Today's Free MLB Picks - Expert MLB Predictions For April 16
Free Picks
Free MLB Picks Today - MLB Predictions From MLB Betting Experts
Find free MLB Betting Picks, MLB Analysis, MLB Picks, Expert Baseball Predictions, and Best MLB Bets For Today - Right Now. WagerTalk's deep dugout of professional MLB handicappers offers MLB picks every day, for free and expert premium picks to boot.
You'll find a wide array of best bets, we have very popular home run prop picks, NRFI predictions, and much more, with full explanations and stats to back up MLB predictions from betting experts. You'll find even more free MLB picks from WagerTalk below our daily MLB prop picks. Like what you see? Sign up for a free WagerTalk account. Make sure you grab other free sports picks as well!
Guaranteed MLB Betting Tips For The 2026 Season!
Time for you to become a better baseball bettor. After you grab some free MLB predictions, we can help you become a more informed MLB bettor with our extensive educational guides.
Check out our guide to advanced baseball betting strategies or our expert run through on run line betting. And, of course, if you purchase any picks, you always have the option for a guaranteed MLB pick - you can't lose. Interested in looking beyond MLB betting? Check out free KBO Predictions.
WagerTalk Experts Monitor Everything and Go Beyond Simply Watching MLB Odds Changing, MLB Consensus Picks, Insider MLB Picks, & MLB Public Betting
WagerTalk brings you free MLB picks and featured MLB predictions each and every day. All MLB baseball picks are fully researched and present a data and statistical analysis, after a thorough review of team and player stats and matchups that are favorable or unfavorable.
You can use MLB game analyses and with the information given, it's totally up to you whether or not to follow the free picks suggestion - each expert MLB bettor's baseball betting record is right in front of you. Premium MLB picks happen in greater quantity daily than free MLB picks, so take a look!
Today's featured best MLB bets today - check out below for way more free MLB picks and much more information:
MLB Best Bets Today From Wagertalk - Free MLB Picks in 2026 Every Day
Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
View profile 
Buy 3, Get 3 FREE — 6 Days for Just $69!
For a limited time, get 6 full days of Tokyo Brandon All-Access for just $69 — the same price as a 3-day pass. That’s double the access at no extra cost.
You’ll receive every pick, in every sport, from Tokyo Brandon throughout your access period.
6 days of Tokyo Brandon picks for the price of 3
Full access to all sports released
Includes any Top Rated 5% Best Bets
Whether you’re stacking plays for the week ahead or locking in extended access, this special delivers maximum value for a short time only..
follow for free OPS rankings, hitter matchups and free plays DAILY!
🔴👉 X: @Tokyo Brandon
$$$$$$$$$$$$$
BAL at CLE — April 17, 2026
Projected score: CLE 4.7, BAL 3.9
Projected first 5 innings: CLE 2.6, BAL 2.0
The game setup leans slightly Cleveland. Progressive Field is outdoors, and the Cleveland forecast around first pitch is in the low-to-mid 50s with cloud cover and later thunder chances, which is a mild drag on carry rather than a strong weather boost. Publicly posted market numbers had Cleveland roughly -135 to -139 and Baltimore roughly +116 to +120, with the full-game total at 8.0.
The lineup context is mixed but still favors Cleveland’s run environment a bit more. Baltimore’s current core is Gunnar Henderson, Pete Alonso, Taylor Ward, Jeremiah Jackson and Samuel Basallo, with Tyler O’Neill, Adley Rutschman, Jackson Holliday, Jordan Westburg and Ryan Mountcastle unavailable. Cleveland’s current everyday shape is Steven Kwan, Chase DeLauter, José Ramírez, Kyle Manzardo, George Valera, Angel Martínez, Juan Brito, Bo Naylor and Brayan Rocchio, with Gabriel Arias out.
Why the model lands there
Chris Bassitt’s 2026 surface form is poor: 9.00 ERA and 2.36 WHIP through 11.0 innings. His April split is 9.45 ERA, and his lone day start was especially rough. Against Cleveland since 2024, the supplied sample is only one start, but it was a 5 1/3 IP, 7 H, 3 ER outing. One positive for Baltimore is that Bassitt historically has pitched Cleveland better at Progressive Field than his current 2026 form suggests.
