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The Gold Sheet
Major League Baseball
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Spencer Steer is 7-for-16 with a double and a home run against Washington's Miles Mikolas in prior meetings. Steer has gotten a hit in 12 of his last 13 games, including a home run on Sunday at home against the Astros. Mikolas brings a 7.44 ERA into Tuesday's contest. He sits in the bottom-15th percentile among pitchers in whiff rate, strikeout rate and barrel rate this season. Mikolas has allowed nine home runs in 32.2 innings pitched this season, including a home run in each of his last three games. If/when Mikolas gets pulled early from this game, Washington's bullpen has given up the second-most home runs of any relief unit in baseball this season.
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Off another O/U winner yesterday, The GoldSheet is now a phenomenal 69-32 (+108.46) with their baseball, the #1 MLB RECORD since last summer. Twenty of those plays have been totals and they've gone 13-4-3 (+28.83, 43.7% ROI). This season's totals are 5-1-2 (+12.4, 59% ROI). World class numbers from the most respected name in the business. ...
Tokyo Brandon
Major League Baseball
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============
Projected final: LAD 5.5, SFG 3.6
1st 5 and full-game boxscore
Period | SFG | LAD | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
1st 5 innings | 1.5 | 3.0 | 4.5 |
Full game | 3.6 | 5.5 | 9.1 |
Projected starting pitcher box
Pitcher | Team | IP | ER | H | K | BB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Adrian Houser | SFG | 4 2/3 | 3.3 | 5.8 | 2.6 | 2.1 |
Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD | 6 1/3 | 1.6 | 4.5 | 6.8 | 2.0 |
Wager & Probability Analysis — Model-Driven
Market | Projection | Model Probability | Fair Odds | Consensus Odds | Odds Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LAD moneyline | LAD by 1.9 | 66.0% | -194 | -177 | +17 cents |
SFG moneyline | SFG +1.9 | 34.0% | +194 | +162 | -32 cents |
Full game over 9.5 | 9.1 total | 45.0% | +122 | -110 | -232 cents |
Full game under 9.5 | 9.1 total | 55.0% | -122 | -110 | +12 cents |
Full game over 9.0 | 9.1 total | 50.8% push-adjusted | -103 | -110 | -7 cents |
Full game under 9.0 | 9.1 total | 49.2% push-adjusted | +103 | -110 | -213 cents |
1st 5 over 4.5 | 4.5 total | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
1st 5 under 4.5 | 4.5 total | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
SFG 1st 5 team total over 1.5 | 1.5 | 50.0% | +100 | -110 | -210 cents |
LAD 1st 5 team total over 2.5 | 3.0 | 57.5% | -135 | -115 | +20 cents |
SFG full team total under 4.0 | 3.6 | 54.0% push-adjusted | -117 | -110 | +7 cents |
LAD full team total over 4.5 | 5.5 | 62.0% | -163 | -120 | +43 cents |
Released/revised 11 hour(s) ago
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$5 Bet ($15 value) | Rays vs Blue Jays | 3x WagerTalk #1 Profit King + 10 Year MLB Scout
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Tokyo Brandon’s Rays at Blue Jays bet is UP for 5 BUCKS! (normally $15). This is the best spot on the board, hands down. Among WagerTalk’s 33 handicappers, Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 in All-Sports Profit 3 of the last 5 years and has the long-term receipts to prove it:2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)202 ...
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Tokyo Brandon’s MLB feature moneyline bet is UP for 5 BUCKS! (normally $15). This is the best spot on the board, hands down. Among WagerTalk’s 33 handicappers, Tokyo Brandon has finished #1 in All-Sports Profit 3 of the last 5 years and has the long-term receipts to prove it:2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units ...
