Kelly In Vegas Betting Picks, Futures, & Predictions

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•• A regular contributor at WagerTalk, Kelly combines market analysis, statistical research, and years of betting experience to provide actionable insights for both seasoned bettors and those looking to better understand the betting landscape. Over the years, she has cultivated strong industry relationships with bookmakers in Las Vegas and beyond, giving her a behind-the-counter perspective on some of the biggest betting events around the globe. That vital information plays an important role in her handicapping process.

•• Formerly with Bleacher Report, NBAtv, CBS, Fox, and Barstool Sports, Kelly is now working with Clay Travis at Sport & State. She has also been featured in the sports betting documentary ACTION, further cementing her reputation as one of the most recognizable and respected voices in sports betting media.

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CFB

(231) SMU at (232) Florida State: Spread

7:30pm EDT - Sep 7/2026

THE PLAY: Florida State +3.0 (-115)

Florida State +3.0 (-115)

The entire case against Florida State comes down to one sloppy game, and that's created a textbook buy low spot on the Noles. Yeah, FSU struggled to pull away from New Mexico State, winning 34-17 as 31.5-point favorites after leading just 17-10 heading into the second half. But a flat Week 0 performance against a team ranked 123rd in SP+ tells you almost nothing about how they show up on Monday night. The market panicked over a rusty August opener, just like it does every single year.

Look at SMU. Sure, Kevin Jennings is 19-7 as a starter and healthy, but the Mustangs just lost their top two receivers and their primary rusher. Are you really eager to lay points with an offense trying to replace that much production?

Is Mike Norvell on the hot seat? Absolutely, and rightfully so. But acting like Florida State wasn't looking ahead to a top-25 matchup last week is just naive. The +3.5 that was hanging out there last week was the sweet spot, but grabbing +3 right now is still a solid play. If this line ticks down to +2.5 before kickoff, skip the points and take the Seminoles on the moneyline at +130.

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Sep 05

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Consultant Bio

Kelly Stewart is a professional sports bettor and betting analyst with more than a decade of experience in the sports wagering industry. Known for her disciplined, data-driven approach, she specializes in identifying value across the NFL, college football, and college basketball.

A regular contributor at WagerTalk, Kelly combines market analysis, statistical research, and years of betting experience to provide actionable insights for both seasoned bettors and those looking to better understand the betting landscape. Over the years, she has cultivated strong industry relationships with bookmakers in Las Vegas and beyond, giving her a behind-the-counter perspective on some of the biggest betting events around the globe. That vital information plays an important role in her handicapping process.

Her work emphasizes process over hype, long-term profitability over short-term results, and thoughtful analysis over hot takes.

Formerly with Bleacher Report, NBAtv, CBS, Fox, and Barstool Sports, Kelly is now working with Clay Travis at Sport & State. She has also been featured in the sports betting documentary ACTION, further cementing her reputation as one of the most recognizable and respected voices in sports betting media.

Whether breaking down line movement, evaluating betting markets, or discussing the biggest games of the week, Kelly is committed to helping sports bettors make more informed decisions through objective, transparent analysis.

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