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Free Sports Predictions JUL 26: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

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Wagertalk has a loaded lineup of expert sports handicappers with impressive winning bet percentages on their free sports picks. We cover all sports picks, from the NBA, NFL, NCAAF, NHL, MLB, KBO all the way to the Bundesliga.  Picks and parlays from WagerTalk expert bettors cover full game analysis, game previews, stats and trends, and provide you with all the information you need to be a more successful sports bettor!  
 

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(975) Cincinnati Reds at (976) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time:
Play:
Zack Littell Under 17.5 Outs Recorded

Littell has completed 6 innings once in his last seven starts. The Reds bat #9 in all of MLB.

 

teampitcher     opponent          outs projection     
Zack Littell               15.4     

 

 

Released/revised 20 minute(s) ago

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#1 MLB PROFIT 2024 / 4% BEST BET!: $25.00

BRANDON HAS A 4% MLB MONEY LINE BET TODAY. HE IS THE #1 MLB PROFIT CAPPER AT WAGER TALK YEAR TO DATE AND REGULAR SEASON!  Brandon has been Wager Talk's #1 all-sports profit capper for three of the last four years. He is up 144 units in 2024, more than doubling his clients' bankrolls in six months. Brandon is Wager Talk's #1 profit MLB cap ...

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Steve Merril MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(965) Minnesota Twins at (966) Detroit Tigers
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 7.0 (-108) J Ryan (RHP), T Skubal (LHP) Must Start

Minnesota starter Joe Ryan projects to give up 2.3 runs with a 3.32 ERA and 1.03 WHIP.  Detroit’s lineup has hit just .200 (11-55) with a weak .568 OPS against Ryan in his career.  The Tigers will start Tarik Skubal.  The lefty projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.05 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.  With both starting pitchers projecting well, expect the offenses to struggle resulting in a low-scoring game on Saturday night.

Play UNDER the total.

-------------------

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Released/revised 27 minute(s) ago

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2-For-1 Saturday MLB All-Access
Was $39.00 Now $29.00

RED~HOT (36-25) and (41-27) All-Sports winning runs! Steve Merril has 2 MLB plays in this package for Saturday.  Don’t wait - get both BEST BETS right now for a discounted price!MLB Over Easy SlugfestYankees/Red Sox (FOX)Don’t miss out.  Grab these 2 plays for just $29 right now and SAVE 40% off the regular price - Guaranteed to CASH ...

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) San Diego Padres at (974) Baltimore Orioles
Date/Time:
Play:
San Diego Padres +100 M King (RHP), D Kremer (RHP) Must Start

Early start in Camden Yards between the Padres and the Orioles is what we are attacking on the Saturday slate. Don't look now, but the Friars are on fire winning 6 straight and now have their eyes set on punching a ticket into the playoffs. Baltimore is one of the better teams in MLB, however on a skid of late dropping 4 of their last 5 games. 

San Diego starter Michael King is riding a hot right hand, letting up just 1 earned run in each of his last four starts. He is up against the former UNLV hurler Dean Kremer who has been in a bit of a funk, letting up 12 runs and 8 walks over his last 3 starts. Padres crush right handed pitching helping our cause. “Ride the hot and fade the cold”. Bet Padres at the plus price. 

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SATURDAY SIZZLE MLB BIG BET (80%): $25.00

*** PERFECT 7-0 (100%) *** run (+30% PROFIT) since July 9th all home team tickets NEXT ONE HERE! MONEY PRINTING 4-1 (80%) for (+17% PROFIT) this week. $$$ 14-6 (70%) sides run for (+30% PROFIT). This is a premium client BIG BET going primetime TONIGHT, complete with detailed written analysis. BEST DEAL= Coupon: DREW365 Takes $1,000 OFF the 1 Y ...

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BUY NFL EARLY BIRD, GET MLB FOR $99!
Was $948.00 Now $628.00

Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!When you purchase an NFL Season Pass Special for $529 from your favorite handicapper(s), you'll get the rest of their MLB season for only $99 (a savings of $320) You k ...

