Nick Borrman
Event: Napoli at Juventus
Sport/League: ISAL
Date/Time: December 8, 2023 2:45 PM EST
Free Italy Serie A Pick Today: Juventus Double Chance + UNDER 3.5 (-120)
Italy Serie A
(201281) Napoli at (201282) Juventus
Tough game to predict really. The important factor to consider is that Napoli have a Champions League matchup right after this meeting that they have to get a result from. They are home hosting Braga, so you would expect them to at least get a draw, but they certainly have to show up for that match, not something they can overlook so perhaps there’s an edge to Juventus as they have nothing to worry about other than Serie A.
Additionally, Juve has just been the better side. One single loss on the season in which they conceded four goals to Sassuolo, but otherwise it’s been vintage Juventus, at least defensively as they have allowed a total of only five goals in their other 13 matches which included a run of 6-straight clean sheets.
They are 2nd in the league in the league in defensive xGA allowing only 0.74 per match, just behind Inter at 0.70. Napoli isn’t too far behind at 1.01, but the concern is when they play a high-quality side. Just recently they allowed 2.6 to Inter, 2.8 to Real Madrid and 2.4 to AC Milan which is certainly concerning.
Juve on the flip side also recently played Inter which ended in a 1-1 draw but they limited them to only 0.70 xG. In fact, they haven’t allowed over 2.0 xGA in any match this season.
Ultimately though I think the side and total are set pretty accurately and don’t see a ton of value on either. But I don’t see Juventus losing this match at home and I don’t expect them to get into a high-scoring match, so the combo of Juventus Double Chance + UNDER 3.5 Goals looks solid.
PARLAY JUVENTUS DOUBLE CHANCE + UNDER 3.5 GOALS
Double Chance is Juventus to Win or Tie, same as +0.5 handicap. You can play either Double Chance or +0.5 and Parlay that with Under 3.5 Goals. DK and MGM will have this as parlay already put together for you, FD you make it yourself.
Line Parameter: Play good to -140
Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago
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