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Last updated Jun 5, 11:14 PM EDT
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5 STRAIGHT WINNING DAYS + #1 IN MLB SINCE OCTOBER!
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Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| NFL | (461) Tampa Bay Buccaneers at (462) Minnesota Vikings | 1:00pm EDT - Sep 10/2023 |
The PLAY: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6.5 (-110)
Tampa Bay was NOT a good team to bet on last season. They finished a league-worst 4-13-1 ATS and covered just TWO of their final 16 games. But despite that, and a NFC South worst -45 point differential, the Bucs somehow still won the division. They got bounced in the Wild Card Round though, losing 31-14 at home (as a 2.5-point dog) to the Cowboys. Now Tom Brady is retired and the QB options of Baker Mayfield and Kyle Trask aren't exactly going to have bettors flocking to the window to take the Bucs in 2023.
In fact, expectations are VERY low entering this season as oddsmakers have set the line for the Bucs' season win total at 6.5. That's among the lowest in the league. But, call me crazy, I'm probably going to look to play this Bucs team pretty frequently early in the season. At least when they are underdogs. There was only one game last season where they were a dog of more than 3.5 points. They were a dog just four times overall. There's going to be value here, especially when you've got lines like what we have for Week 1. The Bucs' defense should still be good. Brady was terrible last year; so I don't see the QB play likely to be much worse now.
And Minnesota is a team I am certainly looking to fade in 2023, especially as a favorite. The Vikings were the NFL's biggest overachievers last season, finishing 13-4 despite a -4 YTD point differential! They too lost in the Wild Card Round, same as the Bucs. That was after going a preposterous 11-0 SU in one-score games in the regular season. Going back to 2020, only FIVE of the Vikings' 28 wins have come by more than one possession. I say jump on this line NOW; I'd be shocked if it wasn't bet down over the summer.
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Consultant Bio
After spending the previous decade at Covers Experts, Bryan Power has wasted little time establishing himself here at WagerTalk. A consistent winner since first emerging on the scene back in 2011, Power didn’t have a single losing calendar year in his first decade as a pro handicapper! In April & May of this year (2022), he went on an amazing 154-99-2 (+$41,322) with all plays! October is when he truly made his mark at WT, at one point cashing 22 of 26 plays (85%).
Power handicaps football (both NFL & College), basketball (NBA & College), MLB, Soccer (most major European leagues) and the UFC. He uses a personal set of power ratings, combined with situational handicapping to make his selections. Multiple bets per day, across multiple sports, are the norm. Client plays are rated 3%-5%.