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(975) Cincinnati Reds at (976) Tampa Bay Rays
Date/Time:
Play:
Cincinnati Reds +100 A Abbott (LHP), Z Littell (RHP) Must Start

The Reds are building some momentum, winners of 3 straight after last night’s series opening victory in Tampa. Andrew Abbott is the right man to keep the winning streak alive as he enters in excellent form. Abbott didn’t allow a run in 6.2 innings of work last time out and now has recorded 2 shutouts in his past 3 starts. Cincy also has a huge bullpen advantage once he exits, as they rank in the top 5 in cumulative ERA on the season while Tampa comes in near the bottom. Zack Littell was blown up for 5 earned in his latest appearance, including giving up 3 home runs. He was also tagged for 7 runs 3 starts back and at the current price Cincy is worthy of a wager. Take the Reds. 

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

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MLB Sat BEST BET! 74-49 RUN! : $25.00

Jimmy CASHED his Best Bet yesterday and is primed to ride the momentum into the weekend! Currently on a stellar 74-49 MLB RUN with his plays rated 3% or higher, Jimmy’s sharp insights and expert analysis are your ticket to hitting those big wins! Don’t miss out on his proven strategies and let his impressive track record work in your favor! Joi ...

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NFL EARLY WK 1 $$$! +48 UNITS L2 Seas: $25.00

Jimmy has DOMINATED THE NFL the past 2 seasons, making his clients +48 UNITS OF PROFIT and a 10% ROI! He’s identified an early ADVANTAGE PLAY that we can lock in now as he prepares for another HIGHLY SUCCESSFUL 2024 campaign! Grab this Week 1 WINNER and consider a season long subscription to save the most money! 

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Andrew McInnis CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
College Football Make or Miss the Playoffs Market
Date/Time:
Play:
Ole Miss To Make The 2024-2025 College Football Playoff -130

Ole Miss To Make The 2024-2025 College Football Playoff -130…(2%)

This will mark Jaxson Dart's third season under head coach Lane Kiffin and he's progressed every season and I expect him to take an even bigger leap this year. 

Ole Miss is one of the most talented offensive teams in all of College Football and now they stocked up on their defensive line in the transfer portal with notable signing Walter Nolen coming from Texas A&M. This defensive signing along with others progresing in their game will allow Ole Miss to create key stops they seemed to miss out on last year at crucial times. 

This season they won't have to play Texas or Alabama, which is always a perk, and I like them getting two nice early tune up games against weak opponents at home against Furman an Middle Tenn to confience in the offence and defence clicking. 

The new 12 team format gives lots of room for Ole Miss to make the playoffs and I'm confident this team is capable of making winning the key games to do so. 

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BUY NFL/CFB EARLY BIRD COMBO, GET MLB FOR FREE!
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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!  When you purchase an NFL and College Football Season Combo Pass Special for $777 from your favorite handicapper(s) you'll receive their MLB service through the World ...

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BUY COLLEGE FOOTBALL EARLY BIRD, GET MLB FOR $99!
Was $918.00 Now $598.00

Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!When you purchase this College Football Season Pass Special for $499 from your favorite handicapper(s), you'll get the rest of their MLB season for only $99 (a savings of $ ...

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Andrew McInnis CFL Tab CFL Football

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Event:
(775) Winnipeg Blue Bombers at (776) Toronto Argonauts
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 49.0 (-110)

In some instances, you can't ignore a trend, and this Winnipeg Under trend is one worth mentioning. In the seven games Winnipeg have played, they've gone under the total in six of them. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers offence simply isn't the same as it once was and a lot of that has to do with the sudden decline of QB Zach Collaros, along with the many injuries the team has had to deal with. The Argos are an even 3-3 with their Over/Under record, but their play style indicates they should have seen much lower game totals if it wasn't for injuries. The Argos have a very conservative play style, they run the ball quite often, and when they throw the ball its mostly for just 5-15 yards, no further. The Argos recently lost to the Ti-Cats and the Bombers lost to the Roughriders, both team will be looking to get back on track, but it will have to be from their defence and not their offences. 

