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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles Angels Team Total [OVER] | Good until 3.5, -150.
Pitching Matchup: Luis Severino/Jose Soriano [Action].
The o/u line in this matchup has increased from 8.0 to 8.5 & with the Angels as the favorite on Thursday evening, this is a chance to get a smaller number even with the higher total. LAA has lost the first two games of this series. But, it's scored 5+ in both of those games. The hitting has been there and no that Soriano's on the mound, this is a great chance to get back to winning. I'll go with the OVER on LAA's TT.
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ROGERS' [4% MLB] BEATDOWN | HUGE BET!: $25.00
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Get away day in St. Louis has us on the Pirates over the Cardinals in early action. Pittsburgh just won a convincing (7-0) game yesterday and now sends Braxton Ashcraft to the hill. The 26 year old has been great this season and is sporting an impressive 56 to 14 strikeout to walk ratio.
Combine that with the hot Pirates lineup that ranks top 5 in a bunch of statistical categories against righties, somewhat under the radar. They get a hittable righty in Dusty May today, making for a nice spot to cash this ticket. Just missed the client card. For Thursday's free pick- Bet Pirates.
🔥 10-1 (91%) Overall L 8 Days (+29% PROFIT)
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^ 10-1 (91%) HEATER ^ THURSDAY BEST BET OFF 5% WIN $$ MLB : $25.00
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Jeff Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(905) Atlanta Braves at (906) Miami Marlins: Total
Total Over 7.5 (-118) Action
The Braves are 12-1 over/under as an away favorite of -120 and higher. They are 9-0 over/under at -140 and higher.
The Marlines are 15-4-1 over/under as an underdog including including 4-0 over/under at home covering by 2.8 runs per game.
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HURRY 1 PM START! - TOP MLB PROP! - 75% WINNING DAYS THE LAST 14 DAYS!: $25.00
75% WINNING DAYS! 9-3-2 WINNING DAYS IN THE LAST 14, INCLUDING 2-0-1 THE L3!Jeff's overall run is 23-12-3 (66%) with MLB 3%+ going 8-3-1 (73%)!He’s brought home winning days in 75% of the L14 (+25.24%) including 13-6-3 (68%) run on ALL plays 3%+!Jeff's props are on a 63% run the L19 plays and this is only Jeff's eighth MLB prop ra ...
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Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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3% WASH First 5 ML (-118)
Consensus
Good to -135
Backing Washington first 5 against left-handed pitching has been one of the most profitable angles in baseball all season. The Nationals continue to rank #1 in MLB vs lefties in wRC+, OPS, and wOBA. They already saw Peterson once this year in New York on April 29th and tagged him for 7 runs in just 3 innings.
If you’ve been following along, you know we love backing pitchers in their second straight home start, and that’s the setup for Cavalli here. While his overall numbers have been fairly average, this is still a favorable matchup against a Mets lineup that ranks bottom three in baseball against right-handed pitching this season. We expect Cavalli to deliver a solid outing.
The bullpen edge clearly favors New York, which is why we are keeping this strictly to Nationals First 5.
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5% MLB :: IMMACULATE 5% MLB RECORD OF 6-1 & 11-2 :: ALSO +43UNITS L10 DAYS: $35.00
6-0 YESTERDAY. Crushing baseball right now +43 units L10 days. 5% MLB Dating back to JULY 2023: 11-2! MLB continues to stay scorching hot: 9-1 L10 12-2 L14 15-3 L18 17-5 L22 22-7 L29Our 5% releases have also been dominant:6-1 Since July 202411-2 Since July 2023This is a full-rated 5% MLB Play and the value edge is too strong to ignore. Everything ...
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Teddy Covers
Major League Baseball
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Take New York - Washington OVER (#903-904) (listed pitchers)
The Nationals remain the #1 Over team in all of baseball; 32-15 to the Over (with three pushes) in their first 50 games. The Mets are 6-0 to the Over (with one push) in their last seven; an emerging trend worth riding here. The Mets hot lineup has pounded out 63 runs in their last nine games and current Mets have hit .435 in their careers against Nats starter Cade Cavalli. Washington’s bullpen behind Cavalli ranks among the worst in baseball. Mets hurler David Peterson got bombed by the Nationals in a 14-2 loss in April and he’s no innings eater at this stage of his career – five innings or less in each of his last eight outings. The hot Nationals lineup has pounded out 43 runs in six games on their current homestand and they’ve gone 7-1-1 to the Over in their last nine at home. Even on a cooler afternoon in DC, we can expect some crooked numbers on the scoreboard. Take the OVER
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83% on Knicks Games in the Playoffs! Game 2 $$: $25.00
Teddy is 123-92 +82 Units of Profit; looking to deliver his FIFTH consecutive winning postseason for himself and his clients! Teddy is 5-1 (83%) betting sides and totals in Knicks games since the start of the playoffs – he’s enjoyed a good read on this team!  Cash in with Teddy’s Knicks – Cavs Game 2 Winner tonight!
