Oskeim Sports

THE PLAY: Cleveland Cavaliers -8.5 (-105)

Since 2009, NBA road favorites of five points or greater are 1800-1505-66 ATS (55%), including 764-587-29 ATS (56.6%) following three consecutive games in which they scored 105 or more points. Similarly, conference road favorites of seven points or greater are 248-173-9 ATS (58.9%) versus opponents with the same amount of rest after the All-Star break, including 145-98-3 ATS (59.7%) since 2014. Cleveland falls into profitable 309-242-10 ATS (56%) and 259-194-11 ATS (57.2%) statistical profile indicators of mine that date to 1999 and invest on NBA road favorites of greater than 8 points with certain turnover margins. The Cavaliers also find support in a 1315-1002-42 ATS (56.8%) NBA Road Favorite system and a 335-198-12 ATS (62.9%) NBA Road Favorite Scoring Margin system of mine that date back to 1989 and has covered the spread by average margins of +1.3 and +3.1 points per game, respectively. Finally, Cleveland head coach Kenny Atkinson is 48-32 ATS (60%) versus opponents coming off a game as underdogs of fewer than 9 points if their average pace of play is less than 102.3. Lay the points with the Cleveland Cavaliers as Jeff Keim's Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, February 25.

THE PLAY: Colorado Avalanche -122

Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites under -250 are 3122-2103 (59.8%; +2.8% ROI). Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -120 to -200 are 591-373 (61.3%; +3.1% ROI) from Game 50 out, provided they haven’t played an overtime period in each of their past two games. Colorado entered the 2026 Winter Olympics hiatus off a 4-2 win over the Sharks, which is significant because NHL road favorites of -175 or less arriving off a win are 587-377 (60.9%; +6.7% ROI) when averaging more shots on goal than their opponent. Colorado is averaging 34.1 shots per game, while the Mammoth are averaging just 27.8 shots per game. Both teams are coming off games that finished under the total, and NHL road favorites of -175 or less entering off a win that went under the total are 190-112 (62.9%; +10.1% ROI) with totals of at least six goals versus opponents off a game that went under the total. Finally, since 2003, NHL favorites entering off a win as home favorites in which they allowed fewer than three goals are 1517-876 (63.4%; +2.5% ROI), including 395-218 (64.4%; +1% ROI) since 2020, winning by an average margin of +0.8 goals per game. Take Colorado as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, February 25.

THE PLAY: Edmonton Oilers -115

Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites under -250 are 3122-2103 (59.8%; +2.8% ROI). Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -120 to -200 are 591-373 (61.3%; +3.1% ROI) from Game 50 out, provided they haven’t played an overtime period in each of their past two games. Edmonton entered the 2026 Winter Olympics hiatus off a 4-3 loss to the Flames despite going 2-of-4 on the power play, which is significant because NHL road favorites coming off a game in which they scored two or more power play goals are 173-99 (636%; +4.2% ROI), winning by an average margin of +0.7 goals per game. Since 2008, NHL road favorites arriving off a game as favorites are 868-528 (62.2%; +6.4% ROI) from Game 24 forward versus .401 or greater opponents, provided they have a road game on deck. Since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are just 415-607 (40.6%; -7.4% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 182-300 (37.8%; -12.4% ROI) since 2018. Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs entering off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1176-1651 (41.6%; -5.1% ROI), including 386-611 (38.7%; -7.7% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game. Take Edmonton as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, February 25.

THE PLAY: Winnipeg Jets -130

The NHL paused its season on February 6 to allow players to compete in the 2026 Winter Olympics in Italy, and the regular season is scheduled to resume on Wednesday. Neither the Jets or Canucks have played since February 4, when both teams suffered losses. Since 2003, NHL conference road favorites under -250 are 3122-2103 (59.8%; +2.8% ROI). Since 2010, NHL road favorites of -120 to -200 are 591-373 (61.3%; +3.1% ROI) from Game 50 out, provided they haven’t played an overtime period in each of their past two games. Since 2008, NHL road favorites arriving off a game as favorites are 868-528 (62.2%; +6.4% ROI) from Game 24 forward against opponents with .401 or greater opponents, provided they have a road game on deck. Since 2004, Pacific Division home underdogs are just 415-607 (40.6%; -7.4% ROI) versus conference opponents, including 182-300 (37.8%; -12.4% ROI) since 2018. Finally, since 2003, NHL home underdogs entering off a game in which they had 30 or more shots on goal are 1176-1651 (41.6%; -5.1% ROI), including 386-611 (38.7%; -7.7% ROI) since 2020, losing by an average of -0.7 goals per game. Take Winnipeg as Jeff Keim’s Free Pick Winner for Wednesday, February 25