Andrew McInnis

THE PLAY: Total Over 5.5 (-112)

The Boston Bruins head into tonight's game with the fifth-worst expected goals-against numbers in January, highlighting a significant defensive weakness despite their improved offensive production. They’ve been allowing high-danger chances at an elevated rate, leaving opportunities for opponents to exploit.

The New Jersey Devils, while struggling offensively in recent games, have shown consistency in their defensive game, keeping them competitive. However, this matchup against the Bruins' weakened defensive structure provides a prime opportunity for the Devils to rediscover their scoring touch, particularly with the advantage of the last change at home.

On the other side, the Bruins' offense, led by David Pastrnak, has been firing on all cylinders, producing consistently and proving they can keep pace in high-scoring games. With both teams positioned to capitalize offensively, this game has all the ingredients for a high-scoring affair.

The Over 5.5 offers strong value, backed by the underlying data and current form of these teams. Rather than focus on a team total, the full-game over presents the best angle as both sides are poised for offensive success tonight.

THE PLAY: Kevin Fiala Shots on Goal Over 2.5 (-125)

Kevin Fiala has been one of the most reliable shooters in the NHL recently, recording over 2.5 shots on goal in six consecutive games. Tonight, he’s in an excellent position to extend this streak against a Florida Panthers team likely feeling the effects of playing last night against the Anaheim Ducks.

The Los Angeles Kings are coming off a lopsided loss to the Pittsburgh Penguins, and teams in bounce-back situations often lean on their top players to set the tone. Fiala, as one of the Kings’ primary offensive threats, is poised to take advantage of this opportunity. His consistency in generating shots and Florida’s potential fatigue make this a strong play in a high-motivation spot.

Fiala's recent form, combined with the circumstances of this matchup, creates a compelling case for him to surpass 2.5 shots on goal again tonight.