UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs Bonfim Picks, Predictions and Odds June 6, 2026

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang for June 6, 2026 with the main event headlined by Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV.

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Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, June 6	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Belal Muhammad -130 vs Gabriel Bonfim +102
Rounds:	4.5 (Over -112 / Under -112)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 8:00pm ET / 5:00pm PT
Arena:	Meta APEX, Las Vegas, NV
TV:	Paramount+

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions

Brendan Allen -213 vs Edmen Shahbazyan +203 

Edmen’s fights tend to follow the same script. He looks fantastic early, dangerous enough to finish almost anyone, and then the cardio falls apart if the fight extends. 

Allen’s path is obvious. He’ll want to wrestle, get the fight to the ground, and force Edmen to  work. The problem is that I haven’t been overly impressed with Allen lately. He doesn’t offer  much danger on the feet, makes mistakes, and can leave openings. 

If Edmen has enough gas in the tank, he absolutely has the striking advantage and finishing upside. At plus money, I think the underdog is worth a sprinkle. 

Fares Ziam -270 vs Tom Nolan +257 

Ziam should simply be too physical for Nolan in this matchup. 

Nolan can be baited into firefights, and while he’s dangerous when exchanging, he also gets hit  far too often. Ziam isn’t likely to stand in the pocket and give Nolan those opportunities. 

Instead, expect Ziam to mix in takedowns, force Nolan to work, and slowly wear him down. The  wrestling advantage should carry him to a victory. 

Bryce Mitchell -149 vs Santiago Luna +118 

The matchup is pretty straightforward. If Mitchell gets Luna to the ground, he dominates. If Luna can keep the fight standing, he should  have a clear edge in the striking exchanges. 

The problem for Luna is Mitchell’s experience and wrestling pressure. Over three rounds, I trust Mitchell to find enough takedowns to control the fight and get his hand raised. 

Matt Schnell +572 vs Alessandro Costa -721

Schnell looks finished as a professional fighter. The durability is gone, the cardio isn’t what it once was, and he’s lost six of his last eight fights. At this point, it’s hard to identify many paths to victory. 

Costa has been inconsistent during his UFC run, but he’s still a quality striker and this is about as favorable a matchup as he could ask for. Schnell’s best chance is finding some kind of  submission opportunity, but that’s a difficult path to rely on. Costa should roll here. 

Iwo Baraniewski -291 vs Junior Tafa +252 

I’ve been high on Iwo since Contender Series, but I can’t lay this number. 

He’s a dynamic striker with legitimate finishing ability, but so is Tafa. I’ve made plenty of money  fading Tafa over the years because of the cardio issues and poor takedown defense, but those  weaknesses may not matter here. 

This fight has all the ingredients for an early car crash. Both guys want to strike, both hit hard,  and neither is likely to spend much time looking for takedowns. Iwo may very well win, but at this price it’s Tafa or nothing. 

Marcus McGhee -491 vs John Yannis +397 

This feels like one of the easier picks on the card. McGhee just went the distance with Petr Yan, who is now the champion. That’s elite-level  competition compared to what he’s facing here. 

McGhee has the better striking, better movement, and is simply the superior fighter everywhere.  Yannis is stepping in on short notice after McGhee’s original opponent withdrew. Don’t be surprised if McGhee gets a finish. 

Bruno Silva -122 vs Edgar Chairez +117 

Chairez looked awful in his last fight, and that’s concerning because he was in a matchup where  he should have dominated. The striking has looked good throughout his career, and the ground game is dangerous, but he appeared slow and disengaged. 

Silva is a quality striker who has lost to some very tough competition. He can slow down as  fights progress, but early on he should be able to dictate the pace on the feet. 

This isn’t a pre-fight betting spot for me. It’s a live betting opportunity. If Chairez comes out looking flat and uninspired, I’d live bet Silva immediately. If Chairez looks aggressive, focused, and ready to wrestle, he probably wins the fight on the ground.

Chelsea Chandler -108 vs Priscila Cachoeira +104 

These are two fighters who have struggled badly over the last few years. 

Interestingly, the last two wins for both women came against the same opponent, Josiane Nunes.  Neither fighter is particularly impressive overall. 

Cachoeira is unlikely to wrestle, while Chandler has at least shown flashes of takedowns and  grappling success during her UFC run. If there’s a meaningful edge in this fight, that’s where it  exists. 

The striking is fairly comparable. Chandler gets the pick based on the grappling upside.

Jordan Leavitt +156 vs Joanderson Brito -163

I can’t lay this price with Brito. He’s talented, but he makes far too many mistakes, particularly against wrestlers and grapplers.  Unfortunately for him, Leavitt’s best skill set revolves around getting fights to the mat. 

Leavitt is coming off back-to-back wins against opponents who couldn’t handle his grappling.  Brito put himself in terrible positions against both Gomis and Sabatini, and if he gives Leavitt  even one opening, he could spend an entire round stuck underneath him. 

At plus money, Leavitt is the side. 

Jeisla Chaves -376 vs Yuneisy Duben +355 

Chaves has one of the more interesting stories on the roster. She was a ring girl before transitioning into MMA and earned her UFC opportunity through a wild Contender Series fight. 

She showed a ton of toughness in that fight. She got knocked down, bloodied up, fought through  adversity, and eventually broke her opponent with volume and pressure. The heart, durability, and striking output all stood out. 

Duben landed one of the craziest knockouts in Contender Series history as a massive underdog,  but outside of that moment, she hasn’t impressed much. She was knocked out in her UFC debut and remains very limited. Chaves should run through her. 

Ketlen Souza -257 vs Ariane Carnelossi +245 

This has all the makings of a slow, grinding fight. Both women prefer clinch-heavy exchanges, but Souza appears to be the better fighter at this  stage of their careers. Carnelossi is coming off a disappointing loss in a fight she probably should  have won, getting outworked before eventually being finished.

Souza should be able to control the clinch positions, rack up control time, and grind out rounds. The most likely outcome is Souza by decision.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Belal Muhammad -130 vs Gabriel Bonfim +102

Belal can still wrestle, make fights ugly, and rack up control time when he gets things going his way. That’s always been the foundation of his success. 

Bonfim has been on a nice run and has shown a well-rounded skill set. He can strike, wrestle,  and hunt submissions, but the cardio remains a concern. If he’s fading in three-round fights, it’s  fair to question how he’ll handle championship rounds. 

Belal has now lost back-to-back fights, and I’m a believer that once some fighters reach their  peak and start declining, the drop can come quickly.

He looked poor losing the title to Della Maddalena and then got outworked by Ian Garry. I don’t think the speed or wrestling is quite what it used to be. I’ll side with the younger, hungry fighter looking to climb the ladder rather than the veteran who may have already reached his ceiling.

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