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Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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Golden State ended the regular season with three consecutive losses to the Lakers (119-103), Kings (124-118), and Clippers (115-110). The final scores in those defeats are significant because the NBA playoff teams coming off back-to-back games in which they allowed 110 or more points are 104-71-7 to the Under (59.4%), provided they aren’t underdogs of a certain amount. This situation has been 78-51-2 to the Under (60.5%) since 2018. Since 2018, NBA playoff games between teams that have four or fewer matchup losses on the season are 282-230-11 to the Under (55.1%). Since 2000, NBA playoff home favorites of two or more points are 41-32-1 to the Under (56.2%) in Game 1 of a series with totals over 220 points, including 41-29-1 UNDER (58.6%) since 2015, going under by an average of 3.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA favorites in Game 1 of the opening round of the playoffs are 89-67-3 to the Under (57.1%), including 24-15 UNDER (61.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.4 points per game. The under fits a 1299-980-74 (57%) NBA trend since 2001, backing unders and invests on unders in games with totals lower than both teams' last three games. Take the Under as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 15.
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Ben Burns
NBA Basketball
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Lots to like about New York. The Knicks are arguably stronger than the team which went to the Eastern Conference Finals last season. They're balanced and experienced. Their 53 regular season wins is the most since 2013. They have an excellent 30-10 home record. They've covered five straight. One might of thought trading Trae Young would hurt the Hawks. It didn't. They went 28-15 after getting rid of Young. However, if you look more closely, many of those 28 wins came against bad and/or short-handed teams. The Hawks still deserve credit for winning those games and getting here. However, I expect the Knicks to be too much for them on Saturday. *good at -6 or better
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*5% MAX* NBA OPENING RD BEST OF BEST! (14-5 SINCE '23, 1-0 IN '26) +352 UNITS! (SATURDAY): $35.00
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Teddy Covers
NBA Basketball
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Take Philadelphia - Orlando OVER (#561-562)
I don't trust either side in Wednesday Night's Magic - 76ers Play-In Game, but the Over sure makes sense to this bettor. Philly is without their stud low post defender Joel Embiid. Orlando played at the 4th fastest pace in the NBA over their last ten games, while going 14-6 to the Over in their last 20. Philly, too, was a 'Top 10 in pace' team after the All Star Break. The betting markets tend to love Unders in the NBA Playoffs, but every sharp dollar for this game has showed for the OVER -- the wiseguys are expecting tempo and offensive efficiency here. I concur with that expectation. Expect points and pace; a game primed to fly OVER the total with room to spare. Take the OVER.
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+88.9 Units NBA Playoffs! Clips vs Warriors $$: $25.00
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Joe Raineri
NBA Basketball
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NBA TOP PLAY WEDNESDAY | GRAB THE VALUE THE MARKET IT GIVING YOU! : $25.00
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Bryan Power
NBA Basketball
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Looking at tonight's Play-In matchup in the Western Conference, I certainly believe the Clippers are the more likely team to stay alive. But rather than lay the points, I think betting them to go Over their team total is the best course of action. The market seems to agree with me on this!
Golden State was not good defensively during the regular season. They allowed an average of 115.2 points per game. Now, surprisingly, the Clippers did not score more than 115 in any of the four head to head regular season meetings against the Dubs (despite winning three of them). But they did score 114 and 115 respectively in the last two. That would (obviously) be enough for us here.
Since December 20th, the Clippers are 36-19 SU while averaging 115.2 PPG. If you like them to cover the spread, it makes sense to bet them Over the team total night. Me personally, I don't want to lay points to Steph Curry in a playoff setting. But I don't have a lot of confidence in the Warriors' defense either.
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6-0 SOCCER RUN >> 4% UEFA GAME OF THE WEEK (THURS): $25.00
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Ross Benjamin
NBA Basketball
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The 76ers will once again be without Joel Embiid (26.9 PPG/7.7 RPG/3.9 APG) who's sidelined after going through an appendectomy last week. I say once again because Embiid has only played 38 games all season. However, it must be noted, Philadelphia has gone 24-14 SU when Embiid plays and 21-23 SU without him. The 76ers have averaged 7.2 points scored per game less without Embiid in the lineup as opposed to with him. Furthermore, Philadelphia has gone a dismal 2-11 SU and 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games when facing teams like Orlando (45-37) who had a winning record.
The Magic are coming off a loss at Boston in their regular season finale which halted a 5-game win streak. Orlando has gone 8-0 SU this season on the road when coming off a road loss, and they're facing an opponent like Philadelphia (45-37/.549) who has a win percentage of worse than .600.
Bet the Orlando Magic as a point-spread underdog of +1.0 or higher.
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NBA Playoffs 149-105 (59%) & +128.54 Units Since 2021!
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Wednesday NBA 2-Game Slam Dunk SweepRoss "The Boss" Benjamin has a pair of point-spread winners on today's NBA Play-In games between Orlando/Philadelphia (7:30 ET) and Golden State/LA Clippers (10:00 ET). Since 3/27/2023, Ross has made a substantial net profit of +80.47 units on his NBA premium sides. Since 2021, "The Boss" ...
