Today's Free MLB Picks - Expert MLB Predictions For May 12

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) Detroit Tigers at (974) New York Mets: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
New York Mets -150 Action

The Mets have been huge underachievers this season, and once again they will turn to Freddy Peralta to save them. Peralta didn’t allow a single run on just 4 hits over 5 innings last time out at Coors Field, one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. We also have a major fade Candidate in Jack Flaherty, who enters with an ERA of 5.56. Flaherty has a terrible chase percentage, major command issues, and is an extreme fly ball pitcher. The Tigers have also been struggling overall, losers of 5 of their past 6. Take the Mets.

100% (7-0) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!

81.3% (13-3) 5% TOP PLAY RUN!

80% (8-2) MLB RUN OVERALL!  

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-126) Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LHP) Must Start

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=============

Projected final: LAD 5.5, SFG 3.6

1st 5 and full-game boxscore

Period

SFG

LAD

Total

1st 5 innings

1.5

3.0

4.5

Full game

3.6

5.5

9.1

Projected starting pitcher box

Pitcher

Team

IP

ER

H

K

BB

Adrian Houser

SFG

4 2/3

3.3

5.8

2.6

2.1

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

LAD

6 1/3

1.6

4.5

6.8

2.0

Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven

Market

Projection

Model Probability

Fair Odds

Consensus Odds

Odds Difference

LAD moneyline

LAD by 1.9

66.0%

-194

-177

+17 cents

SFG moneyline

SFG +1.9

34.0%

+194

+162

-32 cents

Full game over 9.5

9.1 total

45.0%

+122

-110

-232 cents

Full game under 9.5

9.1 total

55.0%

-122

-110

+12 cents

Full game over 9.0

9.1 total

50.8% push-adjusted

-103

-110

-7 cents

Full game under 9.0

9.1 total

49.2% push-adjusted

+103

-110

-213 cents

1st 5 over 4.5

4.5 total

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

1st 5 under 4.5

4.5 total

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

SFG 1st 5 team total over 1.5

1.5

50.0%

+100

-110

-210 cents

LAD 1st 5 team total over 2.5

3.0

57.5%

-135

-115

+20 cents

SFG full team total under 4.0

3.6

54.0% push-adjusted

-117

-110

+7 cents

LAD full team total over 4.5

5.5

62.0%

-163

-120

+43 cents


Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

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Will Rogers MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) San Francisco Giants at (960) Los Angeles Dodgers: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-128) Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LHP) Must Start

Los Angeles Dodgers [ATS] | Good until -1.5, -145.

Pitching Matchup: Adrian Houser/Yoshinobu Yamamoto [Home Listed - Yamamoto Must Start].

While still seven games above .500, the Dodgers are clearly struggling at the moment. Los Angeles just hasn't been able to pitch the way it would have liked and the team is not hitting quite as well either. The ace is back on the mound today though and he's out for revenge. Yamamoto has gone 18 innings over his past three starts. But, he's allowed three runs in all three of those. I don't think that he's going to allow that many if any on Tuesday. Over his L4 starts against the Giants, he has a 1.37 ERA. Mookie Betts returned to the lineup too yesterday and although the Dodgers picked up their third straight loss, the turnaround begins now.

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Bruce Marshall MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(961) Los Angeles Angels at (962) Cleveland Guardians: Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (158) Action

It’s about time Slade Cecconi demonstrates to Stephen Vogt that he should remain in the Cleveland rotation. Into May, the Guardians had lost all six of Cecconi’s starts, and prior to last Thursday’s outing vs. the Royals his ERA was a sky-high 6.56, but he was marginally effective vs. KC and picked up the win, allowing 2 ER in 5 1/3 IP.

Though we’re inclined to cut Cecconi or any Cleveland rotation piece a little slack against the Halos, whose 7- 2 loss last night at Progressive was their 24th setback in the last 28 (!) vs. the Guardians. Play Guardians on Run Line

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(955) Chicago Cubs at (956) Atlanta Braves: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Chicago Cubs 102 Colin Rea (RHP) Must Start

Battle of 1st place teams in their respected divisions and the top two records in baseball at this point in the season, setting the stage for us to jump on the Cubs at a plus price in the marquee series this week. Kalshi and Novig offering Chicago as high as (+108) and we are attacking. The Cubs are on a (10-2) run over their last 12 games overall. Colin Rea is off back to back solid starts, racking up 11 strikeouts and letting up just 3 runs combined.

Atlanta has had a great start to the season, however their lineup is a bit banged up right now. This is also a really difficult schedule spot being their first game home off a grueling 12 day west coast road trip. Their starter Clay Holmes has given up 9 runs and 6 walks over his last two starts and is sporting just a 29 to 17 strikeout to walk ratio on the year. The Cubs bats likely get to him here. Bet Chicago.

Today’s MLB show:

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Free MLB Picks - 2026 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts

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Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk: 

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Naturally.  You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB. 

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You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk.  So what is the runline and why should you bet on it?  Well, simple!

The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?

WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds.  

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Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring.  Everybody loves that. 

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Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!

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Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets? 

What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?

Did you make a bet on any of these?  If you did, you're an expert already.

  • Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
  • Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
  • Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
  • Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
  • Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002

 

Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001.  They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.

After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954,  the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.

 

Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The Chicago Cubs take it.  116 games in 1906. Nuts.  They went 116-36.  The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022.  The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins.  The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well. 

Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?

Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903?  Indeed it has!  And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties. 

Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles.  Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.

Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?

Yogi Berra.  Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi.  10 World Series titles!

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