Ronald Cabang

THE PLAY: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 (-110)

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Analysis: The Bucs have clear advantages on both sides of the ball against a struggling Raiders team. Tampa Bay’s offense is led by a healthy Baker Mayfield, who is protected well by his line and has strong targets like Mike Evans and Cade Otton. The Raiders’ pass defense has been poor, especially after losing key players like Christian Wilkins and Malcolm Koonce. With Mayfield expected to have plenty of time in the pocket, Evans should dominate, and running back Bucky Irving has proven capable of taking advantage of weak defenses, giving Tampa Bay a balanced attack.

Defensively, the Buccaneers match up well with the Raiders’ lackluster offense. Las Vegas has one of the league’s worst rushing attacks, and Tampa Bay excels at stopping the run, forcing the Raiders to rely entirely on quarterback Aidan O’Connell. While O’Connell had a solid game against Kansas City, he has struggled overall this season, particularly against better defensive schemes. Tampa Bay’s defense has consistently limited bad quarterbacks, allowing just 14.5 points per game against weaker offenses, and should be able to pressure O’Connell into mistakes.

Overall, the Buccaneers have the firepower and defensive edge to win comfortably. The Raiders’ inability to stop the run or pass consistently, combined with their reliance on an inexperienced quarterback, sets up Tampa Bay to control this game. Expect the Bucs to cover the spread with their superior talent and execution.

THE PLAY: Chicago Bears +4.0 (-110)

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Analysis: The Bears are trending upward while the 49ers are riddled with injuries and struggling to execute in key moments. San Francisco’s offense has been disappointing in the red zone, dropping from first in the league last year to near the bottom this season. Without Christian McCaffrey and Jordan Mason, the 49ers’ running attack takes a hit, leaving Isaac Guerendo as their primary back. Compounding the issue is the possible absence of offensive line anchors Trent Williams and Aaron Banks, which could allow the Bears' defense to pressure Brock Purdy effectively. Purdy also lacks his top receiving options, with Brandon Aiyuk out and Deebo Samuel not at full strength.

The Bears’ offense has shown significant improvement under new coaching adjustments. Caleb Williams is playing better, using his mobility to extend plays and connecting effectively with weapons like D’Andre Swift and Keenan Allen. The 49ers’ defense has been vulnerable against the run, ranking 26th in adjusted EPA against rushing attacks. With San Francisco’s defense missing key contributors like Nick Bosa and dealing with a diminished Fred Warner, the Bears should be able to capitalize with a balanced offensive attack.

This game sets up well for the Bears, who have been competitive in recent weeks and could easily have a better record if not for a few unlucky breaks. With a strong rushing game and improved quarterback play, they have the tools to exploit San Francisco’s weakened roster. Taking the Bears +4 gives you value in a matchup where Chicago has both momentum and favorable matchups to keep the game close or even win outright.