Bryan Power
Event: (913) Cleveland Guardians at (914) Baltimore Orioles
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cleveland Guardians +137 C Quantrill (RHP), K Gibson (RHP) Must Start
The Orioles are actually a team that I'm looking to fade right now. That may seem strange, given that no team has been more profitable to bet on since the start of last season. But with an expected win total of “just” 30 this season (actual record is 34-20), suffice to say that they've overachieved a bit here in 2023. And already we're starting to see somewhat of a “course correction” with the O's having dropped three of four (all at home).
Perhaps the most surprising thing about this Baltimore team is how much weaker they've been at the plate here at home. We saw that again yesterday as they were shut out 5-0 by Cleveland. Despite having a 16-11 record in home games this season, the Orioles have been outscored at Camden Yards and are averaging just 4.0 runs per game here. That's well down from the 5.8 rpg they average on the road. The O's have not topped three runs in any of the L5 games, scoring just 11 times.
Now the Guardians are hardly “world beaters” at the plate in any environment, but they've now won three of four and the pitching staff has allowed only eight runs in that stretch. Cal Quantrill gets the starting nod for them this evening and he's actually pitched much better on the road than at home this season (a real departure from last season). Kyle Gibson goes for Baltimore. He's in a “sell-high” spot after the B2B quality outings at New York and Toronto and is only 3-10 with a 5.59 ERA against Cleveland in 21 all-time appearances (20 starts).
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Ronald Cabang
Event: (913) Cleveland Guardians at (914) Baltimore Orioles
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Cleveland Guardians +126 C Quantrill (RHP), K Gibson (RHP) Must Start
The Guardians have been showing signs of improvement, winning three out of their last four games. Their offense has been picking up, but it is their pitching that has been particularly impressive, keeping them competitive in games.
On the other hand, the Orioles have been struggling, losing three of their last four games. This suggests that these teams are currently heading in opposite directions. Additionally, when considering the starting pitcher matchup, there is reason to expect negative regression from the Orioles' Kyle Gibson. Despite his sub-4 ERA, his BABIP is nearly .300, indicating potential luck in his performance.
Meanwhile, although Cal Quantril has underperformed this season for the Guardians, there is optimism that he can return to his previous form. He has shown his abilities in the past with two strong seasons for the Guardians. Taking these factors into account, it appears that the Guardians have a good chance of securing a victory on the road against the Orioles as outright underdogs.
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Andrew McInnis
Event: (921) Milwaukee Brewers at (922) Toronto Blue Jays
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:07 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-103) A Houser (RHP), Y Kikuchi (LHP) Must Start
After a nice start to the season, Kikuchi's numbers have returned to what everyone expected to start the year, which just piles on to the already poor season the Jays are having from a pitching standpoint. The Brewers will have Houser on the mound, who has been performing well this season, but he's also catching a Blue Jays lineup that is finally starting to heat up again. The Blue Jays are batting .265 off right-handed pitching this season, and I think we see a few early runs off Houser. Both clubs have had no trouble getting guys on base, but they have struggled to get runners home, that should change tonight when these two lineups meet.
Play the OVER.
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Don Buster
Event: (923) Cincinnati Reds at (924) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: 1H Cincinnati Reds +155 B Lively (RHP), B Bello (RHP) Must Start
LISTED STARTERS
LIVELY/ BELLO
QUICK ANALYSIS
Going with the underdog Reds here for the First 5 as we have Lively making his first start on the road in quite sometime. Well it has been since April 15th 2018. Really like what we have seen from him in his two home starts and we will look for him to carry that momentum to the road early in this one. The Reds face Bryan Bello and he has struggled in Boston sporting a 4.58 ERA with a WHIP of 1.75. Cincinnati have been hammering the baseball this last week and in fact in their last 5 games they have averaged just OVER 7 runs a game. Nice price for the First 5 Money line and we take it. So lets get the job done with the Cincinnati Reds for the first 5 Money line as your free play for today in MLB.
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Bryan Leonard
Event: (903) Philadelphia Phillies at (904) New York Mets
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 8.5 (-118) R Suarez (LHP), K Senga (RHP) Must Start
903 Philadelphia at NY Mets
PLAY OVER
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Andy Lang
Event: (923) Cincinnati Reds at (924) Boston Red Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 7:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Masataka Yoshida UNDER 0.5 Batter K's -120
Masataka Yoshida UNDER 0.5 Batter K's -120:
Masataka Yoshida has avoided striking out in 28 of 45 games on the season for a 63% success rate. He has only struck out 21 times on the entire season and only 4 of those were looking. Yoshida is a left-handed hitter who hits better against right-handed pitching, and he faces a right-hander in Ben Lively today. Yoshida did strike out in his last game on Sunday, so this is a great bounce back spot at home today!!
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Drew Martin
Event: (927) Tampa Bay Rays at (928) Chicago Cubs
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 8:05 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-113) S Mcclanahan (LHP) Must Start
We get the best team in baseball record wise at a decent price on the runline tonight. The Rays are also rank #1 in most overall offensive metrics, including wRC+ and OPS for the season. Tampa is the #1 seed against right handed pitchers and the hottest lineup in MLB the past week.
Hendricks gets the start for Chicago and the righty is making only his second start of the season. He got knocked around last week to the tune of five runs in only four innings against the Mets. Important to note, his fastball was averaging sub 90mph on the radar gun.
