Andy Lang

THE PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays Total Over 4.5 (-135) A Houser (RHP), M Parker (LHP) Must Start

Washington sends Parker to the mound, and he’s been nothing short of a disaster lately, giving up 28 earned runs in just his last 21 innings. That’s the kind of form we love to fade. Tampa Bay’s bats have gone cold in the last couple of games, but before that they erupted for 26 runs across three games, showing the offensive upside this team still carries.

This looks like a classic bounce-back spot: struggling pitcher, tired bullpen behind him, and a Rays lineup that has already shown they can put up crooked numbers in bunches. With Parker’s recent struggles and Tampa’s potential to wake up offensively, the Rays going over 4.5 runs is the play.

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THE PLAY: Indiana Total Over 38.5 (-110)

Indiana’s offense is set up for another explosive start under Coach Curt Cignetti, who proved in his first season that he’s not afraid to run up the score. Last year, Indiana put up 31 and 77 points in their first two games, and with a new quarterback and upgraded offensive line and receiving corps, the expectation is that they’ll keep their aggressive style rolling. Cignetti knows the path to the playoff includes statement wins, and he’ll push his team to score deep into garbage time if needed.

Old Dominion does get their defensive leader back after injury, but this still looks like a tough matchup. Indiana’s improvements in the trenches and secondary should make it difficult for Old Dominion to consistently move the ball, leading to good field position opportunities for the Hoosiers’ offense. Combine that with IU’s ability to finish drives and control tempo, and the pressure will be on ODU all night.

With an aggressive coach, upgraded talent, and an offense designed to attack from start to finish, Indiana should have no problem reaching the 40s here. The Over 38.5 team total is the play.

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