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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Key Situational Angle:
Play ON home favorites from April on that draw at least 4 walks per game if they're off a game where no more than 3 total runs were scored.
Applies to the Yankees.
50-16 (76% win rate, 18.4% ROI) since the 2021 season, winning by an average of 2.1 runs.
Note that the Run Line has a slightly better ROI (19.6%), so I recommend placing half your bet on the money line and the other half on the Run Line. That way, you break even if the Yankees win by one run. And if they lose, you lose less than you would've had you made the entire wager on the money line.
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57-31 65% ANGLE | AFTERNOON MLB TOP TOTAL: $25.00
Known for his success with MLB totals, Dwayne has once again isolated his single strongest total play on Thursday's entire MLB board. This big play is backed by a strong situational angle that has produced a dominant 57-31 record since the 2020 season, good for a money-making 65% win rate. Don't miss it!
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The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Carlos Rodon is making his third start after returning from injury, and it's been a rocky road thus far. Rodon has allowed eight walks in 8.0 innings pitched since his return as he looks to regain his command. He took the loss in his last start against the Mets, allowing two runs on three hits with three walks in 3.2 innings pitched. Things aren't going to get much easier on Thursday against a Blue Jays' lineup that knows him well. Toronto's current roster is hitting .279 in 121 plate appearances against Rodon with a .370 weighted on-base average. Vlad Guerrero Jr. is 11-for-18 with three doubles and two home runs in prior meetings with Rodon. In Rodon's last start against the Blue Jays last season, he allowed four runs on six hits with five walks in 5.0 innings. Toronto has the fifth-lowest strikeout rate against left-hand pitching this season, so the Blue Jays are going to put the ball in play tonight. This is the fourth game of the series, so Toronto's lineup has seen most of the Yankee relievers by now. The Blue Jays will likely be getting a second look against anyone coming out of the Yankees' bullpen.
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86% RUN • NY/CLEV GAME 2 ENFORCER • OFF SWEEP: $25.00
The GoldSheet brought out the broom again on Wednesday including the Spurs over the Thunder. Now it's back to the Eastern Finals where they are also already 1-0. Over the years, The GoldSheet has consistently known which way to go when the Knicks are involved. That's continued into the playoffs. Currently on an 86% run in NY games, TGS ha ...
GoldSheet's MLB Stat Sheet w/ Free Plays for Thurs May 21
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Two FREE Plays Plus Valuable Betting NotesGoldSheet's daily MLB stat sheet provides marquee hitter vs pitcher matchup notes, one traditional free play, one prop play, batting stats in a variety of categories and Ralph Michaels' first inning trends sheet each morning around 10am ET / 7am PT. The stat sheet will be FREE this week for all users, so co ...
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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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All-Access 3 Day Baseball Pass - Including all 5% MAX plays - 30% OFF!
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===============
ATH at LAA — May 21, 2026
Game standardized as Athletics at Los Angeles Angels, Luis Severino vs. José Soriano, at Angel Stadium. Confirmed market range used: ATH around -105 to -110, LAA around -110 to -115, full-game total 8 to 8.5. Starting pitcher season lines used: Severino 2-5, 4.45 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 54.2 IP, 54 K, 31 BB; Soriano 6-3, 2.41 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 59.2 IP, 67 K, 26 BB.
Projected Score
Team | 1st 5 Runs | Full Game Runs |
|---|---|---|
ATH | 2.2 | 4.4 |
LAA | 1.9 | 3.7 |
Total | 4.1 | 8.1 |
Projected final: ATH 4.4, LAA 3.7
ATH grade slightly better despite facing the stronger starter because the current Athletics order has strong head-to-head production against Soriano, including Shea Langeliers, Brent Rooker, Lawrence Butler, Nick Kurtz, and Zack Gelof producing above-normal damage in the matchup sample. LAA’s offense remains the main drag: season team line is .225 AVG / .313 OBP / .373 SLG, and the last-10-game line is down to .201 AVG / .276 OBP / .324 SLG / .600 OPS.
