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Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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MLB BIG BET / #1 PROFIT IN 2025: $15.00
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Scott Rickenbach
Major League Baseball
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Rickenbach Free picks here at WagerTalk are on a fantastic 110-79 run since 23 July 2024! Next one HERE:
Free Pick Rotation #963 MLB Monday Free Pick OVER 7 -123 in Seattle Mariners vs Kansas City Royals @ 9:40 ET - Certainly I understand the low total here based on the hitting struggles these teams have from time to time and long-term overall trending. However, both these pitchers seem to be over-rated here and this is keeping this total lower than it should be. Michael Wacha is 1-3 with a 4.63 ERA this month. George Kirby is having a tough season by his standards as well and he is 0-4 with a 5.84 ERA in night starts this season. Mariners have seen 8 of last 10 games total at least 10 runs! Royals have scored 4.6 runs per game 7 road games. Given all of the above, this is a generously low total. Free Pick OVER 7 -123 in Seattle
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Bryan Power
Major League Baseball
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Two teams that are pretty ice cold right now. The Diamondbacks just got swept here at home - by the Marlins - over the weekend. Meanwhile, the Giants have lost five of their last six games, and were swept themselves (at home) by the Marlins last week.
But a couple of things have caught my eye. One is that the Giants should not have opened as -150 favorites on the ML. The market clearly agrees with my assessment as we’ve already seen the number come down. Two, Logan Webb is the reason the Giants did open as the favorite here. But Webb has pretty stark home vs. road splits throughout his career: 2.62 ERA at home vs. 4.04 on the road. Twice as many home runs allowed per nine innings on the road.
Arizona is #3 in all of MLB in runs per game. And #2 in runs per game scored at home. Bottom line, even with Webb on the mound here, I don’t think the Giants are a demonstrably better team than the D’backs. So give me Arizona, at home, at a plus price.
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Steve Merril
Major League Baseball
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Baltimore starter Trevor Rogers projects to give up 2.4 runs with a 3.51 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Texas’ lineup has hit just .196 (11-56) with a weak .548 OPS against Rogers in his career. The Rangers will start Patrick Corbin. The lefty projects to give up 2.7 earned runs with a 4.43 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. With the starting pitching in Baltimore’s favor, look for the Orioles to get a solid road win in this game on Monday night.
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Ross Benjamin
Major League Baseball
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Carlos Rodon has made 3 career starts at Toronto and collected a terrible 8.36 ERA/1.86 WHIP during those outings. Rodon has started 3 games versus Toronto since 2023 and his 8.79 ERA/1.75 WHIP during those outings left much to be desired. The Yankees bullpen has been erratic over their previous 6 games which is evident by their staff 5.23 ERA/1.45 WHIP during that stretch.
Toronto is 6-0 in their last 6 at home when facing lefthanded starting pitchers like Carlos Rodon. The current Yankees roster has struck out on 40.8% of their 147 at bats in their careers when facing Max Scherzer.
Bet the Toronto Blue Jays +1.0 on the alternate run-line at odds of -120 to +120.
For a more detailed analysis on this pick and an additional bonus winner on the Padres/Phillies game view the video below.
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MLB 4* Top Play: 56-36/+37 Units Run: $25.00
MLB 4% Top Play Total: A's vs. Rays 7:35 ETAll Premium Picks 54-36 (60%) and +37.43 units since 5/12.All MLB Premium Picks on a current 39-27 run and +23.07 units.Start your sports betting week off by cashing a winning ticket on this huge MLB total.
All Sports 54-36 (60%) & +37.43 Units
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Mark Zinno
Major League Baseball
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I broke this play down on the Morning Wager with Bryan Power on WagerTalk YouTube, linked here:
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Andy Lang
Major League Baseball
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Rays UNDER 2.5 Team Total First 5 Innings
Jacob Lopez has been in excellent form, allowing 1 or fewer runs in 4 straight starts and 8 total this season. The Rays haven’t faced him before, giving Lopez the element of surprise with his pitch mix. Tampa's bats have struggled with unfamiliar lefties, and Lopez's command has been sharp early in games. Strong recent form, no batter familiarity, and a quiet Rays lineup make this a great spot to fade Tampa early.
