Hot Streaks:
#1 NFL PROFIT L/7yr (1/1/15) +247% (409-299 58%)
#1 CFB ROI 2021, +5683
#1 MLB 2022 ROI, #2 Profit
#1 MMA Profit Lifetime, 2022 ROI 13.96% Profit +2700
(77%) 26-8 NBA Totals/ (60%)97-60 NBA Since AS Break
21/22 NHL +5048, 59% (129-91) #2 Totals #3 ALL
Last updated Sep 27, 10:52 AM EDT
Member Notes
Bet Smarter, Not Harder!
(IF I DON'T BET IT, You Don't Get It! I'm not a pick seller, I make my wagers available to those that wish to have them)
PROFIT or ROI? (Return on Investment) It is common to see people claim their profit amount is ROI, they don't even understand ROI ROI goals are 5-15%. If someone claims ROI above that range for an extended period of time, they likely don't even know what ROI is. ASK THEM FOR THEIR ROI CALCULATION. IF THEY TELL YOU THAT'S HOW MUCH PROFIT THEY HAVE, THAT'S NOT ROI.
Ask yourself what you really know when someone shares their W/L record? Do you know how many of those were -200 or -300 wagers? When someone tells you that they profited, do they tell you the required investment amount? It is important to pay close attention to ROI because it tells you what you need to know, “Was the investment worth the risk?” Units won or lost, profit, win percentage, are all terms that can bamboozle the uninformed. ROI? It's actually quite simple.. “How much did you have to risk, and how much was returned to you?”
My MMA Avg bet size has been 0.78% in 2022, Avg +152 on 201 wagers. I bet 25% of what others do, but my profit is always near the top. How is that?
Which sounds better to you?
Fred Bets 300 plays, avg bet $100 (30k risk) Profit $1000,
Barney Bets 100 Plays avg bet $100 (10k risk) Profit $800
$1000 sounds better than $800, no? How about risking THREE TIMES as much money to do it?
So, Fred made $1000 and his ROI is 3.33% Barney only made $800 but his ROI is 8%
Bankroll Management; Pro's don't wager 4-5% of their bankroll on games. I suggest a 1.5-2.5% wager ceiling to your actual bankroll, regardless of release rating. The 4-5% releases are sales tools and ratings, scale your wager amount accordingly. Bet size should increase or decrease as your bankroll changes.
While others may throw 4% or 5% plays around like a frisbee, mine are manhole covers. Just because I may release lower percentage plays, that's responsible bankroll management. It's about ROI. I'm a bettor, not a salesman pushing people to follow.
Don't rely on daily packages. I suggest subscriptions to receive plays upon release. You don't have to follow my bets, but be responsible with your investments. Getting the BEST OF THE LINE is the #1 GOAL! Gameday lines will have the lowest value to the buyer. The market adjusted, the value is too often gone. Daily sports are an exception, but those lines move quickly and it's imperative to receive bets in a timely fashion. MY JOB IS TO GET THE BEST OF THE NUMBER, as often as possible.
Following anyone else's selections is a BUYER CHOICE. I guarantee I'm betting all my plays, and I'm either winning or losing with all my followers.
Please Watch the STREAKS video below, and absorb things to consider prior to investing.
Worthy Media Content Links
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCi20geoHVr5RPyz6VFSzsoA/videos?view=0&sort=dd&shelf_id=0 (LVC You Tube)
https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCi20geoHVr5RPyz6VFSzsoA (July 2021 NFL STRATEGIES)
https://drive.google.com/file/d/100b1OuQC84EqCvym4e676iXrbq31BXIX/view (VSIN Millions Mistake)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=klV1TIyhXBc&feature=youtu.be (Do streaks fool you?)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UsXNm3zzKvA&feature=youtu.be (Teaser Goal Strategy)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=InJGRIn98HQ (VSIN)
https://www.spreaker.com/user/bangthebookcom/circa-million-recap-nfl-wild-card-weeken (Millions Win & Contest strategy)
If you fail to plan, you plan to fail!
Today’s Free Picks
| Sport | Game Selection | Game Time |
|---|---|---|
| MLB | (905) New York Mets at (906) Atlanta Braves | 7:20pm EDT - Sep 30/2022 |
The PLAY: 1H Total Over 3.0 (-110) Action
PLAY #1 (4:20 PST)
2% NYM/ATL First Five OVER 3 (-105) [Action/Action]
What’s wrong with deGrom? Probably nothing and just the poor end of variance… but he did just allow 11 ER in 15 IP vs OAK + PIT + CHC (three of the worst offenses in baseball). We can’t justify betting ATL at the current number, but we will take a shot at an over on the low total.
