Hot Streaks:
All Sports HOT: 38-16 (70%) Since November 12th +63.3 Units
NFL HOT: 4-1 (80%) Last Week, 8-2 (80%) L3 Weeks
NBA HOT: 26-12 (68%) Since November 6th
College Football HOT: 5-1 (83%) Since Thanksgiving!
All 5% Big Ticket Plays: 70-40 (63%) Since May, 2021!
NBA Every Play Since Feb, 2022: 223-156 (59%) +186 Units
Last updated Dec 9, 12:14 AM EST
Member Notes
Las Vegas Professional Since 1998
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (111) Carolina Panthers at (112) New Orleans Saints | 1:00pm EST - Dec 10/2023 |
The PLAY: Carolina Panthers +5.5 (-112)
3% Take Carolina (#111)
The Saints are 0-5 ATS at home this season; truly a ‘False Favorite’ on Sunday. They have a grand total of one SU win at home since September, beating only the Bears without Justin Fields. Starting QB Derek Carr is getting booed every time he takes the field, not exactly a confidence builder. Carr is in concussion protocol this week, and he’s dealing with rib and shoulder injuries as well. His backup Jameis Winston has thrown three interceptions in 47 pass attempts this season only because of drops – he could have easily thrown twice that many; a career long problem from a QB who doesn’t protect the football. The Saints defense was gashed by the run two weeks ago and by the pass last week. I can’t remember the last time I read a positive comment out of this locker room; a team crumbling; not coming together.
Carolina fought till the final gun sounded in a three-point spread-covering loss last week, their first game under interim head coach Chris Tabor – we expect some ‘new coach’ bump. They’re not getting blown out on the highway – each of their last three road defeats has come by a TD or less. Their defense is showing up week after week, holding three of their last four foes to 21 or less. This Bryce Young quote demonstrates some ‘bet-on’ potential down the stretch for this struggling squad: “Each game is huge for us. We’re of that mindset. I can’t lie and say it's not frustrating. But ultimately, what permeates the locker room is the desire to want to be better, desire to want to grow and play for each other.” I’m not getting any quotes like that from New Orleans these days. Live dog here whether Derek Carr suits up or not! Take the Panthers
Line Parameter: 3% at +4 or higher, 2% at +3.5 or lower
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money. In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.
This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades. And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.