Free Sports Predictions AUG 8: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Astros ML (+107) 3%

Love grabbing plus money when the numbers are this lopsided. Peter Lambert's been sharp on the mound, and Houston's offense is one of the best going right now. On the other side, Michael King hasn't given hitters much trouble lately, and San Diego's bullpen has been leaking runs too. Good arm, hot lineup, a shaky pitcher and pen on the other side, and you're still getting paid extra to take it. Astros ML is the play.

Released/revised 38 minute(s) ago

BOSTON -1.5 (-125) vs ATHLETICS

Boston enters on a nine-game winning streak after routing the Athletics 13-1 in the series opener. The Red Sox have won 27 of their last 30 games and scored 25 runs across their past two, while the Athletics have lost nine consecutive games.

Gage Jump has allowed 15 earned runs with 16 walks across his last four starts.

Jake Bennett owns a 2.13 ERA across his last eight starts and faces an Athletics lineup ranked 28th recently against left-handed pitching with a 30% strikeout rate.

Expect a blowout of epic proportions again tonight

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Cincinnati starter Chase Burns projects to give up 2.2 runs with a 3.27 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.  Washington’s lineup has hit just .167 (4-24) with a weak .496 WHIP against Burns in his career.  The Nationals will start Andrew Alvarez.  The lefty projects to give up 2.6 earned runs with a 4.58 ERA and 1.43 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in Cincinnati’s favor, look for the Reds to get a solid road win in this game on Saturday night.

Special Offers:
Last Call for Summer: Buy 3, Get 3 FREE - Just $69
Get the Rest of the Year for $799 - Save $696
FREE Week (7 days) Premium Live Odds, Injuries, Scores: OddsLogic.com/SM

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

^{Ben Burns & Ross "The Boss" Benjamin Football Combo: +300 Units Over the Last 3 Years!}

Two of the sharpest football minds on the board. One package that covers everything from the first preseason kickoff through the final whistle of Championship season.

Ben Burns owns the NFL. Ross "The Boss" Benjamin owns College Football. Put them together, and you get one of the most productive football combos anywhere.

Here is what these two have done over the last three seasons.

Ben Burns, NFL

2025: +62.46 units, 63.6% (49-28-1), 21.2% ROI
2024: +63.19 units, 67.1% (57-28-0), 21.4% ROI
2023: +19.42 units, 56.4% (57-44-2), 6.0% ROI

Ross "The Boss" Benjamin, College Football

2025: +75.99 units, 63.1% (53-31-2), 27.0% ROI
2024: +44.99 units, 60.6% (63-41-2), 13.5% ROI
2023: +34.78 units, 57.9% (66-48-0), 9.3% ROI

Combined, that is +300.83 units over three seasons.

What does that look like in real money? A $100 bettor following both would be up $30,083. A $500 bettor would be up $150,415.

Your Combo Includes:
Preseason, regular season, postseason, Championship, and every 5% Best Bet from both Ben and Ross across NFL and College Football.

Lock in both guys for the entire football season and let two proven winners do the heavy lifting!

Game Analysis: The Brewers are coming off last night's 8-6 home loss to the Twins. However, Milwaukee is 6-1 during their last 7 and 10-3 in its previous 13 games immediately after suffering a loss. Robert Gasser has displayed very good form over his last 3 starts with a 2.25 ERA/0.88 WHIP and a 7.5:1 strikeout to walk ratio. The Milwaukee bullpen staff has a stellar 1.80 ERA/0.92 WHIP, 4.4:1 strikeout to walk ration, and converted on all 4 save opportunities throughout their previous 7 games.

The current Brewers roster has gone 7-for-21 (.333 BA/.364 OBOP) and hit 2 homers lifetime against today's Twins starting pitcher Taj Bradley. The Minnesota bullpen staff has a shaky 1.58 WHIP as a staff over their last 6 games. The current Twins active roster is just 3-for15 (.200 BA) lifetime against Robert Gasser.

