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Joe Raineri
NBA Basketball
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4% NBA TOP PLAY WEDNESDAY | BIG BARKING DOG | +54.35 UNITS THIS SEASON: $25.00
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Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
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Good to -130
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Rob Veno
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(563) Dallas Mavericks at (564) Phoenix Suns: Total (Quick Notes Analysis Below)
Play Rating: FREE
Play Type: Full Game Total
Play: Total Over 231.5 (-110)
Date/Time: Apr 8, 10:10 pm EST
Line Provider: Consensus Line
Dallas @ Phoenix
Double "bounce back" angle in effect here for each offense. Phoenix will receive benefit of major step down in defensive class after facing the #7 ranked Houston unit last night. Also significantly helpful is the lack of rim protection possessed by Dallas as opposed to the strong Rockets interior. Those elements plus remaining on their home floor with immediate atonement aspect point toward an outing in the 125 range for Phoenix. Other side in second of back-back as well & off of a miserable 35% shooting night which included 6/33/18.2% on 3-pointers. Figure Dallas team which has scored 112.6 per game this season to find their way back into that territory. Mavericks own 4th fastest pace in NBA which is also substantially different from the tortoise like Houston tempo which Phoenix faced last night. Faster style game with easier buckets for Phoenix and improved shooting & scoring by Dallas combine to signal this one lands 232+.
PLAY: Dallas-Phoenix OVER 232
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Jesse Schule
NBA Basketball
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This is a free play on LAC.
The Thunder crushed the Lakers last night, all but clinching the top seed and home court throughout the playoffs. Technically they need one more win if the Spurs were to win out, but given that they host a Suns team locked into the 7th seed in their final home game, they really don't have to stress. They may want to be careful after seeing Wemby get hurt the other night. I don't think Oklahoma City should be playing their starters full minutes tonight. The Clippers definitely need the win here, as Portland is threatening to steal the 8th seed which would force the Clippers to have to play on the road and win two games in the play-in. Give me the points here.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take Phoenix (#564)
The video posted below is a 'Daily Double' with OKC - LAC and Phoenix - Dallas breakdowns. My clients and I cashed a winning bet against the Mavericks last night, and I'm inclined to fade them again tonight as they travel to Phoenix with both teams on the second of back-2-backs. There's at least modest urgency for Phoenix: 1-3 SU, 0-4 ATS in their last four games, struggling to get Dillon Brooks re-acclimated to their rotation. That said, the Suns have plenty of depth for tonight's 'no rest' ballgame and the Mavs lost by 24 to the Bucks and by 18 to the Pelicans on their last two sets of back-2-backs; bombed by lottery squads. Dallas might fight for a while here, but I'm not expecting a 48 minute effort from the road underdog. Take the Suns.
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Jeff Michaels
NBA Basketball
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(563) Dallas Mavericks at (564) Phoenix Suns: Spread
Phoenix Suns -10.5 (-115)
Phoenix Suns Performance Analysis:
Current Standing: The Suns are currently locked in as a play-in team and are focused on maintaining their position at #7. Securing this seed would allow them to host two home games in the play-in tournament, adding extra motivation for this matchup.
Recent Game Recap: Phoenix lost to Houston last night, in Kevin Durant’s return. In that game, only one player topped 33 minutes, with a total of 14 players seeing action, indicating a desire to balance minutes while adjusting to Durant's return.
ATS Performance After Losses: The Suns have performed well following home losses, going 10-5 (67%) ATS in such situations. When favored or listed as a small underdog, they have an impressive 7-3 (70%) ATS record.
Dallas Mavericks Performance Analysis:
Injury Challenges: The Mavericks are currently one of the most banged-up teams in the league, leading to struggles on both ends of the court.
Recent Struggles with No Rest: Dallas has gone 0-5 both straight up and ATS with no rest, losing by an average of 22.8 points per game during this stretch. Additionally, they have failed to cover by an average of 16.7 points per game, indicating deep issues with competitiveness under these conditions.
System Trends:
Double-Digit Home Favorites: A relevant system shows that double-digit home favorites when both teams have no rest hold a strong record of 33-17 (66%) since 2019.
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Dwayne Bryant
NBA Basketball
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Key Situational Angle:
Play UNDER on home teams that led each of their last 3 games by at least 5 points at the half if they're facing an opponent coming off a loss by no more than 6 points.
Applies to San Antonio.
25-7 (78%) since the 2023 season, staying UNDER by an average of 7.4 points!
