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Jimmy Adams CBB Tab College Basketball

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Event:
(821) Alabama at (822) Florida: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Alabama +7.5 (-105)

Both Alabama and Florida enter Sunday in good form, but it’s what’s been happening off the floor that could very well decide the outcome of this one. That’s because former NBA player Charles Bediako will be suiting up for the Crimson Tide after a judge allowed him to rejoin the college ranks. Adding fuel to the fire, Florida coach Todd Golden said, “If he plays, we’ll beat him anyway.” So ‘Bama has plenty of motivation here and is already one of the best offensive teams in the nation. This one comes down to rebounding, as the Gators are great at creating 2nd chance opportunities. We’ll ride with the NBA player as a sizeable underdog in this one. Take Alabama.

85.7% (6-1) NBA RUN!

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Tokyo Brandon CBB Tab College Basketball

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Event:
(857) Northern Kentucky at (858) Oakland: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Oakland -5.5 (-110)

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Take -6.5 or better:

DraftKings odds

Since conference play

Team

Record

PPG

Points Allowed/G

Avg Game Total

Northern Kentucky

4-4

85.0

79.9

164.9

Oakland

7-2

86.3

78.0

164.3

Player leaders

Team

Top 2 scorers (PPG)

Assist leader (APG)

Top 2 rebounders (RPG)

Northern Kentucky

Donovan Oday 18.6; Dan Gherezgher 16.6

Ethan Elliott 4.5

LJ Wells 7.6; Tae Dozier 4.4

Oakland

Brody Robinson 16.5; Isaac Garrett 14.7

Robinson 6.3

Garrett 7.1; Tuburu Naivalurua 6.0

Injuries

Team

Injury report

Northern Kentucky

No injuries reported

Oakland

No injuries reported


My projection

Oakland 92 – Northern Kentucky 82

Trends & patterns

  • Recent direction

    • Northern Kentucky: 4–4, but lost 3 straight to end January.

    • Oakland: 7–2, including a 2-game win streak entering this one.

  • Home/away scoring shape

    • Northern Kentucky: Home 90.0 / Allow 78.5 vs Away 80.0 / Allow 81.3

    • Oakland: Home 90.5 / Allow 86.0 vs Away 83.0 / Allow 71.6
      Translation: Oakland home games have been “scoreboard-friendly,” but not always “defense-friendly.”

  • How often results fit this spread shape

    • Northern Kentucky would have “covered +5.5” in 6 of 8 games by margin math

    • Oakland would have “covered -5.5” in 6 of 9 games by margin math


Player matchup breakdowns

Backcourt engine vs backcourt pressure: Oakland runs through Robinson’s creation (16.5 ppg, 6.3 apg), and his ceiling is real—he’s already shown “I will personally become the offense” ability (career-high 35 in a league game). Northern Kentucky’s best counter is making him work for every touch: Elliott is the steady table-setter on offense, but NKU’s real swing piece defensively is whether their bigger perimeter bodies (Gherezgher/Oday types) can bother Robinson’s rhythm without overhelping and giving up catch-and-shoot threes.

Paint: Oakland size vs NKU rebound anchor: Garrett + Naivalurua is a legit two-big look: both score efficiently inside and rebound well, and Oakland has leaned on that interior control in conference play. Northern Kentucky’s path is Wells staying out of foul trouble and keeping Oakland to one shot; if NKU has to send extra help, Oakland’s spacing shooters (like White) become the tax collector.

Bench scoring volatility: Oday’s role is the chaos lever—he can swing quarters with scoring bursts (including a 33-point outing recently). If Oakland’s second unit can simply “not bleed,” their starting shot-makers + paint scoring usually wins out. If Oday turns the game into a track meet, the +5.5 starts looking tastier and the total gets pulled upward.

