Bryan Power

THE PLAY: 2-Team, 6-Point Teaser: Carolina +8.5 & Seattle -2.5 (-135)

3% 2-Team, 6-Point Teaser - Carolina (1:00 ET) + Seattle (4:25 ET): We’ve got ourselves a pretty standard 2-team, 6-point “Wong” Teaser here. In both instances, we’re going through the “key” numbers of 3 and 7. Although, in one case (Carolina) we’re teasing up, while the other (Seattle) we’re teasing down. For those less familiar, we are moving the respective spreads six points in our favor.

Carolina will be hosting Denver, who is in a great fade spot from where I sit. The Broncos are off a huge division win over Kansas City where they rallied from a double digit 4Q deficit. Give Sean Payton’s team credit for pulling out another close one. Denver is now a ridiculous 16-2 SU in its last 18 games decided by one possession. That includes five of their six wins this season. But that’s what makes them such an ideal fade in a teaser leg when we can take the opponent up through +7. The Broncos were outgained on a per play basis last week and obviously needed the goal-line stand at the end of the game. Carolina comes in on extended rest (played last Thursday) and is 13-1 ATS off a SU loss going back to last season. That one failed cover was last Thursday’s loss in Green Bay. But the Panthers are now home and teams playing with a rest advantage this season are 29-9 SU as well as 27-10-1 ATS! The home team, at the very least, keeps this within one possession.

For our second teaser leg, let’s go with Seattle, who is hosting Arizona. The Seahawks are at a rest disadvantage here (lost on MNF), but are 5-0 SU/ATS vs. the Cardinals under HC Mike MacDonald including a 31-7 beatdown back in Week 2 where I laid -3.5. Drew Lock is starting at QB for the Seahawks, which is why we’ve seen this line come down. But Lock happened to also be the starter for that Week 2 game vs the Cardinals and he threw for 235 yards and three touchdowns. Arizona comes off a miracle win in OT at Dallas, led by QB Gardner Minshew and RB Tyler Allgier. Minshew is getting the start now because the team just traded away Jacoby Brissett. I don’t think it’s going too far out on a limb to say it would be an absolute shocker to see the Cardinals win again here. That’s coming from someone who bet them Over 3.5 wins at the start of the season. But off their previous two wins, the Cards have lost by an average of 19 points. Seattle’s top ranked defense (#1 in yards allowed) should dominate here. 3% 2-Team, 6-Point Teaser - Carolina (+7.5 or better) and Seattle (-2.5 or better)