Tanner Bibee’s 2026 overall line is shaky too at 6.38 ERA and 1.64 WHIP, but the split structure is more encouraging here: 1.93 ERA at home, and his only home start was his cleanest early outing. The direct history versus Baltimore since 2024 is volatile but usable: 18 2/3 IP, 16 H, 10 ER, 16 K, 5 BB in three starts, including one bad clunker and two steadier outings. That makes the Baltimore side live early, but not enough to erase Cleveland’s contextual edge.
Bullpen form narrows the gap. Baltimore’s bullpen has a 3.20 ERA and 1.11 WHIP overall and 3.72 ERA over its last 3-game slice shown on the matchup board; Cleveland’s bullpen sits at 3.42 ERA and 1.18 WHIP overall. On broader recent form, Cleveland’s full staff has a 4.33 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over the last 10 games, while Baltimore’s full staff has been steadier, and Baltimore’s relief group has recent healthy leverage arms in place while Cleveland has had heavier contact exposure.
The recent offense layer is close, but Baltimore gets docked for roster attrition and Cleveland gets docked for the “returning home from road” flat spot. Baltimore is 6-4 over its last 10 with a .243 team average, while Cleveland is also 6-4 over its last 10 and owns a .713 team OPS over that span. Season-wide, Baltimore has the better overall batting line at .245/.334/.393 while Cleveland is at .229/.314/.383, but Cleveland’s healthy top-of-order continuity is better for this one-game setup.
Projected boxscore values
Split | BAL | CLE |
|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 2.0 | 2.6 |
Full game | 3.9 | 4.7 |
Projected starting pitcher boxscore
Pitcher | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Bassitt | 5 0/3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
Tanner Bibee | 5 1/3 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Side | Model win % | Fair odds | Consensus odds | Consensus minus fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
CLE ML | 58.5% | -141 | -135 to -139 | slight edge |
BAL ML | 41.5% | +141 | +116 to +120 | worse than fair |
First-5 total model:
Projected F5 total: 4.6
Market | Projected | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
F5 Over 4.0/4.5 range | 4.6 | slight over lean |
F5 Under 4.0/4.5 range | 4.6 | no clear edge |
First-5 team totals:
Team | Projected F5 TT | Reference line | Fair over | Fair under |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BAL | 2.0 | 1.5 | -145 | +145 |
CLE | 2.6 | 2.5 | -102 | +102 |
Tokyo’s Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Baltimore Orioles: .727
Cleveland Guardians: .697
30-point ranking board
Category | BAL | CLE |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA+WHIP curve rank | Chris Bassitt 25/30 | Tanner Bibee 18/30 |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA+WHIP rank | 10/30 | 14/30 |
Lineup last 10 days runs + contact quality rank | 11/30 | 13/30 |
Released/revised 54 minute(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
5% MLB MAX Bet | +58% Profit +20% ROI Last 365 days | 10-Year MLB Scout | 3-Time #1 Capper: $35.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet and it’s THE strongest value spot on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +58% profit and +20% ROI with 5% bets, #1 at WagerTalk among all 33 cappers.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years. Tokyo Brandon was also #1 ...
50% OFF! KBO Feature Bet From 10-Year MLB Scout and 3-Time #1 Capper
Was $15.00 Now $7.50
Tokyo Brandon is off a 3-0 KBO SWEEP yesterday and is back for more. This is the best KBO spot on the board late Thursday night for 50% off! As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss. If you’re looking for a high-valu ...
Baseball Double Play: Tokyo Brandon + Bryan Leonard — ONLY $59
Was $98.00 Now $59.00
The hosts of Total Bases, Tokyo Brandon and Bryan Leonard, are joining forces on the diamond! Lock in a Two-for-One MLB 3-Day Pass and get every baseball pick from BOTH pros for three full days of action — includes any 5% Best Bets — ONLY $59 vs buying individually for $98. If any college, minor league or Asian baseball is released, that's incl ...
Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
View profile
Heading to Little Havana in Miami for the Brewers and Marlins and betting this one over. Two pitchers that have major question marks are the angle. Junk the starter for the Fish got rocked his last time out against Detroit. Brewers still undecided as I type this around midnight on the east coast. It looks like they will call up Robert Glasser from AAA Nashville to take the hill. He was knocked around in his last minor league outing. The Marlins bats have been surprisingly good this year, particularly at home. This one likely has runs in bunches. For Friday's free bet- Bet the over.
