Free Sports Predictions AUG 20: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

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(629) Atlanta Dream at (630) Los Angeles Sparks: Total (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: FREE

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 180.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Aug 20 2026 10:00 PM 

Line Provider: Consensus Line

Atlanta @ Los Angeles

Frequently mention the "bully" mentality of Atlanta which has shown season long tendency to post large numbers vs. defensively poor teams. Hand in glove matchup here for Dream which not only gets to attack the worst FG% defense in the WNBA but Los Angeles also plays at the 3rd fastest pace this season. Even with the trade of PG Kelsey Plum Los Angeles still ranks in the upper half in that category over their L10G. Sparks ball handling issues have been apparent during this span ranking 13th in the league in TO% and they're allowing the highest amount of fast break points per game. Atlanta thrives off of each of those ranking #1 in fast break points per game & #2 in points off of turnovers. They had 15 steals vs Las Vegas on Tuesday night and scored 18 points of TO's. Dream only had 1 starter shoot 50% from the field (Jordin Canada 7/11) indicating they could have a bounce back night here. LA does get three key players back in the lineup tonight as #1 SG Erica Wheeler / #2 PG Monique Akoa Makani & #2 C Cameron Brink figure to boost their offense. Atlanta defense = #14 in FG% allowed & #15 in 3-point FG% allowed giving Los Angeles opening to light up the scoreboard in this one. Only head-head this season was 101-92 Atlanta home win and the Los Angeles starting lineup was the same as it will be tonight plus they'll have Brink for this contest. Figure the scoreboard can find that territory again and likely lands 181+.

PLAY: Atlanta-Los Angeles OVER 180.5

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Good to -140 ML (1H)

Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago

Take Houston – Las Vegas UNDER (#401-102)

‘Daily Double’ Thursday Night NFL-X video posted below. The Texans defense – even in the preseason – ranks among the elite stop units in the NFL, with quality depth up and down the roster.  The Texans offense is a very different story.  Houston is likely to give ‘just signed off the waiver wire after the Graham Mertz injury’ Brett Rypien ample playing time here.  After the injury to WR Jayden Higgins, the Texans are likely to take a conservative gameplan offensively.  Ater the starters went out last week, the Raiders offensive line got eaten alive by Arizona’s defense. From multiple reports out of joint practices this week, the Raiders OL has not held up well; and third string QB Aiden O’Connell is primed for extended action again tonight.  Expect touchdowns to be few and far between.  Take the UNDER.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

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The Astros have a major starting-pitching advantage Thursday with Peter Lambert opposing a struggling Grayson Rodriguez. Lambert enters 8-6 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.15 WHIP and has been remarkably consistent, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his last eight starts. His swing-and-miss stuff has also been trending upward, as Lambert has recorded at least six strikeouts in six consecutive appearances against American League opponents. Rodriguez has been at the opposite end of the spectrum, carrying an alarming 7.17 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, creating an inviting matchup for a Houston lineup that ranks third in baseball with 170 home runs. Rodriguez enters off consecutive losses to the Marlins and Royals, which is significant because MLB road underdogs with starting pitchers coming off back-to-back losses in their previous two outings are 406-763 SU (34.7%; -7.1% ROI) and 509-474 RL (-6.4% ROI) in the last game of a series, including 125-259 SU (32.6%; -12.6% ROI) and 182-202 RL (-13.2% ROI) since 2016, losing by an average margin of 1.5 runs per game. Yordan Alvarez remains the centerpiece of that offense, batting .317 with 36 home runs and 88 RBIs while leading qualified hitters with a .610 slugging percentage.

The matchup becomes even more favorable when considering an Angels offense averaging only 2.5 runs per game over its last five and ranking 29th in the majors in slugging percentage (.373). Los Angeles has also been one of baseball's weakest road teams at 21-41, while Houston has won four of the last five meetings between these American League West rivals. The situational trends reinforce the Astros' advantage, with Los Angeles losing nine consecutive Thursday-night games to winning teams and failing to cover the run line in five of its last six games following a road loss. The Astros are 56-21 SU (72.7%; 4.7%; ROI) and 45-32 RL (58.4%; +6.6% ROI) in home division games versus opponents with 12 or fewer wins, winning by an average margin of 1.9 runs per game since 2018. With the superior starter, considerably more power, home-field advantage, and an Angels lineup struggling to generate offense, take the Houston Astros as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Thursday, August 20.