Lastly, today is Shane McClanahan day. Arguably, the best pitcher in baseball, looking to be the first pitcher this season to reach the (9-0) record mark. Best arm on the best team makes for a good spot to back. Rays are the road team pointing us to the runline wager as an option. Bet Rays- Let's cash!
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Jeff Michaels
Event: (917) Los Angeles Angels at (918) Chicago White Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 8:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Los Angeles Angels +129 T Anderson (LHP), L Giolito (RHP) Must Start
2% #917 Los Angeles Angels (+129) over Chicago White Sox — w/ Anderson & Giolito —
Tyler Anderson has gotten the Angels the win in 3 straight starts, and may be looking a little more like what we anticipated after his season in the other side of LA last year. He has posted a 3.71 ERA allowing just 7 ERs in his L17 IP.
Giolito, on the other hand, has posted an ERA over 5.00 in the last 3 starts! He has allowed 9 ERs in under 16 IP, and the team is just 1-2 in those starts. He has lost both of his recent outings against the Angels, allowing 5 ERs in just 12 IP. He is also just 1-8 in the L2Y @ H vs. teams with a winning record, and 0-9 in the L2Y vs. teams hitting 1.25+ HR/game!
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The Gold Sheet
Event: (917) Los Angeles Angels at (918) Chicago White Sox
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 8:10 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 9.0 (-115) T Anderson (LHP), L Giolito (RHP) Must Start
We’ve got two streaky pitchers on the mound, and all it really takes is for one of them to be off their game to jumpstart the over in this contest. Neither bullpen is trustworthy, so even if the starters do perform well, things can certainly get busted open in the second half of the game. Chicago’s bullpen threw 82 pitches with a trio of key relievers throwing 20+ pitches. The White Sox offense gets its preferred split against a lefty, where they generally perform much better than facing right-hand pitching. Tyler Anderson has a 13.6-percent strikeout rate this season, which is a significant drop from his 19.5-percent rate last year. His walk rate has climbed from 4.8-percent last year to 10.5-percent this season. In his last three starts, Anderson has seven walks compared to six total strikeouts. Chicago’s lineup has plenty of power and generally isn’t a lineup that you want to pitch to contact against. On the other side, Lucas Giolito is still working through some command issues of his own. We were on the under in Giolito’s last start, but he blew that up by allowing seven walks to the Tigers.
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Jimmy Adams
Event: (929) Atlanta Braves at (930) Oakland Athletics
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-143) Action
The Braves have one of the best offenses in the league overall but where they really excel is against lefties. JP Sears has a very high barrel rate with low velocity, playing right into the hands of this Atlanta offense. Bryce Elder continues to be dominant and his success will continue against an A’s offense that hadn’t scored more than 3 runs in 11 straight games prior to yesterday. Take the Braves on the run line.
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Tokyo Brandon
Event: (905) Colorado Rockies at (906) Arizona Diamondbacks
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Total Over 8.0 (-108) K Freeland (LHP), Z Gallen (RHP) Must Start
I have this one going over 8. Gallen is great but I think the Diamondbacks explode for a lot of runs here and could reach this total themselves.
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Dwayne Bryant
Event: (929) Atlanta Braves at (930) Oakland Athletics
Sport/League: MLB
Date/Time: May 30, 2023 9:40 PM EDT
Free Major League Baseball Pick Today: Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-138) B Elder (RHP), J Sears (LHP) Must Start
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wt.buzz/db
9:40 PM ET -- MLB
929 Atlanta Braves
930 Oakland Athletics
Play: 929 ATLANTA Run Line -1.5 (-138)
List Pitchers: Elder & Sears
Oakland snapped its 11-game losing streak by winning the series opener last night, 7-2. Truth be told, it was a tough spot for the Braves. Atlanta played the ESPN Sunday night game and had to travel all the way from Atlanta to Oakland to play a game that started at 5 PM local time. Fresh off that embarrassment (who isn't embarrassed after getting whooped by the A's?), I expect a bounce-back effort from Atlanta tonight.
Oakland is much better against lefties (109 wRC+, 12th in MLB) than righties (74 wRC+, 28th in MLB). They face righty Bryce Elder tonight. Elder comes in off five days rest. His already stellar 2023 numbers are even better (1.50 ERA, 0.96 WHIP) when Elder is off five days rest. The only time in Elder's young career that he was a road favorite anywhere near this high, he and the Braves blanked the Nationals, 8-0.
The A's are just 1-9 this season off a win and that one win came against the Royals. If they're gonna make it two straight tonight, they'll need a good outing from lefty J.P. Sears. His worst start of the season came against the Angels, a team that hits lefties pretty well. The bad news for Sears is that the Braves hit LHP even better. In fact, Atlanta's 150 wRC+ against LHP is second to only the Rays.
The Braves also own the better bullpen.
It's just a bad matchup for a bad team. The Braves on the Run Line is worth a look.
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13-1 93% ANGLES! MLB TOP PLAY: $ 15.00
Dwayne has isolated the absolute strongest play on Tuesday's MLB board. This big play is backed by strong statistical data, as well as situational angles that combined have gone an amazing 13-1 93% winners (details inside). This major MLB wager is also backed by an MLB-wide situational angle that has cashed 82% winners over the last 5 seasons (it's ...
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How many consider Memorial Day weekend the start of Summer and Labor Day the last hurrah?Summertime means vacations, crazy schedules, and entirely different routines. That’s why it’s the perfect time to lock in an all-access pass with daily emails and/or text updates to follow along with your favorite handicappers' selections. This offer gives ...
