostly about the starters: Takeda Shota has an 8.14 ERA, 1.89 WHIP, while Caleb Boushley is at 3.55 ERA over 38 IP.

Takeda did throw 5 shutout innings vs KT on April 25, so there is a head-to-head caution flag. But his full game log is messy: 7 ER vs NC, 5 ER vs Doosan, 5 ER vs Kiwoom, 4 ER vs Hanwha. That profile at Suwon against the league’s top team is not something I want backing at near pick’em.

SSG did beat KT 5-1 on May 12, but that makes this feel more like a KT bounce-back spot with the starting pitcher advantage.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns WNBA Tab WNBA Basketball

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Event:
(629) Seattle Storm at (630) Toronto Tempo: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Toronto Tempo -3.5 (-105)

The Toronto Tempo likely won't win many games this season. However, this should be a good spot to earn their first. The Storm did beat Connecticut last game but the Sun are rebuilding this season. The Storm had a major roster overhaul themselves and are also rebuilding. They're transitioning away from the previous core, trading away veterans and going with a youth movement. They've got a new coach and are more focused on long-term development than "winning now." While the same could be said of the Tempo, Canada's first ever team definitely want to earn "Win #1." With the home crowd behind them, I like their chances of getting it. *good at -4 or better

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-126) Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LHP) Must Start

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============

Projected final: LAD 5.5, SFG 3.6

1st 5 and full-game boxscore

Period

SFG

LAD

Total

1st 5 innings

1.5

3.0

4.5

Full game

3.6

5.5

9.1

Projected starting pitcher box

Pitcher

Team

IP

ER

H

K

BB

Adrian Houser

SFG

4 2/3

3.3

5.8

2.6

2.1

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD

6 1/3

1.6

4.5

6.8

2.0

Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven

Market

Projection

Model Probability

Fair Odds

Consensus Odds

Odds Difference

LAD moneyline

LAD by 1.9

66.0%

-194

-177

+17 cents

SFG moneyline

SFG +1.9

34.0%

+194

+162

-32 cents

Full game over 9.5

9.1 total

45.0%

+122

-110

-232 cents

Full game under 9.5

9.1 total

55.0%

-122

-110

+12 cents

Full game over 9.0

9.1 total

50.8% push-adjusted

-103

-110

-7 cents

Full game under 9.0

9.1 total

49.2% push-adjusted

+103

-110

-213 cents

1st 5 over 4.5

4.5 total

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

1st 5 under 4.5

4.5 total

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

SFG 1st 5 team total over 1.5

1.5

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

LAD 1st 5 team total over 2.5

3.0

57.5%

-135

-115

+20 cents

SFG full team total under 4.0

3.6

54.0% push-adjusted

-117

-110

+7 cents

LAD full team total over 4.5

5.5

62.0%

-163

-120

+43 cents

Released/revised 22 hour(s) ago

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Steve Merril MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(979) St. Louis Cardinals at (980) Oakland Athletics: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 9.5 (-118) Andre Pallante (RHP), Jeffrey Springs (LHP) Must Start

-St. Louis starter Andre Pallante projects to give up 3.1 runs with a 5.03 ERA and 1.51 WHIP
-righty projects to have a 5.8 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 1.7 strikeout/walk ratio
-Athletics offense is averaging 5.1 runs per game on 9.2 hits per game vs. right-handed starters

-Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs projects for 2.8 earned runs with a 4.43 ERA and 1.42 WHIP
-lefty projects to have a 6.6 strikeout rate over 9 innings pitched, and a 2.6 strikeout/walk ratio
-Cardinals offense is averaging 5.2 runs per game on 7.7 hits per game on the road this season

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Andrew McInnis NHL Tab NHL Hockey

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Event:
(29) Buffalo Sabres at (30) Montreal Canadiens: Jakub Dobes Saves
Date/Time:
Play:
Jakub Dobes Saves Over 25.5 (-120)

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This game has a “kitchen sink” feel to it. In other words, Buffalo is going to throw everything they can at the net, including the kitchen sink. When a team is struggling to score and generate clean looks, the simplest adjustment is to increase volume. Instead of waiting for perfect chances, you just put pucks on net from anywhere and force the issue. That approach should lead to a high shot total in this matchup.

