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Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions, Best Bets, Free Picks and Odds May 23-26

Scottie Scheffler prepares for Charles Schwab Challenge

Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the Charles Schwab Challenge teeing off from Colonial Golf Course in Fort Worth, TX. Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the Charles Schwab Challenge starting May 23rd!

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Charles Schwab ChallengeCharles Schwab Challenge Betting Notes
When:May 23-26
Where:Colonial Golf Course in Fort Worth, TX
Defending Champ:Emiliano Grillo
Current Favorite:Scottie Scheffler (+260 at DraftKings)
TV:Golf Channel, CBS

Charles Schwab Challenge Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuelDraftKings and others)

Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Preview

We were able to cash Emiliano Grillo at 80-1 last year which started a huge run for the remainder of the season, let’s hope we can catch another winner at Colonial this year. Though, this is a different course than the players faced last year.

Well, technically, it’s the same club, as Colonial is the only venue to host this tournament in its 78 years, but it underwent some major renovations with every hole on the course being touched in some way.

Par remains the same as the course plays to a stock par-70 with just two par 5s, though the overall yardage has increased by about 80 yards to nearly 7,300 in total.

Two of the par 3s have entirely new green locations and all 18 holes feature new bentgrass greens. While course history here has proven to be a must, with the last first-time winner being Sergio Garcia back in 2001, it’s safe to say that this year’s edition has a better chance to see that trend change given the greens could level the playing field.

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The course remains a classic design with tight fairways that require precision, not power to master. Past winners include Justin Rose, Kevin Kisner, Chris Kirk and Zach Johnson and if their skillsets tell us anything, it’s that you don’t have to be a long hitter to win here, though it always helps, if you can keep it straight.

Each of the last two winners, Grillo last year and Sam Burns in 2022, both failed to reach 10-under par, and last year’s edition barely saw the winds kick into gear which will not be the case this year.

They are expected to be standard Texas winds, meaning steady 10-20mph with likely higher gusts. The good news is rain is only in the forecast for the opener with the field set to dodge thunderstorms on Thursday, before temperatures climb into the low-90s for the remaining three days.

Finally, the field is understandably much weaker than we saw at last week’s major, but world #1 Scottie Scheffler, fresh of his arrest at the PGA (!) headlines the field along with fellow Texan, Jordan Spieth. Collin Morikawa and Max Homa are the other Top-10 players in the field.

Charles Schwab Challenge Outright Winners: Harris English +3500 (DraftKings or FanDuel)

From Nick Borrman:

English has quietly been playing consistently over the last ten months with just one missed cut dating back to last year’s Open Championship. That run of 17 tournaments saw him finish T22 or better more than 50% of the time, nine of 17 starts.

His run includes excellent results on tough tracks with deep fields: a T18 at the PGA Championship, a T22 at the Masters, a T19 at THE PLAYERS, a T21 at the Arnold Palmer, and 7th at The Genesis, just since February. Being another tough course this week, though with a weaker field, should see him finish even higher up on the leaderboard.

English is an excellent putter, ranking 8th in SG Putting this season, and his short game is strong having gained strokes Around the Greens in nine of this last 11 starts.

He also ranks 19th in Total Driving this season as he’s very accurate (19th in fairway %) which will come in handy around Colonial, plus he carries better than average pop as well.

Finally, though the course did experience renovations, his knowledge around the venue is good with eight previous starts here, four of them finishing inside the Top-20 including two Top-5s. I think we see him in the mix on Sunday.

Charles Schwab Challenge Top-20 Finish: Thomas Detry +240 (DraftKings or FanDuel)

Detry is getting more comfortable in his 2nd full season as a PGA Tour member which features a couple of recent strong finishes including a T17 at the Valspar and a T2 at the Houston Open, along with a T8 at the Zurich Classic partners event. However, his most impressive finish came just last week with a T4 at the PGA Championship.

Detry is a phenomenal putter ranking 10th this season in SG Putting which leads to ranking 6th in Birdie Average per round. He also excels in par 3 scoring with the 5th lowest scoring average.

While he does only have one start here, he finished T21 last year which should give him confidence this week.

See you next week for the RBC Canadian Open!

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