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Last updated Nov 30, 12:30 PM EST
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CFB | (311) Miami Ohio at (312) Toledo | 12:00pm EST - Dec 2/2023 |
The PLAY: Miami Ohio +8.0 (-110)
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(311) Miami Ohio at (312) Toledo (Game Analysis Below)
Play Rating: FREE
Play Type: Full Game Side
Play: Miami Ohio +8.0 (-110)
Date/Time: Dec 2, 2023 12:00 PM EDT
Line Provider: Consensus Line
Regular Season Meeting: Toledo (-2 / 46.5) @ Miami (Ohio) Won 21-17
Miami O had #1 QB Blaine Gabbert in that game most of the way but he got injured and backup Aveon Smith replaced him 4Q
Toledo led 21-3 at Halftime but Miami scored 14 in the 3rd & cut the lead to 21-17
Miami had 1st & 10 late in 4th on their own 48 but QB Smith fumbled at Toledo 47
RedHawks QB Aveon Smith is the starter here and certainly wants redemption
Very little offense in that game – Toledo 318 ty – Mia 299 / Toledo 4-15-26.7% 3DC / 14 total punts
Motivation For Toledo – New Year’s Day Bowl Bid
It’s a longshot and they’ll already know their fate when this kickoff happens because #25 Liberty plays Friday Night in the C-USA Title Game vs New Mexico State (Tulane #23 ranking is highest Group of 6)
If Liberty loses there will be extra motivation to win and put pressure on Tulane later in the day
Toledo Covering Large Spreads?
It was a real problem until their L4G when they covered 3 of the 4 all as double digit favorites
However…Miami (Ohio) is 9-3 ats this season and Toledo is just 5-5 as -8.5 or better this year
Miami (Ohio) Rock Solid Defense & Snails Pace Offensively
Again, Redhawks stifled the high powered Toledo offense in their earlier meeting holding them to a season low 318 total yards
They’ve Only Allowed 3 TD’s outside the redzone all season so they make you work down the field
Offensively they rank 130th in seconds per snap at 30.5
Toledo with QB DeQuan Finn & RB Penny Boone lead the way with big play potential but they each played in the 1st game
In The End
Jason Candle’s name is being tossed around for other jobs…they’ll need his focus
Can Toledo make productive offensive adjustments…Can Miami (Ohio) ?
If Miami (Ohio) gets out on top it gets tougher for their opponent
Toledo beat a similar Ohio U. team in this game last season but only 17-7 against a raw backup QB because starter Kurtis Rourke was injured
Play: Miami Ohio +8.0 (-110)
Consultant Bio
Rob Veno has been entrenched in the sports handicapping community for 31 years. He was a major component in the success of Sportsmemo from its inception as a daily radio show in 1998. His 5% Bluechip releases have become synonymous with success, and he's carved a place for himself among the nation's elite handicappers. Rob's fundamental analysis of football, basketball, and baseball on the college and pro levels has him regarded as one of the best in the business at breaking down games. Rob began to make an imprint on the Las Vegas scene in the mid-1990s with his weekly football and basketball newsletter, which contained game selections and analysis. Over 30 sportsbooks on and off the strip, plus the famous Las Vegas Gambler's Book Club and newsstands nationwide, carried the publication, which expanded his recognition. He was subsequently invited into Las Vegas' most prestigious handicapping contests of that time, the Stardust Invitational in 1996 and 2004 and the Sunset Station Invitational in 2000. A veteran of sports handicapping radio, Rob began in 1992 by co-hosting a weekly Friday night show at 840 AM KVEG. He went on to do numerous live shows as a guest analyst from casino sportsbooks across the Las Vegas Valley, working with a litany of respected hosts and the most recognized handicappers in the business. Rob finally settled in as one of the mainstays on the daily Vegas Sportswire betting show, which ultimately became the famed Sportsmemo Radio Show and subsequent Podcast. His expertise has been heard on radio stations across the country over the years as he has done a multitude of guest analyst segments. Rob joined WagerTalk in the summer of 2020 and has quickly become a prominent member of their world-class handicapping roster. Rob is a Connecticut native, and after spending 11 years in Las Vegas from 1991-2002, he now resides outside of Philadelphia with his wife.