Best Home Run Prop Bets Today – HR Prop Picks For Thursday, July 23

The 2026 MLB season is here, and who doesn’t love home run prop bets? Tons of home runs have been hit this regular season and we’re ready to pick more winners on Thursday! Free home run prop picks come at you compliments of WagerTalk.

Let’s see if we can beat the books with home run prop bets today with free MLB picks every day at WagerTalk! Here are the best home run prop bets to make for Thursday, July 23!

Best Home Run Prop Bets – MLB Free HR Props Picks

MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #1: Junior Caminero (TB) +240

Rays all-star Junior Caminero looks to extend his seven-game hitting streak today as the Rays play at Toronto to close out a four-game series.

Just 12 of Caminero’s 29 home runs have come on the road this season but 22 of them have come against right handed pitching with Shane Bieber taking the mound for the Blue Jays.

Bieber has allowed seven home runs in 23.2 innings pitched for the Blue Jays this season with four of those coming at home. He has allowed four of seven to right handed hitters while also allowing a .396 batting average and .708 slugging percentage to them as well.

Caminero and Bieber have come head-to-head twice all-time with the Rays third baseman blasting a home run in one of those plate appearances.

With such a short slate today in the MLB let’s look at Junior Caminero to hit his home run prop tonight at +240 odds. Other Rays batters to consider for a home run prop includes Cedric Mullins (+450) and Victor Mesa Jr. (+560).

MLB Home Run Prop Best Bet of the Day #2: Alec Burleson (STL) +480

The Diamondbacks and Cardinals play a stand alone makeup game today with righty Brandon Pfaadt taking the mound for Arizona.

He has allowed eight home runs in total this season with seven coming against left handed hitters as we’ll look at Alec Burleson to hit his home run prop.

The Cardinals first baseman has just two home runs this month, but 13 of his 15 home runs have come off right handed pitching and against the Diamondbacks specifically this season he’s 9-22 although he doesn’t have a home run against them.

Pfaadt’s last start actually came against this Cardinals team five days ago going 5.1 innings while allowing two earned runs so Burleson and the rest of the Cardinals should have a solid scouting report of how they’ll want to attack the Arizona starter today.

Let’s not forget that Pfaadt has allowed at least 22 home runs per year over his first three seasons with Burleson never facing Pfaadt in his career until tonight.

Take Burleson at +480 odds to hit a home run tonight with other Cardinals to look at for home run props includes Jordan Walker (+460) and Lars Nootbaar (+680).

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