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Teddy Covers
Major League Baseball
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2% Take Arizona (#956) (list Nelson for the D-backs))
Ryan Nelson has allowed zero or one run five times in his last six starts; the lone exception coming in hitter friendly Great American Ballpark. There’s real urgency for the D-backs tonight after getting swept at home by Miami over the weekend, including an eighth inning collapse yesterday. Manager Terry Lovullo: “What I saw there today was unacceptable. A frustrating series. We have to be better than that. That's ultimately on me. We're going to figure this out." At least Arizona’s lineup is hitting: 19 runs scored over the weekend; 36 runs scored in their last six ballgames.
San Franciso isn’t hitting at all right now. They’re 1-5 against the White Sox and Marlins in their last two series, held to a combined total of six runs in their just concluded three game set in Chicago. I’m not listing Logan Webb – if he gets scratched, we’ll be getting the best of the number. And despite Webb’s strong stats, the Giants are just 7-8 in his last 15 starts since April, bad news for backers consistently laying juice with Bob Melvin’s ace. Live dog here! Take the Diamondbacks
Line Parameter: 2% at +100 or better, 1.5% at -101 or worse
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26-13 (67%) 4% or Higher! 5 Inning $$: $25.00
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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My MLB plays are determined by statistical data (standard and advanced metrics from Fangraphs.com), historical data involving similar games and situations (researched through the SDQL database), and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The play's size is determined by how many of these factors align, the perceived value, and my level of confidence in the play.
KEY SITUATIONAL ANGLE:
Play AGAINST road teams averaging no more than 4.2 runs per game after allowing no more than 2 runs, and facing an AL starting pitcher with an ERA between 4.20 and 4.70. Applies to Baltimore.
54-27 (66.7% with a 17.7% ROI) since the 2018 season, winning by an average of 1.4 runs per game.
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20-0 ANGLES! 5% MLB TOTAL MAX BET!: $35.00
Dwayne is #1 ALL-TIME at WagerTalk in Profit from 5% MLB Totals at +78.9 units! On Monday, DB has isolated his FIRST 5% MLB MAX Total of the season. This massive 5% MLB play is backed by TWO (2) situational angles that have gone an undefeated 20-0-1 combined! One situational angle has cashed by an average of 4.4 runs per game, and the other s ...
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Bill "Krackman" Krackomberger
Major League Baseball
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Rookie called up last week with ELITE stuff
Boston 3rd highest K rate
OK with OVER 6.5 +120
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TOP MLB PLAY (80%) *ONLY $15*: $15.00
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Jeff Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(963) Kansas City Royals at (964) Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners -153 M Wacha (RHP), G Kirby (RHP) Must Start
The Royals are in a 59% fade situation. Road teams off a home loss, playing a series opener on Monday as an underdog or favorite to -190 are 135-194 since 2017.
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64% MLB RUN! MLB PROP!: $15.00
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Ben Burns
Major League Baseball
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Today's starters opposed each other a week ago, at Baltimore. Rogers pitched a gem while Corbin struggled. Baltimore won 6-0. The O/U line for that game was 9, or 9.5, depending on when and where one played. Today's rematch at Globe Life Field has an O/U line of 8.5. That lower O/U line is providing us with solid line value. Corbin, who is 1-3 with a 5.48 ERA this month, is generally unreliable. Rogers has only made three starts so far this season. As mentioned, he was excellent against the Rangers last week. However, in his last road start, he only lasted 2 1/3 innings and he allowed eight runners to reach base while giving up three runs. I don't see him matching last week's effort. Having just seen both starters, the batters should have the advantage today. Let's go with the over.
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Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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Garrett Crochet has mowed down nearly every lineup he’s faced, most recently throwing 7 innings of shutout baseball with just 3 hits and 10 K’s against the Angels. He’s been consistently dominant while throwing deep into games, having allowed just 2 runs total over his past 3 starts. This is a good “get right” spot for Boston who is trying to break out of a slump, but the bats are not completely dead as we saw them plate 15 on Saturday. Look for Boston to get back on track as they cruise to a rather easy victory in the series opener. Take the Red Sox RL.
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Free MLB Picks - 2025 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts
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WagerTalk offers every type of MLB expert picks you could possibly want. At WagerTalk you'll find daily free MLB picks that include:
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Naturally. You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB.
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You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk. So what is the runline and why should you bet on it? Well, simple!
The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?
WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds.
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Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!
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Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?
What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?
Did you make a bet on any of these? If you did, you're an expert already.
- Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
- Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
- Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
- Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
- Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002
Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001. They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.
After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954, the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.
Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The Chicago Cubs take it. 116 games in 1906. Nuts. They went 116-36. The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022. The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins. The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well.
Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?
Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903? Indeed it has! And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties.
Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles. Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.
Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?
Yogi Berra. Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi. 10 World Series titles!
