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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(945) Arizona Diamondbacks at (946) Kansas City Royals: Moneyline
Date/Time:
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Arizona Diamondbacks -108

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Diamondbacks -105:

1. The probable starter edge is on Arizona.
The listed matchup for this spring game is Merrill Kelly vs. Michael Wacha. Wacha has a solid spring line so far, but Merrill Kelly is the more established, higher-trust starter in a vacuum, and Arizona at a near-pick’em price is easier to stomach when the listed arm is Kelly..

2. -105 is basically asking Arizona to be only a hair better.
At -105, the D-backs need to win about 51.2% of the time to break even. Kansas City -115 implies about 53.5%. That gap is tiny, and in spring training tiny gaps get swallowed by bullpen chaos, prospect innings, and lineups made of half-regulars and half-baseball goblins.

3. Kansas City is still dragging a weak spring record into this game.
The Royals probable page lists this matchup with Arizona 8-12 and Kansas City 6-12 entering the game. Spring records are noisy, but if one side is going to be favored, Kansas City’s résumé is not exactly begging for it..

4. Arizona’s current spring form is ugly, but that may already be baked into the price.
Arizona just got blasted 13-2 by Colorado, and that game included 12 free passes from the D-backs staff. That kind of stink bomb can shade the next number a bit, which is exactly when a near-pick’em becomes more interesting if the listed starter is still a quality veteran like Kelly.

5. Kansas City still has WBC-related lineup leakage.
Royals coverage notes the club has been missing key players such as Bobby Witt Jr. and Vinnie Pasquantino because of the World Baseball Classic. In spring, absences like that matter more than usual because depth gets stress-tested fast.

6. The Royals’ favorite price looks a little logo-driven.
Michael Wacha has a strong early spring stat line, which explains some KC respect, but not enough for me to want the Royals as a favorite over a Kelly-led Arizona side at basically even money. The cleaner betting logic is that Arizona needs only a very modest edge to justify -105, and that bar is easier to clear than asking KC to justify favorite status.

My lean: Arizona -105 over Kansas City -115..
Not a giant edge, but of the two prices, Arizona is the saner side. Near-pick’em spring games are exactly where I’d rather side with the team offering the slightly cheaper ticket and the sturdier listed starter..

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Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets? 

What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?

Did you make a bet on any of these?  If you did, you're an expert already.

  • Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
  • Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
  • Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
  • Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
  • Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002

 

Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001.  They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.

After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954,  the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.

 

Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The Chicago Cubs take it.  116 games in 1906. Nuts.  They went 116-36.  The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022.  The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins.  The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well. 

Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?

Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903?  Indeed it has!  And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties. 

Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles.  Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.

Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?

Yogi Berra.  Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi.  10 World Series titles!

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