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Ralph Michaels
College Basketball
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(647) Butler at (648) Marquette: Total
Total Over 155.5 (-112)
Teams off at least 2 OT's and 2 days or rest or less as a Conf Away Fav/Dog to +8
Marquette's offensive tempo rank is #16.
Butler's offensive tempo rank is #66
The Bulldogs are 8-3 O/U their L11 games and on the season they are 9-3 O/U with at least 3 days of rest
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CBB #1! REVENGE GAME OF WEEK - 14-3 (82%) RUN!: $25.00
CBB #1 L20 DAYS & OFF 5% WIN! •• CBB BEST BET SIDES (4% & HIGHER) ARE 13-3 (81%)! •• Ralph cashed his 5% play on Illinois St , raising his 5% record to 7-1 (88%) and his Best Bets to 13-3 (81%) •• Overall all-sports run is 31-15 (67%) with College Hoops going 26-11 (70%) & 52-30 (63%)! •• CBB Best Bets are 2-0 (100%) ...
WagerTalk Super Bowl Prop Guide — 100% Free!: $0.00
Think you know the Super Bowl? Did you know:The first play has been a run in 4 straight Super Bowls and 6 of the last 7Teams that score last are just 1–15, with Kansas City breaking the trend last year“No score in the first 6 minutes” has hit 8 of the last 9 Super BowlsOver 3.5 combined sacks has cashed 6 of the last 7In Super Bowl squares ov ...
Ralph Michaels College Basketball Special
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Ralph Michaels is putting together a strong College Basketball season, delivering +40.55 units, 58.9% Winning Percentage (56-39-0) and 13.2% ROI. His edge has been even more pronounced on his biggest opinions, going 5-1 on 5% Best Bets for +19.25 units and a 64.2% ROI.This College Basketball-only package includes every regular-season and postseason ...
Ross Benjamin
College Basketball
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California started the season 12-1 and against a non-conference strength of schedule that ranks #326 in the country. Putting that into perspective, they padded their record against lower-level competition. They've gone 5-5 since that time. The Golden Bears are 3-2 during ACC home games. However, those defeats came at the hands of Louisville by 20 and Duke by 15. They're about to once again host a nationally ranked team on Saturday and I look for a similar result.
Clemson has been surging. They're 12-1 over their last 12 games and their lone defeat came against #23 NC State in overtime. The Tigers are a perfect 5-0 in ACC away games. Clemson escaped with a closer than expected 2-point win at Stanford. I expect them to bounce back with a strong performance today now they've been acclimated to being on the West Coast the past few days.
Bet on the Clemson Tigers as a point-spread favorite of -5.0 or lower.
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Super Bowl Point-Spread 5% Best Bet-NFL 32-20 (62%) Run: $35.00
NFL 5% Best Bet Big Game BasherRoss "The Boss" Benjamin is one of world's elite sports betting experts and he's released a best bet point-spread winner on Sunday's Super Bowl matchup between New England/Seattle. Big time games are for big time pros and Ross has been exactly that for over 2 decades. He's unloading on th ...
All Sports 12-4 (75%) Last 6 Days & +20.71 Units: $19.00
Saturday CBB Early Bankroll Kick StarterBaylor vs. Iowa State 2:00 ET (ESPN)Since 5/13/2025, Ross "The Boss" Benjamin has made a net profit of +185.21 units which ranks #1 at Wager Talk over that just shy of 9-month time span.Ross is a solid 12-7 (63%) with his last 19 CBB premium picks.Get your Saturday sports betting off to a profitable ...
All Sports 12-4 Last 16 & +185.21 Units Since 5/13/25
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Saturday 3-Game CBB Slam Dunk SweepTroy vs. Akron 6:00 ET (ESPN2)Duke vs. North Carolina 6:30 ET (ESPN)Florida vs. Texas A&M 8:30 ET (SEC Network)Ross "The Boss" Benjamin has 3 CBB winning sides on Saturday and all are included in this $40 off discount package. Just a mere $29 investment will reward you with a 3-game clean sweep!" ...
Oskeim Sports
College Basketball
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Oral Roberts has failed to cover the spread in seven consecutive games, which is significant for a couple of reasons. First, double-digit underdogs that have failed to cover the spread by more than 40 points combined over their last five games are 390-292-8 ATS (57.2%) since 2003. This situation includes a 278-206-3 ATS (57.4%) subset angle involving teams that have failed to cover the spread by at least 45 points in their last five games. Second, college basketball teams coming off seven or more consecutive ATS losses are 198-155-7 ATS (56.1%) since 2010, including 41-21 ATS (66.1%) as double-digit underdogs. Finally, Oral Roberts arrives with revenge for an 82-71 home loss to St. Thomas on January 10, which is notable in that .249 or worse college basketball road teams with revenge for a double-digit home loss are 306-242-7 ATS (55.8%) since 2003, including 222-169-2 ATS (56.8%) since 2018. Take Oral Roberts as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, February 7.
Jeff Keim is back—and now you can find the 15-time handicapping champion exclusively at WagerTalk.com. Don’t miss his ULTRA-RARE 5% Super Bowl release backed by two angles that are a combined 33-0 ATS!
