UFC 319: Du Plessis vs Chimaev Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds August 13

UFC 319 Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC 319 picks and predictions for August 13 with the main event headlined by Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev in a middleweight title fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from the United Center in Chicago, IL.

Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev: UFC 319 Main Event

Saturday, August 13	UFC 319 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Dricus Du Plessis +165 vs Khamzat Chimaev -215
Rounds:	2.5 Rounds (Over -105 / Under -125)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
Arena:	United Center in Chicago, IL
TV:	PPV

UFC 319 Predictions: Undercard

Karine Silva (-180) vs Dione Barbosa (+140) 

I love betting on fighters coming off a loss to an established veteran, and Silva lost to Araujo, which should push her to make improvements.

Silva has better power on the feet, while Barbosa is coming off a submission win but will struggle to get Silva to the ground.

Silva also has a good submission game herself. Barbosa’s loss to Maverick is concerning, as she was taken down in all three rounds and couldn’t get up. Silva is too good everywhere-she’s the pick.

Bryan Battle (-196) vs Nursulton Ruziboev (+150) 

Battle has been improving consistently but may be getting overconfident at 7-1 in the UFC. His offense is solid, but his striking defense is still an issue, and Ruziboev has the power to exploit that.

Battle has the cardio advantage if it goes long. Ruziboev looked shaky against Stoltzfus in his last fight, getting dropped early and tiring. I think Battle survives the early danger and pulls away late in a close decision win.

Edson Barboza (-170) vs Drakkar Klose (+132) 

I love Barboza here. Klose suffered a neck injury in 2021, returned slow, and beat low-level fighters. In a post-fight interview, he even said he wanted only easy fights for easy paydays.

The UFC gave him a killer in Joel Alvarez next, and Alvarez destroyed him. Barboza is tough, will push forward, win clinch battles, and make this a rough fight Klose won’t enjoy. Barboza is the easy pick.

Chase Hooper (-310) vs Alexander Hernandez (+230) 

I love Hooper here. Hernandez underwhelms, and his weaknesses are bad news against Hooper-his cardio isn’t good, and Hooper can push three strong rounds. Hernandez’s striking defense is poor, and he often wears damage badly.

While Hernandez can get takedowns, Hooper’s strength is his ground game. Hernandez tends to slow late, so Hooper should wear him down, get him to the mat, and work toward a submission or ground-and-pound finish.

Loopy Godinez (-188) vs Jessica Andrade (+146) 

I’ll take the underdog here in Andrade. Loopy used to dominate with wrestling but now strikes more, without much power-she’s never had a KO as a pro.

She lost two straight before beating a low-level opponent in Polastri, and even then, she took damage late.

Andrade has lost two in a row but to great fighters, and she can hit hard while being strong enough to defend Loopy’s takedowns. This is a good spot for an underdog play.

Michal Oleksiejczuk (-260) vs Gerald Meerschaert (+196) 

Gerald is a submission specialist but weak on the feet, while Michal is the opposite-good striker, poor on the ground.

Gerald is older and still competitive, but without the fight on the ground, he struggles. Michal recently joined Fighting Nerds gym and scored a KO in his last fight. The best bet is the fight not to go the distance, but I see Michal winning by KO.

Diego Ferreira (-205) vs King Green (+158) 

Green has lost 3 of his last 4, all by finish, and still fights with his hands down at age 38. Ferreira is 40 and lost his last fight, but it was against a bad stylistic matchup.

Before that, he won two straight by finish. If betting Ferreira, the KO prop is the way to go. I lean Ferreira but won’t make it an official play at this price.

Kai Asakura (-340) vs Tim Elliott (+255) 

We haven’t seen Elliott in 1.5 years, and at 38, he’ll need to use his grappling to win. Asakura is a good striker who faced Pantoja, the champion, in his UFC debut and was dominated.

This is a big step down for him, but he struggled on the ground in that fight. Elliott’s shape and preparation are unknown, so this is a stay-away pre-fight-possibly a great live-bet spot if Elliott looks fresh early.

Michael Page (-174) vs Jared Cannonier (+136) 

The best bet here is the fight to go the distance. Page fights from a karate stance, and all three of his UFC bouts have gone the distance.

Cannonier is durable and will need to close the distance to work in the clinch. Page’s low volume could give Cannonier opportunities to steal rounds. Cannonier at plus money is tempting, but the safest play is the fight going the distance.

Carlos Prates (-265) vs Geoff Neal (+200) 

Prates lost to Ian Garry in a 5-round fight, which proved his cardio and durability. Neal is tough but shorter and at a reach disadvantage, and longer fighters have given him trouble before.

Neal’s wins haven’t been overly impressive, while Prates trains at Fighting Nerds gym, which will have him well-prepared. Prates is the pick.

Aaron Pico (-158) vs Lerone Murphy (+124) 

Pico debuts from Bellator, and recent Bellator arrivals haven’t fared well in the UFC. I’m siding with Murphy-he’s undefeated, durable, and his striking and footwork are strong.

Pico’s recent wins aren’t impressive, and his level of competition is questionable. This could be a rude awakening for Pico. Murphy is the pick at plus money.

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UFC 319 Main Event: Dricus Du Plessis +165 vs Khamzat Chimaev -215

Chimaev will push for an early submission and can absolutely finish DDP in the opening minutes, but his cardio is a concern.

If Du Plessis survives early, his power and pressure could lead to a KO later. The safest pre-fight angle is the fight not to go the distance.

Waiting for a live-bet opportunity on DDP after round one could be the sharp move if Chimaev starts to fade.

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