Bet the Milwaukee Brewers as a money line home favorite of -140 or lower.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

LISTED STARTERS

SCHEREZ/ NOLA

GOOD TO 170

We are almost at the top of our number in what we lay for a ML but this is all about going against Max. We are not buying what he is selling even after a solid start in his last turn. Big bounce back spot for the Phillies here and with Nola not having his best season we like him to hold down a Jays team who are not close to who they were last season. Actually the trade deadline shows they have kind of packed it in. We do make this a smaller play as Nola has been really bad so far this season. We will look for the Phillies to score enough on Max for the first 5 win.

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

CONCACAF LC - Monterrey at Inter Miami

Game Thoughts: This is a system total with a projected number 4.48 making it a play. Additionally, Monterrey were on the wrong end of a 2-1 loss to Miami rivals Orlando City SC while giving up a penalty and having a couple goals disallowed and will look to get into the win column here against a dangerous Miami side but also one that allows goals as evident in their 4-2 opening win against Atlas. Miami has only registered 2 clean sheets in their last 10 while allowing 2 GPG and normally those type of defensive numbers would signal a struggling side but the Messi led squad won 7 of those 10 along with 2 draws while averaging 3.1 GPG.

The play is Over 3.5 -130

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Colorado owns a 64 wRC+ (36% below the league average) against lefties on the road over the last two weeks. They're below average (97) on the season in this situation.

St. Louis owns a 57 wRC+ (43% below the league average) against lefties at home over the last two weeks. They're below average (90) on the season in this situation.

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE: The UNDER is 10-0 in the second half of this season when the Cardinals face a team with a losing record, staying UNDER by an average of 3 runs per game!

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Orlando vs Club Leon
Leagues Cup, Saturday, 6:30pm ET

Play: Draw
Odds at Time of Release: +300
Line Parameter: Line good to +280

2026: 23 matches so far, just 3 draws (13%), 2-1 to the Both Teams to Score
2025: 54 matches in the group stage, 16 Draws (29%), all combined with BTTS
2024: 45 matches in the group stage, 15 Draws (33%), 11 of 15 with BTTS
2023: 45 matches in the group stage, 10 Draws (22%), 9 of 10 with BTTS

As suggested by the stats above, we should be expecting some statistical correction in the form of Draws in the Leagues Cup. Besides the "missing" results as compared to previous seasons, there's also another reason to chase some draws in the next couple of days. Teams that won their first match will primarily look to not lose, after all a Draw in regulation still grants a point, regardless if they win the penalty shoot-out. And a team going to Match Day 3 with 4-5 points has some great chances to qualify.

Orlando and Club Leon both won their matches in Match Day 1, and are actually the only teams in Saturday's slate to have done so. Let's see if they split the beans in a Draw here, taking 1% on that +300 and we might be adding some more small stakes on Draws on the later slates (Toluca vs LAFC looks like the most possible one in my eyes, followed by RSL vs Atlante).

Take 1% on the Draw (+300), line good to +280

NOTE: If you're feeling risky and want to raise the odds a bit more, you can pivot to "Draw & Both Teams to Score", a combo that lands more often than not as suggested by the stats above.

Released/revised 6 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon is+104.43 units in 2026  AND HAS A 5% MAX MLB PLAY UP TODAY!
💵Get KBO and Japanese baseball all-access FREE if you buy the rest of TB's MLB season ➡ wt.buzz/tb

📊Become a member for every MLB player projection 3X a week: click here

-- -- --

ATH at BOS — August 8, 2026, 4:10 PM ET

Projected score: BOS 5.4, ATH 3.3

Saturday’s lineups remain projected pending official submission. Friday’s series opener was in progress during final calculation, creating additional bullpen-availability uncertainty.

Game profile

Boston has won eight consecutive games and 31 of 36. The Athletics have lost eight straight, including five consecutive losses by scores of 11-0, 8-6, 5-4, 3-2 and 6-5.

