Free NFL Picks

Adam Trigger

Event: (113) New York Jets at (114) Philadelphia Eagles

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 12, 2022 7:30 PM EDT

Play: New York Jets -135

I broke this one down in detail on Wednesday's edition of WagerTalk Today.  You can watch the replay of the show below

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=njPBufJdRvc

Both sides of this one have been hit by a good amount of sharp money so I'm not overly concerned with the line moving from Jets +1 up to Jets -3 back to Jets -110.  My handicap says Jets here, if something changes I will post to the free play section as well but as it stands I've locked in Jets on the ML and if you haven't bet this yet you can get a cheaper price right now.

In my opinion Saleh cares more about these games than Sirianni does and the Jets stable of backup QB's is far more experienced.  I think that makes the difference with the Jets pulling this one out.

Play on Jets -135 for 4% (or 4 units)

Released August 7, 2022 11:50 AM EDT
Last Update August 10, 2022 12:57 PM EDT

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The 2022 NFL season kicks off on Thursday, August 4, 2022, with the Jacksonville Jaguars vs. the Las Vegas Raiders. While some say they won’t bet on the pre-season, many NFL handicapping experts say there is more value in betting than any other sport!  This is one of the only times in sports betting that you can have a team and coach trying ...

Gianni the Greek

Event: (133) Los Angeles Rams at (134) Los Angeles Chargers

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: August 13, 2022 10:00 PM EDT

Play: Los Angeles Chargers -170

Released August 10, 2022 12:47 PM EDT

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In the NFL Draft. Gianni the Greek cashed 14 of 19 tickets, for 74% winners and adding +62.15% in profit for his clients, and is now focused on season win totals with both the NFL and College Football around the corner. Everyone knows when he releases the odds move, so make sure to get down and bet alongside Gianni!*season win totals will be l ...

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Andy Lang

Event: NFL Team Wins

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 8, 2022 7:53 PM EDT

Play: San Francisco 49ers UNDER 10 Wins

I am really surprised to see double digits on the 49ers as their quarterback situation is shaky at best.  San Francisco won 10 games last year with Jimmy Garoppolo starting 15 games, and with the trade rumors and off-season surgery it appears that they will hand the team over to Trey Lance, and I’ll be happy to wager that Trey Lance won’t win 11 games.  He only started 17 games in college at North Dakota State, and he only has 71 attempts in the NFL for a 57.8% completion rate with five touchdowns and two interceptions.  Trying to figure out how difficult a schedule is can be tough before the season starts with lots of unknowns, and they definitely play some bad teams, but it’s noteworthy that they have the Rams and Cardinals twice, the Chiefs, Buccaneers, Chargers, and Raiders as well.  Only eight teams were able to win 11 or more games last season, and two of them are in the division with San Francisco…one had Tom Brady as QB, one had Patrick Mahomes, one had Josh Allen, one had Aaron Rodgers, and one of the others (Tennessee) got to play the Jags, Texans and Carson Wentz twice each.  The point being, winning 11 games requires an elite quarterback, or a terrible division or both and San Francisco has neither.  Kyle Shannahan’s offense will certainly be productive, but Pro Footballl Focus has the offensive line ranked middle of the pack with some questions about the interior, and if they aren’t lights out it’s going to be a problem for a young quarterback like Lance.  It’s too big of a number for us, we’ll take the under.

Released July 17, 2022 1:02 PM EDT

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Las Vegas Cris

Event:

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 8, 2022 8:00 PM EDT

Play: Ravens to win the division

Ravens +210 to win division (2%)

Baltimore plays a last-place schedule this season. They added excellent players in the draft and will be healthy once again. The Bengals will play a 1st place schedule this year & have the primetime limelight in many games, where teams will have it out for them. They overshot their Pythag by several games last year, and they were able to avoid the injury bug miraculously well. The Bengals were very fortunate to get some of their wins, & I see lots of regression likely with them.  Looks like Watson is out for the season. Cleveland has talent, and they certainly may be a division contender without Watson. I just see the pathway of least resistance to be in Baltimore's favor. I liked this play anyway and had already played it. +220 and +210 are available, some sharp places are down to +175 already.>>> I suggest subscribing to the strategy content provided weekly https://bit.ly/3myFRla <<<

Released June 8, 2022 10:28 AM EDT

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Las Vegas Cris has quite an impressive NFL resume:- #2 All-Time in the NFL, up +241.14% in profit- Winner 2021 Stations Casinos Last Man Standing 150k NFL (tied)(6241 Entries)- 2020 $1k Circa Millions II Cashed $244,444 With 2nd(66%) & 5th(65%) in only 2 entries of (3148)- 2019 $1k Circa Millions, 2 entries, & finished 20th(62%) and 31st(61 ...

