BKFC Sturgis Picks, Predictions, Odds and Best Bets August 8

BKFC Sturgis Betting Preview Including Best Bets

WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his BKFC Sturgis predictions and picks for August 8 with Bryan Acheson vs Mike Jones headlining the main event. The main card kicks off at 8:30PM ET from The Buffalo Chip in Sturgis, SD!

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BKFC Sturgis Main Event: Bryan Acheson vs Mike Jones

Saturday, August 8	BKFC Sturgis Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars)
Moneyline:	Bryan Acheson vs Mike Jones
Rounds:	N/A
Fight Time:	Main Card Starts at 8:30pm ET / 5:30pm PT
Arena:	The Buffalo Chip in Sturgis, SD
TV:	BKFC+, Triller TV

BKFC Sturgis Predictions

Bear Hill (-120) vs. Brady Meister (-120)

Bear Hill gets the nod in this evenly lined matchup. Hill is a short, stocky powerhouse who carries real strength and pressure, while Brady Meister is a much taller, lankier fighter who struggles with movement and consistently leaves his chin exposed. Meister has built his record against weaker competition and has come up short whenever the level of opposition has improved.

He also doesn’t appear to possess enough power to discourage Hill from marching forward. We already saw a shorter, stockier opponent knock Meister out in his fight with Daniel Trejo, and this matchup has a very similar feel. Hill’s pressure and body work should eventually break Meister down and lead him to victory.

Alonzo Martinez (-230) vs. Zeb Vincent (+160)

Alonzo Martinez may be 42 years old, but he still fights like a seasoned professional. He remains polished, carries respectable power, and understands how to control the pace of a fight. Zeb Vincent has the opposite approach, often wasting energy by arguing with referees, taunting opponents, and fighting without much structure.

He’s dropped three straight fights and continues to show sloppy footwork with very little game planning. Martinez’s experience and discipline should prove to be the difference, making him one of the easier picks on the card.

Shyanna Bintliff (-145) vs. Crystal Pittman (+115)

Crystal Pittman looks like one of the best values on the card. She’s faced significantly tougher competition throughout her career, has already proven she can maintain her pace over longer fights, and looks much sharper technically than her opponent. Bintliff’s recent wins have come against opponents who were on lengthy losing streaks, and she was even knocked down in her most recent victory.

Pittman simply appears to be the more polished boxer with better movement and cleaner striking. At plus money, she’s an outstanding value and would still be worth backing even if she were favored.

Lucas Wright (-120) vs. Bryan McDowell (-120)

This is one of the tougher fights on the card to handicap because neither fighter has faced much quality opposition. Lucas Wright has competed primarily in small boxing events against limited competition, making it difficult to know exactly where he stands.

Bryan McDowell appears to have the edge in experience and brings a solid jab along with an effective blitzing left hand that could create problems for Wright. Wright may come out aggressively early, but if McDowell weathers that initial storm, his cleaner boxing should allow him to pull away as the fight progresses.

Clay Collard (-350) vs. Daniel Keepers (+225)

Bare-knuckle boxing looks like an ideal fit for Clay Collard. Throughout his MMA career, his biggest weakness was defending takedowns, but that’s no longer a concern here. Collard is an accomplished boxer who throws accurate combinations, moves well, and thrives in striking battles.

Daniel Keepers also transitioned from MMA into boxing, but he’s lost three straight fights and consistently slows down after the opening round.

While he’s capable offensively, he tends to get countered too easily during the biggest exchanges. This matchup is tailor-made for Collard’s skill set, and he should control the fight from start to finish.

Traevon Kroger (-300) vs. KB Dubeau-Staby (+220)

Traevon Kroger is the clear pick based on the available information. Kroger has plenty of footage showing a fighter with legitimate power, toughness, and an aggressive style that remains under control. In contrast, there is very little information available on KB Dubeau-Staby outside of a single boxing match.

When one fighter has an established track record and the other remains largely unknown, it’s difficult to justify backing the mystery opponent. Kroger should have too much experience and firepower.

Art Driscoll (-145) vs. Justin Walter (+105)

Neither fighter projects as a future contender, but Art Driscoll has a clear edge. Justin Walter has shown almost no durability throughout his combat sports career, suffering a four-second knockout in his debut along with multiple other first-round knockout losses.

His reckless style continues to leave him exposed. Driscoll isn’t an elite fighter by any means, but he stays composed, has shown durability, and should eventually capitalize on Walter’s defensive mistakes. An early knockout for Driscoll wouldn’t be surprising.

Jason Simon (-200) vs. Jason Sanderson (+150)

This is another difficult fight to evaluate because neither fighter has professional experience to draw from. Jason Sanderson hasn’t competed in nearly a decade, making it even harder to know

what version of him will show up. Jason Simon appears to have the better striking fundamentals and also benefits from fighting in front of a hometown crowd.

This feels like a favorable matchup designed to help Simon begin his professional career with a victory, making him the slight lean despite the lack of available information.

BKFC Sturgis Main Event: Bryant Acheson (-200) vs. Mike Jones (+160)

Mike Jones offers solid value as the underdog in what should be a very competitive main event. Bryant Acheson is a physically imposing fighter with legitimate power and durability, but his biggest concern continues to be his cardio.

In his last Fusion League appearance, he nearly got stopped in the second round after visibly slowing down, and that weakness could be exposed again here.

Jones is a smooth counter striker with excellent footwork who does his best work when aggressive opponents rush forward recklessly.

While Acheson has the edge in raw power early, Jones’ movement should frustrate him, force him to work harder than he wants, and gradually drain his gas tank.

If Jones survives the opening round, he should take control with his counters and outwork the tiring favorite. Jones is the underdog pick.

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