Competition note (why I don’t overreact to early-season scores): Oakland’s raw season numbers include heavy-dose road trips to major opponents like Michigan Wolverines, Purdue Boilermakers, and Houston Cougars, while NKU has its own high-end game (e.g., at Tennessee Volunteers). That’s why I’m anchoring the projection on since-1/1 conference form instead of whole-season noise.


End

Projected score: Oakland 92 – Northern Kentucky 82

  • Conference edge + current direction: Oakland is 9–3 in Horizon League and on a W2 streak, while Northern Kentucky Norse is 6–6 in league play and on a L3 skid. That’s the cleanest “better team right now” argument.

  • Home/road setup supports separation: Oakland is 5–2 at home, and NKU is 4–6 away. A 6–10 point gap is exactly what you expect when the stronger league team is also at home.

  • Late-game cover fuel: free throws. Oakland gets to the line a lot (18.4 FT made per game on 74.7%), which matters when you’re laying points: if they’re up 4–8 late, FTs can turn a push-ish game into a cover.

  • Long-run home-court profile in league play: Oakland’s own game notes cite a strong multi-year home league record (they frame it as 103–37 over a big sample).

  • No obvious injury landmines: Oakland lists no injuries to report, so you’re not paying -6 while missing a primary initiator or big.

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Tokyo Brandon CBA Tab China CBA

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Event:
(301585) Beijing Royal Fighters at (301586) Fujian: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Fujian -101

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Beijing Royal Fighters at Fujian

Category

Beijing Royal Fighters

Fujian

Points per game (full season)

86.7

90.6

Points allowed per game (full season)

92.3

93.6

Top 2 leading scorers

Grant Riller 21.1; Reggie Perry 14.9

Yang Zou 15.9; Travis Trice 15.5

Assist leader

Liao Sanning 6.6

Travis Trice 5.2

Top 2 rebound leaders

Reggie Perry 8.8; Zijie Shen 6.2

Yang Zou 5.4; Xihao Yang 4.7

Injuries

no official report found

Fang Weibobo (foot) reported out


Form + splits comparison

Split

Beijing PF

Beijing PA

Fujian PF

Fujian PA

Full season

86.7

92.3

90.6

93.6

Last 10 games

84.1

89.8

91.1

94.9

Last 5 games

79.6

87.2

94.4

94.8

Last 5 location games (away/home)

82.4

90.4

103.4

96.4

Last-10 averages computed from each team’s last 10 listed finals.

Head-to-head since 12/5: one meeting — Beijing 94, Fujian 91 (total 185).


Player vs player matchups

  1. Grant Riller vs Travis Trice
    Riller is the higher-usage scorer (21.1 PPG) vs Trice (15.5 PPG) with Trice as the steadier table-setter (5.2 APG). If Fujian can keep Riller out of early rhythm 3s, Beijing’s offense gets much more “grindy.”

  2. Reggie Perry vs Yang Zou
    Perry is the rebounding/paint anchor (8.8 RPG) and should have the clearest “repeatable” edge on the glass vs Fujian’s team rebounding leaders (Zou 5.4). That matters because both defenses allow points—extra possessions are gasoline.

  3. Liao Sanning vs Isaiah Briscoe
    Sanning’s advantage is creation volume (6.6 APG) while Briscoe’s is pressure scoring in fewer minutes (13.2 PPG in 18 MPG). If Fujian’s second unit is asked to guard Sanning in space, that’s a foul/rotation risk.

  4. Zou Yuchen vs Vladimir Brodziansky
    Zou brings interior rebounding (6.0 RPG) and efficiency; Brodziansky is more of a stretch big (8.3 PPG) who can pull coverage away from the rim. The chess match: does Beijing switch and risk Perry/Zou mismatches, or stay big and give up spacing?

  5. Zijie Shen rim protection vs Xihao Yang
    Shen’s boards/blocks (6.2 RPG, 1.2 BPG) help stabilize Beijing when their guards gamble; Xihao Yang’s shot-blocking (2.0 BPG) is Fujian’s best tool to blunt Riller drives.


