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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

Hot Streaks

NFL PRE L8Y 65.4% & 75.5% ON PLAYS 4% & 5%!

5% PLAYS ARE ON A 9-4 (69.2%) RUN!

MLB PLAYS 4% & HIGHER ARE 31-17 (64.6%)!

38-21 (64.4%) RUN - ALL PLAYS 4% & HIGHER!

NFL SIDES 49-30-1 (62%) THE L2Y!

ALL TOTALS/ ALL SPORTS 61.8% SINCE APRIL 24!

Last updated Jul 13, 12:35 PM EDT

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5% CFB SEASON WIN TOTAL!

FIRST EVER 5% FUTURE & IT IS PLUS $$$!  •   2-0 IN CFB FUTURES LAST YEAR -  COVERED BY FIVE FULL GAMES!

  •• THE CFB EARLY BIRD IS ONLY $499  • THE CFB/NFL COMBO IS ONLY $777 • 3 CFB PLAYS ALREADY LOADED!

  •• Last season was the first season that Ralph released his CFB Futures and he cashed both wilt Louisville Over 8 winning by 2 games (10-2) and Kent St to win the MAC West as they went 8-0 with the #2 team finishing 5-2!

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#1 NFL PRE - 65.4% SINCE 2015!

Ralph is the WagerTalk NFL Preseason all-time leader, posting a record of 68-36-1 (65.4%)!
 

He is 67.3% (68-33-1) on plays rated 3% and higher and 75.5% (40-13-1) on plays 4% & 5%!
The Hall of Fame Game is August 1st!

SAVE & WIN! The entire NFL Preseason is …ONLY $99 

NFL Pre-Season Action for $99!

The NFL Pre-Season is the perfect time to sharpen your betting skills and prepare for the regular season! 

From August 1st to August 26th, dive into the excitement of the NFL Pre-Season with this exclusive offer. For just $99, you’ll get expert insights and analysis, giving you the edge you need to make this pre-season your most profitable yet.

Did you know the Pre-Season betting market is often less efficient than Regular Season? This extra edge gives you more opportunities to find favorable lines and capitalize on bookmakers’ inconsistencies.

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THE 2024 WAGERTALK DRAFT GUIDE

THE 2024 WAGERTALK DRAFT GUIDE

Most fans are excited about the draft on how it helps their favorite NFL team but knowing what each team lost is even more important. Ralph uses a one to eight points weighted grading system quantifying what each team lost. 
 

Ranks for each conference plus school ranks by points lost, alphabetically and by individual conferences.

The SEC was the top conference again with 50 players drafted and 190 points lost.

Week 0 and Week #1 CFB Schedule

Week 0 and Week #1 CFB Schedule
 

Includes line and totals from Cira Las Vegas on Wednesday June 26th.

Print and track the line moves as well as use there schedule for notes. 

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Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
(181) New Mexico at (182) Arizona
10:30pm EDT - Aug 31/2024

THE PLAY: Arizona -30.0 (-110)

 

THE CFB EARLY BIRD IS ONLY $499  • NFL/CFB COMBO ONLY $777  • DON'T MISS ANY EARLY RELEASES!!
 

Saturday August 31st

#182 3% Arizona -30 New Mexico

The Wildcats are in a unique situation as they lost their coach yet every starter post bowl that said they were returning did. They have 4 starters including their best 3 players all played together in high school and they kept the unit together. Arizona went from 1-11, to 5-7 to 10-3 LY with the 3 losses by 2, 7 and 7 points as a 21, 20 and 9 pt dog. Arizona was #17 in yards per play diff and they return 15 starters and are #28 in returning production. Fifta and McMillian may be the conference's best QB/WR duo. Wildcats were a fav of -14+ twice LY and they covered both by 10 PPG. New OC Babers likes to play as fast as anyone, and he was #12 & #7 in plays per game his first two years are BG and #7 and #1 his first two years at Syracuse. This is the national Saturday Night Espn game and they have Northern Arizona at home on deck.
New Mexico is #124 in returning production with only 9 returning starters as three offensive starters being 2 WR’s and a TE that does not bode well for a rush attack to try and shorten the game. New HC Mendenhall has his work cut out for him. While a new coach certainly may treat this huge lined games differently the Lobos have gone 0-8 ATS as a dog of +24 and higher.
 

How have big favorite done week #1 (-24 and higher)? 
Since 2014 they are 52.9% ATS but...
Versus VCS foes they are 112-107-5 (51.1%) 

Versus FBS teams they are 56-40 (58.3%) and 42-21-2 (66.7%) ATS as a favorite of -28 and higher. 

