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Ralph Michaels

Ralph Michaels

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5% PLAYS ARE ON A 9-2 (82%) RUN!

35-18 (66%) ALL PLAYS RATED 4% & HIGHER!

33-15 (68.8%) RUN - ALL PLAYS 4% & HIGHER!

NFL PRE L8Y 65.4% & 75.5% PLAYS 4% & 5%!

63-43 (59.4%) MLB RUN SINCE APRIL 9TH!

NBA PLAYOFFS 43-8 (75%)!

Last updated Jun 23, 11:32 AM EDT

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67% RUN • MONDAY MLB!

RALPH IS 63-44 (59%) ON ALL MLB PLAYS SINCE APRIL 9TH, INCLUDING 67% ON RUN LINE PLAYS!
Ralph passed this weekend to recharge his batteries but he is back with a Monday night winner. Now 91-62 (59.5%) on all plays in all sports since April 9th. Monday's mean the opening game of a series and Ralph has shown a profit 7 of the last 11 (63.6%)!

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#1 NFL PRE - 65.4% SINCE 2015!

Ralph is the WagerTalk NFL Preseason all-time leader, posting a record of 68-36-1 (65.4%)!
 

He is 67.3% (68-33-1) on plays rated 3% and higher and 75.5% (40-13-1) on plays 4% & 5%!
The Hall of Fame Game is August 1st!

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THE 2024 WAGERTALK DRAFT GUIDE

THE 2024 WAGERTALK DRAFT GUIDE

Most fans are excited about the draft on how it helps their favorite NFL team but knowing what each team lost is even more important. Ralph uses a one to eight points weighted grading system quantifying what each team lost. 
 

Ranks for each conference plus school ranks by points lost, alphabetically and by individual conferences.

The SEC was the top conference again with 50 players drafted and 190 points lost.

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Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
MLB
(905) Washington Nationals at (906) San Diego Padres
9:40pm EDT - Jun 24/2024

THE PLAY: 1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) P Corbin (LHP), M Waldron (RHP) Must Start

(905) Washington Nationals at (906) San Diego Padres

1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) P Corbin (LHP), M Waldron (RHP) Must Start

This was not a client release. 
Washington is 4-1 NRFI and have not scored a first inning run the last 6 games. In the Nationals last 33 games they have scored a first thinning run only 4 times. 

SD has B2B NRFI and are 5-2 the last 7. Padres have averaged only 2.5 runs per game versus left-handed starters and have scored a first inning run in 6 of the 28 games (21%)

Sport
Game Selection
Game Time
CFB
Georgia Regular Season WIns 2024
11:45am EDT - Aug 31/2024

THE PLAY: OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins

Georgia Regular Season Wins 2024

2% OVER 10.5 (-110) Georgia Regular Season Wins (posted June 19th)
Georgia comes into this season with 39 STRAIGHT regular season wins. The Bulldogs were #3 in yards per play diff (+2.49). Georgia returns 13 starters which is as many as any from the L4Y (11-13-10-13). A veteran OL with 4 starters who have made 70 career starts and a senior QB who threw for 3,941 yards and is the Heisman favorite (odds-wise). Add that to a coaching staff that reruns its HC, OC and DC. Georgia is #29 in retuning production and had the #1 recruiting class. 

My numbers project the Bulldogs to be a favorite in every game and a favorite of 16+ in 9 of those games. In the three games as a single-digit favorite they play #1) Bama with revenge (have gone 12-1 ATS in that role) and they play that team with a new QB and #98 in retuning production early in the season. #2) Prior to Texas they host Miss St as a 5 TD favorite while the Longhorns play the Red River Rivalry. #3) They face Ole Miss after a bye week and Florida while REberls play Oklahoma and a road game at Arkansas. 

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Last 20

Date
Sport
Pick
Result
Jun 21
MLB
3% – Boston Red Sox -103 K Crawford (RHP), A Abbott (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 20
MLB
1% – (913) Houston Astros at (914) Chicago White Sox 1I Total Under 0.5 (-110) S Arrighetti (RHP), C Flexen (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 20
MLB
2% – Milwaukee Brewers -109 B Wilson (RHP), A Mazur (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 19
MLB
1% – (955) San Diego Padres at (956) Philadelphia Phillies 1I Total Under 0.5 (-123) M Waldron (RHP), R Suarez (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 19
MLB
5% – Minnesota Twins -153 T Bradley (RHP), J Ryan (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 18
MLB
1% – (903) St. Louis Cardinals at (904) Miami Marlins 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) L Lynn (RHP), R Munoz (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 18
MLB
4% – Washington Nationals -113 S Cecconi (RHP), J Irvin (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 17
MLB
4% – St. Louis Cardinals -150 S Gray (RHP), B Garrett (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 17
NBA
3% – Parlay - Boston -250 and Under 218 (-255)
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 16
MLB
4% – 1H Washington Nationals -115 J Luzardo (LHP), M Parker (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 16
MLB
1% – (929) Kansas City Royals at (930) Los Angeles Dodgers 1I Total Under 0.5 (-125) B Singer (RHP), T Glasnow (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 15
MLB
1% – (951) St. Louis Cardinals at (952) Chicago Cubs 1I Total Under 0.5 (-120) A Pallante (RHP), S Imanaga (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 15
MLB
3% – New York Yankees -162 C Rodon (LHP), C Criswell (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 15
MLB
4% – (969) Texas Rangers at (970) Seattle Mariners 1H Total Under 3.5 (-104) N Eovaldi (RHP), G Kirby (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 14
NBA
4% – (507) Boston Celtics at (508) Dallas Mavericks 1H Total Under 108.5 (-110)
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 14
MLB
1% – (901) St. Louis Cardinals at (902) Chicago Cubs 1I Total Under 0.5 (-115) K Gibson (RHP), J Wicks (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 14
MLB
3% – 1H San Diego Padres -105 M Waldron (RHP), S Manaea (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 13
MLB
4% – ML parlay Mets -190/ MInnesoata -230
(Analysis)
Win
Jun 13
MLB
1% – (961) Atlanta Braves at (962) Baltimore Orioles 1I Total Under 0.5 (-105) R Lopez (RHP), C Irvin (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
Jun 12
MLB
3% – Cleveland Guardians +105 T Bibee (RHP), N Lodolo (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)
Loss
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Consultant Bio

Ralph was raised in the home of handicappers in Cleveland, Ohio. Starting in the industry as a key member of Phil Steele's early team, which expanded Northcoast Sports during the mid-90s. Ralph's personal following grew fast, allowing him to strike out on his own as the founder of California Sports. Over the next dozen years as General Manager of Phil Steele Publications and lead handicapper of Northcoast Sports, Ralph managed the creation of some of the most popular sports betting content ever, including Phil Steele's College Football Preview Magazine and Northcoast's Power Sweep Newsletter. Content displaying expertise so elite that Ralph was invited into college football's most exclusive club: Heisman Trophy Voter
Ralph Michaels has a math mind, steadily searching for a value in the numbers in addition to matchup edges, situational advantages, and hidden gems of information. Ralph finds more big bets in the college versions of football and basketball, but his handicapping approach also uncovers selective winners in the professional leagues like MLB. Small conferences are particularly profitable due to mispriced injuries and his profiling of exploitable coaching tendencies.

 

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