Free Sports Predictions JUL 18: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Wrong team favored situation in Arlington, Texas Saturday night. The best team in baseball catching a plus price is our free bet for the day. “You are what your record says you are”, right? That is exactly what Detroit (59-38) possess starting the weekend heading into the second half of play.

Detroit's starter Montero has won 4 straight decisions. Texas starter Rocker is loved by many in the betting markets, however the righty is sporting north of a (6 ERA) and gave up 6 earned runs in only 4 innings of work his last time out against the Angels. I think he struggles again taking a step up in class vs the Tigers bats. Bet Detroit. 

🏆💰 Make sure to checkout Drew's BEST DEAL- TAKE ADVANTAGE of today's SPECIAL= Get August, Plus the Rest of July Free — A $198 Bonus Value! *Includes every client play (Including 4% & 5% picks) 

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Last game on the card for Friday night, we are heading to the Pacific Northwest and betting the Mariners at home. In the battle of #1 vs #2 by the records. Seattle is just 5 games back of Houston in the American League west division standings and is playing some really good ball, winning their last three games before the break. 

The Astros starter Walter had a hot start to the year, however the lefty has really started to show some flaws recently. His last 4 starts going just (1-2) with a 6 ERA. The Astros bats have struggled against righties in comparison to lefties and the righty they are facing tonight for the Mariners has been lights out. Luis Castillo is (2-0) with 18 strikeouts his last 18 innings completed. He also blanked the Houston bats last time facing them in Seattle, going 5 strong innings with 6 strikeouts and 0 runs given up. 

Starting off the second half of baseball season on Friday night with the free pick on the home Mariners at the short price. Bet M's. 

🏆💰 Make sure to checkout Drew's 5% FRIDAY "MAX LIMIT" MLB (17-6) $$ below…  

BEST DEAL- TAKE ADVANTAGE of today's SPECIAL= Get August, Plus the Rest of July Free — A $198 Bonus Value! *Includes every pick (Including 5% picks) 

Earlier Today Free Pick Recap:1-0 (+1 unit) 
Red Sox/ Cubs Under 8.5 WINNER


Today's MLB Betting Show: 
 

Released/revised 1 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon, former MLB scout and WagerTalk's #1 All-Sports Profit Capper in four of the last five years, brings his elite baseball insights directly to you. Gain access to detailed MLB starting pitcher projections, including expected walks, strikeouts, outs recorded, hits allowed, and earned runs for today's slate. These projections will give you the edge you need to sharpen your bets and enhance your DFS research. As an added bonus, you'll also receive Brandon's exclusive rankings for starting pitchers, bullpens, and lineups.   

→  https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon 
You can also get the rest of Brandon's 2025 for $2.85 a day, no code needed. 

James Naile has a 0.77 ERA vs this team and has not allowed an earned run in two starts. Thompson is a great pitcher but to get KIA with any runs in a parlay is a great bet to me.

Ito has dominated Rakuten his whole career and the Ham Fighters are the hottest team in Japan.

Released/revised 2 hour(s) ago

Tokyo Brandon, former MLB scout and WagerTalk's #1 All-Sports Profit Capper in four of the last five years, brings his elite baseball insights directly to you. Gain access to detailed MLB starting pitcher projections, including expected walks, strikeouts, outs recorded, hits allowed, and earned runs for today's slate. These projections will give you the edge you need to sharpen your bets and enhance your DFS research. As an added bonus, you'll also receive Brandon's exclusive rankings for starting pitchers, bullpens, and lineups.   

→  https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/tokyo-brandon 
You can also get the rest of Brandon's 2025 for $2.85 a day, no code needed. 

Phaadt has poor numbers against these Cardinals and the Arizona bullpen has been terrible. Phaadt actually pitched better on the road and Palante pitches better on the road. Take plus money with the better team.

Released/revised 4 hour(s) ago

St. louis finished the all-star break with a win. However, the Cardinals are 0-4 in their last 4 after a win in their previous game and were outscored 32-7. The Cardinals are also 1-5 in their last 6 on the road and were shutout 4 times. 

Brandon Pfadt has a very good 1.04 WHIP over his last 4 starts. Pfadt will be facing a St. Louis team that's 51-46 (.526). Since the start of last season, Pfadt is a perfect 8-0 in his team starts against teams that have a win percentage of between .510 to .540.

For a more detailed analysis on this game and a betting breakdown on the Yankees/Braves matchup watch the video below.

Released/revised 5 hour(s) ago

Chastain thrives at Dover, with an impressive average finish of 5.7 over his last three races at the track, compared to Kyle Busch’s 10.7. He’s also been consistent on shorter ovals this season, finishing 11th or better at Bristol, Phoenix, Martinsville, and Darlington. With his comfort level on these types of tracks, Chastain has the edge in this head-to-head matchup.