Starting-pitcher analysis

Gage Jump enters with a 4-7 record, 4.59 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over 66⅔ innings. Jump’s 67 hits, 31 walks and 73 strikeouts produce a strong strikeout rate but an unstable 4.2 BB/9. Over Jump’s last seven starts: 31⅓ innings, 43 hits, 26 earned runs, 21 walks, 38 strikeouts, 7.47 ERA and 2.04 WHIP. Current pitching record.

Jump faced Boston on July 28 and delivered six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and four walks while striking out seven. The result deserves weight, although the eight baserunners and three double plays indicate substantially more traffic than the zero-run result suggests. Boston’s current lineup also owns excellent recent production against left-handed pitching. July 28 matchup.

Jake Bennett enters with a 7-4 record, 2.90 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 71⅓ innings. Bennett has allowed 59 hits, 13 walks and 50 strikeouts. Over seven recent starts: 44⅔ innings, 34 hits, 12 earned runs, eight walks and 28 strikeouts, producing a 2.42 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Bennett’s .254 opponent wOBA and .271 expected wOBA support the underlying run prevention. Current pitching record, batted-ball profile.

Bennett faced the Athletics on July 28: 6⅓ innings, six hits, three earned runs, two walks and four strikeouts. Tommy White, Henry Bolte and Brian Serven generated most of the damage. Nick Kurtz, who appeared in that game, is currently unavailable.

Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven

Consensus market: BOS -226, ATH +184, total 9 with over -122 and under +101. Current consensus market.

Boston moneyline carries the clearest projected advantage. Jake Bennett’s superior command, Boston’s extreme recent offensive advantage, Athletics injuries and the large bullpen disparity outweigh Gage Jump’s six shutout innings against Boston on July 28.

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

(953) Cincinnati Reds at (954) Washington Nationals: Andrew Alvarez Strikeouts

Andrew Alvarez Strikeouts Over 4.5 (-125)

Cincinnati Reds Performance Analysis:

• Significant Struggles vs. Southpaws: The Reds' offense has been one of the most strikeout-prone units in the league recently, particularly when facing left-handed pitching (LHP). This vulnerability has created a highly profitable environment for opposing starters.

• Systemic Strikeout Trend: Hitters in the Cincinnati lineup have consistently struggled to make contact against lefties; 7 out of the last 9 (77.8%) left-handed starters to face the Reds have recorded 5+ strikeouts.

Alvarez Performance Analysis:

• Consistent Strikeout Floor: Alvarez enters this matchup as a reliable candidate to exploit Cincinnati's contact issues. He has successfully surpassed his projected strikeout total in 5 of his last 9 (55.6%) starts overall.

• Home Field Stability: Alvarez maintains his consistency when pitching in his own park, having cleared his strikeout production mark in 5 of his last 9 (55.6%) home starts.

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

(969) Los Angeles Angels at (970) Miami Marlins: Total

First Inning Under 0.5 (-135) Walbert Urena (RHP), Sandy Alcantara (RHP) Must Start

Urena is 7-0 & 16-2 NRFI with a 2.54 ERA incl a 0.98 ERA his L5 starts

Alcantara is 8-0 & 20.4 NRFI with a 3.73 ERA incl a 2.95 ERA

LA did score last night but it was their first in 5 games

Miami has failed to score a first inning run in 5 straight and 8 of 9 games,

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

I gave out Boston as a free pick yesterday and the result was a never in doubt 13-1 blowout by the hottest team in baseball. This is the ultimate “bet on” vs “bet against” series. The Red Sox have now won 9 straight and 27 of their past 30, while the A’s have lost 9 straight and 25 of their past 29! Jake Bennett has been an elite starter since being added to the rotation and Boston has the best bullpen in baseball once he exits. Gage Jump was just torched for 6 earned in 3.2 innings and the A’s have the worst bullpen by a wide margin. Take the Red Sox RL.

77.8% (7-2) MLB RUN!

22-10 MLB RUN!  

48-22 MLB RUN!