Teddy Covers

Event: (453) Baltimore Ravens at (454) New York Jets

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 11, 2022 1:00 PM EDT

Play: Baltimore Ravens -5.0 (-110)

Take Baltimore (#453)

There’s only one reason to make a Week 1 NFL bet now, over the summer, as opposed to waiting for Week 1 to roll around in September.  That reason? Taking advantage of a pointspread that is not likely to be there for much longer.  This game stands out in that regard.

John Harbaugh has his team ready coming out of training camp, year after year.  The results do not lie.  In Week 1 in the five years before last season, the Ravens were 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS winning by margins of 6, 20, 44, 49 and 32 points.  The Ravens extraordinary preseason success has clearly paid dividends in every recent Week 1 affair.

But last year, Baltimore lost in overtime against the Raiders in Week 1 after blowing a two TD lead; a loss that was the difference between a winning and losing record for the season in their disappointing campaign.  The Jets are likely to be improved in 2022, but they’re primed to struggle in the trenches here on both sides of the line of scrimmage.  I’m expecting the Ravens to ‘bring it’ in their opener, like they usually do, and I’m not anticipating all that much betting market support for the Jets in this matchup.  Let’s lock in on the Ravens Week 1 right now – barring major injury, this line can only go higher.  Take the Ravens.

Released June 20, 2022 3:09 PM EDT

Friday Night NFL-X Top Total $$: $ 15.00
Fresh off his first winner of the 2022 NFL Preseason with the Giants on the moneyline last night, Teddy is ready to deliver the goods for himself & his clients again with his Top Total Report for Friday Night.  Beating the NFL in August is all about STRONG information about coaching gameplans and player rotations.  Teddy has uncovered ...

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Teddy ranks #1 at Wagertalk in net profits over the past six months & he’s primed to put $$ in your pocket tonight with his Serious Smackdown winner, backing an MLB favorite in a beatdown spot at home against their rivals!  Get onboard with this proven profit producer and cash with his single Best Bet in MLB action right here, right now!

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Teddy’s NFL Week 1 track record is truly impressive. He went 3-1 (75%) last year, 2-1 (67%) in 2020, 3-1 (75%) in 2019, 3-0-1 (100%) in 2018, 3-1 (75%) in 2017, 4-0 (100%) in 2016, 3-1 (75%) in 2015. Add it all up and we’re talking about a 21-5-1 (81%) ATS mark in Week 1 over the last seven years, including a 7-1 (86%) mark with his Big Ti ...

Teddy Covers

Event: Teddy Covers NFL Win Totals Report

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 11, 2022 1:00 PM EDT

Play: 3% New York Giants OVER 7 Wins

3% Take the New York Giants OVER 7 Wins

Based on my adjusted power ratings for every team, every week (not the final numbers, which can be very misleading), the Giants faced one of the five toughest schedules in the NFL last year; consistently running into the wrong teams at the wrong times. That’s not likely to be the case in 2022. Based on THIS year’s season win totals, the G-men face the single weakest slate of opponents in the NFL.

NFC East teams play six games against their own division and four games each against the NFC North and AFC South. In division, they get bottom-feeder Washington. In the NFC North, they’ve got Detroit and Chicago, while the Packers appear somewhat vulnerable and the Vikings mediocre. In the AFC South, it's a similar story — no elite teams, two bottom feeders (Houston and Jacksonville), and two ‘ok’ teams — Indy and Tennessee. And the Giants also face three last place teams from last year in other divisions, including Carolina and Seattle, both expected to be competing for last place again this year. Unlike last year, in 2022, the G-men have a plethora of ‘step-down-in-class’ winnable games. Just about every strength of schedule analysis based on 2022 season win totals shows the G-men with the weakest slate of opponents in the NFL this year.

And because of that weak schedule, there are all kinds of value on the G-men this offseason because there is a ZERO betting bandwagon for this team. Over the last five seasons, the Giants are 5-0 UNDER their win totals; winning 3, 5, 4, 6, and 4 games.  They covered only six-point spreads in 17 games last year; tied for the fewest ATS covers in the league. This is not a team that the betting markets are primed to overvalue heading into the campaign.