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Ottawa desperately needs a win, but this matchup isn’t the place for it. It’s a clear clash of the league’s best against its worst: the Alouettes sit at 8-1 while the Redblacks are 0-9. Ottawa surrenders 35.8 points per game, almost identical to Montreal’s 35.7 scoring average. The Als average 100+ more yards a game on offense than do the Redblacks. At home the Als average 38 points, and against this porous defense they should easily reach or exceed that mark. For Ottawa to stay competitive they’d need to score around 25 themselves, something that simply isn’t happening. Montreal has held opponents to just 20.3 points over its last three games, despite a high-scoring game against Edmonton, while the Redblacks have averaged only 18 in the same span. The Alouettes have also won the last 10 meetings, most recently by a 34-13 score. Expect a similar lopsided result, something in the neighborhood of 40-17. Take Montreal.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Word from both sides tonight in Inglewood is that the starters will get a quick look, which should mean at least one series of Brock Purdy and Justin Herbert at QB before the backups take over.

It’s the backups, however, who we think might push the scoreline at So Fi, especially on the Chargers side, as both Trey Lance and DJ Uigalelei took the new Mike McDaniel offense for nice a test ride last week at Houston as the Bolts seem to be fast-forwarding their updated schemes. As for the Niners, an expected extended look at mobile backup QB Adrian Martinez, who showed he could move the offense last week vs. the Titans, might prove a benefit. Play 49ers-Chargers “Over”

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Baltimore starter Kyle Bradish projects to give up just 2.3 runs with a 3.31 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.  New York’s lineup has hit just .191 (13-68) with a weak .650 OPS against Bradish in his career.  The Yankees will start Gerrit Cole.  The righty projects to give up 2.2 earned runs with a 3.14 ERA and 1.09 WHIP.  With both starting pitchers projecting well, expect the offenses to struggle resulting in a low-scoring game on Thursday night.

Play UNDER the total.

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Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on Clemson.

I have pegged LSU as the most overrated team in the country heading into 2026. Before you call me crazy, go check who I picked as my most overrated team a year ago (Penn State). The splashy coaching hire, bringing Lane Kiffin over from Ole Miss in the middle of last year's Playoffs has fans expecting big things in 2026. Kiffin landed a $91 Million dollar contract and an unlimited bankroll to buy talent. Keep in mind that while Kiffin was successful at Ole Miss, he never had to navigate the kind of schedule LSU has this year. Dabo Swinney is a three time coach of the year, two time national champion and nine times conference champion. The Clemson stock is low right now after losing a ton of guys to the NFL draft. This line opened at double digits, but sharp money bought it down to single digits. If it goes back up to 10+ I will recommend a play on the dog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

This shapes up as an excellent bounce back opportunity for Nasrat Haqparast. He sits at a true pick'em price tag and there's absolutely value in that number. Haqparast brings a polished striking game built on consistent volume. He fires long rangy combinations while managing distance with sharp footwork. As a slick southpaw he displays high-level technical boxing that lets him control exchanges from the outside. Padilla is a well-rounded fighter who works effectively in the clinch. He shows competence across every phase of the game yet lacks true elite skill in any single area. He likes to pressure forward with heavy shots powered by real strength. Lately he has found success by driving opponents toward the cage and controlling the pace once he gets there. The betting line stays tight mainly because of Haqparast’s most recent outing against Quillan Salkilld. In the opening round he absorbed a brutal head kick that flattened him completely. The finish looked devastating and left legitimate questions about Nasrat's recovery. The encouraging part is the 10 month layoff he took afterward. That amount of time should be more than enough for a full physical and mental reset. Now on the feet Haqparast holds clear advantages and his combinations are much cleaner. He has faster hands and better distance management as well. Padilla will struggle to close the gap cleanly and will leave himself open to counters as a result. Expect Haqparast to accumulate the higher volume of significant strikes and to win the majority of the minutes. He is simply the sharper point fighter when the action stays standing. His crisper combinations should allow him to outland Padilla throughout the contest. One possible path for Padilla involves wrestling entries, yet Haqparast is fully prepared for that threat. He currently owns a strong 86% takedown defense rate backed by reliable defensive wrestling. He can sprawl effectively and then return to brawling in the pocket where his volume becomes even more decisive. This matchup is likely to remain standing for long stretches and that is exactly where Haqparast does his best work. In a strong bounce back spot at an attractive price Nasrat Haqparast is the play to get the job done on Saturday night.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

This is a free play on CAL.

The Bruins made a splashy hire bringing in Bob Chesney as their new head coach. The last coach that left James Madison for the BIG10 ended up winning the National Championship in Year 2 at Indiana. Nobody should be expecting the same from Chesney. I like the hire, and I think the Bruins future looks bright, but Week 1 on the road against a team with a better quarterback and a defense that was far superior a year ago, I think the Bruins are the clear underdog.

GL,

Jesse Schule

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago