UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs Makhachev Predictions, Picks and Betting Odds November 15
UFC 322 Picks, Predictions and Odds
UFC WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his UFC 322 picks and predictions for November 15 with the main event headlined by Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev in a welterweight title fight. The main card starts up at 10:00pm ET from Madison Square Garden in New York, NY.
Jack Della Maddalena vs Islam Makhachev: UFC 322 Main Event
| Saturday, November 15 | UFC 322 Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Jack Della Maddalena +215 vs Islam Makhachev -290 |
| Rounds: | 3.5 Rounds (Over -125 / Under +105) |
| Fight Time: | Main Card Starts at 10:00pm ET / 7:00pm PT |
| Arena: | Madison Square Garden, New York, NY |
| TV: | PPV |
UFC 322 Predictions: Undercard
Viacheslav Borshchev vs Matheus Camilo
Camilo is a striker with little ground game — and so is Borshchev. The issue is that neither man has shown much growth or upside lately.
Borshchev sits at 8-6 and has dropped three of his last four, while Camilo was dominated in his UFC debut.
Both fighters are hittable, inconsistent, and unreliable from a betting perspective. If there’s an edge, it’s Camilo’s youth (only 24 years old) and slightly heavier hands, but this is a low-level, unbettable matchup.
Pick: Camilo (no bet)
Pat Sabbatini -136 vs Chepe Mariscal +108
If this fight hits the mat, Sabbatini dominates — plain and simple. His grappling control and submission setups are elite, and he’s won seven of nine UFC fights with that formula.
Chepe is tough, physical, and can make it messy on the feet, but he doesn’t have the explosiveness or takedown defense to consistently keep it standing.
Sabbatini has also been active in grappling competition, winning seven straight matches, which keeps him sharp in his strongest area. As long as he avoids getting clipped early, this is his fight to lose.
Pick: Sabbatini by decision (dominant grappling control)
Malcolm Wellmaker -145 vs Cody Haddon +120
Haddon steps in on short notice after a scrappy win over Argueta, but that fight said more about Argueta’s decline than Haddon’s upside.
His striking is fine, his ground game is fine — but “fine” doesn’t beat someone as explosive and composed as Wellmaker.
Wellmaker, though only 10 fights deep into his career, is physically imposing, fights smart, and has real knockout power. Expect him to overwhelm Haddon early and finish him inside the first round.
Pick: Wellmaker by finish
Gregory Rodrigues -166 vs Roman Kopylov +130
Rodrigues remains a dangerous but flawed fighter — powerful early, vulnerable late. His cardio continues to be a concern, but his violence and pressure often carry him through. Kopylov, meanwhile, appears stuck in neutral.
He’s low volume, doesn’t threaten much grappling, and hasn’t shown the power to test Rodrigues’ sometimes-suspect chin. Kopylov’s recent loss to Costa exposed those holes again. Expect Rodrigues to bully forward and land the heavier shots early.
Pick: Rodrigues by finish
Bo Nickal -235 vs Rodolfo Vieira +180
Nickal’s decline in wrestling usage has been alarming. Once a dominant grappler, he’s fallen in love with striking — and it cost him dearly in his last fight when he was knocked out.
Vieira can wrestle, he’s a submission threat, and he’s the more comfortable striker of the two. Nickal’s wrestling pedigree still matters, but if he refuses to use it, he’s in trouble. Given his recent approach, it’s hard to justify laying a big number.
Pick: Vieira (dog value)
Kyle Daukus -325 vs Gerald Meerschaert +250
Meerschaert is fading fast. He’s 2-6 in his last eight, and his only wins came against fringe-level opponents.
His striking lacks power, his wrestling has regressed, and his submission setups are slower and easier to defend.
Daukus, meanwhile, is rejuvenated after a UFC cut and a strong regional comeback, including a KO of Michel Pereira. He’s younger, sharper, and far more durable at this stage.
Pick: Daukus by finish
Fatima Kline -440 vs Angela Hill +310
Kline is a powerhouse in all phases. Her wrestling, submissions, and now her striking have all leveled up — and she looks like a future title contender. Hill, now 40, is on the decline.
Her output and cardio are both slipping, with her strike volume dropping significantly over her last few fights. Against a physical grappler like Kline, that’s a nightmare combination.
Pick: Kline by dominant win (likely finish)
Balsangur Susurkaev -800 vs Eric McConico +575
This is a tailor-made showcase for Susurkaev. He’s well-rounded, composed, and deadly with submissions or ground-and-pound.
McConico, on the other hand, doesn’t excel in any one area — limited striking, basic grappling, and no knockout power. This is as close to a mismatch as it gets.
Pick: Susurkaev by finish
Erin Blanchfield -210 vs Tracy Cortez +162
A great stylistic matchup between two strong, physical grapplers. Cortez thrives on pressure and control, but Blanchfield matches her physicality and brings the sharper striking.
Both are durable with great cardio, but Blanchfield’s volume and technical precision give her the edge. The fight should go long, but Blanchfield’s cleaner work wins rounds.
Pick: Blanchfield by decision
Sean Brady -132 vs Michael Morales +104
This could be a passing-of-the-torch moment. Brady is an elite wrestler, but Morales is a special talent — only 26, yet already polished and powerful. Brady’s striking still lags behind, and Morales’ speed and athleticism may overwhelm him.
Add in Morales’ national championship background in freestyle wrestling, and Brady might find his usual grappling advantage neutralized. Expect a tight fight early with Morales taking over late.
Pick: Morales by decision (underdog value)
Benoit Saint Denis -215 vs Beneil Dariush +164
Dariush’s best days are clearly behind him. He’s been finished early in two of his last three and struggled badly even in his win against Moicano.
Saint Denis has rebounded from his own skid with two straight finishes built on relentless takedowns and aggression. Dariush’s chin and durability won’t hold up to that pace.
Pick: Saint Denis by finish
Carlos Prates -210 v Leon Edwards +162
Leon Edwards’ recent run has been up and down — an iconic upset over Usman followed by uninspired performances against Muhammad and Brady.
His volume and explosiveness have faded. Prates, meanwhile, is in his prime, a dynamic striker with serious power, cardio, and momentum. Unless Edwards can rediscover his wrestling, he’ll get outworked on the feet.
Pick: Prates by decision or late finish
Valentina Shevchenko -120 vs Weili Zhang -106
This is a near-perfect stylistic mirror match — both elite strikers, both strong in the clinch, both durable and well-conditioned.
Weili’s wrestling may be a touch sharper; Valentina’s precision striking might be cleaner. The big question is how Weili’s power and frame translate at the higher weight. Expect a tactical fight with both having moments, but it’s hard to see a finish.
Pick: Weili Zhang by close decision
Best Bet: Fight to go the distance
UFC 322 Main Event: Dricus Du Plessis +165 vs Khamzat Chimaev -215
Makhachev is aging, but his skill set remains world-class. His wrestling, striking, and composure under pressure are unmatched.
Jack Della Maddalena is a dangerous striker but lacks the takedown defense needed to survive here — we’ve seen Bassil Hafez and Gilbert Burns take him down easily.
Makhachev’s camp knows that’s the path, and he’ll exploit it. Expect domination on the mat leading to a submission.
Pick: Islam Makhachev by submission
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