Full-game projection

  • Fujian pts = 92.4

  • Beijing pts = 89.1

Projected final: Fujian 92 – Beijing 89 (Total 181)

Why I am betting Fujian full-game moneyline

  • Home/away math screams Fujian (from your since-12/5 dataset):
    Fujian last 5 home: 103.4 PF / 96.4 PA
    Beijing last 5 away: 82.4 PF / 90.4 PA
    That’s a huge projected scoring gap on venue splits alone.

  • Offense vs defense matchup leans Fujian:
    Beijing’s opponents are scoring ~93.7 PPG (team-stats snapshot).
    If Fujian is even close to their home scoring level, Beijing is forced to win a shootout—which hasn’t been their comfy habitat.

  • Shot creation depth can tilt close games (late-clock possessions):
    Fujian’s guard scoring/playmaking options with Travis Trice and Isaiah Briscoe give them a path to manufacture points when sets die.
    Beijing’s counters are legit—Grant Riller plus Liao Sanning—but if Fujian dictates pace at home, Beijing can get dragged into “trade buckets” basketball.

  • The last H2H was close despite a catastrophic Fujian 1Q:
    Beijing won 94–91, but it required a 23–9 first quarter cushion.
    If Fujian avoids the early crater at home, the matchup is much more coin-flippy—and the spread being only 1.5 basically admits that.


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Drew Martin CBB Tab College Basketball

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Event:
(861) Iowa at (862) Oregon
Date/Time:
Play:
Iowa -9.5 (-110)

BIG 10 Conference action from Matthew Knight Arena in Eugene, Oregon features the Hawkeyes visiting the Ducks. Game tips at 5pm PT on Fox Sports 1. Backing Iowa as the favorite.

The Hawkeyes are playing good basketball winning three straight games. Including holding the Hoosiers to just 57 points in their last road game. Now up against arguably the worst team in the conference sets up for a nice opportunity to get a win by margin.

Oregon has lost six straight games by double digits. "Fade the Ducks" number good through (-11). This just missed the client card for Sunday.

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Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots
Date/Time:
Play:
Distance of 1ST Field Goal Made OVER 37.5 Yards -110

Super Bowl LX Prop

The distance of the first Field Goal MADE OVER 37.5 yards

Good to -120

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Andy Lang LAX Tab Lacrosse

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Event:
Lax Boston/Syracuse
Date/Time:
Play:
Boston +6 (-115) vs Syracuse Sunday 1:00 ET PM

This is a difficult spot for Syracuse to separate, especially given the context surrounding this matchup. It is the first meeting between these programs, and Syracuse will be playing without Trey Deere, their top attackman, who is out for the season. That is a significant loss to an offense now being asked to generate margin against a ranked opponent without its primary playmaker.

Boston consistently keeps games tight regardless of competition. Dating back to 2024, the Terriers have covered this number in 30 of their last 33 games catching six goals, a reflection of their ability to control tempo and avoid extended scoring runs against them. This also marks the first time since 2021 that Syracuse has opened a season against a ranked opponent, adding another layer of uncertainty in their first live action without Deere. While Syracuse deserves to be favored at home, expecting a comfortable margin against a disciplined Boston team in this setup overstates the gap between these sides.

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Teddy Covers NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
Date/Time:
Play:
Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards Under 43.5 (-111)

0.5% Take Steph Diggs UNDER receiving yards

Diggs doesn't have a catch longer than 14 yards in the playoffs. He's gained fewer than 40 receiving yards 11 times this season. He's largely a 'possession' receiver in New England's offense, and this is most assuredly a 'step-up-in-class' defense that Diggs will be facing. Also look at Diggs First Reception of the Game UNDER and/or Diggs Longest Reception of the Game UNDER.

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Ralph Michaels NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: 1Q Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
First Quarter Seattle Seahawks -150

(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: 1Q Moneyline

2% First Quarter Seattle Seahawks -150

While the line is only -0.5 prefer to lay the juice as I my thought is that if Seattle wins the toss they will defer putting the youngest ever QB to start a SuperBowl on the field.

