Ronald Cabang

THE PLAY: Buffalo Bills -7.0 (-115)

Looking to continue the strong year and incredibly hot October in ALL sports | +35.7 units, +21.8% ROI

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Game Analysis:

Buffalo comes off its bye week looking to reset after a 24–14 Monday night loss in Atlanta. That game exposed some correctable issues, four early punts and leaky run defense allowing an 81-yard score…but the extra prep window under Sean McDermott historically benefits the Bills. Carolina, meanwhile, edged the Jets 13–6 for its third straight win but lost Bryce Young to a high-ankle sprain. Andy Dalton is expected to start, shifting the Panthers’ offense toward a more conservative, quick-game profile. The contrast in setups is stark…Buffalo enters rested and refocused, while Carolina rides a defensive streak but leans on a backup quarterback behind a line that’s struggled in pass protection.

From an efficiency standpoint, the matchup favors Buffalo across key phases. Their passing offense remains top-tier in EPA/play, and Josh Allen’s success against non-elite pressure looks fits well against a Panthers front that has generated sacks but can’t consistently cover on the back end. Carolina’s best hope lies in its run efficiency, ranked among the league’s best, but that approach also slows pace and limits their margin for error if Buffalo jumps ahead. With Dalton at the helm, the Panthers lose the QB mobility and explosive-play potential that help offset a middling offensive baseline.

Situationally, this checks all the right boxes for a sharp Bills position. McDermott’s teams have performed well off the bye, and Buffalo’s rest and preparation advantage magnify the talent gap. Bills have won six straight games with 10 or more days of rest and going 5-0-1 ATS in those games. Carolina’s recent wins have come in low-scoring, field-position scripts unlikely to hold up against a balanced, top-10 offense. Play Bills -7, I think they win by 9 or more.

THE PLAY: REGULATION Manchester United +105

Gave this out to Clients several days ago. But this play is still good at the current number. Interested in continuing to be the line and the books? Click Here!

Game Analysis:

Manchester United enter this matchup riding momentum after consecutive league wins, including a disciplined 2–1 victory at Anfield that reinforced the tactical structure Ruben Amorim has been emphasizing. The manager’s postgame remarks… cautioning against “euphoria” and stressing focus, suggest no complacency ahead of this fixture. Brighton remain unbeaten in league play and have built confidence through results against Newcastle and Wolves, but their recent dominance in this head-to-head is already accounted for in the current market. United’s form curve is trending upward, and their home setup under Amorim has looked sharper with each match.

From a matchup standpoint, the key hinge lies in availability. United’s back line continues to stabilize even with Lisandro Martínez sidelined, and both Harry Maguire and Mason Mount are late fitness calls. Brighton, however, face greater uncertainty with Kaoru Mitoma, Joel Veltman, and others all carrying knocks. If either Mitoma or Veltman are out or limited, Brighton lose their most direct wing outlet and key defensive balance, which restricts how they can stretch United’s shape. United’s wide play and Bruno Fernandes’ central creativity should exploit that gap, especially against a Brighton defense that has regressed from its top-tier xGA levels of prior seasons. Amorim’s structured, press-resistant setup projects well against a side missing vertical thrust in transition.

The recent data and team profiles both point toward United maintaining control at home. Brighton’s strong head-to-head run is already baked into the price, leaving a fair value window on the home side. With sharper defensive organization, better health trends, and a focused approach from Amorim, the likely outcome tilts toward a composed United win in front of their own supporters. Play: Manchester United ML (+105), good to -125.