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Pavlos Laguretos EPL Tab English Premier League

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Event:
(200117) Manchester City at (200118) Everton: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 3.0 (-121)

Everton vs Manchester City
EPL, Monday, 3pm ET

Play: Under 3 Goals
Odds at Time of Release: -121
Line Parameter: Line good to -130, no play if line moves to 2.75

The Asian Total in this game is set at 3, which means that getting the Under 3 wins if there are 0, 1 or 2 goals, it's a Push (refund) at exactly 3 goals, and loses at 4 goals or more.

Only 1 of Everton's L/6 matches had 4 goals, just 2 of L/15, and just 3 of L/22. Those are pretty solid numbers. And at home, only 1 of L/11 had 4 goals or more, and just 2 of 20 home matches this season.

Only 1 of Manchester City's L/9 matches had 4 goals or more, and just 3 of L/17. On the road, just 1 of L/8 had 4 goals or more, and just 3 of L/16. Also pretty solid numbers.

Only 1 of L/9 H2H had 4 goals or more, with a 4-0 run to the Under 2.5 Goals, and only 1 of L/5 in this venue had 4 goals or more, with a 3-2 to the Under 2.5 Goals.

Manchester City are locked in on the title and they are being very serious lately, on a 6-match winning streak with 4 clean sheets and just 1 of those matches producing 4 goals or more, the FA Cup vs Liverpool.

Everton are sneakily trying to get a European ticket for next season, they are just 2 points off the 7th spot and 4 points off the 6th spot, and with 4 matches to go, they have valid chances. Even a Draw against City would be a great result, and even if they lose they'll try to suffer minimal damage so as to not destroy their goal difference (which is the first tiebreaker).

I like the Under 3 Goals here, based on stats, form and history there is a good chance we see up to 3 goals. If we see exactly 3 this bet is refunded.

The Play is on the Under 3 Goals (-121), line good to -130

NOTE: This is a 3% client play for Pavlos at WagerTalk

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Pavlos Laguretos FL1 Tab France Ligue 1

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Event:
(203245) AS Monaco at (203246) Metz
Date/Time:
Play:
Monaco to win by 3-2, 4-2 or 5-2 (+800)

Metz vs Monaco
Ligue 1, Saturday, 1pm ET

Play: Monaco to win by 3-2, 4-2 or 5-2
Odds at Time of Release: +800 FanDuel
Line Parameter: Line good to +650

Obviously a longshot, but with stats backing this up. First of all, each of L/2 H2H were won by Monaco with the same 5-2 scoreline. Looking at their current form, they are on a 3-match win-less streak against Toulouse (2-2 Draw), Auxerre (2-2 Draw) and Paris FC (4-1 loss), and now up against the already relegated Metz who will go out there and have some fun. Metz played for a 4-4 draw against Le Havre in their last match, while earlier in the season they lost at home to Lyon by 5-2, and to PSG by 3-2.

That's a whole lot of coincidences and I am willing to take a chance with this combination of correct scores which is +800 on FanDuel. You can find this prop under the "Correct Score Combinations tab".

Take 1% on Monaco to win by 3-2, 4-2 or 5-2 (+800 at FanDuel), line good to +650

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Jimmy Adams MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(977) Chicago White Sox at (978) San Diego Padres
Date/Time:
Play:
San Diego Padres -1 (-145) Action

After a fantastic start to the season, the Padres are in a bit of a funk, but sending Michael King to the mound is exactly what they need to get back on track. King has allowed 2 runs on 4 hits combined over his past 2 starts, spanning 11 innings of work. The South Side has the 6th worst bullpen in baseball, and we’ll look for San Diego to come away with the win today as we play them on the ALT RL. Take the Padres -1.

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Bruce Marshall MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(957) Philadelphia Phillies at (958) Miami Marlins: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Philadelphia Phillies 105 Action

So far so good for the Phils under Don Mattingly, now 4-0 in his interim position after yet another 1-run win last night at Miami. As we’ve seen these new manager/coach “bounces” last a lot longer than a few days, we’re inclined to ride this one a bit longer, even as the Phils cross their fingers today with starter Andrew Painter (5.25 ERA, 1.50 WHIP).

Meanwhile the Marlins have scored barely 3 runs pg while losing four of their last six, and as starter Max Meyer has a five-inning ceiling, that means more work for a soon-to-be overtaxed Miami bullpen on Saturday. Play Phillies on Money Line

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Drew Martin MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(973) Kansas City Royals at (974) Seattle Mariners: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
Seattle Mariners -145 Emerson Hancock (RHP) Must Start

The Mariners over the Royals is how we are attacking this one in the Pacific Northwest on Saturday. Seattle starter Emerson Hancock has been sharp with a sub (2.90 ERA) and a 23 to 6 strikeout to walk ratio. He has not letup more than 3 runs in any start this season.