 

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
Georgia Regular Season WIns 2024
11:45am EDT - Aug 31/2024

THE PLAY: OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins

Georgia Regular Season Wins 2024

2% OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins (posted June 19th)
Georgia comes into this season with 39 STRAIGHT regular season wins. The Bulldogs were #3 in yards per play diff (+2.49). Georgia returns 13 starters which is as many as any from the L4Y (11-13-10-13). A veteran OL with 4 starters who have made 70 career starts and a senior QB who threw for 3,941 yards and is the Heisman favorite (odds-wise). Add that to a coaching staff that reruns its HC, OC and DC. Georgia is #29 in retuning production and had the #1 recruiting class. 

My numbers project the Bulldogs to be a favorite in every game and a favorite of 16+ in 9 of those games. In the three games as a single-digit favorite they play #1) Bama with revenge (have gone 12-1 ATS in that role) and they play that team with a new QB and #98 in retuning production early in the season. #2) Prior to Texas they host Miss St as a 5 TD favorite while the Longhorns play the Red River Rivalry. #3) They face Ole Miss after a bye week and Florida while REberls play Oklahoma and a road game at Arkansas. 

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jul 14
MLB
1% – (901) Colorado Rockies at (902) New York Mets 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) G Marquez (RHP), J Quintana (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 13
MLB
1% – (955) Colorado Rockies at (956) New York Mets 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) R Feltner (RHP), C Scott (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 12
MLB
1.5% – (901) Colorado Rockies at (902) New York Mets 1I Total Under 0.5 (-110) T Gordon (RHP), S Manaea (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 12
MLB
4% – Minnesota Twins -130 J Ryan (RHP), K Harrison (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 11
MLB
3% – Philadelphia Phillies -138 L Knack (RHP), A Nola (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
No Play
Jul 10
MLB
1% – (903) Colorado Rockies at (904) Cincinnati Reds 1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) K Freeland (LHP), F Montas (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 10
MLB
3% – Cleveland Guardians -141 T Bibee (RHP), R Olson (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 09
MLB
1% – (955) Washington Nationals at (956) New York Mets 1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) J Irvin (RHP), J Quintana (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 09
MLB
2% – Cleveland Guardians -135 K Maeda (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 09
MLB
2% – 1H Washington Nationals +113 J Irvin (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 08
MLB
1% – (901) New York Mets at (902) Pittsburgh Pirates 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) C Scott (RHP), M Keller (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 07
MLB
4% – 1H Boston Red Sox +0.5 (-115) K Crawford (RHP), L Gil (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 06
MLB
3% – St. Louis Cardinals +120 L Lynn (RHP), M Gore (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 05
MLB
1.5% – (967) Baltimore Orioles at (968) Oakland Athletics 1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) A Suarez (RHP), H Harris (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 05
MLB
3% – Cleveland Guardians -1.0 (-120) T Bibee (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 04
MLB
1% – (907) San Francisco Giants at (908) Atlanta Braves 1I Total Under 0.5 (-135) L Webb (RHP), C Morton (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 04
MLB
4% – Milwaukee Brewers -136 T Myers (RHP), C Quantrill (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jul 03
MLB
1% – (951) St. Louis Cardinals at (952) Pittsburgh Pirates 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) M Mikolas (RHP), J Jones (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 03
MLB
4% – Milwaukee Brewers -148 C Rea (RHP), D Hudson (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jul 02
MLB
4% – New York Mets -130 S Manaea (LHP), D Herz (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
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Consultant Bio

Ralph was raised in the home of handicappers in Cleveland, Ohio. Starting in the industry as a key member of Phil Steele's early team, which expanded Northcoast Sports during the mid-90s. Ralph's personal following grew fast, allowing him to strike out on his own as the founder of California Sports. Over the next dozen years as General Manager of Phil Steele Publications and lead handicapper of Northcoast Sports, Ralph managed the creation of some of the most popular sports betting content ever, including Phil Steele's College Football Preview Magazine and Northcoast's Power Sweep Newsletter. Content displaying expertise so elite that Ralph was invited into college football's most exclusive club: Heisman Trophy Voter
Ralph Michaels has a math mind, steadily searching for a value in the numbers in addition to matchup edges, situational advantages, and hidden gems of information. Ralph finds more big bets in the college versions of football and basketball, but his handicapping approach also uncovers selective winners in the professional leagues like MLB. Small conferences are particularly profitable due to mispriced injuries and his profiling of exploitable coaching tendencies.

 

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