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Pavlos Laguretos
Soccer
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Racing Club vs Flamengo
Copa Libertadores, Wednesday, 8:30pm ET
Play: Racing Club +0.25
Odds at Time of Release: -127
Line Parameter: Line good to -140, otherwise take Racing Club PK
Second leg of the Copa Libertadores semi-finals and now Racing Club are hosting Flamengo after losing the first leg in Brazil by 1-0. Flamengo will proceed to the final with a win or a draw, Racing Club only need a win to have a fighting chance. A win by a single goal will send this to extra time, a win by 2 goals or more would see Racing Club to the final.
Racing Club won the Copa Sudamericana last season and have been really good as hosts against Brazilian teams, winning each of L/6 home matches against teams from Brazil, and not losing in 8 (W7 D1 L0). On the other hand, Flamengo's record in L/9 trips to Argentina is W3 D5 L1. They might have never lost to Racing Club over the years (W2 D3 L0), but both wins came in Brazil. Both previous H2H in Argentina were Draws (1-1).
This time around, Flamengo can progress with a win or even a Draw, and with Racing Club being one of the best home sides in Argentina, it's weird to see Flamengo as the favourites here, they are +145 on the road, the Draw is at +225 and Racing Club are +205 underdogs at home. I disagree with these odds. Especially since Flamengo are missing key players, mainly star striker Pedro, Everton who is a good player off the bench, while defender Leo Ortiz was questionable, he is in the roster but he might not start.
Then there's fatigue, with Racing Club's match on the weekend being postponed due to the elections in Argentina, while at the same time Flamengo were losing to Fortaleza in a match where they used a lot of starters as they are chasing the title. In situations like this, we tend to go with the home side.
Take 3% on Racing Club +0.25 (-127), line good to -140, otherwise take Racing Club PK
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What Sort of Daily Soccer Picks Does WagerTalk Offer Free?
WagerTalk's team of expert soccer handicappers goes well beyond moneyline soccer picks that are offered free. New to betting on soccer? We suggest you check out our how to bet on soccer guide first!
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What are the Most Common Bets Placed on Soccer? What Soccer Predictions Are Most Common?
While you can dive deep into player props and betting on win to nil and halftime correct score and so on, those are inherently more risky bets. Yes, the odds are longer and you'll get a better payout - but there's a reason the odds are longer!
For more straightforward soccer betting, most usual free soccer picks will be:
Full Time Result/Money Line -
Essentially just who wins. However, there's a wrinkle in soccer betting as teams can end a game in a draw (tied). This is why there are extra betting options for soccer, like double chance and draw as an option.
Half-Time/Full-Time Winner -
Pick two winners! One ahead at halftime, one at the end of the game. Or pick the same team twice. Your call. Draws figure in as well.
Total Goals
Over/under if you'd like. The line for over/under in soccer is almost always 2.5 goals - although in a matchup with high scoring teams or two horribly mismatched teams, you'll see a 3.5 line or higher. Here, you simply decide whether the two teams will combine for more or fewer goals than the total goal line indicates. A lot of fun to bet the over if you just want to see goals and have no real rooting interest in the game.
What Sort of Player Props Predictions Might I Find At WagerTalk?
Player props are often the most entertaining type of soccer bet to place. You're laser-focused on ONE player, not one team. So, even your team has a dreadful day, if you placed a prop bet on your favorite player and he does.. you still win even if your team loses 6-1.
The most common player prop picks you'll see from our free soccer picks are going to be first goalscorer, player to score at all, and similar. You might even stumble across a yellow card prop pick from time to time - too bad Gattuso doesn't play any more - easy money!
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