Look for field goals and punts in this game and for the Winnipeg Under trend to continue. 

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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!  When you purchase an NFL and College Football Season Combo Pass Special for $777 from your favorite handicapper(s) you'll receive their MLB service through the World ...

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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!When you purchase this College Football Season Pass Special for $499 from your favorite handicapper(s), you'll get the rest of their MLB season for only $99 (a savings of $ ...

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Kyle Anthony MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24617) Giga Chikadze at (24618) Arnold Allen
Date/Time:
Play:
Giga Chikadze +205

At this sizeable plus money price tag, Giga is the absolute value side. 

Do believe money has come in on Allen early in week due to Giga's age, 35 years old and the beating he received against Calvin Kattar. Not a good look but since has bounded back with a win. One path to victory for Allen Saturday night could be wrestling, attempting to takedown the high level kickboxer… although that's not really his game. Over his last 4 bouts Allen has attempted zero takedowns. Over his last 6 fights he's only had 2 successful takedowns which were both against Sodiq Yusuff. Unlikely Allen turns into Khabib diving at legs for 15 minutes successfully. With that said, this fight could play out on the feet, which in turn makes this fight closer than line indicates. Giga is a high level striker with snapping kicks and an arsenal of weapons mixing up targets on his opponent. Should be the far more technical striker while Allen blitzing forward with big power hooks. Yes, he possesses power but at times very low volume output seeking the one big shot over disguising combinations setting up the power strikes. Giga's solid distance management and range attacks backed by a 4 inch reach advantage and 4 inch height advantage will cause problems for Allen all fight. Add in their stances are opposite, meaning Giga is orthodox and Allen is south paw, allowing for Chikadze's infamous “Giga Kick” which is basically power kicks to the body. That avenue will be available to him and interesting to see how it's worked in. Let's also not act like Allen's been on this incredible run dominating high level talent. Last 3 wins are somewhat suspect. Even in a losing effort, Sodiq Yusuff out landed Allen 47-21 on strikes over 3 rounds. What edged it out for Arnold was 2 knockdowns earning him 2 rounds in a close decision win. Also knocked out a depleted Dan Hooker who moved down to 145 pounds for the fight, had a terrible weight cut and was knocked out in round 1. He also earned a victory over Calvin Kattar in which Calvin suffered an injury in round 2 giving Allen the win. Believe Chikadze can work at distance pushing a higher volume while Allen seeks the big moments falling behind on the scorecards. At +205 this like provides plenty of value. 

 

 

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5% UFC 304: Big Ticket (7-0 in 2024!): $35.00

#1 ROI expert in ALL SPORTS in 2024 (24%)  7-0 on 5% Max Bets   Profiting 80% of UFC events this year  The UFC Capping King has LOCKED IN his MAX BET for UFC 304 this Saturday night!! Continuing to find value and winning angles as one of the top cappers at Wagertalk since 2018 in all sports!! #1 Return on investment expert in 20 ...

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Gianni the Greek BOX Tab Boxing

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Event:
Ryan Garner vs Archie Sharp
Date/Time:
Play:
RYAN GARNER -230 vs Archie Sharp

RYAN GARNER -230 vs Archie Sharp

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UFC 304 ALL-ACCESS: #1 IN 2024 +97.41: $29.00

Gianni the Greek is #1 in total MMA profit on the calendar year at +97.41 units and an incredible 16.2% ROI (return on investment), including picking up +30.05 units, behind a 76.9% winning percentage (10-3-0), 65.3% ROI last week in the octagon! Bet right alongside Gianni this Saturday in the UFC and get every client play for UFC 304 included in t ...

#1 CFB - 89% FUTURES RUN!: $29.00

FOOTBALL FUTURES 3%+ WENT 8-1 (89%) LY!  #1 CFB PROFIT IN 2023 - CFB FUTURES 6-1 (83%)!There are currently SIX CFB season win totals loaded in this package with all six rated 3% and higher and FOUR rated as 4% Best Bets and he went 4-0 on 4% season win totals last season!If Gianni adds any additional CFB season win totals - THEY WILL BE INCLUD ...

