Hot Streaks:
2022/23 CBB: 122-90-5 (57.5%) +87.35% net gain
2023/24 CBB: 16-13-1 (55.2%) +3.9% net gain
NFL SINCE START OF 2021 SEASON: 107-78-3 (57.8%) +70.37% net gain
2022/23 All Football: 83-62-1 (57.2%) +54.65% net gain
2021/22 All Football: 83-60-6 (58%) +57.4% net gain
Last updated Nov 25, 11:12 AM EST
Member Notes
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| CBB | (755) Texas State at (756) Texas | 9:00pm EST - Nov 30/2023 |
The PLAY: Texas -19.0 (-110)
Texas State was one of the teams I previewed coming into the season and a team I'm now willing to fade.
Drue Drinnion, the guy I expected to step into the usage role of Harrell, has not played yet this season.
Tyrel Morgan has been out for weeks and Coleton Benson (Army transfer) also hasn't played this season.
Mason Harrell was one of the highest usage players in the Sun Belt last season so it was guys like Morgan, Benson or Drinnion that were going to need to step up but neither are even playing right now. It's a big reason Texas State is averaging just 59.3 points per game, one of the worst marks in Division 1, and why I don't think they hang within 20 of Texas here.
I'm going to discuss this one in detail on the College Basketball Daily show. You can watch live and on demand at the link below!
Thursday CBB: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6f3O5f20tHo
Play on Texas -19 (-115) for 4% (or 4 units)
WagerTalk TV
Consultant Bio
Adam has been a Professional Sports Handicapper for the past decade since founding Top Flight Sports with one of his Siena College roommates back in 2013. Adam got his start in the handicapping industry in 2008 writing analysis for another well-known website and set out to sell picks that always contain a full breakdown of WHY a bet is being made. In the past decade, Adam has placed in Circa Millions as well as made it to the Top 50 in Circa Survivor multiple times. Adam values transparency and is considered by many to be one of the top football (NCAA and NFL), baseball (MLB and KBO), and College Basketball handicappers in the world.
Adam is ultra-selective with the picks he puts out and lives by the "less is more" mantra. Adam believes the biggest advantage you have as the bettor is the ability to be selective and uses regression analysis to target numbers that the books have shaded to gain an edge. Adam is willing to "buck the trend" and focuses on situational betting where he feels like he's uncovered an edge that hasn't been priced into a number. Adam is out there attending more games in person than any other handicapper and has amassed a network of contacts that has become second to none in the industry.
You can only find Adam on WagerTalk, this is his only gig and the guarantee he can provide is he's out there grinding 365 days a year. Follow Adam on Twitter @topflightsi and if you shoot him a DM he will almost always respond!