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OSKEIM'S COLLEGE HOOPS OFF SHORE STEAM PLAY: $30.00
On Saturday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE 4% College Basketball Off Shore Steam Play involving an OUTRIGHT UNDERDOG WINNER! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 56-39 (59%; +$13K) college hoops run, so join today and start cashing tickets on the hardwood!*15 NATIONAL HANDICAPPING TITLES*53 TOP 5 HANDICAPPING FINISHES*56-39 (59%; +$13K) COLLEGE HOOPS RUN! ...
Dwayne Bryant
NBA Basketball
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Key Situational Angle:
From Game #42 on, play UNDER on home teams where the total is at least 230 if they're averaging 114-118 points per game and after scoring 115 points or more in 3 straight games, if they're facing an opponent that is allowing 108-114 points per game.
Applies to Atlanta.
29-8-1 (78.4%) since the 2021 season.
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77% ANGLES | 4% CBB TOP TOTAL: $25.00
Dwayne Bryant is #1 ALL-TIME at WagerTalk in profit from college basketball totals, sitting at +251.36 units. On Saturday, DB has taken the huge CBB board and narrowed it down to his single strongest college hoops total.This huge play has a RARE TRIFECTA...it is backed by an NCAA-wide situational angle that has cashed 74% winners, as well as an ang ...
67% ANGLE | 4% NBA TOP TOTAL: $25.00
Dwayne Bryant dominates the NBA market.#1 in NBA profit this season: +73.09 units#1 in NBA profit last season: +84 uniits+66.01 units on NBA totals since last seasonThis NBA Top Total is backed by a situational angle that has cashed a money-making 67.2% winners since the 2020 season.Details INSIDE. Don't miss it!
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Don Buster
College Basketball
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We have a very high total here for this contest and we do understand why the way Cal Poly plays as they are one of the faster paced teams in the country. They also do not play much D. However they did beat UC Davis in their last game after the Aggies were up 10 at the half. Cal Poly have put up 104, 94 and 96 in their last 3 games. With the Aggies at home they play much better D and we believe they will not allow that many points to happen here. In the first game it landed 162. The total was 168 that day. We had this at 166. Getting this number seems a bit too high. We see this being another game in the low 160's
Don Buster
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Dwayne Bryant
College Basketball
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My college hoops totals plays are determined by relevant statistical data from KenPom, historical data from similar games (researched using the powerful SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, how much value I perceive, and how confident I am in the play.
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77% ANGLES | 4% CBB TOP TOTAL: $25.00
Dwayne Bryant is #1 ALL-TIME at WagerTalk in profit from college basketball totals, sitting at +251.36 units. On Saturday, DB has taken the huge CBB board and narrowed it down to his single strongest college hoops total.This huge play has a RARE TRIFECTA...it is backed by an NCAA-wide situational angle that has cashed 74% winners, as well as an ang ...
67% ANGLE | 4% NBA TOP TOTAL: $25.00
Dwayne Bryant dominates the NBA market.#1 in NBA profit this season: +73.09 units#1 in NBA profit last season: +84 uniits+66.01 units on NBA totals since last seasonThis NBA Top Total is backed by a situational angle that has cashed a money-making 67.2% winners since the 2020 season.Details INSIDE. Don't miss it!
Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...
Bryan Power
College Basketball
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3% Louisiana Tech (3:00 ET): If you recall, I got involved in La Tech’s last game, which (for them) ended up being a 72-63 loss to New Mexico State as 1.5-point home favorites. However, I bet Under 137.5. That was a winner (though it got a little too close for comfort at the end!) La Tech has now lost two straight games in which its defense has let them down in the second half. Wednesday against New Mexico State, the Bulldogs surrendered 41 2H points. That followed an 83-67 loss at Sam Houston last Saturday in which they allowed 49 2H points. This afternoon, in Ruston, the Bulldogs will look to avenge that defeat.
In the analysis for NMSU-La Tech, I noted how La Tech has generally been a sound team defensively and the 2H effort we’d seen the previous game vs. Sam Houston was “atypical.” So it was a bit shocking to see the same thing happen to the Bulldogs B2B games. That said, I’ll double down on calling for a better 40 minutes of defense here as the team still ranks top five in the country in points allowed, giving up just 62.7 per game! The fact they allowed 83 to Sam Houston last Saturday was mainly owed to the Bearkats spending a lot of time at the FT line (24 of 36). They are not a team that usually gets anywhere close to that number of attempts from the charity stripe (average 21 per game for the year).