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Las Vegas Cris
Major League Baseball
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3% TEX ML (-125)
Good to -140
MGM
A few angles have us backing the Rangers tonight after being shut out on Monday. First, Mackenzie Gore gets the ball for Texas, and while he has been inconsistent overall this season, his home form has been much stronger. In 16 innings at home, he has allowed just 6 runs with a solid 1.125 WHIP, producing three of his best starts. Just as important, Arizona has struggled badly against left-handed pitching lately. Over the last 14 days, they rank bottom five in wRC+, OPS, and wOBA versus southpaws, and they have also been a bottom-eight road offense for the season. Texas also brings one of the stronger bullpens in baseball behind Gore, so Arizona could have trouble generating offense all night.
For Arizona, Zac Gallen is on the mound, and he has been a pitcher to fade away from home. The splits are significant: a 2.61 ERA at home compared to a 7.13 ERA on the road across four starts. His overall ERA sits at 4.70, but the underlying numbers are even more concerning, with a 5.42 xERA and metrics suggesting more regression could be coming. Texas may not be an elite offense, but they do have several hitters capable of matching up well with Gallen’s pitch mix.
This sets up as a strong bounce-back opportunity for Texas tonight in Arlington.
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Dwayne Bryant
Major League Baseball
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Key Situational Angle:
Play UNDER on home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 if they're stranding 7.5 or more runners on base per game on the season, after 2 straight games where they committed no errors.
Applies to the Brewers.
55-30-4 (65% win rate, 22.3% ROI) since the 2022 season.
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Fresh off last night's 5% KNOCKOUT winner on OKC/LA Over, Dwayne Bryant continues to dominate the NBA:#1 in NBA profit this season at +97.01 units#1 in NBA profit last season at +84 units#1 in NBA profit since last season at +181.01 unitsTuesday’s huge 4% NBA Top Play is backed by two (2) team-specific situational angles that have produced a ...
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Known for his success with MLB totals, Dwayne has once again isolated his single strongest total play on Tuesday's entire MLB board. This big play is backed by a strong situational angle that has produced a dominant 59-30 record since the 2018 season, good for a money-making 66.3% win rate. Don't miss it!
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Ralph Michaels
Major League Baseball
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(951) Colorado Rockies at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates: Total
First Inning Over 0.5 (110) Michael Lorenzen (RHP), Paul Skenes (RHP) Must Start
With Skenes on the mound, we are plus money, and while he has a 2.587 ERA, he has allowed a first-inning run 3 times in 8 starts.
Lorenzen has a 6.92 ERA, and his last start was a YRFI
Colorado is 9-3 YRFI.
Pittsburgh is 7-3 YRFI overall and 10-5 YRFI at home.
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ONLY $5 >> TUESDAY MLB NRFI - 71% RUN!
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THE WAGERTALK MLB FIRST INNING REPORT
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First-Inning Report for Tuesday, May 12The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included ...
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First-Inning Report for Monday, May 4The WagerTalk First Inning Report from Ralph Michaels is your daily cheat sheet for YRFI/NRFI betting. Full game lines and totals with teams that scored in the first inning (and who gave one up) Current streaks (3+ straight 1st inning results highlighted) Starting pitchers listed — Lefty indicators included * ...
Jimmy Adams
Major League Baseball
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The Mets have been huge underachievers this season, and once again they will turn to Freddy Peralta to save them. Peralta didn’t allow a single run on just 4 hits over 5 innings last time out at Coors Field, one of the most hitter friendly parks in baseball. We also have a major fade Candidate in Jack Flaherty, who enters with an ERA of 5.56. Flaherty has a terrible chase percentage, major command issues, and is an extreme fly ball pitcher. The Tigers have also been struggling overall, losers of 5 of their past 6. Take the Mets.
100% (7-0) 5% MLB TOP PLAYS THIS SEASON!
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Will Rogers
Major League Baseball
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Los Angeles Dodgers [ATS] | Good until -1.5, -145.
Pitching Matchup: Adrian Houser/Yoshinobu Yamamoto [Home Listed - Yamamoto Must Start].
