Farmers Insurance Open Predictions, Picks and DFS Lineup January 29 – February 1

Farmers Insurance Open Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Andy Lang offers his thoughts on Farmers Insurance Open teeing off from Torrey Pines in La Jolla, CA. Andy discusses his predictions, picks, who can trip you up, the course and more surrounding Farmers Insurance Open starting January 29!

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Farmers Insurance Open	Farmers Insurance Open Betting Notes
When:	January 29 – February 1
Where:	Torrey Pines in La Jolla, CA
Defending Champ:	Harris English
Current Favorite:	Xander Schauffele (+1475 at DraftKings)
TV:	CBS, ESPN+ and Golf Channel

Farmers Insurance Open Course: Torrey Pines

The 2026 Farmers Insurance Open returns to Torrey Pines, with players rotating between the North Course and the South Course before finishing the weekend on the demanding South Course.

The North Course offers more scoring opportunities with wider fairways and shorter holes, while the South Course—one of the longest and toughest layouts on the PGA Tour— features narrow fairways, thick rough, and small, firm greens that reward elite ball-striking. 

Weather conditions look excellent this week, with no rain and minimal wind, which should  soften Torrey Pines’ usual bite and allow players to be more aggressive, especially early in the tournament.

Even so, the South Course will still separate the field as the week progresses, placing a premium on distance off the tee and precise iron play.

Adding to the intrigue, Brooks Koepka makes his 2026 debut, giving the event extra star power and setting the stage for a strong field and a competitive finish along the cliffs overlooking the Pacific.

Farmers Insurance Open: Players That Can Trip You Up

Maverick McNealy is priced way too aggressively as a Top 10 option this week. While he finished 2nd last year, that result came at a completely different course and shouldn’t be overweighted.

At this venue, his history is much weaker, with four straight finishes outside the Top 30 prior to last year at Torrey Pines. At this number, you’re paying for one outlier result rather than a reliable profile. He’s a fade. 

Keegan Bradley hasn’t shown anything recently to justify backing him here. After the Ryder Cup, he finished 13th out of 20 at the Hero World Challenge and then followed it up with a missed cut in his first event of the new year.

His tee-to-green play over the last two tournaments  has been particularly poor, which is concerning given this course setup.

He’s also managed just  one Top 15 finish at this event since 2018. That combination makes him an easy fade. 

J.J. Spaun is a golfer you want to like, but this isn’t the spot. He struggled in his first tournament of the year, and his course history here is brutal—three missed cuts in his last four appearances, despite a 15th-place finish in 2025.

Being priced as the 7th-highest betting favorite feels completely disconnected from both his form and history. Until he proves it here, the price alone makes him a fade.

Farmers Insurance Open: DraftKings Darlings

Patrick Rodgers ($7,200) is a strong fit for both the course and the price. He’s already shown flashes this season with a 3rd-place finish, and while the follow-up was a 44th, the ceiling is clearly there.

He’s made the cut here in each of the last two years, including a 9th-place finish, which checks the course-history box. Add in above-average length off the tee and solid approach  play, and Rodgers profiles well for DFS upside.

Haotong Li ($7,300) comes in with real momentum after an 8th-place finish last week. He’s long and straight off the tee with strong approach numbers, a combination that plays well on this layout.

He also finished the DP World Tour season in good form, so this doesn’t feel like a fluke  week. At this price, you’re getting confidence, ball-striking, and momentum—all DFS-friendly traits. 

Sahith Theegala ($7,400) looks like a bounce-back story in progress after a disappointing 2025  season. He’s posted finishes of 31st and 8th the last two weeks and has made the cut every time he’s played this tournament.

Even more encouraging, he ranks Top 15 in total strokes gained across his first two events of the year. The form is trending up, and at $7,400, the upside is very real for DFS builds.

Rest Of Lineup: Jake Knapp $8200, Hideki Matsuyama $9300, Ludvig Aberg $10,400

One And Done: Jason Day 

Outright: Ryan Gerard +4300

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