Andy Lang

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• Last updated Jul 01 5:36 PM EDT

• SportGame SelectionGame Time

  GLFBrendan Steele over Erik Van Rooyen FIRST ROUND7:00am EDT - Aug 6/2020
  THE PLAY: Brendan Steele over Erik Van Rooyen FIRST ROUND

  We cashed a bet against Van Rooyen first round last week, we’ll do it again this week. Very crazy thing going on with Van Rooyen and his bad first rounds. In 8 of his 10 tournaments in 2020, his first round has been the worst round of the tournament for him. In those 10 tournaments he only has one round below 70. So he starts out slow, and then picks it up as the tournament goes on, and he did it last week as each round got better. Last week we had Louis Oosthuizen against him in round one and we loved it because Louis does good in the first round, and it cashed, and this week we get Brendan Steele who likes starting off good as well. Since the restart he’s played in 4 PGA Tour events and in 3 of those his first round was the best round of the tourney for him.

My betting strategy is pretty simple.  From week to week, I believe I know more about NASCAR than the books, so going into every bet I feel I have an advantage.  There are some rules I follow in betting NASCAR that I have figured out works best over the years.  Here they are:

1.  I bet the same amount every bet.  There is no 1 unit, 2 units, or bet of the year.  If it's good enough for me to bet, it deserves the same amount as the other bets. 

2.  I'm cautious with what I bet meaning I only play the bets I'm very sure about.  I don't get cute with picks, or take picks I have a "gut feeling" about.  The numbers have to make sense, and if they do I play it. 

3.  I'm aggressive with the amout of bankroll I wager.  However, I don't like telling people how much of their bankroll to wager on each play.  It's your bankroll, that your business.  But for me, I am usually wagering around 5% of my bankroll per play.  To some it may sound like a lot, but I don't have a lot of bets going at any one time, so I can be a little more aggressive.  But always wager whats comfortable for you.

4.  Don't lay big juice.  It's a rule for most sports, but laying juice in auto racing is a recipe for disaster.  Racing is a weird sport to wager on sometimes.  With one flat tire, bad pit stop, or a crash the guy you bet on could have been winning your head to head matchup the entire race and lose it all of a sudden at the end.  So I've learned, no matter how good the matchup looks...stay away from the juiced up lines.  -125 is about the lowest I'll go.

5.  I stick to Head To Head matchups.  The days of getting value in picking outright winners is over.  Years ago you could get good value on guys to win at 12-1, 15-1, etc.  But the books got sick of giving out those big winners, so they've cut out all the value in outright winners (I'm sure me and some of my NASCAR gambling buddies are to blame for this).  The value for me is now in head to head picks.  That's what 99% of my NASCAR bets will be.  Occasionally, I might find a prop I like, but I like to stick to H2H's and just be really good at that.

5.  Always look at the big picture.  One of the hardest things to do.  Having a losing week sucks, but it's gambling...it happens.  I really noticed a positive change in my wagering career when I stopped letting one losing race affect my emotions and my gambling, and just relaxed and looked at the year as a whole.  It's why if someone wants to follow my NASCAR picks, I recommend to follow all year, and follow all picks.  Don't just pick various weeks to follow, or certain picks to bet, and laying off others.  It's a long term game.  The goal is to turn a profit over the course of a season.

 I have lived in Indianapolis for my whole life, and I have always loved and been fascinated with sports gambling.  Like most, I took my lumps when I first got started until I found the betting strategy that works for me ... and that's sticking to the sport I know best ... NASCAR!!!  I used to be the guy that bet all the sports, thinking I knew more about football, baseball and basketball than the books, and when I finally realized I was losing money at all those, and making money at betting NASCAR ... that's when sports gambling went from a hobby to a source of income.