Free Sports Predictions JUL 27: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Los Angeles Chargers OVER 9.5 Wins

The Chargers won 11 games last season, and that record could have been even better if they hadn't rested starters in the regular-season finale. Despite battling injuries and inconsistency along the offensive line, Jim Harbaugh guided this team to double-digit wins in Year 1. Now they enter the new season with a stronger roster and even more continuity.

The offense is set up to take a significant step forward. Los Angeles added Mike McDaniel as offensive coordinator, while also investing in the offensive line after allowing 60 sacks last season. Injuries to Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater forced the unit to shuffle throughout the year, but both are expected to be healthy, and the Chargers also addressed the interior by drafting a center and adding valuable depth up front.

The skill-position talent is deeper than many realize. Omarion Hampton battled injuries last season, while Kimani Vidal proved he can contribute when called upon. At receiver, Ladd McConkey headlines an exciting group that also includes Quentin Johnston, Tre Harris, and Oronde Gadsden, giving Justin Herbert more weapons than he's had in years.

Defensively, the Chargers were one of the NFL's best teams in 2025, finishing ninth in points allowed and fifth in total defense. Their secondary was outstanding, holding opposing quarterbacks to the league's lowest quarterback rating, and the majority of that unit returns. Add in a talented and deep defensive front, and this remains one of the more complete defenses in football.

The schedule is listed as one of the league's toughest, but it's heavily front-loaded with elite opponents while featuring several very winnable games later in the season. Matchups against Arizona, Las Vegas (twice), the Jets, and Miami provide opportunities to build wins, and Harbaugh has consistently proven throughout his career that he elevates every program he coaches.

An 11-win team improved its coaching staff, upgraded its offensive line, returns one of the league's best defenses, and has an elite quarterback under center. Over 9.5 wins is a number this Chargers team is well-positioned to surpass.

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Connecticut enters this matchup playing some of its best basketball of the season, including an impressive 96-83 road victory over Phoenix. Brittney Griner totaled 51 points, 15 rebounds, and 10 assists over the last three contests, but has been ruled out for tonight’s contest due to a knee injury. Although Washington has won four of its last six games, the Mystics have been far less consistent offensively, with last Wednesday's 100-point outburst against Las Vegas as their highest regulation scoring performance since June. Shakira Austin has carried a heavy load in the paint, but Connecticut has the size and veteran experience to make her work for every touch. The Sun have shown improved offensive balance during their recent stretch, creating quality looks both inside and on the perimeter rather than relying on one scorer

From a technical standpoint, WNBA road teams coming off a game in which they were not favored by six or more points are 443-344-14 ATS (56.3%). Meanwhile, the Mystics enter off back-to-back games in which they went over the total, which is significant because .500 or greater teams coming off consecutive overs are 90-132-5 ATS (40.5%), failing to cover the spread by an average margin of nearly 2.0 points per game. Finally, both teams are playing their first game since the All-Star Game, and WNBA underdogs are 119-88-2 ATS (57.5%) when both teams have four or more days of rest. With their recent momentum, veteran leadership, and improving form on both ends of the floor, grab the points with Connecticut as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, July 28.

Results That Matter
-> #1 Capper in '26 (WP): 195-144 | +68 Units
-> Profitable 74-54 (58%) Long-Term Run
-> 34 Football (NFL & NCAA) Awards Since 2007
-> NFL '21-'26: 102-72-3 (59%) | 5 Football Titles
-> Epic 128-83 (61%) MLB Run | 4 #1 MLB Titles

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The Mystics are middle of the pack in the East. They're 10-3 ATS within the division and need to take advantage of a visit from last place Connecticut. Off outright winners against Las Vegas and Golden State, the Mystics have covered three straight. On the other hand, the Sun are off back-to-back losses. They lost those game by a combined 44 points. Lay the points with the hotter team with the superior defense. *good up to -7

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With all due respect to Trent Dilfer, a change was desperately needed in Birmingham after a disastrous 9–21 tenure. Alex Mortensen was given the full-time nod after leading the final six games as the interim head coach, and we're looking for improvement from the Blazers in 2026. After spending nine years under Nick Saban at Alabama, Mortensen was held in high regard among a lot of coaching circles. In his first game with the headset after Dilfer's dismissal last year, Mortensen led the Blazers to a nationally-televised upset over then-No. 22 Memphis. Oddsmakers are only asking UAB to match last year's win total of four, and we believe that is a goal the Blazers can reach. Redshirt junior Ryder Burton is expected to get the nod at quarterback, and just like Mortensen, he made his debut against Memphis in the middle of last season. Burton went 20-of-27 for 251 yards and three touchdowns in his first start, showing that he was ready to lead the offense. Burton is already married, which is just one example of a very experienced roster that Mortensen is working with this year. According to RotoWire, UAB has the sixth-oldest roster in the country with an average age of 20.8 years old. UAB opens the season at Illinois, but then has extra time to prepare for win-able non-conference games against Louisiana and UL-Monroe. UAB plays FCS-level Samford after Navy, so that gives the Blazers a comfortable landing spot after a physical game against the Midshipmen. UAB will enjoy a bye at the end of October before finishing with a not-so-daunting closing stretch that includes Charlotte, Temple and a re-loading North Texas squad. UAB's program was in complete disarray last year, but the Blazers still won four games. We believe they can, at the least, match that total in 2026.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago