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Last updated Mar 22, 2:40 AM EDT
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Las Vegas Pro Bettor Since 1998
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NBA | (517) Portland Trail Blazers at (518) Utah Jazz | 9:10pm EDT - Mar 22/2023 |
The PLAY: Utah Jazz -4.5 (-110)
3% Take Utah (#518)
The Portland Trail Blazers were expected to make a playoff push after the All-Star Break. Instead, this team has completely collapsed; 3-11 SU/4-10 ATS in their last 14 ballgames. The three wins all came against lottery bound foes (Detroit, Houston and Orlando). I can’t say I love this Chauncey Billups quote after last Friday’s loss to Boston: “We played a team that’s – let’s face it –is better than us…You’ve got to play pretty much an outstanding game to have a shot.” That’s not a quote I’m comfortable with from an NBA head coach It’s surely worth noting that ten of Portland’s last eleven losses have come by double digit margins – when they’re down, they’re out! It’s also worth noting that the Blazers won’t have two of their three leading scorers in Salt Lake City tonight – Jerami Grant and Anfernee Simons have both been ruled out.
Utah has been an undervalued commodity all season long; Top 5 in profitability this season. Unlike tired Portland, the Jazz have only played twice in the last nine days – an upset win over Boston and an upset win over Sacramento; now 4-1 SU in their last five ballgames. There’s urgency for Utah, currently tied for the #10 seed in the West. All Star forward Lauri Markkanen: “We want to make the playoffs. That playoff intensity will just help this young team grow.” Head Coach Will Hardy: “Our defensive intensity (has) picked up (following a four game skid).” ‘Bet-on’ vs ‘Bet against’ here whether Markkanen suits up or not (questionable)! Take the Jazz.
Line Parameter: 3% at -6 or lower, 2% at -6.5 or higher
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Consultant Bio
Ted Sevransky – better known as Teddy Covers – moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary “Life on the Line” and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries.
Teddy’s handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based ‘quants’ - the ‘sharp’ money. Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate. Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly. This ‘ride the hot & fade the cold’ approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings. And those 25 years of grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many ‘cappers. Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.