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Last updated Dec 3, 10:28 PM EST
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Las Vegas Pro Bettor Since 1998
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (467) Seattle Seahawks at (468) Los Angeles Rams | 4:05pm EST - Dec 4/2022 |
The PLAY: Seattle Seahawks -7.0 (-110)
3% Take Seattle (#467)
It’s been a complete collapse in LA for a Rams team riding an 0-5 SU/0-5 ATS run into Week 13. Remember, this team won the Super Bowl last February and expected to be right back in contention for another title this year. Instead, it’s been an unmitigated disaster; a 3-8 team just playing out the string. The only previous time Sean McVay had a losing season in LA, the Rams closed out the season on an 0-7 SU/ATS Run. Every veteran who can find an excuse to sit is sitting. Plain and simple – the Rams are a team to fade – there’s no ‘switch’ to flip!
Seattle is NOT a team to fade right now. There’s urgency for the Seahawks after a pair of frustrating, tight losses in their last two contests, including last week’s referee-aided OT defeat. They’re stepping down in class here, facing a demoralized and injury ridden foe. And let’s not forget what Geno Smith and the Seahawks offense have been doing on the highway, scoring 48, 32, 37 and 31 points in their last four road games. This line feels a bit high for good reason; a game that has all the makings of a comfortable victory for the road favorite. Take the Seahawks.
Line Parameter: 3% at -7 or lower, 2% at -7.5 or higher
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky – better known as Teddy Covers – moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary “Life on the Line” and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2022; a market that is dominated by stat-based ‘quants’ - the ‘sharp’ money. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This ‘ride the hot & fade the cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings over more than two decades. And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many ‘cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.