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Free MLB Picks - MLB Best Bets Today May 18

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Las Vegas Cris MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(973) Los Angeles Angels at (974) Texas Rangers
Los Angeles Angels +121 P Sandoval (LHP), J Urena (RHP) Must Start

3p LAA ML (+110) listed/listed


  • once again, the Angels should be the fav in this according to our modeling
    • expected score: 5.1 - 3.8
  • Sandoval's metrics are much better than surface
    • 3.95 xFIP / 3.70 SIERA
  • Urena: 4.84 xFIP / 4.40 SIERA 
  • Offensively, both teams are a wash; middle to upper third over the L14
    • But, vs LHP over the L14, TEX only has a .639 OPS and .102 ISO. Basically a lot of singles with no power.
  • Just like yesterday when we won with the Angels, their greatest advantage comes with the hot pen vs a terrible Rangers pen:
    • Angels L14: 2.91 SIERA / 1.18 WHOP / .206 BAA / 30.3% K
    • Rangers: 5.27 SIERA / 1.89 WHIP / .248 BAA / 19% walk rate

Good to -105


Released/revised 32 minute(s) ago

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The Gold Sheet MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(959) San Diego Padres at (960) Atlanta Braves
1H San Diego Padres -105 Y Darvish (RHP), B Elder (RHP) Must Start

It's been over a full calendar month since Yu Darvish last allowed a run (April 14). The veteran righty has enjoyed a resurgence this season, and perhaps the most impressive part is who he's done it against. All eight of Darvish's starts this season have come against top-tier offenses, including three starts against the Dodgers. In his last outing against Los Angeles, Darvish held the Dodgers scoreless for 7.0 innings with two hits and one walk allowed. He won't be intimidated against this Braves' offense, which may be without Austin Riley again on Saturday. Bryce Elder enters this weekend in the bottom-20th percentile among pitchers in expected ERA, expected batting average allowed, chase rate, strikeout rate and hard-hit rate. The Padres should enjoy a sizable advantage in this starting pitcher matchup.

Released/revised 41 minute(s) ago

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NBA+MLB Top Choice Duo | 8-2 NBA Run: $29.00

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Tokyo Brandon MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(961) Cincinnati Reds at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers: Walker Buehler Strikeouts Thrown
Walker Buehler Strikeouts Thrown Under 5.5 (+ 125) G Ashcraft (RHP), W Buehler (RHP) Must Start

Buehler has gotten shelled in two starts and did not pitch in 2023. The Reds K about 8 per 9 and to get to 6 Ks I think he needs to pitch into the 7th inning. I don't see it. He K'd 4 in 2022 in 5.2 innings vs the Reds and I just don't see him getting 6 here.


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Steve Merril MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(961) Cincinnati Reds at (962) Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-103) G Ashcraft (RHP), W Buehler (RHP) Must Start

Los Angeles starter Walker Buehler projects to give up 2.0 runs with a 3.29 ERA and 1.16 WHIP.  Cincinnati’s lineup has hit just .214 (3-14) with a weak .467 OPS against Buehler in his career.  The Reds will start Graham Ascraft.  The righty projects to give up 3.2 earned runs with a 5.17 ERA and 1.50 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in Los Angeles’ favor, look for the Dodgers to notch an easy home win in this game on Saturday night.

Play DODGERS (-1.5 runline).


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Ralph Michaels MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(979) Detroit Tigers at (980) Arizona Diamondbacks
1I Total Under 0.5 (-135) J Flaherty (RHP), Z Gallen (RHP) Must Start

(979) Detroit Tigers at (980) Arizona Diamondbacks 

1I Total Under 0.5 (-135) J Flaherty (RHP), Z Gallen (RHP) Must Start

Going back to yesterday's winner.

Data is from the First Inning report I load daily on X - @CalSportsLV

Detroit's is 7-1 NRFI since May 8th

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(969) Minnesota Twins at (970) Cleveland Guardians
1H Total Under 4.5 (-135) B Ober (RHP), L Allen (LHP) Must Start

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

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Ben Burns MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(953) Colorado Rockies at (954) San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants -184 T Blach (LHP), K Harrison (LHP) Must Start

The Rockies' 7-game winning streak came to an end last night. Now that they've come back down to earth, I'm expecting a second straight loss this afternoon. Harrison was supposed to go yesterday but got switched to today. He blanked the Rockies through seven innings less than two weeks ago. Including that 5-0 victory, the Giants are 7-2 when he's on the mound. Blach gave up three home runs when he faced the Giants (was also vs. Harrison) last September. The Giants won that 9/8/23 game and they will win again this afternoon. 

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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(977) Boston Red Sox at (978) St. Louis Cardinals
Boston Red Sox -112 K Crawford (RHP) Must Start

Released/revised 16 hour(s) ago

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WagerTalk offers you free MLB predictions and betting picks every day of 2024 for MLB games - from the Pirates to the Giants to.. well, every team in Major League Baseball.   And don't forget our daily HR Props!

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Naturally.  You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB. 

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You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk.  So what is the runline and why should you bet on it?  Well, simple!

The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?

WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds.  

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Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring.  Everybody loves that. 

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You'll find MLB pitching prop picks from WagerTalk all during the long long MLB season.   Like hitting props, bettors can get some terrific ML picks free from WagerTalk - pitcher prop picks that help them select how their ace pitcher will perform on the mound. Each starting pitcher usually receives a list of pitching props, such as: 'Total Pitching Strikeouts', 'Total Hits Allowed', 'Total Outs Recorded', 'Total Earned Runs Allowed', and more.

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Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?

Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001.  They grabbed 116 wins, but then… choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.

After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954,  the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.


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Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?

The Chicago Cubs take it.  116 games in 1906. Nuts.  They went 116-36.  The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022.  The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins.  The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well. 

Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?

Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903?  Indeed it has!  And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties. 

Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles.  Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.

Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?

Yogi Berra.  Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi.  10 World Series titles!

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