Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions and Best Bets – PGA Golf Picks May 28 – 31
Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Preview
Charles Schwab Challenge picks from WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang are available before golfers tee off from Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, TX! Andy discusses his predictions, picks, who can trip you up, the course and more surrounding the Charles Schwab Challenge starting May 28!
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| Charles Schwab Challenge | Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Notes |
|---|---|
| When: | May 28-31 |
| Where: | Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, TX |
| Defending Champ: | Ben Griffin |
| Current Favorite: | Ludvig Aberg (+850 at DraftKings) |
| TV: | CBS, ESPN+, Golf Channel, Paramount+ |
Charles Schwab Challenge Course: Colonial Country Club
The Charles Schwab Challenge returns to historic Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, one of the most traditional and strategy-driven courses on the PGA Tour.
Known as “Hogan’s Alley” because of Ben Hogan’s success here, Colonial is a classic par-70 layout just over 7,200 yards that rewards precision, patience, and elite iron play far more than raw power.
Tree-lined fairways, doglegs, and tight approach angles force players to carefully position the ball off the tee. Colonial’s small Bentgrass greens place a premium on approach accuracy, and missing in the wrong spots leads to difficult up-and-down attempts.
This is a course where players often club down off the tee, prioritizing placement over distance to create the right angles into the greens. The famous stretch known as the “Horrible Horseshoe” (holes 3–5) is one of the toughest three-hole stretches on Tour and can quickly derail a round.
Colonial is rarely a birdie fest — instead, it rewards players who avoid mistakes, hit quality mid-irons, and stay patient throughout the week. Expect a leaderboard filled with strong ball-strikers and experienced players who thrive on classic golf course setups.
Charles Schwab Challenge: Players That Can Trip You Up
Ben Griffin is going to attract a ton of attention as the defending champion, but I’m not buying into it this week. Before last year’s win, he finished missed cut and 52nd here, so the long-term course history isn’t exactly impressive.
His approach play this season has been poor, and he’s been completely carried by an unsustainably hot putter at +0.96 strokes gained putting over the last 30 days.
With just one Top 10 finish all year, pricing him as the 4th-highest favorite feels way too aggressive. This has fade written all over it.
Robert MacIntyre looked sharp earlier this season at The Players and Valero, but the recent form has completely collapsed. His last four starts: missed cut, 42nd, 60th, missed cut.
The stats are ugly across the board over the last 30 days—-0.38 putting, -0.40 around the green, and -0.17 on approach. That’s not one weak area, that’s everything trending the wrong direction. He’s simply not playing well enough to trust right now.
Keith Mitchell finished 5th last week, but the setup played perfectly for his game and this one doesn’t. He could swing freely with driver on a wide-open course without getting punished, which isn’t the case here.
Even more concerning, he barely gained anything putting (+0.06) and still managed that finish, which feels hard to repeat. Accuracy off the tee remains a major weakness, and this course is much less forgiving. Regression feels very likely this week.
Charles Schwab Challenge: DraftKings Darlings
Jackson Suber ($6,600) looked completely different over the last two tournaments after a rough January through April stretch. He finished 19th and then 4th in back to-back weak-field, easy-scoring events, and the underlying numbers were excellent.
His driving accuracy improved dramatically, while both the approach play and putting were fantastic. If that version of Suber shows up again, this price is way too low.
John Parry ($7,000) just keeps cashing DFS lineups. Even after last week, he still hasn’t missed a cut all season, and in another weak field there’s no reason to think that changes now.
Distance off the tee is his only real weakness, but this course minimizes that issue. Accuracy matters much more here, and that’s where Parry excels. He’s once again one of the safest value plays on the board.
Eric Cole ($7,200) continues to quietly play excellent golf. His 31st-place finish last week marked four straight made cuts, with two of those finishes landing inside the Top 15.
Over the last 30 days, he ranks 9th in this field in total strokes gained, showing the all-around game is trending in the right direction. At this price, Cole brings both consistency and upside for DFS builds.
He’s also been playing excellent golf on the Korn Ferry Tour. Long off the tee with a hot putter, Brown has the tools to seriously outperform this salary.
Rest of Lineup: Alex Smalley $9100, Rickie Fowler $9600, Ludvig Aberg $10500
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