Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Monday, August 3
The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Monday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.
Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Monday, August 3!
Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks
MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Rafael Devers (SF) +315
Giants third baseman Rafael Devers blasted a solo home run in yesterday’s 5-4 loss at San Diego and we think he has a solid chance to do it again tonight at Texas.
Cal Quantrill is scheduled to take the mound for the Rangers and although he hasn’t allowed a home run in his last two starts (8.1 IP) he allowed four home runs in three starts before that (15 IP).
Quantrill has struggled against lefties like Devers this season allowing a .273 average and .446 slugging percentage including five of his eight home runs compared to a .214 average and .320 slugging percentage allowed against righties.
Devers has been great against righties this season batting .281 and slugging .568 including 19 of his 23 home runs. He has a .533 slugging percentage across his last 30 days and against Quantrill all-time Devers is 7-14 with three doubles and a home run.
It’s also worth noting that Devers has hit a home run against multiple Rangers relievers including Tyler Alexander, Jacob Latz and Chase Silseth.
Take Devers to hit his home run prop tonight at +315 odds with other Giants hitters to consider for a home run prop being Bryce Eldridge (+330) and Willy Adames (+480).
MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #2: Victor Mesa Jr. (TB) +440
After losing two of three games to the White Sox at home, the Rays head west to take on the Rockies in Colorado tonight. Veteran righty Michael Lorenzen takes the mound tonight and has struggled this season compiling a 8.34 home ERA while allowing 16 home runs in total.
We’re taking Victor Mesa Jr. to hit his ninth home run of the season after blasting five of his eight in July. Over the last 30 days Mesa Jr. is batting .255 to go along with a .569 slugging percentage and has been solid against right handed pitching blasting seven of his eight home runs against them.
He has hit five of his eight home runs on the road this season while slugging.467 compared to a .381 slugging percentage at home. Lorenzen has struggled specifically against left handed hitters like Mesa Jr. allowing them to bat .344 to go along with a .610 slugging percentage and 12 of his 16 home runs compared to righties allowing a .316 average and .431 slugging percentage.
In a favorable hitters environment to go along with a favorable pitching matchup, let’s go with Mesa Jr. at +440 odds to hit his home run prop tonight. Other Rays batters to consider for a home run prop includes Cedric Mullins (+420) and Jonathan Aranda (+430).
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