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Celtics vs Heat Game 4 Prediction, Picks and Odds May 23

Jimmy Butler Miami Heat

Celtics vs Heat Betting Analysis

WagerTalk NBA handicapper Andy Lang offers his prediction and picks for Celtics vs Heat Game 4 battle from the Kaseya Center in Miami, FL. Jimmy Butler has averaged 26 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists per game in the Eastern Conference Finals against the Celtics.

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Celtics vs Heat Betting Odds

Tuesday, May 23NBA Betting Notes, Courtesy of Caesars
Point Spread:Boston Celtics +1.5 vs Miami Heat
Total:216.5 Points
Arena:Kaseya Center in Miami, FL
Game Time:8:30pm ET / 5:30pm PT
TV:TNT

Celtics vs Heat Betting Analysis

The Eastern Conference Finals continue on Tuesday night as the No.8 seeded Miami Heat host the No.2 seeded Boston Celtics for Game 4.

The Heat have taken a commanding 3-0 series lead after crushing the Celtics 128-102 on Sunday night. Boston will be looking to make the first step towards history as no NBA team has ever come back from a 3-0 deficit and won a playoff series.

Miami won Game 3 despite entering the game as 4.5 point underdogs. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 PM EST/5:30 PST from the Kaseya Center on TNT.

Celtics Hit Rock Bottom

The Boston Celtics are on the brink of elimination after losing a third straight game despite being heavily favored in all three contests. Boston lost every quarter other than the garbage time 4th quarter where both sides emptied their bench.

It says it all that Jayson Tatum led the Celtics in scoring with a pitiful 14 points. Tatum did manage to record a double-double with 10 rebounds while Jaylen Brown scored only 12 points on 6-17 from the field and 0-7 from three-point land.

Coach Joe Mazzulla went back to the small lineup, starting Derrick White over Robert Williams III, but it made no difference. The Celts dominated the glass with a 57-35 rebounding edge but got outshot 56.8% to 39.8% from the floor.

They rank 2nd in offensive efficiency and 3rd in defensive efficiency, but that hasn’t made a difference in this series. Boston sports a clean injury report despite this late stage of the season.

 

Heat Check

The Miami Heat dominated the Celtics from wire-to-wire and find themselves ahead 3-0 after a 26-point victory that wasn’t even that close. Gabe Vincent led all scorers with a career high 29 points while hitting 6 three-pointers along the way.

Duncan Robinson added 22 points off the bench on 5-7 from beyond the arc while Jimmy Butler had a strong all around game with 16 points, 8 rebounds and 6 assists.

Miami once again dominated on the perimeter, hitting 8 more long-distance shots than Boston. Kevin Love left game three with a lower leg injury after only five minutes and is listed as probable for Game 4. The likely replacement would be Caleb Martin who scored 18 points off the bench in Game 3.

Martin, Vincent and Robinson were all undrafted players along with starter Max Strus which shows how great the Heat scouting department is at evaluating talent. Miami ranked 7th in offensive efficiency and 25th in offensive efficiency during the season but have thrived in both departments during this series.

Celtics vs Heat Game 4 Prediction

The Miami Heat enter this contest as small home favorites with a spread of 1.5 and a total of 216. Call me crazy, but I think we see a big effort from the Celtics based on pride alone.

It’s difficult to beat any team four games in a row and Boston is still 4-1 ATS in their last five trips to Miami. Tatum and Brown have both struggled of late, but they are just too good for this to continue. The Celtics have been heavy favorites in all three games and we get them tonight as slight underdogs.

The NBA Conference Finals haven’t both ended in sweeps in the history of the league and I have a sneaking suspicious that we won’t be going over a week before the Finals begin. I will take the better odds on the money line, give me the Celtics money line at +104.

Expert Prediction: Boston Celtics Money Line +104 Barstool

NBA Tip-Off Show | May 23

Join a rotating panel of WagerTalk handicappers for the NBA Tip-Off Show as we preview tonight’s NBA Playoff card from a betting perspective. We’ll go well beyond the Celtics vs Heat matchup.

Stay up-to-date on the latest NBA news, stats, analysis, and predictions with our panel of pro sports bettors as they offer some of their favorite NBA best bets, player props and DFS recommendations on tonight’s slate.

NBA Conference Finals Predictions, Picks and Odds | Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Game 4 | May 23

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Meet the Author

Andy Lang has lived in Indianapolis his whole life, and like most people from the Hoosier State, he became fascinated with motor sports. That interest in motor sports turned into a desire to make money off the sport through fantasy contests and sports betting. Like most, he took his lumps when he first got started, but now he is one of the most respected NASCAR bettors in the industry. Andy has expanded that sports betting experience to become profitable in a number of other sports, transforming this interest from a side hobby to a major source of income.

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