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Teddy Covers

Teddy Covers

Hot Streaks

HOT 74% All Sports Since June 25th! 69% L4 Weeks +32.3 Units!

All Sports: 275-212 (56.5%) Since November +117.1 Units

NFL Season Wins: 100-50-3 (67%) L23 Years, 16-4 (80%) 5% Big Tickets

NFL Week 1: 28-8 (78%) L9 Years! 8-2 (80%) Week 1 5% Big Tickets

All 5% Plays All Sports: 79-49 (62%) Since 2021 +118 Units

Last updated Jul 14, 1:37 AM EDT

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5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins Release

Teddy nailed his only 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins release last year, cashing with the Green Bay Packers OVER 7.5 wins as they cruised to the playoffs.  This isn’t new or different! Teddy is 16-4 (80%) with his 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Win releases since he started his annual report in 2001 -- he’s got a long-term PROVEN track record of success, and his write-ups are second to none, primed to help you make $$ all year.  Get his TOP RATED NFL Season Wins selection across the entire NFL today for ONLY $49!

*This 5% future is included in Teddy's NFL Season Win Report
**NFL Season Win Report is included in his NFL Season Pass 

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TEDDY COVERS NFL SEASON WIN REPORT

NOW LIVE!!!

100-50 (67%) Since First Report in 2001!

** REMINDER: THIS REPORT IS INCLUDED IN TEDDY'S FULL NFL SEASON PASS!

Teddy released his first NFL season win report in 2001. Over the last 23 years, his NFL season wins have gone 100-50-3 (67%), including a 16-4 (80%) mark with his 5% Big Ticket Reports, an extended track record of significantly profitable results. In addition, the teams featured in this report are ‘bet on’ and ‘bet against’ squads that bettors can take advantage of right from Week 1 of the regular season! 

Part 1 of this year’s NFL Season Win Report will be released on Tuesday, July 2nd; Part 2 comes after Week 2 of the preseason. This report will be updated to reflect personnel changes and line moves, which will be updated right through to Week 1 of the regular season. Get the report for FREE with any seasonal packages, or get the full report for just $199! Get on board now to get every release in real time and get the best lines available!

MLB THRU THE WORLD SERIES FOR UNDER $20 PER WEEK!

With the MLB All-Star Break underway, we have a special offer to lock in your favorite WagerTalk handicapper's baseball selections through the World Series for ONLY $299, discounted from the regular price of $479! This deal will encompass ALL MLB selections from your handicapper for the remainder of the regular season, playoffs, and World Series, including any 5% Best Bets. This is 100+ days of baseball action, coming out to under $20 weekly!

*This offer is valid through midnight on Thursday, July 18, 2024, and pricing will return to $449.00

NFL Pre-Season Action for $99!

The NFL Pre-Season is the perfect time to sharpen your betting skills and prepare for the regular season! 

From August 1st to August 26th, dive into the excitement of the NFL Pre-Season with this exclusive offer. For just $99, you’ll get expert insights and analysis, giving you the edge you need to make this pre-season your most profitable yet.

Did you know the Pre-Season betting market is often less efficient than Regular Season? This extra edge gives you more opportunities to find favorable lines and capitalize on bookmakers’ inconsistencies.

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Free Picks

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
2024-25 Dallas Cowboys NFL Season Win Total
1:00pm EDT - Sep 8/2024

THE PLAY: Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available)

3% Dallas Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins (-110 widely available) 

I bet it this way: 2.5% on Cowboys UNDER 10 Wins, 0.5% on Cowboys to Make the Playoffs: No’ (+200)

3% Take the Dallas Cowboys UNDER 

Every sharp dollar that’s shown for Dallas since these season win totals opened has come for the Under.  Let’s join them before this win total gets bet down any further! 

The Cowboys have been kicking the can down the road for years when it comes to salary cap issues.  This past offseason, the woes became very real.  Dallas lost five starters in free agency but acquired only one -- 32 year old LB Eric Kendricks, now playing for his third team in three years.

Dallas has nowhere to do but down.  They’ve won 36 games over the past three seasons - only the Chiefs have more victories.  Despite all of that success, head coach Mike McCarthy (not one of my favorite game managers, to put it mildly) has not been re-signed, in the final year of his contract.  QB Dak Prescott, too, has an expiring contract (and a massive $55 million cap hit this year). Prescott led the league in TD passes last year and finished #2 in MVP voting - he can’t play any better.  In fact, he’s likely to play worse with an OL that lost another two starters this offseason, quite possibly starting a pair of rookies in September.  