+64 UNITS LAST 70 MLB PLAYS!

+97 UNITS SINCE MAY 5^TH IN MLB!

100% (3-0) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!

73.7% (14-5) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!

SPECIAL! BUY 3 DAYS AND GET 3 DAYS FREE!

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

The Astros beat the Padres last night, Robbie Ray taking the loss. The Padres are 4-0 the past four times that they were coming off a loss. They won those four games by a combined score of 25-7, too. King has arguably pitched better than his 6-8 record suggests. He's got a respectable 3.45 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. He allowed five runs in a start at Washington in late May but that was the only time he's allowed more than four all season. In 11 starts since the start of June, averaging just shy of six innings per, he's allowed just 26 total runs, an average of 2.36 per start. In other words, he gives the Padres a chance to win nearly every time he takes the mound. The Padres are 25-18 (+8.8) in day games. Play SD. *good to -130

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

The Astros are reminding everyone that they’ve been here in stretch drives before, which means potential bad news for AL West foes as Houston establishes a grip on the division lead with the season moving around the far turn.

Last night it was a 6-3 win at San Diego behind 4 2/3 shutout innings from the bullpen, plus a pair of homers by RF Cam Smith. Tonight on the hill at Petco Park is Peter Lambert, who has quietly emerged as the Astro ace with Houston winning in 10 of his last 13 starts, with a 2.56 ERA since the start of June. Meanwhile, Padre counterpart Michael King seems to be wobbling, allowing 3 homers across his last two shaky outings. Play Astros on Money Line

Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on TCU.

If you can still get a -6.5, grab it now because I don't expect that number to be available as we get close to kickoff. While the hire of Bobby Petrino could be impactful for the Tar Heels offense, it may take some time. The Horned Frogs have a new QB, and given he played at Harvard last year, there will be doubters. I expect to see a successful transition as he will be playing behind one of the best offensive lines in the BIG12, surrounded by returning talent at WR and RB. Davis Warren has more of an uphill battle in my opinion.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 14 hour(s) ago

FREE PICK on BC Lions (ATS) | Good until -7.5.

Coming into the season, there were very big expectations for the British Colombia Lions. Because they weren't able to begin the season in their home stadium and with the injury bug hitting the roster, it hasn't been the best start. There's still lots of season remaining to get back though. Hamilton, who hasn't scored more than 24 points in five straight games (1-4 over that time), should not pose too much of a threat here. Go with BC at home.

Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago

Washington Commanders Over/Under 7.5 Regular Season Wins

4% Washington Commanders UNDER 7.5 Regular Season Wins (+105)

Washington went 5-12 last year, and I’m not buying a three-win jump.

Jayden Daniels played only 7 games in 2025 and dealt with a knee sprain, hamstring injury and dislocated elbow. He also led all NFL quarterbacks with 8.3 rushing attempts per game. After 148 carries as a rookie, his style continues to expose him to significantly more contact than the average QB. Durability has to be priced into this number.

Washington also replaced both coordinators. David Blough takes over the offense and Daronte Jones takes over the defense, and both will be first-time NFL play callers.

They’ve added some names on defense, but per PFF, only 2 projected defensive starters carry grades over 70. This was a bad defense last year, and I’m not convinced the makeover fixes it overnight.

They also have only 8 true home games, with the Colts “home” game being played in London, and they open @ Philadelphia and @ Dallas.

Looking at the first 11 games, I project Washington to be favored in only 1 or 2 of them.

I don’t need Washington to be bad.

7-10 cashes this ticket.

Coming off 5 wins, with Daniels’ injury history and rushing workload, two first-time play callers, a questionable defense and this schedule, 7.5 is too high.

