UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs Oliveira Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds February 7, 2026

UFC Fight Night Betting Preview

UFC Fight Night picks and predictions come from WagerTalk UFC handicapper Andy Lang for February 7, 2026 with the main event headlined by Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira in a bantamweight fight. The main card starts up at 8:00pm ET from Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV.

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Mario Bautista vs Vinicius Oliveira: UFC Fight Night Main Event

Saturday, February 7	UFC Fight Night Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Mario Bautista -205 vs Vinicius Oliveira +160
Rounds:	3.5 (Over -125 / Under -102)
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT
Arena:	Meta APEX in Las Vegas, NV
TV:	Paramount+

UFC Fight Night Undercard Predictions

Klaudia Sygula -140 vs Priscila Cachoeira +110 

Sygula got mauled in her UFC debut but picked up a win in her second fight by taking advantage of a terrible game plan from Alekseeva.

She can strike at range and manage distance, but she’s not good on the ground. Cachoeira has lost 3 of her last 4 and fights recklessly, leaving her chin wide open.

She’s been knocked out and submitted, and her last five fights haven’t gone the distance, so don’t blindly play overs just because it’s a women’s fight.

With both fighters being poor on the ground, this becomes a striking match, and Sygula manages distance and defense better. Cachoeira is a fade, Sygula is the pick.

Jakub Wiklacz -120 vs Muin Gafurov -106 

Gafurov has won two straight but hasn’t been impressive. His last win came against Nakamura, a  wrestler who oddly chose to strike, allowing Gafurov to coast to a decision.

His striking is basic, ground game is limited, and offense is pretty flat. Wiklacz won his UFC debut against Patchy Mix and has faced solid competition over the years, showing striking, grappling, and submission ability.

His cardio didn’t look great against Mix, as he chased submissions without much success. I don’t have a strong pick here, they’re fairly equal. Slight lean to Wiklacz due to more weapons on the ground, but fight to go the distance is the best bet.

Cong Wang -295 vs Eduarda Moura +220 

This should be straightforward for Wang. Her striking is light years ahead of Moura’s. Moura is big and prefers to wrestle, but Wang is far too fast and mobile for her.

Moura also has cardio issues, which will be exposed as Wang stays out of the clinch and works behind her jab. Terrible stylistic matchup for Moura. Wang is the easy pick.

Javid Basharat -158 v Said Nurmagomedov +124 

Both fighters are coming off two straight losses, making this an important fight. Said’s style has been to strike just enough and land a well-timed takedown to steal close rounds, but his cardio  has steadily declined.

His recent fights lack aggression, his striking isn’t threatening, and his wrestling no longer dominates. Basharat has been humbled recently, losing a close decision and then getting knocked out badly by Ricky Simon, but he’s well rounded with better cardio and a solid ground game to avoid submissions.

Without a submission, it’s hard to see Said outpointing  Basharat. Basharat should win a decision with better striking output and conditioning.

Keten Souza -136 vs Bruna Brasil +106 

Brasil will have the height and reach advantage, while Souza will be stronger. Brasil is too tentative for my liking, she doesn’t throw enough volume despite her length.

Souza is aggressive, willing to brawl, and has looked strong in third rounds. Souza should be able to use her strength  in the clinch and have the bigger moments. Souza by decision in a close fight.

Daniil Donchenko -500 vs Alex Morono +370 

Morono looks done at the UFC level. He’s lost three straight, was finished by Leal last time out, and his durability and cardio are clearly declining. His striking and ground game no longer hold up at this level, and this likely ends his UFC run.

Donchenko won The Ultimate Fighter in violent fashion, brutalizing Sezinando with elbows before finishing him with a flurry. He’s a vicious finisher with nasty strikes and elbows. Donchenko by finish.

Dustin Jacoby -165 vs Julius Walker +132 

This is a clash of styles, with Jacoby being a rangy kickboxer and Walker preferring to clinch  and work takedowns off the fence.

Walker’s striking isn’t nearly as crisp, and he gassed badly in his last fight against Cerqueira, who is a very low-level opponent. Jacoby can force Walker to  work, drain his cardio, and pick him apart on the feet.

Walker needs takedowns to win, but if he can’t get them, he’ll be a sitting duck. Jacoby is the pick, and if he stuffs takedowns, this could look easy.

Farid Basharat -290 vs Jean Matsumoto +215 

At this price, Matsumoto is the pick. Stylistically, these two are fairly even, but Matsumoto has more power and bigger moments.

His leg and body kicks are excellent, and his cardio looked  strong against Johns last fight. Basharat has slick movement, good kicks, and solid positional wrestling, but lacks explosive offense.

Matsumoto has gone to split decisions in his last two fights, and a third wouldn’t be surprising. This line should be much closer to a pick’em, and the value is on Matsumoto.

Michael Oleksiejczuk -290 vs Marc-André Barriault +215 

Oleksiejczuk switched gyms after losing three straight and has since scored two first-round  knockouts, showing the change has helped. While the competition wasn’t elite, back-to-back early finishes matter.

He’s a pure striker with little ground game and will want this on the feet. Barriault has lost four of five, and his durability is questionable after absorbing a lot of damage against Magomedov.

Oleksiejczuk also lost to Magomedov but by decision. Barriault’s cardio held up late last fight, but Oleksiejczuk has the better chance to score a knockout or clearly out damage him. Bad price, but Oleksiejczuk should win.

Jailton Almeida -145 vs Rizvan Kuniev +116 

Interesting matchup as both fighters prefer grinding wrestling styles, which isn’t exactly what the UFC wants.

Almeida lost his last fight due to a lack of damage despite heavy control time, so he knows adjustments are necessary. Kuniev has better striking, but he’s slow, low volume, and lacks upside.

Almeida’s strength and wrestling are undeniable, and this time he should be more aggressive from top position. Look for Almeida to secure takedowns and actually throw strikes to earn the win.

Kyoji Horiguchi -360 vs Amir Albazi +285 

This is a bad matchup for Albazi. Horiguchi’s speed advantage should be massive, and Albazi looked noticeably slower in his last fight against Moreno after multiple surgeries.

Horiguchi should be able to get in and out of the pocket without taking damage, control the pace, and mix in his excellent ground game if needed. No matter where this fight goes, Horiguchi is the better  fighter. This should be a straightforward win.

UFC Fight Night Main Event: Mario Bautista -205 vs Vinicius Oliveira +160

I like the underdog here. Bautista looked solid against Umar Nurmagomedov but was clearly  outmatched by the speed and ground game.

His strength of schedule raises questions, with wins  over Patchy Mix, who’s already been cut, and a split decision over Jose Aldo.

Oliveira has a strange but effective style, hands down, marching forward, throwing full power shots. When he lands, the damage is obvious.

He’ll have the bigger moments that sway judges and crowd reaction, and he won’t be scared of Bautista’s offense. Oliveira’s toughness and power are the biggest advantages in this fight. I think he pulls the upset.

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