La Tech did a great job in the first meeting limiting Sam Houston to just five made three-pointers. Now, what we are going to need here is an improved effort at the offensive end from the Bulldogs. I won’t lie to you and say this is a good offensive team. But they should definitely improve on the shooting numbers we saw vs. New Mexico State when they finished 34% from the field (including 7 of 27 from three) not to mention 56% from the FT line (14 of 25). I know it can be scary to fade a “hot” team like Sam Houston (who has won seven in a row). But this is a rare instance of the Bearkats being favored to win on the road (only the second time all season) and prior to these B2B losses, La Tech had covered four straight - all as underdogs (three outright wins). 3% Louisiana Tech (Play to +3)
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*EARLY* AFTERNOON CBB DOUBLE PLAY ~ 9-1 RUN IN HOOPS!: $29.00
BP is on a ***RED HOT 9-1 HOOPS RUN*** including a ***PERFECT 5-0*** in College (#1 LAST 3 DAYS!) Last night, he SWEPT his two CBB selections with Murray State ML & Evansville +9.5!This afternoon, he's got TWO MORE CBB WINNERS for you. One is a side, one is a total. While Power has cashed FIVE STRAIGHT CBB sides, he's also won his las ...
4% SATURDAY NBA BEST BET ~ INSANE 33-12 NBA RUN!: $25.00
***RED HOT 9-1 BASKETBALL RECORD L5 DAYS*** - It's "same ol', same ol'" for Bryan Power, who also boasts the #1 NBA record at WagerTalk this season! It's been his SELECTIVE approach that has resulted in BP going an INSANE 33-12 his L45 NBA releases dating back to last year's Playoffs! Here's a BEST BET for Sa ...
Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...
Oskeim Sports
NFL Football
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These teams last met on September 15, 2024, and the Seahawks walked off the field with a 23-20 overtime win. That result is significant because games between teams that went into overtime in their previous meeting are 286-212-6 to the Under (57.4%) if that game also finished over the total. This situation is 92-60-4 to the Under (60.5%) since 2019. Since 2015, NFL games between teams with seven or more days of rest are 147-101-7 to the Under (59.3%), including 87-57-3 UNDER (60.4%) since 2020, going under by an average margin of -2.0 points per game. Seattle arrives in San Francisco off a 31-27 win over the Rams, which is notable in that Super Bowl teams coming off a game in which they scored more than 24 points are 5-2-1 to the Under (71.4%) since 1990, going under by an average margin of -6.3 points per game. Finally, Seattle is 33-17 to the Under (66%) in games with totals of 45 points or higher, while the Patriots are 30-20 to the Under (60%) in their last 50 games with totals of 45 points or more. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Sunday, February 7.
Jeff Keim is back—and now you can find the 15-time handicapping champion exclusively at WagerTalk.com. Don’t miss his ULTRA-RARE 5% Super Bowl release backed by two angles that are a combined 33-0 ATS!
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Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
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Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...
Hat-Trick All-Access Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
Was $69.00 Now $49.00
For a limited time, get every hockey play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — including NHL selections, College Hockey, and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49.That’s only $16.33 per day for every premium hockey release your handicapper posts. You’ll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you ge ...
OSKEIM'S COLLEGE HOOPS OFF SHORE STEAM PLAY: $30.00
On Saturday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a HUGE 4% College Basketball Off Shore Steam Play involving an OUTRIGHT UNDERDOG WINNER! Jeff is on a RED-HOT 56-39 (59%; +$13K) college hoops run, so join today and start cashing tickets on the hardwood!*15 NATIONAL HANDICAPPING TITLES*53 TOP 5 HANDICAPPING FINISHES*56-39 (59%; +$13K) COLLEGE HOOPS RUN! ...
Ben Burns
NBA Basketball
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The Nets have really struggled to win games. However, if they actually want a victory, this is the time and place to get it. The Wizards are only 5-19 on the road, at the best of times. Today, however, they're going to be quite short-handed. Newcomers Anthony Davis and Trae Young have fans excited for the future. However, neither will play. Same goes for several others, either out or questionable. By comparison, the Nets are far healthier. These teams split the first two meetings, both at Washington. Neither game was close. This one shouldn't be either. Lay the points, up to -7
All-Time Basketball Champ Ben Burns also ranks #1 in the UFC since the start of 2023. He's testing a 10-1 run in octagon today, before putting his 8-0 NFL record on the line tomorrow.
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*EARLY* (4%) NON-CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK! (#1 ALL-TIME): $25.00
Ready to put a choppy week behind him, All-Time College Hoops Champion Ben Burns is coming out swinging to start a super Saturday. His "Non-Conference Game Of The Week" goes early and the winner will set the tone for an absolutely huge weekend. Don't wait. Get down right now.
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Ben Burns College Basketball Special | +238.88 Units!
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Ben Burns is the #1 College Basketball handicapper out of 26 this season, delivering +80.92 units with a 65.3% winning percentage, a 24.6% ROI, and a 62-33 record. His dominance isn’t new — in 2024 he finished #2 at +60.52 units, followed by top-four finishes in 2023 and 2022, including another +60.7-unit season.Since the 2022 season, Ben Burns ...
Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Sygula got mauled in her UFC debut but picked up a win in her second fight by taking advantage of a terrible game plan from Alekseeva. She can strike at range and manage distance, but she’s not good on the ground. Cachoeira has lost 3 of her last 4 and fights recklessly, leaving her chin wide open. She’s been knocked out and submitted, and her last five fights haven’t gone the distance, so don’t blindly play overs just because it’s a women’s fight. With both fighters being poor on the ground, this becomes a striking match, and Sygula manages distance and defense better. Cachoeira is a fade, Sygula is the pick.