Released/revised 20 hour(s) ago

This matchup represents a true battle of the ages.... meaning both these guys are getting old for fighting. Diego Ferreira enters at 41 years old while Billy Quarantillo comes in at 37. Neither man has stayed particularly active in recent years yet both now prepare to face one another on Saturday night. Diego remains a well-rounded competitor whose high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu continues to stand out. He's very opportunistic with his submission attempts and pairs that threat with solid striking power. His combinations can be explosive and he tends to push the pace aggressively in the early going. Billy Quarantillo makes his first career move up to the lightweight division after a difficult 1-3 stretch that ended with a knockout loss to Cub Swanson. I do believe that loss has pushed the odds wider making Billy Q an underdog. Quarantillo thrives as a high-volume striker who loves to exchange heavy in the pocket. He pressures forward relentlessly and overwhelms opponents with pure output. The weight class change looks like a smart adjustment for him. Billy built his reputation on a durable chin and excellent cardio yet those qualities appeared to fade while he struggled to make featherweight. Competing at a more natural weight should leave him fresher and allow a rejuvenated version of his game to emerge. He's going to be the quicker fighter on the night, while recent performances suggest Diego’s overall skills have declined noticeably. Cardio has become a recurring concern for him and Billy’s constant pace could exploit that weakness. When fights start going against Diego he has shown a tendency to wilt under sustained pressure. Billy’s high-volume approach forces continuous activity and that demand may drain Ferreira’s gas tank even faster. Although Diego holds the superior ground game he has struggled to force the action to the mat. Across his last seven contests he secured only three takedowns and those all came in a single fight. Billy therefore carries the wrestling edge and can use it to control rounds from dominant positions when needed. The combination of relentless pace, forward pressure and striking volume should prove too much for the 41-year-old. Will be a scrappy fight and one Billy should edge out the victory at a plus money price tag.

Billy Quarantillo +150

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Kansas Under 5.5 Wins (+135)

Kansas has finished 5-7 in back-to-back seasons, and they've got a real shot to make it three in a row.

Does a two-time 5-win team suddenly find a sixth? I don't see where it comes from. The Jayhawks are hanging around the bowl bubble once again and falling just short. This year they've got a harder path with a downgrade at the position that matters most, quarterback.

Jalon Daniels is in the NFL after six years in Lawrence, and the job now belongs to Cole Ballard, a redshirt junior who arrived as a walk-on, worked his way up, and started two games back in 2023. His stat line: 108 passing yards, one touchdown, one interception, and a QBR under 40. Even the reporting that has him winning the job frames him as the safe game-manager over higher-ceiling Isaiah Marshall.

This is a team that can’t finish close games. They stalled in the red zone and misfired in the two one-score losses that would've made them bowl eligible last season and now they're handing the keys to a game-manager with a sub-40 career QBR. That's not how a 5-7 team finds a sixth win.

Their schedule does them no favors. Five true road games, and Arizona State in London. We see how losing that “across the pond” game fared last season for my Wildcats. The middle of the year stacks three road games in four weeks, and they close with two of their last three away from Lawrence. LIU and Middle Tennessee,  two wins. After that, the road to a sixth runs through Missouri, the London trip, at Utah, at Kansas State, at TCU, at West Virginia, and home dates with Baylor, UCF, and a high caliber BYU. There are potentially two coin flips in that mix. 4-8 is the ceiling for the Jayhawks in 2026.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Oklahoma to Win SEC +1200

If you want a longer shot further down the board to win the SEC, Oklahoma stands out.

With a healthy Jackson Arvidson, John Mateer and 16 returning starters, they'll be a prime contender in this conference. The schedule at first glance looks tough, with road games at Michigan, Georgia in September. But they get the Red River versus Texas coming off the bye week and middle of the pack SEC from there on out. I’ve always been told it’s not how you start, it’s how you finish in the SEC… Oklahoma very well could be playing in the championship game in Atlanta in December.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Penn State Over 9.5 +140

Bottom line… They have the softest draw in the conference, no Indiana, no Ohio State, no Oregon. This season's opponents went .407 in Big Ten play last year. They also have zero P4 non-conference games. This screams over and that’s the reason this is a free play as opposed to client play.

