South Florida vs North Texas Picks and Predictions | Friday College Football Picks October 10
In this article, The GoldSheet breaks down the key insights analyzing the dynamics that shape this South Florida vs North Texas clash and what bettors should consider before placing their wagers.
South Florida vs North Texas Betting Preview
| Date and Time | October 10, 2025 at 7:30PM ET |
| Point Spread | South Florida -1.5 |
| Total (Over/Under) | 68.5 |
| Location | DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX |
| TV | ESPN2 |
| Forecast | Warm and Clear |
South Florida vs North Texas First Head-to-Head Conference Game
This game will be the first meeting between the Bulls and the Mean Green since North Texas joined The American in 2023.
While the programs have crossed paths in the broader college football landscape before, this marks their initial battle as conference foes.
The new AAC alignment has created fresh rivalries, and this matchup has the potential to quickly become one of the more exciting ones.
Both teams enter in excellent form, combining for a 9–1 straight-up record through five games apiece. With both offenses finding success and each team consistently covering spreads, bettors have plenty of data points to consider heading into this one.
South Florida Bulls: Battle-Tested and Balanced
The South Florida Bulls have opened the 2025 season at 4–1 straight up and 4–1 against the spread. Their only blemish came in a “tough spot” against in-state powerhouse Miami (Fla.), a result that many expected given the Hurricanes’ strength and national ranking. Outside of that loss, South Florida has performed impressively, showing poise, balance, and discipline
against a challenging schedule.
Perhaps most notable for bettors is how the Bulls have fared in totals markets. Dating back to November of last year, the over is 7–2 in South Florida’s last nine games.
That run points to an offensive unit capable of producing points consistently and a defense that has, at times, been involved in higher-scoring affairs. For those analyzing the total line, that 7-2 over trend stands out as one of the more reliable indicators.
Beyond numbers, what truly distinguishes South Florida in this matchup is their level of competition. According to Jeff Sagarin’s college football ratings, the Bulls have played a top-40 strength of schedule so far this season.
Facing a slate of competitive opponents early has made South Florida one of the more battle-tested teams in The American.
North Texas Mean Green: Perfect Record, But Questions Remain
The North Texas Mean Green have been one of the most impressive stories of the 2025 season, posting a perfect 5–0 straight-up record while going 4–1 against the spread.
Their strong start has caught the attention of bettors and fans alike, as they’ve demonstrated consistency in all three phases of the game.
However, one key element separates North Texas from their Week 7 opponent: strength of schedule. Despite their undefeated start, the Mean Green have faced one of the softer early-season slates in the country.
Per Sagarin’s ratings, North Texas has played the No. 115 schedule nationally, a figure that reflects the absence of any Power Four opponentsin their first five contests.
This context is critical for bettors evaluating both teams’ resumes. While North Texas has built confidence and momentum through winning, their competition level makes it difficult to gauge how their success will translate against a tougher, more experienced opponent.
South Florida vs North Texas Prediction: South Florida -1.5
From a college football betting perspective, this matchup represents the classic clash between a battle-tested team and a hot, undefeated team facing its first true test.
South Florida’s top-40 schedule and proven ability to cover spreads suggest that their record carries more substance.
Meanwhile, North Texas’s 5–0 start shows they can handle business against weaker opponents, but the leap in competition may expose potential gaps.
The total will also draw plenty of attention. South Florida’s 7-2 over trend since last November highlights their offensive consistency, while both programs have shown they can find the end zone.
Bettors tracking totals may want to watch line movement closely, as public sentiment could lean toward a high-scoring contest given both teams’ offensive success.
For the spread, South Florida’s combination of experience, balanced play, and strength of schedule gives them a situational advantage. The Bulls have proven they can handle adversity, and that composure can often make the difference in competitive conference matchups.
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