Free Sports Predictions MAY 9: NFL, NBA, NHL, All Sports

Released/revised 7 hour(s) ago

This is a free play on BOS to win Game 1 and the series. 

So money is pouring in on Boston to win Game 3, and the Celtics have been bet up to a 5.5 point favorite. I expect some positive regression for Boston, and I like their chances of getting back in this series. Even if they win Game 3, they still need to win three of the next four games to win the series, and at +300 I like the Knicks to lose Game 3, but still win the series. 

GL, 

Jesse Schule 

Released/revised 9 hour(s) ago

2% Valencia (8:00 AM ET): Two mid-table sides heading in opposite directions here in La Liga as Valencia is unbeaten in nine consecutive matches while Getafe have dropped four in a row. Now there’s an argument to be made that we’re catching Valencia at/near the top of the market, however the motivation for Los Che far outweighs that in my opinion. Three more points on Saturday and we could be talking European qualification for Valencia, or at the very least a top half finish, something few would have imagined when the club was near the relegation zone at the midpoint of the domestic season. 

As for Getafe, they’ve got a significantly better YTD goal difference than Valencia, but being three points back at this stage makes European qualification highly unlikely. (The xGD between these two sides is a lot closer). Since they’re also seven points clear of the relegation zone, Getafe really have little to play for down these last four matches, and thus I can see them stumbling down the stretch. Quite frankly, that stumble is already apparent with the four consecutive losses, two of which came against teams that were freshly promoted this season (Espanyol, Las Palmas). Each of the last three losses have been by the same scoreline (1-0) so not much of an attack right now for Getafe, who - incredibly - have failed to top 1.0 xG in six of the last seven away matches! The exception came against last place Real Valladolid. 

Meanwhile, Valencia found the back of the net three times in last week’s win over Las Palmas. The previous seven matches all saw them concede 1 goal or fewer. So we are talking about a very in-form side at the moment. In fact, the only other La Liga side w/o a loss in the L5 matches is Barcelona. While it ended up being a 1-1 draw in the reverse (back in October), Getafe’s lone goal came on a penalty in the 90th minute. Should also be pointed out Getafe will have three players suspended for this match as well including Mauro Arambarri, whose nine goals not only lead the club, but are more than double anyone else. 2% Valencia (Play to -120) 

Released/revised 10 hour(s) ago

MLS

(209893) New England Revolution at (209894) Orlando City SC

Orlando hasn't given up a goal in five straight matches, six if you count the US Open Cup.  New England has generated the 2nd fewest xG per match.  Not a good omen for the Rev.

Orlando did fail to score though in four of those matches, however, only one came at home.  And, despite not scoring, they averaged more than 1.0 xG in those four matches, meaning they were creating their chances, just not converting them.

At home, I like the Lions to do what they did last time out in a 3-0 home beatdown of Atlanta in which we saw the overdue positive regression.

TAKE ORLANDO -0.75

Line Parameter: 3% to -140

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Boston's 25.0% three-point shooting percent average across the opening two games just hasn't got it done, down a mammoth 11.6% from their full season average. Even New York's own perimeter shooting numbers were down 7.9% in Game 2. We're expecting a return to form on Saturday.

PLAY: OVER 204.5 (-110)

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

Anytime Ion Cutelaba's in a fight you know it'll be highly volatile. The guy does posses power and is very explosive but lacks technical skills and very reckless in the pocket. Normally Ion's looking to brawl early and is not very economical with his cardio. In this spot we're presented with a pick'em price tag on a fighter with multiple paths to victory. Believe Modestas should be a clear favorite and due to this being his second run in the UFC it's devaluing his stock. Since returning back to the UFC Bukauskas is 4-1 and showing large improvements in his game. One of the biggest improvements is his striking. No doubt he'll be the more far more technical striker with cleaner combinations and better footwork. Most of the time Cutelaba lives up to his Hulk nickname by throwing everything with 100% power. He never sets up his combinations or seek to fight behind a jab. Time after time the guy fights like he's in a bar room brawl never having a gameplan or sticking to it. For the most part Ion only throws big looping overhands while Modestas is more calculated with better shot selection. Another advantage for Modestas is he's the better minute winner between the two. Of course Ion has fight changing power if he can land something big, but that's pretty much most of his win condition. Landing a big knockout shot. I believe Bukauskas can work at range picking Ion apart at distance. The longer this fight goes it should increase Modestas chances of winning. We're seen Ion have cardio issues and his lack of managing it draining himself early. If Modestas weathers the early storm he should find a lot of success in rounds 2 and 3 if it gets there. He'll have a 3 inch reach and 2 inch height advantages which will lean on that at range. Give me Modestas in this spot. 

Released/revised 1 day(s) ago

4% Premium Bet thru -1 (-120)

Gianni's coming into this week's UFC off a rare 5% Loss last week -

But he's STILL #1 in MMA PROFIT on 5% BIG MOVES the L/365 Days 

WINNING +45.5 Units (w/ +37.9% ROI) by cashing at 71% clip !!!

In 2025 alone, he's cashed 72.7% on “23” 5% BIG MOVES Overall -

With subscribers currently WINNING +64.5 Units (w/+58.6% ROI) 

Get Gianni's SAT UFC 315 PASS : w/ 5% BIG MOVE & More

https://www.wagertalk.com/profile/gianni-the-greek

Released/revised 3 day(s) ago