All Plays

Tokyo Brandon just released a feature bet in the Marlins at Astros game. As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss.

Current streaks:
+98 units in 2026 (#2 among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in profit)
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Lifetime accomplishments:
2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)

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Tokyo Brandon just released a KBO bet for 50% OFF late Wednesday night. As a former MLB scout for 10 years and a 3-time #1 capper in profit among all 33 WagerTalk cappers in the last five years, Tokyo Brandon knows how to spot edges others miss.

Current streaks:
+94 units in 2026 (#2 among 33 cappers)
+$1991 on $100 bets last 7 days
35-13 (73%) +61 units in 28 days in Asian baseball
#1 All-time Asian baseball capper at WagerTalk

Lifetime accomplishments:
2024: #1 MLB Profit (+145 units)
2024: #1 All-Sports Profit (+180 units)
2022: #1 All-Sports Profit (+125 units)
2021: #1 All-Sports Profit (+225 units)
2025: #4 All-Sports Profit (+49 units)

There is a difference between a handicapper who lives and breathes baseball and a handicapper who seasonally does baseball because there is no football.

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Free Picks

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

JNPB

(304043) Orix Buffaloes at (304044) Fukuoka S. Hawks

5:00am EDT - Jul 23/2026

THE PLAY: 1st 5 Innings Fukuoka S. Hawks Under +2.5 (-125)

Tokyo Brandon is+94.43 units in 2026
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-- -- -- --

The Hawks scored 22 runs on 26 hits yesterday. I do not expect a repeat today.

1. Reo Yamaguchi has some recent early-game upside.
Although he is making his first 2026 first-team appearance, two of his recent farm outings were encouraging: five innings with no hits and one run against Rakuten, followed by two scoreless innings against Hanshin. His first-team unfamiliarity may also help during the first trip through SoftBank’s order. Yamaguchi has only one previous NPB appearance, so the Hawks’ major-league hitters have almost no direct history against him.

2. Orix can use a short leash.
Yamaguchi’s recent assignments have generally been only two to five innings. Orix does not need to force him through the order three times. If his command deteriorates, the Buffaloes can go to the bullpen before SoftBank gets a third look.

3. Orix’s best relievers are fresh.
Orix used Katayama, Suzuki, Yamaoka, Saito, Saiki and Tajima during Wednesday’s 22–2 defeat, but leading relievers Andres Machado and Ren Mukunoki did not appear. In a close game, Orix has fresh higher-quality options available to protect the fifth inning.

4. The previous two games show that Wednesday was an extreme outlier.
SoftBank scored only one run in Tuesday’s game and had just one run through five innings. They then scored an extraordinary 16 runs through five innings Wednesday. The true offensive expectation is clearly somewhere between those two extremes, and a 22-run result may inflate the market’s perception of SoftBank’s immediate scoring ability.

5. A scoreless first inning changes the bet quickly.
At 2.5, Yamaguchi only needs to avoid a major early inning. If SoftBank is held scoreless in the first, the Hawks must score three times in only four remaining innings. A controlled first trip through the order puts the Under in a strong live position.

Sport

Game Selection

Game Time

MLB

(911) Tampa Bay Rays at (912) Toronto Blue Jays: Team Total

7:07pm EDT - Jul 22/2026

THE PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays Total Under 4.5 (-135) Action

Tokyo Brandon is+94.43 units in 2026
💵Get 6 days full access for the price of 3! No code needed go here and buy the SUMMER SPECIAL ➡ wt.buzz/tb

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-- -- -- --

Rays Team Total Under 4.5.

1. Braydon Fisher is being used in his best role

Toronto has confirmed Braydon Fisher as the opener, rather than asking him to work deep into the game. He owns a 3.65 ERA with 50 strikeouts, and this will be his first start since July 1.

Tampa Bay’s most dangerous bats—including Junior Caminero and Yandy Díaz—hit right-handed, which matches Fisher’s stronger platoon split.

That gives Toronto a reasonable chance to prevent another immediate three-run Tampa Bay first inning.

2. Toronto’s better relievers should be available

The Blue Jays lost 12-2 Tuesday, but that blowout allowed them to avoid using several higher-leverage bullpen options. Toronto instead used Mason Fluharty, Lazaro Estrada, Patrick Corbin and even outfielder Myles Straw to finish the game.

That matters for a team-total under. Fisher may only cover one or two innings, but Toronto can follow him with more rested arms than the final score might suggest.

