Free Sports Predictions MAY 12: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports
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Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(951) Colorado Rockies at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates: Total
First Inning Over 0.5 (110) Michael Lorenzen (RHP), Paul Skenes (RHP) Must Start
With Skenes on the mound, we are plus money, and while he has a 2.587 ERA, he has allowed a first-inning run 3 times in 8 starts.
Lorenzen has a 6.92 ERA, and his last start was a YRFI
Colorado is 9-3 YRFI.
Pittsburgh is 7-3 YRFI overall and 10-5 YRFI at home.
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THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Tuesday, May 12The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included ...
THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Monday, May 4The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included * ...
Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Mets have been huge underachievers this season, and once again they will turn to Freddy Peralta to save them. Peralta didn’t allow a single run on just 4 hits over 5 innings last time out at Coors Field, one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. We also have a major fade Candidate in Jack Flaherty, who enters with an ERA of 5.56. Flaherty has a terrible chase percentage, major command issues, and is an extreme fly ball pitcher. The Tigers have also been struggling overall, losers of 5 of their past 6. Take the Mets.
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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Projected final: LAD 5.5, SFG 3.6
1st 5 and full-game boxscore
Period | SFG | LAD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
Full game | 3.6 | 5.5 | 9.1 |
Projected starting pitcher box
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian Houser | SFG | 4 2/3 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 2.0 |
Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven
Market | Projection | Model Probability | Fair Odds | Consensus Odds | Odds Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAD moneyline | LAD by 1.9 | 66.0% | -194 | -177 | +17 cents |
SFG moneyline | SFG +1.9 | 34.0% | +194 | +162 | -32 cents |
Full game over 9.5 | 9.1 total | 45.0% | +122 | -110 | -232 cents |
Full game under 9.5 | 9.1 total | 55.0% | -122 | -110 | +12 cents |
Full game over 9.0 | 9.1 total | 50.8% push-adjusted | -103 | -110 | -7 cents |
Full game under 9.0 | 9.1 total | 49.2% push-adjusted | +103 | -110 | -213 cents |
1st 5 over 4.5 | 4.5 total | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
1st 5 under 4.5 | 4.5 total | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
SFG 1st 5 team total over 1.5 | 1.5 | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
LAD 1st 5 team total over 2.5 | 3.0 | 57.5% | -135 | -115 | +20 cents |
SFG full team total under 4.0 | 3.6 | 54.0% push-adjusted | -117 | -110 | +7 cents |
LAD full team total over 4.5 | 5.5 | 62.0% | -163 | -120 | +43 cents |
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$5 Bet ($15 value) | Rays vs Blue Jays | 3x WagerTalk #1 Profit King + 10 Year MLB Scout
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Tokyo Brandon’s Rays at Blue Jays bet is UP for 5 BUCKS! (normally $15). This is the best spot on the board, hands down. Among WagerTalk’s 33 handicappers, Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 in All-Sports Profit 3 of the last 5 years and has the long-term receipts to prove it:2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)202 ...
$5 MLB Feature Bet ($15 value) | 3x WagerTalk #1 Profit King + 10 Year MLB Scout
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Tokyo Brandon’s MLB feature moneyline bet is UP for 5 BUCKS! (normally $15). This is the best spot on the board, hands down. Among WagerTalk’s 33 handicappers, Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 in All-Sports Profit 3 of the last 5 years and has the long-term receipts to prove it:2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units ...
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles Dodgers [ATS] | Good until -1.5, -145.
Pitching Matchup: Adrian Houser/Yoshinobu Yamamoto [Home Listed - Yamamoto Must Start].
While still seven games above .500, the Dodgers are clearly struggling at the moment. Los Angeles just hasn't been able to pitch the way it would have liked and the team is not hitting quite as well either. The ace is back on the mound today though and he's out for revenge. Yamamoto has gone 18 innings over his past three starts. But, he's allowed three runs in all three of those. I don't think that he's going to allow that many if any on Tuesday. Over his L4 starts against the Giants, he has a 1.37 ERA. Mookie Betts returned to the lineup too yesterday and although the Dodgers picked up their third straight loss, the turnaround begins now.
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[4%] NBA MEGA MONSTER | IMPRESSIVE 69% RUN
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$5 TUES!!! .... ELITE 73% RUN w/ TOP NBA SIDE BETS | Rogers won his only selection on Monday and gets back to work on Tuesday, expecting more quality. Over the past month, Will has a MASSIVE 73% RECORD with top rated (4% or higher) NBA side releases! He also won his $5 NBA selection last week, a 4% as well.The time has come. Join him now.
[$5 TUES] ... 4% NHL BEST BET | OFF CONSECUTIVE DOMINATING NHL WINNERS
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STAGGERING 16-7 RUN w/ TOP RATED BETS .... Rogers cashed his lone selection yesterday with an NHL winner on the Colorado Avalanche. Now he heads into $5 TUESDAY hunting for another big result. His top-rated plays (4% or higher) have been on another level lately, posting a HUGE 16-7-1 RECORD.The winning continues tonight..
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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It’s about time Slade Cecconi demonstrates to Stephen Vogt that he should remain in the Cleveland rotation. Into May, the Guardians had lost all six of Cecconi’s starts, and prior to last Thursday’s outing vs. the Royals his ERA was a sky-high 6.56, but he was marginally effective vs. KC and picked up the win, allowing 2 ER in 5 1/3 IP.
