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Free Picks

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

MLB

(951) Los Angeles Dodgers at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates

6:40pm EDT - Sep 2/2025

THE PLAY: Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-110) C Kershaw (LHP), C Mlodzinski (RHP) Must Start

Ended up going into detail here on Total Bases and couldn't help myself so I ended up locking this in and giving it out while I was on the show.

At a high level I think the Pirates are probably in the best position to play “spoiler” while the Dodgers typically play down to teams like the Pirates, especially when they have to travel East.

Cam Devanney finally made his MLB debut on Sunday (someone I was waiting to be called up) and Carmen Mlodzinski is another one of these “unknown” Pirates arms that isn't getting enough credit.

Pittsburgh's bullpen has been tremendous the past month or so which is to be expected when you add a guy like Bubba Chandler to the pen to pitch long relief.

It's going to be too little too late for this season but the Pirates have won 8 of 11 and are a much more talented team (especially now) than their record indicates. I also think they will be excited about facing Clayton Kershaw who has been great in 2025 but has underlying metrics that suggest he should be worse.

Just an all around great spot to grab a run with the Pirates on their home field at this price.

Play on Pirates +1.5 (-110) for 4% (or 4 units)

WagerTalk TV

Last 20

Date

Sport

Pick

Result

Sep 01

MLB

4% – New York Mets -111 S Manaea (LHP), C Morton (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Win

Sep 01

MLB

4% – San Francisco Giants -133 K Teng (RHP), C Dollander (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 31

CFB

4% – Miami Florida +3.0 (-110)
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 31

BSB

3% – St. Paul Saints -105
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 31

BSB

3% – El Paso Chihuahuas -120
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 30

BSB

3% – Memphis Redbirds +105
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 30

CFB

3% – Syracuse +14.0 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 30

MLB

4% – Toronto Blue Jays -134 Q Priester (RHP), K Gausman (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 30

CFB

5% – Michigan -34.5 (-110)
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 29

BSB

3% – St. Paul Saints +1.0 (-115)
(Analysis)

Push

Aug 29

MLB

4% – Kansas City Royals -116 C Paddack (RHP), S Lugo (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 28

BSB

3% – Sugar Land Space Cowboys -110
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 28

BSB

3% – Durham Bulls -130
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 27

MLB

4% – Baltimore Orioles +1.5 (-133) B Bello (RHP), D Enns (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 27

BSB

3% – El Paso Chihuahuas -105
(Analysis)

Win

Aug 26

BSB

3% – Reno Aces +1.5 (-130)
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 26

MLB

4% – Baltimore Orioles -101 L Giolito (RHP), K Bradish (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 26

KBO

4% – Doosan Bears +1.5 (-115)
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 25

MLB

4% – Kansas City Royals -126 N Cameron (LHP), S Smith (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Aug 24

BSB

3% – Charlotte Knights -110
(Analysis)

Loss

Consultant Bio

Adam has been a Professional Sports Handicapper for the past decade since founding Top Flight Sports with one of his Siena College roommates back in 2013. Adam got his start in the handicapping industry in 2008 writing analysis for another well-known website and set out to sell picks that always contain a full breakdown of WHY a bet is being made. In the past decade, Adam has placed in Circa Millions as well as made it to the Top 50 in Circa Survivor multiple times. Adam values transparency and is considered by many to be one of the top football (NCAA and NFL), baseball (MLB, KBO, AAA), and College Basketball handicappers in the world.

Adam is ultra-selective with the picks he puts out and lives by the "less is more" mantra. Adam believes the biggest advantage you have as the bettor is the ability to be selective and uses regression analysis to target numbers that the books have shaded to gain an edge. Adam is willing to "buck the trend" and focuses on situational betting where he feels like he's uncovered an edge that hasn't been priced into a number. Adam is out there attending more games in person than any other handicapper and has amassed a network of contacts that has become second to none in the industry.

You can only find Adam on WagerTalk, this is his only gig and the guarantee he can provide is he's out there grinding 365 days a year. Follow Adam on Twitter @AdamTriggerWT and if you shoot him a DM he will almost always respond!

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