Yes, the market has already priced in the soft schedule and is asking you to trust Matt Campbell in his first season at State College, with a new DC, and a defensive line that lost roughly 80% of its production. Let's count the likely wins: Marshall, at Temple, Buffalo, Wisconsin, at Northwestern, Purdue, Minnesota, Rutgers, at Maryland, that's nine games where they'd be favored, several heavily. Small dog at Michigan, coin flips versus USC at home, a team that has faltered in the Eastern Time Zone and at Washington. Are they going to win the Big Ten? Probaly not, but can they win 10 games and possibly be playing in Indianapolis to end the season.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Texas Tech UNDER 10.5 wins (+185)

Last season I gave out Tech 100-1 on “Bet On It” as a crazy long shot to win the National Championship. This season, I’m doing the opposite.

This 10.5 win total was built around Brendan Sorsby, ESPN's No. 1-ranked transfer and a $5 million-plus signing instead the Red Raiders get Will Hammond, a redshirt sophomore with exactly two career starts, and the number is still priced for a proven eleven-win passer who isn't on the team anymore. Hammond tore his ACL last October and isn't expected to be cleared for full contact until around August 21st. He's been throwing in 7-on-7s, but he'll take his first live hits of the year in a game that counts, and McGuire has hedged the timeline all offseason with "week one, if not for sure week two." ACL returns aren't linear, and a dual-threat whose rushing was a real part of his value is now running behind a repaired knee. Any setback in camp, any cautious week, and the offense leans on Tulsa transfer Kirk Francis.

The schedule looks easy... With the toughest team they face being Houston or Arizona. The Sorsby saga made Texas Tech the sport's villain with every Big 12 opponent circling them. Letdown and revenge spots multiply for a team the whole conference wants to end. Eleven wins demands near-perfection from a first-year starter, in a league gunning for them, with almost nothing going wrong across four months. Ask a good-not-great quarterback to be flawless behind a rebuilt knee and the likeliest outcome is nine wins, not eleven.

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago

Over the last ten seasons, the Jets have averaged 4.9 wins per year and they have only gone over this 5.5 win total three times. You can point to injuries and in-season trades as a big reason why last season was a failure, but we now have a ten-year sample size of this being one of the worst organizations in the NFL. Geno Smith was brought back to the franchise after a disastrous run in Las Vegas with the Raiders, but we're struggling to see the upside. The Athletic just released a comprehensive QB ranking that was voted on by coaches and front office personnel. Smith was voted as the 30th-best quarterback heading into the 2026 season. One defensive coordinator was quoted as saying, "He looked terrible on the film we saw." Another defensive coach put more blame on the Raiders' system around him, saying "Once you get hit and keep getting hit and hit and hit, how good are you going to be? They had no identity on offense. Geno got a bad rap. He was getting murdered out there." That's fair, but why is there any reason to believe things are going to be any better with this team? Head coach Aaron Glenn was retained, but nearly every assistant coaching position was flipped after last year’s 3-14 campaign. Frank Reich has been brought in to lead the offense, but Reich hasn't coached in the NFL since 2023 when he went 1-10 with the Carolina Panthers. Bill Musgrave was hired as the quarterbacks coach. Musgrave was the Browns' QB coach last season and Cleveland had arguably the worst offense in the NFL. We're really struggling to see how the Jets are going to double their win total from three to six this season. It's not like this team was knocking on the doorstep and suffered a couple heartbreaking losses along the way. They finished with a -203 point differential, allowed the second-most points in the league and suffered eight double-digit losses. When the NFL schedule was released, DraftKings released opening point spreads on every game for every team for the upcoming season. The Jets are not projected to be favored by more than a field goal in any game this season, and only five games have a point spread between -2.5 and +2.5. So in order to eclipse this win total, the Jets would have to go 5-0 in those toss-up games (vs Cleveland, Las Vegas, Arizona and Miami x2) and still would need to pull another upset along the way. We don't see that happening.

Released/revised 4 day(s) ago