BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Picks, Predictions, Odds and Best Bets August 1
BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Betting Preview Including Best Bets
WagerTalk handicapper Andy Lang gives his BKFC Fight Night Newcastle predictions and picks for August 1 with Lewis Garside vs Bradley Taylor headlining the main event. The main card kicks off at 2:00PM ET from Walker Activity Dome in Newcastle, UK!
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BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Main Event: Lewis Garside vs Bradley Taylor
| Saturday, August 1 | BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Betting Notes (Courtesy of Caesars) |
|---|---|
| Moneyline: | Lewis Garside vs Bradley Taylor |
| Rounds: | N/A |
| Fight Time: | Main Card Starts at 2:00pm ET / 11:00am PT |
| Arena: | Walker Activity Dome in Newcastle, UK |
| TV: | BKFC+, Triller TV |
BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Predictions
Lewis Keen -180 vs Stew Martin +155
Keen is one of the easier picks on the card.
His movement is smooth, he stays composed, and he has a nasty jab that should give Martin problems throughout the fight. Martin is much slower and tends to wind up before throwing, which leaves him open to counters.
Martin also leans into the clinch when he starts getting tired, and that cardio issue could become a major problem against someone as measured as Keen.
Keen has the advantages in cardio, stance, speed, and power. He is the clear play. Liam Hutchinson -220 vs Dylan Fail +185
Hutchinson should win this fight. He has more experience, understands bare-knuckle boxing, and has a solid combination of offense and defensive awareness. His guard is reliable, and he should be the more comfortable fighter in this environment.
Fail is still a raw boxer, but the improvement from his second-most-recent fight to his last appearance was noticeable. His stance was cleaner, his punches were more controlled, and he looked much more composed.
The level of competition remains questionable, but I don’t think Fail deserves to be as high as +185. Hutchinson’s experience makes him the pick, although Fail could make the opening round interesting.
Barry Boyle -120 vs James Walker +100
Both fighters are brawlers, and neither brings a great deal of technical boxing to the matchup. Walker looks slightly more polished and may have the faster hands, but Boyle appears to carry the heavier power, especially when the fight moves into the clinch.
Walker has also shown some cardio concerns, which could become important if Boyle can force him into physical exchanges and make him work. This is a difficult fight to predict, but I’ll side with Boyle. His clinch work is nasty, and I think he can do significant damage there.
Mikey Nolan -400 vs John Ferguson +250
This will be Nolan’s first professional fight, but he should still roll in this matchup.
Ferguson’s durability appears to be gone. He has been stopped easily with both body shots and head shots in his last two fights, and he doesn’t offer enough offense to discourage opponents from coming forward.
Nolan should also have a major reach advantage, giving him another clear path to control the fight. Don’t be surprised if Ferguson gets knocked out in the first round again.
Harrison Cave -120 vs Danny Moir +100
Cave has almost no defense. He holds his hands low and swings hard, wild, and often while searching for the knockout. Moir has more experience, but he has been finished in each of his last two fights, making his durability a major liability.
Cave will be easy to hit, but he throws so much volume that Moir may struggle to create enough space to land his own offense. If the fight gets beyond the first round, Moir could potentially wear Cave down as the pace slows.
I expect a short, violent fight. Cave is the lean, but I won’t be betting it.
KJ Metcalfe -130 vs Owen Webster +110
There isn’t enough information available on Webster to make a confident handicap.
Metcalfe looks decent and has the experience advantage, but without meaningful footage on his opponent, this is an easy fight to pass.
No play for me.
Jack Blair -125 vs Cory Chapman +105
Chapman carries his hands far too low.
That style may work in traditional boxing, but bare-knuckle fights can end after only a few clean shots. Leaving his head exposed against an opponent with bare-knuckle experience is a dangerous approach.
Blair has already gone the distance and experienced a loss, which gives him a more reliable pedigree in this ruleset. He should also have the better defensive guard and be less likely to absorb unnecessary damage.
Chapman’s defensive habits should create openings throughout the fight. Blair is the pick.
Chris Burton -140 vs Daniel Curtin +110
Neither fighter inspires much confidence.
Curtin is 0-2, absorbs a ton of damage, and doesn’t offer much offensively. Burton is 45 years old and hasn’t fought since 2018, when he lost. Before that, his previous fight came all the way back in 2012.
There are far too many unknowns with Burton after such a long layoff, but Curtin has looked bad enough that it’s difficult to back him. My guess is Burton comes in looking physically prepared, but this is still a very low-confidence fight.
Sandra Rees -220 vs Sally MacDonald +185
Both fighters have earned knockout wins against very weak opposition, so the records don’t tell us much.
Rees has an unusual style, holding her hands extremely high and throwing punches from awkward angles. MacDonald looks more natural offensively and does a better job of applying steady forward pressure.
At this price, I prefer the underdog. MacDonald appears to have the more dependable style, and I think she offers the better betting value.
BKFC Fight Night Newcastle Main Event: Lewis Garside vs Bradley Taylor
The odds tell us exactly what to expect here: a very competitive fight.
I give a slight edge to Taylor. Garside’s stance leaves his chin exposed, and I think Taylor is more likely to land the cleaner, more damaging shots. Taylor may also have a small reach advantage, which could help him control the exchanges from the outside.
This isn’t a strong enough edge for me to bet aggressively, but Taylor is the pick.
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