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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!  When you purchase an NFL and College Football Season Combo Pass Special for $777 from your favorite handicapper(s) you'll receive their MLB service through the World ...

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Andy Lang MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24625) Bruna Brasil at (24626) Molly McCann
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 2.5 (+114)

It’s a Molly McCann fight so I guess we have to take it to not go the distance, right?  Molly’s last 5 fights have ended in the first round, which you would expect from a male heavyweight, not a female strawweight.  I don’t know what to make of Molly these days as she’s hinted she’s about done with fighting, but she is coming off a great win against Belbita with a first round armbar, and she should get the win here as Brasil has a low ceiling, and I think Molly can just bully Brasil around in front of the raucous home crowd.  We're getting a great price on this as Brazil's last 2 fights have gone the distance, but her previous 2 fights ended early.  My guess is Molly gets the finish, but if it gets on the ground, Molly's ground game is pretty bad, and she could easily get submitted.  Either way, I don't see this fight going the distance.

*5% BEST BET is up on my homepage, 9-2 run on these and we're up +84 units in 2024!!!

Released/revised 4 day(s) ago

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5% Cross Sport Parlay HAMMER TIME!!! : $35.00

All Weekend Plays Included (UFC 304, Olympics, etc) Another Winner Last Week!!! #1 Lifetime, #1 2024 Cross Sport Parlays…+83 Units 2024, #1 In July +37 Units-- Lang cashed his Play Of The Week last week making it a 9-2 run on Plays Of The Week.  He is up +83 units in 2024, and is now 37-19 for +37 units in July alone!!!   ...

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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!  When you purchase an NFL and College Football Season Combo Pass Special for $777 from your favorite handicapper(s) you'll receive their MLB service through the World ...

BUY NFL EARLY BIRD, GET MLB FOR $99!
Was $948.00 Now $628.00

Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!When you purchase an NFL Season Pass Special for $529 from your favorite handicapper(s), you'll get the rest of their MLB season for only $99 (a savings of $320) You k ...

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Gianni the Greek CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
To Win American Athletic Conference =
Date/Time:
Play:
To Win American Athletic Conference = Memphis Tigers +400

Released/revised 9 day(s) ago

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UFC 304 ALL-ACCESS: #1 IN 2024 +97.41: $29.00

Gianni the Greek is #1 in total MMA profit on the calendar year at +97.41 units and an incredible 16.2% ROI (return on investment), including picking up +30.05 units, behind a 76.9% winning percentage (10-3-0), 65.3% ROI last week in the octagon! Bet right alongside Gianni this Saturday in the UFC and get every client play for UFC 304 included in t ...

#1 CFB - 89% FUTURES RUN!: $29.00

FOOTBALL FUTURES 3%+ WENT 8-1 (89%) LY!  #1 CFB PROFIT IN 2023 - CFB FUTURES 6-1 (83%)!There are currently SIX CFB season win totals loaded in this package with all six rated 3% and higher and FOUR rated as 4% Best Bets and he went 4-0 on 4% season win totals last season!If Gianni adds any additional CFB season win totals - THEY WILL BE INCLUD ...

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Our 10th Anniversary is still a month away, but we want to start celebrating early by making this the best-ever season to buy a College Football, NFL, or a CFB/NFL combo package!  When you purchase an NFL and College Football Season Combo Pass Special for $777 from your favorite handicapper(s) you'll receive their MLB service through the World ...

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Jeff Michaels CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(189) UTEP at (190) Nebraska
Date/Time:
Play:
Nebraska -27.0 (-110)

#190 Nebraska -27 UTEP (Saturday August 31st @3:30 PM)

Expecting a significant uptick in the Cornhuskers in Matt Rhule’s second season after they went 5-7 thanks to being -17 turnovers and losing the last four of the season. Nebraska is the #15 most experienced team while UTEP is +102. Matt Rhule is 12-8 (60%) as a favorite of -13+ points. UTEP lost their top 3 running backs, their top 4 and 6 of their top 7 receivers while losing their top 3 tacklers and 7 of their last 10. When two FBS teams are playing on game #1 a favorite of -27 and higher is 50-28-2 (64%) ATS and that goes to 46-21-2 (69%) when at home. 

