Today's Free MLB Picks - Expert MLB Predictions For July 27

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Adam Trigger MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(963) Baltimore Orioles at (964) Detroit Tigers: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Baltimore Orioles 100 Action

I'm still very high on this Orioles team and I'm willing to sell the Tigers after their big June run and beating up on some bad teams out of the break.

Give me Bradish over Montero and the O's as a dog here

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5% MLB MAX BET | 2-0 (100%) WEEKEND SWEEP +44 UNITS!: $35.00

***ADAM SWEEPS 2-0 ON SAT (PASS SUN) AND IS UP 44.74 UNITS ON THE BASES***Adam got it going back in the right direction over the weekend and comes into the new week 138-105 +44.74 UNITS in baseball this season!Adam is having a monster 2026 coming into today 253-195-2 (56.5%) +90.29 UNITS since January 1st and looks for more with a 5% MLB MAX BET on ...

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Teddy Covers MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) Toronto Blue Jays at (974) Washington Nationals: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Washington Nationals -120 Action

2% Take Washington (#974) (action)

 Action wager here, not based on the starting pitching matchup!  We’re getting a cheap price to back the Nationals in a bullpen game for the home team against a Blue Jays squad that is ‘fade only’ right now.  Toronto made the World Series last October; this year they’re in last place, ten games below .500.  The Blue Jays are 3-8 since the All Star Break; 9-19 in their last 28.  Their lineup is ice cold (2.4 runs per game since the break); their bullpen worn down from overuse.  That’s bad news with Max Scherzer coming off the IL today, not primed for a deep outing even if he pitches well.  The Nationals have won five of seven with a lineup that has been sizzling; a legit Wild Card contender playing winning baseball post All Star Break.  Two teams headed in opposite directions; let’s take advantage.  Take the Nationals.

Line Parameter: 2% at -125 or lower, 1.5% at -126 or higher

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+70 Units MLB Totals! 82% Angle Moneymaker!: $25.00

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Joe Raineri MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Miami Marlins: F5 Total
Date/Time:
Play:
F5 Total Under 4.0 (-105) Zack Wheeler (RHP), Tyler Phillips (RHP) Must Start

Zack Wheeler provides the foundation for this first-five Under. He owns a 2.16 ERA, 2.61 xERA and 2.92 FIP, with 43 strikeouts against only three walks across his last four starts. Wheeler has already faced Miami twice this season, limiting the Marlins to one run over 12 innings.

Miami’s offense enters with a .641 OPS against right-handed pitching over the last two weeks. Wheeler has the swing-and-miss ability, command and workload to control that lineup throughout the first five innings.

Tyler Phillips is not being treated as a dominant pitcher. His value here comes from a 47% ground-ball rate and his ability to keep the baseball in the park at home, where he has surrendered only two home runs all season. That profile is useful against Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper in the power-suppressing environment at LoanDepot Park. Philadelphia has also posted a .636 OPS against right-handers recently and arrives after playing Sunday night before traveling to Miami.

Wheeler should keep Miami in check, leaving Phillips enough margin to avoid one major inning. Three total runs cash this bet while exactly four returns the push.

Play: F5 Under 4 (-105)

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Ben Burns MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(967) Houston Astros at (968) Los Angeles Angels: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 8.5 (-114) Tatsuya Imai (RHP), Walbert Urena (RHP) Must Start

Both starters were sharp in their last start. Imai got a win against Miami. He got some extra rest before that start and he seemed refreshed. He held the Marlins to one earned run through six innings and recorded eight strikeouts. Imai commented: "I wasn’t satisfied with the first half of the season, and then I want to just keep trying better. For the last half of the season, I want to get more W's and keep performing better." Urena also allowed just one run through six innings. He's got a dominant 1.15 ERA in three July starts, opposing hitters batting just .151. Four of Urena's last six starts have stayed under the total. Imai has also seen three of his last four finish below the number. As a team, the Angels are 8-2 to the under their past 10. Go with the under. *Good at 8 or better

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**86-53 RECORD!** MONDAY MLB TOP GUN! : $25.00

Ben Burns followed up a 2-1 Saturday by nailing his only play on Sunday. Off the 3-1 weekend, (2-0 MLB) he's now 86-63 (+58.47) over the past two months. Burns is starting off the new week with another BIG WINNER at the ballpark. Be there!

