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Free Picks

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

MLB

(981) Baltimore Orioles at (982) Boston Red Sox

1:35pm EDT - May 23/2025

THE PLAY: Baltimore Orioles +106 C Povich (LHP), B Bello (RHP) Must Start

I'm fairly confident the Orioles 27th man for the double header will be Trevor Rogers I'm just not sure how they intend to use him.

What I'm hoping for is for Rogers to be used for a couple of innings behind Cade Povich because I think it's a good mix and Povich to Rogers to the top bullpen arms is something I can get behind at plus money here.

Povich matches up well with the lefties in this Red Sox lineup and he comes off one of his better outings of the season where he went 5.2 innings and gave up just 2 runs on three hits with nine strikeouts against the Nationals. I really like the high leverage duo of Felix Bautista and Yennier Cano so it's more about how he ball gets to them and I think Povich/Rogers will get it done here. Baltimore also recently activated Andrew Kitterage so they do have some options in Game 1. I think it's as good of a setup as the Orioles can ask for here.

Baltimore profiles better against RHP and there's a ton of “blue” on the Baseball Savant page for Brayan Bello. Love the spot/setup for the Orioles and at plus money it's a shot we will take.

WENT INTO DETAIL ON TOTAL BASES. YOU CAN CATCH THE SHOW REPLAY BELOW!

Play on Orioles GAME 1 +106 for 4% (or 4 units)

WagerTalk TV

Last 20

Date

Sport

Pick

Result

May 23

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(Analysis)

Push

May 22

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3% – Oklahoma City Comets -1.0 (+100)
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May 22

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4% – Washington Nationals +1.5 (-123) A Smith-shawver (RHP), T Williams (RHP) Must Start
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May 22

MLB

4% – San Diego Padres -121 S Kolek (RHP), B Francis (RHP) Must Start
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May 21

BSB

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May 21

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3% – El Paso Chihuahuas -1.0 (-105)
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Push

May 21

MLB

4% – Houston Astros -134 H Brown (RHP), T Bradley (RHP) Must Start
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May 21

BSB

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No Play

May 20

KBO

4% – KT Wiz Suwon +1.5 (-120)
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Win

May 20

MLB

4% – Tampa Bay Rays -110 Z Littell (RHP) Must Start
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May 20

BSB

3% – Buffalo Bisons +1.5 (-115)
(Analysis)

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May 20

MLB

4% – Chicago White Sox +1.5 (-110) Action
(Analysis)

Win

May 20

MLB

4% – Texas Rangers +1.5 (-113) P Corbin (LHP), W Warren (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

May 20

BSB

3% – Omaha Storm Chasers -125
(Analysis)

Loss

May 19

MLB

5% – Baltimore Orioles +102 D Kremer (RHP), R Zastryzny (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

May 19

MLB

5% – Baltimore Orioles +101 D Kremer (RHP), Q Priester (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

No Play

May 18

BSB

3% – Tacoma Rainiers -110
(Analysis)

Win

May 18

BSB

3% – St. Paul Saints +1.0 (-125)
(Analysis)

Win

May 18

MLB

4% – Toronto Blue Jays -120 J Jobe (RHP), J Berrios (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

May 17

BSB

3% – Las Vegas Aviators -1.0 (-130)
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Consultant Bio

Adam has been a Professional Sports Handicapper for the past decade since founding Top Flight Sports with one of his Siena College roommates back in 2013. Adam got his start in the handicapping industry in 2008 writing analysis for another well-known website and set out to sell picks that always contain a full breakdown of WHY a bet is being made. In the past decade, Adam has placed in Circa Millions as well as made it to the Top 50 in Circa Survivor multiple times. Adam values transparency and is considered by many to be one of the top football (NCAA and NFL), baseball (MLB and KBO), and College Basketball handicappers in the world.

Adam is ultra-selective with the picks he puts out and lives by the "less is more" mantra. Adam believes the biggest advantage you have as the bettor is the ability to be selective and uses regression analysis to target numbers that the books have shaded to gain an edge. Adam is willing to "buck the trend" and focuses on situational betting where he feels like he's uncovered an edge that hasn't been priced into a number. Adam is out there attending more games in person than any other handicapper and has amassed a network of contacts that has become second to none in the industry.
You can only find Adam on WagerTalk, this is his only gig and the guarantee he can provide is he's out there grinding 365 days a year. Follow Adam on Twitter @topflightsi and if you shoot him a DM he will almost always respond!

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