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Tokyo Brandon
Basketball
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________
Southside Flyers @ Adelaide Lightning
Line: Southside -4.5 | Total 158.5
Season baseline
Southside ~77.4 scored / 73.4 allowed; Adelaide ~73.2 scored / 79.8 allowed.
That profile points to a mid-150s kind of game unless it turns into a foul fest.
This-season H2H totals are consistently lower
Recent meetings listed on SportyTrader:
79–68 (147 total)
74–69 (143 total)
86–66 (152 total)
All comfortably under 158.5
Projection: Southside 79 – Adelaide 72 (Total 151)
1) Last 10 games patterns (totals + style)
Southside last 10 totals (most recent → older):
157, 159, 190, 153, 186, 140, 174, 146, 207, 157
That looks “coin-flippy” vs 158.5: 5 unders / 5 overs
But the overs are heavily driven by track-meet opponents (e.g., the 207 and 186 type games)
Adelaide last 10 totals:
159, 163, 128, 140, 141, 145, 152, 168, 157, 191
Better for an under: 6 unders / 4 overs vs 158.5.
Adelaide’s typical output is just not huge lately (a lot of games finishing in the 140s/low-150s).
Interpretation: Southside’s “last-10” average total is inflated by a couple of sprints; Adelaide’s is steadier and generally lower-scoring.
2) Home/away patterns (relevant because Adelaide is home)
Adelaide at home (in that last-10 sample): totals 128, 141, 152, 191
Strip out the Perth-meets-gasoline 191 outlier and you get 128/141/152 = 3 straight unders vs 158.5.
Southside on the road (recent): totals include 157 @ Canberra, 153 @ Townsville, plus the “fast-opponent” spikes (186 @ Bendigo, 207 @ Sydney)
So: Southside goes over when the opponent forces pace; Adelaide usually doesn’t.
3) Head-to-head this season (the big one)
They’ve met 3 times recently:
Southside 85–72 Adelaide (Total 157)
Southside 82–58 Adelaide (Total 140)
Southside 82–77 Adelaide (Total 159)
That’s 2 unders / 1 over, and the “over” is 159 — basically a one-bucket sweat. Average H2H total ≈ 152.
Matchup takeaway: when these teams play, Adelaide’s offense tends to get dragged into the mud.
Injury / rotation note (small but real)
Southside’s Nya Lok rolled her ankle vs Canberra (status can matter for pace/shot creation).
Adelaide has been operating without Serena Sundell (season-ending injury reported earlier), which keeps their ceiling lower.
Why I am betting under 158.5
H2H avg ~152 with 2/3 under and the lone over barely over the line.
Adelaide’s recent profile is more “150-ish” than “165-ish.”
Southside’s overs are mostly opponent-driven sprints; Adelaide usually isn’t that kind of dance partner.
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The Gold Sheet
NFL Football
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New England had a lot of blow-out victories this season, so it's important to filter out the games where the Patriots were essentially running out the clock in the fourth quarter. New England played ten games where they either lost or won by less than a touchdown. In those ten games that were competitive for 60 minutes, Maye averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game. New England is an underdog in this matchup and Maye is likely going to need to throw the ball to keep the Patriots within striking distance. Seattle's defense was No. 1 in EPA per rush attempt and No. 1 in rushing success rate allowed during the regular season. If the Patriots can't get Rhamondre Stevenson going (only 2.8 yards per carry vs Denver two weeks ago), Maye will need to carry New England's offense through the air.
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ESPN CBB SHOWSTOPPER! (4%) : $25.00
WATCH AND WIN ... The GoldSheet checks in off a flawless 2-0 Friday, with the standout being a wire-to-wire 5% winner on Evansville. For Saturday, the longest-running and most trusted handicapping team in the country is zeroing in on a higher-profile matchup you can catch live on ESPN. Add the major play to the top of your Saturday card right now!
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The GoldSheet is capping off a stellar NFL season in style! America's premier sports authority stands at 36-19 over their last 55 overall NFL picks—ranking #1 since late October.They're even hotter on premium selections: 32-15 (+59.27 units) in their last 47 NFL plays rated 4% or higher, the industry's top mark.Most impressively, a ...
THE GOLDSHEET NBA STAT SHEET!
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THE GOLDSHEET NBA STAT SHEET FOR SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 7Overall records and records for the last two weeks, both overall as well as Home/Away splits!Including: SU, ATS. O/U, Points For & Against, plus the Average Line and Total!
Steve Merril
NBA Basketball
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Denver comes in on a 3-game losing streak. The Nuggets lost at home to Oklahoma City, then lost by 3 points in Detroit, and then lost in overtime on a back-to-back set. Denver has had 2 days off since to regroup and get ready for tonight’s game in Chicago. The Nuggets will catch a Bulls team in complete disarray right now after making moves at the trade deadline. Chicago is just 1-6 SU over their last 7 games with 4 of those losses coming by double digits. With this being their first game back home off a road trip, there’s a good chance the Bulls continue their losing ways. Look for Denver to come with a focused effort, and notch a solid road win in this game on Saturday night.
