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Hot Streaks

NFL Season Wins: 100-50-3 (67%) L23 Years, 16-4 (80%) 5% Big Tickets

NBA: 8-3 (73%) Run, 119-84 (58%) Since November

All Sports: 255-201 (56%) Since November +89 Units

NBA: 316-228 (58%) +219 Units Since 2022

All 5% Plays All Sports: 77-49 (61%) Since 2021 +108 Units

Last updated Jun 15, 1:24 AM EDT

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TEDDY COVER'S NFL SEASON WIN REPORT

100-50 (67%) Since First Report in 2001!

** REMINDER: THIS REPORT IS INCLUDED IN TEDDY'S FULL NFL SEASON PASS!

Teddy released his first NFL season win report in 2001. Over the last 23 years, his NFL season wins have gone 100-50-3 (67%), including a 16-4 (80%) mark with his 5% Big Ticket Reports, an extended track record of significantly profitable results. In addition, the teams featured in this report are ‘bet on’ and ‘bet against’ squads that bettors can take advantage of right from Week 1 of the regular season! 

Part 1 of this year’s NFL Season Win Report will be released on Tuesday, July 2nd; Part 2 comes after Week 2 of the preseason. This report will be updated to reflect personnel changes and line moves, which will be updated right through to Week 1 of the regular season. Get the report for FREE with any seasonal packages, or get the full report for just $199! Get on board now to get every release in real time and get the best lines available!

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Free Picks

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
(193) UNLV at (194) Houston
7:00pm EDT - Aug 31/2024

THE PLAY: UNLV +3.5 (-110)

2% Take UNLV (#193)

Plain and simple: I have lived in Las Vegas since 1998.  The state of the UNLV football program RIGHT NOW heading into Barry Odom’s second year on the job is better than at any point over the last 27 football seasons that I’ve been following this program closely.  The Rebels have all the makings of a ‘bet-on’ team again in 2024, just like they were in 2023.

UNLV won nine games last year (most wins since the Randall Cunningham season in 1984) and reached the Mountain West Championship Game for the first time in the history of the program. They led the conference in scoring; returning an elite level receiving corps and the Rebels best offensive line in decades.  Defensively, UNLV has upgraded their secondary fairly dramatically through the transfer portal and they return the vast majority of their solid front seven.  No surprise here if defensive minded Odom creates a nasty stop unit in 2024.

Houston, on the other hand, is in complete rebuild mode under first year head coach Willie Fritz. Dana Holgorsen did not leave the cupboards stocked for the Cougars program, and Fritz didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his first two years at Tulane, winning only nine games (combined) -- he’s got time to fix things.  This line is low for a reason -- expect the Cougs to be in a dogfight just to win this game SU, let alone winning it by any sort of margin.  Take the points!  Take UNLV

Line Parameter: 2% at +3.5 or higher, 1.5% at +3 or lower

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
(463) New England Patriots at (464) Cincinnati Bengals
1:00pm EDT - Sep 8/2024

THE PLAY: Total Under 43.0 (-110)

2% Take Cincinnati - New England UNDER (#463-464)

The Bengals offense hasn’t clicked on all cylinders in Week 1 even once during the Zac Taylor era.  Cinci has been held to 24 points or less in regulation in each of their five Week 1’s under Taylor, averaging less than 17 points per game.  I’m not expecting 2024 to be dramatically different for a team that has consistently been underprepared on offense for their opener against a defensive minded foe like New England in the first game of the Jarod Mayo era.

The Patriots, on paper, have the single worst offense in the NFL.  We could see Drake Maye making his NFL debut on the road vs a good defense, which equates to a very conservative gameplan.  We could see Jacoby Brissett behind a weak offensive line throwing to a weak receiving corps. Either way, I’m not expecting touchdowns in bunches.  Early reports from mini-camp have detailed all kinds of issues for this limited attack; issues that are not likely to be solved on opening day.

There’s only one reason to make this bet now and lock up your money all summer with this wager -- getting the ‘best of the number’.  With 43’s still available and 42.5’s still widely available, let’s lock in now for a game likely to close at 42 or lower.  Take the UNDER.

Line Parameter: 2% at 42.5 or higher, 1.5% at 42 or lower

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jun 16
MLB
3% – Cincinnati Reds +120 F Montas (RHP), C Rea (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
pending
Jun 15
MLB
2% – San Diego Padres +105 J Quintana (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 15
MLB
3% – Detroit Tigers +107 J Flaherty (RHP), J Verlander (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
No Play
Jun 14
NBA
3% – Dallas Mavericks -110
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 14
MLB
3% – San Diego Padres -105 M Waldron (RHP), S Manaea (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 13
MLB
2% – Pittsburgh Pirates -106 M Keller (RHP), L Lynn (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 13
MLB
3% – Chicago Cubs -112 J Steele (LHP), T Bradley (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 12
NBA
4% – (505) Boston Celtics at (506) Dallas Mavericks Total Over 212.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 12
MLB
3% – (929) Texas Rangers at (930) Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 8.5 (-110) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 12
MLB
2% – Pittsburgh Pirates +152 B Falter (LHP), S Gray (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 11
MLB
3% – Pittsburgh Pirates -124 P Skenes (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 10
MLB
3% – Toronto Blue Jays -101 J Berrios (RHP), C Rea (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 09
NBA
3% – (503) Dallas Mavericks at (504) Boston Celtics Total Under 214.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 09
MLB
2% – Kansas City Royals -131 G Kirby (RHP), C Ragans (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 09
MLB
3% – San Diego Padres -137 S Mcgough (RHP), A Mazur (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 08
MLB
4% – (929) Los Angeles Dodgers at (930) New York Yankees Total Over 8.5 (-125) G Stone (RHP), N Cortes (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 08
MLB
2% – Pittsburgh Pirates +109 Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 07
MLB
3% – Pittsburgh Pirates +107 J Ryan (RHP), M Keller (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 06
NBA
3% – Boston Celtics -6.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 05
MLB
3% – Los Angeles Dodgers +101 Action
(Analysis)
Loss
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Consultant Bio

Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries. 

Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money.  In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate.  Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.

This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades.  And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers.  Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.

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