While still seven games above .500, the Dodgers are clearly struggling at the moment. Los Angeles just hasn't been able to pitch the way it would have liked and the team is not hitting quite as well either. The ace is back on the mound today though and he's out for revenge. Yamamoto has gone 18 innings over his past three starts. But, he's allowed three runs in all three of those. I don't think that he's going to allow that many if any on Tuesday. Over his L4 starts against the Giants, he has a 1.37 ERA. Mookie Betts returned to the lineup too yesterday and although the Dodgers picked up their third straight loss, the turnaround begins now.
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[4%] NBA MEGA MONSTER | IMPRESSIVE 69% RUN
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Bruce Marshall
Major League Baseball
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It’s about time Slade Cecconi demonstrates to Stephen Vogt that he should remain in the Cleveland rotation. Into May, the Guardians had lost all six of Cecconi’s starts, and prior to last Thursday’s outing vs. the Royals his ERA was a sky-high 6.56, but he was marginally effective vs. KC and picked up the win, allowing 2 ER in 5 1/3 IP.
Though we’re inclined to cut Cecconi or any Cleveland rotation piece a little slack against the Halos, whose 7- 2 loss last night at Progressive was their 24th setback in the last 28 (!) vs. the Guardians. Play Guardians on Run Line
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Drew Martin
Major League Baseball
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Battle of 1st place teams in their respected divisions and the top two records in baseball at this point in the season, setting the stage for us to jump on the Cubs at a plus price in the marquee series this week. Kalshi and Novig offering Chicago as high as (+108) and we are attacking. The Cubs are on a (10-2) run over their last 12 games overall. Colin Rea is off back to back solid starts, racking up 11 strikeouts and letting up just 3 runs combined.
Atlanta has had a great start to the season, however their lineup is a bit banged up right now. This is also a really difficult schedule spot being their first game home off a grueling 12 day west coast road trip. Their starter Clay Holmes has given up 9 runs and 6 walks over his last two starts and is sporting just a 29 to 17 strikeout to walk ratio on the year. The Cubs bats likely get to him here. Bet Chicago.
Today’s MLB show:
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4% TUESDAY BEST BET *ONLY $5* MLB MONEY GOW $$
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4% "GAME OF THE WEEK" for ONLY $5. PERFECT 3-0 (100%) Tuesday 4% run (+14% PROFIT). SIZZLING! 4-1 (80%) and 7-2 (78%) and 16-7 (70%) Tuesday run overall (+27% PROFIT) last 5 months. Longterm, 58-40 (59%) for (+76% PROFIT) All 3%+ MLB money lines last 11 months. This is a premium client 4% MLB "Game Of The Week" package. Discoun ...
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For a limited time, get every baseball play from your favorite handicapper for three full days — and any 5% Best Bets released — for just $49. That's only $16.33 per day for every premium baseball release your handicapper posts. You'll receive instant access the moment plays are released, ensuring you get the best possible number before the lin ...
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For a limited time, get three full days of all-access service from the handicapper of your choice for just $49 — only $16 per day for every play they handicap across all sports, including MLB, NBA, NHL, WNBA, soccer, UFC, tennis, and more.That's $20 off the regular site price.Need more than 3 days? Stack 'em up. Buy multiple 3-Day passes and ride ...
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Free MLB Picks - 2026 MLB Picks and Predictions From Experts
Here you can find free MLB expert betting picks from WagerTalk's elite team of handicappers. Detailed game previews, analysis, and predictions backed by statistics. Get going with 100% FREE hot MLB picks of the day - get an edge.
Run Line Picks, Moneylines, MLB Props, MLB Parlays from WagerTalk:Â
WagerTalk offers you free MLB predictions and betting picks every day of 2026 for MLB games - from the Pirates to the Giants to.. well, every team in Major League Baseball. Â And don't forget our daily HR Props!
What Free MLB Picks Does WagerTalk Offer In 2026?
