UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs Brown Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds November 8, 2025

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC Fight Night picks and predictions for November 8, 2025 with the main event headlined by Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown in a welterweight fight. The main card starts up at 7:00pm ET from the UFC APEX in Las Vegas, NV

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Gabriel Bonfim vs Randy Brown: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, November 8	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Gabriel Bonfim -180 vs Randy Brown +150
Rounds:	2.5 (Over -120 / Under -105)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 7:00pm ET / 4:00pm PT
Arena:	UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV
TV:	ESPN+

Undercard UFC Fight Night Predictions

Robert Valentin -162 vs Jackson McVey +128 

Valentin is 0-3 and McVey 0-1 in the UFC, so both fighters are desperate for a win. McVey prefers to grapple but isn’t strong enough to control opponents at this level, and he made big  mistakes in his debut that led to a submission loss.

Valentin has looked tentative in past fights against larger opponents, but McVey doesn’t pose the same physical threat.

When confident, Valentin is aggressive and violent, which makes all the difference here. Pick: Valentin, and  expect this fight not to go the distance.

Denise Gomes -230 vs Tecia Pennington +176 

Gomes continues to impress with her blend of power, wrestling, and reliable cardio. Pennington has done well since returning from maternity leave, winning two straight, but she lacks finishing power and doesn’t create much danger.

While Pennington uses steady pressure and activity to win rounds, Gomes will be the more precise and powerful striker. Expect Gomes to land the cleaner, harder shots throughout. Pick: Gomes by decision.

Josh Hokit -400 vs Max Gimenis +285 

This is a clear setup fight for Hokit’s UFC debut. Gimenis is primarily a grappler with very limited MMA experience, and he’s unlikely to handle Hokit’s athleticism or wrestling strength. 

Hokit should dominate wherever the fight goes, as his striking is far superior and his ground control is solid. Don’t expect this one to last long. Pick: Hokit by quick finish.

Jacqueline Cavalcanti -280 vs Mayra Bueno Silva +210 

Silva has looked disinterested and unmotivated in recent fights, often fading when things don’t go her way.

Cavalcanti’s striking should be enough to frustrate Silva, but she isn’t strong on the ground, which leaves a potential submission path for Silva.

Still, Silva’s lack of consistency and gas tank make her hard to back. Pick: Pass on the moneyline — Silva’s only chance is a  submission.

Adrian Yanez -245 vs Cristian Quinonez +186 

Quinonez starts fast but fades quickly, relying heavily on early aggression. His cardio issues will  cost him against Yanez, who has superior hand speed, boxing technique, and composure.

As the fight progresses, expect Yanez to take over completely as Quinonez slows down. A late finish is  very possible once Quinonez begins making mistakes. Pick: Yanez, likely by late KO/TKO.

Hyder Amil -140 vs Jamall Emmers +110 

Amil is in a great bounce-back spot after his first career loss via flash knockout. He’s aggressive,  powerful, and durable, with the cardio to go three hard rounds.

Emmers is dangerous early but  reckless, often leaving himself open during wild exchanges. This fight should be full of chaos and violence, but Amil’s pressure and accuracy should eventually pay off. Pick: Amil by finish.

Marco Tulio -180 vs Christian Leroy Duncan +140 

Tulio has been on a roll, but this matchup favors Duncan’s experience and physicality. Both are skilled strikers, yet Duncan’s clinch work and strength should neutralize Tulio’s offense.

Tulio won’t have the same success landing big shots against someone as durable as Duncan. Expect the  veteran to frustrate Tulio with movement and composure. Pick: Duncan in an upset.

Ricky Simon -164 vs Raoni Barcelos +128 

Barcelos has looked rejuvenated lately, riding a three-fight win streak built on sharp striking and  composure.

Simon, though a strong wrestler, hasn’t shown the same dominance recently, struggling against lower-level competition and fading late.

If Barcelos can defend the early takedowns, his crisper striking should win him the later rounds. Pick: Barcelos by close decision.

Ismael Bonfim -215 vs Chris Padilla +164 

Bonfim’s last loss came via doctor stoppage after a leg kick injured his eye, but he looked solid before that moment. His forward pressure and fast combinations make him the more dangerous  fighter.

Padilla has heart but lacks the technical polish or power to keep Bonfim honest. Expect Bonfim to overwhelm him with volume and aggression. Pick: Bonfim by dominant decision or late stoppage.

Uros Medic -190 vs Muslim Salikhov +160 

The odds are puzzling here, as Medic’s chin remains a major concern. Salikhov, sthough 41, still carries fight-ending power and has scored two straight knockout wins.

Medic’s speed may keep  him safe early, but he’s vulnerable to being caught clean. Salikhov’s experience and precision give him the edge in a firefight. Pick: Salikhov by KO.

Joseph Morales -265 vs Matt Schnell +200 

This looks like a mismatch. Schnell’s durability, speed, and skill have all declined, and he no  longer poses a real threat to top-level opponents.

Morales has shown strong striking and  wrestling, along with good fight IQ, and he should dictate every aspect of this bout. Unless Morales gets reckless, Schnell won’t survive three rounds. Pick: Morales in a one-sided fight.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Gabriel Bonfim -180 vs Randy Brown +150

These odds feel off, with Brown being the value side. Bonfim’s defensive lapses on the feet could be costly against Brown’s reach and power.

Brown’s inconsistency and occasional lack of  aggression are concerns, but he’s much bigger and should be able to stuff Bonfim’s wrestling over time.

If Bonfim can’t control him on the mat, Brown’s experience and cardio will take over.  Pick: Brown by decision or late KO.

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