Kansas State Football Predictions, Betting Tips & Team Preview 2023: WagerTalk Best Betting Guide

Kansas State Football Predictions & Preview 2023:

Expert college football handicapper Ron Marmalefsky runs down Kansas State’s chances for 2023 and provides expert tips for betting on Kansas State in 2023. Ron looks at areas to watch, favorability of schedule, offers a predicted record for Kansas State football in 2023 and offers some handicapping tips for betting on Kansas State this season.

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Kansas State Football Preview 2023: Kansas State Picks for Betting

Two areas were on my Kansas State watch list for ’22.  I was watching the turnover ratio as well as the (68.6%) pass defense percentage. 

Guess what!  Kansas State was +14 in turnovers for ’22, and the pass defensive percentage greatly improved (57.8%).  The Wildcats won the Big 12 title with a thrilling overtime win over TCU.  Now, can they stay at or near the top of the Big 12 in 2023?

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Kansas State Football Predictions: AREAS TO WATCH

Replicating their great turnover ratio won’t be easy, even with an experienced QB.  The issue may be the secondary, which I expect to regress a bit with some key personnel losses (projected 62.5%). 

The rest of the defense looks the same.  Back to the offense, all eyes will be on FSU transfer RB Ward, who tries to make up some of the production achieved by NFL-bound RB Deuce Vaughn. 

While I expect their 5.3 per carry average will fall, it should still be stout with all five OL returning.  Kansas State has long been a leader in special team play, but their remaining PK had a long of just 37 yards in 2022, while splitting time at that position (9-14).

Kansas State Schedule and 2023 Preview

Kansas State opens with an interesting non-conference schedule.  They host 9-3 SE Missouri and 12-2 Troy, then travel to face former conference foe Missouri.  3-0 is not a guarantee, but more importantly, I’ll be watching the run game and the pass defense for early clues. 

The WildCats will have two weeks to prepare for a road trip at Oklahoma State.  The Cowboys had an off year (by their standards) but is 6-1 hosting Kansas State. 

Kansas State demolished the Cowboys 48-0 a year ago.  Kansas State has won the last six in the Texas Tech series.  Many of the games at their place have been close. 

KSU hosts TCU next in a title game rematch.  The Wildcats have always been efficient at home, but TCU is the exception.  Texas did beat the Wildcats in a Kansas State home game last year.  They’ve also won most of the time hosting KSU.  This will be their last conference meeting with Texas leaving for the SEC. 

The season finishes with a home game vs. Baylor (decent history), at Kansas (K St has dominated) and home to ISU (K St has dominated).

Kansas State Football Bottom Line:

Kansas State did most everything right a year ago and has earned the right to be considered a legit Big 12 contender. 

I think they need to go at least 2-1 at Oklahoma State and Texas Tech, and home to TCU to get to the title game again this year.  8-4 is my current projection, which might leave them just a bit short of a top two spot.  Watch their pass defense closely.

Kansas State Football HANDICAPPING TIP:

I was 80% ATS with Snyder here (28-7) prior to his 1^st retirement. 

I was 7-7 in the Ron Prince “error”.  I rebounded going 27-15 in Snyder’s 2^nd stint, which does not include a perfect 5-0 in bowl games. 

After a slow start, my record with Klieman’s is now 11-7 (including 3-0 in bowls). 

I’m a bit bearish on Kansas State vs. the spread in their opening non-conference games, but after that, I’ll lean to back them if installed as a rush pick (50-24 in that role, 11-5 lately).  

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