WagerTalk offers every type of MLB expert picks you could possibly want. Â At WagerTalk you'll find daily free MLB picks that include:Â
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Naturally. Â You have to offer moneyline picks and WagerTalk certainly does for MLB.Â
Free MLB RunLine Picks:Â
You'll find MLB runline picks galore at WagerTalk. Â So what is the runline and why should you bet on it? Â Well, simple!
The runline is baseball's version of the point spread. When betting on the runline, the favorite is -1.5 runs on the spread, with the underdog at +1.5 runs. Betting on the favorite requires your team to win its game by two or more runs. Truly, the runline is the great equalizer - it's just a little easier to place a bet when you've got a 2 run head start, right?
WagerTalk's expert MLB handicappers are runline prediction masterminds. Â
Totals Betting Best Picks for MLB:
Total runs betting picks are an absolute staple of WagerTalk MLB handicappers. A major component of how to bet on baseball, a total runs wager is super straightforward, as the customer is picking whether the two teams will score over or under the listed number of runs combined during the game. The great part of a total runs pick is that you're basically just rooting for a ton of scoring. Â Everybody loves that.Â
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WagerTalk offers MLB player props for hitters throughout the year. Â A great betting market, you're simply betting on how a specific batter will perform during a game - the perfect market to bet if you're more of a player of an MLB hitter than an MLB team. Â Find even more free MLB picks and player props at our sister site.Â
Our daily HR home prop article is the most popular such article online!
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You'll find MLB pitching prop picks from WagerTalk all during the long long MLB season. Â Like hitting props, bettors can get some terrific ML picks free from WagerTalk - pitcher prop picks that help them select how their ace pitcher will perform on the mound. Each starting pitcher usually receives a list of pitching props, such as: 'Total Pitching Strikeouts', 'Total Hits Allowed', 'Total Outs Recorded', 'Total Earned Runs Allowed', and more.
Same Game Parlay MLB Best Bets:Â
Now and then you can find MLB same game parlay picks from expert MLB handicappers at WagerTalk.Â
Fun MLB Stats - History Guides Your MLB Bets?Â
What Were the Longest Preseason Odds for a MLB World Series Champ?
Did you make a bet on any of these? Â If you did, you're an expert already.
- Minnesota Twins: +8000 in 1991
- Florida Marlins: +7500 in 2003
- Minnesota Twins : +5000 in 1987
- Texas Rangers: +5000 in 2023
- Anaheim Angels: +4000 in 2002
Â
Which American League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The top winning team here is the Seattle Mariners of 2001. Â They grabbed 116 wins, but then simply choked and lost the ALCS. After the Mariners the Yankees in 1998 won a ton of games - 114, in fact, and won the World Series to boot.
After those two MLB behemoths, the Cleveland Indians won 111 times in the regular season in 1954, Â the Yankees captured 110 wins way back in 1927 and then we have the Baltimore Orioles winning 109 wins in 1969 - but failed to win the World Series.
Â
Which National League Teams Have Won The Most Regular Season Games?
The Chicago Cubs take it. Â 116 games in 1906. Nuts. Â They went 116-36. Â The LA Dodgers plop in behind them, going 111-51 in 2022. Â The 1909 Pirates pulled off 110 wins. Â The Mets (really! The Mets!) won a whopping 108 games in 1986 and the Cincy Red of 1975 tied them at 108 games won as well.Â
Which Teams Have Won the Most World Series'?
Wait, the World Series has been happening since 1903? Â Indeed it has! Â And man have we seen a lot of winners and quite a few dynasties.Â
Naturally, the Yankees top the list of dynasties - they've captured 27 World Series titles. Â Following WAY behind the Yankees are the St Louis Cardinals with 11 titles, the Boston Red Sox and Oakland Athletics with 9 apiece, and the San Francisco Giants with 8 World Series titles.
Which Player Has Won the Most World Series Titles?
Yogi Berra. Â Nothing else to say here, obviously it was Yogi. Â 10 World Series titles!