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100% (10-0 ATS) CBB TV Angle: $25.00
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Will Rogers
NBA Basketball
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My selection is on Denver. Peyton Watson had been a big part in the Nuggets solid-play without Nikola Jokic and with him sidelined for a while, it's going to be hard to find someone to replace him. But, Denver remains one of the best teams in the NBA with Jokic fully back and playing like himself again. The Nuggets did just play in a double OT game against NYK and lost. But, they had an extra day of rest and that should help greatly for tonight's game. Chicago has also lost three games in a row now and it might have to settle for a rebuilding season if things keep going the way that they are going. The Bulls made tons of moves at the deadline, trading away a lot of their core and getting some rotational players in return to go alongside Giddey. But, with Giddey still out, I don't think the Bulls will have much success against a title contending team this evening. Play on Denver.
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#1 CBB SELECTION ON SATURDAY • MUST PLAY! • Super Bowl weekend is here, and Will Rogers gets it started on Saturday in triumphant fashion. His #1 CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK (4%) in CBB goes tonight. Serious about winning? You should join Rogers for today's 4% CBB CONF GAME OF THE WEEK.
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Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
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Drew Martin
College Basketball
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Getting down on the Rainbow Warriors in the overnight betting markets against UC San Diego. This is a Big West Conference game streamable on ESPN+.
Hawaii has won each of their last two home games by 20 plus points. They are (13-1) at home this season and a very impressive (16-5) on the season overall. Also, schedule spot wise, Hawaii has been home all week, compared to UC San Diego making the trip to the island playing their first game outside the states of California or Nevada since November.
UC San Diego is having a bit of a down year compared to their NCAA Tournament season last year. The Tritons are just (2-6) against the spread the last couple weeks and have dropped three straight games overall, averaging just mid 50's scoring in the process. Tough spot for UCSD. Hawaii likely wins by double digits. This just missed the client card. For the free pick on Saturday- Bet Hawaii on the island.
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Tokyo Brandon
College Basketball
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________
George Washington Revolutionaries @ Duquesne Dukes — Under 159.5
Last 10 game final-score totals (not betting totals)
Team | Avg total (last 10) | Games < 159.5 |
|---|---|---|
GW | 153.2 | 7/10 |
DUQ | 153.2 | 6/10 |
Since 1/1/26: how they’ve been scoring vs the market (O/U results)
GW since 1/1/26: 7 Unders / 2 Overs (with listed totals like 150.5, 154.0, 155.5, 168.0, etc.).
Duquesne since 1/1/26: 6 Unders / 3 Overs (notably the Overs were vs VCU and at Saint Joseph’s, plus vs St. Bonaventure).
Home/away angle (since 1/1/26)
GW road games (since 1/1): Dayton, George Mason, Saint Louis, Saint Joseph’s — all finished under 159.5, and most also went Under vs the closing line.
Duquesne home games (since 1/1): mixed, but still more Under than Over overall in that span.
Pace / “will this get run-and-gun stupid?”
Both teams are mid-to-upper in raw possessions per game: Duquesne 74.0, GW 72.7. So this isn’t a rock-fight-by-default—your Under case needs to be about efficiency + defenses + conference grind, not “slow pace saves us.”
My projection (score + bet lean)
Using season scoring/allow rates as a baseline, then nudging toward recent A-10 “market Unders”:
Projected score: Duquesne 78 – GW 76 (Total 154)
Total 159.5: UNDER
Player matchup breakdowns (why points might not pile up to 160)
Rafael Castro (GW) vs Jakub Nečas / David Dixon (DUQ): Castro is a hyper-efficient interior scorer and rebounder (GW’s engine). Duquesne’s bigs have to defend without fouling—if they force him into free throws (and not dunks), that’s usually good for the Under because it can bog possessions into half-court + set defense.
GW’s three-point volume (Trey Autry / Tre Dinkins / Garrett Johnson) vs DUQ’s guard scoring (Tarence Guinyard / Jimmie Williams): This game can flip to an Over if both sides get hot from three early. The Under case is that conference scouting tends to take away easy looks, and both teams have shown a lot of “scoreboard looks high, game finishes mid-150s” outcomes lately.
Ball-handling & creation: GW’s assists are led by Christian Jones; DUQ’s by Guinyard. If either team’s primary creator is limited (or defended into tougher shots), you often get the classic A-10 vibe: decent pace, but lower-quality attempts late in the clock.
Injury note
Tarence Guinyard and Jakub Nečas were out in the previous game at George Mason. If either is limited again, it generally supports the Under (either by reducing creation/efficiency or by forcing rotations that slow offense).
Bottom line
Under 159.5 is a solid bet based on (1) both teams’ Jan/Feb under tendency vs closing totals and (2) GW’s road profile staying below these numbers.
Also: totals hate overtime with a burning passion—so the one real “Under killer” is a tight game that goes OT.
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Tokyo Brandon's RED-HOT Western Carolina at Wofford college hoops pick is just $15 – Don't miss out – Tokyo Brandon is the PROVEN #1 PROFIT MACHINE at WagerTalk:#4 All-Sports Profit 2025 (+49u)#1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u)#1 All-Sports Profit 2022 (+125u)#1 All-Sports Profit 2021 (+225u)Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in 3 o ...
