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Free NFL Picks This Week, Expert NFL Predictions September 14

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Ben Burns NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(279) Los Angeles Chargers at (280) Las Vegas Raiders
Date/Time:
Play:
1H Total Under 23.5 (-125)

Both these defenses impressed in Week 1. The Chargers limited the Chiefs to 21 points, just six in the first half. The Raiders held New England to 13 points for the entire game. The last two seasons, the first meeting between these division rivals was low-scoring. Last season's first game had a final score of 22-10, only 13 points at the break. The previous season, the first meeting had a final score of 24-17. (The second games had scores of 34-20 and 63-21!) In fact, for each of the past four seasons, the first game between the Raiders and Chargers was lower-scoring than the second. With both defenses off solid efforts, look for a relatively low-scoring start to Monday's nightcap. *good at 23 or better 

Ben Burns is the reigning football champion, the #1 overall football record on the site. 

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Rob Veno NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(271) Denver Broncos at (272) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 43.5 (-110)

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(271) Denver Broncos at (272) Indianapolis Colts   (Game Analysis Below)

Play Rating: FREE

Play Type: Full Game Total

Play: Total Over 43.5 (-110)

Date/Time: Sept 14, 2025 4:05 PM 

Line Provider: Consensus Line

 

Denver @ Indianapolis

Looking for some different results here than what Week #1 showed us with each of these teams

Denver looked less than capable on offense struggling to find any consistency vs a Tennessee defense that’s not an NFL upper echelon unit   

Broncos had 11 true possessions (non-knee down 1H/2H situations) and only 3 went for 40+ yards without penalty help (1 of 11 50+)

5 resulted in turnovers (2 of those on downs)

They threw 40 pass & gained 166 yards / they ran for 151 yards (80 of that on 3 plays) the other 27 rushes produced 71 yards on 2.6 per carry

Second straight AFC South defense and one that went untested last week vs. Miami SO…

Would expect some offensive improvement points & yards from the Broncos here 

Denver defense night and day from what Indianapolis saw from Miami last week BUT…

Couple of things in their favor are the running ability of QB Daniel Jones and the fact that they moved the ball extremely well against Denver LY

Colts had 149 ry and outgained Denver 310-193

Final Look   

Broncos figure to play more vertical this week after seeing Tennessee crowd their short passing game last week 

Indianapolis is missing 2 of their Top 5 DB’s here including #1 CB Charvarious Ward

Other side of the coin puts the Denver defense in a much tougher spot this week after facing the totally inept Titans offense

Colts OL play is top notch which along with Daniel Jones mobility can neutralize some of the Broncos pass rush 

RB Jonathan Taylor also likely has this game circled after last season’s debacle in which he actually ran for 109 yards 

Number might be a shade to low here for offense that present far larger threats to the defenses than last week’s opponent did

PLAY: Denver-Indianapolis OVER 43.5

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Jesse Schule NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(275) Atlanta Falcons at (276) Minnesota Vikings
Date/Time:
Play:
1H Total Under 22.5 (-110)

This is a free play on Under 1st Half. 

I bet against the Vikings last week in Chicago, taking the bears for the first half. I said I expected a slow start for JJ McCarthy, and that is exactly what we saw. Michael Penix Jr. looked good at home against the Bucs, but the Falcons one dimensional offense couldn't get anything going in the running game. I wouldn't be surprised if both these teams come out with a conservative approach, looking to establish the run here in the first half. The Falcons kicking situation is a mess, as they fired their kicker and elevated a guy from the practice squad. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule 

 

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Steve Merril NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(273) Philadelphia Eagles at (274) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 46.5 (-118)

Philadelphia hits the road for a Super Bowl rematch against the Chiefs in Kansas City.  The Eagles won 40-22 to win the title, and there’s no reason we won’t see another high scoring game on Sunday.  The Eagles scored 21 points in the first half of their season opener before a weather delay interrupted the flow of the game in the 3rd quarter.  Philadelphia’s defense was unimpressive while allowing 5.4 yards per rush and 5.5 yards per play overall to the Cowboys.  Kansas City returns home off a loss in Brazil to the Chargers.  The Chiefs scored 21 points on a solid 6.2 yards per play.  But like the Eagles defense, the Chiefs were poor on defense while giving up a whopping 8.9 yards per pass attempt on 6.7 yards per play overall.  Look for a high-scoring game between the Eagles and Chiefs on Sunday afternoon.

Play OVER the total.

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Drew Martin NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(25001021) Carolina Panthers at (25001022) Arizona Cardinals
Date/Time:
Play:
Arizona Cardinals -6.5 (-110)

Attacking the bookies with the Arizona Cardinals (-6.5) for NFL Week #2 on Sunday. 

Getting down on the Cardinals laying under a touchdown. The consensus number is (-6.5) and a couple of the sharper offshore books are moving to (-7). Arizona fresh off a road win and cover in the Big Easy. Full disclosure, this wager is as much going against the Carolina side as it is betting on the Arizona side. 

The Panthers were manhandled by the Jacksonville Jaguars in week 1. The Bryce Young era never really got going on good footing and might be coming to an end before ever seeing success. Arizona likely wins by double digits. Bet Cardinals. 