Cowboys star WR Cee Dee Lamb skipped mini-camps this spring and he’s talking about sitting out training camp this summer; trying to negotiate a new contract.  I don’t worry about running backs, but it’s worth noting that Dallas might have the weakest group of RB’s in the NFL this year.  The highest scoring offense in the league in 2023 is primed to take a step back in 2024, especially with all kinds of rumors flying around Vegas regarding Prescott’s health.  Behind Prescott?  Cooper Rush and Trey Lance, neither of whom I’d trust to win an NFL game this year.

Dallas lost elite defensive coordinator Dan Quinn in the offseason; now the head coach in Washington.  Da’Ron Bland set an NFL record with FIVE interceptions returned for touchdowns last year - he won’t do that again.  They finished +10 in turnover margin last year -- only 16 giveaways -- again, difficult numbers to repeat.  Perennial defensive POY candidate Micah Parsons has his own contract issues; expecting an extension.  CB Trevon Diggs is coming off a torn ACL.  Dallas is not primed to be a run stuffing team either; mediocre in that regard last season.

So we’ve got a head coach and a QB who both could be gone next year; playing on a team with severe salary cap restrictions that has overachieved in each of the last two seasons.  Then we look at the schedule and it gets even worse.  NFC East teams play the AFC North and NFC South.  Their three extra games are all tough: Detroit, San Francisco and Houston.  Dallas has only one home game between Baltimore on September 22nd and Philly on November 10th.  

My numbers show that last year -- using my power rating for their opponent the week the game was played -- the Cowboys played a shockingly weak schedule, second weakest of any playoff team.  Don’t expect that to be the case in 2024; a year where Dallas is primed to decline from recent seasons.  And it’s surely worth noting that teams lined at 9.5 wins or higher since the NFL Schedule was increased to 17 games have gone 22-14 to the Under.  Teams with nine home games - like the Cowboys -- lined at ten wins or higher? 9-3-1 to the UNDER with a 17-game schedule; an emerging trend worth riding here!  Take the Cowboys UNDER.

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
(193) UNLV at (194) Houston
7:00pm EDT - Aug 31/2024

THE PLAY: UNLV +3.5 (-110)

2% Take UNLV (#193)

Plain and simple: I have lived in Las Vegas since 1998.  The state of the UNLV football program RIGHT NOW heading into Barry Odom’s second year on the job is better than at any point over the last 27 football seasons that I’ve been following this program closely.  The Rebels have all the makings of a ‘bet-on’ team again in 2024, just like they were in 2023.

UNLV won nine games last year (most wins since the Randall Cunningham season in 1984) and reached the Mountain West Championship Game for the first time in the history of the program. They led the conference in scoring; returning an elite level receiving corps and the Rebels best offensive line in decades.  Defensively, UNLV has upgraded their secondary fairly dramatically through the transfer portal and they return the vast majority of their solid front seven.  No surprise here if defensive minded Odom creates a nasty stop unit in 2024.

Houston, on the other hand, is in complete rebuild mode under first year head coach Willie Fritz. Dana Holgorsen did not leave the cupboards stocked for the Cougars program, and Fritz didn’t exactly light the world on fire in his first two years at Tulane, winning only nine games (combined) -- he’s got time to fix things.  This line is low for a reason -- expect the Cougs to be in a dogfight just to win this game SU, let alone winning it by any sort of margin.  Take the points!  Take UNLV

Line Parameter: 2% at +3.5 or higher, 1.5% at +3 or lower

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
NFL
(463) New England Patriots at (464) Cincinnati Bengals
1:00pm EDT - Sep 8/2024

THE PLAY: Total Under 43.0 (-110)

2% Take Cincinnati - New England UNDER (#463-464)

The Bengals offense hasn’t clicked on all cylinders in Week 1 even once during the Zac Taylor era.  Cinci has been held to 24 points or less in regulation in each of their five Week 1’s under Taylor, averaging less than 17 points per game.  I’m not expecting 2024 to be dramatically different for a team that has consistently been underprepared on offense for their opener against a defensive minded foe like New England in the first game of the Jarod Mayo era.