Joe Raineri
College Basketball
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It's the Iron Bowl of Basketball on Saturday afternoon. 4:00 PM. The Jungle. And let me tell you, there is more drama in this game than a daytime soap opera. You’ve got Charles Bediako spending his Friday in a Tuscaloosa courtroom trying to keep his eligibility alive, and you’ve got Alabama’s leading scorer, Labaron Philon, missing practice with a thigh bruise. That is a lot of distraction heading into the most hostile environment in the SEC.
But here is why I love the Tigers in this spot. I don't care if Bediako plays or not—he doesn't fix Alabama’s biggest issue. The Crimson Tide foul everyone and I mean EVERYONE. They cannot defend without fouling, and they struggle bigtime with physicality. That plays right into Bruce Pearl Jrs hands. Auburn is top-15 in the country at getting to the free-throw line and they are absolute monsters on the offensive glass. They are going to bully Alabama in the paint, they are going to rack up free points at the line, and with 'The Jungle' rocking on a Saturday, I just don't see a banged-up Alabama squad having the discipline to survive. Give me Auburn to hold it down at home, a place where they have been dominate all season long.
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Jesse Schule
NFL Football
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This is a free play on Rashid Shaheed over 20.5 rec yards.
The Patriots mantra is "do your job", but the other thing that this team had been known for in the Belichick era was taking away the opponent's most effective weapons. Vrabel was a player in that era, and surely he learned a few tricks from Bill. I hear people talking about taking away the run, but I think the priority has to be stopping JSN. The focus on JSN should open things up for the speedster Shaheed.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Drew Martin
NFL Football
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Will the USA Government have a commercial sport during the Super Bowl? No (-150)
Given this bet is a novelty Super Bowl prop and only available in the "Global betting markets" this is not on the client card. The free pick analysis below:
It is very rare for the USA government to purchase a commercial spot during the Super Bowl. Historically, the last two were Secret Service (2025): A 30-second recruitment ad featuring high-intensity scenes aimed at addressing staffing shortages. Also, Census Bureau (2010): A $2.5 million ad campaign for the 2010 Census, aiming to increase mail response rates.
Given the recent push to cut fraud and waste in government spending I project the likelihood of a $8 million dollar expense this year seems counterintuitive. Do note, there are reports of running a Super Bowl pregame ad for the $1,000 child investment accounts. This is reportedly set to run pregame. This bet is stated for action "From kickoff to end of game". Bet "No".
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Marco D'Angelo
NFL Football
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Seattle ranks first in yards per rush allowed, which means New England will need to lean more on the passing game, using a lot of high‑percentage check‑downs that basically turn the short passing game into an extension of the run.
If the Patriots are playing from behind in the second half, they’ll be forced to throw even more, and Seattle will happily concede underneath completions to keep everything in front and let the clock run.
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Bryan Power
NFL Football
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In terms of a "longshot" Super Bowl bet, I believe this is one worth making.
JSN is currently priced to have a 7-reception, 95-yard performance. If you like the Seahawks' top WR to go Over those numbers, then this is a bet I would definitely make. If he were to go Over those respective numbers, then JSN would certainly be in the MVP discussion.
Only the two QBs have shorter odds. But at this price, JSN is a good value in this market.
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Jimmy Adams
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Bryan Leonard
NFL Football
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Seattle had the least amount of fourth down attempts in the league by a wide margin. With the Seattle defense being so dominant, the offense does not have to force things. Expect them to play the field position game.
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Will Rogers
NFL Football
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In the Patriots' 10-7 AFC Championship victory over the Broncos, Rhamondre Stevenson carried the ball 25 times for 71 yards. He was also targeted twice in the passing attack. While his stats weren't eye-popping, he shouldered a massive workload and far outpaced TreVeyon Henderson, who managed just three touches total. Stevenson is expected to remain the lead back for New England in the Super Bowl.
After scoring nine touchdowns during the regular season, Stevenson stands a solid chance of reaching the end zone against the Seahawks. Playing him to get the last one of the game pays out at nearly 10-1.
A long-shot? Absolutely. But one that's entirely possible. Play Rhamondre Stevenson: Last Touchdown Scorer
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Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...
Ben Burns
NFL Football
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When I initially posted this, Kenneth Walker was -190 on the "anytime touchdown scorer" option and +380 on the "first player to score a touchdown" prop. Of course, the former has the greater likelihood of cashing. However, the latter may offer the better value. If the Hawks score the first TD, Walker has a great shot of being the player that gets it. He did so against the Rams. If looking for a big underdog with a solid shot, this one fits the bill.
Last year's defending football champion Ben Burns has the #1 NFL record again this season ... he's a perfect 8-0 since Christmas. His 9th straight winner is ready to go!
Released/revised 2 day(s) ago
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*EARLY* (4%) NON-CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK! (#1 ALL-TIME): $25.00
Ready to put a choppy week behind him, All-Time College Hoops Champion Ben Burns is coming out swinging to start a super Saturday. His "Non-Conference Game Of The Week" goes early and the winner will set the tone for an absolutely huge weekend. Don't wait. Get down right now.