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Bryan Power MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(971) Cleveland Guardians at (972) Cincinnati Reds: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 8.5 (-110) Slade Cecconi (RHP), Chase Burns (RHP) Must Start

Don't forget about our Summer Special! When you buy three days of service, you'll get three additional days FREE!. That's SIX days of plays for only $69! I am still ***#1 WITH MLB TOTALS THIS SEASON*** and have a 4% BEST BET currently available for TONIGHT!

I see no reason to expect the Guardians and Reds to score many runs in tonight's series opener. These two teams are tied for the lowest batting average (.230) in all of baseball. On the road, the Guardians' team batting average slips to .214 (last). The Reds have the lowest team batting average at home (.217). Overall, the Reds are also dead last in wRC+ (89). Both teams are in the bottom five when it comes to runs scored.

The Guardians, who have scored just four runs in the last four games after being shut out both Saturday & Sunday, must now face Chase Burns. Burns has been one of the best starters in all of baseball this season. He's 12-1 (lone loss came on April 10th!) and is holding opponents to a .204 average with 124 strikeouts in 107 2/3 IP. In 16 of his 19 starts, Burns has allowed 2 ER or fewer.

It would be a surprise to see the Reds get to 5 or 6 runs here, which is probably what would be required of them for the Over to cash. This month, they've scored more than five runs in just four games, two of which came at Coors Field. Spencer Steer is probably out of the lineup tonight. Slade Cecconi, starting here for the Guardians, has allowed three runs or less in 11 of his previous 13 outings.

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4% MLB BEST BET ~ #1 WITH TOTALS THIS SEASON!: $25.00

***#1 WITH MLB TOTALS THIS SEASON*** ~ Despite coming off a "week to forget," Bryan Power remains #1 THIS SEASON at WT when it comes to betting MLB totals. He's UP 34.7 UNITS with them! So it's back to the "bread and butter" as BP looks to turn things around Monday with this MLB total that's rated as a 4% BEST BET ...

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Oskeim Sports MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(957) Chicago Cubs at (958) St. Louis Cardinals: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Chicago Cubs -116 Action

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The Cubs hold the edge in this matchup with David Peterson taking the mound against Matthew Liberatore. Peterson has developed into a reliable left-hander who consistently keeps hitters off balance with a deep pitch mix, quality command, and the ability to generate weak contact. The 30-year-old southpaw is due for positive regression based on his underlying metrics (4.14 FIP & 4.36 xFIP), which are significantly better than his 5.97 ERA. It should be noted that Peterson is 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 3 career appearances against the Cardinals. Liberatore has shown flashes of potential, but he has also been susceptible to stretches where opposing offenses string together hits and elevate his pitch count. The 26-year-old allowed 5 runs on 9 hits over 5.1 innings against the Angels last Tuesday and toes the rubber with a 5.18 ERA, 5.29 xERA, and 4.83 FIP. However, the southpaw is 2-2 with a 3.38 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 12 appearances against the Cubs. St. Louis enters off a 5-3 loss to the Reds in ten innings yesterday, which is significant because MLB home underdogs coming off an extra-innings loss are 248-381 (39.4%; -12.3% ROI), including 103-181 (36.3%; -17.4% ROI) since 2017, losing by an average margin of 1.5 runs per game. Let’s also note that MLB home underdogs coming off a loss in games that start after 4 p.m. Eastern Time are 2380-3346 (41.6%; -5.7% ROI), including 901-1343 (40.2%; -6.8% ROI) since 2018. With the stronger starting pitcher and a more complete roster, the Cubs are well-positioned to earn the victory. Take the Chicago Cubs as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, July 27.

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Dwayne Bryant MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(951) Philadelphia Phillies at (952) Miami Marlins: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 7.5 (-105) Zack Wheeler (RHP), Tyler Phillips (RHP) Must Start

The UNDER is 7-0 this season when the Phillies play on the road following a game in which at least 15 total runs were scored, staying UNDER by an average of 3.5 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 5.1)!

The UNDER is 26-3 (89.7%) since last season when the Phillies play on the road after a win by at least 4 runs, staying UNDER by an average of 2.7 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 6.0)!

The UNDER is 12-0 this season when the Phillies play on the road with the total between 6.5 and 7.5, staying UNDER by an average of 2 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 5.2)!

