PGA Golf Picks This Weekend - AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am February 12-15

PGA Golf Picks AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang offers his PGA golf picks on the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am teeing off from Spyglass Hill GC in Pebble Beach, CA. Andy discusses his predictions, picks, who can trip you up, the course and more surrounding AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am starting February 12!

Stay on top of the latest Golf updates direct from Las Vegas!

WagerTalk also offers Free Picks all year long!

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am	AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Notes
When:	February 12-15
Where:	Spyglass Hill GC in Pebble Beach, CA
Defending Champ:	Rory McIlroy
Current Favorite:	Scottie Scheffler (+290 at DraftKings)
TV:	CBS, ESPN+, Golf Channel, Paramount+

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Course: Spyglass Hill GC

The AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am features a no-cut, 80-player field, with amateurs paired alongside the pros for the first two rounds.

Players will rotate between Pebble Beach Golf Links and Spyglass Hill on Thursday and Friday, before the entire field shifts exclusively to Pebble Beach for the weekend.

With every player guaranteed four rounds, scoring consistency and patience are just as important as firepower.

Pebble Beach is the clear headliner—short on the card but demanding in execution, thanks to tiny greens, heavy coastal air, and severe penalty for missed approaches.

Spyglass Hill provides a sterner tee-to-green test, particularly off the tee, where accuracy is required through tree-lined corridors before emerging into more exposed coastal holes.

Together, the two courses reward precise iron play, creativity around the greens, and strong scrambling. Weather looks manageable but not perfect, with temperatures hovering around 55 degrees and winds near 15 mph, which will keep conditions cool and slightly challenging, especially in the afternoons.

With no cut and receptive greens, expect steady scoring rather than a full shootout. The winner will likely be the player who controls ball flight in the breeze, avoids big numbers on Pebble’s small greens, and stays patient across all four rounds.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: Players That Can Trip You Up

Tommy Fleetwood is getting priced like an elite option, but the results don’t support it yet. He’s opened 2026 with finishes of 25th and 41st and still hasn’t cracked a Top 20 at this event, going 22nd and 31st the last two years.

It’s a small sample, but the early numbers are concerning— losing strokes putting (-0.30) and barely breaking even on approach and around the green. At a Top 5 price, you need separation, not mediocrity. I’m not buying it until he proves otherwise.

Ludvig Åberg is trending the wrong way to start the year. He withdrew from his first event, then missed the cut in his next start, and the short-term putting numbers are alarming.

In just four competitive rounds this season, he’s lost -2.61 strokes putting, easily the worst mark in the field.

Even looking back, last year’s pattern here was volatile—withdrawal, win the next week, then five missed cuts or finishes outside the Top 50 in his next six events. Until the putter stabilizes, he’s a dangerous bet.

Hideki Matsuyama feels like a sneaky regression candidate this week. He benefitted from some very favorable lies after missing fairways last week, which helped mask shaky driving.

Through three events, he’s losing -0.34 strokes off the tee, and while fairways are generous here, his course history isn’t—48th and 71st the last two years.

The putter has been fine but not sharp enough to fully offset the tee-ball concerns. If the luck evens out, this could get messy fast.

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am: DraftKings Darlings

Ryan Fox ($6,400) is a strong salary-saver in a no-cut format where volume matters. He’s been playing solid golf on the DP World Tour and followed that up with a 24th-place finish last week at the Phoenix Open.

Fox is long off the tee and while accuracy isn’t his strength, these wide fairways help mask that weakness. With four guaranteed rounds, his power gives him plenty of birdie upside at a bargain price.

Jake Knapp ($7,900) has been one of the best performers to start the season, posting finishes of 8th, 5th, and 11th in his three starts.

He finished 33rd here last year, which is more than serviceable given his current form. Knapp ranks 6th in total strokes gained this season, showing that the results are backed by strong underlying numbers. He brings both safety and win equity at this price.

Michael Thorbjornsen ($8,600) is trending fast after a rough opening week. He missed the cut in his first start, then bounced back with finishes of 18th and 3rd over the last two weeks. His tee to-green numbers have been excellent across the board, consistently setting up scoring chances.

While the putter remains the weakest part of his game, the ball-striking is good enough to keep giving him makable looks. He’s a high-upside DFS play worth paying for.

Top 40: Sahith Thegala -125

Outright: Si Woo Kim +2500

**************************************************

Looking for more free sports picks and sports betting tips?

Latest Betting Odds and Public Action: Vegas lines updated in real time, including who the public is betting on.
Last Minute Handicapping Advice: Check out our extensive library of handicapping tips and advice from professional Vegas handicappers (we also recommend taking the time to look over our sports betting tips video library)
Want an expert opinion?Check out the latest Free Sports Picks and Best Bets from our team of expert sports handicappers.