Released/revised 12 day(s) ago

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Jeff’s MLB Weekly Records Report
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Jeff’s MLB Weekly Records ReportNOW INCLUDES RECORDS FOR THE SEASON AN DSINCE JULY 1ST IN EACH CATEGORY!Every Monday on my homepage at WagerTalk I will be loading an updated stat report. This sheet has been updated with games through Sunday, July 21st.It includes both season-to-date records and records for the last 15 days for Money Line, Run Lin ...

Jeff’s MLB Weekly Records Report
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Jeff’s MLB Weekly Records ReportNOW INCLUDES RECORDS FOR THE SEASON AN DSINCE JULY 1ST IN EACH CATEGORY!Every Monday on my homepage at WagerTalk I will be loading an updated stat report. This sheet has been updated with games through Sunday, July 21st.It includes both season-to-date records and records for the last 15 days for Money Line, Run Lin ...

5% RUN 89% NFL WIN TOTAL!: $35.00

5% MAX NFL SEAOSN WIN TOTAL - 5-1 (83%) ON FUTURES LAST SEASON!Jeff's 5% plays are 8-1 (89%) and 18-6 (75) since January! Jeff is #3 in NFL profit at WagerTalk since the start of the 2022 season. Jeff was 5-1 in futures last season with the only loss being the NY Giants over 7.5 (finished 6-11 with Daniel Jones missing 11 games)!

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Mad Russian NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
2024-25 Los Angeles Rams NFL Season Win Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Rams OVER 8.5 Wins -150

The Rams finished 2023 at 10-7, winning their last 4.  Losing Aaron Donald is a big blow, but they addressed it in the draft with Verse and Fiske D-Lineman out of Florida State and still had nine additional picks.  It is the top 5 offensive unit and the top 5 head coach (some would argue it is the top 3).  If they can keep Stafford upright and healthy, they'll have a chance to do some serious damage.  I love the middle of their schedule at Chicago, vs Green Bay, vs Las Vegas, vs Minnesota, at Seattle, vs Miami and at New England.  I'm planning on 5+ wins during that 7-game stretch.  With a possible San Fran Super Bowl hangover, I have faith in this play.

Released/revised 16 day(s) ago

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NFL 5% Season Win Total: $35.00

NEW TO WAGERTALK! FIRST EVER NFL 5%!Here are some of my achievements:- 2021 tied for first place, cashing out $325,000 in the Circa Sports Million III with a 63-27 (70%) record, the highest all-time - 2021 7th place in the Westgate Super contest with a 58-30-2 (66%) record, cashing $18,469.- 2020 placed 13th in the Circa Sports Million II contest w ...

Month of September NFL for ONLY $99!: $99.00

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Teddy Covers NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
2024-25 Dallas Cowboys NFL Season Win Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available)

3% Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available) 

I bet it this way: 2.5% on Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins, 0.5% on Cowboys to Make the Playoffs: No’ (+200)

3% Take the Dallas Cowboys UNDER 

Every sharp dollar that’s shown for Dallas since these season win totals opened has come for the Under.  Let’s join them before this win total gets bet down any further! 

The Cowboys have been kicking the can down the road for years when it comes to salary cap issues.  This past offseason, the woes became very real.  Dallas lost five starters in free agency but acquired only one -- 32 year old LB Eric Kendricks, now playing for his third team in three years.

Dallas has nowhere to do but down.  They’ve won 36 games over the past three seasons - only the Chiefs have more victories.  Despite all of that success, head coach Mike McCarthy (not one of my favorite game managers, to put it mildly) has not been re-signed, in the final year of his contract.  QB Dak Prescott, too, has an expiring contract (and a massive $55 million cap hit this year). Prescott led the league in TD passes last year and finished #2 in MVP voting - he can’t play any better.  In fact, he’s likely to play worse with an OL that lost another two starters this offseason, quite possibly starting a pair of rookies in September.  

