Nick Borrman

THE PLAY: Total UNDER 3.25 (-120)

England Premier League

(200161) Fulham at (200162) Liverpool

This play is all on Liverpool's defense.  Sure, there are a few recent anomalies allowing 3 goals to Newcastle and 2 goals to Southampton, though both of those did come on the road, but in their other most recent matches, Liverpool has allowed:

0 to Girona (UCL)
0 to Man City
0 to Real Madrid (UCL)
0 to Aston Villa
0 to Leverkusen (UCL)

Those are some of the best clubs in the world.  ALL FIVE are Champions League teams, yet Liverpool didn't allow a single goal.  You could argue they are at their best when the competition is the toughest, and their slip-ups happen against weaker sides, aka Fulham, but I don't think we see that happen here.

Chelsea has closed the gap at the top to four points, though Liverpool does have a game in hand, and a win here will keep that gap atop the table as Liverpool looks to continue their stranglehold of now both the EPL and UCL.  

Fulham is a quality side and continue to get better, but they play their toughest against big clubs too evidenced most recently by their 1-1 draw against Arsenal as well as another recent 1-1 draw with Tottenham.

They have also had similar results in this series with seven of the last ten meetings finishing Under this total including four of the last five at Anfield.

TAKE UNDER 3.25 GOALS

Line Parameter: 3% to -130, 2.5% to -140