UFC Fight Night: de ridder vs Allen Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds October 18, 2025

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for October 18, 2025 with the main event headlined by Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen in a light middleweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada!

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Reinier de Ridder vs Brendan Allen: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, October 18	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Reinier de Ridder -235 vs Brendan Allen +190
Rounds:	3.5 (Over +105 / Under -135)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT
Arena:	Rogers Arena in Vancouver, Canada
TV:	ESPN+

UFC Fight Night Predictions: Undercard

Tainara Lisboa -160 vs Melissa Croden +135 

Croden makes her UFC debut in her home country of Canada. She loves to clinch, throws solid knees, and has decent striking, but her loss to Calvacanti showed she struggles against high-level opponents on the feet.

Lisboa, on the other hand, is a strong striker with real power but can struggle when taken down and controlled.

If Croden can keep this fight in the clinch, she’ll have a chance, but Lisboa’s clean striking and footwork should keep her out of danger. Lisboa pieces her up on the feet for the win.

Azamat Bekoev -280 vs Yousri Belgaroui +230 

Bekoev has been on fire to start his UFC run, finishing both of his opponents violently in the first round. He’s shown solid cardio and strong takedown defense against good wrestlers, proving he’s more than just a knockout artist.

Belgaroui is long and technical, but lacks power against higher-level competition and tires late. This is a tough stylistic matchup for him — Bekoev will walk him down and control the fight. Bekoev is the easy pick.

Stephanie Luciano -350 vs Ravena Oliveira +275 

Oliveira returns after a two-year layoff, and while she wasn’t awful in her debut, she struggled badly in the clinch and got outworked.

Luciano, meanwhile, is an active striker who constantly pushes forward with good volume and pressure. She’s coming off a close loss to Sam Hughes  

but showed great heart and pace. Unless Oliveira has made massive improvements during her time off, Luciano’s activity and aggression should carry her to victory. Luciano by decision.

Drew Dober -500 vs Kyle Prepolic +380 

Dober has lost four of his last five, with his only win coming against a low-level opponent. His durability is slipping, but his power remains dangerous.

Prepolic stepped in on short notice last time and got finished by Benoit Saint-Denis, showing little resistance.

Unless Dober’s chin is completely gone, he should walk through Prepolic’s limited offense and find the finish. The best bet is the fight not to go the distance, with Dober by KO the most likely result.

Hyunsung Park -250 vs Bruno Silva +205 

Bruno Silva’s striking defense is a major liability — he gets hit far too often and relies on landing a big counter shot.

Hyunsung Park stepped in on short notice last fight and got  dominated by Tatsuro Taira, but that’s forgivable given the opponent.

Park’s grappling and control game are strong, and if he avoids a flash knockout, he should dominate the fight on the  ground. Expect Park to get it down, control position, and possibly lock in a submission. Park by submission or dominant decision.

Charles Jourdain -145 vs Davey Grant +124 

Davey Grant continues to be one of the most undervalued fighters in the UFC. He brings relentless pressure, great durability, and surprising power, and he’s never been knocked out. 

Jourdain has good movement and footwork, but his lack of finishing power is concerning — no knockouts in his last ten fights.

This fight likely turns into a brawl, and Grant’s toughness and willingness to engage should win rounds. At plus money, Grant is the pick.

Matt Frevola -135 vs Kyle Nelson +115 

This is a classic Frevola fight — chaos and violence. Frevola’s last six fights haven’t gone the distance, and that trend likely continues here.

Nelson is a grinder who prefers clinch battles and  controlling the pace, but Frevola will turn this into a firefight.

Both fighters have power, but Frevola’s defense is shaky after two straight knockout losses. Take the fight not to go the distance, with a small sprinkle on Nelson as the underdog.

Cody Gibson -120 vs Aoriqileng +100 

This one won’t be a thriller, but Gibson has more tools. Aoriqileng gets pieced up on the feet and dominated on the mat by better opponents, and most of his wins are against fighters no longer in the UFC.

Gibson is a competent striker and grappler who should have enough control time and volume to take two rounds. Unless Aoriqileng lands something big, Gibson should grind out a decision win.

Manon Fiorot -230 vs Jasmine Jasudavicius +176 

A pure striker-versus-wrestler matchup. Jasmine needs to get the fight to the mat to have any chance, but Fiorot’s length, footwork, and defensive awareness should keep her upright.

Fiorot has been facing elite competition, including Blanchfield and Shevchenko, and that experience will serve her well. Expect Fiorot to control the range and keep Jasmine at bay with kicks and jabs. Fiorot by decision.

Aiemann Zahabi -140 vs Marlon Vera +120 

Vera looks like a shell of his former self — low output, little power, and poor urgency. Zahabi isn’t much flashier, but he’s more technical, moves better, and lands at a higher clip.

Vera’s inability to pressure and volume disadvantage should cost him rounds. Expect Zahabi to win a  close but clear decision. Best bet: fight goes the distance.

Mike Malott -140 vs Kevin Holland +110 

Holland’s performances depend entirely on his focus. When he’s engaged, he’s creative and dangerous everywhere, but when he’s not, he looks uninterested and loses winnable fights. 

Malott has sharp finishing instincts, but his cardio remains questionable in deeper rounds. Holland’s length will frustrate Malott early, though Malott can do damage in the clinch. If Holland shows up motivated, he can pull the upset — I’ll take him as the live underdog.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Reinier de Ridder -235 vs Brendan Allen +190

De Ridder continues to evolve, showing improved clinch striking and composure in his recent win over Whittaker.

His grappling remains elite, and his physicality in close range makes him a handful for most middleweights.

Allen, meanwhile, looked sluggish in his recent fights and hasn’t displayed much urgency or power. De Ridder’s pressure and wrestling should break Allen down over time. De Ridder by inside-the-distance finish.

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