Saturday UFC+PFL pack is up!!!  #1 MMA profits 2025

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

ALERT: Follow Scott Rickenbach on Twitter/X where you will get his NEW feature of exclusive DAILY content including more free picks and premium info that will only be provided to twitter followers: https://x.com/rickenbachwins 

Rickenbach Free picks here at WagerTalk are on a fantastic 117-83 run since 23 July 2024! Next one HERE:

Free Pick Rotation #966 MLB Friday Free Pick UNDER 7.5 -113 in Seattle Mariners vs Houston Astros @ 10:10 ET - Sometimes the bats can struggle some out of the All-Star break. These teams have not played since Sunday and the break effects timing. The starting pitching match-up here is also good for an under which is a key as the prior statement does not mean one can just blindly play unders right out of the break. The point is that hitters timing can be off some right after the break and when facing tougher pitchers that can be an issue. The Mariners might be going with Castillo here and they have good options for a starter plus they have a solid bullpen. As for the Astros, they are likely going with lefty Brandon Walter here and he has a very strong 1.01 WHIP this season in his 7 starts so he is a bit undervalued right now based on his 1-2 record with modest 3.98 ERA. Astros don't score all that well on the road and the Mariners have one of the worst home batting averages in the majors. Free Pick UNDER 7.5 -113 in Seattle

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

Let's try this again.  This game has now been rained out twice but it's still the same matchup and everything still applies here.  There was no bullpen usage to take into consideration with both teams coming out of the break so everything is still the same as is the -125 price tag and I'll move forward with the move on Kia here.

Similar to the Lotte/LG game I think we have another import slugger injury that's not being fully accounted for in the number here. NC will be without Matthew Davidson, he's missed time for a couple of different reasons at points during the year but he's also likely out until August with a rib injury that was the result of a collision at 1st base.  Very similar to Dean, Davidson is a major source of pop for this NC lineup with 16 HR's and a .932 OPS.   Davidson being out is a big deal and I think it's even more magnified here as some of NC's lesser hitters are likely to be overpowered by Kia starter James Naile.

Riley Thompson has been red hot, he's been one of the best starters in KBO entering the break and Thompson vs Naile is a showdown that's as even as it gets.  Because we have two top of the line starters here, I think Naile and Kia end up with a sizeable edge as Kia gets a number of regulars back while Naile gets to navigate a NC lineup that won't have their top slugger (Davidson).  Even if Thompson is perfect (unlikely as even through his dominant run he's still given up at least 1 run in his last four starts) we still have that same edge with Kia's lineup against NC's bullpen.  Kia (like Lotte) hasn't had the best bullpen but that's offset by having every high leverage arm and potentially a 4th or 5th SP available in relief here.   NC's usual bullpen edge is less pronounced which makes Kia more appealing in this spot.  

Play on Kia Tigers -125 for 4% (or 4 units)

Released/revised 8 hour(s) ago

QUICK ANALYSIS

LISTED STARTERS

PALLANTE/ PFAADT

We will play this Arizona club at home to go OVER until we don’t as long as we can keep getting good numbers on the total. We get 8 1 /2 over 25 here and it will be 9 come game time. Andre Pallante hits the hill for St. Louis and he has had a rough season as his 4.49 ERA would suggest. We like the Diamondbacks to put up runs against him especially at home. We have not been fans of Brandon Pfaadt for some years now and we have had success playing him over this season. He is sporting a 5.16 ERA on the year and he really can be any type. STL can score runs and did put up 3 runs earlier this season on Brandon. We expect more of the same tonight. Arizona has averaged OVER 5 runs a game in their last 5 games and then when the BP’s get involved, that just means more runs. So lets get the job done with the St. Louis/ Arizona game OVER 8 1 /2 as your free play for today in MLB.

Released/revised 12 hour(s) ago

(965) Houston Astros at (966) Seattle Mariners

Houston Astros Total Under 3.5 (-120)  L Castillo (RHP) Must Start

The Astros finished the first half of the season with 11 runs and 27 hits in their last 4 games. 

In games with a total of 7.5 and less Houston has averaged 3.18 runs per game and 6.71 hits per game.

Luis Castillo at home has a 2.29 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in his 10 home starts.

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on Rutgers. 

At his second stint at Rutgers, Greg Schiano delivered a winning record and went to a bowl game last year. Duplicating that this season will be difficult with a less favorable schedule. The Scarlet Knights rank near the top of the country in returning production, including an experienced quarterback. Hosting a MAC team in Week 1, they should start off the season with a convincing win. The Bobcats were MAC champs last year, but they were not competitive in non-conference play. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule 

