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RBC Canadian Open Predictions, Best Bets, Free Picks and Odds May 30 – June 2

Rory McIlroy preps for Scottish Open

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview

WagerTalk golf handicapper Nick Borrman offers his thoughts on the RBC Canadian Open teeing off from Hamilton Golf and Country Club! Nick discusses the guys at the top of the odds board, golfers to fade and other expert picks surrounding the RBC Canadian Open starting May 30th!


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RBC Canadian OpenRBC Canadian Open Betting Notes
When:May 30 – June 2
Where:Hamilton Golf and Country Club in Hamilton, ON
Defending Champ:Nick Taylor
Current Favorite:Rory McIlroy (+360 at DraftKings)
TV:Golf Channel, CBS

RBC Canadian Open Odds Board

Top-10 Total Strokes Gained over the last six months (betting odds via FanDuelDraftKings and others)

Screen Shot 2024 05 27 at 10.41.50 PM

RBC Canadian Open Betting Preview

This is the 113th edition of Canada’s National Title, but only the 7th time the tournament has been hosted at Hamilton Golf & Country Club, with the last coming in 2019 where Rory McIlroy won by a whopping seven shots thanks to a final round 61!

However, much like last week, the course underwent a full renovation since the players last teed it up here so that should help at least temper the chances we see Rory repeat as winner.

Of course, the other defending champion is Nick Taylor, the homegrown Canadian who drained a 72-foot eagle in a playoff over Tommy Fleetwood to win last year and send his fellow Canadians into a frenzy. If you haven’t seen it, it’s worth a YouTube search, if for no other reason than to see security tackle fellow Canadian Adam Hadwin, who tried to run onto the green to join in the celebration.

Like last week, the course is a par-70 with only two par 5s, though overall scoring should be a little easier this week.

The course added a little more than 100 yards in length which now measures nearly 7,100 yards, and all greens and bunkers were completed re-done. The greens’ size grew bigger by roughly 20% while 16 bunkers were eliminated from the course.

Closely mown runoff areas around the greens were also added which will both allow players to get creative with how they approach into the green while also penalizing those slightly offline iron shots.

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Rough is long at more than 3.5 inches this week so precision off the tee will be important for scoring chances and like last week, we will likely see players dial it back off the tee to help keep it in the short grass.

Weather looks friendly throughout the week with temperatures reaching only the mid-60s for the opener before rising to the low-to-mid 70s for the remaining three rounds. Both wind and rain look to be a non-factor all four days.

RBC Canadian Open Outright Winners: Sahith Theegala +2000 (Bet365 or BetMGM)

From Nick Borrman:

Unless you are putting all your eggs in the Rory basket, Theegala presents another solid opportunity as one of the favorites this week.

Theegala ranks 5th in Total SG this season thanks in large part to his putter where he comes in at 4th in SG Putting. His only weakness is around the greens as he also comes in ranking inside the Top-25 in both SG Off-the-Tee and Approach.

So far this season, Theegala has six Top-12 finishes including runner-up’s at The Sentry and the RBC Heritage as well as a solo 5th at the WM Phoenix Open, T6 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and T9 at THE PLAYERS. He is also coming off a T12 in his last start at the PGA Championship.

Those are all strong finishes in strong fields and with this week’s field presenting much weaker, he should once again be in the mix come Sunday.

RBC Canadian Open Top-20 Finish: Akshay Bhatia +230 (Bet365)

Bhatia presents as a feast or famine type player but tends to do his most damage in these weaker fields. Since the World Wide Tech Championship last November, Bhatia has nine finishes inside the Top-20 including a win at the Valero Texas Open.

His other nine starts include six missed cuts so it’s possible we know the outcome of our bet before the weekend. Still, that’s a 50% Top-20 rate and at better than 2-1 odds, we would have a nice profit in our bank account backing him in every event.

Still, Bhatia ranks 12th in Total SG this season thanks to a strong iron game where he comes in at 14th in SG Approach. His short game, too, leaves something to be desired, but his putting is respectable at 35th this season.

Bhatia is known for low rounds where he rode his opening round 63 to victory at the Valero Texas Open in a field that included Rory McIlroy. All he needs is one low round this week and that will likely be enough to see him to a Top-20 finish.

See you next week for the Memorial Tournament!


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