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Teddy Covers
NFL Football
View profile 
3% Take Las Vegas (#465)
The Patriots went 4-13 last year, with one of those four wins coming in Week 18 against a Bills team resting starters. They won a grand total of ONE game ‘comfortably’ all year, by more than a single score. Yes, New England brought in a new coach and went on a spending spree in free agency. But make no mistake about it – the Pats are NOT a team I’m comfortable laying points with in Week 1; a game they’ll need to win by more than a field goal to cash winning bets.
It’s surely worth noting that New England wasn’t favored in ANY games last year and went 1-4 SU as a favorite in 2023, not a team we can trust to win by margin. New head coach Mike Vrabel, dating back to his tenure with the Titans? 1-4 SU in his last five tries as chalk! Both the Pats and Vrabel have consistently been LOSING games like this in SU fashion…..
Meanwhile, the Raiders upgraded every bit as much as New England did this past offseason – not just the coach and the quarterback. That said, new QB Geno Smith went 7-1 SU on the highway as the starting quarterback for Seattle last year, including a hard fought OT win right here in Foxboro. And Pete Carroll is 4-1 SU in his last five Week 1’s, with only two losses by more than a field goal in his last 11 Week 1 tries; a coach who I trust to have his team ready. Live dog here! Take the Raiders.
Line Parameter: 3% at +3 or higher, 2% at +2.5 or lower
Released/revised 2 day(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Late NIght West Coast Wipeout Winner!: $25.00
Whether you have enjoyed a great betting Saturday or ‘not so much’, there’s always room for one last winner before the night is through! Teddy’s got you covered with his West Coast Wipeout, primed to close out your evening with a ‘right side’ ‘W’ backing a powerful and surging favorite in a game they're primed to win! Get onboard ...
5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins Release: $49.00
Teddy nailed his only 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins release last year, cashing with New Orleans UNDER 7.5 Wins in a ‘crash and burn’ season for the Saints. This isn’t new or different! Teddy is 17-4 (81%) with his 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Win releases since he started his annual report in 2001 -- he’s got a long-term PROVEN track record ...
Teddy Covers 2025 NFL Season Wins Report!: $199.00
Teddy's 25th NFL Season Wins Report is Here!Teddy Covers released his first NFL Season Wins Report in 2001. Now entering its 25th season, his record stands at 103-52-3 (66%), including an outstanding 17-4 (81%) on his 5% Big Ticket Reports—an extended track record of significantly profitable results.This year's report highlights ‘Bet-On’ and ...
Teddy Covers
NFL Football
View profile
3% Take the Washington Commanders UNDER 9.5 Wins (+105 at DraftKings, +100 at Westgate Superbook and BetMGM, -110/-115 widely available)
Washington was a breakout team in 2024 under first year head coach Dan Quinn and rookie QB Jaylen Daniels. They came on like a freight train down the stretch, winning their last five regular season games and a pair of playoff games before losing to Philly in the NFC Championship Game. Many are expecting a repeat performance in 2025. I am not.
Let me start with these two factors. First, the Commanders faced these quarterbacks down the stretch last year, from Week 12 on: Cooper Rush, Will Levis, Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler, Kenny Pickett, rookie Micheal Penix and Trey Lance. The ONLY one of those QB’s expected to start in 2025 is Penix. Based on MY power ratings for their opponent the week the game was played, Washington faced the single EASIEST schedule in the entire NFL last year. That’s not likely to repeat.
Second, the Commanders went 20-23 on fourth downs last year, an 87% conversion rate on the most important plays in the game. That’s ‘off the charts’ good. Two teams this century have had higher conversion rates (the 2016 Cowboys and 2018 Chargers), but neither of those squads had more than ten attempts, full season. 24% of their points came on drives that included a successful fourth down conversion, Top 5 this century. I expect significant regression.
Just from ‘opposing QB injuries luck’ and ‘fourth down conversion luck’, we can expect Washington to come back to earth in 2025. I should note some schedule disadvantages here. The Commanders face an NFL high three teams off a bye, and they play two ‘short week’ road games, leaving them with a ‘Bottom Five’ rest disadvantage. For some teams that might not matter quite so much. But it’s also worth noting that the Commanders enter the season as the single OLDEST team in the NFL, and it’s not even close.
The Ron Rivera era didn’t leave much quality roster depth, to put it mildly. Last year, the Commanders filled the gaps with veterans on short term deals; guys like Bobby Wagner, Dante Fowler, Zack Ertz and Andrew Wylie; all on the wrong side of 30. This offseason, they brought in Laremy Tunsil, Jonathan Jones, Deebo Samuel and Will Harris, all approaching or over 30 years old. I’m expecting injuries and attrition.
The Commanders went from 4-13 in 2023 to 12-5 last year. Modern NFL history tells us that teams that make a huge leap one year are primed to come back to earth the following season. We can confidently expect that regression from Dan Quinn’s squad in 2025. Take the Commanders Season Wins UNDER.
Released/revised 2 day(s) ago
Other Picks/Packages
Late NIght West Coast Wipeout Winner!: $25.00
Whether you have enjoyed a great betting Saturday or ‘not so much’, there’s always room for one last winner before the night is through! Teddy’s got you covered with his West Coast Wipeout, primed to close out your evening with a ‘right side’ ‘W’ backing a powerful and surging favorite in a game they're primed to win! Get onboard ...