**5% MAX** BURNS' BEST IN SHOW! (PERFECT 8-0 NFL RUN!): $35.00
#1 THIS SEASON | #1 LAST SEASON | #1 SINCE 2002 | PERFECT 8-0 SINCE CHRISTMAS + 42-18 L60! When it's the final game of the year, sharp players all over the globe put their faith in Ben Burns. The Defending Football Champion is now a PERFECT 8-0 in the NFL since Christmas, 100% PERFECT IN THE PLAYOFFS. Since September, Ben is 42-18 (+80.89), w ...
Ben Burns College Basketball Special | +238.88 Units!
Was $364.00 Now $199.00
Ben Burns is the #1 College Basketball handicapper out of 26 this season, delivering +80.92 units with a 65.3% winning percentage, a 24.6% ROI, and a 62-33 record. His dominance isn’t new — in 2024 he finished #2 at +60.52 units, followed by top-four finishes in 2023 and 2022, including another +60.7-unit season.Since the 2022 season, Ben Burns ...
Joe Raineri
NFL Football
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The market has officially overadjusted. We are getting TreVeyon Henderson at his lowest rushing prop number of the entire season, all because of a blizzard in Denver. In the AFC Championship, Henderson only saw 3 carries. Why? Because it was a snow globe, and the coaching staff leaned on Stevenson to kill the clock in zero visibility. Do not let one weather-impacted box score fool you. Henderson’s average prop this season was 42.8 yards. We are getting a massive discount at 17.5.
The X's and O's scream "Over." Seattle plays Two-High Safety coverage at the 2nd-highest rate in the league (63%). They invite the run to prevent getting burned deep. Stevenson is a bruiser, but Henderson is the home run hitter. He thrives against split safeties where he can make one cut and go. The data proves it: Henderson had a league-high 56% Success Rate versus that look this season.
Henderson averages 5.1 yards per carry. Even if he splits time, the efficiency match is too good. If he gets just 4 or 5 carries, he clears this number easily. I expect 6-8 touches in a game played on a fast track.
Take the Over 17.5 Rushing Yards good to 20.5
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RARE 5% CBB MAX PLAY SATURDAY | +21.25 UNITS IN FEB: $39.00
Joe is just CRUSHING CBB and is Riding a 5-0, 9-2, 12-3 RUN in College Hoops. He's got just his second 5% MAX BET on the season (1-0). This spot & team are WORTHY OF THIS STEP UP WAGER! Grab it NOW! BUT... WHY SETTLE FOR JUST THIS PLAY? With the SuperBowl around the corner, TAKE ADVANTAGE of an ALL ACCESS PASS and get ALL HIS PLAYS, ACROS ...
5% SUPER BOWL MAX BET | 7-1 (87.5%) THIS SEASON! : $39.00
Joe CRUSHED the NFL this season, especially when it came to his 5% MAX BETS, which went 7-1 (87.5%). These plays don't happen often but Joe is one of the Most Profitable Handicapper over the last 365 days at Wagertalk for a reason. When he fires on these MAX PLAYS, you should as well. Grab this SUPER BOWL 5% MAX BET NOW... AND.... KEEP IN MIN ...
CBB TOP PLAY SATURDAY | 25-12 (68%) ALL SPORTS RUN!: $25.00
Another WIN last night and Joe continues to CRUSH CBB Riding a 5-0, 9-2, 12-3 RUN in College Hoops. Styles make fights and this game has one team that the Public will be all over but the numbers don't lie. Get the VALUE NOW before the Market Moves it. BUT... WHY SETTLE FOR JUST THIS PLAY? With the SuperBowl around the corner, TAKE ADVANTAGE o ...
Andy Lang
NFL Football
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Walker’s receiving role has become a reliable part of Seattle’s offense, especially with Zach Charbonnet sidelined for the postseason. Over the past five games, Walker has cleared 25+ receiving yards in four outings, including strong production through the two playoff games (78 receiving yards on seven catches). That demonstrates real involvement in the pass game rather than sporadic checkdowns.
The Patriots have allowed over 500 total RB receiving yards this past season, which equates to roughly 30+ receiving yards per game to running backs — a rate that backs up the receiving market for this position group. Walker’s target share and tendencies as a safety valve near the goal line and over middle give him multiple paths to surpass 20.5 yards as long as the Seahawks lean on him extensively and game flow keeps the underneath throws alive.
Given his track record recently and how this game is projected to unfold, 20.5 receiving yards is very much a floor projection rather than a ceiling. The line is short relative to the combination of role, usage spikes, and matchup context.
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TRIPLE 4% Best Bets UFC Pack : $25.00
Big Spots On This Card. Not one, but THREE 4% Best Bets for this UFC event, and Lang has hit 67% of MMA Best Bets the last four months (4% and 5% Best Bets). There aren't a lot of great spots on this card, but a few spots stand out for 4% Smash Spots. Get both these plays, and lock in the profits!