Kansas City starter Seth Lugo got rocked his last time out to the tune of 14 hits and 7 runs. KC has been awful on the road this year going just (4-12). This just missed the Saturday client card. For today's free pick- Bet Mariners.

Free Pick Recap: 13-4 (+9.83 units) 
Friday- Phillies/ Marlins over 8.5 (-110) WINNER
Thursday- Blue Jays (-135) Loss
Wednesday- Nationals (+140) WINNER 
Wednesday- Cubs (+100) WINNER 
Tuesday- Yankees (-118) WINNER 
Monday- Cardinals (+115) WINNER 
Saturday- Padres (+100) WINNER 
Friday- Tigers (-130) Loss
Thursday- Padres/ Rockies over 11 (-110) WINNER
Tuesday- Pirates (+100) Loss
Monday- Cubs (-102) WINNER 
Saturday- White Sox/ A's over 9.5 (-115) WINNER
Friday- Brewers/ Marlins over 8.5 (-105) WINNER 
Thursday- Rockies (+146) WINNER
Thursday- Nats/ Brewers under 9 (-110) Loss
Wednesday- Cubs (+122) WINNER
Tuesday- Diamondbacks (+135) WINNER

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Steve Merril MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(979) New York Mets at (980) Los Angeles Angels: Moneyline
Date/Time:
Play:
New York Mets -120 Nolan McLean (RHP), Reid Detmers (LHP) Must Start

Los Angeles starter Reid Detmers projects to give up 2.6 runs with a 4.28 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.  New York’s lineup has hit a solid .431 (22-51) with a strong 1.165 OPS against Detmers in his career.  The Mets will start Nolan McLean.  The righty projects to give up 2.1 earned runs with a 3.13 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.  With the starting pitching clearly in New York’s favor, look for the Mets to get a solid road win in this game on Saturday night.

Play METS (-).

-------------------

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Ben Burns MLB Tab Major League Baseball

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Event:
(967) Cleveland Guardians at (968) Oakland Athletics: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 10.0 (-105) Slade Cecconi (RHP), Jacob Lopez (LHP) Must Start

Neither of these starters is missing many bats. Cecconi is 0-4 with a 1.52 WHIP. On the road, he's 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Lopez somehow has a 2-1 record. However, he's got a 5.84 ERA and an ugly 1.95 WHIP. Three of his past four starts have finished with at least 15 runs. This one should also finish with "double-digits" in runs. Play the over. *good at 10 or better

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Bryan Power SOC Tab Soccer

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Event:
(200261) Stoke City at (200262) Bristol City: Team Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Bristol City Total Over 1.5 (-127)

Despite no victories, Bristol City have managed to score a total of five goals over the last three weeks. I think they'll be able to find the back of the net at least twice in the final match of the season on Saturday as they host Stoke City in what should be a freewheeling battle of mid-table sides with nothing at stake.

Saturday could be the final time we see Roy Hodgson managing Bristol City. He took over midseason and has steadied the ship somewhat. Whether or not the 78-year old officially retires after the season, one would assume his players will want to send him out a winner. So, at the very least, there should be a motivation in front of the goal.

I know that Stoke City is tied for the second fewest away goals in the league this season. But I prefer betting Bristol City Over 1.5 goals to the 3-way line simply because the Robins have conceded eight times in the last three matches. I'd rather not worry about how many times the visitors find the back of the net here. I certainly don't see this being a 1-0 win for the home side.

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Gianni the Greek SOC Tab Soccer

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Event:
(200273) Southampton at (200274) Preston: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Over 2.75 (-119)

ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP

Total Over 2.75 (-119)...(3%) - thru Over 2.75 (-130)

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Gianni the Greek SOC Tab Soccer

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Event:
(200301) Birmingham City at (200302) Portsmouth: Total
Date/Time:
Play:
Total Under 2.75 (-117)

ENG CHAMPIONSHIP

Total Under 2.75 (-117)...(3%) thru Under 2.75 (-130)

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Kyle Anthony MMA Tab Mixed Martial Arts

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Event:
(24433) Vince Morales at (24434) Colby Thicknesse
Date/Time:
Play:
Vince Morales +114

will add breakdown soon

Play: Vince Morales +114

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