Though we’re inclined to cut Cecconi or any Cleveland rotation piece a little slack against the Halos, whose 7- 2 loss last night at Progressive was their 24th setback in the last 28 (!) vs. the Guardians. Play Guardians on Run Line
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BRUCE SUPER TUESDAY SPECIAL $5 HOT NBA TOP CHOICE!!: $5.00
BRUCE NBA 34-19, +48.73% SINCE APRIL 17...SPECIAL 4% PLAYOFF TOP CHOICE TONIGHT!! Bruce Marshall has returned to WT as College Sports Editor for The Gold Sheet and is now making his featured selections available daily in all sports! $100 OFF a 30-Day All-Access Pass + 10 Days Free — Save $238!
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Battle of 1st place teams in their respected divisions and the top two records in baseball at this point in the season, setting the stage for us to jump on the Cubs at a plus price in the marquee series this week. Kalshi and Novig offering Chicago as high as (+108) and we are attacking. The Cubs are on a (10-2) run over their last 12 games overall. Colin Rea is off back to back solid starts, racking up 11 strikeouts and letting up just 3 runs combined.
Atlanta has had a great start to the season, however their lineup is a bit banged up right now. This is also a really difficult schedule spot being their first game home off a grueling 12 day west coast road trip. Their starter Clay Holmes has given up 9 runs and 6 walks over his last two starts and is sporting just a 29 to 17 strikeout to walk ratio on the year. The Cubs bats likely get to him here. Bet Chicago.
Today’s MLB show:
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4% TUESDAY BEST BET *ONLY $5* MLB MONEY GOW $$
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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Czech Republic 1st League :
Total Over 2.5 (-119)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-125)
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Gianni the Greek
Soccer
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 Czech Republic 1st League :
Total Over 2.5 (-108)...(4%) - thru Over 2.5 (-120)
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Oskeim Sports
NHL Hockey
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Cole Caufield scored his second goal of the playoffs in Montreal’s convincing 6-2 win over Buffalo Sunday night. The Canadiens now lead the second-round series 2-1, but Game 4 on Tuesday gives Buffalo a strong chance to even the series at 2-2. Since 2009, NHL home favorites are just 424-699 PL (37.8%; -5.1% ROI) versus opponents arriving off a four-plus goal loss, failing to cover the puck line by an average margin of -0.9 goals per game. Even better, NHL playoff teams entering off a loss by four or more goals are 98-65 SU (60.1%; +21.7% ROI) and 98-65 PL (60.1%; +8.9% ROI). Let’s also note that NHL playoff teams coming off two or more consecutive wins, like Montreal, are 15-60 SU (20%; -60.8% ROI) and 14-61 PL (18.7%; -54.7% ROI) in seven games series in which they have two or more wins, losing by an average of 1.5 goals per game and failing to cover the puck line by an average of 1.8 goals per game since 2013. Finally, NHL playoff teams with revenge for two or more consecutive losses by three-plus goals each are 56-38 (59.6%; +29.6% ROI) since 2003, including 48-31 (60.8%; +27.8% ROI) since the beginning of the 2010-11 season. Take the Buffalo Sabres as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Tuesday, May 12.
Key Insights
-> Montreal has a 22-11-3 record in Atlantic Division games
-> Montreal is 48-8-9 in games where they score three or more goals
-> Buffalo has a 21-9-5 record in Atlantic Division games
-> Buffalo is 49-4-8 in games where they score three or more goals
PROVEN PERFORMANCE
-> Perfect 9-0 Overall Run
-> 139-92 (60.2%) Overall Run | +96 Units
-> #1 NHL (2025-26; WP): 26-15 (63.4%)
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 47-30 (61%)
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MLB PERFECT PLAY | EPIC 10-0 RUN |140-92 (60.3%) OVERALL RUN | +99 UNITS | 109-66 MLB RUN!
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Jeff Keim has been ON FIRE, riding a PERFECT 10-0 RUN! and a 140-92 (60.3%; +99 Units) Overall Run! On Tuesday, Jeff is UNLOADING on a HUGE MLB High Roller backed by a 100% PERFECT 20-0 situation! This is an ABSOLUTE MUST PLAY. Don’t miss it!PROVEN PERFORMANCE-> PERFECT 10-0 Overall Run-> 140-92 (60.3%) Overall Run | +99 Units-> 109-66 ( ...
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
The Prez
NFL Football
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The TB Buccaneers finished last season 8-9 and I do not expect them to do any better this year. The current W/L record sits at 8.5 and I think the under is one of the best future bets available. I will make this quick. Offensively, this team has taken a step backwards, have lost Mike Evan’s, has a mediocre WR and TE core and their run game was basically average. Not only that, but, Baker is at his best if they can establish a run and frankly, they can’t. Defensively, this team is just getting older. Their pass rush lacks consistently and their secondary is vulnerable. Last year, they were a middle of the pack D unit and they have done nothing to improve it. Interestingly, it was their crappy division that got them to the Playoffs 2 years ago, but that is changing. Both the Falcons and Panthers have improved substantially and even the lowly Saints are getting better. And as for strength of schedule, they have a tough schedule that will include the Pack, Vikings, Rams, Lions, Chargers, Cincy and Baltimore.
This team won 8 games last year, has had no major roster upgrade, has lost players, is bringing back the same QB and coaching staff and have the same weaknesses as last year. This is a team in decline and we will happily take advantage of the weak line.
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**11-0 & 31-7 NHL RUN** DO YOU WANT MONEY? GET PREZ’ MUST BET NHL BIG BET TUES
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Prez is going for 12 straight NHL Winning Bets in a row and is 18-3 in betting NHL Playoffs. He has only had 7 losing days in his last 26 days of betting and is on a 5-2 and 45-26 betting run. T This is one of the best NHL bettors on the planet - do not miss this play.Prez is a $@#$ing NHL Betting Legend!!! He is on a 11-0, 15-1, 25-4 & 31-7 NH ...
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