Yesterday's Free Pick Recap: 1-0 (+1 unit)
Miami Marlins (-120) WINNER 

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Jimmy Adams NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(273) Philadelphia Eagles at (274) Kansas City Chiefs
Date/Time:
Play:
Philadelphia Eagles -115

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Ross Benjamin NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(275) Atlanta Falcons at (276) Minnesota Vikings
Date/Time:
Play:
Atlanta Falcons +3.5 (-115)

For a more detailed analysis on this pick just watch the video below.

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Dwayne Bryant NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(271) Denver Broncos at (272) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 43.5 (-110)

KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:

The UNDER is 17-0 since 11/29/2020 in Denver games where both teams' last games stayed under the total by at least 4 points.  These games stayed UNDER by an average of 11.2 points!

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Carmine Bianco NFL Tab NFL Football

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Event:
(271) Denver Broncos at (272) Indianapolis Colts
Date/Time:
Play:
Denver Broncos -1.5 (-115)

NFL - Denver Broncos at Indianapolis Colts 

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Game Thoughts: A much lower number that expected but some of that can be attributed to an overreaction to the Broncos week 1 performance in which many expected a blowout over the Titans and while the eventually won by 8 it wasn't a polished start for their offense or defense against a rookie QB. They now travel to take on a Colts team that got an easy win in week 1 as the Dolphins continually stacked mistake upon mistake. In a battle of Bo Nix vs Daniel Jones we'll lean Nix and that defense to make life tougher on Jones which is something the Dolphins couldn't do. 

The play is Denver Broncos -1.5 -115

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Expert, successful NFL bettors are the name of the game at WagerTalk.  Our expert pickers provide full outlines of any time of free NFL picks for betting, along with extensive game analysis and previews. The game previews provided simply intend to be helpful and assist you in making an INFORMED pick. 

That is totally up to you if you choose to bet, but you can see from WagerTalk's expert handicappers records that it IS probably a good idea to imitate those picks from winning NFL prediction experts.   Regardless, WagerTalk offers you the chance to establish a more disciplined betting strategy, whether you simply pick one NFL bet type or you choose to mix it up.  NFL best bets are the way to go. More of a college football bettor?  Find free college football picks all year long!

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You will undoubtedly see free NFL ATS picks out there, but you likely have found that they tend to focus only on the BIG games each week.  WagerTalk looks to give you ATS NFL predictions on not only these games but also on games that are flying under the radar a bit.  Free NFL picks for ATS bets are wildly popular and WagerTalk has 'em. 

This holds true with WagerTalk's Over/Under NFL picks, our moneyline NFL picks, and even Player Prop picks. WagerTalk's team of expert NFL handicappers spends just as much, if not more, time on low-profile games as the massive games.  The aim of it all is simply to provide you with WINNING free NFL picks!

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NFL Best Bets - Totals. Free Over/Under Expert NFL Picks

Undoubtedly the favorite pick of bettors when they have no team preference, over/under picks set you up for a damned good time.  Over/Under picks are simple - you just place your bet on the total score either being over or under a certain number that sportsbooks provide you with.  You can choose alternate over/unders from the main line, which can give you longer odds, but also more lucrative wins.  But which are of course more risky than the featured over/under line!

For whatever reason, setting a stick in the sand on a point total and betting above or below that number provides incredibly exciting NFL betting. 

Obviously for more fun, you can always just bet on the over on NFL games, sit back and just cheer for points, points, points. 

However, WagerTalk gets a but more sophisticated than that!  WagerTalk picks multiple over/under bets each week and as the NFL handicappers are experts, you will see plenty of Under picks!  Certainly, if the Steelers are playing

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Moneyline NFL Best Bets

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Moneyline picks are the simplest of all NFL bets. You just bet on a team to win outright and sit back and watch the game. 

Odds on moneyline free NFL picks take into account the disparity of two teams - the underdog will have much longer odds, which means a bigger payout, BUT there IS a reason they are the underdog.  Which is simply that they are not likely to win!

If you placed a $100 NFL moneyline pick on your heavy underdog team at odds of +550, you would win $550, for a total payout of $650.  If you placed a moneyline bet on a moneyline pick that is a favorite, you may see odds of -125 or so, which would mean your $100 bet wins you $80, for a total payout of $180.  Not bad for just picking the favorite to win!

WagerTalk takes the emotion out of betting moneyline by thorough analysis of each game and a look at team trends and many other factors.  Give our free NFL moneyline picks a try every day.   

Player Prop NFL Picks

One of the most popular and growing types of NFL bets is player props. The working theory among bettors who wager on prop bets is that due to the sheer volume of NFL prop bets, there exists a possibility that the lines are soft on certain player props.  And if bet on correctly, you, the bettor, can come out ahead. 

WagerTalk experts pick and choose carefully among available NFL prop bets, grabbing you NFL picks from their research.  You can find some truly obscure, but winnable prop bet picks each week, from number of yards rushing a 2nd string running back might pull off to the over/under on the number of tackles that a linebacker might register that week. 

WagerTalks leading NFL tipsters have posted extremely impressive records with their free prop bets, check out Gianni the Greek or Teddy Covers for good starting points! 

NFL Picks This Week

WagerTalk's latest NFL picks are available on this page each and every day! You will find NFL expert picks against the spread and of course NFL predictions, picks, and team analysis throughout the year.  

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MoneylineYes
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ATS/SpreadYes
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