Released/revised 13 hour(s) ago

Was surprised Kyler Phillips opened as a sizeable underdog in this spot. The market is overreacting to his recent loss against UFC vet Rob Font. Last 5 fights Kyler's been lined as a massive favorite at -280, -400, -200, -215, -625 now we're getting him at +145 Saturday night? Sign me up. Now I'm not gonna say Rob Font's some elite level fighter but he's a high level boxer with a solid gas tank. Philips dominated round 1 than Font implemented his gameplan controlling distance walking Kyler down next 2 rounds. The only fighters Font's loss to since 2021 is Jose Aldo, Marlon Vera, Cory Sandhagen, and Figgy. All top level fighters or former champions. Stylistically, Philips is very unorthodox on the feet while possessing incredible athleticism. Slick striking backed by well timed takedowns and explosiveness. Believe he's capable of securing multiple takedowns controlling the action or out landing over the 3 rounds with finishing upside. While Vinicius Oliveira's a fighter we backed against Said Nurmagomedov at nice plus money cashing a ticket… I'm getting off the train. No doubt he's an aggressive striker willing to move forward yet there's holes in his defense were Kyler can capitalize. At times Oliveira's sloppy in the pocket leaving hands down in tight exchanges. Kyler far more technical on the feet and should find plenty of success. Lastly, let's address the cardio concerns on the Kyler side. Sure, the guy doesn't have a top notch gas tank… but neither does Vinicius. We've seen him slow down or need to dig very deep pushing through adversity. At plus money Kyler's the side here having a better overall skill set with ability to finish the fight. 

Released/revised 21 hour(s) ago

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

The quality of play in the Sun Belt has improved dramatically over the last few years, but James Madison should be the class of the East Division in 2025. Marshall won the division (and conference) last season, but head coach Charles Huff went to Southern Miss and took several key pieces with him. The West Division is going to be loaded with intriguing storylines this season: How quickly can Huff build Southern Miss? Can South Alabama's offense continue to cook without QB Gio Lopez? Does Texas State have one foot out the conference realignment door? But in the East, James Madison should have a very favorable path toward the Sun Belt Championship Game. According to the odds board, the two biggest challengers to the Dukes in the East are Georgia Southern and Old Dominion. James Madison gets to host both of those teams in Harrisonburg. Head coach Bob Chesney has been very complimentary of the pieces that the Dukes will welcome on offense this season. "The quarterback room, the receiver room, the running back room, there’s a whole lot more in here than we might have had a year ago," Chesney said. That's a scary proposition for the rest of the league, considering the Dukes have consistently performed at the top of the conference.

Released/revised 2 day(s) ago

The BC Lions offense is rolling, coming off a 32-point outing against Edmonton, and now they face a Saskatchewan team that could be without three key defensive backs — Rolan Milligan Jr., Marcus Sayles, and Tevaughn Campbell — all of whom missed practice Tuesday. That’s a huge blow to the Riders’ secondary, especially against a BC team that ranks near the top of the league in passing yards and total offense, and they've looked rock solid since the return of Nathan Rourke. 

With the Lions playing at home in controlled conditions and Saskatchewan’s defense potentially shorthanded, BC should have plenty of opportunities to attack through the air and finish drives. If Saskatchewan is indeed down multiple starters in the secondary, this number feels short.

Recommendation: BC Lions Team Total Over 26.5

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago

For a full breakdown and analysis of this play, check out our article over on Wagertalk News which should be posted no later than Thursday.

PLAY: LAWRENCE OKOLIE ML (-230)

Released/revised 4 day(s) ago

This is one of the biggest mismatches in the month of August. USC is loaded with talent and looking to build off last year's finish. Missouri State, making its FBS debut, will be outclassed all over the field. Recall that the Trojans were last seen, defeating Texas A&M in the 35-31 in the Las Vega Bowl last December. The Trojans erased a 17-point deficit along the way, their biggest bowl comeback ever. Lincoln Riley commented: “In some ways it was kind of a poetic ending to the season. I’m incredibly proud of this group. The resiliency that they’ve shown. I told them there’s a toughness and a hardness developing in this program right now. You can look at a lot of different points throughout this season and certainly tonight and you see that. I have a lot of excitement about that. Our motto is ‘Fight On!’, and this team really embodies that." Last season, the Trojans began with a win over LSU and followed it up with a 48-0 drubbing of Utah State, a game they were laying -31 points for. Knowing that much tougher games lie ahead, the Trojans will take advantage of this early mismatch to build confidence with another one-sided blowout victory. *good up to -34

Ben Burns DOMINATED pro AND college football last season, ranking as WagerTalk's #1 overall football champion 

Released/revised 5 day(s) ago

Francisco Prado 
Veretinnikov has dropped both of his UFC fights—one to a striker and one to a grappler—and hasn’t shown much in the way of offense or defense. He was dominated on the ground by Vanderford and had extremely low output in his loss to Barlow, managing just 21 strikes over the first two rounds. Prado, while a bit undersized, keeps a high pace and has faced better competition in recent losses to Jake Matthews and Daniel Zellhuber. Veretinnikov hasn’t impressed, and Prado should outwork him across three rounds. Prado by decision is the pick.

UFC 318 Pack is up!!!  #1 MMA 2025 at Wagertalk

Released/revised 5 day(s) ago