Being in division, both teams are familiar with the opposition. The Mets have seen Fried four times this season – the Braves have seen deGrom twice this season but several times if you include last year. deGrom took the loss last time out vs ATL, giving up 3 runs in 6.2 innings.
We have some decent winds blowing out that could cause a HR on what would normally be a warning track fly-out.
Our think tank projects a total of 3.6 runs in the F5 innings, so there is certainly some value on this, given the name recognition of the starting pitchers.
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Consultant Bio
@LasVegasCris has been a known successful professional sports bettor for a generation. Networking with people throughout all levels of the Sports Betting industry, Cris has developed relationships with talented & experienced people from every facet of sports betting. Years of retraining the brain to purge poor philosophy and habits allowed an entirely new approach and perspective on how to be successful in sports betting. Cris learned that "Betting is a hard way to make an easy living."
QUESTION: If so successful, why is there a need to offer picks for sale?
ANSWER: 1) I offer my actual wagers & my primary income is from betting. 2) "The Challenge" The challenge to maintain success not only for myself but for others. Tracked records, money management, discipline, shared information, and strategies, are gains made by all. 3)I'm actually more disciplined because others follow. I don't stray carelessly from sound betting strategies.
In an industry with so many options to purchase betting investment advice, be assured, unlike many sellers, Cris is one that wagers significant money of his own on EVERY client release. Client releases are what he bet. Being able to share plays with others, with the goal of winning money, is euphoric. A losing day takes on added responsibility and disappointment. In addition, the invaluable benefit received from preparing write-ups, podcasts, & videos, leads to additional information absorption, which only adds further insight into developing profitable wagers. Doesn't everyone get sick of doing repetitive tasks? With the arbitrage and middling market significantly reduced, there is more time to experience new challenges. Not to forget, the expenses involved with day-in and day-out successful betting add up fast. He can't do it alone, He pays others to help, and don't forget about an office, technology, travel, and many other expenses.
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Winner 2021 Stations Casinos Last Man Standing 150k NFL (tied)(6241 Entries)
2020 $1k Circa Millions II Cashed $244,444 With 2nd(66%) & 5th(65%) in only 2 entries of (3148)
2019 $1k Circa Millions, 2 entries, & finished 20th(62%) and 31st(61%) out of (1875)
Circa Millions Lifetime results {4 entries} 212-120-8 (64%)
Winner 2016 Stations Casinos Last Man Standing $52,000 NCAA (2700+ entries),
Winner of the Wynn Casino $100,000 Single Survivor, (600 entries)
Winner Palms NFL Challenge (8500 entries),
Multiple Playoff appearances in Golden Nugget contests including 1st and 2nd regular season finishes,
Multiple private eliminators resulting in fiscal success (1000+ entries).
Cris has had many appearances with ESPN/Chalk, VSIN, Sportsgrid, Las Vegas Review-Journal, ESPN 1100 LV, bi-weekly LIVE NFL shows for International Sportsbook, Numerous National Podcasts, a National daily radio show & a live weekly show for Covers discussing the Contests.
Cris prides himself in originating successful NFL, NCAA & MMA systems that have required constant adjustments to maintain successful results, in the face of continually changing rules and strategies.
ALL releases are wagers that Cris has bet
(Cris shares bets & hates sales hype)
Money management is a top priority. A higher volume of bets, but fewer Hyped up plays for sales.
BANKROLL NOTICE: Cris recommends having a designated betting budget, following the wager bet percentage, and as the bankroll grows, the wager size will grow. Follow responsible money management.
Please don't look to make a "Quick Hit" when buying plays from anyone. Please use restraint with your bankroll!
Everyone without exception has “Hot Runs” and “Cold Spells” Honestly, I'd rather tail a winner in a slump, than hop on board someone jumping up and down about winning 8 of 10 games.
Cris considers EVERY PLAY a BIG PLAY! He bets to build a bankroll, NOT to market low volume "Big Play" sales.
Do NOT wager without understanding that sports investing involves risk, and YOU can LOSE money. Betting should be discretionary money you can afford easily. All bettors have periods of winning and losing; understanding this fact is a must!