Free Pick Recap: 3-1 (+2.93 units)
Thursday- Rockies (+146) WINNER
Thursday- Nats/ Brewers under 9 (-110) Loss
Wednesday- Cubs (+122) WINNER
Tuesday- Backs (+135) WINNER
11-1 (92%) Friday 4%+ pick HEATER (+48% PROFIT)
More detail on the free bet as part of the MLB Betting Show:
Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
4% FRIDAY BIG BET MLB (100%) $$: $25.00
Straight off the clean sweep of yesterday's card, racking up over (+7% PROFIT) NOW in with the 4% Friday BIG BET. INSANE! 11-1 (92%) for (+48% PROFIT) all 4%+ Friday picks. NEXT ONE HERE= DO NOT MISS! This is a premium client 4% BIG BET package with detailed written analysis inside. Cash in! OR Take advantage and SAVE with Buy 3, Get 3 FREE � ...
Buy 3, Get 3 FREE — 6 Days for Just $69!
Was $138.00 Now $69.00
For a limited time, get 6 full days of All-Access for just $69 — the same price as a 3-day pass. That’s double the access at no extra cost.You’ll receive every pick, in every sport, from your chosen handicapper throughout your access period.6 days of expert picks for the price of 3Full access to all sports releasedIncludes any Top Rated 5% Be ...
Weekend Warrior Pass – All Sports. All Plays. ONLY $49!
Was $78.00 Now $49.00
For only $49, you’ll get every play your handicapper releases for Saturday and Sunday across ALL SPORTS — including any Top-Rated 5% Best Bets.Lock in early, and you’ll receive instant access to any selections released during the week for Saturday or Sunday. If your handicapper posts a play on Tuesday for a Saturday matchup, you get it immedi ...
Looking for free MLB picks from professional Major League Baseball Handicappers? Wagertalk's expert handicappers provide top daily MLB expert picks at absolutely no charge.
Free MLB Picks - 2026 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts
Here you can find free MLB expert betting picks from WagerTalk's elite team of handicappers. Detailed game previews, analysis, and predictions backed by statistics. Get going with 100% FREE hot MLB picks of the day - get an edge.
Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk:
WagerTalk offers you free MLB predictions and betting picks every day of 2026 for MLB games - from the Pirates to the Giants to.. well, every team in Major League Baseball. And don't forget our daily HR Props!
What Free MLB Picks Does WagerTalk Offer In 2026?
WagerTalk offers every type of MLB expert picks you could possibly want. At WagerTalk you'll find daily free MLB picks that include:
Moneyline MLB Picks Free:
Naturally. You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB.
Free MLB RunLine Picks:
You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk. So what is the runline and why should you bet on it? Well, simple!
The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?
WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds.
Totals Betting Best Picks for MLB:
Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring. Everybody loves that.
Free Hitter Props Markets MLB Predictions - Including Daily Home Run Prop Picks:
WagerTalk offers MLB player props for hitters throughout the year. A great betting market, you're simply betting on how a specific batter will perform during a game - the perfect market to bet if you're more of a player of an MLB hitter than an MLB team. Find even more free MLB picks and player props at our sister site.
Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!
Pitching Props Free MLB Picks of the Day:
You'll find MLB pitching prop picks from WagerTalk all during the long long MLB season. Like hitting props, bettors can get some terrific ML picks free from WagerTalk - pitcher prop picks that help them select how their ace pitcher will perform on the mound. Each starting pitcher usually receives a list of pitching props, such as: 'Total Pitching Strikeouts', 'Total Hits Allowed', 'Total Outs Recorded', 'Total Earned Runs Allowed', and more.
Same Game Parlay MLB Best Bets:
Now and then you can find MLB same game parlay picks from expert MLB handicappers at WagerTalk.
Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?
What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?
Did you make a bet on any of these? If you did, you're an expert already.
- Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
- Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
- Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
- Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
- Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002
Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001. They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.
After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954, the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.
Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The Chicago Cubs take it. 116 games in 1906. Nuts. They went 116-36. The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022. The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins. The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well.
Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?
Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903? Indeed it has! And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties.
Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles. Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.
Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?
Yogi Berra. Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi. 10 World Series titles!