Starting Pitcher Boxscore Projection
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luis Severino | ATH | 5 1/3 | 2.2 | 4.9 | 4.9 | 2.6 |
José Soriano | LAA | 5 2/3 | 2.4 | 5.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 |
Soriano is the better season-long arm, but the matchup has volatility because his last start included a six-walk, six-earned-run outing, and this ATH lineup has several hitters with documented success against him. Severino’s run-prevention projection is weaker because of his WHIP and walk profile, but LAA’s current offense keeps his damage projection below his raw season ERA pace.
Tokyo’s Clutch Index - runner on third with less than 2 outs
Team | Rank 1-30 | OPS |
|---|---|---|
ATH | 12 | .812 |
LAA | 24 | .684 |
Ranking Snapshot — 1 Best, 30 Worst
Category | ATH | LAA |
|---|---|---|
Starting pitcher ERA + WHIP rank, 14+ IP | 23 — Severino | 6 — Soriano |
Bullpen last 10 days ERA + WHIP rank | 12 | 27 |
Lineup run production last 10 days, runs + wOBA rank | 9 | 29 |
Final Betting Card
Bet | Fair Odds | Market Needed | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
ATH moneyline | -147 | -125 or better | Play |
Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago
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5% MLB MAX Bet | +83% Profit +30% ROI Last 365 days | 10-Year MLB Scout | 3-Time #1 Capper: $35.00
Tokyo Brandon just released a 5% MAX MLB bet and it’s THE strongest value spot on the board! In the last 365 days Tokyo Brandon is +83% profit and +30% ROI with 5% bets (68%W), EASILY #1 at WagerTalk among all 33 cappers.Tokyo Brandon is a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 profit capper at WagerTalk in the last five years. Tokyo Brand ...
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Five years. One of the most consistent records in the business.Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 overall in profit at WagerTalk among 33 cappers over the last 5 years and turned a profit in 5 of the last 6 seasons. This is not a hot streak. This is a track record.The numbers:#1 MLB Profit 2024 (+145 units) #1 All-Sports Profit 2024 (+180u) #1 All-Sport ...
Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(901) Pittsburgh Pirates at (902) St. Louis Cardinals: Total
Under 0.5 (-145) Braxton Ashcraft (RHP), Dustin May (RHP) Must Start
The juice is a bit too high as a client play, but it's clearly the next-best play for today.
Ashcroft is 9-0 NRFI with a 3.09 ERA. His road ERA is even better at 2.16
May is 5-4 NRFI, but he has 3 straight NRFI
Pittsburgh is 3-0 NRFI and has gone 5 straight without a first-inning run
 St Louis has a first-inning run only once in their L7 games
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HURRY 1 PM START! #1 NRFI PLAY OF DAY ONLY RED-HOT 5-0 (100%) & 44-17-3 (72%) RUN!: $25.00
CAN YOU MAKE $ BETTING NRFI PLAYS? >> NOW #1 IN MLB THIS SEASON & #2 OVERALL IN 2026!•• MLB plays are 44-17-3 (72%)! • Ralph has cashed 16 of the last 22 days (73%)!•• Why wait 3 hours to cash an MLB bet when you can do so in the first 15 minutes?•• Ralph went 2-0 on NRFI plays Wednesday, raising his overall All-Sports rec ...
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THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Thursday, May 21The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators include ...
Marco D'Angelo
Major League Baseball
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The Angels pitchers have been getting torched as the Angels have allowed 6 runs or more in 5 of their L6 games. We also find that the Angels are just 8-17 in games where the line is -125 to +125. The A's send Luis Servino to the mound who has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of his L5 starts.