The Patriots, on paper, have the single worst offense in the NFL.  We could see Drake Maye making his NFL debut on the road vs a good defense, which equates to a very conservative gameplan.  We could see Jacoby Brissett behind a weak offensive line throwing to a weak receiving corps. Either way, I’m not expecting touchdowns in bunches.  Early reports from mini-camp have detailed all kinds of issues for this limited attack; issues that are not likely to be solved on opening day.

There’s only one reason to make this bet now and lock up your money all summer with this wager -- getting the ‘best of the number’.  With 43’s still available and 42.5’s still widely available, let’s lock in now for a game likely to close at 42 or lower.  Take the UNDER.

Line Parameter: 2% at 42.5 or higher, 1.5% at 42 or lower

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jul 14
MLB
3% – St. Louis Cardinals -124 J Taillon (RHP), M Mikolas (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 13
MLB
3% – Arizona Diamondbacks -130 Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 13
MLB
3% – (955) Colorado Rockies at (956) New York Mets Total Over 8.0 (-118) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 12
MLB
2% – Pittsburgh Pirates +150 Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 12
MLB
3% – (915) Kansas City Royals at (916) Boston Red Sox Total Over 9.0 (-120)
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 11
MLB
3% – Pittsburgh Pirates -115 P Skenes (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 10
MLB
3% – (901) Los Angeles Dodgers at (902) Philadelphia Phillies Total Over 9.5 (-108) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 09
MLB
3% – St. Louis Cardinals -113 Action
(Analysis)
No Play
Jul 08
MLB
3% – St. Louis Cardinals -104 Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 07
MLB
3% – (963) Houston Astros at (964) Minnesota Twins Total Over 9.0 (-103) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 06
MLB
3% – (907) Milwaukee Brewers at (908) Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 8.5 (-118) Action
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 05
MLB
3% – (961) Boston Red Sox at (962) New York Yankees Total Over 8.0 (-113) Action
(Analysis)
Push
Jul 04
MLB
4% – Baltimore Orioles -139 C Burnes (RHP), B Miller (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 03
MLB
2% – (953) New York Mets at (954) Washington Nationals Total Over 8.5 (-120) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 03
MLB
3% – (961) Arizona Diamondbacks at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers Total Over 9.0 (-108) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 02
MLB
4% – (903) New York Mets at (904) Washington Nationals Total Over 9.0 (-113) Action
(Analysis)
Push
Jul 01
MLB
5% – (951) New York Mets at (952) Washington Nationals Total Over 8.0 (-108) D Peterson (LHP), M Gore (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 30
MLB
3% – (913) New York Yankees at (914) Toronto Blue Jays Total Over 8.0 (-113) Action
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 29
MLB
3% – (955) Pittsburgh Pirates at (956) Atlanta Braves 1H Total Under 3.5 (+100) P Skenes (RHP), M Fried (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 28
MLB
3% – (913) New York Yankees at (914) Toronto Blue Jays Total Over 8.0 (-118) Action
(Analysis)
Win
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Consultant Bio

Ted Sevransky better known as Teddy Covers moved to Las Vegas to bet on sports full-time back in 1998 and he's been doing it successfully ever since. During that time, Teddy has been featured prominently in the mainstream press. Print highlights include the New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Washington Post, Boston Globe, Las Vegas Review Journal and Playboy magazine. Television highlights include CBS This Morning, CNBC, PBS and Bloomberg TV. Teddy starred in the recent sports betting documentary Life on the Line and has been featured in an ESPN 30-for-30 and on Showtime's 'Action' miniseries. 

Teddy is a 1992 University of Michigan graduate. His handicapping approach is fine tuned for the modern betting marketplace in 2023; a market that is dominated by stat-based quants - the sharp money.  In one sentence, Teddy looks to identify and identify and isolate 'morphing' teams -- teams that are currently playing at a different level or pace (better or worse; faster or slower) than their long term statistical profile would indicate.  Those become teams to bet on, bet against, bet over and bet under, until the quants catch up with current realities and value them correctly.

This Ride the hot & fade the cold approach has allowed Teddy to provide for himself and his family with steady income from his sports betting winnings, over more than two decades.  And those two decades of experience grinding it out in Vegas allows Teddy to avoid some of the traps and pitfalls that befall many cappers.  Teddy is one bettor who can handle the highs and lows of this sometimes zany and always exciting business with consistent, calm professionalism.

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