Cowboys star WR Cee Dee Lamb skipped mini-camps this spring and he’s talking about sitting out training camp this summer; trying to negotiate a new contract.  I don’t worry about running backs, but it’s worth noting that Dallas might have the weakest group of RB’s in the NFL this year.  The highest scoring offense in the league in 2023 is primed to take a step back in 2024, especially with all kinds of rumors flying around Vegas regarding Prescott’s health.  Behind Prescott?  Cooper Rush and Trey Lance, neither of whom I’d trust to win an NFL game this year.

Dallas lost elite defensive coordinator Dan Quinn in the offseason; now the head coach in Washington.  Da’Ron Bland set an NFL record with FIVE interceptions returned for touchdowns last year - he won’t do that again.  They finished +10 in turnover margin last year -- only 16 giveaways -- again, difficult numbers to repeat.  Perennial defensive POY candidate Micah Parsons has his own contract issues; expecting an extension.  CB Trevon Diggs is coming off a torn ACL.  Dallas is not primed to be a run stuffing team either; mediocre in that regard last season.

So we’ve got a head coach and a QB who both could be gone next year; playing on a team with severe salary cap restrictions that has overachieved in each of the last two seasons.  Then we look at the schedule and it gets even worse.  NFC East teams play the AFC North and NFC South.  Their three extra games are all tough: Detroit, San Francisco and Houston.  Dallas has only one home game between Baltimore on September 22nd and Philly on November 10th.  

My numbers show that last year -- using my power rating for their opponent the week the game was played -- the Cowboys played a shockingly weak schedule, second weakest of any playoff team.  Don’t expect that to be the case in 2024; a year where Dallas is primed to decline from recent seasons.  And it’s surely worth noting that teams lined at 9.5 wins or higher since the NFL Schedule was increased to 17 games have gone 22-14 to the Under.  Teams with nine home games - like the Cowboys -- lined at ten wins or higher? 9-3-1 to the UNDER with a 17-game schedule; an emerging trend worth riding here!  Take the Cowboys UNDER.

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Jimmy Adams CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(141) North Carolina at (142) Minnesota
Date/Time:
Play:
Minnesota -1.5 (-110)

PJ Fleck’s calling card has always been defense and running the football. While both those areas will remain solid, Minnesota brought in New Hampshire transfer Max Brosmer for 2024, a quarterback who torched opposing defenses a season ago at the FCS level. Brosmer provides a much needed boost and the Gophers return solid production at other positions. Gone is Drake Maye and journeyman Max Johnson now finds himself in Chapel Hill. UNC lost a lot of talent in the offseason and the Gophers will pick up the win at home in their season opener. Take Minnesota. 

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Ralph Michaels CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(181) New Mexico at (182) Arizona
Date/Time:
Play:
Arizona -30.0 (-110)

 

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Saturday August 31st

#182 3% Arizona -30 New Mexico

The Wildcats are in a unique situation as they lost their coach yet every starter post bowl that said they were returning did. They have 4 starters including their best 3 players all played together in high school and they kept the unit together. Arizona went from 1-11, to 5-7 to 10-3 LY with the 3 losses by 2, 7 and 7 points as a 21, 20 and 9 pt dog. Arizona was #17 in yards per play diff and they return 15 starters and are #28 in returning production. Fifta and McMillian may be the conference's best QB/WR duo. Wildcats were a fav of -14+ twice LY and they covered both by 10 PPG. New OC Babers likes to play as fast as anyone, and he was #12 & #7 in plays per game his first two years are BG and #7 and #1 his first two years at Syracuse. This is the national Saturday Night Espn game and they have Northern Arizona at home on deck.
New Mexico is #124 in returning production with only 9 returning starters as three offensive starters being 2 WR’s and a TE that does not bode well for a rush attack to try and shorten the game. New HC Mendenhall has his work cut out for him. While a new coach certainly may treat this huge lined games differently the Lobos have gone 0-8 ATS as a dog of +24 and higher.
 