Seattle has not only covered 5 straight 1Q’s but they covered them by 33 points and with the ML they are 8-1-4 (89%)

The Seahawks are #1 in 1Q scoring and #2 in 1Q defense

The Patriots not only have played the NFL weakest schedule they have played the weakest schedule of any SB team the L20+ years.

If you look at NE’s L6 road games they are 1-4-1 on the ML with the win ay the Jets as a 2 TD Fav.

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Jeff Michaels NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots
Date/Time:
Play:
2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards

(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots

2% Shortest touchdown UNDER 1.5 yards.
Value Play on One-Yard Touchdowns:

  • One-yard touchdowns can often have a lower public profile, making them a value play, especially in high-stakes games like the Super Bowl where the focus can be on bigger plays.

  • The potential scenario of pass interference in the end zone resulting in a one-yard line situation can significantly increase the chances of a one-yard touchdown.

  1. Historical Trends:

    • Super Bowl Stats: You noted that there have been one-yard touchdowns in 5 of the last 6, and 8 of the last 10 Super Bowls. This shows a strong historical trend, which suggests that this is a recurring situation in the context of big games.

  2. Impact of Game Pressure:

    • The two weeks off leading up to the Super Bowl can add pressure on teams, which might lead to mistakes, including penalties in the red zone like pass interference. This can further increase the likelihood of opportunities for one-yard touchdowns.

    • The neutral crowd also plays a role, as players might behave differently without the typical home-field advantage, which can result in more nerves and potentially more fouls.

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Don Buster NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: Hunter Henry Receiving Yards
Date/Time:
Play:
Hunter Henry Receiving Yards Over 38.5 (-110)

We play Hunter Henry on his receiving yards prop as Hunter usually has a line in the low to mid 40's. In the his last two playoff games for the Patriots, Hunter was no where to be found. He had a couple of drops early in those games but hardly any targets. In the last game the snow in Denver eliminated any chance that he would hit his number. We believe with an extra week to prepare, the Patriots will make him a big part of their gameplan as they have all season. Before those last two outliers Hunter went OVER this number in 6 of 8 games. It is going to be tough for NE to run here so the passing game with Hunter involved will be the way they go.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

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Will Rogers NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: Rhamondre Stevenson Last Touchdown Scorer
Date/Time:
Play:
Rhamondre Stevenson Last Touchdown Scorer Yes 0.0 (950)

In the Patriots' 10-7 AFC Championship victory over the Broncos, Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 25 times for 71 yards. He was also targeted twice in the passing attack. While his stats weren't eye-popping, he shouldered a massive workload and far outpaced TreVeyon Henderson, who managed just three touches total. Stevenson is expected to remain the lead back for New England in the Super Bowl.

After scoring nine touchdowns during the regular season, Stevenson stands a solid chance of reaching the end zone against the Seahawks. Playing him to get the last one of the game pays out at nearly 10-1.

A long-shot? Absolutely. But one that's entirely possible. Play Rhamondre Stevenson: Last Touchdown Scorer

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago

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Ben Burns NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(109) Seattle Seahawks at (110) New England Patriots: Kenneth Walker III First Touchdown Scorer
Date/Time:
Play:
Kenneth Walker III First Touchdown Scorer Yes 0.0 (380)

As I post this, Kenneth Walker is -190 on the "anytime touchdown scorer" option and +380 on the "first player to score a touchdown" prop. Of course, the former has the greater likelihood of cashing. However, the latter may offer the better value. If the Hawks score the first TD, Walker has a great shot of being the player that gets it. He did so against the Rams. If looking for a big underdog with a solid shot, this one fits the bill.

Last year's defending football champion Ben Burns has the #1 NFL record again this season ... he's a perfect 8-0 since Christmas.

Released/revised 5 day(s) ago

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