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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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=============
TBR @ TOR
Both starters are in strong current form, but Rasmussen gets a small run-prevention edge by WHIP and walk rate. Gausman gets the home/innings edge. Tampa Bay has the better full-team pitching profile and the better recent head-to-head form, while Toronto gets the venue and home-bottom-9 edge. Current game data shows Tampa Bay at 26-13 with a 12-9 away record, Toronto at 18-22 with a 12-9 home record, and the listed market at TBR +119 / TOR -143 with a 7.5 total.
Toronto’s bats get a small deduction for the return-home flat spot, but the deduction is not large because Toronto was already home against LAA on May 8-10 before this game. Tampa Bay is traveling from Boston to Toronto, so a small travel drag is applied to TBR as well. Current weather in Toronto is cool, around 54°F near first pitch, but Rogers Centre roof conditions reduce outdoor weather impact.
Rasmussen faced Toronto on May 5 and allowed 3 runs on 7 hits over 6.0 innings with 5 strikeouts. Gausman faced Tampa Bay the same day and allowed 2 runs over 6.0 innings. That recent same-opponent start keeps both starter ER projections close to 2.0-2.4.
Tokyo’s Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank | OPS |
|---|---|---|
TBR | 11/30 | .821 |
TOR | 19/30 | .724 |
Curved 1-30 Model Rankings
Category | TBR | TOR |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA+WHIP rank, 14+ IP, 1 best | Drew Rasmussen: 8/30 | Kevin Gausman: 10/30 |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA+WHIP rank, 1 best | 7/30 | 18/30 |
Lineup run production last 10 days, runs + wOBA, 1 best | 9/30 | 16/30 |
Final Card
Best Reads | Side |
|---|---|
Moneyline edge | TBR + |
Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago
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4% MLB Feature 3 Bet Package $29 ($55 value) from a 10-Year MLB Scout and 3-Time #1 Capper
Was $55.00 Now $29.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a feature 3 bet package with one 4% best bet in MLB for $29 ($55 if you buy them separately), some of the best value spots on the board! As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss. If you’re ...
Yankees Orioles MLB Feature Bet from a 10-Year MLB Scout and 3-Time #1 Capper: $15.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a feature bet in the Yankees at Orioles game, and it’s one of the strongest value spots on the board. As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss. If you’re looking for a high-value MLB bet ...
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Trevor McDonald was not messing around in his season debut, allowing just 1 run on 2 hits over 7 innings with 8 K’s and no walks against San Diego. The Giants have a little momentum after winning in walk off fashion in extra’s yesterday, and Roki Sasaki is someone we’ve seen really struggle the 2nd and 3rd time through the lineup. Sasaki has a 5.97 ERA on the season and has a appalling wOBA of .411. He gets hit hard and ranks in just the 3rd percentile in pitching run value. Take the Giants F5.
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Released/revised 3 hour(s) ago
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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The Giants stirred at least a little on the weekend vs. the Bucs and believe they might have found something in rookie righthander Trevor McDonald, who has bounced between AAA Sacramento and the big club but did fire 7 innings of 2-hit ball at the Padres in last Monday’s SF win at Petco Park.
Meanwhile the Dodger offense continues to flash inconsistency as has Monday starter Roki Sasaki, struggling with a 5.97 ERA. Furthering the current narrative, Shohei Ohtani is only batting .241 with 6 homers at the quarter-pole. Play Giants on Money Line
Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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In with the M's over the Astros on Monday with George Kirby on the hill. The former 1st round pick out of Elon University has not letup more than 2 runs in any of his last 5 starts, lasting over 30 innings in this dominant run. The Astros are playing under (.400) ball on the season and have scored just one run in their last 18 innings. This play just missed the Monday client card. For today's free pick- Bet the Mariners.
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Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago
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MONDAY MONEY *2 PACK* MLB BEST BETS (LESS THAN $10 A PLAY) $$
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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Eovaldi is in excellent current form. He's 2-0 with a 0.60 ERA his last two starts, allowing just one run in 15 innings. On the other hand, Soroka has allowed nine earned runs over his last two starts, a span of only 9 1/3 innings, going 0-2 with an 8.68 ERA. During that span, he has allowed 21 baserunners (17 hits, 4 walks) which translates to a WHIP of 2.25. Let's back Eovaldi and the Rangers.
Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago
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Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk:
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Naturally. You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB.
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The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?
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Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?
What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?
Did you make a bet on any of these? If you did, you're an expert already.
- Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
- Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
- Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
- Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
- Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002
Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001. They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.
After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954, the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.
Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The Chicago Cubs take it. 116 games in 1906. Nuts. They went 116-36. The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022. The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins. The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well.
Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?
Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903? Indeed it has! And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties.
Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles. Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.
Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?
Yogi Berra. Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi. 10 World Series titles!