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Oskeim Sports
NBA Basketball
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Orlando finished the regular season with a 113-108 loss to the Celtics as 13-point favorites, which is significant because NBA playoff road underdogs coming off an upset loss as favorites in which they blew a double-digit lead are 22-11-3 to the Under (66.7%), going under by an average margin of 5.8 points per game. Orlando’s season-ending defeat is also relevant because the Magic are 28-10 to the Under (73.7%) coming off an upset loss as favorites, going under by an average of 6.1 points per game. Since 2000, NBA playoff home favorites of two or more points are 41-32-1 to the Under (56.2%) in Game 1 of a series with totals over 220 points, including 41-29-1 UNDER (58.6%) since 2015, going under by an average of 3.3 points per game. Similarly, NBA favorites in Game 1 of the opening round of the playoffs are 89-67-3 to the Under (57.1%), including 24-15 UNDER (61.5%) since 2020, covering the total by an average of 7.4 points per game. Since 2018, NBA playoff games between teams that have four or fewer matchup losses on the season are 282-230-11 to the Under (55.1%). Finally, Philadelphia ended the regular season with a 126-106 home win over the Bucks, which triggers a very good 71-58-4 (55%) postseason system of mine that dates to 2017 and invests on the under in games involving home favorites entering off a home win. Take the Under as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, April 15.
DOMINATING THE LEADERBOARD
• #1 Handicapper (Units/WP/ROI): 113-79 | +71 Units
• #1 Handicapper (Top Plays): 41-23 (64.1%)
• #1 Basketball Handicapper (Units): 90-59 (60.4%)
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The Gold Sheet
NBA Basketball
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Although the Magic as a team haven’t experienced much success in the NBA post season, Paolo Banchero locks in at this time of the year as he averaged 37.8 in Orlando’s 4-1 series loss to Boston in the first round last season. We’re going to take him over 31.5 points + rebounds against a Philadelphia team that will be playing without Joel Embiid. Banchero averaged 31.9 points + rebounds in road games this season compared to 29.2 points + rebounds in home games with tonight’s game being played in Philly. In two head-to-head games against the 76ers Banchero averaged 32 points + rebounds per game and although his production slightly dropped in April, he’ll still be the focal point of this Magic offense tonight. Banchero averaged nearly 35 minutes per game this season and as long as he stays out of foul trouble and the game stays close he could hover near 40 minutes while averaging 35.3 points + rebounds per 40 minutes played this season. The 76ers ranked bottom 10 in rebounding percentage this regular season and with both teams running at a top 10 pace in the last 10 games of the regular season, we should see additional possessions for Banchero to fill up the stat sheet tonight. Look for Banchero to take advantage of scoring and rebounding opportunities inside going over 31.5 points + rebounds with the winner of this game taking on the Celtics in the first round of the playoffs.
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Jesse Schule
NBA Basketball
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This is a free play on Philly.
No Joel Embiid, here is why I like Philly anyway. They get a home game against a Magic team has been a major disappointment. I expect the Magic to fire their head coach this off-season. The fact that this team ranked 1st in opponent scoring last year, and allowed a whopping 10 points more per game this year is unacceptable. Nick Nurse? Yeah you can see he can coach. He has a championship ring and a coach of the year award to prove it. He also has multiple championships in the D-League, as well as a coach of the year. The Sixers have home court, experience and superior coaching. I'll take that all day in the post-season.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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5% NBA BEST BET - 10-1 (91%) LAST 11 NBA PICKS!!!: $35.00
ARE YOU READY??? Jesse is dropping a 5% BOMB on GSW@LAC! When it comes to betting the post season in The Association you won't find a more consistent handicapper than Jesse Schule. Over the last 5 seasons, he's 202-158 showing a STAGGERING +64 UNITS OF PROFIT with all NBA Playoff picks! NBA PLAYOFFS 2025: 44-42, -9.8 UNITSNBA PLAYOFFS 202 ...
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Time for Fun NBA Stats: Can You Apply The Past to the Present in NBA Bets?
Ten Highest Player Scoring Seasons in NBA History - Who's Your Scoring Player Prop in this Year's NBA?
Ok, well most of this list won't come as any surprise to anybody, as it's mostly Wilt Chamberlain. But there are a few surprises in the top ten there - who's going to score lights out this year and be your daily player prop scoring betting pick?
- 1961-62 Wilt Chamberlain - 50.36 ppg
- 1962-63 Wilt Chamberlain - 44.83 ppg
- 1960-61 Wilt Chamberlain - 38.39 ppg
- 1959-60 Wilt Chamberlain - 37.60 ppg
- 1986-87 Michael Jordan - 37.09 ppg
- 1963-64 Wilt Chamberlain - 36.85 ppg
- 2018-19 James Harden - 36.13 ppg
- 1966-67 Rick Barry - 35.58 ppg
- 2005-2006 Kobe Bryant - 35.40 ppg
- 1987-88 Michael Jordan - 34.98 ppg
Amazing NBA Team Performances: Team Prop NBA Picks - What Can The Past Tell You?
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Golden State Warriors - FIFTY-FIVE points scored in a quarter - April 9, 2023
Toronto Raptors - TWENTY-THREE Blocks in a game - March 23, 2001
Seattle SuperSonics - TWENTY-SEVEN Steals in a game - January 15, 1997
Boston Celtics - ONE HUNDRED TWELVE Rebounds in a game - December 24, 1960