As for Montreal, goaltender Jakub Dobes has been outstanding on home ice. He enters this game with a strong +5.7% goals saved above expected, the best mark among goalies playing at home tonight. The Bell Centre has been a very comfortable environment for him, and he has consistently delivered strong performances in this building. Expect him to be a key factor again for the Canadiens Tuesday night.

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Oskeim Sports NBA Tab NBA Basketball

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Event:
(517) Cleveland Cavaliers at (518) Detroit Pistons: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Detroit Pistons -4.0 (-103)

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Cleveland evened its second-round series against the Pistons with a 112-103 victory Monday night. Donovan Mitchell tied an NBA playoff record with 39 points in the second half, while James Harden had his 40th playoff double-double with 24 points and 11 assists. Detroit has now lost two straight, but .551 or greater NBA teams with rest coming off back-to-back losses are 691-551-20 ATS (55.6%), including 168-120-3 ATS (58.3%) since 2020, covering the spread by an average margin of 2.5 points per game. These teams have been 286-216-7 ATS (57%) in the postseason, including 133-87-1 ATS (60.5%) since 2016, covering by an average of 4.1 points per game. In contrast, NBA playoff underdogs entering off consecutive wins are 229-300-8 ATS (43.3%) since 1996. Let’s also note that NBA playoff home favorites coming off a loss, like Detroit, are 351-275-8 ATS (56.1%), including 397-315-11 ATS (55.8%) in Game 2 or beyond of a series. Finally, postseason favorites of fewer than two points are 132-171-1 ATS (43.6%) in a tied series, while Round 2 home teams are 37-21 ATS (63.8%) following a Round 2 loss, covering by an average of 6.3 points per game. Lay the points with the Detroit Pistons as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, May 13.

PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Perfect 10-0 Overall Run
-> 140-92 (60.3%) Overall Run | +96 Units
-> Basketball: 105-71 (60%) | +86.2 Units
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)

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Jesse Schule MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers: F5 Team Total
Date/Time:
Play:
F5 Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 2.5 (-136) Adrian Houser (RHP) Must Start

This is a free play on LAD 1st 5 TT Over.

Adrian Houser is 0-2 with an ERA of 12.34, and he's 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in his last five starts. As much as the Dodgers have struggled lately, this is an opportunity to take advantage of struggling pitcher.

GL,

Jesse Schule

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Andy Lang WNBA Tab WNBA Basketball

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Event:
(627) Minnesota Lynx at (628) Phoenix Mercury: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 170.5 (-105)

This total feels a bit low considering the pace and offensive efficiency both teams have shown early.

Minnesota already played in a high-level game against Atlanta that finished with 181 total points despite losing by just one. That tells you the Lynx can still get into fast, efficient games even against quality competition.

Phoenix’s games have shown scoring potential too. They put up 165 total points in the blowout win over the Aces and 174 in the loss to the Valkyries. Even in uneven game scripts, totals are still landing around this range.

The shooting numbers support the over as well. Both teams are converting at a high enough field goal percentage to sustain offense, and there’s even room for Minnesota to improve from deep after a quieter shooting performance from three.

With efficient offenses, solid tempo, and recent totals already landing in this range, this is a strong spot to back the over.

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Will Rogers MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-128) Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LHP) Must Start

Los Angeles Dodgers [ATS] | Good until -1.5, -145.

Pitching Matchup: Adrian Houser/Yoshinobu Yamamoto [Home Listed - Yamamoto Must Start].

While still seven games above .500, the Dodgers are clearly struggling at the moment. Los Angeles just hasn't been able to pitch the way it would have liked and the team is not hitting quite as well either. The ace is back on the mound today though and he's out for revenge. Yamamoto has gone 18 innings over his past three starts. But, he's allowed three runs in all three of those. I don't think that he's going to allow that many if any on Tuesday. Over his L4 starts against the Giants, he has a 1.37 ERA. Mookie Betts returned to the lineup too yesterday and although the Dodgers picked up their third straight loss, the turnaround begins now.

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

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