5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins Release: $49.00
Teddy nailed his only 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Wins release last year, cashing with New Orleans UNDER 7.5 Wins in a ‘crash and burn’ season for the Saints. This isn’t new or different! Teddy is 17-4 (81%) with his 5% Big Ticket NFL Season Win releases since he started his annual report in 2001 -- he’s got a long-term PROVEN track record ...
Teddy Covers 2025 NFL Season Wins Report!: $199.00
Teddy's 25th NFL Season Wins Report is Here!Teddy Covers released his first NFL Season Wins Report in 2001. Now entering its 25th season, his record stands at 103-52-3 (66%), including an outstanding 17-4 (81%) on his 5% Big Ticket Reports—an extended track record of significantly profitable results.This year's report highlights ‘Bet-On’ and ...
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NFL Free Picks Against The Spread
Against the Spread betting on NFL games is another football bet type that has gained in popularity. One explanation for this is it can help take the emotion out of betting on NFL games. Instead of blindly following your heart and betting pure moneyline on your underdog team at long odds, you can take a more pragmatic approach. You can bet on your team to cover the spread (which might be more likely and at more reasonable odds) and then even if your NFL team drops a game, you can still come out ahead, despite the epic bummerhood of your team losing. At least you won your NFL ATS bet! Best NFL bets often include ATS picks.
You will undoubtedly see free NFL ATS picks out there, but you likely have found that they tend to focus only on the BIG games each week. WagerTalk looks to give you ATS NFL predictions on not only these games but also on games that are flying under the radar a bit. Free NFL picks for ATS bets are wildly popular and WagerTalk has 'em.
This holds true with WagerTalk's Over/Under NFL picks, our moneyline NFL picks, and even Player Prop picks. WagerTalk's team of expert NFL handicappers spends just as much, if not more, time on low-profile games as the massive games. The aim of it all is simply to provide you with WINNING free NFL picks!
NFL Player Props Picks & Free NFL Parlay Picks:
WagerTalk is going all out in 2025 and offering NFL player props picks free and team props as well. You'll see a variety of NFL prop bets free, including passing yard, receiving yards totals, rushing yards, and even anytime TD scorer props offered from a variety of NFL handicappers. NFL best bets often are props - players can outperform their teams!
NFL Best Bets - Totals. Free Over/Under Expert NFL Picks
Undoubtedly the favorite pick of bettors when they have no team preference, over/under picks set you up for a damned good time. Over/Under picks are simple - you just place your bet on the total score either being over or under a certain number that sportsbooks provide you with. You can choose alternate over/unders from the main line, which can give you longer odds, but also more lucrative wins. But which are of course more risky than the featured over/under line!
For whatever reason, setting a stick in the sand on a point total and betting above or below that number provides incredibly exciting NFL betting.
Obviously for more fun, you can always just bet on the over on NFL games, sit back and just cheer for points, points, points.
However, WagerTalk gets a but more sophisticated than that! WagerTalk picks multiple over/under bets each week and as the NFL handicappers are experts, you will see plenty of Under picks! Certainly, if the Steelers are playing
Grab your NFL over/under picks each and every day throughout the 2024-2025 season!
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Moneyline NFL Best Bets
WagerTalk brings you free NFL moneyline picks each week.
Moneyline picks are the simplest of all NFL bets. You just bet on a team to win outright and sit back and watch the game.
Odds on moneyline free NFL picks take into account the disparity of two teams - the underdog will have much longer odds, which means a bigger payout, BUT there IS a reason they are the underdog. Which is simply that they are not likely to win!
If you placed a $100 NFL moneyline pick on your heavy underdog team at odds of +550, you would win $550, for a total payout of $650. If you placed a moneyline bet on a moneyline pick that is a favorite, you may see odds of -125 or so, which would mean your $100 bet wins you $80, for a total payout of $180. Not bad for just picking the favorite to win!
WagerTalk takes the emotion out of betting moneyline by thorough analysis of each game and a look at team trends and many other factors. Give our free NFL moneyline picks a try every day.
Player Prop NFL Picks
One of the most popular and growing types of NFL bets is player props. The working theory among bettors who wager on prop bets is that due to the sheer volume of NFL prop bets, there exists a possibility that the lines are soft on certain player props. And if bet on correctly, you, the bettor, can come out ahead.
WagerTalk experts pick and choose carefully among available NFL prop bets, grabbing you NFL picks from their research. You can find some truly obscure, but winnable prop bet picks each week, from number of yards rushing a 2nd string running back might pull off to the over/under on the number of tackles that a linebacker might register that week.
WagerTalks leading NFL tipsters have posted extremely impressive records with their free prop bets, check out Gianni the Greek or Teddy Covers for good starting points!
NFL Picks This Week
WagerTalk's latest NFL picks are available on this page each and every day! You will find NFL expert picks against the spread and of course NFL predictions, picks, and team analysis throughout the year.
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| Type of NFL Pick | Does WagerTalk Offer This Type of NFL Pick? |
| Moneyline | Yes |
| Over/Under | Yes |
| ATS/Spread | Yes |
| Team Props | Yes |
| Player Props | Yes |
| Futures Betting Picks | Yes |
Types of NFL Free Predictions Offered
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