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Texas Open Free Picks, Predictions and DFS Lineup April 4-7

Texas Open Picks and Predictions

Texas Open Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang offers his thoughts on the Texas Open teeing off from TPC San Antonio in San Antonio, TX. Andy discusses his DraftKings Darlings, golfers to who can trip you up and the course and more surrounding the Texas Open starting April 4th!


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Texas OpenTexas Open Betting Notes
When:April 4-7
Where:TPC San Antonio in San Antonio, TX
Defending Champ:Corey Conners
Current Favorite:Rory McIlroy (+900 at DraftKings)
TV:Golf Channel, NBC

Texas Open Course: TPC San Antonio

This course is a bit of long course at just over 7400 yards and a Par 72, and although it has four Par 5’s, there are two of them that are 600+ yards.

There are also three Par 3’s that are over 200+ yards so good mid to long iron play is required. The fairways are a bit tight, and the rough should be much longer than what we saw last week so they can’t just bomb it and have a great lie wherever it lands.

The greens have some tiers and movement to them, but overall the course isn’t too difficult. The wind looks like it will be calm on Thursday with it picking up on Friday and Saturday, but as of now it looks like the afternoon guys on Thursday will have an advantage. Expect the winning score to be around -15.

Texas Open Field

There are some big names playing this week with McIlroy, Aberg, Spieth, Homa, Matsuyama and Morikawa teeing it up, but we have to be careful as we don’t know what the motivation for these guys will be with The Masters being next week.

Guys that don’t have an invite to The Masters next week will be going for broke, and Billy Horschel in particular will surely be taking chances on every hole as he’s played in every Masters since 2018, but hasn’t qualified for this one.

Strokes Gained Last Three Months (PGA Tour Only)

Ludvig Aberg 1.72
Christian Bezuidenhout 1.58
Hideki Matsuyama 1.45
Alex Noren 1.42
Jordan Spieth 1.41
Byeong Hun An 1.40
Brian Harman 1.38
Harris English 1.36
Erik Van Rooyen 1.28
Rory McIlroy

Valero Texas Open 2024 PGA Picks & Preview | Betting Tips, Course Preview & Predictions | Tee Time

Texas Open: Players That Can Trip You Up

Rory McIlroy

He’s the betting favorite again, and I think he comes up short of expectations and value again. There’s no doubt that this is just a practice week for next week, and winning is probably not really the motivation for him this week.

He’s played here on time in the last 10 years and he missed the cut, and he traditionally doesn’t play the week before The Masters so this is different for him.

He still hasn’t finished better than 19th on the PGA Tour this season so I can’t invest in him this week at this price. He’s 10th in the field in total strokes gained on PGA Tour events in this field the last three months.

Collin Morikawa

I don’t even know if people are betting on Morikawa at this point, but his season has been a disappointment as he has yet to finish better than 14th. His putting has always been an issue, and it is again as he’s -0.16 the last three months, but his driving distance is below average and that could be a problem on this course.

He’s never played here, and surely he’s teeing it up this week to see if he can find some magic in his game, but I wouldn’t bet money on it.

Corey Conners

I’m going to go out on a limb and say most bettors and fantasy golf players will have Corey Conners in their lineup. He’s won here twice, never missed the cut and has made every cut this year as well.

However, he’s priced as a top-seven guy, and he hasn’t cracked the top 12 yet this season, and outside of his two wins here he’s finished 35th, 14th and 26th.

He’s -0.35 strokes gained putting this year, and with as many people putting him in their lineups as I think there will be, I see the potential for a big letdown.

Texas Open: DraftKings Darlings

Mathias Schmid $6300

He got off to a miserable start to the season, but he’s made the cut in four straight tournaments with all finishes being 26th or better. He played here last year and finished 46th so I’ll hope he continues the momentum into this week.

Seamus Power $6500

Power has made the cut in 8 out of 9 tournaments this year, and 6 straight and at this price it’s absolutely worth a spot in your lineup. He isn’t great at any one part of the game, but he isn’t terrible at one part either. Just make the cut and get us weekend points.

Maverick McNealy $7400

McNealy has made the cut in 8 out of 9 tournaments, and he offers us some upside as well as he has three top 15 finishes in the last five tournaments. He played here two years ago and finished 35th so I feel he’s pretty underpriced this week.

Final Lineup: Mathias Schmid $6300, Seamus Power $6500, Maverick McNEaly $7400, Alex Noren $8700, Ludvig Aberb $10,500, Hideki Matsuyama $10,600

Questions for Nick on the show 

  1. Will we see someone win this week who gets into the Masters because of the win?
  2. What big name will miss the cut on purpose or just WD on Friday? 3. Even though they claim to have the best golfers in the world, are you even aware that there is a LIV event this week?


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