Free NFL Picks

The Prez

Event: (469) Miami Dolphins at (470) San Francisco 49ers

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: December 4, 2022 4:05 PM EST

Play: Total Over 46.5 (-110)

Mia +4 vs SF (46.5)

• What an interesting game that is for sure.
• There is no reason these 2 teams can’t play each other again in February, but that is a long shot especially for Miami, regardless of how good they are playing right now.
• SF on the other hand are a legit Superbowl contender, but the issue is they just can’t put up a ton of points – they can’t break a game open and put their foot down.
• While you have teams like KC and Buffalo averaging over 4 TDs a game, SF averages 22 points a game – that is a substantial difference. 
• Miami with Tua missing a ton of games averages just under 26 points a game and have put up 30, 39, 35, 31, and 46 points in their last 5 games – wow – they might have the best offense in football right now.
• This is a game of strength on strength with Miami’s amazing offense going up against a Lights out D. 
• SF has allowed 0 points in the 2nd half in 4 games in a row which is insane – and 0 points for the last 6 quarters.
• SF is #1 in points allowed 15.7 a game, 11th in stopping the pass and are #1 in stopping the run.
• So, what the hell do we do in this game – whose pace is it going to be.
• Here is what we know using history as an example – a strong D is better than a strong Offense – when push comes to shove pitching wins Championships, Goaltending wins Cups and great defenses win Bowls. 
• BUT – when SF played KC they allowed 44 points and that is really the only offensive comparable this season. 
• I have to think that Miami will get their points – not 35 or 39, but at least 21-24 which means SF needs 27 to cover that number. 
• So, from my perspective, the only way SF covers the number is if they get a minimum of 27 points and will likely need more.
• And we have seen SF put up points – they have put up over 30 3 times in their last 7 games and are averaging just under 23 points a game.
• I know this was long lol – but a fun game to take a part and an interesting one.
• I say if we take the dog and the over, we have a really good shot at 2-0 and a worse case of 1-1. 
• Lean – Miami +4
• Lean – Miami/SF Over 46.5

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago

19-7 NFL RUN: 4PM EST TOTAL BET: $ 15.00
Prez is on a 7-1, 19-7, 43-22 NFL Sun run and has won 8 of 12 NFL Sundays., In all his NFL, Prez is on a 9-2, 25-13 and 57-35 run and up BIG BIG Profit on the season. This is a Total bet for the Late games on Sunday.

College Football Bowl All-Access: Was $269.00 Now $ 149.00
From the ​Bahamas Bowl on December 1​6​th to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game on January 9th, we have you covered! Get every College Football bowl game released, including any​ ​5% Best Bets, from the handicapper of your choice​ for just $149.

Teddy Covers

Event: (467) Seattle Seahawks at (468) Los Angeles Rams

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: December 4, 2022 4:05 PM EST

Play: Seattle Seahawks -7.0 (-110)

3% Take Seattle (#467)

It’s been a complete collapse in LA for a Rams team riding an 0-5 SU/0-5 ATS run into Week 13. Remember, this team won the Super Bowl last February and expected to be right back in contention for another title this year. Instead, it’s been an unmitigated disaster; a 3-8 team just playing out the string.  The only previous time Sean McVay had a losing season in LA, the Rams closed out the season on an 0-7 SU/ATS Run.  Every veteran who can find an excuse to sit is sitting.  Plain and simple – the Rams are a team to fade – there’s no ‘switch’ to flip!

Seattle is NOT a team to fade right now.  There’s urgency for the Seahawks after a pair of frustrating, tight losses in their last two contests, including last week’s referee-aided OT defeat.  They’re stepping down in class here, facing a demoralized and injury ridden foe.  And let’s not forget what Geno Smith and the Seahawks offense have been doing on the highway, scoring 48, 32, 37 and 31 points in their last four road games. This line feels a bit high for good reason; a game that has all the makings of a comfortable victory for the road favorite. Take the Seahawks.

Line Parameter: 3% at -7 or lower, 2% at -7.5 or higher

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

Epic 48-23 (67%) 5% Big Tickets!: $ 35.00
The results do not lie. After an easy 20+ point blowout with Sacramento over Indiana earlier this week, Teddy’s strongest plays – his Big Ticket Reports – are now 48-23 (67%) over the last 18+ months!  That is the very definition of consistent winning results.  Teddy nailed his last NFL 5% Big Ticket as well, cashing with the C ...

Ride the Hot & Fade the Cold: $ 15.00
Teddy’s core betting philosophy is as simple as it gets: Ride hot teams until the betting marketplace catches up, while fading teams that are cold, playing below their season long statistical profile levels.  This NBA Sunday winner features a classic ‘Ride the Hot, Fade the Cold’ scenario; a prime opportunity to cash in!  Teddy is h ...

Teddy's PAC-12 Live Dog Shocker: $ 15.00
Teddy’s ready for Sunday’s PAC-12 slate, locked & loaded a live underdog in a spot where they’re primed to hang around for the full 40 minutes.  This feisty dog is showing real signs of dramatic improvement; the favorite has only covered one pointspread in this range all year and the recent series history is littered with close games ...

Las Vegas Cris

Event: (471) Los Angeles Chargers at (472) Las Vegas Raiders

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: December 4, 2022 4:25 PM EST

Play: Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 (-110)

Las Vegas Raiders +1.5 (-110) Raiders snuck up on everyone last year with a late-season run, and they may very well be doing it again this year. Las Vegas fired on all cylinders last week vs Seattle for another win. The Chargers have barely squeaked by this year with the wins they have, and struggled against the lowly Cardinals in Arizona. My metrics have the Raiders as the better team, and we are gifted with points. The trailing 5 weeks have the Chargers #24, while the Raiders rank #5 in the NFL gains over the L/5 wks. The full season metrics rank the Raiders 5 spots higher than the Chargers. Teasers with the Raiders over the 7 look very nice this week. 

((Subscribe at https://bit.ly/3ugKIvw for excellent betting strategy content))

((Free Discard Channel access https://discord.gg/9Dv3teJe ))

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago