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Steve Merril
College Football
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The first Bowl game this season, the LA Bowl on Saturday night, and both teams are expected to be at full strength with minimal players opting out. Washington will be extra focused after losing to Oregon and now has an extra week to prepare for this game, while Boise State might come in a bit flat after winning the Mountain West Conference Championship at home last week. The Huskies are the better team on both sides of the ball, and played the tougher schedule this season. Lay it, if you are going to play it tonight.
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Steve Merril has been CRUSHING THE BOOKS for the past month plus, and now he’s releasing the strongest BEST BET side play in CBB for Saturday! You don’t want to miss this one - TV Steamroller B-L-O-W-O-U-T - Guaranteed Side that will WIN BIG!Special Offers:3 Days NBA + NCAA Basketball - just $49365 Days All Sports Special (-$500 discount) + ...
Teddy Covers
College Football
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Take Washington (#198)
Boise's reputation as a giant killer hasn't been real in recent seasons. The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last four bowls, including bad losses by big margins to Penn State and UCLA over the last two years. Boise has lost both recent meetings with Washington by 30+ points, non competitive in defeat. I'm not convinced that this years matchup will be any different, especially with very limited bowl prep time for the underdog after playing for a Conference Title last weekend. Take the Huskies.
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Jeff Michaels
College Football
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(201) Old Dominion at (202) South Florida
Old Dominion +3.5 (-115)
Context and Trends
- Excitement Edge: Old Dominion has a potential excitement advantage playing their bowl game in Orlando, which contrasts with South Florida's relative proximity, just under two hours away, possibly leading to a less unique experience for them.
South Florida Bulls Overview
- Current Form: Coming off back-to-back wins as an underdog, which are traditionally challenging to sustain in ATS performance. Historical data shows teams in this scenario are 77-95-2 (44.5%) ATS.
- Offensive Performance Trend: Bowl teams scoring 35+ points in back-to-back games face difficulties maintaining ATS success thereafter, shown by a record of 45-78-2 (36.6%) ATS.
Quarterback Situation
- Opt-Outs: Both teams are without their starting quarterbacks, impacting game dynamics and reliability on offensive trends.
- Talent Assessment: Despite the opt-outs, the South Florida Bulls are assumed to have more talent available, suggesting depth may play a crucial role.
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Bryan Power
College Football
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2% Old Dominion (5:00 ET): Talked about this game Tuesday on WagerTalk Today as USF is a team I am most definitely looking to FADE this bowl season. This is a program in transition as it is going through a coaching change. Alex Golesh is off to Auburn. He’s being replaced by Brian Hartline, the offensive coordinator for Ohio State. New players and a whole new staff will be heading to Tampa. So the existing group is probably wondering about its future right now. On top of that, even the USF seniors can’t be too excited about this final game. This is a team that had College Football Playoff aspirations less than a month ago. Now, they find themselves playing in one of the very first bowls. It’s not even a destination for the players as the Cure Bowl takes place in Orlando. So I just don’t think we get a very solid effort out of the Bulls.
Keep in mind I felt this way before the key opt-out was announced Tuesday night. QB Byrum Brown won’t play and I’m pretty sure he won’t be the only USF player making that decision. Now I’m also aware that Old Dominion starting QB Colton Joseph has also opted out. But his likely replacement, Quinn Henicle, accounted for 349 total yards (including 200 rushing!) in his lone career start. The USF QB situation is a little murkier with either Locklan Hewlett or Gaston Moore likely to get the nod. Also keep in mind it remains to be seen who will be calling plays for the USF offense. The market initially moved towards ODU, even with the Joseph news. Then we saw a second move after Brown opted out. No surprise there.
Even without their starting QB, ODU should be quite motivated to win. It’s just the fourth ever bowl game for the program and they weren’t in one last season. While a 41-38 loss to Navy sank USF’s season (I had Navy +10.5), ODU closed the regular season strong with five straight wins. It wasn’t against the best of competition in the Sun Belt. However, worth noting that the Monarchs’ defense allowed a total of just 47 points in that five-game stretch, including only 26 in the last four. I’ll be adding to this analysis closer to kickoff, but wanted to make the play available now before the line moves any further. 2% Old Dominion (Play the ML if ODU ends up favored)
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The most exciting bowl season ever is almost here. With the expanded playoff format, this year’s schedule blends the tradition of college bowls with an NFL-style postseason, creating the deepest and longest slate we’ve ever offered.The first 46 bowl and playoff games kick off December 13th, with the CFB National Championship set for Monday, Jan ...
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Jesse Schule
College Football
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This is a free play on SDSU. (bet on any + number)
This line looks fair based on who these teams were this season, but I think by the time this game rolls around it will be a case of the wrong team favored. The Mean Green head coach is gone to Oklahoma State, and motivation may be in question coming off a loss that eliminated them from the College Football Playoffs. Most expect QB Drew Mestemaker to hit the portal, so I wouldn't count on him playing in this game. The Aztecs had the best defense in the Mountain West, and may well have been the best team in the conference despite missing out on the Conference Championship game due to tie breakers. I'll lock in this dog early, expecting this line to move in my favor.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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