Bryan Power

THE PLAY: Total Over 200.0 (-110)

Miami shot horribly in the two home games (below 42% overall and 30% from three), but last time here in Boston they made a record 23 threes and pulled a shocking outright upset. I would think it's fair to say that for Game 5 we will see something “in between” (ie. not as good as Game 2, but better than Games 3 and 4). 

Boston has not exactly been shooting the lights out in this series either. They did make 14 threes in the 102-88 Gm4 victory, but shot just 41.9% overall. It was a bit of a different story in Game 3 where they shot 47.6% overall, but only 29.7% from three. 

This is probably the end of the line for Miami, but I do not expect them to go down without a fight and see this as a game where there' is better shot-making all around. Boston is still averaging nearly 60 PPG in the 1st half this series. The issue has been, because of the blowout nature of their three wins, scoring slows down in the second half. But we now have the lowest O/U of the series and it's worth a shot to play the Over. The last time the Celtics went Under in three consecutive games was mid-January. Even for the Heat, you'd have to go back to mid-March.