The Giants have accumulated an enormous amount of talent through all of those high draft choices (thanks to poor finishes) and some significant free agent spending. They declined QB Daniel Jones fifth year option, giving them, even more, $$ to spend and ensuring that Jones will be as fully focused as a QB can be; a guy who, with a good season, can earn a $100 million contract and with a bad season will never get another starting opportunity other than in the ‘fill-in on a bottom feeder’ or ‘train the new guy role, a difference of what 80-90 million or so. A smart David Cutcliffe-coached kid from Duke knows that full well. Every offseason quote from Danny Dimes sounds like this: “ “I’m certainly confident in myself,’’ Jones said. “I’m confident in the team we have and the coaches and the system. … My job is to prepare to play as well as I can, help the team win games, and that’s certainly what I’m focused on.’’  And if Jones fails, Tyrod Taylor falls into the ‘decent veteran backup’ category, not the ‘hopeless’ category.

The G-men brought in a new GM and coaching staff from Buffalo, along with a pair of new coordinators. That can ONLY be a good thing; Joe Judge and Pat Shurmur combined to cost this team a handful of games over the last two seasons; Brian Daboll and Mike Kafka (another smart kid, once the Northwestern QB) can only make things better in their first year on the job when the focus is there from veterans across the roster.

Let’s not forget that it was only last offseason when the Giants spent like drunken sailors, expecting to contend. There are eight wins of talent on this roster — a loaded receiving corps, an offensive line that looks vastly improved, a strong front seven on defense, and a secondary that has invested ample draft capital and free agent dollars to be solid — especially when we consider how weak this schedule truly is.  All we need is mediocrity to cash this bet; something the Giants are more than capable of achieving.  Take the Giants OVER.

Released June 27, 2022 1:02 PM EDT

Friday Night NFL-X Top Total $$: $ 15.00
Fresh off his first winner of the 2022 NFL Preseason with the Giants on the moneyline last night, Teddy is ready to deliver the goods for himself & his clients again with his Top Total Report for Friday Night.  Beating the NFL in August is all about STRONG information about coaching gameplans and player rotations.  Teddy has uncovered ...

Teddy's Friday MLB Best Bet : $ 15.00
Teddy ranks #1 at Wagertalk in net profits over the past six months & he’s primed to put $$ in your pocket tonight with his Serious Smackdown winner, backing an MLB favorite in a beatdown spot at home against their rivals!  Get onboard with this proven profit producer and cash with his single Best Bet in MLB action right here, right now!

5% Big Ticket: Rams - Bills Week 1 : $ 35.00
Teddy’s NFL Week 1 track record is truly impressive. He went 3-1 (75%) last year, 2-1 (67%) in 2020, 3-1 (75%) in 2019, 3-0-1 (100%) in 2018, 3-1 (75%) in 2017, 4-0 (100%) in 2016, 3-1 (75%) in 2015. Add it all up and we’re talking about a 21-5-1 (81%) ATS mark in Week 1 over the last seven years, including a 7-1 (86%) mark with his Big Ti ...

Tony Mejia

Event: (455) New Orleans Saints at (456) Atlanta Falcons

Sport/League: NFL

Date/Time: September 11, 2022 1:00 PM EDT

Play: Total Under 41.0 (-110)

It isn't easy to isolate an NFL regular-season Week 1 play before teams even suit up to square off in the preseason for the first time, but this NFC South showdown looks like a solid option. Jameis Winston hopes to reclaim his role as QB-1 in New Orleans after tearing his ACL and MCL last Halloween and is well on his way, but with Dennis Allen replacing Sean Payton as head coach and the team's top personnel serving on the defensive side of the ball, we should see the Saints' identity change. Not turning the football over will be Winston's priority, which could lead to a conservative approach early in the season. With Matt Ryan gone and either Marcus Mariota or rookie Desmond Ridder taking over, an emphasis on the ground attack and short passing game is likely in Atlanta. Veteran defensive coordinator Dean Pees has already issued the mandate that the team must dominate on that side of the ball, so points could be hard to come by at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on Sept. 11. Ride the under.

Released August 8, 2022 10:51 AM EDT

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An MLB 5% play is available for Friday night. Mejia is 10-4 on MLB 5% plays in 2022 and is on a 9-2 run on 4% plays in August. He's on a 36-12-2 run on 4% MLB MoneyLine plays (75%, 86.12% ROI) and is 5-2 over his last seven 4% MLB totals. Mejia is on a 40-15-2 run on 4% MoneyLine plays (72.7%, +88.12% ROI) dating back to last season. Meji ...

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Get Friday's top plays for NFL Preseason action for just $19. Mejia swept Thursday's card and is now 3-0 on the exhibition season (+700). He enters the night on a 45-26 spread run (63.4%, +34.38% ROI), connecting on eight of his last 10. He's on a 61-47-1 totals run (56.5%, 23.43% ROI) and has gone 114-94 oaver his last 208 plays (54.8%, +31.82% RO ...