Today's Top NBA Picks for Free- Expert NBA Predictions For Today May 9

Oskeim Sports NBA Basketball

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Event:

(503) Oklahoma City Thunder at (504) Los Angeles Lakers: Spread

Date/Time:

May 9, 2026 8:30 PM EDT

Play:

Oklahoma City Thunder -8.5 (-110)

Oklahoma City has won the first two games by an average of 18 points, including a 125-107 victory over the Lakers on Thursday. Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1848-1559-66 ATS (54.2%), while road favorites in the same price range coming off three consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points are 787-616-29 ATS (56.1%). Moreover, NBA road favorites arriving off consecutive 9-plus point home wins are 247-183-8 ATS (57.4%), while NBA road teams coming off two or more consecutive double-digit home wins are 220-166-9 ATS (57%) versus opponents off a loss. Oklahoma City’s prolific offense triggers a very good 296-210-11 ATS (58.5%) system that invests on certain road favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points coming off three straight games in which they scored at least 105 points. Los Angeles has been an underdog in the first two games in this series, which is significant because NBA playoff underdogs coming off back-to-back games as underdogs are 275-361-13 ATS (43.2%). Since 1989, NBA road favorites of -5 or greater with a worse ATS margin on the road are 1021-846-39 ATS (55%) versus opponents with a better ATS margin at home. Finally, the Thunder are 117-68-3 ATS (63.2%) following a game in which they had a certain number of assists, provided they won. Take the Oklahoma City Thunder as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Saturday, May 9.

PROVEN PERFORMANCE

-> Torrid 134-92 Overall Run | +82 Units
-> Top Plays (All Sports): 46-30 (60%)
-> #1 Basketball (NBA/NCAA): 103-71 (59.2%)
-> Red-Hot 42-28 (60%) NBA Run
-> NBA Top Plays: 64% Winners in ‘26

Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago

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Teddy Covers NBA Basketball

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Event:

(501) Detroit Pistons at (502) Cleveland Cavaliers: Total

Date/Time:

May 9, 2026 3:00 PM EDT

Play:

Total Over 211.5 (-110)

Take Det - Clev Game 3 OVER (#501-502)

The three biggest factors for NBA totals are pace, three point shooting and free throw attempts.  We can expect more free throw attempts and more three point makeson Saturday in Game 3 than we did either of the first two games; and we’ve got a lower posted total.  It’s not like Game 1 or Game 2 was particularly sluggish – neither was uptempo but ineither was a true slowdown affair either.   Here’s the key quote from Cavs head coach Kenny Atkinson, talking about what Donovan Mitchell needs to do to turn the series around: “Get to the paint, get to the rim. That's all you can do. That's all you control. You know, we just got to keep driving the ball. You meet aggressiveness with aggressiveness, and then we got to make the right reads.  So keep getting to the paint. It'll turn. It usually does with the free throws.”   Put it all together and this Saturday Afternoon total looks a notch or two low for this bettor.  Take the OVER.

Released/revised 15 hour(s) ago

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Jeff Michaels NBA Basketball

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Event:

(503) Oklahoma City Thunder at (504) Los Angeles Lakers: LeBron James Points

Date/Time:

May 9, 2026 8:30 PM EDT

Play:

LeBron James Points Over 21.5 (-105)

(503) Oklahoma City Thunder at (504) Los Angeles Lakers: LeBron James Points

1.5% LeBron James Points Over 21.5 (-105)

LeBron James Performance Analysis:

• Current Averages: LeBron James has been a central figure for the Lakers in the playoffs, averaging 23.7 points per game while playing 38.4 minutes per game. He takes an average of 18.3 field goals per game, including 5.1 three-pointers.

• Scoring in the Series: In the first two games of the playoff series, LeBron scored 23 points in game #1 and 27 points in game #2. His ability to consistently reach scoring totals is evident, and he has topped this scoring total in 7 of the last 8 playoff games. The only exception to this success was a game against Houston, where he scored less due to playing only 33 minutes in a 115-96 loss.

• Shooting Efficiency: LeBron has been efficient in shooting, hitting 60% in the first two games of the series.

• Team Performance: The Lakers as a team shot 50% in game #2, and excluding the last games of the regular season when resting starters the last time they allowed 50% plus at home was January 11.

Released/revised 19 hour(s) ago

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If two high-scoring NBA teams match up, you could very well see some pretty extravagantly high overs - but that doesn't mean it's not worth taking a look - but check with our NBA expert handicappers first for their suggested free NBA picks!

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Find More Free Sports Picks! 

NFL free picks are always an option, and if you're sticking to basketball, try free NCAAB picks.

Time for Fun NBA Stats:  Can You Apply The Past to the Present in NBA Bets?

Ten Highest Player Scoring Seasons in NBA History - Who's Your Scoring Player Prop in this Year's NBA?

Ok, well most of this list won't come as any surprise to anybody, as it's mostly Wilt Chamberlain.  But there are a few surprises in the top ten there - who's going to score lights out this year and be your daily player prop scoring betting pick?

• 1961-62 Wilt Chamberlain - 50.36 ppg
• 1962-63 Wilt Chamberlain - 44.83 ppg
• 1960-61 Wilt Chamberlain - 38.39 ppg
• 1959-60 Wilt Chamberlain - 37.60 ppg
• 1986-87 Michael Jordan - 37.09 ppg
• 1963-64 Wilt Chamberlain - 36.85 ppg
• 2018-19 James Harden - 36.13 ppg
• 1966-67 Rick Barry - 35.58 ppg
• 2005-2006 Kobe Bryant - 35.40 ppg
• 1987-88 Michael Jordan - 34.98 ppg

Amazing NBA Team Performances: Team Prop NBA Picks - What Can The Past Tell You?

Team props are a fun way to get involved in NBA betting. After all, it takes all the stress out of needing a team to win or cover a spread.  You simply need to have a team reach certain stats.  

Team NBA props are incredibly varied, from points in a half, game, or quarter, to total team rebounds, to team shooting percentage or team defense.   Check out some amazing one-game stats from could-have-been NBA team props that would have been easy money.

Golden State Warriors - FIFTY-FIVE points scored in a quarter - April 9, 2023

Toronto Raptors - TWENTY-THREE Blocks in a game  - March 23, 2001

Seattle SuperSonics - TWENTY-SEVEN Steals in a game - January 15, 1997

Boston Celtics - ONE HUNDRED TWELVE Rebounds in a game - December 24, 1960