How have big favorite done week #1 (-24 and higher)? 
Since 2014 they are 52.9% ATS but...
Versus VCS foes they are 112-107-5 (51.1%) 

Versus FBS teams they are 56-40 (58.3%) and 42-21-2 (66.7%) ATS as a favorite of -28 and higher. 

 

Released/revised 29 day(s) ago

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Andy Lang NFL Tab NFL Football

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NFL Future
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Play:
Jahmyr Gibbs over 7.5 Rushing TD’s

Gibbs had 10 rushing TD's last year, and he started off his rookie season slow with no rushing TD's, but he finished very strong with 5 rushing TD's in the last 5 games of the season, and he had a rushing TD in all 3 playoff games.  The Lions love rushing the ball into the endzone when they get in close as they had 27 rushing TD's in 2023 and only 30 passing TD's, and in 2022 they rushed for 23 TD's and passed for 29.  David Montgomery will certainly get his fair share of rushing TD's, but there are enough to go around for both guys.  

Released/revised 31 day(s) ago

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Ralph Michaels CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
Georgia Regular Season WIns 2024
Date/Time:
Play:
OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins

Georgia Regular Season Wins 2024

2% OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins (posted June 19th)
Georgia comes into this season with 39 STRAIGHT regular season wins. The Bulldogs were #3 in yards per play diff (+2.49). Georgia returns 13 starters which is as many as any from the L4Y (11-13-10-13). A veteran OL with 4 starters who have made 70 career starts and a senior QB who threw for 3,941 yards and is the Heisman favorite (odds-wise). Add that to a coaching staff that reruns its HC, OC and DC. Georgia is #29 in retuning production and had the #1 recruiting class. 

My numbers project the Bulldogs to be a favorite in every game and a favorite of 16+ in 9 of those games. In the three games as a single-digit favorite they play #1) Bama with revenge (have gone 12-1 ATS in that role) and they play that team with a new QB and #98 in retuning production early in the season. #2) Prior to Texas they host Miss St as a 5 TD favorite while the Longhorns play the Red River Rivalry. #3) They face Ole Miss after a bye week and Florida while REberls play Oklahoma and a road game at Arkansas. 

Released/revised 37 day(s) ago

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The Prez NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
Dolphins Over 9.5 Wins
Date/Time:
Play:
Dolphins Over 9.5 Wins -130

This is a stacked Dolphins team and I think they have a pathway to a 12-5 year, which gives us 2 extra wins over this total. Although they are playing in a stacked division with the Bills and Jets, they have a much easier schedule than both these teams and I do think they go 1-1 against them. The Dolphins have one of the easiest strength of schedules in the league, playing teams that averaged a .488 win % on the year. This team also fell a part last year and I think we see them enter this season hungry and focused. They have a good running game, maybe the best WR core in the league and Tua has shown he can win close games. I also think the Bills will regress slightly and that the Jets are over-rated. There is no reason this team can’t win the division and this line is 9.5. 10 wins and we cash this ticket and as I mentioned I see a pathway to 12. 

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Teddy Covers CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(193) UNLV at (194) Houston
Date/Time:
Play:
UNLV +3.5 (-110)

2% Take UNLV (#193)

Plain and simple: I have lived in Las Vegas since 1998.  The state of the UNLV football program RIGHT NOW heading into Barry Odom’s second year on the job is better than at any point over the last 27 football seasons that I’ve been following this program closely.  The Rebels have all the makings of a ‘bet-on’ team again in 2024, just like they were in 2023.

UNLV won nine games last year (most wins since the Randall Cunningham season in 1984) and reached the Mountain West Championship Game for the first time in the history of the program. They led the conference in scoring; returning an elite level receiving corps and the Rebels best offensive line in decades.  Defensively, UNLV has upgraded their secondary fairly dramatically through the transfer portal and they return the vast majority of their solid front seven.  No surprise here if defensive minded Odom creates a nasty stop unit in 2024.