5% Super Bowl Pack: $35.00
5% Best Bet Live Now | All Props Included & Updated Until Kickoff- This is the biggest game of the year, and we’re attacking it the right way. The 5% Best Bet is live now, and this pack includes every Super Bowl prop, continuously updated all the way up until kickoff. No scrambling, no guessing — just the strongest edges on the board as the ...
Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...
Pavlos Laguretos
Soccer
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Nijmegen vs Volendam
Netherlands Cup, Wednesday, 12:45pm ET
Nijmegen are firing in all cylinders this season, they have the 2nd best offense in the Dutch league with 52 goals in 20 matches. They have scored 2+ goals in 21 of 23 matches in all competitions, and 3+ goals in 12 of 23.
At home they are 8-1 to the Over 2.5 Goals with 25 goals scored and 13 conceded, scoring 2+ goals in all 9 matches, and 3+ goals in 5 of 9, but keeping just 3 clean sheets.
Volendam are W2 D2 L8 on the road in all competitions, with both wins coming in the earlier stages of the Cup competition, where they played against teams from lower divisions. Bad defense, conceded 2+ goals in 7 of 12.
H2H is packed with crazy scorelines, and massive totals (5/7/6/3/5/1/4/4/5/6 in L/10).
Nijmegen should be able to win this, but that -350 on their ML in a Cup match vs a team that will play pretty openly, is not for me. I do see goals here, the question is whether Volendam will score. They did score in each of L/3 H2H, and actually scored 2/2/3 goals in that span.
Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals in 4-1 in L/5 H2H, and 8-2 in L/10 regardless of venue, but only 2-3 in L/5 in this venue, so be careful with that.
Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals is -118
For some reason, this match feels weird to me, but I am not exactly hot right now. I am taking two small bets on Correct Scores, see if they stick. Mind you, if you do bet these Correct Scores, make sure to be on top of it while the game reaches its final stages in case you want to Cash Out.
Correct Score Prediction:
0.5u on Nijmegen by 3-0 (+850 FD)
0.5u on Nijmegen by 3-1 (+900 FD)
Take 0.5% on Nijmegen to win by 3-1 (+900), line good to +750
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10 Days of All-Access for the Price of 7 (save $69!)
Was $168.00 Now $99.00
For a limited time, get a 10-Day All-Access Pass for just $99 — the same price as a 7-Day pass. That effectively gives you 3 extra days free, valued at $69. It breaks down to less than $10 per day for full access to your favorite handicapper.What You Get: You’ll receive every play in every sport they release for 10 full days, including any Top ...
Super Bowl to Super Bowl All-Access for Only $99 Per Month!
Was $1,999.00 Now $1,188.00
Get ALL-ACCESS from Super Bowl LX (February 8, 2026) through Super Bowl LXI (February 14, 2027) for just $1,188 — compared to the regular price of $1,999. That works out to only $99 per month or $3.25 per day for every pick, every sport, and every 5% Best Bet released over the next 12 months.Your access starts immediately — the earlier you buy, ...
Kyle Anthony
Mixed Martial Arts
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Javid Basharat (-135)
Released/revised 3 day(s) ago
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4% UFC: Smash & Cash (75%) 6 PLAYS!: $29.00
Winner Winner!! Kyle CASHED his 5% MAX BET last Saturday on Benoit Saint Denis to win inside the distance (-125) with an EASY WINNER by 2nd round KNOCKOUT! Once again profiting for clients at UFC 325!! This Saturday the UFC Capping King has locked in another BIG MONEYLINE WAGER you don't want to miss! Lock in with KA this weekend!~ Currently ...
Andy Lang
Mixed Martial Arts
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Both fighters are coming off two straight losses, making this an important fight. Said’s style has been to strike just enough and land a well-timed takedown to steal close rounds, but his cardio has steadily declined. His recent fights lack aggression, his striking isn’t threatening, and his wrestling no longer dominates. Basharat has been humbled recently, losing a close decision and then getting knocked out badly by Ricky Simon, but he’s well rounded with better cardio and a solid ground game to avoid submissions. Without a submission, it’s hard to see Said outpointing Basharat. Basharat should win a decision with better striking output and conditioning.
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TRIPLE 4% Best Bets UFC Pack : $25.00
Big Spots On This Card. Not one, but THREE 4% Best Bets for this UFC event, and Lang has hit 67% of MMA Best Bets the last four months (4% and 5% Best Bets). There aren't a lot of great spots on this card, but a few spots stand out for 4% Smash Spots. Get both these plays, and lock in the profits!
5% Super Bowl Pack: $35.00
5% Best Bet Live Now | All Props Included & Updated Until Kickoff- This is the biggest game of the year, and we’re attacking it the right way. The 5% Best Bet is live now, and this pack includes every Super Bowl prop, continuously updated all the way up until kickoff. No scrambling, no guessing — just the strongest edges on the board as the ...
Super Bowl Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
Football season is down to the biggest weekend of the year — and the Weekend Warrior Pass is at its MOST valuable right now.For just $49, you’ll receive EVERY play your handicapper releases on Saturday and Sunday across ALL sports — including ALL Super Bowl plays and any 5% Top-Rated Best Bets. Nothing is excluded.Lock in early, and you’ll ...