Best Home Run Props Today – HR Prop Bets For Thursday, July 16

The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run props? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop bets come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run props on Thursday with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, July 16!

Best Home Run Props – MLB Free Home Run Prop Bets

Home Run Props Best Bet of the Day #1: Juan Soto (NYM) +240

The second half of the MLB season kicks off with just one game tonight with the Mets taking on the Phillies in Philadelphia. Juan Soto has extensive history against Phillies starter Aaron Nola as we’ll look for him to cash his home run props tonight.

All-time Soto is 12-45 with five home runs off Nola and he has success against various Phillies relievers including Jose Alvarado, Brad Keller and Jonathan Bowlan belting four home runs combined against them all-time.

Soto already has four home runs in 11 games this month and has hit .297 to go along with a .623 slugging percentage against right handed pitching this season.

Nola has given up 20 home runs in total this season which is tied for fifth most among all MLB pitchers. Of the 20 home runs Nola has given up, 12 have come against lefties while sporting a 6.81 home ERA this season.

In Nola’s last start against the Mets at home Soto hit two home runs off him with the Mets outfielder going 7-19 against the Phillies so far on the season.

Take Soto at +240 to hit a home run tonight with other Mets batters to consider for home run props are Francisco Lindor (+370) and Francisco Alvarez (+460).

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