3. Tampa Bay is in a natural regression spot

The Rays have scored:

7 runs Monday
12 runs Tuesday
19 combined runs
A season-high 21 hits Tuesday

They have also gone 7-1 against Toronto this season.

The recent offensive form is obviously dangerous, but betting markets frequently inflate a team total after consecutive blowouts. Repeating 12 runs—or even five—is not automatic. Tampa Bay benefited Tuesday from sustained two-out hitting, a Toronto throwing error and unusually high conversion of balls in play into hits.

4. Four runs still cashes

At 4.5, you do not need Toronto to dominate.

These all win:

Toronto allows four runs in a competitive game.
Tampa Bay scores early but stalls against the bullpen.
The Rays enter the ninth with three runs and add only one.
Tampa Bay wins 4-2 or loses a lower-scoring game.

That extra half-run is valuable. I would be far less interested in under 4 because of the push risk.

5. Fisher’s underlying results are respectable

Fisher has allowed a .292 wOBA with a .300 expected wOBA, meaning his results are broadly supported by the quality of contact he has surrendered. His average exit velocity allowed is 88.3 mph.

He is not an elite run suppressor, but he is capable of getting through the first portion of Tampa Bay’s order without immediately creating a bullpen emergency.

The best arguments are:

Fisher’s strong first-inning history
His effectiveness against right-handed hitters
Fresh Toronto high-leverage relievers
Regression after Tampa Bay scored 19 runs in two games
The protection of needing five runs to lose

Projected Rays score: 4 runs

WagerTalk TV

Last 20

Date

Sport

Pick

Result

Jul 22

KBO

1st 5 Innings Kia Tigers Under +2.5 (-140)
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 22

JNPB

(304031) Rakuten Gold. Eagles at (304032) Chiba Lotte Marines: Total Total Under 8.0 (-119)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jul 22

JNPB

(304033) Chunichi Dragons at (304034) Yakult Swallows: Total Total Under 9.0 (-138)
(Analysis)

Loss

Jul 22

MLB

Milwaukee Brewers -138 Logan Henderson (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

pending

Jul 21

BSB

Caliente de Durango -110
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 21

MLB

1st 5 Innings Cleveland Guardians Under +2.5 (-140) Action
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 21

KBO

Under 6.5 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Doosan Bears @ KT Wiz Suwon (−200) / Samsung Lions Moneyline Samsung Lions (−210)
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 21

KBO

Samsung Lions -1 (-172)
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 21

KBO

Lotte Giants -132
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 20

MLB

Milwaukee Brewers -1 (-160) Jacob Misiorowski (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 20

MLB

F5 San Diego Padres Total Under 2.5 (-140) Action
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 20

JNPB

Yomiuri Giants -174
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 20

MLB

(909) Minnesota Twins at (910) Cleveland Guardians 1st 5 Innings Under +4.5 (-155) Joe Ryan (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Jul 20

MLB

F5 Pittsburgh Pirates +0.5 (-147) Braxton Ashcraft (RHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Loss

Jul 19

BSB

Olmecas de Tabasco -176
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 19

BSB

Toros de Tijuana -185
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 19

MLB

F5 Oakland Athletics Total Under 2.5 (-125) Foster Griffin (LHP) Must Start
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 19

KBO

Kia Tigers -122
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 19

JNPB

(304005) Hanshin Tigers at (304006) Hiroshima Carp 1st 5 Innings Under +3.5 (-125)
(Analysis)

Win

Jul 19

JNPB

Seibu Lions -126
(Analysis)

Win

Consultant Bio

Don't look at streaks, look at seasons... #1 all sports profit at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years.

You won't see Brandon talking about how he did in 7 or 3 days, he talks about how he does in seasons. #1 at Wager Talk 3 of the last 5 years in profit. Brandon scouted Japanese baseball for the Pacific Rim Scouting Department of a Major League Baseball team for ten years and is based in Tokyo, Japan. Brandon is Wager Talk's #1 all-sports profit capper in 2021 (+256 units), 2022 (+127 units) and 2024 (+180 units). He now uses his mathematical probabilities and scouting analyses to handicap sports including Japanese baseball, Korean baseball, Asian basketball and MLB.

Brandon has lived in Japan since 1992 and is originally from Phoenix, Arizona. Brandon graduated from The University of Arizona with a BA degree in Japanese Studies in 1992.

** Actual client recommendations: ( Click here for twitter feed @Tokyo_Brandon )

By far the best baseball handicapper. Isolates niche mlb props and destroys Asian markets. Personally followed him for years
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