Houston, on the other hand, is in complete rebuild mode under first year head coach Willie Fritz. Dana Holgorsen did not leave the cupboards stocked for the Cougars program, and Fritz didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his first two years at Tulane, winning only nine games (combined) -- he’s got time to fix things.  This line is low for a reason -- expect the Cougs to be in a dogfight just to win this game SU, let alone winning it by any sort of margin.  Take the points!  Take UNLV

Line Parameter: 2% at +3.5 or higher, 1.5% at +3 or lower

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Teddy Covers NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(463) New England Patriots at (464) Cincinnati Bengals
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 43.0 (-110)

2% Take Cincinnati - New England UNDER (#463-464)

The Bengals offense hasn’t clicked on all cylinders in Week 1 even once during the Zac Taylor era.  Cinci has been held to 24 points or less in regulation in each of their five Week 1’s under Taylor, averaging less than 17 points per game.  I’m not expecting 2024 to be dramatically different for a team that has consistently been underprepared on offense for their opener against a defensive minded foe like New England in the first game of the Jarod Mayo era.

The Patriots, on paper, have the single worst offense in the NFL.  We could see Drake Maye making his NFL debut on the road vs a good defense, which equates to a very conservative gameplan.  We could see Jacoby Brissett behind a weak offensive line throwing to a weak receiving corps. Either way, I’m not expecting touchdowns in bunches.  Early reports from mini-camp have detailed all kinds of issues for this limited attack; issues that are not likely to be solved on opening day.

There’s only one reason to make this bet now and lock up your money all summer with this wager -- getting the ‘best of the number’.  With 43’s still available and 42.5’s still widely available, let’s lock in now for a game likely to close at 42 or lower.  Take the UNDER.

Line Parameter: 2% at 42.5 or higher, 1.5% at 42 or lower

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Ben Burns CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
(191) Miami Ohio at (192) Northwestern
Date/Time:
Play:
Northwestern -3.0 (-110)

Both these teams are expected to take a step back this season. Miami Ohio is projected to win eight games (8u30 at DK, as of this writing) while Northwestern's projected number of wins is only at 4.5 (4.5o30). (Last year, the RedHawks were 11-3 while the Wildcats were 8-5.) While Miami may be expected to win more games than NW, much of that has to do with their respective schedules. The Wildcats only have one “easy” game, a Week 3 matchup against Eastern Illinois. The rest of their slate includes the likes of Ohio State, Michigan and Wisconsin. Naturally, Miami's schedule is considerably softer. As winnable games won't present themselves all that often, the Wildcats absolutely need to take care of business in this one. I like them to do so at -3 or better. 

Released/revised 51 day(s) ago

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Bryan Power CFB Tab College Football

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Event:
Date/Time:
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Michigan Under 9.0 Regular Season Wins (-115)

If you have been paying any attention, you know that I wear Michigan apparel on WagerTalk TV. I may live in Ohio, but I am a Michigan fan. As both a fan and bettor, I was very happy last January when the Maize and Blue won and covered the spread against both Alabama and Washington (bet them both games). But I take no pleasure in reporting that the 2024 version of the Wolverines will not be winning 9 games during the regular season.

There are major losses across the board, starting at the top with HC Jim Harbaugh bolting for the greener pastures of the NFL. QB JJ McCarthy is one of many key starters gone and the defense can't possibly be as stout as it was last season.

Oh, by the way, the Big 10 is tougher now with the addition of Washington, Oregon, USC and UCLA. The Wolverines face three of those teams and sadly (for them) UCLA is the exception. Throw in a non-conference game vs. Texas and having to go to Columbus to face Ohio State, I just do not see a path to 10 wins in Ann Arbor this season.

Released/revised 52 day(s) ago

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Jimmy Adams NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(469) Houston Texans at (470) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time:
Play:
Houston Texans -122

C.J. Stroud took a 3 win team the year before to the playoffs behind some stellar quarterback play that made him look like a veteran. With 23 touchdowns and just 5 interceptions, he showed the ability to make plays without turning the ball over. Now the Texans add Stefon Diggs and Joe Mixon to a team we’re “buying” heading into the 2024 season. Even though Anthony Richardson will most likely be back, this is a line we can jump on now as Houston starts the season with a win over Indy. Take the Texans ML. 

Released/revised 54 day(s) ago

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