The UNDER is 18-2-1 (90%) since last season when the Phillies play on the road after scoring at least 9 runs, staying UNDER by an average of 1.9 runs per game (Average total runs scored = 6.7)!

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(971) Cleveland Guardians at (972) Cincinnati Reds: F5 Spread
Date/Time:
Play:
F5 Cincinnati Reds -0.5 (-126) Action

:baseball:Tokyo Brandon is:chart_with_upwards_trend:+94.43 units in 2026 
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-- -- -- -- --

CLE at CIN — July 27, 2026, 7:10 PM ET

Projected score: Cincinnati 4.3, Cleveland 3.1
Projected first five: Cincinnati 2.5, Cleveland 1.4
Cleveland enters on a five-game losing streak and was held to four hits and one run across the final two Tampa Bay games. The offense owns a .703 OPS over its latest 11 games and ranks near the bottom of MLB in season runs and OPS.

Cincinnati scored 39 runs in its last ten games, but the trip-ending extra-inning game and immediate return from a nine-game, three-city road trip warrant a 0.28-run flat-spot deduction. Cincinnati’s last-ten relief ERA is 5.28, creating most of Cleveland’s projected late scoring.

Starting-Pitcher Analysis

Slade Cecconi carries a 4.60 ERA, 1.447 WHIP, 82 strikeouts and 34 walks in 103⅔ innings. His road ERA is approximately 4.84, while his July results have been worse than his full-season baseline. The latest start produced 4⅔ innings, seven hits, three earned runs, three walks and five strikeouts.

Cecconi faced Cincinnati twice in 2025:

Starts

IP

H

ER

BB

K

ERA

WHIP

2

10

9

4

1

16

3.60

1.00

Elly De La Cruz is 2-for-11 in 12 career plate appearances against Cecconi. Spencer Steer delivered the decisive RBI single in the June 2025 meeting. Eligible matchup record June 2025 matchup

Chase Burns is 12-1 with a 2.42 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 124 strikeouts in 107⅔ innings. His last seven starts produced a 3.13 ERA and 1.39 WHIP over 37⅓ innings. The home ERA is approximately 2.32. Workload management and rising recent walk volume reduce the projected outing from six-plus innings to 5⅔. Current Burns splits

No qualifying regular-season plate appearances exist between Burns and the projected Cleveland hitters. Spring-training appearances were excluded. Burns’ pitch-quality, handedness splits and current Cleveland production replace the unavailable head-to-head sample.

Projected Box Score

Period

CLE

CIN

Total

First five innings

1.4

2.5

3.9

Innings 6–9

1.7

1.8

3.5

Full game

3.1

4.3

7.4

Projected Starting Pitchers

Pitcher

Team

IP

ER

H

K

BB

Slade Cecconi

CLE

5

2.5

5.2

4.2

1.7

Chase Burns

CIN

5 2/3

1.4

4.0

6.2

2.0

Final Position

Market

Position

Fair price

Minimum acceptable price

Full-game under 8.5

Best value

-208

-145 or better

Cincinnati moneyline

Positive value

-201

-185 or better

Cleveland moneyline

No value

+201

+205 or better

First-five under 4.5

Conditional value

-184

-140 or better

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Phillies vs Marlins | +101 units in 2026 | #2 Among All 33 Cappers in 2026: $15.00

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Don Buster MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) Toronto Blue Jays at (974) Washington Nationals: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Washington Nationals -132 Max Scherzer (RHP), Andrew Alvarez (LHP) Must Start

GOOD TO 150

LISTED STARTERS

SCHERZER/ ALVAREZ

We actually Thought that Scherzer was done for his career with all the injuries but it is his 42 ND birthday today so I guess the Blue Jays owe him something. Regardless, we have a feeling ii is not going to be a Happy Birthday. Max will face the team in MLB that scores the most runs in the league. That is not good for a guy that is sporting a 10.23 ERA and a WHIP of 1.73. The Nationals send Andrew Alvarez to the hill and even though Andrew has struggled it is a very good possibility that the Nats just out score a Jays club in disarray.