TAKE THE A'S
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5% NBA MAJOR WAGER (Thurs) 11-1 LAST 12: $35.00
3-0 SWEEP ON WEDNESDAY!!BIG PLAY ALERT: Marco doesn’t fire many 5% plays — but when he does, he wins them. Over his last eight 5% MAJOR WAGER PLAYS, Marco is 7–1, and since February 2024 he owns a 47–24 record on these top releases. But when it comes to 5% NBA Plays Marco has only released 12 of them since March 31, 2021 and he has gone 11- ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Jose Soriano finds himself in a rare bounce back situation today and despite giving up some runs to the Dodgers last time out still has the 12th best ERA and 8th most strikeouts in baseball. Soriano ranks in the 99th percentile in pitching run value overall and when he’s not punching hitters out he keeping them on the ground. Meanwhile Luis Severino has been on the fade list for much of the season and unsurprisingly gave up 5 earned on 10 hits to the team that’s scored the fewest runs in the majors last time out. We’re getting a decent price with the huge starting pitching mismatch and will play the Angels in the F5.
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5% MLB RED HOT 87.5% (7-1) RUN! : $35.00
Jimmy is on a 7-1 RUN with his 5% TOP PLAYS THIS MLB SEASON and has ANOTHER MAX BET READY TO CASH on Thursday! RED HOT on the diamond, Jimmy is also on RUNS OF 3-0 AND 6-1 overall in MLB action and has made his clients an INCREDIBLE +41.4 UNITS OF PROFIT over his past 17 TOP PLAYS (5%)! PRINTING MONEY for his backers, Jimmy has found a HUGE ADVANTA ...
Triple Play All-Access Baseball Pass – Includes 5% Best Bets – ONLY $49!
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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The Angels’ latest Keystone Kops episode came last night when wasting three homers but undone by shoddy defense and a couple of key errors leading directly to scores as the A’s rallied for a 10-inning win. It’s gone so bad (we'll say...6-23 the last 29!) for the Halos that they haven’t even been able to rely lately upon April sensation Jose Soriano, who has found May (with a 6.35 ERA) much tougher.
The A’s do many little things the Angels don’t, which is why they are setting the pace in the AL West, and Luis Severino had a 1.88 ERA across a four-start span prior to stumbling vs. the Giants last weekend. Play A’s on Money Line
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BRUCE BIG THURSDAY RED-HOT TOP CHOICE COMBO!!: $29.00
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Free MLB Picks - 2026 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts
Here you can find free MLB expert betting picks from WagerTalk's elite team of handicappers. Detailed game previews, analysis, and predictions backed by statistics. Get going with 100% FREE hot MLB picks of the day - get an edge.
Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk:Â
WagerTalk offers you free MLB predictions and betting picks every day of 2026 for MLB games - from the Pirates to the Giants to.. well, every team in Major League Baseball. Â And don't forget our daily HR Props!
What Free MLB Picks Does WagerTalk Offer In 2026?
WagerTalk offers every type of MLB expert picks you could possibly want. Â At WagerTalk you'll find daily free MLB picks that include:Â
Moneyline MLB Picks Free: Â
Naturally. Â You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB.Â
Free MLB RunLine Picks:Â
You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk. Â So what is the runline and why should you bet on it? Â Well, simple!
The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?
WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds. Â
Totals Betting Best Picks for MLB:
Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring. Â Everybody loves that.Â
Free Hitter Props Markets MLB Predictions - Including Daily Home Run Prop Picks:
WagerTalk offers MLB player props for hitters throughout the year. Â A great betting market, you're simply betting on how a specific batter will perform during a game - the perfect market to bet if you're more of a player of an MLB hitter than an MLB team. Â Find even more free MLB picks and player props at our sister site.Â
Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!
Pitching Props Free MLB Picks of the Day:
You'll find MLB pitching prop picks from WagerTalk all during the long long MLB season. Â Like hitting props, bettors can get some terrific ML picks free from WagerTalk - pitcher prop picks that help them select how their ace pitcher will perform on the mound. Each starting pitcher usually receives a list of pitching props, such as: 'Total Pitching Strikeouts', 'Total Hits Allowed', 'Total Outs Recorded', 'Total Earned Runs Allowed', and more.
Same Game Parlay MLB Best Bets:Â
Now and then you can find MLB same game parlay picks from expert MLB handicappers at WagerTalk.Â
Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?Â
What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?
Did you make a bet on any of these? Â If you did, you're an expert already.
- Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
- Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
- Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
- Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
- Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002
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Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001. Â They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.
After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954, Â the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.
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Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The Chicago Cubs take it. Â 116 games in 1906. Nuts. Â They went 116-36. Â The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022. Â The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins. Â The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well.Â
Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?
Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903? Â Indeed it has! Â And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties.Â
Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles. Â Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.
Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?
Yogi Berra. Â Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi. Â 10 World Series titles!