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5% NBA KNOCKOUT | 18-4 82% ANGLE: $35.00
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Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. ONLY $49!
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Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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Oklahoma City enters off a 123-87 win over a depleted Lakers’ squad and is on the cusp of clinching its third consecutive No. 1 seed in the Western Conference and the top overall record in the NBA. The Thunder are 18-1 straight-up in their last 19 games and looking for back-to-back 65+ win seasons for the first time in franchise history. It’s often said that defense wins championships, and the Thunder are on pace to finish ranked No. 1 in Defensive Rating, Points Off Turnovers & Net Rating for second consecutive season. Several favorable team trends favor Oklahoma City in this matchup:
• 41-10 ATS (80.4%) coming off a double-digit ATS win in games with totals of 227 points or less;
• 24-1 ATS (96%) following a double-digit win versus opponents entering off two or more consecutive ATS wins since; and
• 123-79 ATS (61%) versus .596 or worse opponents, provided they have fewer than 20 losses.
Finally, Oklahoma City has dominated this series, going 8-2 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in the last ten meetings, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in the previous seven clashes. Lay the points with the Oklahoma City Thunder as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 8.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
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RARE 4% NHL GAME OF WEEK | #1 NHL (WP/ROI): 65% WINNERS | #1 TOP PLAYS: 38-22 | #1 BASKETBALL (UNITS): 85-58: $25.00
On Wednesday, Jeff Keim is STEPPING OUT with a RARE 4% NHL Game of the Week backed by powerful 859-469 and 349-183 winning situations!DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 105-71 | +82 Units • #1 Top Plays: 38-22 (63.3%) | +51.3 Units• #1 Basketball (Units): 85-58 | +70 Units• #1 NHL (WP/ROI): 65% Winners | +23% ROIThes ...
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The Gold Sheet
NBA Basketball
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The Trail Blazers still have a shot to play themselves into the 7 vs 8 matchup in the Western Conference Play-In as they head to San Antonio to take on the Spurs. San Antonio will be playing shorthanded tonight missing both Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle as we’ll look for the Portland big man to go over 24.5 points + rebounds. We did see Clingan production dip a bit at the end of March but he still averaged 25.2 points + rebounds for the month and is coming off a 30 points + rebounds effort in a 137-132 overtime loss at Denver last time out on Monday. Sure, the Spurs allow the seventh fewest points in the paint per game, but without Wembanyama’s rim protection Clingan should be able to generate additional easy buckets at the rim. In two head-to-head meetings against San Antonio this season Clingan has averaged 28 points + rebounds with Wembanyama inactive for both those matchups as well. In an important game for Western Conference seeding, let’s look for Portland to take advantage of San Antonio’s absences with Clingan going over 24.5 points + rebounds tonight.
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Time for Fun NBA Stats: Can You Apply The Past to the Present in NBA Bets?
Ten Highest Player Scoring Seasons in NBA History - Who's Your Scoring Player Prop in this Year's NBA?
Ok, well most of this list won't come as any surprise to anybody, as it's mostly Wilt Chamberlain. But there are a few surprises in the top ten there - who's going to score lights out this year and be your daily player prop scoring betting pick?
- 1961-62 Wilt Chamberlain - 50.36 ppg
- 1962-63 Wilt Chamberlain - 44.83 ppg
- 1960-61 Wilt Chamberlain - 38.39 ppg
- 1959-60 Wilt Chamberlain - 37.60 ppg
- 1986-87 Michael Jordan - 37.09 ppg
- 1963-64 Wilt Chamberlain - 36.85 ppg
- 2018-19 James Harden - 36.13 ppg
- 1966-67 Rick Barry - 35.58 ppg
- 2005-2006 Kobe Bryant - 35.40 ppg
- 1987-88 Michael Jordan - 34.98 ppg
Amazing NBA Team Performances: Team Prop NBA Picks - What Can The Past Tell You?
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Team NBA props are incredibly varied, from points in a half, game, or quarter, to total team rebounds, to team shooting percentage or team defense. Check out some amazing one-game stats from could-have-been NBA team props that would have been easy money.
Golden State Warriors - FIFTY-FIVE points scored in a quarter - April 9, 2023
Toronto Raptors - TWENTY-THREE Blocks in a game - March 23, 2001
Seattle SuperSonics - TWENTY-SEVEN Steals in a game - January 15, 1997
Boston Celtics - ONE HUNDRED TWELVE Rebounds in a game - December 24, 1960