Don Buster

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BUSTERS 4% MLB BEST BET OF THE NIGHT.: $25.00

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Ralph Michaels MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(961) Seattle Mariners at (962) Texas Rangers: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
First Inning Over 0.5 (100) George Kirby (RHP), Kumar Rocker (RHP) Must Start

(961) Seattle Mariners at (962) Texas Rangers: Total

First Inning Over 0.5 (100) George Kirby (RHP), Kumar Rocker (RHP) Must Start

Kirby has 6 YRFI in 19 starts with a 3.57 ERA

Rocker is 10-7 YRFI with a 4.13 ERA

Seattle is 3-0 YRFI

Texas is 3-0 & 7-1 YRFI and 3-0 & 10-2 YRFI at home

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Oskeim Sports MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(965) New York Yankees at (966) Chicago White Sox: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
New York Yankees -145 Max Fried (LHP), Noah Schultz (LHP) Must Start

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The Yankees hold a significant edge in this matchup with Max Fried taking the mound against Noah Schultz. Fried has been one of baseball's most dependable starters, combining excellent command, a heavy ground-ball profile, and the ability to work deep into games while limiting hard contact. The 32-year-old allowed one hit and one walk over five scoreless innings against the Pirates last Wednesday and toes the rubber with a 2.97 ERA, 2.50 xERA, 2.59 FIP, and a 3.72 xFIP. Fried is 80-28 (74.1%; +24.5% ROI) and 66-42 RL (61.1%; +26.1% ROI) in games with totals of eight or more runs, provided he is not favored by more than -214, winning by an average margin of 2.3 runs per game. Meanwhile, the Yankees are 32-8 (80%; +24.5% ROI) and 27-12 RL (69.2%; +42.3% ROI) as favorites of -145 or greater following a game as underdogs in which they finished with ten or more strikeouts, winning by an average margin of 2.9 runs per game. Schultz possesses tremendous upside, but facing one of the league's most dangerous lineups is a difficult challenge for a young pitcher still gaining major-league experience. The Yankees also feature a clear advantage in the bullpen, giving them reliable late-inning options to protect any lead Fried provides.

New York’s Bullpen Metrics

• 3.09 ERA (2nd in MLB)

• 3.44 xERA (2nd)

• 3.69 FIP (5th)

• 3.7 WAR (8th)

Chicago’s bullpen enters tonight’s game ranked 18th in xERA (4.10), 16th in FIP (4.18), and 20th in xFIP (4.38). Chicago's offense has struggled to consistently produce against quality left-handed pitching, and Fried's ability to change speeds should keep hitters off balance throughout the game. The White Sox are 19th in AVG (.240) and have the seventh-highest strikeout percentage (23.6% K%) in MLB. Moreover, Chicago ranks 23rd in AVG (.235), 20th in OBP (.311), and 7th in K% (24.7%) versus left-handed pitchers. With the superior starting pitcher, a much deeper lineup, and an overall roster advantage, the Yankees are well-positioned to come away with the victory. Take the New York Yankees as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Monday, July 27.

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Bruce Marshall MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(969) Boston Red Sox at (970) Oakland Athletics: Spread
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Boston Red Sox -1.5 (100) Action

As the Bosox have lost only twice in nearly four weeks, we’re not sticking out necks out too far by recommending them, but can’t help thinking that the value remains decent at Sacramento tonight. Especially as starter Peyton Tolle has posted a 2.83 road ERA this season.

We have to lay the extra run for that more-appealing price, but the host A’s are providing a rather large target, losing 23 of 29 to drop far off of AL wild-card contention. The recent move of Monday starter Jack Perkins (6.75 ERA) into the rotation is looking more like a faulty roll of the dice by an increasingly-desperate Mark Kotsay. Play Red Sox on Run Line

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) San Francisco Giants: Moneyline
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Milwaukee Brewers -134 Brandon Sproat (RHP) Must Start

9-0 (100%) | 17-1 (94%) All 4%+ picks (+75% PROFIT).

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(959) Milwaukee Brewers at (960) San Francisco Giants: Moneyline
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Milwaukee Brewers -134 Action

The Brewers just continue to win. After putting an 11 spot on the Rockies in a blowout yesterday, the Brew Crew has now won 7 of 9 coming out of the All Star break. They’ve plated 19 runs over their past 2 games and have the 2nd best record in baseball as they head to San Francisco for a 3 game set. Brandon Sproat gets things started and he’s been very effective as of late, holding the opponent to 2 earned or fewer in 5 straight trips to the bump. Milwaukee also has the 4th best bullpen in baseball to back him up once he exits. The Giants have dropped 6 of 8 and these two teams are simply in different weight classes. Take the Brewers.

