Celtics vs Raptors Predictions, Picks and Odds

Boston has held opponents to just 95 points per game during its four-game winning streak, and now it gets a Toronto team missing two of its biggest stars. That combination sets the tone for this Celtics vs Raptors prediction, as the Celtics wrap up their road trip on the second night of a back-to-back after cruising past Philadelphia.

Toronto will be without Scottie Barnes and Kawhi Leonard, and Immanuel Quickley is questionable with a hamstring injury. The spread has bounced between 5.5 and 7.5, with nearly all of the public money backing Boston, while the total has see-sawed around 216. Before you place your bet, check out our full slate of NBA picks, then dig into the complete breakdown below.

Quick Picks and Prediction for Celtics vs Raptors

Spread Pick: Boston Celtics -6.5
Total Pick: Under 216.5
Projected Final Score: Celtics 111, Raptors 100

Odds and Line Movement for Celtics vs Raptors

Boston opened as a 6.5-point road favorite, climbed to -7.5, briefly dipped to -5.5, and has returned to -6.5. Public support has been overwhelming, with 96% of the money and 76% of the tickets on the Celtics. The total has flipped between 215.5 and 216.5 all morning and currently rests at 216.5. Track every move with our live odds.

Opening Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Boston Celtics	-6½ (-112)	Over 216½ (-105)
Toronto Raptors	+6½ (-108)	Under 216½ (-115)

Current Odds

Team	Spread	Total
Boston Celtics	-6½ (-103)	Over 216½ (-110)
Toronto Raptors	+6½ (-117)	Under 216½ (-110)

Line Movement – Spread

Date	Boston	Toronto
11/11	-6½ (-103)	+6½ (-117)
11/11	-5½ (-118)	+5½ (-103)
11/11	-6½ (-102)	+6½ (-118)
11/11	-6½ (-112)	+6½ (-108)
11/11	-7½ (-105)	+7½ (-116)
11/11	-7½ (-108)	+7½ (-112)
11/10	-6½ (-112)	+6½ (-108)

Line Movement – Total

Date	Over	Under
11/11	216½ (-110)	216½ (-110)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-115)	215½ (-105)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-115)	215½ (-105)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-115)	215½ (-105)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-116)	215½ (-104)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-115)	215½ (-105)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)
11/11	215½ (-115)	215½ (-105)
11/11	216½ (-105)	216½ (-115)

Celtics vs Raptors Key Matchups and Handicap

Celtics Riding a Four-Game Winning Streak

Boston is chasing its fifth straight win overall and its fourth straight on this road trip as it travels from Philadelphia to Toronto. The Celtics rolled to a decisive 123-101 victory over the 76ers last night, led by Paul George, who torched his former team for 36 points on 14-of-22 shooting. Jayson Tatum added 21 points on 8-of-17 shooting. During this winning streak, Boston has allowed just 95 points per game, a sign of how locked in this team is defensively.

Boston at Full Strength on the Second Night

This is the second leg of a back-to-back for Boston, yet the Celtics are still listed as 7-to-8-point road favorites in the market, which speaks to how much respect they have earned.

Boston enters at full strength, and while the Celtics are 6-5 ATS on the season, they are 4-1 ATS as a road favorite. Last season, Boston went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS against Toronto, adding further confidence in the Celtics’ ability to handle this matchup.

BOS Free-Throw Opportunity

Boston attempted just five free throws in last night’s 22-point win, a number that should rise tonight. Toronto allows the third-most free-throw attempts per game in the NBA, giving the Celtics an opportunity to generate easy points at the line. Additional trips to the charity stripe also help Boston control the pace and slow the game down, which fits its style perfectly.

Raptors Shorthanded Without Barnes and Leonard

Toronto lost 118-102 at home to Memphis on Monday while playing without Immanuel Quickley, Scottie Barnes, and Kawhi Leonard. Barnes and Leonard will miss this game as well, and Quickley is questionable with a hamstring injury. Losing that much talent leaves the Raptors with limited options on both ends, especially against a full-strength Boston team. Toronto is 5-5 ATS this season and 0-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Toronto Paint Attack vs Boston Interior Defense

The Raptors have made their biggest offensive impact in the paint, scoring the fourth-most paint points per game in the league. That strength runs directly into Boston’s defense, which allows the fewest points in the paint of any team in the NBA. If the Celtics can take away Toronto’s inside game, the Raptors will be forced to rely on their perimeter shooting, and they rank fourth-to-last in the league from three-point range at just 31.8%.

Celtics Slow Pace and Defensive Efficiency

Boston plays at the slowest pace of any team in the NBA, which naturally limits possessions and suppresses scoring. Both teams rank in the top 12 in defensive efficiency, and the Celtics are 8-3 to the Under this season. Toronto has also gone Under in back-to-back games without Quickley, Barnes, and Leonard, reinforcing the expectation of a lower-scoring contest.

Betting Trends: BOS vs TOR

Boston has won four straight games and allowed just 95 points per game during the streak.
Boston went 4-0 straight up and 3-1 ATS against Toronto last season.
Boston is 6-5 ATS this season and 4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Toronto is 5-5 ATS this season and 0-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Boston is 8-3 to the Under this season.
Toronto has gone Under in back-to-back games without Quickley, Barnes, and Leonard.
Toronto allows the third-most free-throw attempts per game in the NBA.
Boston allows the fewest points in the paint per game, while Toronto scores the fourth-most.
Toronto is shooting 31.8% from three-point range, fourth-to-last in the NBA.
Public spread betting shows 96% of the money and 76% of the tickets on Boston.
Public betting on the total shows 77% of the money and 64% of the tickets on the Over.

Key Injuries and Notes: BOS vs TOR

Toronto F Scottie Barnes: Out.
Toronto F Kawhi Leonard: Out.
Toronto G Immanuel Quickley: Questionable with a hamstring injury.
Boston: Enters at full strength.
Schedule Note: Boston is playing the second night of a back-to-back after beating Philadelphia 123-101.
Road Trip Note: This is the final stop on Boston’s road trip.

ATS and Total Picks for Boston vs Toronto

Moneyline Pick: Boston Celtics

Boston is healthy, rolling, and facing a Toronto team missing two of its most important players. The Celtics swept the season series last year and have been dominant during their four-game winning streak, making them the clear side straight up.

Spread Pick: Boston Celtics -6.5

The Celtics are 4-1 ATS as road favorites and went 3-1 ATS against Toronto last season. Boston’s elite interior defense should neutralize the Raptors’ paint-heavy offense, forcing a poor three-point shooting team to beat it from the perimeter. Add in the free-throw edge and Toronto’s depleted roster, and Boston should cover even on the second night of a back-to-back.

Total Pick: Under 216.5

Boston plays at the league’s slowest pace and is 8-3 to the Under this season. Toronto has gone Under in consecutive games without its key players, and both teams rank in the top 12 in defensive efficiency. With the Celtics allowing just 95 points per game during their winning streak, this projects as a game that stays comfortably under the number.

Celtics vs Raptors Best Bets

Best Bet: Boston Celtics -6.5 (-103)
Total Bet: Under 216.5 (-110)
Key Edge: Boston allows the fewest paint points in the NBA against a Toronto team that relies on interior scoring and shoots 31.8% from three
Market Signal: 96% of the spread money on Boston, with Toronto missing Barnes and Leonard

Final Score Prediction for Celtics vs Raptors

Boston should cap its road trip with another convincing win over a shorthanded Toronto team. Expect the Celtics to control the paint, get to the free-throw line more often, and dictate a slow pace that keeps the scoring under the total while comfortably covering the spread.