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Jeff Michaels MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(973) Toronto Blue Jays at (974) Washington Nationals: Total
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Total Over 10.0 (-105) Max Scherzer (RHP), Andrew Alvarez (LHP) Must Start

(973) Toronto Blue Jays at (974) Washington Nationals: Total

Total Over 10.0 (-105) Max Scherzer (RHP), Andrew Alvarez (LHP) Must Start

Washington Nationals Performance Analysis:

  • Elite Home "Over" Trends: The Nationals have been one of the most consistent high-scoring teams in the league at home, posting a 32-20 (61.5%) OU record. This trend reaches elite levels in specific situational spots; at home, in night games, when facing a right-handed starter, they are a staggering 17-4-1 (81.0%) OU.

  • Offensive Rhythm: Washington’s bats are currently in a high-production cycle, averaging 6.5 runs per game and 14.5 hits and walks over their last 6 games.

  • Pitching Vulnerability: Alvarez has struggled recently, posting a 4.22 ERA and 1.481 WHIP overall. His form has regressed significantly over the past month, where he carries a bloated 5.57 ERA and a 1.667 WHIP across 3 starts, suggesting he will allow plenty of early traffic.

Toronto Blue Jays Performance Analysis:

  • Consistent High-Total Overs: Since May 29, Toronto has leaned heavily toward the over in games where oddsmakers project scoring. They are 20-10 (66.7%) OU in games with a total of 8 or higher.

  • Offensive Contact Quality: While the run production was variable in their recent series at Boston, the contact quality was high, as they totaled 33 hits over the 3-game span.

  • Scherzer’s Struggles: The legendary starter has been a major "Over" catalyst this season, struggling with a 10.23 ERA and a 1.727 WHIP through 5 starts. His inability to limit damage

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Looking for free MLB picks from professional Major League Baseball Handicappers?  Wagertalk's expert handicappers provide top daily MLB expert picks at absolutely no charge.  

Free MLB Picks - 2026 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts

Here you can find free MLB expert betting picks from WagerTalk's elite team of handicappers. Detailed game previews, analysis, and predictions backed by statistics. Get going with 100% FREE hot MLB picks of the day - get an edge.
Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk: 

WagerTalk offers you free MLB predictions and betting picks every day of 2026 for MLB games - from the Pirates to the Giants to.. well, every team in Major League Baseball.   And don't forget our daily HR Props!

What Free MLB Picks Does WagerTalk Offer In 2026?

WagerTalk offers every type of MLB expert picks you could possibly want.  At WagerTalk you'll find daily free MLB picks that include: 

Moneyline MLB Picks Free:  

Naturally.  You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB. 

Free MLB RunLine Picks: 

You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk.  So what is the runline and why should you bet on it?  Well, simple!

The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?

WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds.  

Totals Betting Best Picks for MLB:

Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring.  Everybody loves that. 

Free Hitter Props Markets MLB Predictions - Including Daily Home Run Prop Picks:

WagerTalk offers MLB player props for hitters throughout the year.  A great betting market, you're simply betting on how a specific batter will perform during a game - the perfect market to bet if you're more of a player of an MLB hitter than an MLB team.  Find even more free MLB picks and player props at our sister site. 

Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!

Pitching Props Free MLB Picks of the Day:

You'll find MLB pitching prop picks from WagerTalk all during the long long MLB season.   Like hitting props, bettors can get some terrific ML picks free from WagerTalk - pitcher prop picks that help them select how their ace pitcher will perform on the mound. Each starting pitcher usually receives a list of pitching props, such as: 'Total Pitching Strikeouts', 'Total Hits Allowed', 'Total Outs Recorded', 'Total Earned Runs Allowed', and more.

Same Game Parlay MLB Best Bets: 

Now and then you can find MLB same game parlay picks from expert MLB handicappers at WagerTalk. 

Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets? 

What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?

Did you make a bet on any of these?  If you did, you're an expert already.

  • Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
  • Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
  • Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
  • Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
  • Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002

 

Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001.  They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.

After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954,  the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.

 

Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The Chicago Cubs take it.  116 games in 1906. Nuts.  They went 116-36.  The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022.  The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins.  The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well. 

Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?

Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903?  Indeed it has!  And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties. 

Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles.  Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.

Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?

Yogi Berra.  Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi.  10 World Series titles!

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